2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana

2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana

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Candidate John Kennedy Gary Chambers Luke Mixon Party Republican Democratic Democratic Popular vote 851,568 246,933 182,887 Percentage 61.56% 17.85% 13.22%

Parish results Precinct results Kennedy:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Chambers:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Mixon:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     >90% Steib:     40–50%     50–60% Billiot:     >90% Tie:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     No votes

U.S. senator before election John Kennedy Republican Elected U.S. Senator John Kennedy Republican

The 2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana. Incumbent Republican U.S. senator John Kennedy was first elected in 2016. He ran for re-election to a second term, and was re-elected after receiving a majority of votes in the first round. ^{[1] [2]}

Kennedy won White voters (79% to 9%), while Chambers and Mixon both won a split majority of African Americans (48% to 24% to 16%). ^[3]

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

• Devin Lance Graham, business owner and real estate broker
• John Kennedy, incumbent U.S. senator ^[1]

Democratic Party

Declared

• Gary Chambers, activist, candidate for Louisiana's 15th State Senate district in 2019, and candidate for Louisiana's 2nd congressional district in 2021 ^{[4] [5]}
• MV "Vinny" Mendoza, perennial candidate
• Luke Mixon, member of the U.S. Navy Reserve and former member of the U.S. Navy ^[6]
• Salvador P. Rodriguez, store manager
• Syrita Steib, nonprofit executive and criminal justice reform advocate ^[7]

Declined

• John Bel Edwards, governor of Louisiana ^[8] (endorsed Mixon)
• Helena Moreno, president of the New Orleans City Council and former state representative (endorsed Chambers) ^[9]

Libertarian Party

• Aaron C. Sigler, neurosurgeon and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020

Nonpartisans and independents

Declared

• Beryl A. Billiot, businessman and perennial candidate
• Alexander "Xan" John, businessman, law student and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 ^[10]
• Bradley McMorris, realtor
• W. Thomas La Fontaine Olson, author, advocate and 2020 U.S. House candidate in Illinois ^[11]
• Thomas Wenn

Endorsements

Gary Chambers (D)

U.S. representatives

• Troy Carter, U.S. representative from Louisiana's 2nd congressional district (2021–present) ^[12]

State legislators

• Edward James, former Louisiana state representative from the 101st district (2012–2022) ^[13]

Local officials

• Helena Moreno, president of New Orleans City Council (2019–present) and former Louisiana state representative from the 93rd district (2010–2018) ^[9]
• JP Morrell, New Orleans city councilor (2022–present) ^[9]
• Oliver Thomas, New Orleans city councilor (1994–2007, 2022–present) ^[9]

Newspapers

• The New Orleans Tribune ^[14]

Organizations

• Louisiana Democratic Party (co-endorsed with Mixon and Steib) ^[15]
• Our Black Party ^[16]

John Kennedy (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021) ^[17]

U.S. representatives

• Julia Letlow, U.S. representative from Louisiana's 5th congressional district (2021–present) ^[18]

Organizations

• Animal Wellness Action ^[19]
• Campaign for Working Families ^[20]
• Citizens Against Government Waste ^[21]
• ClearPath Action Fund ^[20]
• Louisiana Republican Party ^[22]
• National Federation of Independent Business ^[23]
• National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund ^{[24] [25]}
• National Right to Life Committee ^[20]
• U.S. Chamber of Commerce ^[26]

Luke Mixon (D)

State officials

• John Bel Edwards, governor of Louisiana (2016–present) ^[27]

State legislators

• Kenny Ray Cox, state representative from the 23rd district (2012–present) ^[28]
• Sam Jenkins, state representative from the 2nd district (2016–present) ^[29]
• C. Denise Marcelle, state representative from the 61st district (2016–present) ^[30]

Organizations

• Louisiana Democratic Party (co-endorsed with Chambers and Steib) ^[15]
• Louisiana Federation of Teachers ^[31]
• National Education Association – Louisiana ^[32]
• The Steady State ^[33]
• VoteVets.org ^[34]

Syrita Steib (D)

Organizations

• Louisiana Democratic Party (co-endorsed with Mixon and Chambers) ^[15]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [35]	Solid R	November 19, 2021
Inside Elections [36]	Solid R	January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37]	Safe R	November 3, 2021
Politico [38]	Solid R	April 1, 2022
RCP [39]	Safe R	January 10, 2022
Fox News [40]	Solid R	May 12, 2022
DDHQ [41]	Solid R	July 20, 2022
538 [42]	Solid R (Kennedy)	June 30, 2022
The Economist [43]	Safe R	September 7, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Gary Chambers (D)	John Kennedy (R)	Luke Mixon (D)	Syrita Steib (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [44]	October 10–11, 2022	633 (RV)	–	8%	53%	16%	6%	2% [b]	14%
Echelon Insights [45]	August 31 – September 7, 2022	506 (RV)	± 6.5%	16%	51%	8%	6%	–	19%
JMC Analytics (R) [46]	March 21–23, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	14%	53%	7%	3%	–	23%

