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Turnout | 47.74% 0.3 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hochul: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Zeldin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2022 New York gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of New York. Kathy Hochul ascended to the governorship in August 2021, upon Andrew Cuomo's resignation following allegations of sexual harassment. She sought a full term as governor. She appointed Brian Benjamin to the position of lieutenant governor and planned to run alongside him until he too resigned in April 2022. Congressman Antonio Delgado was appointed to replace Benjamin as lieutenant governor. Hochul defeated Jumaane Williams and Tom Suozzi in the Democratic primary for governor, while Delgado defeated Ana Maria Archila and Diana Reyna in the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor.
Lee Zeldin ran as the Republican nominee, having defeated Rob Astorino, Andrew Giuliani, and Harry Wilson in the Republican primary. Zeldin selected Alison Esposito, an NYPD officer, as his running mate, and she won unopposed in the primary. Esposito was the first openly gay major party nominee for statewide office in New York. [1]
Hochul won a full term in office, defeating Zeldin in the closest New York gubernatorial election since 1994 and the closest Democratic victory since 1982. Hochul's election marked the first time that a woman was elected to the state's governorship. [2] Hochul's margin of victory of 6.4 percentage points was significantly worse than Cuomo's margin of 23.4 percentage points that he achieved in 2018. While Hochul was able to flip Schenectady and Columbia counties in Upstate New York, Zeldin made gains in the New York metropolitan area, flipping Rockland, Richmond (Staten Island), Nassau, and Suffolk counties. Hochul won the city of New York with 69.8% to 30.2%, the latter being the highest vote percentage for a Republican since 2002. Zeldin carried the state outside of the Five Boroughs 54.1% to 45.9% and carried the 52 counties of Upstate (the counties outside of the New York metropolitan area–the Five Boroughs, Long Island, and Putnam, Rockland, and Westchester counties) 54.6% to 45.4%.
This was the first New York gubernatorial election in over 80 years not featuring any third-party candidates after the New York State Board of Elections rejected the petitions of all the minor parties that put forward candidates. [3] Hochul became the first elected New York governor from outside New York City and its immediate suburbs since 1932 when Franklin D. Roosevelt left office. Hochul also became the first elected governor from north of Hyde Park since Nathan L. Miller in 1922, in addition to being the first from Western New York since Horace White in 1910 and the first from Buffalo since Grover Cleveland in 1885. [4]
Zeldin received the highest percentage of the vote for a Republican gubernatorial nominee since 2002 and the highest raw vote total for a Republican gubernatorial nominee since 1970.
In August 2021, after New York Governor Andrew Cuomo announced his resignation, then-Lieutenant Governor Kathy Hochul announced that she would run for governor in 2022. [5] Hochul was sworn in as governor of New York on August 24, 2021. [6] Hochul was elected to the position of lieutenant governor in 2014, and was re-elected in 2018; in both elections, she was Cuomo's running mate. [7]
New York Attorney General Letitia James garnered attention for releasing a report on her office's investigation into alleged sexual harassment by Cuomo; the release of this report helped lead to Cuomo's resignation in August 2021. [8] James announced her gubernatorial campaign in October 2021 and was considered a formidable challenger to Hochul. [8]
On November 12, 2021, Newsday reported that Hochul had raised $10 million in campaign donations since taking office as governor. [9] On November 16, 2021, New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams, described by CNN as "a progressive favorite from Brooklyn", announced his 2022 gubernatorial bid. Williams ran for lieutenant governor against Hochul in 2018, losing a close race. [10] On November 29, 2021, U.S. Rep. Tom Suozzi of Long Island announced that he was running for governor. According to The New York Times , Suozzi was known as a "vocal centrist" and announced an intent to bill himself as a "'common-sense Democrat'". [11] Suozzi was considered to have the potential to siphon votes away from Hochul. [12]
In early December, James withdrew her candidacy and chose to seek re-election as attorney general instead. [13] James' withdrawal from the race was seen as a positive development for Hochul, as James had been considered the second-strongest candidate in the race. [12] The exit of James boosted the campaign of Williams, who became the only major candidate from New York City and the clear choice for the left wing of the Democratic Party. [12]
On February 17, 2022, at the New York State Democratic Convention, Hochul was selected as the preferred Democratic candidate for governor of New York in 2022. At the convention, Hochul received 85.6% of the weighted vote, while Williams received 12.5%. Neither Williams nor Suozzi received sufficient support to obtain automatic ballot access and force a primary election; however, both candidates were "expected to work the alternate method of gathering the 15,000 signatures to get on the ballot for the June primary". [14] [15]
Although the candidates for governor and lieutenant governor are nominated separately, those running for governor may choose to endorse a candidate for lieutenant governor as their unofficial running mate. All three candidates did so (Hochul had initially chosen Brian Benjamin, but switched to Antonio Delgado after Benjamin's arrest).
