2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana

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2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana
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  John Neely Kennedy, official portrait, 115th Congress.jpg Gary Chambers Jr mirror.png 3x4.svg
Candidate John Kennedy Gary Chambers Luke Mixon
Party Republican Democratic Democratic
Popular vote851,568246,933182,887
Percentage61.6%17.9%13.2%
2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana results map by parish.svg
LA Senate 2022.svg
Kennedy:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Chambers:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Mixon:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     >90%
Steib:     40–50%     50–60%
Billiot:     >90%
Tie:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     No votes
U.S. senator before election

John Kennedy
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Kennedy
Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana. Incumbent Republican U.S. senator John Kennedy was first elected in 2016. He ran for re-election to a second term, and was re-elected after receiving a majority of votes in the first round. [1] [2]

Contents

Kennedy won White voters (79% to 9%), while Chambers and Mixon both won a split majority of African Americans (48% to 24% to 16%). [3]

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

  • Devin Lance Graham, business owner and real estate broker
  • John Kennedy, incumbent U.S. Senator [4]

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

Libertarian Party

Nonpartisans and independents

Declared

  • Beryl A. Billiot, businessman and perennial candidate
  • Alexander "Xan" John, businessman, law student and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 [11]
  • Bradley McMorris, realtor
  • W. Thomas La Fontaine Olson, an author, advocate and 2020 U.S. House candidate in Illinois [12]
  • Thomas Wenn

Endorsements

Gary Chambers (D)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Newspapers
Organizations
John Kennedy (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Luke Mixon (D)
State officials
State legislators
Organizations
Syrita Steib (D)
Organizations

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [36] Solid RNovember 19, 2021
Inside Elections [37] Solid RJanuary 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [38] Safe RNovember 3, 2021
Politico [39] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [40] Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [41] Solid RMay 12, 2022
DDHQ [42] Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538 [43] Solid R
(Kennedy)		June 30, 2022
The Economist [44] Safe RSeptember 7, 2022

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Gary
Chambers
(D)		John
Kennedy
(R)		Luke
Mixon
(D)		Syrita
Steib
(D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D) October 10–11, 2022633 (RV)–8%53%16%6%2% [lower-alpha 2] 14%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022506 (RV)± 6.5%16%51%8%6%–19%
JMC Analytics (R) March 21–23, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%14%53%7%3%–23%
Hypothetical polling
Runoff election
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Republican		Generic
Democrat		Undecided
JMC Analytics (R) March 21–23, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%51%33%16%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Kennedy (incumbent) 851,568 61.56%
Democratic Gary Chambers 246,93317.85%
Democratic Luke Mixon182,88713.22%
Democratic Syrita Steib31,5682.28%
Republican Devin Lance Graham25,2751.83%
Democratic MV "Vinny" Mendoza11,9100.86%
Independent Beryl Billiot9,3780.68%
Democratic Salvador P. Rodriguez7,7670.56%
Independent Bradley McMorris5,3880.39%
Libertarian Aaron C. Sigler4,8650.35%
Independent Alexander "Xan" John2,7530.20%
Independent W. Thomas La Fontaine Olson1,6760.12%
Independent Thomas Wenn1,3220.10%
Total votes1,383,290 100.0%
Republican hold

