2012 United States presidential election in Oregon

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2012 United States presidential election in Oregon
Flag of Oregon.svg
  2008 November 6, 2012 2016  
  President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg
Nominee Barack Obama Mitt Romney
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Illinois Massachusetts
Running mate Joe Biden Paul Ryan
Electoral vote70
Popular vote970,488754,175
Percentage54.24%42.15%

Oregon Presidential Election Results 2012.svg
OR-12-pres-districts.svg

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in Oregon took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oregon voters chose seven electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Representative Paul Ryan.

Contents

Obama carried Oregon with 54.24% of the vote to Romney's 42.15%, a Democratic victory margin of 12.09%. The Democrats have won the state in every presidential election since 1988, and the Republicans would never seriously contest the state after the 2004 election. Though Romney won a majority of counties, his best performances were in the most sparsely populated regions of the state. Obama's win came from strong support in the densely populated northwestern region of the state, home to Oregon's largest metropolitan areas. Obama won over 75% of the vote in Multnomah County, containing Portland, as well as its surrounding counties, enough to deliver the state to the Democrats by a strong margin. However, the Republican Party managed to improve on their 2008 loss of 16.35% [1] and flipped the counties of Jackson (home to Medford), Marion (home to Salem), and Wasco back into the Republican column.

Obama was the first Democrat since 1948 to win without Wasco County. As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time where Columbia County and Tillamook County backed the Democratic candidate.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary was held on May 15, 2012. Barack Obama ran unopposed for the nomination.

2012 Oregon Democratic presidential primary [2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Barack Obama (incumbent) 309,358 94.79%
Democratic write-ins 16,9985.21%
Total votes326,358 100.00%

Republican primary

2012 Oregon Republican presidential primary
Flag of Oregon.svg
  2008 May 15, 2012 (2012-05-15) 2016  
  Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg Ron Paul by Gage Skidmore 3 (crop 2).jpg
Candidate Mitt Romney Ron Paul
Home state Massachusetts Texas
Delegate count183
Popular vote204,17636,810
Percentage70.91%12.78%

  Rick Santorum by Gage Skidmore.jpg Newt Gingrich by Gage Skidmore 3 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Rick Santorum Newt Gingrich
Home state Pennsylvania Georgia
Delegate count31
Popular vote27,04215,451
Percentage9.39%5.37%

Oregon Republican Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2012.svg
Oregon results by county
  Mitt Romney
(Note: Italicization indicates a withdrawn candidacy)

The Republican primary was held on May 15, 2012. [3] [4] The only two candidates still in the race were Mitt Romney and U.S. Representative from Texas, Ron Paul. In addition, former Senator from Pennsylvania Rick Santorum and former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich had withdrawn prior to the election, but their names still appeared on the Oregon ballot.

In order to participate in the primary, voters were required to register to vote by April 24, 2012. [5] A closed primary was used to elect the presidential, legislative, and local partisan offices. A semi-closed primary, which allowed non-affiliated voters to participate, was used to elect the Attorney General, Secretary of State and Treasurer. [6]

2012 Oregon Republican presidential primary [2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mitt Romney 204,176 70.91%
Republican Ron Paul 36,81012.78%
Republican Rick Santorum (withdrew)27,0429.39%
Republican Newt Gingrich (withdrew)15,4515.37%
Republican write-ins 4,4761.55%
Total votes287,955 100.00%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post [7] Safe DNovember 6, 2012
CNN [8] Safe DNovember 6, 2012
New York Times [9] Safe DNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post [10] Safe DNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics [11] Lean DNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] Likely DNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight [13] Solid DNovember 6, 2012

Results

2012 United States presidential election in Oregon [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Barack Obama (incumbent) 970,488 54.24%
Republican Mitt Romney 754,17542.15%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 24,0891.35%
Pacific Green Jill Stein 19,4271.09%
Constitution Will Christensen 4,4320.25%
Progressive Rocky Anderson 3,3840.19%
write-ins 13,2750.74%
Total votes1,789,270 100.00%

