2024 U.S. presidential election | |
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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
The Republican National Committee determined that candidates must qualify for the first primary debate by polling above 1% in three national polls since July 2023 – or in two national polls and one poll from two different early primary states (of which the polls must meet committee standards) – as well as attract donations from at least 40,000 individuals, with at least 200 from each of 20 states or territories. [1]
Each subsequent debate raised the polling threshold for qualification. For the second debate, candidates needed to poll above 3% in August or September in two national polls; otherwise, one national poll plus two state polls in two separate early primary states also qualify. The donor threshold was also raised for the second debate to 50,000 individuals. [2] For the third and fourth debates, the threshold was raised to above 4% in one national poll and one early primary state poll, as well as 70,000 unique donors. [3]
Individuals who have been included in statewide Republican primary polls but have either ruled out their candidacy or not expressed interest in running include Greg Abbott, Tucker Carlson, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Josh Hawley, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, Mitt Romney, Marco Rubio, Rick Scott, Chris Sununu, Donald Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, and Glenn Youngkin.
States polled | Dates administered | Dates updated | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 2] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iowa [5] | January 11 – 15, 2024 | January 15, 2024 | 15.7% | 18.5% | 52.5% | 13.3% [lower-alpha 3] | Trump +34.0 |
Massachusetts [6] | February 7–8, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | – | 29.3% | 63.0% | 7.7% | Trump +33.7 |
New Hampshire [7] | January 22–23, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 7.3% | 35.7% | 56.5% | 0.5% | Trump +20.8 |
South Carolina [8] | February 16–20, 2024 | February 21, 2024 | – | 34.6% | 61.6% | 3.8% | Trump +27.0 |
Wisconsin [9] | February 7, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | – | 22.5% | 71.5% | 6.0% | Trump +49.0 |
States polled | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 4] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona [10] | through February 4, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 21.0% | 76.9% | 2.1% | Trump +55.9 |
California [11] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 18.9% | 76.7% | 4.4% | Trump +57.8 |
Florida [12] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 14.1% | 84.2% | 1.7% | Trump +70.1 |
Georgia [13] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 18.1% | 79.0% | 2.9% | Trump +60.9 |
Iowa [14] | through January 14, 2024 | January 15, 2024 | 18.7% | 52.7% | 28.6% [lower-alpha 5] | Trump +34.0 |
Massachusetts [15] | through March 3, 2024 | March 4, 2024 | 29.3% | 66.6% | 4.1% | Trump +37.3 |
Michigan [16] | through February 24, 2024 | February 25, 2024 | 21.8% | 78.7% | – | Trump +56.9 |
New Hampshire [17] | through January 22, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 36.3% | 53.9% | 9.8% | Trump +17.6 |
North Carolina [18] | through February 4, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 22.1% | 74.7% | 4.2% | Trump +52.6 |
Ohio [19] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 16.9% | 81.9% | 1.2% | Trump +56.4 |
Pennsylvania [20] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 17.8% | 78.5% | 3.7% | Trump +51.3 |
South Carolina [21] | through February 23, 2024 | February 23, 2024 | 34.0% | 61.6% | 4.4% | Trump +27.6 |
Tennessee [22] | through March 3, 2024 | March 5, 2024 | 15.3% | 84.4% | 0.3% | Trump +69.1 |
Texas [23] | through March 3, 2024 | March 4, 2024 | 14.9% | 79.4% | 5.7% | Trump +64.5 |
Virginia [24] | through March 3, 2024 | March 4, 2024 | 17.4% | 66.2% | 16.4% | Trump +48.8 |
Wisconsin [25] | through February 4, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 21.1% | 70.9% | 8.0% | Trump +49.8 |
States polled | Dates administered | Dates updated | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 6] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iowa [26] | January 5 – 14, 2024 | January 15, 2024 | 15.7% | 18.8% | 52.5% | 13.0% [lower-alpha 7] | Trump +33.7 |
Nevada [27] | September 29, 2023 – January 8, 2024 | January 19, 2024 | 10.5% | – | 69.0% | 20.5% [lower-alpha 8] | Trump +58.5 |
New Hampshire [28] | January 16–22, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 8.0% | 36.5% | 55.8% | – | Trump +19.3 |
South Carolina [29] | January 23, 2024 – February 10, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | – | 30.5% | 64.0% | 5.5% | Trump +33.5 |
The 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses were held on January 15, 2024.
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Vivek Ramaswamy | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 9] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270toWin [30] | January 11–15, 2024 | January 15, 2024 | 15.7% | 18.5% | 0.8% | 6.8% | 52.5% | 5.7% [lower-alpha 10] | Trump +34.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [31] | Through January 14, 2024 | January 15, 2024 | 15.8% | 18.7% | 0.7% | 6.4% | 52.7% | 5.7% | Trump +34.0 |
RealClearPolling [32] | January 5–14, 2024 | January 15, 2024 | 15.7% | 18.8% | 0.8% | 6.8% | 52.5% | 5.4% | Trump +33.7 |
Average | 15.7% | 18.7% | 0.7% | 6.7% | 52.6% | 5.6% | Trump +33.9 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Doug Burgum | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Larry Elder | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group [33] | Jan 12–14, 2024 | 1,092 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | 19.3% | – | 18.5% | 0.7% | – | 6.5% | – | 52.1% | – | 2.9% |
Selzer & Co. [34] [upper-alpha 1] | Jan 7–12, 2024 | 705 (LV) | ± 3.7% | – | – | 16% | – | 20% | 1% | – | 8% | – | 48% | 3% [lower-alpha 12] | 5% |
Insider Advantage [35] | January 11, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | – | 17% | – | 17% | 0% | – | 7% | – | 51% | – | 8% |
Suffolk University [36] | Jan 6–10, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 13% | – | 20% | 0% | – | 6% | – | 54% | – | – |
Civiqs [37] | Jan 5–10, 2024 | 433 (LV) | ± 6.4% | – | 4% | 14% | – | 14% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 55% | 2% | 3% |
InsiderAdvantage [38] | Dec 18–19, 2023 | 850 (LV) | ± 4.36% | – | 4% | 15% | – | 17% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 50% | – | 6% |
Fox Business [39] | Dec 14–18, 2023 | 804 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | 3% | 18% | – | 16% | 0% | – | 7% | – | 52% | 1% | 2% |
Emerson College [40] | Dec 15–17, 2023 | 420 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | 4% | 15% | – | 17% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 50% | – | 6% |
Iowa State University/Civiqs [41] | Dec 8–13, 2023 | 438 (LV) | ± 6.0% | – | 4% | 17% | – | 15% | 1% | – | 7% | – | 54% | 0% [lower-alpha 13] | 2% |
Selzer & Co. [42] [upper-alpha 1] | Dec 2–7, 2023 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 4% | 19% | – | 16% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 51% | 2% [lower-alpha 14] | 3% |
Trafalgar Group [43] | Dec 1–4, 2023 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 2% | 4% | 22% | – | 19% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 45% | – | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 324 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 18% | – | 11% | 0% | – | 13% | 5% | 50% | – | – |
Iowa State University/Civiqs [45] | Nov 10–15, 2023 | 432 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 1% | 3% | 18% | – | 12% | 0% | – | 6% | 2% | 54% | 0% | 4% |
Arc Insights [46] [upper-alpha 2] | Nov 9–14, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1% | 4% | 17% | – | 17% | <1% | – | 5% | – | 44% | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | 9% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [47] [upper-alpha 3] | Nov 9–12, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1% | 5% | 19% | - | 16% | 0% | - | 4% | 5% | 43% | 0% | 7% |
2% | 5% | 20% | - | 18% | 0% | - | 5% | - | 44% | 0% | 7% | ||||
Trafalgar Group (R) [48] | Nov 3–5, 2023 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 4% | 5% | 18% | – | 15% | 0% | – | 5% | 9% | 44% | 0% [lower-alpha 16] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 324 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 15% | – | 7% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 57% | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies [49] [upper-alpha 4] | Oct 24–26, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 1% | 2% | 20% | – | 12% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 46% | – | – |
Selzer & Co. [50] [upper-alpha 1] | Oct 22–26, 2023 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 3% | 4% | 16% | – | 16% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 17] | 4% | 7% | 43% | 2% [lower-alpha 18] | 3% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [47] [upper-alpha 3] | Oct 17–19, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 3% | 21% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 42% | 2% [lower-alpha 19] | 6% |
Iowa State University/Civiqs [51] | Oct 6–10, 2023 | 425 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 0% | 2% | 17% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 55% | 2% [lower-alpha 20] | 1% |
Morning Consult [52] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 316 (LV) | – | 1% | 5% | 13% | – | 6% | – | 7% | 9% | 7% | 53% | – | – |
CBS News/YouGov [53] | Sep 15–24, 2023 | 458 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 0% | 1% | 21% | 0% | 8% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 51% | 0% [lower-alpha 21] | – |
Public Opinion Strategies [54] [upper-alpha 5] | Sep 19–21, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 1% | 2% | 21% | – | 9% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 45% | – | 9% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [55] [upper-alpha 6] | Sep 17–19, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 1% | 5% | 15% | – | 13% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 45% | <1% [lower-alpha 22] | 7% |
Trafalgar Group (R) [56] | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 49% | 1% [lower-alpha 23] | 2% |
Fox Business [57] | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 813 (LV) | ± 3% | 2% | 3% | 15% | <0.5% | 11% | <0.5% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 46% | 3% [lower-alpha 24] | 2% |
Emerson College [58] | Sep 7–9, 2023 | 357 (V) | ± 5.1% | 3% | – | 14% | – | 7% | – | 3% | 7% | 8% | 49% | 6% | – |
Civiqs [59] | Sep 2–7, 2023 | 434 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 2% | 3% | 14% | – | 10% | 0% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 51% | 1% [lower-alpha 25] | – |
Public Opinion Strategies [60] | Sep 5–6, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 1% | 3% | 22% | – | 6% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 45% | – | – |
Morning Consult [52] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 341 (LV) | – | 1% | 4% | 15% | – | 6% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 52% | 0% [lower-alpha 26] | 1% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [61] | Aug 25–28, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 2% | 3% | 18% | <1% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 44% | <2% [lower-alpha 27] | 5% |
Public Opinion Strategies [62] | August 24, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 1% | 1% | 21% | – | 11% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 41% | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies [62] | Aug 19–21, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 3% | 3% | 14% | – | 3% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 42% | – | – |
HarrisX [63] [upper-alpha 7] | Aug 17–21, 2023 | 1,120 (LV) | – [lower-alpha 28] | 2% | 3% | 11% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 8% | 45% | 3% [lower-alpha 29] | 12% |
– [lower-alpha 30] | 2% | 4% | 21% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 18% | 15% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 31] | 19% | |||
Echelon Insights [64] [upper-alpha 8] | Aug 15–17, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 2% | 4% | 17% | – | 2% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 33% | 3% [lower-alpha 32] | 14% |
Selzer & Co. [65] [upper-alpha 1] | Aug 13–17, 2023 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 2% | 5% | 19% | – | 6% | – | 6% | 4% | 9% | 42% | 1% [lower-alpha 33] | 5% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) [66] | Aug 14–16, 2023 | 1,126 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 3% | 4% | 16% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 13% | 42% | 3% [lower-alpha 34] | 3% |
