| |||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 57.02% 0.22pp | ||||||||||||||||
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| |||||||||||||||||
Kemp: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Abrams: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
Elections in Georgia |
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The 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Georgia. Incumbent Republican Governor Brian Kemp won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams in a rematch. Abrams conceded on election night. [1] The primary occurred on May 24, 2022. [2] Kemp was sworn in for a second term on January 9, 2023.
Kemp was endorsed by former vice president Mike Pence and former president George W. Bush. He faced a primary challenge from former U.S. Senator David Perdue, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump after Kemp refused to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election in Georgia. Trump ultimately gave Kemp a last-minute endorsement in the general election. [3]
Stacey Abrams, the former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives and founder of Fair Fight Action who was narrowly defeated by Kemp in the 2018 gubernatorial election, was once again the Democratic nominee for the governorship. This was Georgia's first gubernatorial rematch since 1950. [4]
Libertarian Shane T. Hazel, the Libertarian nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020, also declared he would run. [5] This race was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. Kemp won his first term by a narrow 55,000-vote margin (1.4%) in 2018, which was Georgia's closest gubernatorial election since 1966. In 2022, however, pre-election forecasting showed a solid lead for Kemp throughout and he ultimately won re-election by nearly 300,000 votes (7.5%) - the largest raw vote victory for a Georgia governor since 2006. The race was seen as a potential benefit to Herschel Walker, who ran in the concurrent Senate race, as it was speculated Kemp's strong performance could help Walker avoid a runoff. He underperformed compared to Kemp, however, and narrowly lost to incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock in the December 6 runoff election. [6]
Incumbent governor Brian Kemp faced criticism from former president Donald Trump for his refusal to overturn the results of the 2020 United States presidential election. Kemp was booed at the Georgia Republican Convention in June 2021, [7] and in December former senator David Perdue announced a primary challenge to Kemp and was promptly endorsed by Trump. Initial polling showed a competitive race, however, Kemp significantly outraised his opponent and signed conservative legislation such as permitless carry of firearms and a temporary suspension of the gas tax that shored up his position among voters, and on election day, he won by over 50 points, a margin far larger than predicted. [8] [9] [10]
2022 Georgia gubernatorial Republican primary election debates | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | Date | Organizer | Location | P Participant A Absent (invited) I Invited N Not invited | Source | ||||||
Catherine Davis | Brian Kemp | David Perdue | Kandiss Taylor | Tom Williams | |||||||
1 | April 24, 2022 | WSB-TV | Atlanta | N | P | P | N | N | [24] | ||
2 | April 28, 2022 | WTOC-TV | Savannah | N | P | P | N | N | [25] | ||
3 | May 2, 2022 | Atlanta Press Club, Georgia Public Broadcasting | Atlanta | P | P | P | P | P | [18] [26] |
Executive Branch officials
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Campaign finance reports as of April 30, 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Brian Kemp (R) | $22,427,829 | $11,687,287 | $10,740,541 |
David Perdue (R) | $3,475,864 | $2,577,546 | $898,318 |
Source: Georgia Campaign Finance Commission [46] |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Brian Kemp | David Perdue | Kandiss Taylor | Other [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [47] | May 20–23, 2022 | May 24, 2022 | 54.7% | 35.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | Kemp +19.4 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Brian Kemp | Vernon Jones | David Perdue | Kandiss Taylor | Other | Undecided | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) [48] | May 21–23, 2022 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 52% | – | 38% | 5% | 1% [c] | 4% | |||||||
Landmark Communications (R) [49] | May 22, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 60% | – | 30% | 5% | 1% [d] | 4% | |||||||
InsiderAdvantage (R) [50] | May 20–21, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | – | 38% | 6% | 1% [e] | 4% | |||||||
Fox News [51] | May 12–16, 2022 | 1,004 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 60% | – | 28% | 6% | 2% [f] | 3% | |||||||
ARW Strategies (R) [52] | April 30 – May 1, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 59% | – | 22% | 7% | 2% [g] | 11% | |||||||
InsiderAdvantage (R) [53] | April 28 – May 1, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 54% | – | 38% | 4% | 2% [h] | 2% | |||||||
SurveyUSA [54] | April 22–27, 2022 | 559 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 56% | – | 31% | 3% | 2% [i] | 8% | |||||||
