2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota

Last updated

2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota
Flag of South Dakota.svg
  2016
November 8, 2022
2028  
  John Thune 117th Congress portrait cropped.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee John Thune Brian Bengs
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote242,31691,007
Percentage69.63%26.15%

2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota results map by county.svg
County results
Thune:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Bengs:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. senator before election

John Thune
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Thune
Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Dakota. Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. Senator John Thune, who was the Senate Minority Whip, was first elected in 2004, defeating Democratic incumbent Tom Daschle, the then-Senate Minority Leader. He ran for reelection to a fourth term. [1] The Democratic nominee was 26-year Navy, Air Force JAG Corps veteran, and former college professor Brian Bengs. Thune was ultimately reelected, becoming the first Senator from South Dakota to be elected to a fourth term since Karl Mundt in 1966, and only the second to do so after Mundt. [2]

Contents

Republican primary

On December 23, 2020, then-President Donald Trump said Thune would face a primary challenger after Thune refused to support a challenge of the 2020 Electoral College results, tweeting: [3] "Republicans in the Senate so quickly forget. Right now they would be down 8 seats without my backing them in the last Election. RINO John Thune, 'Mitch's boy', should just let it play out. South Dakota doesn't like weakness. He will be primaried in 2022, political career over!!!" South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem stated she would not challenge Thune for the seat. [4] On January 1, 2021, Trump tweeted that Noem should challenge Thune in a primary, despite Noem previously saying she would not do so, instead running for re-election as Governor in 2022. [5]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

  • Patrick Schubert, software executive [8]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Mark
Mowry
John
Thune
Bruce
Whalen
Undecided
South Dakota State University [14] May 2–15, 2022– (LV)± 3.0%4%46%10%41%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Dusty
Johnson
Kristi
Noem
John
Thune
Undecided
Fabrizio Lee (R) [15] [A] January 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%30%47%23%
49%40%10%

Results

Results by county
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Thune
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90% 2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in South Dakota results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Thune
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Thune (incumbent) 85,613 72.24%
Republican Bruce Whalen24,07120.31%
Republican Mark Mowry8,8277.45%
Total votes118,511 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Tamara Lesnar, small business owner [21]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [22] Solid RNovember 19, 2021
Inside Elections [23] Solid RJanuary 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [24] Safe RNovember 3, 2021
Politico [25] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [26] Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [27] Solid RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ [28] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [29] Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist [30] Safe RSeptember 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Brian Bengs (D)

Organizations

U.S. Senators

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
John
Thune (R)
Brian
Bengs (D)
Tamara
Lesnar (L)
Undecided
South Dakota State University [42] September 28 – October 10, 2022565 (RV)± 4.0%53%28%20%
Lake Research Partners (D) [43] September 6–11, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%46%33%8%11%
Moore Information Group (R) [44] March 14–19, 2022400 (LV)± 5.0%59%24%6%11%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican John Thune (incumbent) 242,316 69.63% −2.20%
Democratic Brian Bengs91,00726.15%−2.02%
Libertarian Tamara Lesnar14,6974.22%N/A
Total votes348,020 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By county

