2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

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2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
Flag of New Hampshire.svg
←  2020 November 8, 2022 2024  →
Turnout67.63% Decrease2.svg
  Chris Sununu 2022.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Chris Sununu Tom Sherman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote352,982256,774
Percentage56.98%41.47%
2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election results map by CD.svg
2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
New Hampshire 2022 Governor (Wiki).svg
Sununu:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Sherman:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
Governor before election

Chris Sununu
Republican

Elected Governor

Chris Sununu
Republican

The 2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu won election to a fourth term, defeating Democratic nominee Tom Sherman.

Contents

Sununu had "expressed interest" in running for the U.S. Senate in 2022 against incumbent Democrat (and former governor) Maggie Hassan. However, on November 9, 2021, he announced that he would instead run for a fourth term as governor. [1] Sununu became the first Republican to win a fourth term as governor, also tying John Lynch's modern record of four terms overall.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Julian Acciard, security specialist, Iraq War veteran, and former candidate for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional district in 2022 [2]
  • Jay Lewis, Laconia resident [3]
  • Richard McMenamon II [4]
  • Thad Riley, entrepreneur, former Brentwood school board member and community advocate [5]
  • Karen Testerman, former Franklin city councilor and candidate for governor in 2020 [6]

Declined

Endorsements

Chris Sununu

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Thad
Riley		Chris
Sununu		Karen
Testerman		OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [10] August 25–29, 2022892 (LV)± 3.3%7%72%5%2% [lower-alpha 2] 14%
Saint Anselm College [11] August 9–11, 2022820 (RV)± 3.4%5%68%6%2%19%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Kelly
Ayotte		Scott
Brown		Frank
Edelbut		Chuck
Morse		Undecided
Praecones Analytica [12] August 13–20, 2021792 (LV)± 3.5%46%13%7%6%29%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Sununu 70-80% 80-90% 2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Sununu
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Chris Sununu (incumbent) 113,443 78.66%
Republican Karen Testerman14,47310.04%
Republican Thaddeus Riley11,1077.70%
Republican Julian Acciard2,9062.01%
Republican Jay Lewis1,3180.91%
Republican Richard McMenamon II8170.57%
Write-in 1600.11%
Total votes144,224 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Tom Sherman

Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Tom Sherman 82,607 97.57%
Republican Chris Sununu (incumbent) (write-in)1,9632.32%
Write-in 950.11%
Total votes84,665 100.0%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominees

  • Karlyn Borysenko, activist and author [21]
  • Kelly Halldorson [21]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [22] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [23] Solid RSeptember 23, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [24] Safe RAugust 18, 2022
Politico [25] Solid RNovember 3, 2022
RCP [26] Safe RJune 8, 2022
Fox News [27] Likely RMay 12, 2022
538 [28] Solid RAugust 26, 2022
Elections Daily [29] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Chris Sununu (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

Organizations

Tom Sherman (D)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Chris
Sununu (R)		Tom
Sherman (D)		Other
[lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics [34] October 28 – November 6, 2022November 8, 202256.4%39.4%4.2%Sununu +17.0
FiveThirtyEight [35] September 15, 2021 – November 8, 2022November 8, 202255.4%39.0%5.6%Sununu +16.4
Average55.9%39.2%4.9%Sununu +16.7