University of Georgia [55] | April 10–22, 2022 | 886 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 53% | – | 27% | 4% | 1% [j] | 15% | |||||||
Guidant Polling & Strategy (R) [56] [A] | April 18–21, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 57% | – | 31% | – | – | 12% | |||||||
Landmark Communications (R) [57] | April 9–10, 2022 | 660 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | – | 28% | 10% | 1% [k] | 10% | |||||||
Spry Strategies (R) [58] | April 6–10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | – | 35% | 3% | 1% [l] | 14% | |||||||
University of Georgia [59] | March 20 – April 8, 2022 | ~329 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 48% | – | 37% | 2% | 1% [m] | 12% | |||||||
Emerson College [60] | April 1–3, 2022 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | – | 32% | 2% | 6% [n] | 17% | |||||||
Cygnal (R) [61] [B] | March 30–31, 2022 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | – | 33% | 5% | 1% [o] | 12% | |||||||
BK Strategies (R) [62] | March 6–8, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | – | 33% | – | 4% | 14% | |||||||
Fox News [63] | March 2–6, 2022 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | – | 39% | – | 4% | 6% | |||||||
American Viewpoint (R) [64] | March 1–3, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | – | 35% | – | 6% | 8% | |||||||
InsiderAdvantage (R) [65] | February 28 – March 1, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | – | 35% | 3% | 3% [p] | 15% | |||||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) [66] | February 11–13, 2022 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | – | 40% | 3% | 1% [q] | 8% | |||||||
Jones withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University [67] | January 19–24, 2022 | 666 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 10% | 36% | 4% | 1% [r] | 5% | |||||||
InsiderAdvantage (R) [68] | December 6, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 11% | 22% | 4% | – | 23% | |||||||
American Viewpoint (R) [69] [C] | December 1–6, 2021 | 1,050 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 12% | 22% | – | 3% | 7% | |||||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) [70] | September 2–4, 2021 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 25% | – | 7% | 1% [s] | 19% | |||||||
Fabrizio Lee (R) [71] [D] | August 11–12, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 19% | 16% | 3% | <1% [t] | 20% |
Runoff polling
Doug Collins vs. Brian Kemp
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Doug Collins | Brian Kemp | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV Business School [72] | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 209 (LV) | ± 7.0% | 29% | 48% | 23% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) [73] | December 25–27, 2020 | – (LV) | – | 53% | 32% | 16% |
Marjorie Taylor Greene vs. Brian Kemp
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Marjorie Taylor Greene | Brian Kemp | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV Business School [72] | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 209 (LV) | ± 7.0% | 14% | 60% | 26% |
Brian Kemp vs. David Perdue
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Brian Kemp | David Perdue | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [60] | April 1–3, 2022 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 39% | 16% |
Cygnal (R) [61] [B] | March 30–31, 2022 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 52% | 37% | 10% |
Fabrizio Lee (R) [74] [E] | December 7–9, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Fabrizio Lee (R) [71] [D] | August 11–12, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Brian Kemp vs. Herschel Walker
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Brian Kemp | Herschel Walker | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV Business School [72] | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 209 (LV) | ± 7.0% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Kemp (incumbent) | 888,078 | 73.72% | |
Republican | David Perdue | 262,389 | 21.78% | |
Republican | Kandiss Taylor | 41,232 | 3.42% | |
Republican | Catherine Davis | 9,778 | 0.81% | |
Republican | Tom Williams | 3,255 | 0.27% | |
Total votes | 1,204,742 | 100.0% |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Stacey Abrams | 727,168 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 727,168 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [90] | Lean R | July 22, 2022 |
Inside Elections [91] | Lean R | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [92] | Likely R | November 7, 2022 |
Politico [93] | Lean R | October 3, 2022 |
RCP [94] | Lean R | September 20, 2022 |
Fox News [95] | Lean R | September 20, 2022 |
FiveThirtyEight [96] | Likely R | October 27, 2022 |
Elections Daily [97] | Likely R | November 7, 2022 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||
Brian Kemp | Stacey Abrams | Shane Hazel | |||||
1 | Oct. 17, 2022 | 11 Alive | P | P | P | ||
2 | Oct. 30, 2022 | WSB-TV | P | P | N |
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Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Brian Kemp (R) | $44,593,500 | $40,666,892 | $3,926,608 |
Stacey Abrams (D) | $54,021,428 | $53,951,027 | $70,400 |
