2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota

Last updated

2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota
Flag of South Dakota.svg
  2016 November 8, 2022 2028  
  John Thune 117th Congress portrait cropped.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee John Thune Brian Bengs
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote242,31691,007
Percentage69.63%26.15%

2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota results map by county.svg
County results

Thune:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

Contents

Bengs:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. senator before election

John Thune
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Thune
Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Dakota. Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. Senator John Thune, who is the Senate Minority Whip, was first elected in 2004, defeating Democratic incumbent Tom Daschle, the then-Senate Minority Leader. He ran for reelection to a fourth term. [1] The Democratic nominee was 26-year Navy, Air Force JAG Corps veteran, and former college professor Brian Bengs. Thune was ultimately reelected, becoming the first Senator from South Dakota to be elected to a fourth term since Karl Mundt in 1966, and only the second to do so after Mundt. [2]

Republican primary

On December 23, 2020, then-President Donald Trump said Thune would face a primary challenger after Thune refused to support a challenge of the 2020 Electoral College results, tweeting: [3] "Republicans in the Senate so quickly forget. Right now they would be down 8 seats without my backing them in the last Election. RINO John Thune, 'Mitch's boy', should just let it play out. South Dakota doesn't like weakness. He will be primaried in 2022, political career over!!!" South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem stated she would not challenge Thune for the seat. [4] On January 1, 2021, Trump tweeted that Noem should challenge Thune in a primary, despite Noem previously saying she would not do so, instead running for re-election as Governor in 2022. [5]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Patrick Schubert, software executive [8]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Mark
Mowry
John
Thune
Bruce
Whalen
Undecided
South Dakota State University May 2–15, 2022– (LV)± 3.0%4%46%10%41%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Dusty
Johnson
Kristi
Noem
John
Thune
Undecided
Fabrizio Lee (R) [A] January 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%30%47%23%
49%40%10%

Results

Results by county
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Thune
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90% 2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in South Dakota results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Thune
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Thune (incumbent) 85,613 72.24%
Republican Bruce Whalen24,07120.31%
Republican Mark Mowry8,8277.45%
Total votes118,511 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Tamara Lesnar, small business owner [19]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [20] Solid RNovember 19, 2021
Inside Elections [21] Solid RJanuary 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [22] Safe RNovember 3, 2021
Politico [23] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [24] Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [25] Solid RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ [26] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [27] Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist [28] Safe RSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Brian Bengs (D)
Organizations
U.S. Senators

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
John
Thune (R)
Brian
Bengs (D)
Tamara
Lesnar (L)
Undecided
South Dakota State University September 28 – October 10, 2022565 (RV)± 4.0%53%28%20%
Lake Research Partners (D) September 6–11, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%46%33%8%11%
Moore Information Group (R) March 14–19, 2022400 (LV)± 5.0%59%24%6%11%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota [42]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican John Thune (incumbent) 242,316 69.63% −2.20%
Democratic Brian Bengs91,00726.15%−2.02%
Libertarian Tamara Lesnar14,6974.22%N/A
Total votes348,020 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by the American Potential Fund

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References

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Official campaign websites