2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming

Last updated

2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming
Flag of Wyoming.svg
  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  
Turnout62.6% Increase2.svg 4.79 pp [1]
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote30
Popular vote193,55973,491
Percentage69.94%26.55%

Wyoming Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
WY President 2020.svg

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. [2] Wyoming voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump and running mate Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Wyoming has three electoral votes in the Electoral College. [3] Trump, the Republican nominee and incumbent president of the United States, won the state's three electoral votes.

Contents

Trump routed Biden in Wyoming, with his 69.94% vote share there making it his strongest win in the election. He won the sparsely populated state by a margin of 43.39%, down from his 46.29% four years earlier. Prior to the election, all news organizations declared Wyoming a safe red state, therefore justifying its status as one of the safest red states in the country, not being won by a Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide victory. Trump's 69.94% of the vote is the third-highest ever by a presidential candidate in Wyoming, only surpassed by Ronald Reagan's 70.51% during his 1984 landslide and by Trump's 71.60% in 2024.

Despite his loss, Biden scored a landslide win in Teton County, garnering a larger vote share in it than any nominee since 1984. He also narrowly flipped the bellwether of Albany County, anchored by the college town of Laramie, which had supported Obama in 2008 before returning to the Republican Party in 2012 and 2016, albeit by a narrow margin. [4] Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Wyoming came from whites, who comprised 89% of the electorate, and from voters prioritizing energy policy, with 62% believing the government should focus on expanding production of fossil fuels such as oil, gas, or coal. [5]

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

The Democratic caucuses were originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 22, due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic, the Wyoming Democratic Party canceled in-person voting in favor of mail-in voting. The deadline was also extended to April 17. [6]

2020 Wyoming Democratic presidential caucuses [7]
CandidateVotes %Delegates [8]
Joe Biden 10,91272.2%12
Bernie Sanders (suspended)4,20627.8%2
Total15,118100%14

Republican caucuses

The Republican state party convention was held in May to officially select the final delegates to the national convention. Trump won all 29 delegates from Wyoming: 12 at the county conventions and 17 at the state convention. [9]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [10] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
Inside Elections [11] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
Politico [13] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
RCP [14] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
Niskanen [15] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
CNN [16] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
The Economist [17] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
CBS News [18] Likely RNovember 3, 2020
270towin [19] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
ABC News [20] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
NPR [21] Likely RNovember 3, 2020
NBC News [22] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538 [23] Safe RNovember 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight [24] November 3, 202030.8%62.3%6.9%

Polls

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios [25] Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020367 (LV)± 7%66% [c] 33%
University of Wyoming [26] Oct 8–28, 2020614 (LV)± 4%59%31%5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [25] Oct 1–28, 2020739 (LV)68%31%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [25] Sep 1–30, 2020236 (LV)65%34%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [25] Aug 1–31, 2020211 (LV)74%25%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [25] Jul 1–31, 2020246 (LV)70%28%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [25] Jun 8–30, 202098 (LV)78%22%0%

Electoral slates

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state: [27]

Donald Trump and
Mike Pence
Republican Party
Joe Biden and
Kamala Harris
Democratic Party
Jo Jorgensen and
Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party
Don Blankenship and
William Mohr
Constitution Party
Brock Pierce and
Karla Ballard
Independent
Marti Halverson
Doug Chamberlain
Karl Allred
Kelly Tamblyn
Andrea Clifford
Milward Simpson
Shawn Johnson
Jared Baldes
Richard Brubaker
Cindy Haggett
Michael O'Brien
Nanette Hinck
Luke Onderko
Joann Dawn Grisham
Elizabeth Batton

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming [28]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Donald Trump (incumbent)
Mike Pence (incumbent)
193,559 69.94% +2.54%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
73,49126.55%+4.92%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
5,7682.08%−3.05%
Independent Brock Pierce
Karla Ballard
2,2080.80%N/A
Write-in 1,7390.63%−2.04%
Total votes276,765 100.00%
Republican win

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %
Albany 8,57946.08%9,09248.84%9465.09%-513-2.76%18,617
Big Horn 4,80683.55%78813.70%1582.75%4,01869.85%5,752
Campbell 16,97586.76%1,9359.89%6563.35%15,04076.87%19,566
Carbon 5,01475.24%1,42721.41%2233.35%3,58753.83%6,664
Converse 5,91784.89%86112.35%1922.76%5,05672.54%6,970
Crook 3,65188.64%3789.18%902.18%3,27379.46%4,119
Fremont 12,00766.30%5,51930.47%5853.23%6,48835.83%18,111
Goshen 4,87878.16%1,20319.28%1602.57%3,67558.88%6,241
Hot Springs 1,99977.57%48218.70%963.73%1,51758.87%2,577
Johnson 3,88178.98%89718.25%1362.77%2,98460.73%4,914
Laramie 27,89162.00%15,21733.83%1,8744.16%12,67428.17%44,982
Lincoln 8,64382.57%1,50914.42%3163.03%7,13468.15%10,468
Natrona 25,27171.79%8,53024.23%1,4013.98%16,74147.56%35,202
Niobrara 1,11885.47%15511.85%352.68%96373.62%1,308
Park 12,81376.65%3,41020.40%4942.96%9,40356.25%16,717
Platte 3,89879.18%89018.08%1352.75%3,00861.10%4,923
Sheridan 11,84372.09%4,04324.61%5423.29%7,80047.48%16,428
Sublette 3,95779.62%88217.75%1312.63%3,07561.87%4,970
Sweetwater 12,22973.66%3,82323.03%5513.32%8,40650.63%16,603
Teton 4,34129.58%9,84867.10%4883.33%-5,507-37.52%14,677
Uinta 7,49679.73%1,59116.92%3153.35%5,90562.81%9,402
Washakie 3,24580.88%65116.23%1162.89%2,59464.65%4,012
Weston 3,10787.72%36010.16%752.11%2,74777.56%3,542
Total193,55969.94%73,49126.55%9,7153.51%120,06843.39%276,765
Wyoming County Swing 2020.svg
Wyoming County Trend 2020.svg
Wyoming County Flips 2020.svg
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is called the at-large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictTrumpBidenRepresentative
At-large 69.94%26.55% Liz Cheney

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

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