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Sununu (R)		Tom
Sherman (D)		OtherUndecided
Phillips Academy [36] November 5–6, 20221,056 (LV)± 3.0%58%36%–6%
University of New Hampshire [37] November 2–6, 20222,077 (LV)± 2.2%55%43%2% [lower-alpha 4] <1%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [38] [upper-alpha 1] November 5, 2022700 (LV)± 3.7%56%40%2% [lower-alpha 5] 2%
Data for Progress (D) [39] November 2–5, 20221,995 (LV)± 2.0%58%40%2% [lower-alpha 6] –
Wick Insights [40] November 2–5, 2022725 (LV)± 3.6%53%43%2% [lower-alpha 7] 2%
Emerson College [41] October 30 – November 1, 2022850 (LV)± 3.3%57%36%4% [lower-alpha 8] 4%
58%37%6% [lower-alpha 9] –
Saint Anselm College [42] October 28–29, 20221,541 (LV)± 2.5%55%37%2% [lower-alpha 10] 6%
co/efficient (R) [43] October 25–26, 20221,098 (LV)± 3.2%52%34%5% [lower-alpha 11] 8%
UMass Lowell/YouGov [44] October 14–25, 2022600 (LV)± 5.1%51%35%12% [lower-alpha 12] 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [45] [upper-alpha 1] October 23, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%54%37%4% [lower-alpha 13] 6%
Emerson College [46] October 18–19, 2022727 (LV)± 3.6%52%40%3% [lower-alpha 14] 5%
54%41%4% [lower-alpha 15] –
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [47] [upper-alpha 2] October 17–19, 2022600 (LV)–57%40%–4%
Data for Progress (D) [48] October 14–19, 20221,392 (LV)± 3.0%53%40%3% [lower-alpha 16] 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [49] October 2–6, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%55%41%1%3%
Data for Progress (D) [50] September 23–30, 20221,147 (LV)± 3.0%52%39%4% [lower-alpha 17] 5%
Saint Anselm College [51] September 27–28, 2022901 (RV)± 3.3%50%34%5% [lower-alpha 18] 11%
Suffolk University [52] September 23–26, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%53%36%4% [lower-alpha 19] 8%
American Research Group [53] September 15–19, 2022555 (RV)± 4.2%53%38%–9%
University of New Hampshire [54] September 15–19, 2022870 (LV)± 3.3%55%37%1% [lower-alpha 20] 8%
Emerson College [55] September 14–15, 2022800 (LV)± 3.4%52%37%4% [lower-alpha 21] 7%
Saint Anselm College [11] August 9–11, 20221,898 (RV)± 2.3%48%29%4%18%
Public Policy Polling (D) [56] [upper-alpha 3] July 5–6, 2022601 (LV)± 4.0%43%33%8% [lower-alpha 22] 16%
University of New Hampshire [57] April 14–18, 2022868 (LV)± 3.5%55%29%1%14%
Phillips Academy [58] April 4–8, 2022533 (A)± 4.2%62%24%–14%
471 (RV)± 4.5%73%24%–3%
Saint Anselm College [59] March 23–24, 20221,265 (RV)± 2.8%51%24%10%15%
Hypothetical polling

Chris Sununu vs. generic opponent

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Sununu (R)		Generic
Opponent		Undecided
Saint Anselm College [60] January 11–12, 20221,215 (RV)± 2.8%45%45%10%

Results

2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election [61]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Chris Sununu (incumbent) 352,813 56.98% −8.14%
Democratic Tom Sherman 256,76641.47%+8.11%
Libertarian Kelly Halldorson5,0710.82%N/A
Libertarian Karlyn Borysenko2,7720.45%N/A
Write-in 1,7130.28%+0.19%
Total votes619,135 100.0%
Turnout 626,84567.63%
Registered electors 925,401
Republican hold

By county

By county
New Hampshire municipalities shift 2020-2022 gubernatorial.svg
New Hampshire municipalities trend 2020-2022 gubernatorial.svg
2022 gubernatorial election results in New Hampshire (by county) [62]
CountyTom Sherman
Democratic		Chris Sununu
Republican		Other votesTotal
votes
# %# %# %#
Belknap 9,42931.1%20,49967.5%4251.4%30,353
Carroll 10,30637.9%16,55460.9%3421.3%27,202
Cheshire 16,89049.8%16,50348.7%5161.5%33,909
Coös 4,19432.8%8,25164.4%3602.8%12,805
Grafton 21,48350.4%20,42748.0%6761.6%42,586
Hillsborough 69,67340.5%99,60858.0%2,5851.5%171,866
Merrimack 30,83543.6%38,66954.7%1,2481.8%70,752
Rockingham 59,75938.8%92,04359.8%2,2161.4%154,018
Strafford 26,49546.9%29,10051.5%9291.6%56,524
Sullivan 7,70240.3%11,15958.4%2591.4%19,120

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Sununu won both congressional districts, which both elected Democrats. [63]

DistrictSununuShermanRepresentative
1st 58%40% Chris Pappas
2nd 56%43% Annie Kuster

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Acciard and "Other" with 1%
  3. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ↑ Halldorson (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%; Borysenko (L) with <1%
  5. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  6. ↑ Halldorson (L) with 2%
  7. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  8. ↑ Borysenko (L) with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  9. ↑ Borysenko (L) with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
  10. ↑ Borysenko (L) with 1%; Halldorson (L) with 1%
  11. ↑ Borysenko (L) with 4%; Halldorson (L) with 1%
  12. ↑ Halldorson (L) with 5%; Borysenko (L) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  13. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%
  14. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 1%; Borysenko (L) with <1%
  15. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; Halldorson (L) with 1%; Borysenko (L) with <1%
  16. ↑ Halldorson (L) with 3%
  17. ↑ Halldorson (L) with 4%
  18. ↑ "Someone else" with 5%
  19. ↑ Borysenko (L) with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 2%
  20. ↑ Borysenko (L) with 1%
  21. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%
  22. ↑ Borysenko (L) with 8%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll conducted for American Greatness, a conservative news and opinions site.
  2. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Bolduc's campaign, the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate.
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by Sherman's campaign