Hochul won the primary with 67.64% of the vote, a margin of 48% over Jumaane Williams, who came in second.
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Date | Host | Location | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kathy Hochul | Tom Suozzi | Jumaane Williams | |||||
June 7, 2022 | CBS New York WCBS Newsradio 880 | New York, New York | Maurice DuBois Marcia Kramer | [92] | P | P | P |
June 20, 2022 | NBC New York Telemundo 47 | New York, New York | David Ushery | [93] | P | P | P |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kathy Hochul | Tom Suozzi | Jumaane Williams | Other [b] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [94] | June 6–20, 2022 | June 22, 2022 | 58.5% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 9.0% | Hochul +40.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Steven Bellone | Preet Bharara | Alessandra Biaggi | Andrew Cuomo | Bill de Blasio | Thomas DiNapoli | Kathryn Garcia | Kirsten Gillibrand | Kathy Hochul | Letitia James | Sean Patrick Maloney | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Tom Suozzi | Scott Stringer | Jumaane Williams | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College [95] | March 20–24, 2022 | 369 (RV) | ± 5.5% | – | – | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 7% | 1% | 14% |
Emerson College [96] | March 9–10, 2022 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 4% | 9% [d] | 9% |
Zogby Analytics [97] | January 21–24, 2022 | 413 (LV) | ± 4.8% | – | – | – | 20% | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 13% | 5% | 14% |
Data for Progress (D) [98] [A] | November 16–17, 2021 | 528 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 15% | 3% | – | – | – | 36% | 22% | – | – | 6% | – | 7% | – | 11% |
– | – | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | 64% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | ||||
Siena College [99] | October 10–14, 2021 | 419 (RV) | ± 5.4% | – | – | – | 17% | 6% | – | – | – | 31% | 14% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 23% |
Marist College [100] | October 4–7, 2021 | 389 (RV) | ± 6.9% | – | – | – | 19% | – | – | – | 36% | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | – | 12% |
co/efficient (R) [101] | August 15–16, 2021 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | – | 26% | – | – | – | 30% | |
Slingshot Strategies (D) [102] | August 6–7, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 26% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 2% | – | 19% |
3% | 6% | 2% | – | 5% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 13% | 3% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 4% | – | 22% | ||||
Zogby Analytics [103] | February 3–5, 2021 | 316 (LV) | ± 5.5% | – | – | – | 65% | – | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13% |
– | – | – | 67% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | 9% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathy Hochul (incumbent) | 607,928 | 67.64% | |
Democratic | Jumaane Williams | 173,872 | 19.35% | |
Democratic | Tom Suozzi | 116,972 | 13.01% | |
Total votes | 898,772 | 100.0% |
On April 12, 2022, incumbent lieutenant governor Brian Benjamin resigned from office after being arrested for campaign finance violations. Despite this, he did not officially withdraw from the race, so under the laws of the time, he could only be removed if he moved out of New York, ran for a different office, or died. [106] On May 3, 2022, Hochul announced her intent to appoint Representative Antonio Delgado to the position of lieutenant governor after a bill passed the New York State Assembly allowing Benjamin to be removed from the ticket. [48] [107] Delgado won the primary by a large margin.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Antonio Delgado (incumbent) | 522,069 | 60.93% | |
Democratic | Ana Maria Archila | 213,210 | 24.88% | |
Democratic | Diana Reyna | 121,589 | 14.19% | |
Total votes | 856,868 | 100.0% |
In June 2020, Lewis County sheriff Mike Carpinelli became the first Republican to enter the race. [122] He was the only announced challenger until Long Island congressman Lee Zeldin announced his own campaign in April 2021; he announced by the end of the month that the Erie and Niagara counties' Republican Party chairs had endorsed his campaign, giving him the necessary 50% of state committee support to gain the Republican nomination. [123] [124] Trump administration official Andrew Giuliani and 2014 New York gubernatorial nominee Rob Astorino made campaign announcements the following month. [125] [126] [127] Contractor and podcast host Derrick Gibson was also in the race. [128]