New York Times/Siena College [67] | Jul 28 – August 1, 2023 | 432 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 1% | <1% | 20% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 44% | <2% [lower-alpha 35] | 12% |
– | – | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 55% | – | 4% | ||||
Manhattan Institute [68] | Jul 2023 | 625 (LV) | – | 3% | 4% | 17% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 42% | 1% [lower-alpha 36] | 7% |
Morning Consult [52] | July 1–31, 2023 | 350 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 19% | – | 4% | 0% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 55% | – | 2% |
National Research [69] [upper-alpha 9] | Jul 23–24, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 4% | 15% | – | 3% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 42% | – | 13% |
Fox Business [70] | Jul 15–19, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 3% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 46% | 1% [lower-alpha 37] | 4% |
co/efficient [71] [upper-alpha 10] | Jul 15–17, 2023 | 2,238 (LV) | ± 2.6% | – | 3% | 16% | – | 3% | – | 3% | 5% | 10% | 46% | – | 10% |
National Research [72] [upper-alpha 9] | Jul 5–6, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 3% | 21% | – | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 44% | – | 14% |
Morning Consult [52] | June 1–30, 2023 | 317 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 18% | – | 2% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 64% | 0% [lower-alpha 38] | 1% |
McLaughlin & Associates [73] [upper-alpha 10] | Jun 10–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 19% | – | – | – | 6% | – | 9% | 51% | – | 15% |
– | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 60% | – | 7% | ||||
National Research [74] [upper-alpha 9] | Jun 5–7, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 2% | 24% | – | 4% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 39% | – | 21% |
Victory Insights [75] | Jun 3–6, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | 3% | 21% | – | 5% | – | 5% | 2% | 6% | 44% | 3% [lower-alpha 39] | 12% |
– | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 19% | ||||
WPA Intelligence [76] [upper-alpha 11] | May 30 – June 1, 2023 | 655 (RV) | – | – | – | 29% | – | 6% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 39% | – | 11% |
– | – | 43% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 12% | ||||
Morning Consult [52] | May 1–31, 2023 | 300 (LV) | – | – | – | 17% | – | 5% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 60% | 4% [lower-alpha 40] | 0% |
McLaughlin & Associates [77] | May 23–25, 2023 | 400 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 24% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 50% | 3% [lower-alpha 41] | 4% |
– | – | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 54% | – | 11% | ||||
Emerson College [78] | May 19–22, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 0% | – | 20% | – | 5% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 62% | 2% [lower-alpha 42] | – |
National Research [79] [upper-alpha 9] | May 9–11, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 26% | – | 6% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 44% | – | 11% |
– | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 22% | ||||
McLaughlin & Associates [80] [upper-alpha 10] | Apr 27–30, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 1% | 20% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 54% | 5% [lower-alpha 43] | 5% |
– | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 57% | – | – | ||||
Morning Consult [52] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 294 (LV) | – | – | – | 20% | – | 4% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 60% | 3% [lower-alpha 44] | 2% |
Victory Insights [81] | Apr 10–13, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.8% | – | – | 24% | – | 14% | 4% | – | 3% | – | 54% | 1% [lower-alpha 45] | – |
– | – | 59% | – | 24% | 5% | – | 8% | – | – | 4% [lower-alpha 46] | – | ||||
– | – | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | – | ||||
Cygnal [82] | Apr 3–4, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | 30% | – | 5% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 37% | 3% [lower-alpha 47] | 19% |
J.L. Partners [83] | Mar 25 – April 4, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | 26% | – | 5% | – | 3% | 1% | – | 41% | 10% [lower-alpha 48] | 14% |
– | – | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 15% | ||||
Morning Consult [52] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 329 (LV) | – | – | – | 27% | – | 5% | – | 7% | – | 0% | 57% | 2% [lower-alpha 49] | 2% |
Morning Consult [52] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 281 (LV) | – | – | – | 25% | – | 6% | – | 9% | 0% | 0% | 52% | 8% [lower-alpha 50] | 0% |
Morning Consult [52] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 367 (LV) | – | – | – | 27% | – | 5% | – | 9% | – | 1% | 51% | 5% [lower-alpha 51] | 2% |
Morning Consult [52] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 227 (LV) | – | – | – | 35% | – | 2% | – | 11% | – | 1% | 44% | 8% [lower-alpha 52] | 0% |
WPA Intelligence [84] [upper-alpha 12] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 508 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 16% |
WPA Intelligence [84] [upper-alpha 12] | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 508 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 12% |
Neighborhood Research and Media [85] [upper-alpha 13] | Jun 22 – July 1, 2022 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | – | 17% | – | 2% | – | 2% | – | – | 38% | 4% [lower-alpha 53] | – |
Victory Insights [86] | Mar 5–8, 2021 | 630 (RV) | – | – | – | 4% | – | 6% | – | 8% | – | – | 61% | 13% [lower-alpha 54] | – |
– | – | 20% | – | 10% | – | 19% | – | – | – | 33% [lower-alpha 55] | – |
The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024.
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 56] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win [87] | January 22–23, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 35.7% | 56.5% | 7.8% [lower-alpha 57] | Trump +20.8 |
FiveThirtyEight [88] | Through January 22, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 36.3% | 53.9% | 9.8% | Trump +17.6 |
RealClearPolling [89] | January 16–22, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 36.5% | 55.8% | 7.7% | Trump +19.3 |
Average | 36.2% | 55.4% | 8.4% | Trump +19.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Doug Burgum | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [90] | Jan 21–22, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 60% | 1% | 1% |
Insider Advantage [91] | January 21, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ±4.32% | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | 3% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [92] | Jan 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 57% | 2% | 2% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [93] | Jan 19–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 6% | 36% | – | – | – | – | 55% | 0.6% | 2.4% |
American Research Group [94] | Jan 18–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ±4.0% | – | – | 6% | 44% | – | – | – | – | 46% | – | – |
Emerson College/WHDH [95] | Jan 18–20, 2024 | 673 (RV) | ±3.7% | – | – | 8% | 35% | 50% | 7% | |||||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [96] | Jan 17–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 6% | 35% | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 4% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [97] | Jan 16–17, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 6% | 36% | – | – | – | – | 50% | 1% | 4% |
Saint Anselm College [98] | January 16, 2024 | 1,398 (LV) | ± 2.6% | – | – | 6% | 38% | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 4% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [99] | Jan 15–16, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 5% | 34% | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | 11% |
American Research Group [100] | Jan 12–15, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 4% | 40% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 40% | 2% | 9% |
Saint Anselm College [101] | Jan 8–9, 2024 | 1,194 (LV) | ± 2.8% | – | 9% | 6% | 31% | – | – | 6% | – | 45% | – | 3% |
University of New Hampshire Survey/CNN [102] | Jan 4–8, 2024 | 919 (LV) | ± 3.2% | – | 12% | 5% | 32% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 39% | 0% | 5% |
American Research Group [103] | December 27, 2023 – January 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 10% | 5% | 33% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 37% | 1% | 9% |
American Research Group [104] | Dec 14–20, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 13% | 6% | 29% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 33% | 1% | 12% |
Saint Anselm College [105] | Dec 18–19, 2023 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | 12% | 6% | 30% | 0% | – | 5% | – | 44% | – | 3% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [106] | Dec 7–18, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.4% | – | 6% | 10% | 22% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 52% | 0% [lower-alpha 58] | 5% |
CBS News/YouGov [107] | Dec 8–15, 2023 | 855 (LV) | ± 4.1% | – | 10% | 11% | 29% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 44% | – | – |
Trafalgar Group [108] | Dec 9–11, 2023 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 14% | 11% | 18% | 0% | – | 10% | – | 45% | – | 1% |
Americans for Prosperity [109] | Nov 19–21, 2023 | 800 (LV) | – | – | – | 9% | 25% | – | – | – | – | 40% | 26% | – |
University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN [110] | Nov 10–14, 2023 | 994 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 2% | 14% | 9% | 20% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 42% | 3% | 2% |
Washington Post/Monmouth University [111] | Nov 9–14, 2023 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 18% | 1% | – | 8% | 3% | 46% | 0% | 4% |
Emerson College/WHDH [112] | Nov 10–13, 2023 | 465 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 1.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 17.6% | 0.3% | – | 4.6% | 2.2% | 48.5% | – | 9.3% |
USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University [113] | Sep 28 – October 2, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 19% | – | 1% | 4% | 4% | 49% | – | – |
CBS News/YouGov [114] | Sep 15–24, 2023 | 502 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 50% | 0% [lower-alpha 59] | – |
Saint Anselm College [115] | Sep 19–20, 2023 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 1% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 45% | 0% [lower-alpha 60] | 6% |
Insider Advantage [116] | September 20, 2023 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.36% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 42% | 1% [lower-alpha 61] | 9% |
University of New Hampshire [117] | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 1% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 39% | 1% [lower-alpha 62] | 6% |
NMB Research [118] | Aug 25–31, 2023 | 800 (LV) | – | 1% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 47% | <3% [lower-alpha 63] | 4% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [119] | Aug 25–28, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 2% | 5% | 11% | 9% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 48% | <3% [lower-alpha 64] | 9% |
Echelon Insights [120] [upper-alpha 14] | Aug 15–17, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 34% | 3% [lower-alpha 65] | 12% |
Emerson College [121] | Aug 9–11, 2023 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 6% | 49% | 3% [lower-alpha 66] | 13% |
co/efficient [122] | Aug 5–7, 2023 | 862 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 43% | 3% [lower-alpha 67] | 13% |
Manhattan Institute [123] | July 2023 | 603 (LV) | – | 3% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 34% | 3% [lower-alpha 68] | 8% |
National Research [124] [upper-alpha 15] | Jul 25–26, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 41% | – | 15% |
University of New Hampshire [125] | Jul 13–17, 2023 | 898 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 6% | 6% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 37% | 1% [lower-alpha 69] | 8% |
National Research [126] [upper-alpha 15] | Jul 10–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 39% | – | 17% |
American Pulse [127] | Jul 5–11, 2023 | 895 | ± 3.2% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 3% | – | 5% | 5% | 7% | 48% | – | 8% [lower-alpha 70] |
Saint Anselm College [128] | Jun 21–23, 2023 | 494 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 2% | 6% | 19% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 47% | 0% [lower-alpha 71] | 10% |
New Hampshire Journal/co-efficient [129] | Jun 14–16, 2023 | 904 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | 9% | 13% | 3% | – | 5% | 3% | 3% | 47% | 5% | 10% |
– | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 28% | ||||