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References

  1. 1 2 "New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu Not Running For US Senate, Will Seek 4th Term As Governor". CBS Boston . November 9, 2021. Archived from the original on November 9, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021.
  2. ↑ "Acciard Leaves NH-01 Race to Challenge Sununu in Primary". NH Journal. May 5, 2022. Retrieved May 21, 2022.
  3. 1 2 "Welcome". New Hampshire Secretary of State.
  4. ↑ "2022 Republican Cumulative Filings". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
  5. ↑ Bailey, Kathleen D. (November 3, 2021). "Ex-Brentwood School Board member runs for NH governor, criticizes Sununu, vaccine mandates". The Portsmouth Herald . Gannett. Archived from the original on November 6, 2021. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
  6. ↑ DiStaso, John (July 29, 2021). "NH Primary Source: Karen Testerman, running again for governor, says, 'I'm not a protest candidate'". WMUR-TV . Archived from the original on July 29, 2021. Retrieved July 30, 2021.
  7. ↑ DiStaso, John [@jdistaso] (November 9, 2021). "BREAKING: Sources close to former Sen @KellyAyotte tell @WMUR9 she "will NOT be a candidate for any office in 2022…." Ayotte "thankful" @ChrisSununu ChrisSununu "will continue his service to our state." #nhsen #NHgov #NHPolitics #WMUR" (Tweet). Retrieved November 9, 2021– via Twitter.
  8. ↑ DiStaso, John [@jdistaso] (November 9, 2021). "Now: @SenScottBrown has essentially taken himself out of the running for the #nhsen seat, says he wants to focus on his wife, @gailhuffbrown in her bid for #nh01 - His comments to @WMUR9 below #nhpolitics #WMUR" (Tweet). Retrieved November 9, 2021– via Twitter.
  9. 1 2 "New Hampshire Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  10. ↑ University of New Hampshire
  11. 1 2 Saint Anselm College
  12. ↑ Praecones Analytica
  13. 1 2 "2022 State Primary Election Results". New Hampshire Department of State.
  14. ↑ "NH state Sen. Tom Sherman exploring gubernatorial run". Associated Press . February 15, 2022. Archived from the original on February 15, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2022.
  15. ↑ Steinhauser, Paul (October 29, 2021). "On the trail: Who would replace Sununu in governor's office?". Concord Monitor . Archived from the original on November 3, 2021. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
  16. ↑ DiStaso, John (November 11, 2021). "Former Gov. John Lynch says he's 'not even considering' running for governor again". WMUR-TV . Archived from the original on November 12, 2021. Retrieved November 15, 2021.
  17. ↑ Sexton, Adam (April 14, 2021). "Progressive activists try to recruit author Picoult into run for governor". WMUR-TV . Concord, N.H. Archived from the original on April 15, 2021. Retrieved June 20, 2021. Picoult announced on Wednesday evening via Twitter that she would not be running for governor.
  18. ↑ "Franklin Pierce University Names Andru Volinsky as its First Civic Scholar-In-Residence".
  19. ↑ Staff Report (August 24, 2022). "Sherman Outraises Sununu; Wins AFT-NH Endorsement". InDepthNH. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  20. 1 2 Sexton, Adam (August 2, 2022). "New Hampshire's largest teachers union endorses Democrat Sherman for governor". WMUR9. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  21. 1 2 "Nh sos".[ permanent dead link ]
  22. ↑ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  23. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  24. ↑ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  25. ↑ "New Hampshire Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  26. ↑ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  27. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  28. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  29. ↑ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  30. ↑ "Haley endorses Sununu, Bolduc; heading to New Hampshire this week to join them on campaign trail". Fox News . September 19, 2022.
  31. ↑ "Chris Sununu's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  32. 1 2 3 4 "Congressional Delegation Endorses Tom Sherman for Governor". October 18, 2022.
  33. ↑ "Sherman Outraises Sununu; Wins AFT-NH Endorsement". InDepthNH. August 24, 2022. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  34. ↑ Real Clear Politics
  35. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  36. ↑ Phillips Academy
  37. ↑ University of New Hampshire
  38. ↑ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  39. ↑ Data for Progress (D)
  40. ↑ Wick Insights
  41. ↑ Emerson College
  42. ↑ Saint Anselm College
  43. ↑ co/efficient (R)
  44. ↑ UMass Lowell/YouGov
  45. ↑ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  46. ↑ Emerson College
  47. ↑ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
  48. ↑ Data for Progress (D)
  49. ↑ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
  50. ↑ Data for Progress (D)
  51. ↑ Saint Anselm College
  52. ↑ Suffolk University
  53. ↑ American Research Group
  54. ↑ University of New Hampshire
  55. ↑ Emerson College
  56. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  57. ↑ University of New Hampshire
  58. ↑ Phillips Academy
  59. ↑ Saint Anselm College
  60. ↑ Saint Anselm College
  61. ↑ "2022 General Election Results". New Hampshire Department of State.
  62. ↑ "2022 General Election Results".
  63. ↑ https://www.davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::a1a2b285-f862-402c-9e89-b45791a46473

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