Source: Georgia Campaign Finance Commission [46] |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Brian Kemp (R) | Stacey Abrams (D) | Other [u] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [133] | November 1–7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 52.8% | 44.5% | 2.7% | Kemp +8.3 |
FiveThirtyEight [134] | February 6 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 52.2% | 44.4% | 3.4% | Kemp +7.8 |
270ToWin [135] | November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 52.2% | 45.0% | 4.5% | Kemp +6.3 |
Average | 52.4% | 44.6% | 3.0% | Kemp +7.8 |
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Brian Kemp (R) | Stacey Abrams (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Landmark Communications [136] | November 4–7, 2022 | 1,214 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 46% | 2% [v] | 1% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) [137] | November 6, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 45% | 1% [w] | 4% |
Research Co. [138] | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 44% | 1% [x] | 4% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) [139] | November 4–6, 2022 | 1,103 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 53% | 44% | 2% [y] | 1% |
Data for Progress (D) [140] | November 2–6, 2022 | 1,474 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 45% | 2% [z] | – |
Targoz Market Research [141] | November 2–6, 2022 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 42% | 3% [aa] | – |
East Carolina University [142] | November 2–5, 2022 | 1,077 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 46% | 1% [ab] | 1% |
Amber Integrated (R) [143] | November 1–2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 43% | 1% [ac] | 3% |
Remington Research Group (R) [144] | November 1–2, 2022 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 55% | 41% | 1% [ad] | 3% |
Echleon Insights [145] | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 50% | 43% | 3% [ae] | 4% |
Marist College [146] | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 1,168 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 45% | <1% [af] | 4% |
1,009 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 53% | 45% | – | 2% | ||
SurveyUSA [147] | October 29 – November 2, 2022 | 1,171 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 45% | 1% [ag] | 2% |
Patinkin Research Strategies (D) [148] [F] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 47% | 2% [ah] | 2% |
Emerson College [149] | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% [ai] | 1% |
52% | 46% | 2% [aj] | – | ||||
Seven Letter Insight [150] | October 24–31, 2022 | 762 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 44% | 4% [ak] | 4% |
Fox News [151] | October 26–30, 2022 | 1,002 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 43% | 3% [al] | 5% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) [152] | October 27, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 43% | 1% [am] | 5% |
Siena College/NYT [153] | October 24–27, 2022 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 45% | 1% [an] | 4% |
University of Georgia [154] | October 16–27, 2022 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 44% | 2% [ao] | 3% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) [155] | October 23–24, 2022 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 41% | – | – |
The Trafalgar Group (R) [156] [G] | October 21–23, 2022 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 45% | 3% [ap] | – |
East Carolina University [157] | October 13–18, 2022 | 905 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 44% | 2% [aq] | 3% |
Landmark Communications [158] | October 15–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 45% | 2% [ar] | 2% |
Data for Progress (D) [159] | October 13–17, 2022 | 984 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 43% | 1% [as] | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) [160] | October 16, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 43% | 2% [at] | 5% |
Wick Insights [161] | October 8–14, 2022 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 43% | 2% [au] | 3% |
Civiqs [162] | October 8–11, 2022 | 717 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 46% | 1% [av] | 1% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) [163] | October 8–11, 2022 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 53% | 44% | 2% [aw] | 2% |
Quinnipiac University [164] | October 7–10, 2022 | 1,157 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 49% | 1% [ax] | 1% |
Emerson College [165] | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 46% | 1% [ay] | 2% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) [166] | October 4, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 45% | 2% [az] | 3% |
SurveyUSA [167] | September 30 – October 4, 2022 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 45% | 3% [ba] | 5% |
University of Georgia [168] | September 25 – October 4, 2022 | 1,030 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 41% | 2% [bb] | 6% |
Fox News [169] | September 22–26, 2022 | 1,011 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 43% | 4% [bc] | 4% |
