2020 United States presidential election in Oregon

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in Oregon

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Turnout	81.97% (of registered voters) 11.71 pp
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Alliance Independent Party - Home state Delaware Florida Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence Electoral vote 7 0 Popular vote 1,340,383 958,448 Percentage 56.45% 40.37%
County Results Congressional District Results Precinct Results Biden   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Tie/No Data
President before election Donald Trump Republican Elected President Joe Biden Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Oregon was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. ^[1] Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Oregon has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College. ^[2]

Biden won 56.45% of the vote to 40.37% for Trump. Biden received Oregon's seven electoral votes in the Electoral College. ^[3] The state certified its election results on December 3. ^[4]

Biden won Oregon by 16.08%, an increase from Hillary Clinton's 11% victory margin in 2016. No Republican presidential candidate has won Oregon since Ronald Reagan of neighboring California in 1984. Biden flipped two counties Trump won in 2016: Marion County, home to the state capital of Salem; and Deschutes County, anchored by fast-growing Bend. This marked the first time since 1964 that a Democrat won an outright majority in Deschutes County, although Democratic presidential nominees in 1976 and 1992 had carried the county with pluralities. ^[5]

Biden was the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson in 1916 to win the presidency without carrying Columbia County and Tillamook County. Tillamook and Columbia counties were among a fraction of the more than 3,000 counties in the U.S. to vote twice for Barack Obama (in 2008 and 2012) and twice for Trump (in 2016 and 2020). ^[6] Biden also made history as the highest vote earner in Oregon history, with 1,340,383 votes, and Biden was able to achieve stronger swings leftward in 28 of Oregon's 36 counties than Hillary Clinton in 2016. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, 33% of voters were secular and supported Biden by 80%. ^[7]

Primary elections

The Oregon primary elections were held on Tuesday, May 19, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump ran unopposed in Oregon, receiving the state's 28 delegates to the Republican National Convention ^[8]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Oregon Republican presidential primary § ORresults.[ edit ]

2020 Oregon Republican presidential primary ^[9]

Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates [10]
Donald Trump	363,785	93.70	28
Write-ins	24,461	6.30	0
Total	388,246	100.00	28

Democratic primary

Though all Democrats but Joe Biden had withdrawn from the national race by the Oregon primary, four remained on the ballot. Biden won just under two-thirds of the vote. Bernie Sanders received just over 20% of the vote. Oregon's 71 delegates were allocated with 46 to Biden and 15 to Sanders. ^[8]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Oregon Democratic presidential primary § ORresults.[ edit ]

2020 Oregon Democratic presidential primary ^[11]

Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates [12]
Joe Biden	408,315	65.99	46
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)	127,345	20.58	15
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)	59,355	9.59
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)	10,717	1.73
Write-in votes	12,979	2.10
Total	618,711	100%	61

Independent Party of Oregon primary

The Independent Party of Oregon cross-nominated Joe Biden after an online nonpartisan blanket primary. ^[13]

Candidate	Votes	%
Joe Biden	1,661	46.7
Donald Trump	1,389	39.1
Bernie Sanders	1,227	34.5
Total	4,277	100.00

Candidate	Votes	%
Joe Biden	392	55.13
Donald Trump	280	39.38

Pacific Green Party primary

Howie Hawkins won the Oregon Green Party primary.

General election

Final predictions

Source	Ranking
The Cook Political Report [14]	Solid D
Inside Elections [15]	Solid D
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16]	Safe D
Politico [17]	Likely D
RCP [18]	Lean D
Niskanen [19]	Safe D
CNN [20]	Solid D
The Economist [21]	Safe D
CBS News [22]	Likely D
270towin [23]	Safe D
ABC News [24]	Solid D
NPR [25]	Likely D
NBC News [26]	Likely D
538 [27]	Solid D

Polling

Polls

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1]	Margin
270 to Win	September 26 – October 17, 2020	October 20, 2020	58.0%	38.5%	3.5%	Biden +19.5
FiveThirtyEight	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	58.7%	37.4%	3.9%	Biden +21.3
Average			58.4%	38.0%	3.7%	Biden +20.4