In June 2021, Zeldin was named the 'presumed nominee' of the New York's Republican Party by state chairman Nick Langworthy after he earned 85 percent of a straw poll vote of county leaders, and was also called the 'presumptive nominee' of New York's Conservative Party by Conservative state chairman Gerard Kassar. [129] As of February 2022, Zeldin had the endorsement of 59 of New York's 62 county Republican committees. [130]
In February 2022, shortly before the Republican convention, businessman Harry Wilson announced his candidacy for governor of New York. [131] Wilson stated that he intended to invest $12 million of his own money in the race. [132]
At the Republican convention in Nassau County, Zeldin received 85 percent support from the party's voting committee members, with Astorino and Wilson receiving 7 percent of the vote each, and Giuliani receiving less than one percent of the vote. [133]
On June 28, 2022, the primary election was held. Astorino's strongest performance was in his native Westchester County, Giuliani performed well across New York City (although Manhattan was won by Zeldin), and Wilson performed best in his native Fulton County. It was Zeldin who won the Republican nomination, receiving the most votes in 48 of New York's 62 counties, including earning 76% of the vote in his native Suffolk County. [134]
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Date | Host | Location | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lee Zeldin | Andrew Giuliani | Rob Astorino | Harry Wilson | |||||
June 13, 2022 | CBS New York | New York, New York | Maurice DuBois Marcia Kramer | Video [178] | P | P | P | P |
June 20, 2022 | NY1 | New York, New York | Susan Arbetter Errol Louis | Video [179] | P | P | P | P |
June 21, 2022 | Newsmax | Rochester, New York | Eric Bolling | Video [180] | P | P | P | P |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Lee Zeldin | Andrew Giuliani | Rob Astorino | Harry Wilson | Other [e] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [181] | June 6–20, 2022 | June 22, 2022 | 32.5% | 20.0% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 24.3% | Zeldin +12.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Rob Astorino | Michael Carpinelli | Derrick Gibson | Andrew Giuliani | Harry Wilson | Lee Zeldin | Other | Undecided | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies [182] | June 20–22, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 16% | – | – | 28% | 14% | 35% | – | 8% | ||||
SurveyUSA [183] | June 15–20, 2022 | 538 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 8% | – | – | 23% | 13% | 25% | – | 31% | ||||
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [184] | June 16–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | – | – | 17% | 16% | 38% | – | 12% | ||||
Emerson College [185] | June 9–10, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 16% | – | – | 13% | 15% | 34% | – | 22% | ||||
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [186] | May 24–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | – | – | 18% | 13% | 41% | – | 12% | ||||
John Zogby Strategies [187] | May 18–20, 2022 | 408 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 17% | – | – | 35% | 12% | 25% | – | 11% | ||||
Gibson does not qualify for primary ballot | |||||||||||||||
Emerson College [188] | May 1–3, 2022 | 192 (LV) | ± 7.0% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 18% | 8% | 26% | 10% [f] | 19% | ||||
Carpinelli withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [189] | April 11–12, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 17% | – | – | 15% | 7% | 47% | – | 14% | ||||
John Zogby Strategies [190] | April 10, 2022 | 267 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 15% | – | – | 29% | 11% | 28% | – | 17% | ||||
Emerson College [96] | March 9–10, 2022 | 225 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 17% | 6% | 27% | 8% [g] | 23% | ||||
John Zogby Strategies [191] | March 3, 2022 | 266 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 21% | 9% | – | 31% | 5% | 23% | – | 12% | ||||
Zogby Analytics [97] | January 21–24, 2022 | 243 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 18% | – | 16% | 5% | 33% | ||||
John Zogby Strategies [192] | January 20–21, 2022 | 251 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 26% | 2% | 28% | 2% [h] | 21% | ||||
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Rob Astorino | Andrew Giuliani | Harry Wilson | Lee Zeldin | Undecided | |||||||
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [189] | April 11–12, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 20% | – | 9% | 53% | 18% | |||||||
– | – | 13% | 64% | 24% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lee Zeldin | 196,874 | 43.62% | |
Republican | Andrew Giuliani | 103,267 | 22.88% | |
Republican | Rob Astorino | 84,464 | 18.71% | |
Republican | Harry Wilson | 66,736 | 14.79% | |
Total votes | 451,341 | 100.0% |
At the 2022 Conservative Party convention, the party endorsed Congressman Lee Zeldin for governor and NYPD deputy inspector Alison Esposito for Lieutenant Governor. [194]