Data for Progress (D) [170] | September 16–20, 2022 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 44% | 3% [bd] | 2% |
YouGov/CBS News [171] | September 14–19, 2022 | 1,178 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% [be] | 0% |
Patinkin Research Strategies (D) [172] [F] | September 14–18, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 2% | 2% |
University of Georgia [173] | September 5–16, 2022 | 861 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 42% | 2% | 6% |
Marist College [174] | September 12–15, 2022 | 1,202 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 44% | 2% [bf] | 4% |
992 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | 2% [bg] | 2% | ||
Survey Monkey (D) [175] [H] | September 9–12, 2022 | 949 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | – | 9% |
542 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 5% | ||
Quinnipiac University [176] | September 8–12, 2022 | 1,278 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 50% | 48% | 1% | 1% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) [177] | September 6–7, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 42% | 2% [bh] | 6% |
Echelon Insights [178] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
Emerson College [179] | August 28–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 44% | 6% | 2% |
TargetSmart (D) [180] [I] | August 22–29, 2022 | 2,327 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 46% | 2% [bi] | 3% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) [163] | August 24–27, 2022 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 44% | 2% [bj] | 4% |
Phillips Academy [181] | August 3–7, 2022 | 971 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 44% | – | 5% |
Research Affiliates (D) [182] [J] | July 26 – August 1, 2022 | 420 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) [183] | July 26–27, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 44% | 5% [bk] | 2% |
Fox News [184] | July 22–26, 2022 | 901 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 1% | 7% |
SurveyUSA [185] | July 21–24, 2022 | 604 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 44% | 4% | 7% |
University of Georgia [186] | July 14–22, 2022 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 43% | 2% [bl] | 7% |
Beacon Research (D) [187] [K] | July 5–20, 2022 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 44% | 1% | 7% |
602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | 1% | 5% | ||
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [188] | July 5–11, 2022 | 1,197 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 45% | – | 3% |
Cygnal (R) [189] [C] | July 5–7, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
Data for Progress (D) [190] | July 1–6, 2022 | 1,131 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 44% | – | 3% |
Change Research (D) [191] [L] | June 24–27, 2022 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 47% | – | 4% |
Quinnipiac University [192] | June 23–27, 2022 | 1,497 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 3% |
Moore Information Group (R) [193] [M] | June 11–16, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 44% | – | 5% |
East Carolina University [194] | June 6–9, 2022 | 868 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 45% | 2% | 2% |
TargetSmart (D) [195] [I] | Late May 2022 | – (LV) | – | 51% | 43% | 2% | 4% |
SurveyUSA [196] | April 22–27, 2022 | 1,278 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
Cygnal (R) [197] [B] | April 6–9, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 44% | – | 6% |
Emerson College [60] | April 1–3, 2022 | 1,013 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 44% | – | 5% |
Wick [198] | February 2–6, 2022 | 1,290 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
Quinnipiac University [67] | January 19–24, 2022 | 1,702 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 49% | 47% | – | 3% |
University of Georgia [199] | January 13–24, 2022 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 41% | 1% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [200] | November 9, 2021 | 753 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 41% | 3% | 6% |
733 (LV) | 47% | 44% | 3% | 4% | |||
UNLV Business School [72] | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 40% | – | 16% |
Vernon Jones vs. Stacey Abrams
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Vernon Jones (R) | Stacey Abrams (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [200] | November 9, 2021 | 753 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 42% | 2% | 12% |
733 (LV) | 40% | 45% | 2% | 9% |
Doug Collins vs. Stacey Abrams
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Doug Collins (R) | Stacey Abrams (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV Business School [72] | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
David Perdue vs. Stacey Abrams
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | David Perdue (R) | Stacey Abrams (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [196] | April 22–27, 2022 | 1,278 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
Cygnal (R) [197] [B] | April 6–9, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
Emerson College [60] | April 1–3, 2022 | 1,013 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
