2020 United States Senate election in Nebraska

Last updated

2020 United States Senate election in Nebraska
Flag of Nebraska.svg
  2014 November 3, 2020 2024 (special)  
  Ben Sasse official portrait (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Ben Sasse Chris Janicek
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote583,507227,191
Percentage62.74%24.43%

 
Nominee Preston Love Jr.
(write-in)
Gene Siadek
Party Democratic Libertarian
Popular vote58,41155,115
Percentage6.28%5.93%

2020 United States Senate election in Nebraska results map by county.svg
2020 United States Senate election in Nebraska results by congressional district.svg
NE Senate 2020.svg
Sasse:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Janicek:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Ben Sasse
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Ben Sasse
Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Nebraska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nebraska, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Republican Senator Ben Sasse was challenged by Democratic nominee Chris Janicek, who was disavowed by his party after numerous scandals; by write-in candidate Preston Love Jr., who received the support of the state Democratic Party; and by Libertarian nominee Gene Siadek.

Sasse was reelected to a second term in office with 62.7% of the vote and a 38.3% margin. He outperformed President Donald Trump by almost 27,000 votes, or 8.9%, compared to the concurrent presidential election, the largest overperformance by any Republican Senate candidate in the country that year. In contrast, Janicek was the worst performing Democratic Senate candidate in the country compared to Joe Biden, underperforming him by 13.1%. This was attributed to a sexual misconduct scandal affecting Janicek and split-ticket voting in Omaha suburbs. [1] [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Ben Sasse
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Matt
Innis
Ben
Sasse
Undecided
We Ask America February 19–20, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%17%65%18%

Results

Republican primary results by county
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Sasse
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
Innis
50-60%
60-70% Results of the 2020 United States Senate election Republican primary in Nebraska by county.svg
Republican primary results by county
  Sasse
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Innis
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Republican primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ben Sasse (incumbent) 215,207 75.21%
Republican Matt Innis70,92124.79%
Total votes284,212 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Chris Janicek, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 [10]

On June 16, 2020, Janicek lost the support of the Nebraska Democratic Party after allegations surfaced of sending sexually explicit text messages about a female campaign staff member and allegedly using racist slurs to insult a guest at a party 20 years prior. [11] [12] [13] Nonetheless, Janicek refused to drop out of the race and his name remained on the ballot in the general election. In September the state Democratic party supported Preston Love Jr. via a write-in candidacy. [14] [15]

Eliminated in primary

  • Dennis Frank Maček [16]
  • Larry Marvin, perennial candidate [17]
  • Angie Philips, mental health advocate [18]
  • Alisha Shelton, behavioral health clinical supervisor [19]
  • Andy Stock, former candidate for Lancaster County Treasurer [16] [20]
  • Dan Wik, physician [21]

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results by county
Janicek
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Philips
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
Shelton
20-30%
30-40%
Tie
20-30% 2020 United States Senate Democratic primary election in Nebraska results map by county.svg
Democratic primary results by county
  Janicek
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Philips
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Shelton
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
Tie
  •   20–30%
Democratic primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chris Janicek 46,247 30.69%
Democratic Angie Philips35,92923.84%
Democratic Alisha Shelton34,28422.75%
Democratic Andy Stock17,15611.38%
Democratic Larry Marvin6,8684.56%
Democratic Daniel Wik5,7653.83%
Democratic Dennis Macek4,4532.95%
Total votes150,702 100.00%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Withdrawn

Results

Libertarian primary results [9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Gene Siadek 2,517 100.00%
Total votes2,517 100.00%

Democratic write-in

Declared

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [28] Safe ROctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections [29] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [30] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [31] Safe ROctober 30, 2020
Politico [32] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP [33] Safe ROctober 23, 2020
DDHQ [34] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538 [35] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Economist [36] Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Ben
Sasse (R)
Chris
Janicek (D)
Gene
Siadek (L)
Undecided
Cygnal October 19–21, 2020625 (LV)± 3.9%47%18%6%29%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Cygnal October 19–21, 2020625 (LV)± 3.9%53%38%9%