National Research [130] [upper-alpha 15] | Jun 12–14, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 7% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 44% | 18% [lower-alpha 72] | – |
National Research [131] [upper-alpha 15] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 18% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 39% | 32% [lower-alpha 73] | – |
University of New Hampshire [132] | Apr 13–17, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | 1% | 22% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 42% | 20% [lower-alpha 74] | 4% |
J.L Partners [133] | Apr 2–11, 2023 | 623 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 2% | 18% | 4% | – | 2% | 1% | 1% | 51% | 19% [lower-alpha 75] | 6% |
– | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 13% | ||||
Saint Anselm College [134] | Mar 28–30, 2023 | 1,320 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | 1% | 29% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 1% | 42% | 19% [lower-alpha 76] | – |
Emerson College [135] | Mar 3–5, 2023 | 384 (RV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 17% | 6% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 58% | 14% [lower-alpha 77] | – |
co/efficient [136] | Jan 25–26, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.35% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
– | – | 26% | 4% | – | 3% | – | – | 37% | 13% [lower-alpha 78] | 18% | ||||
University of New Hampshire [137] | Jan 19–23, 2023 | 349 (LV) | ± 5.2% | – | – | 42% | 8% | – | 1% | – | 0% | 30% | 16% [lower-alpha 79] | 3% |
Neighborhood Research and Media [138] | Dec 5–13, 2022 | 434 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | – | 33% | – | – | 3% | – | – | 32% | 13% | 19% |
WPA Intelligence [84] [upper-alpha 12] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 11% |
2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||
Saint Anselm College [139] | Aug 9–11, 2022 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | 29% | 3% | – | 3% | – | 1% | 50% | 4% [lower-alpha 80] | 8% |
WPA Intelligence [84] [upper-alpha 12] | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 10% |
Neighborhood Research and Media [140] [upper-alpha 16] | Jul 5–8, 2022 | 475 (RV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | 22% | 1% | – | 1% | – | – | 41% | 3% [lower-alpha 81] | 32% |
University of New Hampshire [141] | Jun 16–20, 2022 | 318 (LV) | ± 5.5% | – | – | 39% | 6% | – | 9% | – | 0% | 37% | 6% [lower-alpha 82] | 3% |
University of New Hampshire [142] | Oct 14–18, 2021 | 441 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | – | 18% | 6% | – | 4% | – | – | 43% | 14% [lower-alpha 83] | 10% |
University of New Hampshire [143] | Jul 15–19, 2021 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | – | 19% | 6% | – | 5% | – | – | 43% | 13% [lower-alpha 84] | 10% |
Saint Anselm College [144] [upper-alpha 17] | May 7–10, 2021 | 635 (RV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | 20% | 7% | – | 4% | – | 0% | 52% | 7% [lower-alpha 85] | 10% |
Victory Insights [145] | Mar 5–11, 2021 | 400 (RV) | – | – | – | 5% | 3% | – | 6% | – | – | 52% | 14% [lower-alpha 86] | – |
– | – | 21% | 7% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 29% [lower-alpha 87] | – | ||||
Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||
Praecones Analytica [146] | Nov 30 – December 2, 2020 | 624 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 6% | – | 2% | 57% | 19% [lower-alpha 88] | 10% |
– | – | – | 12% | – | 25% | – | 3% | – | 46% [lower-alpha 89] | 14% |
The 2024 Nevada Republican presidential primary and caucus was held on February 6 and February 8, 2024, respectively.
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 90] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RealClearPolling [147] | September 29, 2023 – January 8, 2024 | January 21, 2024 | 69.0% | 31.0% [lower-alpha 91] | Trump +58.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates [148] [upper-alpha 18] | Dec 11–13, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 5% | 15% | – | – | – | 2% | – | 75% | 0% [lower-alpha 92] | 3% |
SSRS/CNN [149] | Sep 29 – October 6, 2023 | 650 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 2% | 13% | 6% | – | 3% | 4% | 2% | 65% | 4% [lower-alpha 93] | 2% |
National Research [150] [upper-alpha 19] | Jun 26–28, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 22% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 52% | – | 14% [lower-alpha 94] |
National Research [151] [upper-alpha 19] | May 30 – June 1, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 21% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 53% | 0% [lower-alpha 95] | 17% |
Vote TXT [152] | May 15–19, 2023 | 112 (RV) | ± 4.8% | – | 21% | 5% | – | 2% | 3% | – | 51% | 7% | 11% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research [153] | Oct 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | 34% | 1% | – | 7% | – | – | 41% | 7% [lower-alpha 96] | 10% |
The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on February 24, 2024. Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 97] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270toWin [154] | February 16–20, 2024 | February 21, 2024 | 34.6% | 61.6% | 3.8% | Trump +27.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [155] | through February 23, 2024 | February 24, 2024 | 34.0% | 61.6% | 4.4% | Trump +27.6 |
RealClearPolling [156] | February 14, 2024 – February 23, 2024 | February 23, 2024 | 37.5% | 60.8% | 1.7% | Trump +23.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Doug Burgum | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group [157] | Feb 21–23, 2024 | 1093 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 37.5% | – | – | – | – | 58.9% | – | 3.6% [lower-alpha 98] |
Suffolk University/USA Today [158] | Feb 15–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | – | – | 63% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 99] |
Emerson College/The Hill [159] | Feb 15–17, 2024 | 1197 (LV) | ± 2.8% | – | – | – | 35.4% | – | – | – | – | 57.9% | – | 6.7% |
Insider Advantage [160] | Feb 14–15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 60% | 1% | 1% |
Trafalgar Group [161] | Feb 13–15, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 33.6% | – | – | – | – | 63.3% | – | 3% |
The Citadel [162] | Feb 5–11, 2024 | 505 (LV) | ± 5.7% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 64% | 3% | 2% |
Winthrop University [163] | Feb 2–10, 2024 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | – | – | – | 28.7% | – | – | – | – | 64.9% | 3.3% | 2% |
Washington Post/Monmouth University [164] | Jan 26–30, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | 58% | 2% | 8% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [47] | Jan 28–29, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 66% | – | 4% |
The Tyson Group/The American Promise [165] | Jan 24–26, 2024 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 11% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [47] | Jan 17–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | – | – | 68% | – | 4% |
Emerson College [166] | Jan 2–3, 2024 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 4.8% | 6.6% | 25.1% | 0.2% | – | 3.1% | – | 54.4% | – | 1.9% |
Trafalgar Group [167] | Dec 6–8, 2023 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 5.8% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 0.3% | – | 6.1% | – | 48.7% | – | 1.9% |
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 856 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 13% | 19% | – | – | 3% | 7% | 57% | – | – |
Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research [168] | Nov 4–12, 2023 | 780 (RV) | ± 3.51% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 0.4% | – | 3.4% | 10.6% | 47.6% | 2.1% [lower-alpha 100] | 2.7% |
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 927 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 11% | 15% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 58% | – | – |
CNN/SSRS [169] | Oct 18–25, 2023 | 738 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 0% | 2% | 11% | 22% | 0% [lower-alpha 101] | 2% | 1% | 6% | 53% | 0% [lower-alpha 102] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 854 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 10% | 13% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 59% | 0% [lower-alpha 103] | 1% |
Fox Business [170] | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <0.5% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 46% | 1% [lower-alpha 104] | 3% |
Washington Post/Monmouth University [171] | Sep 6–11, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 46% | 1% [lower-alpha 105] | 4% |
Morning Consult [44] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 910 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 14% | 11% | 0% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 55% | 0% [lower-alpha 103] | – |
Trafalgar Group (R) [172] | Aug 17–19, 2023 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 0% | 2% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 48% | 0% [lower-alpha 106] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | July 1–31, 2023 | 907 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 15% | 12% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 54% | 0% [lower-alpha 107] | 1% |
Fox Business [173] | Jul 15–19, 2023 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <0.5% | 2% | 13% | 14% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 48% | – [lower-alpha 108] | 4% |
Morning Consult [44] | June 1–30, 2023 | 907 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 20% | 12% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 48% | 1% [lower-alpha 109] | 1% |
National Public Affairs [174] | Jun 20–21, 2023 | 809 (LV) | – | 1% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 41% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult [44] | May 1–31, 2023 | 875 (LV) | – | – | – | 19% | 13% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 52% | 1% [lower-alpha 110] | 1% |
National Research [175] [upper-alpha 20] | May 24–25, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | – | – | 18% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 43% | 1% [lower-alpha 111] | 13% |
National Public Affairs [176] | May 15–17, 2023 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 23% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 38% | – | 8% |
Morning Consult [44] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 810 (LV) | – | – | – | 17% | 17% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 52% | 3% [lower-alpha 112] | 1% |
National Public Affairs [177] | Apr 11–14, 2023 | 588 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | – | 21% | 19% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 43% | 1% [lower-alpha 113] | 6% |
Winthrop University [178] | Mar 25 – April 1, 2023 | 485 (RV) | ± 4.6% | – | – | 20% | 18% | 0% | 5% | – | 7% | 41% | 5% [lower-alpha 114] | 4% |
Morning Consult [44] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 806 (LV) | – | – | – | 22% | 15% | – | 5% | 0% | 4% | 49% | 3% [lower-alpha 115] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 689 (LV) | – | – | – | 24% | 18% | – | 5% | – | 7% | 43% | 4% [lower-alpha 116] | – |
Neighbourhood Research and Media [179] [upper-alpha 13] | Feb 7–14, 2023 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.9% | – | – | 22% | 16% | – | 2% | – | 2% | 35% | – | 23% |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 974 (LV) | – | – | – | 31% | 14% | – | 2% | – | 5% | 45% | 2% [lower-alpha 117] | 1% |
Trafalgar Group [180] | Jan 24–26, 2023 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 33% | – | 6% | – | – | 52% | 9% [lower-alpha 118] | – |
– | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | – | 23% | 48% | 5% [lower-alpha 119] | – | ||||
– | – | 29% | 22% | – | 4% | – | – | 43% | 2% [lower-alpha 120] | – | ||||
– | – | 28% | 12% | – | 2% | – | 14% | 43% | 1% [lower-alpha 121] | – | ||||
Moore Information [181] | Jan 18–24, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 31% | 12% | – | 4% | – | 5% | 41% | – | 7% |
– | – | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | 9% | ||||
– | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 15% | ||||
Spry Strategies [182] | Jan 17–19, 2023 | 386 (LV) | – | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | 15% |
Morning Consult [44] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 530 (LV) | – | – | – | 28% | 13% | – | 4% | – | 5% | 44% | 6% [lower-alpha 122] | – |
Winthrop University [183] | Oct 22 – November 5, 2022 | 1,298 (A) | ± 2.8% | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 19% |
Echelon Insights [184] | Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 | 294 (LV) | ± 5.1% | – | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 9% |
Trafalgar Group [185] | Mar 25–29, 2021 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 64% | 11% [lower-alpha 123] | 25% [lower-alpha 124] |
The 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary and caucus were held on February 27 and March 2, 2024, respectively.