By county

CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
Mitt Romney
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %
Baker 2,36928.04%5,70267.50%3774.46%-3,333-39.46%8,448
Benton 27,77662.00%14,99133.46%2,0354.54%12,78528.54%44,802
Clackamas 95,49350.44%88,59246.79%5,2472.77%6,9013.65%189,332
Clatsop 9,86155.34%7,24940.68%7083.98%2,61214.66%17,818
Columbia 12,00450.28%10,77245.12%1,0994.60%1,2325.16%23,875
Coos 12,84544.78%14,67351.15%1,1684.07%-1,828-6.37%28,686
Crook 3,10430.34%6,79066.37%3363.29%-3,686-36.03%10,230
Curry 4,62539.60%6,59856.50%4553.90%-1,973-16.90%11,678
Deschutes 36,96145.13%42,46351.85%2,4763.02%-5,502-6.72%81,900
Douglas 17,14534.43%30,77661.80%1,8823.77%-13,631-27.37%49,803
Gilliam 37134.97%63960.23%514.80%-268-25.26%1,061
Grant 85321.81%2,92674.81%1323.38%-2,073-53.00%3,911
Harney 83223.22%2,60772.76%1444.02%-1,775-49.54%3,583
Hood River 6,05861.58%3,42934.85%3513.57%2,62926.73%9,838
Jackson 44,46845.78%49,02050.47%3,6393.75%-4,552-4.69%97,127
Jefferson 3,30140.38%4,64256.78%2322.84%-1,341-16.40%8,175
Josephine 14,95337.16%23,67358.83%1,6124.01%-8,720-21.67%40,238
Klamath 8,30229.49%18,89867.13%9523.38%-10,596-37.64%28,152
Lake 77020.75%2,80875.69%1323.56%-2,038-54.94%3,710
Lane 102,65259.73%62,50936.37%6,6893.90%40,14323.36%171,850
Lincoln 13,40158.31%8,68637.79%8973.90%4,71520.52%22,984
Linn 20,37839.63%28,94456.28%2,1044.09%-8,566-16.65%51,426
Malheur 2,75927.71%6,85168.81%3463.48%-4,092-41.10%9,956
Marion 56,37646.83%60,19050.00%3,8103.17%-3,814-3.17%120,376
Morrow 1,20230.96%2,53265.22%1483.82%-1,330-34.26%3,882
Multnomah 274,88775.37%75,30220.65%14,5333.98%199,58554.72%364,722
Polk 16,29246.21%17,81950.54%1,1463.25%-1,527-4.33%35,257
Sherman 31931.09%67866.08%292.83%-359-34.99%1,026
Tillamook 6,29350.27%5,68445.40%5424.33%6094.87%12,519
Umatilla 8,58434.38%15,49962.07%8863.55%-6,915-27.69%24,969
Union 3,97332.92%7,63663.26%4613.82%-3,663-30.34%12,070
Wallowa 1,25329.80%2,80466.68%1483.52%-1,551-36.88%4,205
Wasco 5,21147.93%5,22948.09%4333.98%-18-0.16%10,873
Washington 135,29157.08%93,97439.65%7,7583.27%41,31717.43%237,023
Wheeler 26631.00%54563.52%475.48%-279-32.52%858
Yamhill 19,26044.89%22,04551.38%1,6023.73%-2,785-6.49%42,907
Total970,48854.24%754,17542.15%64,6073.61%216,31312.09%1,789,270
County Flips:
Democratic
Hold
Republican
Hold
Gain from Democratic Oregon County Flips 2012.svg
County Flips:

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional districts

Obama won 4 of 5 congressional districts. [15]

DistrictObamaRomneyRepresentative
1st 57.28%40.01% Suzanne Bonamici
2nd 40.46%56.83% Greg Walden
3rd 72.03%24.68% Earl Blumenauer
4th 51.74%44.98% Peter DeFazio
5th 50.49%47.11% Kurt Schrader

See also

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References

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