2020 United States presidential election in Colorado

Last updated

2020 United States presidential election in Colorado
Flag of Colorado.svg
  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  
Turnout86.87% Increase2.svg 12.48 pp
  Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote90
Popular vote1,804,3521,364,607
Percentage55.40%41.90%

Colorado Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
CO-20-pres-districts.svg
CO President 2020.svg

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Colorado was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. [1] Colorado voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump from Florida, and his running mate Vice President Mike Pence from Indiana, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden from Delaware, and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris from California. Colorado had nine electoral votes in the Electoral College. [2]

Contents

The Democratic National Committee (DNC) proposed Denver as a finalist to host the 2020 Democratic National Convention, but the city declined, citing conflicts. [3] The Democrats had met in Denver in 1908 and 2008 Democratic National Convention. The DNC ultimately decided to hold the convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Prior to the election, all 14 news organizations considered Colorado a state Biden would win, or a likely blue state. On the day of the election, Biden won Colorado with over 55% of the vote, and by a victory margin of 13.50%, an 8.6 percentage point improvement on Hillary Clinton's victory in the state four years prior, the strongest Democratic performance since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, and the first time that it voted for a presidential candidate of either major party by a double-digit percentage since Ronald Reagan in 1984. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, changing demographics made Colorado more favorable to Democrats, with Latinos backing Biden with 68%, including Latinos of Mexican heritage with 75%. Biden also carried Whites with 53%. 69% of voters favored increasing federal government spending on green and renewable energy, and they favored Biden by 76%–23%. [4]

Biden flipped three counties in Colorado: Pueblo County, which had been reliably Democratic before narrowly backing Trump in 2016; Chaffee County, one of the few counties to flip from John McCain in 2008 to Barack Obama in 2012; and Garfield County, which had last voted Democratic when Bill Clinton won it in 1992. Biden also significantly closed the gap in the GOP's two largest remaining strongholds in the state, El Paso County and Douglas County, becoming the first Democrat to win more than 40% of the vote in the former since 1964 [5] and closing the gap in the latter to single digits for the first time since 1964. Trump became the first Republican since William McKinley in 1900 to lose Colorado in multiple presidential elections. Nevertheless, Biden became the first Democrat since Grover Cleveland in 1892 to win the White House without carrying Conejos County, as well as the first since Woodrow Wilson in 1912 to do so without carrying Huerfano or Las Animas Counties. Trump also narrowly flipped Alamosa County, one of only fifteen counties nationwide that flipped from Hillary Clinton in 2016 to Trump in 2020, thereby making Biden the first Democratic president to be elected without carrying this county since Jimmy Carter in 1976.

This marked the first time since 1968 that Colorado voted more Democratic than neighboring New Mexico. Biden carried New Mexico by 10.79%, 2.71 points lower than Colorado.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

Republican primary

The Republican primary was due to be canceled until Robert Ardini, a retired advertising executive, decided to submit his name for the ballot. Several others subsequently joined him.

2020 Colorado Republican presidential primary [6] [7]
CandidateVotes %Estimated
delegates [8]
Donald Trump 628,87692.2637
Bill Weld 25,6983.770
Joe Walsh (withdrawn)13,0721.920
Matthew John Matern7,2391.060
Robert Ardini 3,3880.500
Zoltan Istvan 3,3500.490
Total681,623100%37

Democratic primary

The results were certified on March 30. [9] [10] The race was called for Bernie Sanders [11] who won a plurality of votes and delegates.

2020 Colorado Democratic presidential primary [12]
CandidateVotes %Delegates [13] [14]
Bernie Sanders 355,29337.0029 [lower-alpha 1]
Joe Biden 236,56524.6421 [lower-alpha 2]
Michael Bloomberg 177,72718.519 [lower-alpha 3]
Elizabeth Warren 168,69517.578 [lower-alpha 4]
Tulsi Gabbard 10,0371.05
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)3,9880.42
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) [lower-alpha 5] 3,3230.35
Cory Booker (withdrawn)1,2760.13
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)1,0860.11
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)2270.02
Other candidates1,9110.20
Total960,128100%67

Libertarian nominee

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Likely DNovember 3, 2020
Inside Elections [16] Solid DNovember 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Likely DNovember 3, 2020
Politico [18] Likely DNovember 3, 2020
RCP [19] Lean DNovember 3, 2020
Niskanen [20] Safe DNovember 3, 2020
CNN [21] Lean DNovember 3, 2020
The Economist [22] Safe DNovember 3, 2020
CBS News [23] Likely DNovember 3, 2020
270towin [24] Likely DNovember 3, 2020
ABC News [25] Solid DNovember 3, 2020
NPR [26] Likely DNovember 3, 2020
NBC News [27] Likely DNovember 3, 2020
538 [28] Solid DNovember 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 6]
Margin
270 to Win October 15 – November 2, 2020November 3, 202052.0%40.6%7.4%
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020November 3, 202053.6%41.1%5.3%
Average52.8%40.8%6.4%Biden +12.0

Polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 7]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 20202,991 (LV)± 2.5%44% [lower-alpha 8] 55%
Keating Research/Onsight Public Affairs/Colorado Sun Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2020502 (LV) [lower-alpha 9] ± 4.4%41%53%
Data for Progress Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020709 (LV)± 3.7%42%54%3%1%0% [lower-alpha 10]
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020455 (LV)± 6%41%55%3%1%
Morning Consult Oct 22–31, 2020727 (LV)± 4%41%54%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 20205,925 (LV)40%59%
Morning Consult Oct 11–20, 2020788 (LV)± 3.5%39%55%
RBI Strategies Oct 12–16, 2020502 (LV)± 4.4%38%55%3%1%1% [lower-alpha 11] 1%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 9–15, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%43%51%1% [lower-alpha 12] 3%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Oct 11–14, 20201,013 (LV)± 3.6%42%53%3% [lower-alpha 11] 1%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson Oct 8–13, 2020519 (LV)± 4.3%39%54%3% [lower-alpha 13] 4%
Morning Consult Oct 2–11, 2020837 (LV)± 3.4%40%54%
YouGov/University of Colorado Oct 5–9, 2020800 (LV)± 4.64%38%47%3%11%
SurveyUSA/9News/Colorado Politics Oct 1–6, 20201,021 (LV)± 3.9%40%50%5% [lower-alpha 14] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 20202,717 (LV)41%57%2%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020657 (LV)± (2%–4%)43% [lower-alpha 15] 49%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates/AARP Aug 30 – Sep 5, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%40%50%2% [lower-alpha 16] 8%
Global Strategy Group/Progress Colorado [upper-alpha 1] Aug 28 – Sep 1, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%39%50%4%1%1% [lower-alpha 17] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 20202,385 (LV)41%57%2%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30, 2020638 (LV)± 4%41% [lower-alpha 15] 51%
Morning Consult Aug 16–25, 2020~600 (LV)± 4.0%42%51%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16, 2020601 (LV)± 4%41% [lower-alpha 18] 51%
Morning Consult Aug 6–15, 2020~600 (LV)± 4.0%41%51%
Morning Consult Jul 7 – Aug 5, 2020~600 (LV)± 4.0%40%52%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 20202,337 (LV)40%58%2%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020616 (LV)± 4.0%39% [lower-alpha 15] 52%
Morning Consult Jul 13–22, 2020~600 (LV)± 4.0%41%51%
Public Policy Polling/AFSCME [upper-alpha 2] Jul 23–24, 2020891 (V)41%54%5%
Public Policy Polling/End Citizens United Jun 29–30, 2020840 (V)± 3.4%39%56%5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 20201,088 (LV)42%57%2%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020572 (LV)42%50%
Global Strategy Group (D) May 7–11, 2020700 (RV)± 3.5%40%53%7%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson/Colorado Politics May 1–3, 2020600 (LV)± 4%36%55%3% [lower-alpha 13] 6%
Montana State University Bozeman Apr 10–19, 2020379 (LV)35%53%3%8%
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020485 (RV)± 4.5%43%46%11%
Emerson College Archived August 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Aug 16–19, 20191,000 (RV)± 3.0%45%55%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP Jul 29–31, 2019600 (LV)± 4.0%42%51%1% [lower-alpha 19] 5%
Former candidates
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 7]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020485 (RV)± 4.5%42%45%13%
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 7]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020485 (RV)± 4.5%42%45%13%
Emerson College Archived August 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Aug 16–19, 20191,000 (RV)± 3.0%45%55%
with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 7]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
Emerson College Archived August 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Aug 16–19, 20191,000 (RV)± 3.0%48%51%
Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 7]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020485 (RV)± 4.5%43%43%14%
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 7]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020485 (RV)± 4.5%43%48%9%
Emerson College Archived August 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Aug 16–19, 20191,000 (RV)± 3.0%45%55%
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 7]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Climate Nexus Feb 11–15, 2020485 (RV)± 4.5%45%44%11%
Emerson College Archived August 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Aug 16–19, 20191,000 (RV)± 3.0%47%54%
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 7]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat
OtherUndecided
Magellan Strategies Jul 15–17, 2019500 (LV)± 4.4%32%44%15%9%
Magellan Strategies Mar 11–13, 2019500 (LV)± 4.4%33%40%16%10%
Global Strategy Group Jan 31 – Feb 4, 2019818 (RV)± 3.4%40%52%8%
DFM Research Archived January 10, 2019, at the Wayback Machine Jan 2–5, 2019550 (A)± 4.2%36%50%14%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Colorado [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
1,804,352 55.40% +7.28%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,364,60741.90%−1.41%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
52,4601.61%−3.56%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
8,9860.28%−1.09%
Independent Kanye West
Michelle Tidball
8,0890.25%N/A
American Constitution Don Blankenship
William Mohr
5,0610.16%−0.26%
Unity Bill Hammons
Eric Bodenstab
2,7300.08%N/A
American Solidarity Brian Carroll
Amar Patel
2,5150.08%+0.05%
Independent Mark Charles
Adrian Wallace
2,0110.06%N/A
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman
1,0350.03%+0.01%
Independent AmericanKyle Kopitke
Nathan Sorenson
7620.02%−0.02%
Alliance Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson
6360.02%−0.02%
Independent Joe McHugh
Elizabeth Storm
6140.02%N/A
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
5720.02%N/A
Prohibition Phil Collins
Billy Joe Parker
5680.02%+0.01%
Independent Princess Khadijah Jacob-Fambro
Khadijah Jacob Sr.
4950.02%N/A
Progressive Dario Hunter
Dawn Neptune Adams
3790.01%N/A
Approval Voting Blake Huber
Frank Atwood
3550.01%±0.00
Socialist Workers Alyson Kennedy
Malcolm Jarrett
3540.01%−0.01%
Socialist Equality Joseph Kishore
Norissa Santa Cruz
1960.01%N/A
Independent Jordan "Cancer" Scott
Jennifer Tepool
1750.01%N/A
Independent Tom Hoefling
Andy Prior
240.00%N/A
Independent Todd Cella
Timothy Cella
40.00%N/A
Total votes3,256,980 100.00%

