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All 6 Oregon seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Oregon |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Oregon, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. Primaries for these seats were held on May 17, 2022. The elections coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.
District boundaries were redrawn [1] to ensure that the districts are apportioned based on data from the 2020 United States census, which added a sixth seat to Oregon's delegation. [2] Democrats won the new sixth district, but Republicans gained Oregon's fifth district, leaving the Congressional delegation with a 4 to 2 party split in favor of the Democrats. This was the first time since 1994 that Republicans won more than one House seat in Oregon.
Ahead of the 2022 elections, Oregon redrew its congressional districts as part of the 2020 United States redistricting cycle. Oregon gained a sixth congressional district during this cycle. [2] On September 20, 2021, the Oregon State Senate passed new congressional maps that were favored by Democrats on a party-line vote, along with state legislative maps. [3] The congressional map contained 5 Democratic-leaning districts and 1 Republican-leaning district. Tina Kotek, the Democratic speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives, had negotiated a deal with Republicans to give them equal say on redistricting matters, but she abandoned the deal after the Senate passed its maps. [4] House Democrats made changes to the proposed congressional map that made it less favorable towards Democrats, but Republicans still opposed the map. In response, House Republicans skipped a floor session, which denied House Democrats a quorum and blocked them from being able to pass their maps. [5] On September 27, the legislature's deadline to approve new maps, most House Republicans showed up to vote. The House's proposed congressional map passed the House and Senate on party-line votes, and was approved by governor Kate Brown the same day. [6]
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![]() County results Bonamici: 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% Mann: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 1st district was located in northwestern Oregon and included the western Portland metro area, including the Portland suburbs of Beaverton and Hillsboro, and parts of Portland west of the Willamette River. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, exchanging Yamhill County for Tillamook County and taking in more of Portland. The incumbent was Democrat Suzanne Bonamici, who was re-elected with 64.6% of the vote in 2020. [7]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Suzanne Bonamici (incumbent) | 80,317 | 88.5 | |
Democratic | Scott Phillips | 7,832 | 8.6 | |
Democratic | Christian Robertson | 2,625 | 2.9 | |
Total votes | 90,774 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Christopher Mann | 19,605 | 68.4 | |
Republican | Armidia "Army" Murray | 9,047 | 31.6 | |
Total votes | 28,652 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [21] | Solid D | October 5, 2021 |
Inside Elections [22] | Solid D | October 14, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] | Safe D | October 5, 2021 |
Politico [24] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [25] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [26] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [27] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [28] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [29] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Suzanne Bonamici (incumbent) | 210,682 | 67.9 | |
Republican | Christopher Mann | 99,042 | 31.9 | |
Write-in | 519 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 310,243 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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![]() County results Bentz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 2nd district was the largest of Oregon's districts and covered roughly two-thirds of the state east of the Cascades, encompassing the central, eastern, and southern regions of the state, including Bend and Medford. The district was kept mostly the same during redistricting, but it did lose Bend to the 5th district and Hood River County to the 3rd, while taking in all of Josephine County and about half of Douglas County. The incumbent was Republican Cliff Bentz, who was elected with 59.9% of the vote in 2020. [7]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Cliff Bentz (incumbent) | 67,051 | 75.3 | |
Republican | Mark Cavener | 17,372 | 19.5 | |
Republican | Katherine Gallant | 4,598 | 5.2 | |
Total votes | 89,021 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Joseph Yetter III | 27,814 | 70.4 | |
Democratic | Adam Prine | 11,669 | 29.6 | |
Total votes | 39,483 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [21] | Solid R | October 5, 2021 |
Inside Elections [22] | Solid R | October 14, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] | Safe R | October 5, 2021 |
Politico [24] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [25] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [26] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [27] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [28] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [29] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Cliff Bentz (incumbent) | 208,369 | 67.5 | |
