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Kennedy: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Chambers: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Mixon: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% >90% Steib: 40–50% 50–60% Billiot: >90% Tie: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Louisiana |
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana. Incumbent Republican U.S. senator John Kennedy was first elected in 2016. He ran for re-election to a second term, and was re-elected after receiving a majority of votes in the first round. [1] [2]
Kennedy won White voters (79% to 9%), while Chambers and Mixon both won a split majority of African Americans (48% to 24% to 16%). [3]
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Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Solid R | November 19, 2021 |
Inside Elections [36] | Solid R | January 7, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] | Safe R | November 3, 2021 |
Politico [38] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP [39] | Safe R | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News [40] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
DDHQ [41] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [42] | Solid R (Kennedy) | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [43] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Gary Chambers (D) | John Kennedy (R) | Luke Mixon (D) | Syrita Steib (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [44] | October 10–11, 2022 | 633 (RV) | – | 8% | 53% | 16% | 6% | 2% [b] | 14% |
Echelon Insights [45] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 16% | 51% | 8% | 6% | – | 19% |
JMC Analytics (R) [46] | March 21–23, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 14% | 53% | 7% | 3% | – | 23% |
Runoff election
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
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JMC Analytics (R) [46] | March 21–23, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 33% | 16% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | John Kennedy (incumbent) | 851,568 | 61.56% | ||
Democratic | Gary Chambers | 246,933 | 17.85% | ||
Democratic | Luke Mixon | 182,887 | 13.22% | ||
Democratic | Syrita Steib | 31,568 | 2.28% | ||
Republican | Devin Lance Graham | 25,275 | 1.83% | ||
Democratic | MV "Vinny" Mendoza | 11,910 | 0.86% | ||
Independent | Beryl Billiot | 9,378 | 0.68% | ||
Democratic | Salvador P. Rodriguez | 7,767 | 0.56% | ||
Independent | Bradley McMorris | 5,388 | 0.39% | ||
Libertarian | Aaron C. Sigler | 4,865 | 0.35% | ||
Independent | Alexander "Xan" John | 2,753 | 0.20% | ||
Independent | W. Thomas La Fontaine Olson | 1,676 | 0.12% | ||
Independent | Thomas Wenn | 1,322 | 0.10% | ||
Total votes | 1,383,290 | 100.00% | |||
Republican hold |
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