Results by county

CountyJoe Biden
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %
Adams 134,20256.69%95,65740.41%6,8812.90%38,54516.28%236,740
Alamosa 3,75948.14%3,81348.83%2363.03%-54-0.69%7,808
Arapahoe 213,60761.00%127,32336.36%9,2532.64%86,28424.64%350,183
Archuleta 3,73840.88%5,18956.75%2172.37%-1,451-15.87%9,144
Baca 31714.25%1,86783.91%411.84%-1,550-69.66%2,225
Bent 73232.19%1,50366.09%391.72%-771-33.90%2,274
Boulder 159,08977.19%42,50120.62%4,5212.19%116,58856.57%206,111
Broomfield 29,07762.35%16,29534.94%1,2602.71%12,78227.41%46,632
Chaffee 7,16052.19%6,22245.36%3362.45%9386.83%13,718
Cheyenne 13111.53%99387.41%121.06%-862-75.88%1,136
Clear Creek 3,60455.04%2,75442.06%1902.90%85011.98%6,548
Conejos 1,95945.21%2,28652.76%882.03%-327-7.55%4,333
Costilla 1,31162.61%74135.39%422.00%57027.22%2,094
Crowley 43724.97%1,27172.63%422.40%-834-47.66%1,750
Custer 1,11230.59%2,47468.06%491.35%-1,362-37.47%3,635
Delta 5,88730.39%13,08167.53%4022.08%-7,194-37.14%19,370
Denver 313,29379.55%71,61818.19%8,9182.26%241,67561.36%393,829
Dolores 34123.53%1,08975.16%191.31%-748-51.63%1,449
Douglas 104,65345.19%121,27052.36%5,6822.45%-16,617-7.17%231,605
Eagle 18,58863.79%9,89233.95%6602.26%8,69629.84%29,140
El Paso 161,94142.75%202,82853.54%14,0823.71%-40,887-10.79%378,851
Elbert 4,49023.65%14,02773.89%4662.46%-9,537-50.24%18,983
Fremont 7,36928.83%17,51768.54%6712.63%-10,148-39.71%25,557
Garfield 15,42749.92%14,71747.62%7602.46%7102.30%30,904
Gilpin 2,22353.11%1,83343.79%1303.10%3909.32%4,186
Grand 4,71047.72%4,88349.47%2772.81%-173-1.75%9,870
Gunnison 7,13263.74%3,73533.38%3232.88%3,39730.36%11,190
Hinsdale 25540.35%35355.85%243.80%-98-15.50%632
Huerfano 2,07647.12%2,20350.00%1272.88%-127-2.88%4,406
Jackson 17519.98%68177.74%202.28%-506-57.76%876
Jefferson 218,39657.88%148,41739.33%10,5452.79%69,97918.55%377,358
Kiowa 9810.85%79588.04%101.11%-697-77.19%903
Kit Carson 66217.10%3,14481.22%651.68%-2,482-64.12%3,871
La Plata 20,54857.61%14,23339.91%8862.48%6,31517.70%35,667
Lake 2,30358.14%1,49737.79%1614.07%80620.35%3,961
Larimer 126,12056.22%91,48940.78%6,7293.00%34,63115.44%224,338
Las Animas 3,49743.93%4,28453.81%1802.26%-787-9.88%7,961
Lincoln 47017.73%2,13580.54%461.73%-1,665-62.81%2,651
Logan 2,21821.06%8,08776.79%2272.15%-5,869-55.73%10,532
Mesa 31,53634.80%56,89462.78%2,1932.42%-25,358-27.98%90,623
Mineral 31741.93%42756.48%121.59%-110-14.55%756
Moffat 1,20317.12%5,67080.70%1532.18%-4,467-63.58%7,026
Montezuma 5,83637.65%9,30660.04%3582.31%-3,470-22.39%15,500
Montrose 7,68730.84%16,77067.29%4651.87%-9,083-36.45%24,922
Morgan 3,87628.20%9,59368.80%2752.00%-5,717-41.60%13,744
Otero 3,60537.65%5,75660.11%2152.24%-2,151-22.46%9,576
Ouray 2,36558.83%1,57739.23%781.94%78819.60%4,020