Democratic | Joseph Yetter III | 99,882 | 32.4 | |
Write-in | 425 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 308,676 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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![]() County results Blumenaur: 60-70% 70–80% Harbour: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 3rd district encompassed the eastern Portland metro area, covering Portland and Gresham. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, though it did take in Hood River County, and lost some of Portland to the 1st district. The incumbent was Democrat Earl Blumenauer, who was re-elected with 73.0% of the vote in 2020. [7]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Earl Blumenauer (incumbent) | 96,386 | 94.7 | |
Democratic | Jonathan E. Polhemus | 5,392 | 5.3 | |
Total votes | 101,778 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Joanna Harbour | 18,031 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 18,031 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [21] | Solid D | October 5, 2021 |
Inside Elections [22] | Solid D | October 14, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] | Safe D | October 5, 2021 |
Politico [24] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP [25] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News [26] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [27] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538 [28] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [29] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Earl Blumenauer (incumbent) | 212,119 | 69.9 | |
Republican | Joanna Harbour | 79,766 | 26.3 | |
Progressive | David E Delk | 10,982 | 3.6 | |
Write-in | 467 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 303,334 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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![]() County results Hoyle: 50–60% 60–70% Skarlatos: 50–60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 4th district included the southern Willamette Valley and the South Coast, including Eugene, Corvallis, and Roseburg. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, though it did gain parts of the central coast previously in the 5th district, making the district more Democratic leaning. The incumbent, Democrat Peter DeFazio, who was re-elected with 51.5% of the vote in 2020, [7] decided to retire, rather than seek a 19th consecutive term in Congress. [39]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Doyle Canning | Val Hoyle | Andrew Kalloch | Other | Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling (D) [67] [A] | March 17–18, 2022 | 634 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 8% | 24% | 4% | 10% | 54% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Val Hoyle | 56,153 | 64.0 | |
Democratic | Doyle Canning | 14,245 | 16.2 | |
Democratic | Sami Al-Abdrabbuh | 6,080 | 6.9 | |
Democratic | John Selker | 4,738 | 5.4 | |
Democratic | Andrew Kalloch | 4,322 | 4.9 | |
Democratic | G. Tommy Smith | 1,278 | 1.5 | |
Democratic | Jake Matthews | 607 | 0.7 | |
Democratic | Steve Laible | 292 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 87,715 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Alek Skarlatos | 58,655 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 58,655 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Pacific Green | Constitution | Democratic | Independent | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||||
Michael Beilstein | Jim Howard | Val Hoyle | Levi Leatherberry | Alek Skarlatos | |||||
1 | October 6, 2022 | City Club of Springfield City Club of Eugene | [72] | P | P | P | N | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [21] | Lean D | August 5, 2022 |
Inside Elections [22] | Tilt D | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] | Lean D | September 29, 2022 |
Politico [24] | Lean D | October 3, 2022 |
RCP [25] | Tossup | October 7, 2022 |
Fox News [26] | Lean D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ [27] | Tossup | October 16, 2022 |
538 [28] | Likely D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [29] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Val Hoyle (D) | Alex Skarlatos (R) | Undecided |
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Wick/RRH Elections (R) [73] | October 23–26, 2022 | 529 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Moore Information Group (R) [74] [B] | July 25–28, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
RMG Research [75] | June 4–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Val Hoyle [b] | 171,372 | 50.5 | |
Republican | Alek Skarlatos | 146,055 | 43.1 | |
Independent Party | Levi Leatherberry [c] | 9,052 | 2.7 | |
Constitution | Jim Howard | 6,075 | 1.8 | |
Pacific Green | Michael Beilstein [d] | 6,033 | 1.8 | |
Write-in | 490 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 339,077 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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![]() County results Chavez-DeRemer: 60–70% McLeod-Skinner: 50–60% 70-80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 5th district straddled the central coast, and included Salem and the southern Portland suburbs. The new 5th district keeps the southern suburbs of Portland and reaches further into the city, but does not include any coastline, instead stretching southwards through the eastern parts of Marion and Linn counties to Bend.
