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Aguilar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Marchant: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Nevada |
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The 2022 Nevada Secretary of State election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the next secretary of state of Nevada.
Incumbent Republican Barbara Cegavske was term-limited and could not seek a third term.
Newspapers
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kristopher Dahir | John Gerhardt | Jesse Haw | Socorro Keenan | Jim Marchant | Gerard Ramalho | Richard Scotti | None of These Candidates | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights [13] | June 6–7, 2022 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 1% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 42% |
| OH Predictive Insights [14] | May 10–12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 16% | 3% | 8% | 26% | 35% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Marchant | 82,843 | 37.62% | |
| Republican | Jesse Haw | 44,778 | 20.33% | |
| Republican | Richard Scotti | 34,984 | 15.89% | |
| None of These Candidates | 18,245 | 8.28% | ||
| Republican | Kristopher Dahir | 15,204 | 6.90% | |
| Republican | John Gerhardt | 10,815 | 4.91% | |
| Republican | Gerard Ramalho | 9,325 | 4.23% | |
| Republican | Socorro Keenan | 4,025 | 1.83% | |
| Total votes | 220,219 | 100.0% | ||
Organizations
Labor unions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [24] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
| Elections Daily [25] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Executive Branch officials
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jim Marchant (R) | Cisco Aguilar (D) | None of These Candidates | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College [31] | October 26–29, 2022 | 2,000 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 43% | 41% | – | – | 8% |
| OH Predictive Insights [32] | October 24–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 41% | 1% | 6% [b] | 13% |
| Siena Research/NYT [33] | October 19–24, 2022 | 885 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 44% | – | <1% [c] | 15% |
| University of Nevada, Reno [34] | October 5–19, 2022 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 27% | 29% | – | 5% [d] | 40% |
| CNN/SSRS [35] | September 26 – October 2, 2022 | 926 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 44% | 6% | 4% [e] | 2% |
| 828 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 43% | 5% | 4% [e] | 2% | ||
| OH Predictive Insights [36] | September 20–29, 2022 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 39% | 31% | 3% | 6% [f] | 21% |
| Suffolk University [37] | August 14–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 27% | 7% | 9% [g] | 26% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Cisco Aguilar | 496,569 | 48.95% | +0.70% | |
| Republican | Jim Marchant | 473,467 | 46.67% | −2.24% | |
| None of These Candidates | 18,144 | 1.79% | -1.05% | ||
| Independent American | Janine Hansen | 17,472 | 1.72% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Ross Crane | 8,821 | 0.87% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 1,014,473 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | |||||
| County [38] | Jim Marchant Republican | Cisco Aguilar Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Carson City | 11,778 | 50.13% | 10,451 | 44.49% | 1,264 | 5.38% | −1,327 | −5.65% | 23,493 |
| Churchill | 6,721 | 68.39% | 2,518 | 25.62% | 589 | 5.99% | −4,203 | −42.77% | 9,828 |
| Clark | 295,920 | 43.64% | 355,074 | 52.37% | 27,068 | 3.99% | 59,154 | 8.72% | 678,062 |
| Douglas | 18,171 | 63.02% | 9,480 | 32.88% | 1,183 | 4.10% | −8,691 | −30.14% | 28,834 |
| Elko | 11,721 | 72.71% | 3,111 | 19.30% | 1,288 | 7.99% | −8,610 | −53.41% | 16,120 |
| Esmeralda | 335 | 74.28% | 72 | 15.96% | 44 | 9.76% | −263 | −58.31% | 451 |
| Eureka | 646 | 82.82% | 65 | 8.33% | 69 | 8.85% | −581 | −74.49% | 780 |
| Humboldt | 4,229 | 69.43% | 1,388 | 22.79% | 474 | 7.78% | −2,841 | −46.64% | 6,091 |
| Lander | 1,566 | 70.99% | 410 | 18.59% | 230 | 10.43% | −1,156 | −52.40% | 2,206 |
| Lincoln | 1,690 | 78.50% | 297 | 13.79% | 166 | 7.71% | −1,393 | −64.70% | 2,153 |
| Lyon | 15,732 | 67.06% | 6,400 | 27.28% | 1,327 | 5.66% | −9,332 | −39.78% | 23,459 |
| Mineral | 1,085 | 57.56% | 649 | 34.43% | 151 | 8.01% | −436 | −23.13% | 1,885 |
| Nye | 13,654 | 65.79% | 5,894 | 28.40% | 1,207 | 5.82% | −7,760 | −37.39% | 20,755 |
| Pershing | 1,194 | 67.34% | 435 | 24.53% | 144 | 8.12% | −759 | −42.81% | 1,773 |
| Storey | 1,687 | 66.11% | 718 | 28.13% | 147 | 5.76% | −969 | −37.97% | 2,552 |
| Washoe | 84,810 | 44.03% | 98,961 | 51.38% | 8,833 | 4.59% | 14,151 | 7.35% | 192,604 |
| White Pine | 2,528 | 73.77% | 646 | 18.85% | 253 | 7.38% | −1,882 | −54.92% | 3,427 |
| Totals | 473,467 | 46.67% | 496,569 | 48.95% | 44,437 | 4.38% | 23,102 | 2.28% | 1,014,473 |
Aguilar won three of four congressional districts. [39]
| District | Marchant | Aguilar | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 44% | 52% | Dina Titus |
| 2nd | 52% | 43% | Mark Amodei |
| 3rd | 45% | 52% | Susie Lee |
| 4th | 45% | 51% | Steven Horsford |