Park 4,90339.89%6,99156.88%3973.23%-2,088-16.99%12,291
Phillips 48619.56%1,95878.79%411.65%-1,472-59.23%2,485
Pitkin 8,98975.18%2,78023.25%1881.57%6,20951.93%11,957
Prowers 1,45826.22%4,00872.07%951.71%-2,550-45.85%5,561
Pueblo 43,77249.57%42,25247.85%2,2772.58%1,5201.72%88,301
Rio Blanco 56115.20%3,06182.93%691.87%-2,500-67.73%3,691
Rio Grande 2,49539.57%3,66058.05%1502.38%-1,165-18.48%6,305
Routt 10,58262.70%5,92535.11%3692.19%4,65727.59%16,876
Saguache 1,88455.59%1,41341.69%922.72%47113.90%3,389
San Juan 34260.85%20235.94%183.21%14024.91%562
San Miguel 3,92476.24%1,13622.07%871.69%2,78854.17%5,147
Sedgwick 30120.82%1,12177.52%241.66%-820-56.70%1,446
Summit 12,63168.35%5,32228.80%5262.85%7,30939.55%18,479
Teller 5,27831.16%11,24166.36%4202.48%-5,963-35.20%16,939
Washington 36912.27%2,59586.27%441.46%-2,226-74.00%3,008
Weld 66,06039.56%96,14557.58%4,7692.86%-30,085-18.02%166,974
Yuma 78515.76%4,10782.45%891.79%-3,322-66.69%4,981
Total1,804,35255.40%1,364,60741.90%88,0212.70%439,74513.50%2,780,247
Colorado County Swing 2020.svg
Colorado County Trend 2020.svg
Colorado County Flips 2020.svg

Results by congressional district

Biden won 4 out of the 7 congressional districts in Colorado.

DistrictTrumpBidenRepresentative
1st 22.1%75.6% Diana DeGette
2nd 33.6%63.7% Joe Neguse
3rd 51.6%46.1% Scott Tipton
Lauren Boebert
4th 56.6%40.8% Ken Buck
5th 54.7%41.8% Doug Lamborn
6th 39.3%58.2% Jason Crow
7th 37.1%60% Ed Perlmutter
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Analysis

In this election, Colorado weighed in as 9.1% more Democratic than the nation as a whole. The results established Colorado as a Democratic stronghold, rather than the Democratic-leaning battleground state it had been for the past three election cycles and previously a Republican leaning state, as Trump became the first Republican incumbent since William Howard Taft to consecutively lose the state between elections. [30] With Biden's win, Colorado voted Democratic at the presidential level four times in a row for the first time since statehood, the state having previously voted for Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012 and for Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Unlike Virginia, another Republican-leaning turned battleground state that also voted Democratic by double digits for the first time in decades at the presidential level in 2020, Colorado's status as a blue state would hold up following the 2022 midterms, in which Democrats won every statewide offices by double digits, and expanded their majorities in the state legislature. This would stand in contrast to Virginia in 2021, which saw Republicans win all three elected offices and the lower house.