Results

United States Senate election in Nebraska, 2020 [37]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Ben Sasse (incumbent) 583,507 62.74% -1.60%
Democratic Chris Janicek227,19124.43%-7.05%
Democratic Preston Love Jr. (write-in)58,4116.28%N/A
Libertarian Gene Siadek55,1155.93%N/A
Write-in 5,7880.62%+0.54%
Total votes930,012 100.0%
Republican hold
By county
County [37] Ben Sasse

Republican

Chris Janicek

Democratic

Preston Love Jr. (write-in)

Democratic

Gene Siadek
Libertarian
Write-inTotal
votes
 %# %# %# %# %#
Adams 70.88%9,99518.32%2,5833.89%5486.36%8970.56%7914,102
Antelope 82.14%2,82810.28%3540.84%295.34%1841.39%483,443
Arthur 84.44%2287.78%210.00%07.78%210.00%0270
Banner 84.17%3359.80%390.50%25.28%210.25%1398
Blaine 75.00%22211.82%350.68%211.49%341.01%3296
Boone 79.51%2,40211.62%3511.79%545.89%1781.19%363,021
Box Butte 75.59%3,84016.18%8221.34%686.42%3260.47%245,080
Boyd 83.62%8838.43%890.00%07.10%750.85%91,056
Brown 85.20%1,3877.68%1250.86%145.71%930.55%91,628
Buffalo 72.45%16,72916.68%3,8513.38%7806.95%1,6050.55%12623,091
Burt 73.57%2,63918.90%6781.95%705.21%1870.36%133,587
Butler 80.16%3,51213.99%6131.05%464.52%1980.27%124,381
Cass 70.77%10,49319.38%2,8743.55%5275.98%8860.31%4614,826
Cedar 81.34%3,90211.36%5450.96%465.67%2720.67%324,797
Chase 85.70%1,6668.90%1730.62%124.06%790.72%141,944
Cherry 78.49%2,3659.39%2831.16%359.09%2741.86%563,013
Cheyenne 75.54%3,50515.47%7180.45%216.96%3231.57%734,640
Clay 77.73%2,66012.62%4321.55%537.10%2430.99%343,422
Colfax 73.24%2,65220.63%7471.66%604.31%1560.17%63,621
Cuming 82.07%3,56611.71%5091.57%684.56%1980.09%44,345
Custer 82.56%4,8249.09%5310.74%436.18%3611.44%845,843
Dakota 60.53%3,95134.24%2,2351.33%873.68%2400.21%146,527
Dawes 71.75%2,88319.54%7852.17%876.22%2500.32%134,018
Dawson 72.31%6,46020.48%1,8301.42%1275.36%4790.43%388,934
Deuel 82.71%83710.28%1040.49%56.13%620.40%41,012
Dixon 74.05%2,20616.82%5011.58%476.92%2060.64%192,979
Dodge 69.07%11,39720.65%3,4083.47%5726.51%1,0740.30%5016,501
Douglas 50.71%136,74532.49%87,60810.10%27,2295.94%16,0190.76%2,046269,647
Dundy 85.82%8357.91%770.82%84.93%480.51%5973
Fillmore 78.46%2,41814.11%4352.21%685.06%1560.16%53,082
Franklin 82.67%1,39811.24%1901.24%214.20%710.65%111,691
Frontier 84.14%1,1839.17%1290.92%135.19%730.57%81,406
Furnas 81.43%2,07910.85%2770.71%186.31%1610.71%182,553
Gage 70.44%7,65620.61%2,2402.83%3085.70%6200.41%4510,869
Garden 82.06%93811.11%1270.09%16.47%740.26%31,143
Garfield 84.52%8688.86%910.78%84.87%500.97%101,027
Gosper 82.42%90010.16%1111.56%175.40%590.46%51,092
Grant 86.29%3213.76%141.08%46.72%252.15%8372
Greeley 79.97%93814.15%1660.85%104.77%560.26%31,173
Hall 68.54%16,23121.87%5,1802.76%6536.29%1,4890.54%12923,682
Hamilton 77.24%4,11412.73%6782.23%1197.02%3740.77%415,326
Harlan 81.37%1,52911.07%2081.22%235.59%1050.75%141,879
Hayes 88.91%4575.84%300.39%24.47%230.39%2514
