2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
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  Dan McKee Rose Garden October 2021.jpg Ashley Kalus.png
Nominee Dan McKee Ashley Kalus
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote207,166139,001
Percentage57.9%38.9%
2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Election by municipality.svg
McKee:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Kalus:      40–50%     50–60%
Governor before election

Dan McKee
Democratic

Elected Governor

Dan McKee
Democratic

The 2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Rhode Island. Incumbent Democratic Governor Dan McKee became Rhode Island's governor on March 2, 2021, when term-limited Gina Raimondo resigned following her confirmation as United States Secretary of Commerce. McKee easily won a full term on election day, defeating Republican Ashley Kalus by more than 19 percentage points. [1] [2]

Contents

McKee's margin of victory and vote share was the highest for any candidate for governor of Rhode Island since 1992. This was the first time since that election that Democrats won every county in a gubernatorial election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Matt Brown
U.S. Senators
State legislators
Helena Foulkes
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Newspapers
Nellie Gorbea
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions
Dan McKee
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Luis Daniel Muñoz
Individuals
Local officials
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Matt
Brown		Helena
Foulkes		Nellie
Gorbea		Seth
Magaziner		Dan
McKee		Luis Daniel
Muñoz		OtherUndecided
Fleming & Associates August 7–10, 2022405 (LV)± 4.9%8%14%25%–28%1%–21%
Lake Research Partners (D) [upper-alpha 1] July 25–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%7%14%27%–22%3%5%22%
Suffolk University June 19–22, 2022353 (LV)± 5.2%5%16%24%–20%1%2%31%
Fleming & Associates May 9–12, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%7%6%23%–25%2%–37%
Lake Research Partners (D) [upper-alpha 1] April 11–14, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%10%7%30%–24%1%3%26%
January 26, 2022Magaziner withdraws from the race
Lake Research Partners (D) [upper-alpha 1] November 7–10, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%6%4%24%16%26%––20%

Results

Results by county .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} McKee 30-40% Foulkes 30-40% 2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county
  McKee
  •   30–40%
  Foulkes
  •   30–40%
Results by municipality: McKee 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% Foulkes 30-40% 40-50% Gorbea 30-40% 2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by municipality.svg
Results by municipality:
  McKee
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Foulkes
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Gorbea
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results [54]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dan McKee (incumbent) 37,288 32.82%
Democratic Helena Foulkes 33,93129.87%
Democratic Nellie Gorbea 29,81126.24%
Democratic Matt Brown 9,0217.94%
Democratic Luis Daniel Muñoz3,5473.12%
Total votes113,598 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Ashley Kalus
Organizations

Results

Results by county: Kalus 80-90% 2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Kalus
  •   80–90%
Results by municipality: Kalus 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% >90% 2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by municipality.svg
Results by municipality:
  Kalus
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Republican primary results [54]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ashley Kalus 17,188 83.68%
Republican Jonathan Riccitelli3,35116.32%
Total votes20,539 100.0%

Third parties and Independents

Qualified

Declined

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [73] Solid DMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [74] Solid DMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [75] Likely DJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [76] Likely DApril 1, 2022
RCP [77] Likely DJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [78] Likely DMay 12, 2022
538 [79] Solid DJune 30, 2022
Elections Daily [80] Likely DNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Dan McKee (D)
Individuals
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Ashley Kalus (R)
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Dan
McKee (D)		Ashley
Kalus (R)		OtherUndecided
Suffolk University October 1–4, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%46%36%4% [lower-alpha 3] 14%
Fleming & Associates September 29 – October 2, 2022402 (LV)± 4.9%45%32%7% [lower-alpha 4] 15%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022373 (LV)± 6.1%51%28%–21%
Hypothetical polling
Dan McKee vs. Jonathan Riccitelli
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Dan
McKee (D)		Jonathan
Riccitelli (R)		Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022373 (LV)± 6.1%53%25%22%

Debates

2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial general election debates
No.DateHostModeratorLink Democratic Republican
Key:  P Participant 
Dan McKee Ashley Kalus
1October 11, 2022 WPRI-TV YouTube PP
1November 3, 2022 WJAR-TV C-SPAN pp

Results

2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election [83]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Dan McKee (incumbent) 207,166 57.92% +5.28%
Republican Ashley Kalus139,00138.86%+1.68%
Independent Zachary Hurwitz4,5121.26%N/A
Independent Paul Rianna Jr.3,1230.87%N/A
Libertarian Elijah Gizzarelli2,8110.79%N/A
Write-in 1,0570.30%−0.03%
Total votes357,670 100.0%
Turnout  %
Registered electors
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Note

  1. ↑ McKee became governor in 2021 when his predecessor, Gina Raimondo, resigned to become U.S. Secretary of Commerce. Prior to that, he was the Lieutenant Governor of Rhode Island.
  2. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ Hurwitz with 2%; Gizzarelli and Rianna with 1%
  4. ↑ Rianna with 3%; Gizzarelli and Hurwitz with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 This poll was sponsored by Gorbea's campaign

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References

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  2. ↑ "Ashley Kalus wins GOP primary for Rhode Island governor". PBS NewsHour. September 13, 2022. Retrieved October 14, 2022.
  3. ↑ "R.I. Governor Dan McKee formally announces gubernatorial bid - the Boston Globe". The Boston Globe .
  4. ↑ "Matt Brown enters Democratic race for RI governor speaking of 'revolution'". Archived from the original on September 23, 2021. Retrieved September 23, 2021.
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