Edison exit polls

2020 presidential election in Colorado by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling) [31] [32]
Demographic subgroupBidenTrump% of

total vote

Total vote55.4041.90100
Ideology
Liberals 95429
Moderates 653038
Conservatives 89132
Party
Democrats 98229
Republicans 79125
Independents 554046
Gender
Men494746
Women613754
Race/ethnicity
White 574179
Black 3
Latino 583812
Asian 2
Other4
Age
18–29 years old702616
30–44 years old554025
45–64 years old484935
65 and older574225
Sexual orientation
LGBT 6
Not LGBT554294
Education
High school or less435514
Some college education534524
Associate's degree 484918
Bachelor's degree 573925
Postgraduate degree732519
Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality 90815
Coronavirus 91820
Economy 118632
Crime and safety13839
Health care 851315
Region
East415618
Denver/Eastern suburbs673030
Northern suburbs593820
Southern suburbs534419
Colorado Rockies 465213
Area type
Urban633538
Suburban544348
Rural405714
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago237539
Worse than four years ago841017
About the same742443

Notes

  1. 24 delegates, if Bloomberg's and Warren's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  2. 17 delegates, if Bloomberg's and Warren's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  3. 14 delegates, if Bloomberg's and Warren's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  4. 12 delegates, if Bloomberg's and Warren's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  5. Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary and after the start of early in-person voting.
  6. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  9. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  10. "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  11. 1 2 "Someone else" with 3%
  12. "Some other candidate" with 1%
  13. 1 2 "Other candidate" with 3%
  14. "Some other candidate" with 5%
  15. 1 2 3 Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  16. Would not vote with 2%
  17. West (B) with 1%
  18. Overlapping sample with the previous and subsequent Morning Consult polls, but more information available regarding sample size
  19. Would not vote/would not vote for president with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  2. AFSCME endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period

See also

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Delaware</span> Election in Delaware

The 2020 United States presidential election in Delaware was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Delaware voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump from Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence from Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Delaware has three electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Indiana</span> Election in Indiana

The 2020 United States presidential election in Indiana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Indiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Iowa</span> Election in Iowa

The 2020 United States presidential election in Iowa was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Iowa voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Iowa has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina</span> Election in South Carolina

The 2020 United States presidential election in South Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. South Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. South Carolina has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Washington (state)</span> Election in Washington

The 2020 United States presidential election in Washington was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 U.S. states plus the District of Columbia participated. Washington voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Oregon</span> Election in Oregon

The 2020 United States presidential election in Oregon was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Oregon has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Maine</span> Election in Maine

The 2020 United States presidential election in Maine was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Maine voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. Unlike all other states except Nebraska, Maine awards two electoral votes based on the statewide vote, and one vote for each congressional district.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee</span> Election in Tennessee

The 2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Tennessee has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Maryland</span> U.S. presidential election in Maryland

The 2020 United States presidential election in Maryland was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Maryland voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Maryland has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in West Virginia</span> Election in West Virginia

The 2020 United States presidential election in West Virginia was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. West Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. West Virginia had five electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming</span> Election in Wyoming

The 2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Wyoming voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump and running mate Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Wyoming has three electoral votes in the Electoral College. Trump, the Republican nominee and incumbent president of the United States, won the state's three electoral votes.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Utah</span> Election in Utah

The 2020 United States presidential election in Utah was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Utah voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Utah has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska</span> Election in Nebraska

The 2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Nebraska voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Nebraska has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, two from the state at large, and one each from the three congressional districts.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota</span> Election in Minnesota

The 2020 United States presidential election in Minnesota was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Minnesota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against the Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Minnesota has ten electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi</span> Election in Mississippi

The 2020 United States presidential election in Mississippi was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Mississippi voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Mississippi has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Montana</span> Election in Montana

The 2020 United States presidential election in Montana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Montana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump and running mate Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Montana had three electoral votes in the Electoral College for the 2020 election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire</span> Election in New Hampshire

The 2020 United States presidential election in New Hampshire was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominees, incumbent President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence, against the Democratic Party's nominees, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, Senator Kamala Harris. New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey</span> Election in New Jersey

The 2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Jersey voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in South Dakota</span> Election in South Dakota

The 2020 United States presidential election in South Dakota was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. South Dakota voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. South Dakota has three electoral votes in the Electoral College.

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Further reading