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Howie Hawkins Pacific Green	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	3,543 (LV)	± 2.5%	39% [lower-alpha 3]	59%	–	–	–	–
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine	Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020	324 (LV)	± 7.3%	37%	60%	1%	1%	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	5,422 (LV)	–	38%	61%	–	–	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	2,109 (LV)	–	38%	61%	–	–	–	2%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	Sep 26–29, 2020	944 (LV)	± 3.5%	39%	56%	–	–	3% [lower-alpha 4]	2%
DHM Research	Sep 3–8, 2020	502 (LV)	± 4%	39%	51%	–	–	6% [lower-alpha 5]	4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	1,648 (LV)	–	38%	60%	–	–	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	1,890 (LV)	–	38%	61%	–	–	–	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	872 (LV)	–	39%	59%	–	–	–	2%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Oregon ^[28]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	1,340,383	56.45%	+6.38%
	Republican	Donald Trump Mike Pence	958,448	40.37%	+1.28%
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	41,582	1.75%	−2.96%
	Pacific Green	Howie Hawkins Angela Walker	11,831	0.50%	−2.00%
	Progressive	Dario Hunter Dawn Neptune Adams	4,988	0.21%	N/A
	Write-in		17,089	0.72%	−2.91%
Total votes			2,374,321	100.00%

By county

County	Joe Biden Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Baker	2,346	23.62%	7,352	74.02%	234	2.36%	-5,006	-50.40%	9,932
Benton	35,827	67.86%	14,878	28.18%	2,094	3.96%	20,949	39.68%	52,799
Clackamas	139,043	53.96%	110,509	42.89%	8,127	3.15%	28,534	11.07%	257,679
Clatsop	12,916	54.02%	10,218	42.74%	776	3.24%	2,698	11.28%	23,910
Columbia	13,835	42.94%	17,150	53.23%	1,236	3.83%	-3,315	-10.29%	32,221
Coos	14,243	38.42%	21,829	58.88%	1,003	2.70%	-7,586	-20.46%	37,075
Crook	3,801	24.61%	11,287	73.06%	360	2.33%	-7,486	-48.45%	15,448
Curry	6,058	40.59%	8,484	56.84%	383	2.57%	-2,426	-16.25%	14,925
Deschutes	65,962	52.67%	55,646	44.43%	3,626	2.90%	10,316	8.24%	125,234
Douglas	19,160	29.78%	43,298	67.29%	1,891	2.93%	-24,138	-37.51%	64,349
Gilliam	324	27.50%	834	70.80%	20	1.70%	-510	-43.30%	1,178
Grant	929	20.21%	3,545	77.13%	122	2.66%	-2,616	-56.92%	4,596
Harney	894	19.95%	3,475	77.55%	112	2.50%	-2,581	-57.60%	4,481
Hood River	8,764	66.95%	3,955	30.21%	371	2.84%	4,809	36.74%	13,090
Jackson	59,478	46.77%	63,869	50.23%	3,818	3.00%	-4,391	-3.46%	127,165
Jefferson	4,393	36.88%	7,189	60.35%	331	2.77%	-2,796	-23.47%	11,913
Josephine	18,451	35.73%	31,751	61.48%	1,439	2.79%	-13,300	-25.75%	51,641
Klamath	10,388	28.29%	25,308	68.91%	1,030	2.80%	-14,920	-40.62%	36,726
Lake	792	18.15%	3,470	79.53%	101	2.32%	-2,678	-61.38%	4,363
Lane	134,366	60.46%	80,336	36.15%	7,551	3.39%	54,030	24.31%	222,253
Lincoln	17,385	56.58%	12,460	40.55%	881	2.87%	4,925	16.03%	30,726
Linn	26,512	36.50%	43,486	59.87%	2,642	3.63%	-16,974	-23.37%	72,640
Malheur	3,260	27.62%	8,187	69.36%	357	3.02%	-4,927	-41.74%	11,804
Marion	80,872	48.86%	79,002	47.73%	5,660	3.41%	1,870	1.13%	165,534
Morrow	1,371	26.79%	3,586	70.07%	161	3.14%	-2,215	-43.28%	5,118
Multnomah	367,249	79.21%	82,995	17.90%	13,415	2.89%	284,254	61.31%	463,659
Polk	22,917	47.46%	23,732	49.14%	1,642	3.40%	-815	-1.68%	48,291
Sherman	260	21.52%	921	76.24%	27	2.24%	-661	-54.72%	1,208
Tillamook	8,066	47.76%	8,354	49.47%	468	2.77%	-288	-1.71%	16,888
Umatilla	10,707	32.41%	21,270	64.38%	1,061	3.21%	-10,563	-31.97%	33,038
Union	4,254	28.47%	10,298	68.91%	392	2.62%	-6,044	-40.44%	14,944
Wallowa	1,625	31.56%	3,404	66.11%	120	2.33%	-1,779	-34.55%	5,149
Wasco	6,604	46.74%	7,035	49.79%	491	3.47%	-431	-3.05%	14,130
Washington	209,940	65.54%	99,073	30.93%	11,313	3.53%	110,867	34.61%	320,326
Wheeler	217	22.49%	711	73.68%	37	3.83%	-494	-51.19%	965
Yamhill	27,174	46.12%	29,551	50.15%	2,198	3.73%	-2,377	-4.03%	58,923
Total	1,340,383	56.45%	958,448	40.37%	75,490	3.18%	381,935	16.08%	2,374,321