Hitchcock 81.65%1,1799.97%1440.69%107.55%1090.14%21,444
Holt 77.98%4,16511.29%6031.14%616.98%3732.60%1395,341
Hooker 81.73%34911.24%480.94%43.98%172.11%9427
Howard 78.86%2,66013.22%4461.54%526.14%2070.24%83,373
Jefferson 75.17%2,76418.06%6641.25%465.19%1910.33%123,677
Johnson 72.93%1,57619.30%4171.90%415.78%1250.09%22,161
Kearney 79.56%2,79011.75%4122.02%716.27%2200.40%143,507
Keith 78.92%3,35513.01%5531.62%695.98%2540.47%204,251
Keya Paha 84.39%4278.10%410.20%16.72%340.59%3506
Kimball 79.85%1,45813.36%2440.49%96.13%1120.16%31,826
Knox 75.78%3,37615.89%7080.65%296.46%2881.21%544,455
Lancaster 51.74%79,43631.75%48,75610.41%15,9905.47%8,4050.62%954153,541
Lincoln 75.39%12,67915.61%2,6261.81%3046.62%1,1130.57%9616,818
Logan 85.22%3698.31%360.23%15.08%221.15%5433
Loup 84.28%3706.38%284.10%184.78%210.46%2439
Madison 75.31%11,55215.64%2,3992.20%3376.15%9430.71%10915,340
McPherson 88.14%2604.07%120.68%26.44%190.68%2295
Merrick 79.81%3,24212.58%5111.03%426.57%2670.00%04,062
Morrill 76.14%1,87013.23%3250.53%139.00%2211.10%272,456
Nance 78.57%1,35314.05%2421.63%285.23%900.52%91,722
Nemaha 75.11%2,51115.67%5242.54%856.16%2060.51%173,343
Nuckolls 82.27%1,85611.30%2551.20%274.74%1070.49%112,256
Otoe 73.18%5,96118.43%1,5012.49%2035.59%4550.32%268,146
Pawnee 77.46%1,07215.68%2172.02%284.70%650.14%21,384
Perkins 85.18%1,2709.26%1380.74%114.63%690.20%31,491
Phelps 80.46%3,89610.08%4881.18%576.69%3241.59%774,842
Pierce 83.85%3,2619.08%3531.05%415.25%2040.77%303,889
Platte 79.26%12,05514.35%2,1831.40%2134.77%7250.22%3415,210
Polk 80.97%2,27612.63%3551.39%394.66%1310.36%102,811
Red Willow 80.65%4,29010.79%5741.69%906.39%3400.47%255,319
Richardson 76.05%3,02317.11%6801.06%424.93%1960.86%343,975
Rock 86.94%6995.35%430.00%05.97%481.74%14804
Saline 65.91%3,67525.29%1,4101.99%1116.81%3800.00%05,576
Sarpy 61.46%57,76325.00%23,5006.88%6,4716.20%5,8260.46%43293,992
Saunders 74.06%9,21016.06%1,9973.22%4006.18%7680.49%6112,436
Scotts Bluff 71.36%10,82020.06%3,0421.82%2766.29%9530.47%7115,162
Seward 75.04%6,71816.35%1,4643.21%2875.08%4550.32%298,953
Sheridan 78.87%2,04211.20%2900.50%138.07%2091.35%352,589
Sherman 75.60%1,23315.14%2470.98%167.85%1280.43%71,631
Sioux 84.92%5977.40%520.71%56.69%470.28%2703
Stanton 76.80%2,30412.47%3741.63%498.07%2421.03%313,000
Thayer 81.38%2,35612.85%3721.38%404.25%1230.14%42,895
Thomas 82.25%32910.00%400.00%05.25%212.50%10400
Thurston 53.30%1,21838.73%8852.36%543.24%742.36%542,285
Valley 80.47%1,82112.37%2801.33%305.39%1220.44%102,263
Washington 72.88%8,80816.39%1,9814.10%4956.30%7610.34%4112,086
Wayne 73.62%3,00015.66%6383.26%1336.77%2760.69%284,075
Webster 80.43%1,44312.82%2301.78%324.96%890.00%01,794
Wheeler 80.79%38710.23%490.63%37.52%360.84%4479
York 77.84%5,40614.64%1,0171.83%1275.46%3790.23%166,945

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

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