County [45] John Thune
Republican
Brian Bengs
Democratic
Tamara Lesnar
Libertarian
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Aurora 97880.56%17014.00%665.44%80866.56%1,214
Beadle 4,44176.08%1,21420.80%1823.12%3,22755.29%5,837
Bennett 68467.06%29528.92%414.02%38938.14%1,020
Bon Homme 2,01078.70%45317.74%913.56%1,55760.96%2,554
Brookings 7,99064.69%3,81630.90%5454.41%4,17433.79%12,351
Brown 9,57768.80%3,89327.96%4513.24%5,68440.83%13,921
Brule 1,57374.98%42820.40%974.62%1,14554.58%2,098
Buffalo 17344.36%20251.79%153.85%-29-7.44%390
Butte 3,26978.62%59714.36%2927.02%2,67264.26%4,158
Campbell 57186.12%669.95%263.92%50576.17%663
Charles Mix 2,32375.20%66621.56%1003.24%1,65753.64%3,089
Clark 1,30782.05%23014.44%563.52%1,07767.61%1,593
Clay 2,52253.51%2,04243.33%1493.16%48010.18%4,713
Codington 8,27975.24%2,26520.58%4604.18%6,01454.65%11,004
Corson 53457.73%33436.11%576.16%20021.62%925
Custer 3,75674.52%1,01720.18%2675.30%2,73954.35%5,040
Davison 5,42075.17%1,52421.14%2663.69%3,89654.04%7,210
Day 1,79671.44%60223.95%1164.61%1,19447.49%2,514
Deuel 1,54877.95%34617.42%924.63%1,20260.52%1,986
Dewey 77049.36%72046.15%704.49%503.21%1,560
Douglas 1,30889.16%1177.98%422.86%1,19181.19%1,467
Edmunds 1,38582.10%25315.00%492.90%1,13267.10%1,687
Fall River 2,75475.64%66518.26%2226.10%2,08957.37%3,641
Faulk 78082.37%12012.67%474.96%66069.69%947
Grant 2,49277.92%60118.79%1053.28%1,89159.13%3,198
Gregory 1,66382.16%27913.78%824.05%1,38468.38%2,024
Haakon 86489.07%565.77%505.15%80883.30%970
Hamlin 2,21481.91%36613.54%1234.55%1,84868.37%2,703
Hand 1,24282.25%19813.11%704.64%1,04469.14%1,510
Hanson 1,32381.22%25415.59%523.19%1,06965.62%1,629
Harding 60590.57%223.29%416.14%56484.43%668
Hughes 5,46773.37%1,68322.59%3014.04%3,78450.79%7,451
Hutchinson 2,61983.35%41713.27%1063.37%2,20270.08%3,142
Hyde 48483.45%7813.45%183.10%40670.00%580
Jackson 61768.63%21523.92%677.45%40244.72%899
Jerauld 67678.24%15417.82%343.94%52260.42%864
Jones 38382.37%469.89%367.74%33772.47%465
Kingsbury 2,00079.05%44117.43%893.52%1,55961.62%2,530
Lake 3,61573.51%1,13923.16%1643.33%2,47650.35%4,918
Lawrence 8,43969.48%3,06125.20%6465.32%5,37844.28%12,146
Lincoln 19,70370.42%7,36526.32%9123.26%12,33844.10%27,980
Lyman 94472.67%29022.32%655.00%65450.35%1,299
Marshall 1,27267.70%54529.00%623.30%72738.69%1,879
McCook 2,03380.26%40816.11%923.63%1,62564.15%2,533
McPherson 95486.57%1089.80%403.63%84676.77%1,102
Meade 8,93475.90%2,13418.13%7025.96%6,80057.77%11,770
Mellette 41566.51%16526.44%447.05%25040.06%624
Miner 81380.98%16116.04%302.99%65264.94%1,004
Minnehaha 46,55162.78%24,77233.41%2,8213.80%21,77929.37%74,144
Moody 1,83969.61%69426.27%1094.13%1,14543.34%2,642
Oglala Lakota 42217.30%1,88977.42%1295.29%-1,467-60.12%2,440
Pennington 30,39867.32%12,44127.55%2,3145.12%17,95739.77%45,153
Perkins 1,14183.35%1339.72%956.94%1,00873.63%1,369
Potter 93785.73%12311.25%333.02%81474.47%1,093
Roberts 2,38467.52%1,00028.32%1474.16%1,38439.20%3,531
Sanborn 82181.94%15415.37%272.69%66766.57%1,002
Spink 2,02776.09%54620.50%913.42%1,48155.59%2,664
Stanley 1,13878.65%24516.93%644.42%89361.71%1,447
Sully 62279.44%11414.56%476.00%50864.88%783
Todd 50226.27%1,30868.45%1015.29%-806-42.18%1,911
Tripp 1,86183.19%26311.76%1135.05%1,59871.43%2,237
Turner 3,07879.99%60215.64%1684.37%2,47664.35%3,848
Union 4,99174.30%1,49722.29%2293.41%3,49452.02%6,717
Walworth 1,64580.72%30114.77%924.51%1,34465.95%2,038
Yankton 6,05168.35%2,46227.81%3403.84%3,58940.54%8,853
Ziebach 38957.37%24235.69%476.93%14721.68%678
Totals242,31669.63%91,00726.15%14,6974.22%151,30943.48%348,020

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by the American Potential Fund