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 125] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [186] | through February 24, 2024 | February 27, 2024 | 21.8% | 78.7% | - | Trump +56.9 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Doug Burgum | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Will Hurd | Asa Hutchinson | Perry Johnson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/The Hill [187] | Feb 20–24, 2024 | 486 (LV) | ±3% | – | – | – | 20.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 69.2% | – | 10.5% |
Michigan Information and Research Service (MIRS) [188] | Jan 4–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ±4% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 2% | – | 53% | – | 6% |
CNN/SSRS [189] | Nov 30 – December 7, 2023 | 618 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 13% | – | 1% | – | – | 4% | – | 58% | 1% | 3% |
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,348 (LV) | – | 0% | 3% | 13% | 10% | – | 0% | – | – | 8% | 1% | 65% | – | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,342 (LV) | – | 1% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 0% | – | 7% | 9% | 1% | 63% | – | – |
Public Policy Polling (D) [190] | Oct 9–10, 2023 | 430 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 6% | – | 0% | – | 2% | 3% | 0% | 63% | – | 8% |
Morning Consult [44] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,238 (LV) | – | 0% | 4% | 12% | 6% | 0% | 0% | – | 7% | 10% | 1% | 58% | – | 2% |
Susquehanna University [191] | Sep 7–12, 2023 | 219 (LV) | – | 0% | 0% | 18% | 3% | – | 0% | – | 5% | 5% | 0% | 65% | – | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,299 (LV) | – | 0% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – | 8% | 8% | 2% | 59% | 0% [lower-alpha 126] | – |
Emerson College [192] | Aug 1–2, 2023 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 61% | 1% | 6% |
Morning Consult [44] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,350 (LV) | – | – | 3% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – | 10% | 7% | 2% | 55% | – | 1% |
Mitchell Research [193] [upper-alpha 21] | Jul 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 13% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 3% | – | 2% | 69% | – | 11% |
Morning Consult [44] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,242 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 25% | 3% | 0% | 2% | – | 9% | 3% | 3% | 52% | 1% [lower-alpha 127] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,354 (LV) | – | – | – | 25% | 2% | – | 1% | – | 9% | 5% | 1% | 53% | 5% [lower-alpha 128] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,356 (LV) | – | – | – | 26% | 3% | – | 0% | – | 10% | 2% | 1% | 53% | 5% [lower-alpha 129] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,378 (LV) | – | – | – | 30% | 3% | – | – | – | 10% | 0% | 1% | 51% | 5% [lower-alpha 130] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,232 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 4% | – | – | – | 10% | 0% | 1% | 46% | 6% [lower-alpha 131] | 1% |
Echelon Insights [194] | Feb 13–16, 2023 | 400 (V) | ± 6.0% | – | – | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 11% | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,709 (LV) | – | – | – | 33% | 1% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 0% | 48% | 5% [lower-alpha 132] | 3% |
Morning Consult [44] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 909 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 1% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 0% | 50% | 7% [lower-alpha 133] | – |
Glengariff Group [195] | Jul 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | 13% | – |
The 2024 Missouri Republican presidential caucuses were held on March 2, 2024.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Mike Pence | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research [196] | Feb 8–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 35% | 8% | – | 38% | – | – | |||||
45% | – | – | 38% | – | – | |||||||||
Remington Research [197] | Nov 15–16, 2022 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | – | – | 38% | – | 15% | |||||
38% | – | – | 36% | 7% [lower-alpha 134] | 19% | |||||||||
Remington Research [198] | Jul 27–28, 2022 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 18% | – | – | 42% | 23% [lower-alpha 135] | 17% | |||||
Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||
Remington Research [199] | Dec 2–3, 2020 | 840 (RV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | 32% | – | 42% [lower-alpha 136] | 26% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal/Alabama Daily News [200] | Jan 29–30, 2024 | 515 (LV) | ± 4.31% | – | 16% | 76% | – | 8% |
Public Opinion Strategies [201] [upper-alpha 22] | Jan 15–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 50% | – | 31% | – | 19% |
53% | – | 35% | – | 12% | ||||
Cygnal/Alabama Daily News [202] | Oct 27–29, 2022 | 616 (LV) | ± 3.94% | 36% | 1% | 50% | 5% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis | Donald Trump | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights [203] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 184 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 29% | 58% | 13% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 137] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [204] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 19.0% | 73.1% | 7.9% | Trump +54.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Larry Elder | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult [205] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 2,347 (LV) | – | 2% | 10% | – | 8% | 0% | – | 7% | – | 71% | 1% [lower-alpha 138] | – |
Public Policy Institute of California [206] | Nov 9–16, 2023 | 276 (LV) | – | 5% | 12% | – | 13% | 0% | – | 2% | 2% | 56% | 1% [lower-alpha 139] | 9% |
Emerson College [207] | Nov 11–14, 2023 | 331 (LV) | – | 4% | 11% | - | 5% | 2% | – | 3% | - | 63% | 1% [lower-alpha 140] | 11% |
UC Berkeley IGS [208] | Oct 24–30, 2023 | 1,234 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 9% | – | – | 3% | 1% | 57% | 5% | 11% |
Public Policy Institute of California [209] | Oct 3–19, 2023 | 316 (LV) | – | 4% | 12% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 53% | 5% [lower-alpha 141] | 1% |
Data Viewpoint [210] | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 5.5% | 17.5% | – | 15.2% | <1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 49.8% | 1.7% [lower-alpha 142] | – |
California's Choice [211] | Aug 27–29, 2023 | 750 (LV) | – | 4.8% | 21.6% | – | 15.6% | 0.5% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 0.8% | 43.4% | 2.6% | – |
UC Berkeley IGS [212] | Aug 24–29, 2023 | 1,175 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 3% | 16% | 1% | 7% | – | 3% | 4% | 2% | 55% | – | 9% |
Public Policy Institute of California [213] | Jun 7–29, 2023 | 267 (LV) | – | 3% | 24% | – | 3% | – | 6% | 1% | 5% | 50% | 7% [lower-alpha 143] | 1% |
Emerson College [214] | Jun 4–7, 2023 | 329 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 2% | 19% | – | 6% | – | 10% | 2% | 4% | 53% | 7% [lower-alpha 144] | – |
Public Policy Institute of California [215] | May 17–24, 2023 | 295 (LV) | ± 7% | 1% | 21% | – | 3% | – | 10% | 1% | 2% | 50% | 11% [lower-alpha 145] | 2% |
UC Berkeley IGS [216] | May 17–22, 2023 | 1,835 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 1% | 26% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 44% | 6% [lower-alpha 146] | 13% |
UC Berkeley IGS [217] | Feb 14–20, 2023 | 1,755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | 37% | – | 7% | – | 3% | – | 1% | 29% | 8% [lower-alpha 147] | 10% |
– | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | 6% [lower-alpha 148] | 11% | ||||
UC Berkeley IGS [218] | Aug 9–15, 2022 | 9,254 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 0% | 27% | – | 3% | – | 7% | – | 0% | 38% | 10% [lower-alpha 149] | 14% |
0% | 53% | – | 4% | – | 9% | – | 1% | – | 15% [lower-alpha 150] | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Liz Cheney | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Mike Pence | Mike Pompeo | Vivek Ramaswamy | Chris Sununu | Donald Trump |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Digital Research Inc. [219] | Mar 22 – April 22, 2023 | 192 (LV) | – | 10% | 27% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 59% |
Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley | Mike Pence | Other | Undecided | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redrawing of congressional districts after the 2020 redistricting cycle | |||||||||||
Inauguration of Joe Biden | |||||||||||
2020 presidential election | |||||||||||
SurveyUSA [220] | Jun 30 – July 6, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 12% | 30% | 36% [lower-alpha 151] | 21% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 152] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270ToWin [221] | February 7–8, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 29.3% | 63.0% | 7.7% | Trump +33.7 |
FiveThirtyEight [222] | through February 6, 2024 | March 5, 2024 | 29.3% | 66.6% | 4.1% | Trump +37.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 153] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Mike Pence | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [223] [upper-alpha 23] | Oct 13–20, 2023 | 107 (V) | ± 5.1% | 15% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 54% | 10% [lower-alpha 154] | – |
UMass-Amherst [224] | Mar 28 – Apr 5, 2023 | 154 (RV) | – | 18% | 4% | 10% | 1% | 59% | 8% [lower-alpha 155] | – |
32% | – | – | – | 68% | – | – | ||||
Opinion Diagnostics [225] | Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2023 | 475 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 21% | 9% | 3% | – | 45% | 3% | 19% |
32% | – | – | – | 46% | – | 22% | ||||
UMass-Amherst [226] | Jun 15–21, 2022 | 237 (RV) | – | 24% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 51% | 11% [lower-alpha 156] | – |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 157] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270ToWin [227] | February 5–7, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 21.5% | 74.5% | 4.0% | Trump +53.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [228] | through February 4, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 22.1% | 74.7% | 4.2% | Trump +52.6 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capen Analytics [229] | Feb 21, 2024 | 12,580 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 36% | – | – | – | – | 64% | – | – | |
Public Policy Polling (D) [230] | Jan 5–6, 2024 | 619 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 0% | – | 4% | – | 66% | 0% [lower-alpha 158] | 5% | |
ECU Center for Survey Research [231] | Nov 29 – Dec 1, 2023 | 445 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 2% | 10% | 13% | 1% | – | 3% | – | 63% | – | 8% | |
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,342 (LV) | – | 4% | 14% | 9% | 1% | – | 5% | 1% | 67% | 0% [lower-alpha 159] | – | |
Meredith College [232] | Nov 1–5, 2023 | 335 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 6% | 14% | 9% | 0% | - | 8% | 3% | 51% | 2% [lower-alpha 160] | 6% | |
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,337 (LV) | – | 3% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 61% | 0% [lower-alpha 161] | 2% | |
Morning Consult [44] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,366 (LV) | – | 3% | 15% | 8% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 58% | 0% [lower-alpha 162] | 2% | |
Meredith College [232] | Sep 16–19, 2023 | 350 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 3% | 13% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 51% | 6% [lower-alpha 163] | 7% | |