The incumbent, Democrat Kurt Schrader, was re-elected with 51.9% of the vote in 2020. [7] He lost renomination to Jamie McLeod-Skinner. [76]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jamie McLeod-Skinner | Kurt Schrader | Undecided |
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Patinkin Research Strategies (D) [85] [C] | January 31 – February 4, 2022 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 34% | 37% | 30% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Jamie McLeod-Skinner | 47,148 | 54.9 | |
Democratic | Kurt Schrader (incumbent) | 38,726 | 45.1 | |
Total votes | 85,874 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 30,438 | 42.8 | |
Republican | Jimmy Crumpacker | 20,631 | 29.0 | |
Republican | John Di Paola | 11,486 | 16.1 | |
Republican | Laurel L. Roses | 6,321 | 8.9 | |
Republican | Madison Oatman | 1,863 | 2.6 | |
Republican | Write-in | 429 | 0.6 | |
Total votes | 71,168 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Jamie McLeod-Skinner | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | |||||
1 | Sep. 27, 2022 | KATU | Deb Knapp | KATU | P | P |
2 | Oct. 3, 2022 | KTVZ | Lee Anderson | YouTube (Part 1) YouTube (Part 2) YouTube (Part 3) | P | P |
3 [93] | Oct. 17, 2022 | League of Women Voters of Clackamas County League of Women Voters of Portland | Linda Mather | YouTube | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [21] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2022 |
Inside Elections [22] | Tilt R (flip) | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] | Lean R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
Politico [24] | Lean R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
RCP [25] | Lean R (flip) | October 30, 2022 |
Fox News [26] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ [27] | Tossup | July 20, 2022 |
538 [28] | Tossup | November 8, 2022 |
The Economist [29] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D) | Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) | Undecided |
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Global Strategy Group (D) [113] [D] | September 1–8, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 38% | 21% |
Clout Research (R) [114] [E] | August 15–18, 2022 | 410 (V) | ± 4.8% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [115] [D] | June 1–2, 2022 | 572 (V) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
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Global Strategy Group (D) [113] [D] | September 1–8, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [115] [D] | June 1–2, 2022 | 572 (V) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
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Republican | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 178,813 | 50.9 | |||
Democratic | Jamie McLeod-Skinner | 171,514 | 48.8 | |||
Write-in | 906 | 0.3 | ||||
Total votes | 351,233 | 100.0 | ||||
Republican gain from Democratic |
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![]() County results Salinas: 50–60% 60–70% Erickson: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district was created following the 2020 census. [2] It consists of Polk County and Yamhill County, in addition to portions of Marion County (including the state capital, Salem), Clackamas County, and Washington County.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Teresa Alonso Leon | Carrick Flynn | Kathleen Harder | Cody Reynolds | Andrea Salinas | Loretta Smith | Matt West | Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling (D) [131] [F] | May 2–3, 2022 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | ≤9% | 14% | ≤9% | ≤9% | 18% | ≤9% | ≤9% | ≥23% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Andrea Salinas | 26,101 | 37.0 | |
Democratic | Carrick Flynn | 13,052 | 18.5 | |
Democratic | Cody Reynolds | 7,951 | 11.3 | |
Democratic | Loretta Smith | 7,064 | 10.0 | |
Democratic | Matt West | 5,658 | 8.0 | |
Democratic | Kathleen Harder | 5,510 | 7.8 | |
Democratic | Teresa Alonso Leon | 4,626 | 6.6 | |
Democratic | Ricky Barajas | 292 | 0.4 | |
Democratic | Greg Goodwin | 217 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 70,471 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Mike Erickson | 21,675 | 34.9 | |
Republican | Ron Noble | 10,980 | 17.7 | |
Republican | Amy Ryan Courser | 10,176 | 16.4 | |
Republican | Angela Plowhead | 8,271 | 13.3 | |
Republican | Jim Bunn | 6,340 | 10.2 | |
Republican | David Russ | 2,398 | 3.9 | |
Republican | Nate Sandvig | 2,222 | 3.6 | |
Total votes | 62,062 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [21] | Tossup | October 11, 2022 |
Inside Elections [22] | Tossup | October 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] | Lean D | September 29, 2022 |
Politico [24] | Tossup | October 18, 2022 |
RCP [25] | Tossup | October 16, 2022 |
Fox News [26] | Tossup | October 18, 2022 |
DDHQ [27] | Tossup | November 8, 2022 |
538 [28] | Lean D | November 4, 2022 |
The Economist [29] | Lean D | October 4, 2022 |
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Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Andrea Salinas (D) | Mike Erickson (R) | Undecided [f] | Margin |
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FiveThirtyEight [139] | July 28 – October 5, 2022 | October 10, 2022 | 40.6% | 44.3% | 15.1% | Erickson +3.7 |
Graphical summary
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Andrea Salinas (D) | Mike Erickson (R) | Other | Undecided |
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GBAO (D) [140] [G] | October 3–5, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 2% [g] | 9% |
Cygnal (R) [141] [H] | September 29–30, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 44% | – | 17% |
Clout Research (R) [114] [E] | August 14–19, 2022 | 409 (V) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 43% | – | 23% |
GBAO (D) [142] [G] | August 10–14, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
Cygnal (R) [74] [I] | July 26–28, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 47% | – | 13% |
RMG Research [143] | June 4–9, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Democratic | Andrea Salinas | 147,156 | 50.0 | ||
Republican | Mike Erickson | 139,946 | 47.5 | ||
Constitution | Larry McFarland | 6,762 | 2.3 | ||
Write-in | 513 | 0.2 | |||
Total votes | 294,377 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic win (new seat) |
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