Wick [198] | February 2–6, 2022 | 1,290 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
Quinnipiac University [67] | January 19–24, 2022 | 1,702 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 48% | 1% | 3% |
University of Georgia [199] | January 13–24, 2022 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 43% | 2% | 6% |
Marjorie Taylor Greene vs. Stacey Abrams
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) | Stacey Abrams (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV Business School [72] | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 42% | 16% |
Herschel Walker vs. Stacey Abrams
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Herschel Walker (R) | Stacey Abrams (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV Business School [72] | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Kemp (incumbent) | 2,111,572 | 53.41% | +3.19% | |
Democratic | Stacey Abrams | 1,813,673 | 45.88% | −2.95% | |
Libertarian | Shane T. Hazel | 28,163 | 0.71% | −0.24% | |
Total votes | 3,953,408 | 100.00% | |||
Turnout | 3,964,926 | 57.02% | |||
Registered electors | 6,953,485 | ||||
Republican hold |
By county | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
|
Kemp won 9 of 14 congressional districts. [202]
District | Kemp | Abrams | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 60% | 39% | Buddy Carter |
2nd | 48% | 52% | Sanford Bishop |
3rd | 68% | 31% | Drew Ferguson |
4th | 23% | 77% | Hank Johnson |
5th | 19% | 80% | Nikema Williams |
6th | 63% | 36% | Lucy McBath (117th Congress) |
Rich McCormick (118th Congress) | |||
7th | 41% | 58% | Carolyn Bourdeaux (117th Congress) |
Lucy McBath (118th Congress) | |||
8th | 68% | 32% | Austin Scott |
9th | 74% | 25% | Andrew Clyde |
10th | 65% | 35% | Jody Hice (117th Congress) |
Mike Collins (118th Congress) | |||
11th | 62% | 37% | Barry Loudermilk |
12th | 59% | 40% | Rick Allen |
13th | 19% | 80% | David Scott |
14th | 72% | 28% | Marjorie Taylor Greene |
Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls. [203]
Demographic subgroup | Kemp | Abrams | % of total vote |
---|---|---|---|
Ideology | |||
Liberals | 6 | 93 | 18 |
Moderates | 37 | 61 | 41 |
Conservatives | 90 | 10 | 41 |
Party | |||
Democrats | 4 | 96 | 35 |
Republicans | 98 | 1 | 41 |
Independents | 49 | 48 | 24 |
Age | |||
18–24 years old | 33 | 66 | 6 |
25–29 years old | 44 | 55 | 6 |
30–39 years old | 46 | 53 | 14 |
40–49 years old | 47 | 51 | 17 |
50–64 years old | 58 | 42 | 32 |
65 and older | 62 | 37 | 25 |
Gender | |||
Men | 58 | 40 | 47 |
Women | 48 | 51 | 53 |
Marital status | |||
Married | 60 | 39 | 62 |
Unmarried | 39 | 59 | 38 |
Race/ethnicity | |||
White | 74 | 25 | 62 |
Black | 9 | 90 | 28 |
Latino | 43 | 55 | 6 |
Asian | 46 | 54 | 2 |
Other | 47 | 47 | 3 |
Gender by race | |||
White men | 76 | 23 | 31 |
White women | 72 | 27 | 30 |
Black men | 14 | 84 | 11 |
Black women | 6 | 93 | 17 |
Latino men | 44 | 55 | 3 |
Latino women | 43 | 55 | 4 |
Other racial/ethnic groups | 47 | 50 | 4 |
Education | |||
Never attended college | 61 | 38 | 16 |
Some college education | 53 | 47 | 27 |
Associate degree | 52 | 47 | 16 |
Bachelor's degree | 55 | 43 | 23 |
Advanced degree | 43 | 56 | 17 |
Education by race | |||
White college graduates | 63 | 36 | 27 |
White no college degree | 83 | 17 | 34 |
Non-white college graduates | 23 | 75 | 13 |
Non-white no college degree | 17 | 82 | 25 |
Education by gender/race | |||
White women with college degrees | 60 | 39 | 13 |
White women without college degrees | 81 | 18 | 17 |
White men with college degrees | 66 | 33 | 14 |
White men without college degrees | 84 | 16 | 18 |
Non-white | 19 | 79 | 38 |
Issue regarded as most important | |||
Crime | 52 | 47 | 13 |
Inflation | 77 | 22 | 36 |
Immigration | 86 | 13 | 7 |
Gun policy | 42 | 57 | 10 |
Abortion | 24 | 74 | 26 |
Abortion should be | |||
Legal | 28 | 71 | 53 |
Illegal | 89 | 10 | 43 |
2020 presidential vote | |||
Biden | 6 | 94 | 42 |
Trump | 97 | 2 | 48 |
Confident your state's elections are accurate | |||
Very confident | 43 | 56 | 34 |
Somewhat confident | 57 | 42 | 42 |
Not very confident | 69 | 30 | 15 |
Not at all confident | 79 | 19 | 6 |
Biden legitimately won in 2020 | |||
Yes | 24 | 74 | 58 |
No | 94 | 5 | 38 |
Area type | |||
Urban | 34 | 65 | 20 |
Suburban | 53 | 46 | 53 |
Rural | 67 | 32 | 27 |
Partisan clients
Brian Porter Kemp is an American politician serving since 2019 as the 83rd governor of Georgia. A member of the Republican Party, Kemp served as the state's 27th Secretary of State from 2010 to 2018, and as a member of the Georgia State Senate from 2003 to 2007.
Stacey Yvonne Abrams is an American politician, lawyer, voting rights activist, and author who served in the Georgia House of Representatives from 2007 to 2017, serving as minority leader from 2011 to 2017. A member of the Democratic Party, Abrams founded Fair Fight Action, an organization to address voter suppression, in 2018. Her efforts have been widely credited with boosting voter turnout in Georgia, including in the 2020 presidential election, when Joe Biden narrowly won the state, and in Georgia's 2020–21 regularly scheduled and special U.S. Senate elections, which gave Democrats control of the Senate.