On February 8, 2022, the Working Families Party endorsed New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams for the governorship. [196] On February 28, 2022, the party announced that their preferred candidate for lieutenant governor was activist Ana María Archila. [197]
Following Hochul and Delgado's respective wins in the Democratic gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial primary, the party filed to put the two Democratic nominees on the Working Families ballot line. [198]
In an unprecedented decision, the New York State Board of Elections rejected all petitions for non-qualified party ballot access in July 2022. [3] Among the parties who submitted rejected petitions:
On February 16, 2022, Larry Sharpe, the Libertarian Party's candidate for governor of New York in 2018, officially announced his campaign to run for governor of New York on Kennedy . [197] He received his party's nomination at the convention in Albany on February 19, 2022. [200] In July 2022, the New York State Board of Elections disqualified Sharpe for not meeting the qualifications for ballot access. [3]
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On April 25, 2022, Howie Hawkins, who had run for numerous elected offices including Governor of New York, launched his campaign. [205] In July 2022, the New York State Board of Elections disqualified Hawkins for not meeting the qualifications for ballot access. [3]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [210] | Solid D | August 26, 2022 |
RealClearPolitics [211] | Tossup | October 15, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [212] | Likely D | October 19, 2022 |
The Cook Political Report [213] | Likely D | October 28, 2022 |
Fox News [214] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Inside Elections [215] | Likely D | November 3, 2022 |
Politico [216] | Lean D | November 4, 2022 |
Elections Daily [217] | Safe D | November 7, 2022 |
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No. | Date | Host | Location | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||
Lee Zeldin | Kathy Hochul | ||||||
1 | Oct. 25, 2022 | Spectrum News | Pace University Manhattan, New York | Errol Louis Susan Arbetter | [279] | P | P |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kathy Hochul (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Undecided [i] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [280] | October 26–31, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 52.0% | 45.0% | 3.0% | Hochul +7.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [281] | October 20 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 51.7% | 43.9% | 4.4% | Hochul +7.8 |
Average | 51.8% | 44.5% | 3.7% | Hochul +7.4 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. [282] | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 41% | – | 11% |
ActiVote (D) [283] | August 8 – November 6, 2022 | 260 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
Patriot Polling [284] | October 31 – November 3, 2022 | 826 (RV) | – | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
Emerson College [285] [B] | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 44% | 1% [j] | 3% |
54% | 45% | 2% [k] | – | ||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) [286] | October 27–31, 2022 | 1,198 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 48% | – | 4% |
KAConsulting (R) [287] [C] | October 27–29, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | 3% [l] | 5% |
Data for Progress (D) [288] | October 26–28, 2022 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 42% | – | 4% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) [289] | October 25–26, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 42% | – | 10% |
Civiqs [290] | October 22–25, 2022 | 593 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 54% | 43% | 2% [m] | 2% |
Emerson College [285] [B] | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 44% | 2% [n] | 4% |
52% | 44% | 4% [o] | – | ||||
Bold Decision [291] | October 16–20, 2022 | 1,204 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 37% | – | 12% |
co/efficient (R) [292] | October 18–19, 2022 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 46% | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA [293] | October 14–18, 2022 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 47% | 41% | 4% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University [294] | October 12–16, 2022 | 1,617 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 46% | 1% [p] | 2% |
Siena College [295] | October 12–14, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 41% | 1% [q] | 6% |
Marist College [296] | October 3–6, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 44% | 1% [r] | 3% |
