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Turnout | 44.40% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Alaska |
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The 2022 Alaska gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Alaska. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy won re-election to a second term, becoming the first Republican governor to be re-elected to a second term since Jay Hammond in 1978 and the first governor, regardless of political affiliation, to be re-elected to a second term since Tony Knowles in 1998. [1]
Following voter approval of Ballot Measure 2 during the 2020 Alaska elections, this was the first gubernatorial election in Alaska held under the new election process. All candidates ran in a nonpartisan blanket top-four primary on August 16, 2022, [2] and the top four candidates advanced to the general election. [3]
In addition to Dunleavy, Democratic former state representative Les Gara, Independent former governor Bill Walker, and Republican Kenai Peninsula Borough mayor Charlie Pierce advanced to the general election. [4] In the general election, Dunleavy received the majority of votes in the first round, preventing an instant runoff.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Les Gara (D) | Charlie Pierce (R) | Bill Walker (I) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research | July 20–25, 2022 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 22% | 5% | 23% | 9% [lower-alpha 3] | – |
Lake Research Partners (D) [upper-alpha 1] | May 5–11, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 24% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 10% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
| 76,534 | 40.43 | |
Democratic |
| 43,660 | 23.06 | |
Independent |
| 43,111 | 22.77 | |
Republican |
| 12,458 | 6.58 | |
Republican |
| 7,307 | 3.86 | |
Independence |
| 1,702 | 0.90 | |
Republican |
| 1,661 | 0.88 | |
Libertarian |
| 1,381 | 0.73 | |
Republican |
| 1,139 | 0.60 | |
Independent |
| 347 | 0.18 | |
Total votes | 188,626 | 100.00 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [23] | Likely R | July 26, 2022 |
Inside Elections [24] | Likely R | July 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [25] | Likely R | June 29, 2022 |
Politico [26] | Likely R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP [27] | Likely R | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News [28] | Likely R | May 12, 2022 |
538 [29] | Likely R | August 25, 2022 |
Elections Daily [30] | Likely R | November 7, 2022 |
No. | Date | Host | Link | Participants | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||
Mike Dunleavy | Bill Walker | Les Gara | Charlie Pierce | ||||
1 | October 11, 2022 | Civic and Convention Center | Youtube | P | P | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | RCV count | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Les Gara (D) | Charlie Pierce (R) | Bill Walker (I) | Undecided / Not Ranked |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dittman Research | October 21–25, 2022 | 403 (LV) | – | 1 | 47% | 25% | 4% | 23% | — |
2 | 51% | 25% | Elim | 24% | — | ||||
Alaska Survey Research | September 25–27, 2022 | 1,282 (LV) | ± 3.0% | ||||||
1 | 43% | 28% | 7% | 21% | — | ||||
2 | 48% | 28% | Elim | 23% | — | ||||
3 | 53% | 47% | Elim | Elim | — | ||||
3* [lower-alpha 4] | 52% | Elim | Elim | 48% | — | ||||
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [upper-alpha 2] | September 6–11, 2022 | 1,050 (LV) | [lower-alpha 5] | N/A [lower-alpha 6] | 45% | 24% | 6% | 17% | 8% U |
1 | 49% | 26% | 7% | 19% | 8% NR | ||||
2 | 54% | 26% | Elim [lower-alpha 7] | 20% | 10% NR | ||||
3 | 59% | 41% | Elim | Elim [lower-alpha 8] | 13% NR | ||||
Alaska Survey Research | July 2–5, 2022 | 1,201 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 1 | 44% | 26% | 11% | 20% | — |
2 | 51% | 26% | Elim | 23% | — |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | RCV count | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Les Gara (D) | Natasha von Imhof (R) | Bill Walker (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research | October 22–27, 2021 | 969 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 1 | 43% | 22% | 8% | 28% | — |
2 | 46% | 24% | Elim | 30% | — | ||||
3 | 49% | Elim | Elim | 51% | — |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Les Gara (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hays Research Group (I) Archived August 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 3] | July 22–24, 2022 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 45% | — |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Bill Walker (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hays Research Group (I) Archived August 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 3] | July 22–24, 2022 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 50% | — |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
| 132,632 | 50.29% | −1.15% | |
Democratic |
| 63,851 | 24.21% | −20.20% | |
Independent |
| 54,668 | 20.73% | +18.70% | |
Republican |
| 11,817 | 4.48% | N/A | |
Write-in | 784 | 0.30% | +0.09% | ||
Total votes | 263,752 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 266,943 | 44.40% | −5.43% | ||
Registered electors | 601,161 | ||||
Republican hold | |||||
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