Morning Consult [44] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,491 (LV) | – | 3% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 2% | 57% | 0% [lower-alpha 164] | 1% | |
Morning Consult [44] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,535 (LV) | – | 3% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 58% | 0% [lower-alpha 165] | 1% | |
Morning Consult [44] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,454 (LV) | – | 2% | 20% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 56% | 1% [lower-alpha 166] | 1% | |
Opinion Diagnostics [233] | Jun 5–7, 2023 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 2% | 22% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 44% | 2% [lower-alpha 167] | 11% | |
– | 34% | – | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | 15% | |||||
Morning Consult [44] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,453 (LV) | – | – | 20% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 59% | 3% [lower-alpha 168] | 1% | |
Morning Consult [44] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,299 (LV) | – | – | 23% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 58% | 4% [lower-alpha 169] | 2% | |
SurveyUSA [234] [upper-alpha 24] | Apr 25–29, 2023 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 22% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 55% | 0% [lower-alpha 170] | 5% | |
Morning Consult [44] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,31 (LV) | – | – | 27% | 9% | – | 8% | 0% | 1% | 51% | 2% [lower-alpha 171] | 2% | |
Morning Consult [44] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,185 (LV) | – | – | 31% | 7% | – | 6% | – | 1% | 51% | 3% [lower-alpha 172] | 1% | |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,703 (LV) | – | – | 30% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 52% | 5% [lower-alpha 173] | 1% | |
Differentiators Data [235] | Jan 9–12, 2023 | 213 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 47% | 4% | – | 2% | – | – | 35% | 3% [lower-alpha 174] | – | |
Morning Consult [44] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 905 (LV) | – | – | 31% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 50% | 5% [lower-alpha 175] | 2% | |
Differentiators Data [236] | Dec 8–11, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | |
John Bolton Super PAC [237] | Jul 22–24, 2022 | 149 (LV) | – | 1% | 27% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 37% | 12% [lower-alpha 176] | 16% | |
Atlantic Polling Strategies [238] [upper-alpha 25] | Apr 25–28, 2022 | 534 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | 23% | 5% | – | 4% | – | 4% | 52% | 2% [lower-alpha 177] | 10% | |
Spry Strategies [239] | Apr 6–10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 19% | 8% | – | 6% | – | 1% | 45% | 9% [lower-alpha 178] | 12% | |
– | 32% | 8% | – | 9% | – | 2% | – | 18% [lower-alpha 179] | 31% | |||||
Cygnal (R) [240] | Apr 1–3, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 26% | 8% | – | 6% | – | – | 45% | 2% [lower-alpha 180] | 13% | |
Cygnal (R) [241] | Jan 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 19% | 8% | – | 5% | – | 2% | 47% | 3% [lower-alpha 181] | 16% | |
Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||
BUSR/UNLV Lee Business School [242] | Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2020 | 221 (RV) | ± 7.0% | – | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | 76% | 13% [lower-alpha 182] | 6% | |
– | – | 9% | – | 48% | – | – | – | 25% [lower-alpha 183] | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 637(LV) | – | 3% | 12% | 6% | 0% | – | 7% | 1% | 69% | 0% [lower-alpha 184] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 625(LV) | – | 5% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 68% | 0% [lower-alpha 185] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 566(LV) | – | 4% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 63% | 0% [lower-alpha 186] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 602(LV) | – | 3% | 11% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 2% | 63% | 1% [lower-alpha 187] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | July 1–31, 2023 | 629(LV) | – | 2% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 63% | 0% [lower-alpha 188] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | June 1–30, 2023 | 559(LV) | – | 3% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 66% | 1% [lower-alpha 189] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | May 1–31, 2023 | 627(LV) | – | – | 16% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 64% | 3% [lower-alpha 190] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 560(LV) | – | – | 14% | 2% | – | 8% | 2% | 2% | 67% | 4% [lower-alpha 191] | 1% |
C.H.S. & Associates [243] | Mar 27–31, 2023 | 300 (RV) | ± 4.3% | – | 29% | 6% | – | 6% | – | – | 38% | 9% [lower-alpha 192] | 11% |
Morning Consult [44] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 615(LV) | – | – | 20% | 3% | – | 10% | 1% | 1% | 58% | 7% [lower-alpha 193] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 473(LV) | – | – | 24% | 3% | – | 8% | 1% | 0% | 58% | 7% [lower-alpha 194] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 697(LV) | – | – | 27% | 1% | – | 9% | – | 0% | 57% | 5% [lower-alpha 195] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 414 (LV) | – | – | 29% | 2% | – | 8% | – | – | 55% | 7% [lower-alpha 196] | – |
Echelon Insights [244] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 265 (LV) | – | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 60% | – | 10% |
Amber Integrated [245] | Aug 11–15, 2022 | 684 (LV) | – | 2% | 22% | 2% | – | 6% | – | 1% | 50% | 11% [lower-alpha 197] | 7% |
– | 2% | 49% | 5% | – | 10% | – | 1% | – | 27% [lower-alpha 198] | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Doug Burgum | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [246] [upper-alpha 26] | Dec 14–28, 2023 | 522 (LV) | ± 2.66% | – | 1% | 12% | 7% | 0% | – | 2% | – | 72% | 1% | 6% |
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,078 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 17% | 8% | 1% | – | 4% | 1% | 66% | – | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,061 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 14% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 63% | – | 3% |
Morning Consult [44] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,032 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 63% | 0% [lower-alpha 199] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,109 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 10% | 3% | 59% | 0% [lower-alpha 200] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,079 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 17% | 2% | 0% | 10% | 9% | 2% | 57% | 0% [lower-alpha 200] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,072 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 21% | 3% | 0% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 59% | 1% [lower-alpha 201] | – |
The Beacon Center [247] | Jun 14–22, 2023 | 502 (LV) | – | – | – | 12% | – | – | 8% | 1% | 1% | 61% | – | 9% |
Morning Consult [44] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,147 (LV) | – | – | – | 18% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 64% | 3% [lower-alpha 202] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 986 (LV) | – | – | – | 22% | 3% | 0% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 61% | 5% [lower-alpha 203] | – |
Vanderbilt University [248] | Apr 19–23, 2023 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.6% | – | – | 25% | 4% | 2% | 5% | – | 3% | 59% | – | – |
– | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | – | 57% | – | – | ||||
Morning Consult [44] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,027 (LV) | – | – | – | 25% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 1% | 59% | 5% [lower-alpha 204] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 980 (LV) | – | – | – | 29% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 0% | 55% | 5% [lower-alpha 205] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,265 (LV) | – | – | – | 35% | 1% | – | 10% | – | 1% | 47% | 6% [lower-alpha 206] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 698 (LV) | – | – | – | 34% | 0% | – | 10% | – | 1% | 51% | 3% [lower-alpha 207] | 1% |
Vanderbilt University [249] | Nov 8–28, 2022 | 474 (RV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Doug Burgum | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [250] [upper-alpha 27] | Dec 1–10, 2023 | 552 (RV) | ± 4.17% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 9% | – | – | 4% | – | 65% | 2% [lower-alpha 208] | 6% |
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 3,064 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 12% | 7% | 1% | – | 7% | 1% | 69% | – | – |
CWS Research [251] [upper-alpha 28] | Nov 20–22, 2023 | 458 (LV) | ± 4.579% | 0% | 3% | 11% | 11% | – | – | 2% | – | 61% | – | 11% |
– | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | 63% | – | 14% | ||||
– | – | – | 20% | – | – | – | – | 70% | – | 10% | ||||
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 3,187 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 66% | 0% [lower-alpha 209] | 1% |
YouGov [252] [upper-alpha 27] | Oct 5–17, 2023 | 568 (RV) | ± 4.11% | 0% | 1% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 62% | 3% [lower-alpha 210] | 5% |
CWS Research [253] [upper-alpha 28] | October 5–9, 2023 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.793% | 0% | 1% | 9% | 11% | N/A | 2% | 5% | 1% | 58% | – | 13% |
– | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | 17% | ||||
Morning Consult [44] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 3,099 (LV) | – | 1% | 1% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 62% | 0% [lower-alpha 211] | 2% |
CWS Research [254] [upper-alpha 28] | Sep 1–4, 2023 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.864% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 61% | 2% [lower-alpha 212] | 10% |
– | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | 14% | ||||
Morning Consult [44] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 3,070 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 11% | 3% | 61% | 1% [lower-alpha 213] | – |
CWS Research [255] [upper-alpha 28] | Jul 30–31, 2023 | 606 (LV) | ± 3.981% | 0% | 4% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 48% | 3% [lower-alpha 214] | 15% |
– | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 19% | ||||
Morning Consult [44] | July 1–31, 2023 | 3,156 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 59% | 0% [lower-alpha 215] | 1% |
CWS Research [256] [upper-alpha 28] | Jun 28–30, 2023 | 764 (LV) | ± 3.546% | 0% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 51% | 3% [lower-alpha 216] | 10% |
– | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 15% | ||||
Morning Consult [44] | June 1–30, 2023 | 2,929 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 59% | 2% [lower-alpha 217] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | May 1–31, 2023 | 2,829 (LV) | – | – | – | 19% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 58% | 7% [lower-alpha 218] | 2% |
CWS Research [257] [upper-alpha 28] | May 26–30, 2023 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 3.07% | – | – | 23% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 47% | 4% [lower-alpha 219] | 13% |
– | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 51% | – | 16% | ||||
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [258] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 57% | 2% [lower-alpha 220] | 5% |
CWS Research [259] | Apr 29 – May 1, 2023 | 699 (LV) | ± 3.7% | – | – | 16% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 54% | 4% [lower-alpha 221] | 15% |
Morning Consult [44] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 2,736 (LV) | – | – | – | 20% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 57% | 9% [lower-alpha 222] | 2% |