1,117 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 1% [s] | 7% | ||
The Trafalgar Group (R) [297] | September 30 – October 3, 2022 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 43% | 3% [t] | 10% |
Siena College [298] | September 16–25, 2022 | 655 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 37% | 2% [u] | 7% |
Data for Progress (D) [299] | September 9–13, 2022 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 39% | – | 9% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [300] [D] | September 8–9, 2022 | 510 (LV) | – | 54% | 39% | – | 7% |
co/efficient (R) [301] | September 5–7, 2022 | 1,194 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 43% | – | 8% |
Emerson College [302] | September 4–6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 35% | 6% [v] | 9% |
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) [303] | August 31 – September 1, 2022 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 43% | 2% [w] | 7% |
SurveyUSA [304] | August 17–21, 2022 | 715 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 31% | – | 14% |
Emerson College [305] | July 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 35% | 7% | 7% |
Siena College [306] | July 24–28, 2022 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 39% | 0% | 7% |
Sharpe is disqualified from the ballot | |||||||
SurveyUSA [307] | June 15–20, 2022 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 28% | – | 20% |
John Zogby Strategies [308] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 32% | 6% [x] | 10% |
54% | 36% | – | 10% | ||||
John Zogby Strategies [309] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 34% | 3% [y] | 14% |
Data for Progress (D) [310] | March 30 – April 4, 2022 | 947 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 36% | – | 13% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [311] | March 9–11, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 46% | – | 11% |
John Zogby Strategies [312] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 33% | 6% [z] | 14% |
50% | 35% | – | 15% | ||||
Zogby Analytics [97] | January 21–24, 2022 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 27% | 6% [aa] | 23% |
John Zogby Strategies [313] | January 20–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 29% | 6% [ab] | 15% |
51% | 33% | – | 16% |
Kathy Hochul vs. Rob Astorino
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Rob Astorino (R) | Larry Sharpe (L) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [307] | June 15–20, 2022 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 55% | 28% | – | 17% |
John Zogby Strategies [308] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 35% | – | 11% |
John Zogby Strategies [309] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 34% | – | 16% |
John Zogby Strategies [312] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 35% | – | 16% |
Zogby Analytics [97] | January 21–24, 2022 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 27% | 6% | 22% |
Kathy Hochul vs. Andrew Giuliani
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Andrew Giuliani (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [307] | June 15–20, 2022 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 56% | 30% | 15% |
John Zogby Strategies [308] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 35% | 11% |
John Zogby Strategies [312] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 33% | 15% |
Kathy Hochul vs. Harry Wilson
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Harry Wilson (R) | Larry Sharpe (L) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [307] | June 15–20, 2022 | 2,152 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 54% | 29% | – | 17% |
John Zogby Strategies [308] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 32% | 5% | 12% |
53% | 36% | – | 11% | ||||
John Zogby Strategies [309] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 30% | 4% | 16% |
51% | 32% | – | 17% | ||||
John Zogby Strategies [312] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 34% | – | 16% |
Tom Suozzi vs. Harry Wilson
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Tom Suozzi (D) | Harry Wilson (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies [308] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 34% | 17% |
John Zogby Strategies [309] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 31% | 24% |
John Zogby Strategies [312] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 32% | 25% |
Tom Suozzi vs. Lee Zeldin
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Tom Suozzi (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies [308] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
John Zogby Strategies [312] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 34% | 23% |
Jumaane Williams vs. Rob Astorino