Hypothetical polling

Runoff election
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Undecided
JMC Analytics (R) [46]	March 21–23, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	33%	16%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana ^[47]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Kennedy (incumbent)	851,568	61.56%
	Democratic	Gary Chambers	246,933	17.85%
	Democratic	Luke Mixon	182,887	13.22%
	Democratic	Syrita Steib	31,568	2.28%
	Republican	Devin Lance Graham	25,275	1.83%
	Democratic	MV "Vinny" Mendoza	11,910	0.86%
	Independent	Beryl Billiot	9,378	0.68%
	Democratic	Salvador P. Rodriguez	7,767	0.56%
	Independent	Bradley McMorris	5,388	0.39%
	Libertarian	Aaron C. Sigler	4,865	0.35%
	Independent	Alexander "Xan" John	2,753	0.20%
	Independent	W. Thomas La Fontaine Olson	1,676	0.12%
	Independent	Thomas Wenn	1,322	0.10%
Total votes			1,383,290	100.00%
	Republican hold

See also

• 2022 Louisiana elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. "Someone else" with 2%

References

1. "Sen. John Kennedy launches 2022 re-election bid: 'I will not let you down. I'd rather drink weed killer.'". Fox News . June 2021. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
2. writer, MARK BALLARD | Staff (November 8, 2022). "John Kennedy wins second term in the U.S. Senate". NOLA.com. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
3. "Fox News Voter Analysis". Fox News . November 18, 2022.
4. "Democrats rally around new personalities".
5. "Baton Rouge community activist Gary Chambers launches campaign for U.S. Senate". January 11, 2022.
6. "Sen. John Kennedy draws a challenger: Navy veteran Luke Mixon". October 5, 2021.
7. "KALB Exclusive: Syrita Steib seeking U.S. Senate seat". May 25, 2022.
8. "Here's what 5 governors have to say on Covid, climate change and campaign plans". Politico. January 28, 2022.
9. Bridges, Tyler (March 12, 2022). "New Orleans City Council members back Gary Chambers' bid to unseat Sen. John Kennedy". The Advocate. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
10. "Louisiana Senate Candidate Rips Enormous Blunt in First Campaign Ad". Rolling Stone . January 18, 2022. Retrieved July 13, 2022.
11. "Who is William Olson, Democratic candidate for 8th Congressional District?". Chicago Tribune. March 6, 2020. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
12. "Carter throws support behind Chambers run for Senate". www.brproud.com. September 17, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
13. "Senate candidate Gary Chambers gets first endorsement from La. elected official". BRProud.com. January 27, 2022. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
14. "The New Orleans Tribune Endorses the Following Candidates in the Nov. 8 Primary". The New Orleans Tribune. October 20, 2022. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
15. "Closer look at La. Democratic Party's controversial senatorial endorsement". www.kalb.com. August 15, 2022. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
16. "Endorsements – Our Black Party". www.ourblackparty.com. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
17. Barrabi, Thomas (March 6, 2021). "Trump endorses Louisiana Sen. John Kennedy in 2022 reelection bid". Fox News. Retrieved March 6, 2021.
18. "Sen. Kennedy, Rep. Letlow hold campaign rally in Bastrop". www.kalb.com. October 24, 2022. Archived from the original on October 25, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
19. "Senator John Kennedy Earns Endorsement from Animal Wellness Action in Re-Election Campaign". www.wjhl.com. October 26, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
20. "John Kennedy's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
21. "CCAGW PAC Endorses Sen. John Kennedy and Five Louisiana House Candidates". www.businesswire.com. October 13, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
22. "Republican Party Endorses Senator John Kennedy for Re-Election". August 14, 2021.
23. "Louisiana Small Business Community Endorses Senator John Kennedy for Re-Election". www.nfib.com. September 19, 2022. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
24. "NRA-PVF - Grades - Louisiana". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved July 17, 2023.
25. "Vote Freedom First. Vote John Kennedy for U.S. Senate!". nrapvf.org. Archived from the original on March 26, 2023. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
26. "U.S. Chamber of Commerce Endorses Kennedy for Senate". johnkennedy.com. February 3, 2021. Retrieved October 11, 2022.
27. Bridges, Tyler (June 2, 2022). "John Bel Edwards endorses Luke Mixon in uphill Senate race against John Kennedy". The Advocate . Archived from the original on June 2, 2022. Retrieved June 12, 2022.
28. "Rep. Kenny Cox Endorses Luke Mixon for U.S. Senate". www.lukemixon.com. May 31, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
29. "Louisiana House Democratic chairman endorses Luke Mixon in US Senate race".
30. "I'm honored to have the endorsement of Representative C. Denise Marcelle. She's a fierce advocate for the people of Baton Rouge. I'll fight for Louisiana everyday in the Senate. We've got 23 days until Election Day. Let's win this! 🗳 Vote Luke Mixon #9 on your ballot". Twitter . October 16, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
31. "VOTE: November 8th - Louisiana Federation of Teachers". la.aft.org. October 25, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
32. "Our Recommended Candidates".
33. "The Steady State Endorses Luke Mixon for Senate". thesteadystate.org. July 7, 2022. Retrieved October 12, 2022.
34. "VoteVets Announces Final Endorsements of the Quarter". March 30, 2022.
35. "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
36. "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
37. "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
38. "Louisiana Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
39. "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
40. "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
41. "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
42. "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived from the original on June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
43. "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
44. Public Policy Polling (D)
45. Echelon Insights
46. JMC Analytics (R)
47. "2022 Official Election Results". Louisiana Secretary of State.

External links

Official campaign websites

• Gary Chambers Jr. (D) for Senate
• Devin Graham (R) for Senate
• John Kennedy (R) for Senate
• Luke Mixon (D) for Senate
• Syrita Steib (D) for Senate