CWS Research [260] [upper-alpha 28] | Mar 30 – Apr 2, 2023 | 1,067 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | – | 20% | 4% | – | 5% | 2% | 1% | 52% | 5% [lower-alpha 223] | 12% |
Morning Consult [44] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 2,629 (LV) | – | – | – | 24% | 4% | – | 7% | 0% | 1% | 53% | 11% [lower-alpha 224] | – |
CWS Research [261] [upper-alpha 28] | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2023 | 879 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | – | 27% | 5% | – | 4% | 2% | 1% | 43% | 5% [lower-alpha 225] | 13% |
Morning Consult [44] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 2,376 (LV) | – | – | – | 27% | 3% | – | 6% | 0% | 1% | 51% | 12% [lower-alpha 226] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 3,187 (LV) | – | – | – | 28% | 2% | – | 9% | – | 0% | 48% | 13% [lower-alpha 227] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 1,871 (LV) | – | – | – | 30% | 2% | – | 8% | – | 0% | 45% | 15% [lower-alpha 228] | – |
CWS Research [262] [upper-alpha 28] | Dec 19–21, 2022 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | – | 36% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 37% | 7% [lower-alpha 229] | 11% |
CWS Research [263] [upper-alpha 28] | Nov 27–28, 2022 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | – | 34% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 1% | 37% | 5% [lower-alpha 230] | 13% |
CWS Research [264] [upper-alpha 29] | Nov 12–13, 2022 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | – | 43% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 1% | 32% | 1% [lower-alpha 231] | 14% |
CWS Research [265] [upper-alpha 28] | Oct 19–23, 2022 | 823 (RV) | – | – | – | 29% | 3% | – | 4% | – | – | 46% | 7% [lower-alpha 232] | 11% |
Echelon Insights [266] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 378 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 10% |
CWS Research [267] [upper-alpha 28] | Aug 9–11, 2022 | 1,581 (RV) | ± 2.5% | – | – | 21% | 5% | – | 6% | – | – | 51% | 7% [lower-alpha 233] | 10% |
CWS Research [268] [upper-alpha 28] | Jul 9–10, 2022 | 1,918 (RV) | ± 2.2% | – | – | 26% | 5% | – | 6% | – | – | 45% | 20% [lower-alpha 234] | 9% |
CWS Research [269] [upper-alpha 28] | Jun 7–8, 2022 | 665 (RV) | ± 3.8% | – | – | 26% | 4% | – | 5% | – | – | 49% | 8% [lower-alpha 235] | 8% |
CWS Research [270] [upper-alpha 28] | May 4–10, 2022 | 992 (LV) | ± 3.1% | – | – | 28% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 44% | 13% [lower-alpha 236] | 8% |
CWS Research [271] [upper-alpha 28] | Mar 29 – Apr 1, 2022 | 678 (LV) | ± 3.8% | – | – | 20% | 10% | – | – | – | – | 46% | 16% [lower-alpha 237] | 8% |
Polls without Donald Trump | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates [273] | Oct 12–23, 2023 | 509 (RV) | – | 3% | 14% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 30% | – | 20% |
Dan Jones & Associates [274] | Sep 24–29, 2023 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.32% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 33% | 6% | 22% |
Dan Jones & Associates [275] | Aug 7–14, 2023 | 476 (RV) | ± 4.49% | 4% | 19% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 27% | 18% [lower-alpha 242] | 13% |
Noble Perspective Insights [276] | Jul 7–18, 2023 | 301 (RV) | ± 5.65% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 48% | 10% [lower-alpha 243] | – |
Dan Jones & Associates [277] | Jun 26 – Jul 4, 2023 | 495 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 4% | 24% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 29% | 13% [lower-alpha 244] | 16% |
Dan Jones & Associates [278] | May 22 – Jun 1, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 4.8% | – | 26% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 27% | 16% [lower-alpha 245] | 16% |
Dan Jones & Associates [279] | April 25–28, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | 19% | 8% | 6% | – | – | 21% | 24% [lower-alpha 246] | 22% |
WPA Intelligence [280] [upper-alpha 30] | April 18–20, 2023 | 504 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | 46% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | 19% |
OH Predictive Insights [281] | March 14–23, 2023 | 302 (RV) | ± 5.6% | – | 23% | 5% | 10% | – | 0% | 41% | 5% [lower-alpha 247] | – |
Dan Jones & Associates [282] | March 14–22, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | 31% | 5% | 4% | – | – | 23% | 12% [lower-alpha 248] | – |
OH Predictive Insights [283] | Dec 27, 2022 – Jan 4, 2023 | 302 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 1% | 29% | 3% | 11% | – | – | 42% | 12% [lower-alpha 249] | 2% |
Dan Jones & Associates [284] | Nov 18–23, 2022 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | 24% | 4% | 6% | – | – | 15% | 30% [lower-alpha 250] | 21% |
OH Predictive Insights [285] | Nov 5–15, 2021 | 333 (RV) | ± 5.4% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 9% | – | – | 43% | 25% [lower-alpha 251] | 10% |
1% | 18% | 5% | 13% | – | – | – | 32% [lower-alpha 252] | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 153] | Margin of error | Doug Burgum | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Larry Elder | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Glenn Youngkin | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roanoke College [286] | Feb 11–19, 2024 | 392 (LV) | ± 4.6% | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | – | – | – | 51% | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 23 – February 4, 2024 | 436 (LV) | – | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | – | – | – | 78% | – | – | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 942(LV) | – | 0% | 5% | 14% | – | 9% | – | – | 7% | 1% | 63% | – | – | 1% |
Roanoke College [287] | Nov 12–20, 2023 | 686 (A) | ± 4.3% | 0% | 2% | 14% | – | 10% | – | – | 3% | 1% | 51% | 10% | – | 9% |
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 942 (LV) | – | 0% | 3% | 10% | – | 8% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 63% | – | 0% [lower-alpha 253] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 896 (LV) | – | 0% | 3% | 14% | – | 6% | 0% | 4% | 9% | 1% | 61% | – | 0% [lower-alpha 254] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 947 (LV) | – | 0% | 4% | 15% | – | 3% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 2% | 59% | – | 0% [lower-alpha 255] | 1% |
Roanoke College [288] | Aug 6–15, 2023 | 702 (A) | ± 4.2% | – | 3% | 13% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 47% | 9% | 6% [lower-alpha 256] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,044(LV) | – | 0% | 4% | 20% | – | 4% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 55% | – | 0% [lower-alpha 257] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | June 1–30, 2023 | 919 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 19% | – | 5% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 60% | – | 0% [lower-alpha 258] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | May 1–31, 2023 | 969 (LV) | – | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 59% | 3% | 3% [lower-alpha 259] | – |
Roanoke College [289] | May 14–23, 2023 | 678 (A) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 28% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | – | 1% | 48% | – | 3% [lower-alpha 260] | 4% |
Morning Consult [44] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 870 (LV) | – | – | – | 20% | – | 3% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 59% | 6% | 3% [lower-alpha 261] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 921 (LV) | – | – | – | 26% | – | 3% | – | 6% | 1% | 0% | 50% | 9% | 3% [lower-alpha 262] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 721 (LV) | – | – | – | 31% | – | 4% | – | 6% | 1% | 1% | 47% | 9% | 1% [lower-alpha 263] | – |
Differentiators [290] | Feb 21–24, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | 37% | – | 6% | – | 3% | 2% | – | 34% | 6% | 7% [lower-alpha 264] | 5% |
– | – | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | 9% | ||||
– | – | 65% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27% | – | 8% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | 42% | – | 6% | ||||
Roanoke College [291] | Feb 12–21, 2023 | 680 (A) | ± 4.2% | – | – | 28% | – | 5% | – | 3% | – | – | 39% | 6% | 6% [lower-alpha 265] | 13% |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | – | 2% | – | 10% | – | 1% | 43% | 8% | 2% [lower-alpha 266] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 559 (LV) | – | – | – | 30% | – | 2% | – | 11% | – | 1% | 45% | 7% | 5% [lower-alpha 267] | – |
Roanoke College [292] | Nov 13–22, 2022 | 652 (A) | ± 4.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | 39% | – | 7% |
Roanoke College [293] | Aug 7–16, 2022 | 640 (A) | ± 4.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 62% | 28% | – | 9% |
States polled | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 268] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [294] | through February 4, 2024 | March 5, 2024 | 16.3% | 81.1% | 2.6% | Trump +64.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Doug Burgum | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS [295] | Nov 30 – Dec 7, 2023 | 522 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | 4% | 17% | 17% | 1% | – | 3% | – | 55% | 2% [lower-alpha 269] | 2% |
– | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 61% | – | 2% | ||||
– | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 69% | – | – | ||||
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,477 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 14% | 10% | 0% | – | 6% | 1% | 66% | – | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,525 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 15% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 63% | 0% [lower-alpha 270] | 1% |
Zogby Analytics [296] | Oct 9–12, 2023 | 273 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 3% | 10% | 9% | – | 5% | 7% | 5% | 55% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult [44] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,452 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 3% | 61% | 0% [lower-alpha 271] | – |
20/20 Insights [297] | Sep 25–28, 2023 | 245 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 0% | 4% | 16% | 7% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 58% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult [44] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,599 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 14% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 62% | 0% [lower-alpha 272] | 1% |
University of Georgia [298] | Aug 16–23, 2023 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 0% | 2% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 57% | 1% [lower-alpha 273] | 14% |
Morning Consult [44] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,633 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 19% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 57% | 1% [lower-alpha 274] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,599 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 22% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 58% | 0% [lower-alpha 275] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,470 (LV) | – | – | – | 21% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 61% | 1% [lower-alpha 276] | 3% |
Landmark Communications [299] | May 14, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | 2% | 32% | 6% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% | 40% | 7% [lower-alpha 277] | 6% |
Morning Consult [44] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,403 (LV) | – | – | – | 22% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 58% | 4% [lower-alpha 278] | 2% |
University of Georgia [300] | Apr 2–12, 2023 | 983 (LV) | ± 3.1% | – | – | 30% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 1% | 51% | 3% [lower-alpha 279] | 7% |
– | – | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | 51% | – | - | ||||
Morning Consult [44] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,426 (LV) | – | – | – | 29% | 4% | – | 8% | 1% | 1% | 53% | 3% [lower-alpha 280] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,280 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 5% | – | 7% | 0% | 2% | 50% | 4% [lower-alpha 281] | - |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,714 (LV) | – | – | – | 33% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 1% | 50% | 6% [lower-alpha 282] | - |
Morning Consult [44] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 972 (LV) | – | – | – | 35% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 1% | 47% | 3% [lower-alpha 283] | 3% |
WPA Intelligence [301] [upper-alpha 12] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 843 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | 10% |
2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||
Echelon Insights [302] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2022 | 219 (LV) | ± 5.4% | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 12% |
Echelon Insights [303] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 337 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | 54% | – | 9% |
Phillips Academy [304] | Aug 3–7, 2022 | 371 (RV) | ± 5.1% | – | – | 29% | – | – | 9% | – | – | 54% | – | 8% |
John Bolton Super PAC [305] | Jul 22–24, 2022 | 163 (LV) | – | – | 5% | 36% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 29% | 16% [lower-alpha 284] | 19% |
Spry Strategies [306] | Apr 6–10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 20% | 6% | – | 5% | – | 1% | 43% | 11% [lower-alpha 285] | 15% |
– | 39% | 6% | – | 7% | – | 2% | – | 15% [lower-alpha 286] | 31% | |||||
Trafalgar Group (R) [307] | Mar 7–9, 2021 | – (LV) [lower-alpha 287] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 70% | 18% [lower-alpha 288] | 12% |
Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||
University of Nevada/BUSR [308] | Dec 30, 2020 – Jan 3, 2021 | 209 (LV) | ± 7.0% | – | 1% | – | 3% | – | – | – | – | 73% | 12% [lower-alpha 289] | – |
- | 1% | – | 8% | – | 36% | – | – | – | 31% [lower-alpha 290] | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mississippi Today/Siena College [309] | Aug 20–28, 2023 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 6% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 61% | 2% | – |
Mississippi Today/Siena College [310] | Jan 8–12, 2023 | 487 (RV) | ± 5.9% | – | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | 46% | 3% [lower-alpha 291] | 11% |
Echelon Insights [311] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 211 (LV) | ± 7.8% | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | 11% | – |
States polled | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 292] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [312] | through February 4, 2024 | March 5, 2024 | 19.9% | 77.3% | 2.8% | Trump +57.4 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights [313] | October 25–31, 2023 | 348 (RV) | ± 5.25% | 2% | 16% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 53% | 7% [lower-alpha 293] | – |
– | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 68% | – | – | ||||
Emerson College [314] | August 2–4, 2023 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 6% | 11% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 58% | 11% [lower-alpha 294] | 1% |
Noble Predictive Insights [315] | July 13–17, 2023 | 346 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 2% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 50% | 7% [lower-alpha 295] | – |
– | 38% | – | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | – | ||||
J.L. Partners [316] | Apr 10–12, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | 24% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 47% | 8% [lower-alpha 296] | 11% |
– | 35% | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 13% | ||||
Noble Predictive Insights [315] | Apr 4–11, 2023 | 371 (RV) | ± 5.1% | – | 21% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 0% | 49% | 20% [lower-alpha 297] | – |
– | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | – | ||||
Rasmussen Reports [317] | Mar 13–14, 2023 | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 24% |
OH Predictive Insights [318] | Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2023 | 350 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 1% | 26% | 5% | – | 8% | – | – | 42% | 11% [lower-alpha 298] | 7% |
Blueprint Polling [319] | Jan 5–8, 2023 | 303 (V) | – | – | 34% | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | 23% |
Echelon Insights [320] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 337 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 11% |
OH Predictive Insights [321] | Nov 1–8, 2021 | 252 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 1% | 16% | 6% | – | 9% | – | – | 48% | 9% [lower-alpha 299] | 9% |
0% | 29% | 8% | – | 21% | – | – | – | 25% [lower-alpha 300] | 16% |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 301] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight [322] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 14.1% | 84.2% | 1.7% | Trump +70.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Others | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Insights [323] | Dec 8–9, 2023 | 1,220 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 5.3% | 18.8% | 7.6% | – | – | 1.3% | – | 59.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | |||
– | 25.8% | – | – | – | – | – | 56.8% | – | 17.4% | |||||||
Florida Atlantic University Political Communication & Public Opinion Research Lab/ Mainstreet Research [324] | Oct 27 – November 11, 2023 | 400 (RV) | – | 1% | 20% | 9% | – | – | 0% | – | 61% | 2% [lower-alpha 302] | 6% | |||
– | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 63% | – | 7% | |||||||
University of North Florida [325] | Oct 23 – November 4, 2023 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.77% | 2% | 21% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 60% | <2% [lower-alpha 303] | 8% | |||
– | 29% | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | 12% | |||||||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [326] | Oct 1–2, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 2% | 22% | 7% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | 57% | 0% | 7% | |||
Victory Insights [327] | Aug 21–23, 2023 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 4% | 23% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 59% | 1% | 7% | |||
– | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 57% | – | 13% | |||||||
Florida Atlantic University [328] | Jun 27 – July 1, 2023 | 315 (RV) | – | 2% | 30% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 50% | – | 7% | |||
– | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | 54% | – | 8% | |||||||
Breakthrough Research/Sachs Media [329] | Jun 9–11, 2023 | – | – | 2% | 41% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 41% | 0% [lower-alpha 304] | 8% | |||
Victory Insights [330] | May 25–27, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 38% | 3% | – | 3% | 0% | 3% | 38% | 4% [lower-alpha 305] | 12% | |||
– | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 21% | |||||||
National Research [331] [upper-alpha 31] | May 8–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 34% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 42% | 1% [lower-alpha 306] | 16% | |||
Florida Atlantic University [332] | Apr 13–14, 2023 | 1,081 (RV) | ± 3.0% | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | – | |||
Victory Insights [333] | Apr 6–8, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | – | 35% | 3% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 43% | – | 14% | |||
– | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 22% | |||||||
Emerson College [334] | Mar 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | – | 44% | 2% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 47% | 3% [lower-alpha 307] | – | |||
University of North Florida [335] | Feb 25 – March 7, 2023 | 550 (RV) | ± 2.6% | – | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | 13% | |||
– | 52% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 0% | 27% | 4% [lower-alpha 308] | 11% | |||||||
Victory Insights [336] | Nov 16–17, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | – | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 10% | |||
WPA Intelligence [84] [upper-alpha 32] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 1,044 (LV) | – | – | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 30% | – | 14% | |||
2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||||
Victory Insights [337] | Oct 30 – November 1, 2022 | 229 (LV) | ± 4.8% | – | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | – | |||
Suffolk University [338] | Sep 15–18, 2022 | 174 (LV) | – | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 40% | – | 12% | |||
Echelon Insights [339] | Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 | 363 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 8% | |||
University of North Florida [340] | Aug 8–12, 2022 | 671 (RV) | ± 3.4% | – | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 8% | |||
WPA Intelligence [84] [upper-alpha 32] | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | – | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | – | 9% | |||
Victory Insights [341] | Jul 13–14, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | – | 61% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 0% | |||
Blueprint Polling (D) [342] | Jul 7–10, 2022 | 656 (V) | ± 3.8% | – | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 10% | |||
Bendixen/Amandi International [343] | March 2022 | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 55% | – | 13% | |||
University of North Florida [344] | Feb 7–20, 2022 | 259 (RV) | – | – | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | 15% | |||
Suffolk University [345] | Jan 26–29, 2022 | 176 (LV) | – | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 13% | |||
Victory Insights [346] | Sep 16–18, 2021 | 200 (LV) | – | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 12% | |||
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) [347] | Aug 4–10, 2021 | 280 (RV) | – | 1% | 34% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 43% | 10% [lower-alpha 309] | 8% | |||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [348] | Feb 15–17, 2021 | 304 (LV) | – | – | 64% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22% [lower-alpha 310] | 14% | |||
Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||||
2020 presidential election | ||||||||||||||||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [349] | July 16–18, 2019 | 280 (LV) | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% [lower-alpha 311] | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [350] | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cor Strategies [351] | Aug 24–27, 2023 | – | – | 6% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 53% | 2% [lower-alpha 312] | 9% |
6% | 26% | 10% | 10% | 16% | 9% | – | 8% [lower-alpha 313] | 16% | ||||
Public Policy Polling [352] | Jun 6–7, 2022 | 677 (LV) | – | 2% | 23% | 3% | 6% | – | 2% | 51% | 5% [lower-alpha 314] | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Mike Pence | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research [353] | Feb 15–16, 2023 | 1,010 (LV) | 41% | – | – | 33% | – | 26% |
17% | 9% | 9% | 30% | 9% [lower-alpha 315] | 19% | |||
Echelon Insights [354] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 192 (LV) | 37% | – | – | 52% | – | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [355] | Dec 12–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 6% | 11% | 15% | – | – | 3% | – | 61% | – | 4% |