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Jumaane Williams (D) | Rob Astorino (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies [308] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 36% | 17% |
John Zogby Strategies [309] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 33% | 24% |
John Zogby Strategies [312] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 35% | 22% |
Jumaane Williams vs. Andrew Giuliani
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Jumaane Williams (D) | Andrew Giuliani (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies [308] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
John Zogby Strategies [309] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 35% | 20% |
John Zogby Strategies [312] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 33% | 22% |
Jumaane Williams vs. Harry Wilson
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Jumaane Williams (D) | Harry Wilson (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies [308] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 37% | 18% |
John Zogby Strategies [309] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 34% | 25% |
John Zogby Strategies [312] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 34% | 24% |
Jumaane Williams vs. Lee Zeldin
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Jumaane Williams (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Zogby Strategies [308] | May 18–20, 2022 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 37% | 16% |
John Zogby Strategies [309] | April 10, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 36% | 21% |
John Zogby Strategies [312] | March 3, 2022 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 36% | 22% |
Andrew Cuomo vs. Rob Astorino
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Andrew Cuomo (D) | Rob Astorino (R) | Larry Sharpe (L) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Analytics [97] | January 21–24, 2022 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 31% | 7% | 28% |
Andrew Cuomo vs. Elise Stefanik
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Andrew Cuomo (D) | Elise Stefanik (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Analytics [103] | February 3–5, 2021 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Andrew Cuomo vs. Lee Zeldin
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Andrew Cuomo (D) | Lee Zeldin (R) | Larry Sharpe (L) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group (R) [314] | October 27–31, 2022 | 1198 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
Data for Progress (D) [310] | March 30 – April 4, 2022 | 947 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 41% | – | 15% |
Zogby Analytics [97] | January 21–24, 2022 | 869 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 31% | 7% | 28% |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez vs. Elise Stefanik
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) | Elise Stefanik (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zogby Analytics [103] | February 3–5, 2021 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Andrew Cuomo vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Andrew Cuomo (D) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College [315] | May 16–20, 2021 | 793 (RV) | ± 4% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
Letitia James vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Letitia James (D) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College [315] | May 16–20, 2021 | 793 (RV) | ± 4% | 46% | 29% | 25% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College [315] | May 16–20, 2021 | 793 (RV) | ± 4% | 55% | 29% | 16% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican with Andrew Cuomo as an independent
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Andrew Cuomo (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [188] | May 1–3, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 33% | 33% | 16% | 18% |
Emerson College [96] | March 9–10, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 33% | 12% | 17% |
Kathy Hochul vs. generic opponent
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Kathy Hochul (D) | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College [316] | June 7–13, 2022 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Siena College [317] | April 18–21, 2022 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Siena College [95] | March 20–24, 2022 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Siena College [318] | February 14–17, 2022 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Antonio Delgado vs. Alison Esposito [E]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [c] | Margin of error | Antonio Delgado (D) | Alison Esposito (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) [288] | October 26–28, 2022 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic |
| 2,879,092 | 48.77% | −7.39% | |
Working Families |
| 261,323 | 4.43% | +2.55% | |
Total |
| 3,140,415 | 53.12% | −6.43% | |
Republican |
| 2,449,394 | 41.49% | +9.89% | |
Conservative |
| 313,187 | 5.31% | +1.15% | |
Total |
| 2,762,581 | 46.73% | +10.57% | |
Write-in | 9,290 | 0.16% | +0.04% | ||
Total votes | 5,798,092 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 5,902,996 | 47.74% | |||
Registered electors | 12,124,242 | ||||
Democratic hold |
By county | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
|
2022 gubernatorial election in New York City | Manhattan | The Bronx | Brooklyn | Queens | Staten Island | Total | |||
Democratic- Working Families | Kathy Hochul | 372,149 | 155,564 | 402,114 | 277,280 | 47,135 | 1,254,242 | 69.8% | |
82.3% | 77.6% | 71.1% | 63.4% | 33.4% | |||||
Republican- Conservative | Lee Zeldin | 80,159 | 44,948 | 163,430 | 160,279 | 93,818 | 542,634 | 30.2% | |
17.7% | 22.4% | 28.9% | 36.6% | 66.6% | |||||
Hochul won 42 of 51 city council districts, while Zeldin won 9 of 51 city council districts, including three held by Democrats. [320] [321]
Hochul won 14 of 26 congressional districts with the remaining 12 going to Zeldin, including one that elected a Democrat. [322] [323]
New York has been a solidly Democratic state, and has not elected a Republican to statewide office since George Pataki's win in 2002. Despite this, polls showed the race narrowing, with the main focus of the election being crime. [324] Zeldin accused Hochul of being weak on crime and education issues, promising to declare a statewide crime emergency and to repeal cashless bail, [325] while Hochul attacked him for his ties to former president Donald Trump and the anti-abortion movement. [326]
By October, analysts viewed the race as tightening, although Hochul was still favored. The Associated Press stated that Zeldin's focus on crime was persuasive, leading to a closer race. [324] Hochul's campaign ramped up in the final weeks in an effort to prevent an upset loss. She pivoted her messaging to focus more on crime. [327] She also reached out to the Working Families Party and campaigned with Democrats such as Hillary Clinton. [328]
Ultimately, Hochul defeated Zeldin by a margin of 6.4%, making her the first woman to be elected governor of New York. Despite his loss, Zeldin's performance was the best a Republican had done since George Pataki's victory in 2002, the closest gubernatorial race since 1994, and the most votes a Republican had received for the position in 52 years, since Nelson Rockefeller in 1970. Additionally, Zeldin's coattails significantly narrowed other statewide races, with Democratic senator Chuck Schumer, who last won by over 43 points in 2016, only winning by just over 14 points in 2022. Republicans also flipped 4 congressional seats in the state, contributing to them winning the House of Representatives. Due to his overperformance, Zeldin was considered to be a challenger to Ronna McDaniel as chair of the Republican National Committee; however, he later declined though he stated that he would remain in politics. [329] [330]
Fox News Voter Analysis showed in their exit polls that Zeldin won White voters (54%-46%) while Hochul won African Americans (82%-17%), Latinos (64%-35%) including Puerto Rican Americans (66%-33%) and other minorities (58%-41%).
Partisan clients
The Conservative Party of New York State is an American political party founded in 1962 following conservative dissatisfaction with the Republican Party in New York. Running on the Conservative Party line, James L. Buckley won election to the U.S. Senate in 1970 and served for one term. Since 2010, the party has held "Row C" on New York ballots—the third-place ballot position, directly below the Democratic and Republican parties—because it received the third-highest number of votes of any political party in the 2010, 2014, 2018, and 2022 New York gubernatorial elections. The party is known for its strategy of attempting to influence the Republican Party in a more conservative direction.
Kathleen Hochul is an American politician and lawyer who has served since August 2021 as the 57th governor of New York. A member of the Democratic Party, she is New York's first female governor and the first governor from Upstate New York since Nathan L. Miller in 1922.
The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held on November 8, 2016, to elect 27 U.S. representatives from the state of New York. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 28.
The 2018 New York gubernatorial election occurred on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic governor Andrew Cuomo won re-election to a third term, defeating Republican Marc Molinaro and several minor party candidates. Cuomo received 59.6% of the vote to Molinaro's 36.2%.
