2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming

←  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  →
Turnout	62.6% 4.79 pp [1]
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida Delaware Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris Electoral vote 3 0 Popular vote 193,559 73,491 Percentage 69.94% 26.55%
County results Precinct results Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Biden   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Tie/No Data
President before election Donald Trump Republican Elected President Joe Biden Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. ^[2] Wyoming voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump and running mate Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Wyoming has three electoral votes in the Electoral College. ^[3] Trump, the Republican nominee and incumbent president of the United States, won the state's three electoral votes.

Trump routed Biden in Wyoming, with his 69.94% vote share there making it his strongest win in the election. He won the sparsely populated state by a margin of 43.39%, down from his 46.29% four years earlier. Prior to the election, all news organizations declared Wyoming a safe red state, therefore justifying its status as one of the safest red states in the country, not being won by a Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide victory. Trump's 69.94% of the vote is the second-highest ever by a presidential candidate in Wyoming, only surpassed by Ronald Reagan during his 1984 landslide.

Despite his loss, Biden scored a landslide win in Teton County, garnering a larger vote share in it than any nominee since 1984. He also narrowly flipped the bellwether of Albany County, anchored by the college town of Laramie, which had supported Obama in 2008 before returning to the Republican Party in 2012 and 2016, albeit by a narrow margin. ^[4] Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Wyoming came from whites, who comprised 89% of the electorate, and from voters prioritizing energy policy, with 62% believing the government should focus on expanding production of fossil fuels such as oil, gas, or coal. ^[5]

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

Further information: 2020 Wyoming Democratic presidential caucuses

The Democratic caucuses were originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 22, due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic, the Wyoming Democratic Party canceled in-person voting in favor of mail-in voting. The deadline was also extended to April 17. ^[6]

2020 Wyoming Democratic presidential caucuses ^[7]

Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates [8]
Joe Biden	10,912	72.2%	12
Bernie Sanders (suspended)	4,206	27.8%	2
Total	15,118	100%	14

Republican caucuses

The Republican state party convention was held in May to officially select the final delegates to the national convention. Trump won all 29 delegates from Wyoming: 12 at the county conventions and 17 at the state convention. ^[9]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [10]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
Inside Elections [11]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
Politico [13]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
RCP [14]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
Niskanen [15]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
CNN [16]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
The Economist [17]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
CBS News [18]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
270towin [19]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
ABC News [20]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
NPR [21]	Likely R	November 3, 2020
NBC News [22]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
538 [23]	Safe R	November 3, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates updated	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1]	Margin
FiveThirtyEight	November 3, 2020	30.8%	62.3%	6.9%	Trump +31.5

Polls

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 2]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	367 (LV)	± 7%	66% [lower-alpha 3]	33%	–	–	–
University of Wyoming	Oct 8–28, 2020	614 (LV)	± 4%	59%	31%	5%	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	739 (LV)	–	68%	31%	–	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	236 (LV)	–	65%	34%	–	–	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	211 (LV)	–	74%	25%	–	–	1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	246 (LV)	–	70%	28%	–	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	98 (LV)	–	78%	22%	–	–	0%

Electoral slates

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state: ^[24]

Donald Trump and Mike Pence Republican Party	Joe Biden and Kamala Harris Democratic Party	Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen Libertarian Party	Don Blankenship and William Mohr Constitution Party	Brock Pierce and Karla Ballard Independent
Marti Halverson Doug Chamberlain Karl Allred	Kelly Tamblyn Andrea Clifford Milward Simpson	Shawn Johnson Jared Baldes Richard Brubaker	Cindy Haggett Michael O'Brien Nanette Hinck	Luke Onderko Joann Dawn Grisham Elizabeth Batton

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Wyoming ^[25]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump (incumbent) Mike Pence (incumbent)	193,559	69.94%	+2.54%
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	73,491	26.55%	+4.92%
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	5,768	2.08%	−3.05%
	Independent	Brock Pierce Karla Ballard	2,208	0.80%	N/A
	Write-in		1,739	0.63%	−2.04%
Total votes			276,765	100.00%
	Republican win