References

  1. 1 2 Levine, Marianne (January 8, 2022). "Senate Minority Whip John Thune to run for reelection". Politico . Retrieved January 8, 2022.
  2. "South Dakota's Thune wins reelection to 4th U.S. Senate term". The Washington Post . ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  3. Williams, Jordan (December 22, 2020). "Trump attacks Thune: 'He will be primaried in 2022'". The Hill . Retrieved December 23, 2020.
  4. 1 2 Budryk, Zack (December 23, 2020). "Noem rules out Thune challenge after Trump criticizes senator". The Hill . Retrieved December 23, 2020.
  5. Coleman, Justine (January 1, 2021). "Trump again calls for Noem to primary Thune despite her refusal". The Hill . Retrieved January 1, 2021.
  6. "Mowry to challenge Thune in 2022 primary". Rapid City Journal . June 22, 2021. ISSN   1079-3410. OCLC   2250546. Archived from the original on July 3, 2021. Retrieved July 3, 2021.
  7. Goss, Austin (July 27, 2021). "State Rep. Taffy Howard expected to announce bid for US Congress". KEVN.
  8. "Two West River men to challenge Thune in 2022 Republican primary". August 25, 2021.
  9. "Ellis: Thune retirement could cause GOP bedlam in South Dakota".
  10. Bartels, Deb (March 2, 2021). "Marty Jackley running for his old job of attorney general". www.capjournal.com. Capital Journal . Retrieved December 28, 2021.
  11. Heemstra, Jody (January 31, 2022). "Dusty Johnson announces he is running for re-election". DRG News. Retrieved January 31, 2022.
  12. 1 2 "John Thune's Ratings and Endorsements - Vote Smart". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved September 24, 2022.
  13. "Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle". cresenergy.com. Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. May 4, 2022. Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved June 7, 2022.
  14. South Dakota State University
  15. Fabrizio Lee (R)
  16. "2022 Primary Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota . June 14, 2022. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  17. Sand, Elisa (November 12, 2021). "'Democracy has to be the answer': Aberdeen man announces intention to run for U.S. Senate". Aberdeen News . Retrieved December 1, 2021.
  18. "South Dakota Minority Leader Heinert passes on run for Governor, joining private sector after term". December 16, 2021.
  19. 1 2 Lawrence, Tom (November 29, 2020). "Is it just a South Dakota political legend or eerie fate: Will Sen. John Thune end the 'Curse of Karl' in 2022?". The South Dakota Standard . Archived from the original on January 8, 2022. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  20. Woster, Kevin (February 23, 2022). "Sutton's political time will come again, but not just yet". South Dakota Public Broadcasting. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
  21. "Libertarian House candidate, Sturgis rancher Collin Duprel: I am running to give South Dakota voters a choice". Archived from the original on July 23, 2022. Retrieved July 23, 2022.
  22. "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report . Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  23. "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  24. "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  25. "South Dakota Senate Race 2022". Politico . April 1, 2022.
  26. "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  27. "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  28. "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  29. "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022. Archived from the original on June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  30. "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist . September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  31. "2022 PACE Endorsements". www.socialworkers.org. Retrieved September 11, 2023.
  32. "Endorsements".
  33. "Endorsements".
  34. "Endorsements".
  35. "Endorsements".
  36. "Endorsements".
  37. "Endorsements".
  38. "Endorsed Candidates". animalwellnessaction.org. Archived from the original on November 1, 2022. Retrieved October 31, 2022.
  39. "INTERNATIONAL FRANCHISE ASSOCIATION ANNOUNCES JUNE 2022 CONGRESSIONAL ENDORSEMENTS". www.franchise.org. May 31, 2022. Retrieved October 31, 2022.
  40. "National Right to Life Endorses John Thune in South Dakota Senate Race". www.nrlc.org. July 21, 2022. Retrieved October 31, 2022.
  41. "National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Sen. Thune for Re-Election". nwfactionfund.org. August 11, 2022. Retrieved October 31, 2022.
  42. South Dakota State University
  43. Lake Research Partners (D)
  44. Moore Information Group (R)
  45. 1 2 Barnett, Steve (November 15, 2022). "2022 General Election Official State Canvass Results" (PDF). Secretary of State of South Dakota . Archived (PDF) from the original on September 16, 2025. Retrieved January 3, 2026.

Official campaign websites