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +10–12.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5–10%
•   Democratic — +5–7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5–5%
•   Democratic — +0–2.5%
•   Republican — +0–2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5–5%
•   Republican — +5–7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5–10%

Trend relative to the state by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +10–12.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5–10%
•   Democratic — +5–7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5–5%
•   Democratic — +0–2.5%
•   Republican — +0–2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5–5%
•   Republican — +5–7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5–10%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold   Gain from Republican

  Republican   Hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Deschutes (largest city: Bend)
• Marion (largest city: Salem)

By congressional district

Biden won 4 out of 5 congressional districts in Oregon.

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
1st	34.1%	63.3%	Suzanne Bonamici
2nd	55.6%	42.1%	Cliff Bentz
3rd	23.5%	74.3%	Earl Blumenauer
4th	46.7%	50.7%	Peter DeFazio
5th	43.9%	53.6%	Kurt Schrader

Analysis

Edison exit polls

2020 presidential election in Oregon by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling) [29] [30]
Demographic subgroup	Biden	Trump	% of total vote
Total vote	56.45	40.37	100
Ideology
Liberals	96	4	33
Moderates	66	30	37
Conservatives	8	92	30
Party
Democrats	98	2	36
Republicans	7	93	24
Independents	52	43	41
Gender
Men	51	45	50
Women	63	35	50
Race/ethnicity
White	58	39	85
Non-white	–	–	15
Age
18–29 years old	–	–	17
30–44 years old	62	34	24
45–64 years old	52	48	35
65 and older	54	44	24
Sexual orientation
LGBT	–	–	8
Not LGBT	55	42	92
Education
High school or less	38	62	24
Some college education	57	37	34
Associate degree	57	41	12
Bachelor's degree	67	30	17
Postgraduate degree	78	18	13
Region
Multnomah County	–	–	20
Portland suburbs	63	35	26
Willamette/Northwest	51	45	29
East/South	39	57	25
Area type
Urban	75	23	32
Suburban	52	44	50
Rural	37	58	18
Family's financial situation today
Better than four years ago	27	71	41
Worse than four years ago	84	9	17
About the same	73	24	42

See also

• United States presidential elections in Oregon
• Presidency of Joe Biden
• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
4. "Someone else" with 3%
5. "Someone else" with 6%

References

1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?" . The Independent . Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . September 19, 2019. Retrieved December 24, 2020.
3. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . Retrieved January 3, 2019.
4. "Oregon secretary of state certifies election results". kgw.com. Retrieved December 5, 2020.
5. Warner, Gary (November 20, 2020). "Deschutes joins Oregon's blue hue in presidential voting, and other voting stats". The Bulletin . Retrieved August 3, 2021.
6. Warner, Gary A. (January 5, 2022). "A turbulent first week of 2022 election year". Oregon Capital Insider. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
7. "Oregon Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 17, 2020.
8. "Biden, Trump win presidential primaries in Oregon". KPTV. Associated Press. May 19, 2020.
9. "Oregon Secretary of State". results.oregonvotes.gov. Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved May 20, 2020.
10. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved May 20, 2020.
11. "May 19, 2020, Primary Election Abstract of Votes" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
12. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved May 20, 2020.
13. "RESULTS AND DATA | 2020 OREGON PRIMARY | Independent Party". Pers. Retrieved July 10, 2020.
14. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
15. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
16. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
17. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
18. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
19. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine , Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
20. David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
21. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
22. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
23. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
24. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
25. Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
26. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
27. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
28. "November 2020 General Election Results" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved December 6, 2020.
29. "Oregon 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
30. "Oregon Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved December 28, 2020.

External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Oregon", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Oregon: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org , Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Oregon". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Oregon at Ballotpedia