By county

County	Donald Trump Republican		Joe Biden Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Albany	8,579	46.08%	9,092	48.84%	946	5.09%	-513	-2.76%	18,617
Big Horn	4,806	83.55%	788	13.70%	158	2.75%	4,018	69.85%	5,752
Campbell	16,975	86.76%	1,935	9.89%	656	3.35%	15,040	76.87%	19,566
Carbon	5,014	75.24%	1,427	21.41%	223	3.35%	3,587	53.83%	6,664
Converse	5,917	84.89%	861	12.35%	192	2.76%	5,056	72.54%	6,970
Crook	3,651	88.64%	378	9.18%	90	2.18%	3,273	79.46%	4,119
Fremont	12,007	66.30%	5,519	30.47%	585	3.23%	6,488	35.83%	18,111
Goshen	4,878	78.16%	1,203	19.28%	160	2.57%	3,675	58.88%	6,241
Hot Springs	1,999	77.57%	482	18.70%	96	3.73%	1,517	58.87%	2,577
Johnson	3,881	78.98%	897	18.25%	136	2.77%	2,984	60.73%	4,914
Laramie	27,891	62.00%	15,217	33.83%	1,874	4.16%	12,674	28.17%	44,982
Lincoln	8,643	82.57%	1,509	14.42%	316	3.03%	7,134	68.15%	10,468
Natrona	25,271	71.79%	8,530	24.23%	1,401	3.98%	16,741	47.56%	35,202
Niobrara	1,118	85.47%	155	11.85%	35	2.68%	963	73.62%	1,308
Park	12,813	76.65%	3,410	20.40%	494	2.96%	9,403	56.25%	16,717
Platte	3,898	79.18%	890	18.08%	135	2.75%	3,008	61.10%	4,923
Sheridan	11,843	72.09%	4,043	24.61%	542	3.29%	7,800	47.48%	16,428
Sublette	3,957	79.62%	882	17.75%	131	2.63%	3,075	61.87%	4,970
Sweetwater	12,229	73.66%	3,823	23.03%	551	3.32%	8,406	50.63%	16,603
Teton	4,341	29.58%	9,848	67.10%	488	3.33%	-5,507	-37.52%	14,677
Uinta	7,496	79.73%	1,591	16.92%	315	3.35%	5,905	62.81%	9,402
Washakie	3,245	80.88%	651	16.23%	116	2.89%	2,594	64.65%	4,012
Weston	3,107	87.72%	360	10.16%	75	2.11%	2,747	77.56%	3,542
Total	193,559	69.94%	73,491	26.55%	9,715	3.51%	120,068	43.39%	276,765

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%

Trend relative to the state by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold   Gain from Republican

  Republican   Hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Albany (largest municipality: Laramie)

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District	Trump	Biden	Representative
At-large	69.94%	26.55%	Liz Cheney

See also

• United States presidential elections in Wyoming
• Presidency of Joe Biden
• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size

References

1. "Wyoming Voter Registration and Voter Turnout Statistics" (PDF). sos.wyo.gov/. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
2. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?" . The Independent . Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
3. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . Retrieved January 3, 2019.
4. "County winners, 1836-2016". Google Docs. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
5. "Wyoming Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 17, 2020.
6. "Wyoming Democratic Caucus moves to only mail-in voting". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. March 22, 2020.
7. "2020 Caucus Results". www.wyodems.org. Wyoming Democratic Party. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved April 19, 2020.
8. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved April 19, 2020.
9. "Wyoming Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 21, 2020.
10. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
11. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
12. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
13. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
14. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
15. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine , Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
16. David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
17. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
18. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
19. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
20. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
21. Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
22. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
23. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
24. "2020 Presidential Electors Information" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved December 6, 2020.
25. "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). sos.wyo.gov/. Retrieved November 11, 2020.

External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Wyoming", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Wyoming: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org , Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Wyoming". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Wyoming at Ballotpedia