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%

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References

  1. ↑ "Sen. John Kennedy launches 2022 re-election bid: 'I will not let you down. I'd rather drink weed killer.'". foxnews.com. June 2021. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
  2. ↑ writer, MARK BALLARD | Staff. "John Kennedy wins second term in the U.S. Senate". NOLA.com. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  3. ↑ "Fox News Voter Analysis". Fox News . November 18, 2022.
  4. ↑ "Sen. John Kennedy launches 2022 re-election bid: 'I will not let you down. I'd rather drink weed killer.'". foxnews.com. June 2021. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
  5. ↑ "Democrats rally around new personalities".
  6. ↑ "Baton Rouge community activist Gary Chambers launches campaign for U.S. Senate".
  7. ↑ "Sen. John Kennedy draws a challenger: Navy veteran Luke Mixon".
  8. ↑ "KALB Exclusive: Syrita Steib seeking U.S. Senate seat".
  9. ↑ "Here's what 5 governors have to say on Covid, climate change and campaign plans". Politico. January 28, 2022.
  10. 1 2 3 4 Bridges, Tyler. "New Orleans City Council members back Gary Chambers' bid to unseat Sen. John Kennedy". The Advocate. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
  11. ↑ "Louisiana Senate Candidate Rips Enormous Blunt in First Campaign Ad". Rolling Stone . January 18, 2022. Retrieved July 13, 2022.
  12. ↑ "Who is William Olson, Democratic candidate for 8th Congressional District?". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
  13. ↑ "Carter throws support behind Chambers run for Senate". www.brproud.com. September 17, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  14. ↑ "Senate candidate Gary Chambers gets first endorsement from La. elected official". BRProud.com. January 27, 2022. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
  15. ↑ "The New Orleans Tribune Endorses the Following Candidates in the Nov. 8 Primary". The New Orleans Tribune. October 20, 2022. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  16. 1 2 3 "Closer look at La. Democratic Party's controversial senatorial endorsement". www.kalb.com. August 15, 2022. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
  17. ↑ "Endorsements – Our Black Party". www.ourblackparty.com. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  18. ↑ Barrabi, Thomas (March 6, 2021). "Trump endorses Louisiana Sen. John Kennedy in 2022 reelection bid". Fox News. Retrieved March 6, 2021.
  19. ↑ "Sen. Kennedy, Rep. Letlow hold campaign rally in Bastrop". www.kalb.com. October 24, 2022. Archived from the original on October 25, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  20. ↑ "NRA-PVF - Grades - Louisiana". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved July 17, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  21. ↑ "Vote Freedom First. Vote John Kennedy for U.S. Senate!". nrapvf.org. Archived from the original on March 26, 2023. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  22. ↑ "Louisiana Small Business Community Endorses Senator John Kennedy for Re-Election". www.nfib.com. September 19, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  23. ↑ "U.S. Chamber of Commerce Endorses Kennedy for Senate". johnkennedy.com. February 3, 2021. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  24. ↑ "Republican Party Endorses Senator John Kennedy for Re-Election". August 14, 2021.
  25. 1 2 3 "John Kennedy's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
  26. ↑ "CCAGW PAC Endorses Sen. John Kennedy and Five Louisiana House Candidates". www.businesswire.com. October 13, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  27. ↑ "Senator John Kennedy Earns Endorsement from Animal Wellness Action in Re-Election Campaign". www.wjhl.com. October 26, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  28. ↑ Bridges, Tyler (June 2, 2022). "John Bel Edwards endorses Luke Mixon in uphill Senate race against John Kennedy". The Advocate . Archived from the original on June 2, 2022. Retrieved June 12, 2022.
  29. ↑ "Louisiana House Democratic chairman endorses Luke Mixon in US Senate race".
  30. ↑ "I'm honored to have the endorsement of Representative C. Denise Marcelle. She's a fierce advocate for the people of Baton Rouge. I'll fight for Louisiana everyday in the Senate. We've got 23 days until Election Day. Let's win this! 🗳 Vote Luke Mixon #9 on your ballot". Twitter . October 16, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  31. ↑ "Rep. Kenny Cox Endorses Luke Mixon for U.S. Senate". www.lukemixon.com. May 31, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  32. ↑ "Our Recommended Candidates".
  33. ↑ "VOTE: November 8th - Louisiana Federation of Teachers". la.aft.org. October 25, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  34. ↑ "The Steady State Endorses Luke Mixon for Senate". thesteadystate.org. July 7, 2022. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
  35. ↑ "VoteVets Announces Final Endorsements of the Quarter". March 30, 2022.
  36. ↑ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  37. ↑ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  38. ↑ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  39. ↑ "Louisiana Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  40. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  41. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  42. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  43. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  44. ↑ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  45. ↑ "2022 Official Election Results". Louisiana Secretary of State.
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