2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election
Flag of Tennessee.svg
  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  
Turnout38.61% Decrease2.svg [1] 15.85 pp
  Bill Lee at Change of Command Ceremony (1) (cropped).jpg JasonMartin(Cropped) (cropped).jpg
Nominee Bill Lee Jason Martin
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote1,129,390572,818
Percentage64.91%32.92%

2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election by congressional district.svg
2022 Tennessee governor election by state senate district.svg
2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election by state house district.svg
TN Governor 2022.svg
Lee:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Martin:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
     No data

Governor before election

Bill Lee
Republican

Elected Governor

Bill Lee
Republican

The 2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Lee was re-elected to a second term with 64.9% of the vote, defeating his Democratic challenger Jason Martin. Lee improved on his performance from 2018.

Contents

The primary elections took place on August 4, 2022, with Lee and Martin winning their respective parties' nominations. [2] [3]

During the general election, Lee flipped reliably Democratic Haywood County, home to Brownsville. It is one of only two remaining counties in Tennessee, along with Shelby County, with a majority African-American population. Haywood County has not voted Republican on a presidential level since 1972. Martin won only Shelby and Davidson counties. This was the first time in state history that Davidson County did not vote for the winner in a gubernatorial re-election since Tennessee began allowing governors to serve for two consecutive terms.

Voter turnout for the 2022 midterm elections in Tennessee was the lowest it has been in nearly a decade, with only 38.6% of Tennessee's registered voters turning out. This turnout was far below the 2020 presidential election in Tennessee, which saw a turnout of 69.3%. [4] [5] The last time turnout was this low in Tennessee was in the 2014 midterm elections. Tennessee's neighboring state Alabama saw a significant drop in voter turnout as well.

Bill Lee was sworn in for his second term on January 21, 2023.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

  • Curtis Carney, business owner [8] [7]
  • Tyler Hagerman [7]
  • Patricia Morrison [7]

Declined

Endorsements

Bill Lee
U.S. Executive Branch officials

Results

Republican primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bill Lee (incumbent) 494,362 100.00%
Total votes494,362 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

J. B. Smiley Jr.
U.S. representatives
Local officials

Results

Results by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Martin
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Smiley
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Atwater
30-40% 2022 Tennessee gubernatorial Democratic primary.svg
Results by county:
  Martin
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Smiley
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Atwater
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jason Martin 101,552 39.39%
Democratic J.B. Smiley Jr.100,06238.81%
Democratic Carnita Atwater56,22721.81%
Total votes257,841 100.00%

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

  • Lemichael DaShaun-Wilson [25]
  • Hosie Holomon III [25]
  • Wendell Jackson [25]
  • Jake Johns [25]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [26] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [27] Solid RJuly 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe RJune 29, 2022
Politico [29] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [30] Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [31] Solid RMay 12, 2022
538 [32] Solid RAugust 4, 2022
Elections Daily [33] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Jason Martin (D)

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Bill
Lee (R)
Jason
Martin (D)
OtherUndecided
RABA Research July 21–31, 2022549 (LV)± 4.2%52%28%6%14%
Hypothetical polling
Bill Lee vs. generic opponent
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Bill
Lee (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Vanderbilt University April 26 – May 14, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.8%48%39%12%

Results

2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Tennessee Gubernatorial County Flips.svg

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

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References

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  2. "2022 Midterm Election Events Calendar". www.cnn.com. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  3. "Doctor critical of lax COVID rules wins Tenn. Dem gov race". AP NEWS. August 5, 2022. Retrieved August 5, 2022.
  4. McCullough, Erin (November 11, 2022). "Less than 40% of registered voters in Tennessee turned out for the 2022 midterms". WKRN News 2. Retrieved November 11, 2022.
  5. Gonzales, Tony (November 10, 2022). "Tennessee voter turnout far below 2018 showing". 90.3 WPLM News. Retrieved December 30, 2022.
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  7. 1 2 3 4 "Tennessee Petitions". TNSOS. Retrieved April 8, 2022.
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  11. 1 2 Murray, Stephanie (August 16, 2021). "Redistricting looms in Texas". Politico . Archived from the original on August 16, 2021. Retrieved August 30, 2021.
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  25. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "Petition Information". Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 7, 2022.
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Official campaign websites