The 2016 United States Senate election in Georgia was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary election for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on May 24, 2016.
The 2018 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, concurrently with other statewide and local elections to elect the next governor of the U.S. state of Georgia. Republican Secretary of State Brian Kemp won the election, defeating Democratic former State Representative Stacey Abrams.
William Burton Jones is an American politician and businessman who has served as the 13th lieutenant governor of Georgia since 2023. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as a member of the Georgia State Senate from January 2013 to January 2023, representing the 25th District.
The 2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020, and on January 5, 2021, to elect the Class II member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. Democrat Jon Ossoff defeated incumbent Republican Senator David Perdue in the runoff election. The general election was held concurrently with the 2020 presidential election, as well as with other elections to the Senate, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Georgia on November 6, 2018. All of Georgia's executive officers were up for election as well as all of Georgia's fourteen seats in the United States House of Representatives. Neither U.S. Senate seat was up for election in 2018. The Republican Party won every statewide office in 2018.
A special election to determine the member of the United States House of Representatives for Georgia's 6th congressional district was held on April 18, 2017, with a runoff held two months later on June 20. Republican Karen Handel narrowly defeated Democrat Jon Ossoff in the runoff vote, 51.8% to 48.2%. Handel succeeded Tom Price, who resigned from the seat following his confirmation as United States Secretary of Health and Human Services in the Trump administration. The runoff election was necessary when no individual candidate earned the majority of votes in the election on April 18. Ossoff received 48.1% of the vote in the first round, followed by Handel with 19.8%.
The 2018 Georgia lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the lieutenant governor of Georgia, concurrently with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2018 Georgia Secretary of State election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Secretary of State of Georgia. It was held concurrently with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as elections for the United States Senate and elections for the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Republican Incumbent Secretary of State Brian Kemp chose not to run for re-election and instead ran successfully for governor. Since no candidate received the requisite 50 percent of the vote, the top two candidates, Democrat John Barrow and Republican Brad Raffensperger proceeded to a runoff on December 4, 2018.
The 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Georgia. Incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock won his first full term in office, defeating Republican former football player Herschel Walker. Under Georgia's two-round system, Warnock was re-elected in a runoff election on December 6 after neither candidate received over 50% of the vote on November 8. Warnock's win was the only statewide victory for Democrats in Georgia in 2022.
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Georgia, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
The 2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020, and on January 5, 2021, to elect the Class III member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. Democrat Raphael Warnock defeated appointed incumbent Republican Kelly Loeffler. The first round of the election was held on November 3, 2020; however, no candidate received a majority of the vote, so the top two candidates—Warnock and Loeffler—advanced to a runoff on January 5, 2021, which Warnock won narrowly.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Georgia, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Georgia gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.
Several elections took place in the U.S. state of Georgia in 2022. The general election was held on November 8, 2022. A runoff election for one of Georgia's seats in the United States Senate was held on December 6, 2022. The runoff was scheduled because none of the candidates for Senate received 50% of the statewide vote in the general election. In addition to the Senate seat, all of Georgia's seats in the United States House of Representatives were up for election. Also up for election were all of Georgia's executive officers and legislative seats, as well as one seat on the Georgia Public Service Commission. The Republican Party decisively won every single statewide office in Georgia except for the Federal Senate race which narrowly went Democratic in 2022.
The 2022 Georgia Secretary of State election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the Secretary of State of Georgia. Incumbent Republican Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger won re-election to a second term. Raffensperger emerged as a major national figure in early January, 2021 when he faced significant pressure from then-President Donald Trump to overturn the 2020 presidential election in Georgia. Trump had been taped in a phone call asking Raffensperger to "find 11,780 votes," the exact number needed for Trump to carry the state. The party primary elections took place on May 24, with runoffs scheduled for June 21.
The 2022 Georgia lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Georgia. It coincided with various other statewide elections, including for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and Governor of Georgia. Georgia is one of 21 states that elects its lieutenant governor separately from its governor.
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Greg Bluestein is an American journalist, author and TV analyst who covers Georgia politics for The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. He has also written about former President Jimmy Carter and covered regional and national news as an Atlanta-based journalist for The Associated Press. He contributes to the Political Insider blog, is an MSNBC and NBC News contributor, and is host of the Politically Georgia podcast.
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