The 2019 New York City Public Advocate special election was held on February 26, 2019, to fill part of the unexpired term of Letitia James's vacated seat as New York City Public Advocate. It was triggered on January 1, 2019, when James resigned to take office as Attorney General of New York.
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primary election was held on June 23, 2020.
The 2022 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York.
The 2021 New York City mayoral election was held on November 2, 2021. Incumbent Mayor Bill de Blasio was term-limited and ineligible to run for re-election.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's 26 congressional districts. The elections coincided with elections for governor, U.S. Senate, attorney general, comptroller, state senate, and assembly, and various other state and local elections.
The 2021 New York City Council elections were held on November 2, 2021. The primary elections were held on June 22, 2021. There were several special elections for seats vacated in 2020 and early 2021; these special elections were the first to use ranked-choice voting in city council elections after it was approved by a ballot question in 2019 and the second to use ranked-choice voting since New York City repealed PR-STV in 1945. Due to redistricting after the 2020 Census, candidates also ran for two-year terms instead of four-year terms for the first time, stemming from the New York City Charter overhaul in 1989. Four-year terms will resume in the 2025 election after another two-year election in 2023.
The 2021 New York City borough president elections were held on November 2, 2021. Four of the five incumbent borough presidents were unable to run for reelection due to term limits. Only the Queens borough president was eligible to seek re-election after winning a special election in 2020.
The 2021 New York City Comptroller election consisted of Democratic and Republican primaries for New York City Comptroller on June 22, 2021, followed by a general election on November 2, 2021. The primaries were the first NYC Comptroller election primaries to use ranked-choice voting. The primary and general election were held alongside concurrent primaries and elections for mayor, Public Advocate, Borough Presidents, and City Council.
The Democratic Party primary for the 2021 New York City mayoral election took place on June 22, 2021. Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams defeated 12 other candidates, including Kathryn Garcia, Maya Wiley and Andrew Yang. Adams went on to defeat Republican Curtis Sliwa and other candidates in the November 2, 2021 general election.
The 2022 New York Attorney General election was held on November 8, 2022. Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Letitia James was eligible for re-election, but originally decided to run for Governor of New York in 2022. On December 9, 2021, however, she suspended her gubernatorial campaign and announced that she would seek re-election as attorney general. Republicans nominated Michael Henry, an attorney from Queens. James defeated Henry by a margin of 9.2%, from her 27.2% victory in 2018.
The 2022 New York's 19th congressional district special election was a special election held on August 23, 2022. The seat became vacant after incumbent Democratic representative Antonio Delgado resigned on May 25, 2022, to become lieutenant governor of New York. Democratic nominee Pat Ryan won a slight victory over Republican nominee Marc Molinaro in what was seen as an upset due to Molinaro's lead in polls and fundraising in the weeks leading to the election.
The 2022 New York state elections took place on November 8, 2022. On this date, the State of New York held elections for the following offices: Governor and Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General, Comptroller, U.S. Senate, U.S. House of Representatives, New York State Senate, New York State Assembly, and various others. Primary elections took place on June 28 and August 23, 2022. This election cycle was highlighted by a redistricting process in which there were many election maps that were ultimately ruled to be unconstitutional Democratic gerrymanders.
The 2023 New York City Council elections were held on November 7, 2023, with primaries having occurred on June 27, 2023. Due to redistricting and the 2020 changes to the New York City Charter, councilmembers elected during the 2021 and 2023 City Council elections will serve two-year terms, with full four-year terms resuming after the 2025 New York City Council elections. Party nominees were chosen using ranked-choice voting.
The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New York were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's 26 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections were held on June 25, 2024.
The 2024 New York Democratic presidential primary was held on April 2, 2024, as part of the Democratic Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 306 delegates to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.
The 2025 New York City Council elections will be held on November 4, 2025, with primary elections occurring on June 24, 2025. As in previous years, party nominees will be chosen using ranked-choice voting.
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