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Aguilar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Marchant: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Nevada |
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Nevadaportal |
The 2022 Nevada Secretary of State election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the next secretary of state of Nevada.
Incumbent Republican Barbara Cegavske was term-limited and could not seek a third term.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kristopher Dahir | John Gerhardt | Jesse Haw | Socorro Keenan | Jim Marchant | Gerard Ramalho | Richard Scotti | None of These Candidates | Undecided |
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OH Predictive Insights [13] | June 6–7, 2022 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 1% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 42% |
OH Predictive Insights [14] | May 10–12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 16% | 3% | 8% | 26% | 35% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Marchant | 82,843 | 37.62% | |
Republican | Jesse Haw | 44,778 | 20.33% | |
Republican | Richard Scotti | 34,984 | 15.89% | |
None of These Candidates | 18,245 | 8.28% | ||
Republican | Kristopher Dahir | 15,204 | 6.90% | |
Republican | John Gerhardt | 10,815 | 4.91% | |
Republican | Gerard Ramalho | 9,325 | 4.23% | |
Republican | Socorro Keenan | 4,025 | 1.83% | |
Total votes | 220,219 | 100.0% |
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Labor unions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Sabato's Crystal Ball [24] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
Elections Daily [25] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jim Marchant (R) | Cisco Aguilar (D) | None of These Candidates | Other | Undecided |
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Emerson College [31] | October 26–29, 2022 | 2,000 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 43% | 41% | – | – | 8% |
OH Predictive Insights [32] | October 24–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 41% | 1% | 6% [b] | 13% |
Siena Research/NYT [33] | October 19–24, 2022 | 885 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 44% | – | <1% [c] | 15% |
University of Nevada, Reno [34] | October 5–19, 2022 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 27% | 29% | – | 5% [d] | 40% |
CNN/SSRS [35] | September 26 – October 2, 2022 | 926 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 44% | 6% | 4% [e] | 2% |
828 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 43% | 5% | 4% [e] | 2% | ||
OH Predictive Insights [36] | September 20–29, 2022 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 39% | 31% | 3% | 6% [f] | 21% |
Suffolk University [37] | August 14–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 27% | 7% | 9% [g] | 26% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cisco Aguilar | 496,569 | 48.95% | +0.70% | |
Republican | Jim Marchant | 473,467 | 46.67% | −2.24% | |
None of These Candidates | 18,144 | 1.79% | -1.05% | ||
Independent American | Janine Hansen | 17,472 | 1.72% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Ross Crane | 8,821 | 0.87% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,014,473 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic gain from Republican |
Aguilar won 3 of 4 congressional districts. [39]
District | Marchant | Aguilar | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 44% | 52% | Dina Titus |
2nd | 52% | 43% | Mark Amodei |
3rd | 45% | 52% | Susie Lee |
4th | 45% | 51% | Steven Horsford |
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