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,881 (LV) | – | 3% | 11% | 8% | 0% | – | 6% | 1% | 69% | 0% [lower-alpha 316] | 2% |
Emerson College/Nexstar, WJW (Cleveland) [356] | Nov 10–13, 2023 | 468 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 1% | – | 6% | 1% | 62% | 1% [lower-alpha 317] | 10% |
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,893(LV) | – | 2% | 13% | 7% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 62% | 0% [lower-alpha 318] | 1% |
Ohio Northern University [357] | Oct 16–19, 2023 | 269 (LV) | ± 2.15% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 0% [lower-alpha 101] | 4% | 9% | – | 64% | 1% [lower-alpha 319] | 6% |
Morning Consult [44] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,621(LV) | – | 3% | 14% | 5% | 0% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 60% | 0% [lower-alpha 318] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,803(LV) | – | 3% | 12% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 61% | 1% [lower-alpha 320] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,835(LV) | – | 3% | 16% | 2% | 0% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 58% | 0% [lower-alpha 321] | 1% |
Ohio Northern University [358] | Jul 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 5% | 64% | 1% | 3% |
Suffolk University [359] | Jul 9–12, 2023 | 190 (RV) | – | 4% | 23% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 48% | 3% [lower-alpha 322] | 8% |
Morning Consult [44] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,711(LV) | – | 2% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 59% | 1% [lower-alpha 323] | 1% |
East Carolina University [360] | Jun 21–24, 2023 | 405 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 4% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 3% | – | 59% | 2% | 10% |
Morning Consult [44] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,792(LV) | – | – | 20% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 60% | 3% [lower-alpha 324] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,754(LV) | – | – | 21% | 2% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 61% | 4% [lower-alpha 325] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,827(LV) | – | – | 27% | 4% | – | 7% | 0% | 1% | 56% | 3% [lower-alpha 326] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,573(LV) | – | – | 30% | 4% | – | 9% | 0% | 1% | 50% | 4% [lower-alpha 327] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 2,095(LV) | – | – | 31% | 2% | – | 9% | – | 1% | 50% | 5% [lower-alpha 328] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 1,188 (LV) | – | – | 33% | 2% | – | 8% | – | 1% | 48% | 5% [lower-alpha 329] | 3% |
Echelon Insights [361] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 377 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | 12% | – |
John Bolton Super PAC [362] | Jul 22–24, 2022 | 136 (LV) | – | 2% | 30% | – | – | 9% | – | – | 28% | 16% [lower-alpha 330] | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [363] | Aug 13–14, 2023 | – | – | 1% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 75% | 0% [lower-alpha 331] | – |
Echelon Insights [364] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 242 (LV) | ± 6.5% | – | 29% | – | – | – | 65% | – | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Others | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,876 (LV) | – | 4% | 13% | 8% | 0% | – | 5% | 2% | 66% | 1% [lower-alpha 332] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 2,014 (LV) | – | 4% | 12% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 64% | 0% [lower-alpha 333] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,924 (LV) | – | 3% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 62% | 1% [lower-alpha 334] | – |
Siena College [365] | Sep 10–13, 2023 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 64% | 27% | 8% |
Morning Consult [44] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 2,006 (LV) | – | 4% | 14% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 57% | 0% [lower-alpha 335] | 2% |
Siena College [365] | Aug 13–16, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 63% | 32% | 5% |
Morning Consult [44] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,886 (LV) | – | 4% | 18% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 58% | 1% [lower-alpha 336] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,856(LV) | – | 3% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 60% | 1% [lower-alpha 337] | 1% |
Siena College [366] | Jun 20–25, 2023 | 817 (RV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 61% | 34% | 5% |
Morning Consult [44] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,932(LV) | – | – | 17% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 63% | 3% [lower-alpha 338] | – |
Siena College [367] | May 7–11, 2023 | 810 (RV) | ± 4.1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 60% | 32% | 8% |
Morning Consult [44] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,792(LV) | – | – | 20% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 59% | 7% [lower-alpha 339] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,831(LV) | – | – | 28% | 4% | – | 6% | 0% | 4% | 51% | 6% [lower-alpha 340] | 1% |
Siena College [368] | Mar 19–22, 2023 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.6% | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | 18% | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,410(LV) | – | – | 28% | 4% | – | 8% | 0% | 2% | 51% | 6% [lower-alpha 341] | 1% |
Echelon Insights [369] | Feb 21–23, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | 13% |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,871(LV) | – | – | 34% | 3% | – | 9% | – | 1% | 46% | 9% [lower-alpha 342] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 1,074 (LV) | – | – | 33% | 3% | – | 7% | – | 3% | 44% | 9% [lower-alpha 343] | 1% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis | Donald Trump | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights [370] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 102 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 38% | 54% | 8% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 344] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270ToWin [371] | February 7, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 22.5% | 71.5% | 6.0% | Trump +49.0 |
FiveThirtyEight [372] | through February 4, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 21.1% | 70.9% | 8.0% | Trump +49.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Doug Burgum | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [373] | Dec 11–12, 2023 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 5% | 16% | 15% | – | – | 4% | – | 54% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 720 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 17% | 13% | 1% | – | 6% | 2% | 56% | – | 2% |
Marquette University Law School [374] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 402 (RV) | ± 6.8% | 1% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 38% | 0% [lower-alpha 345] | 24% |
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 713 (LV) | – | 0% | 3% | 15% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 52% | – | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 665 (LV) | – | – | 2% | 16% | 9% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 50% | 0% [lower-alpha 346] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 681 (LV) | – | – | 3% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 50% | 0% [lower-alpha 347] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | July 1–31, 2023 | 707 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 25% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 46% | 1% [lower-alpha 348] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | June 1–30, 2023 | 666 (LV) | – | – | 2% | 24% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 51% | 1% [lower-alpha 349] | – |
Marquette Law School [375] | June 8–13, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 0% | 1% | 30% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 31% | 0% [lower-alpha 350] | 21% |
Public Policy Polling [376] | June 5–6, 2023 | 507 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 25% | 5% | – | 8% | 2% | 5% | 41% | – | 14% |
– | – | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | 18% | ||||
Morning Consult [44] | May 1–31, 2023 | 728 (LV) | – | – | – | 24% | 4% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 52% | 4% [lower-alpha 351] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 771 (LV) | – | – | – | 31% | 4% | 0% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 45% | 5% [lower-alpha 352] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 722 (LV) | – | – | – | 35% | 6% | – | 9% | 1% | 2% | 43% | 4% [lower-alpha 353] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 626 (LV) | – | – | – | 34% | 4% | – | 9% | 0% | 1% | 44% | 7% [lower-alpha 354] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 2% | – | 11% | – | 2% | 42% | 10% [lower-alpha 355] | 1% |
Morning Consult [44] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 558 (LV) | – | – | – | 36% | 4% | – | 9% | – | 1% | 40% | 8% [lower-alpha 356] | 2% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University [377] | Jan 4–8, 2024 | 651 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 6% | 10% | 14% | – | – | 4% | – | 61% | 2% [lower-alpha 357] | 3% |
Morning Consult [44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 2,056 (LV) | – | 4% | 14% | 9% | 0% | – | 6% | 1% | 63% | 0% [lower-alpha 358] | 3% |
Morning Consult [44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 2,009 (LV) | – | 4% | 15% | 7% | 0% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 59% | 0% [lower-alpha 359] | 1% |
Franklin & Marshall College [378] | Oct 11–22, 2023 | 359 (RV) | ± 6.4% | 4% | 14% | 9% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 55% | 2% [lower-alpha 360] | 7% |
Quinnipiac University [379] | Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2023 | 711 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 4% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 61% | 3% [lower-alpha 361] | 3% |
Morning Consult [44] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,910 (LV) | – | 3% | 14% | 6% | 0% | 8% | 8% | 1% | 58% | 0% [lower-alpha 362] | 2% |
Morning Consult [44] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,979 (LV) | – | 4% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 58% | 0% [lower-alpha 363] | 2% |
Franklin & Marshall College [380] | Aug 9–20, 2023 | 297 (RV) | ± 7.0% | 3% | 21% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 39% | 5% [lower-alpha 364] | 8% |
Morning Consult [44] | July 1–31, 2023 | 2,139 (LV) | – | 4% | 20% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 55% | 1% [lower-alpha 365] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | June 1–30, 2023 | 2,136 (LV) | – | 3% | 23% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 54% | 1% [lower-alpha 366] | – |
Quinnipiac University [381] | Jun 22–26, 2023 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 5% | 25% | 4% | – | 5% | 1% | 4% | 49% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult [44] | May 1–31, 2023 | 2,062 (LV) | – | – | 22% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 58% | 4% [lower-alpha 367] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 2,058 (LV) | – | – | 25% | 3% | 0% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 53% | 6% [lower-alpha 368] | – |
Franklin & Marshall College [382] | Mar 27 – Apr 7, 2023 | 227 (RV) | ± 4.9% | – | 34% | 4% | – | 6% | – | 0% | 40% | 6% [lower-alpha 369] | 11% |
Morning Consult [44] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 2,103 (LV) | – | – | 30% | 4% | – | 8% | 0% | 1% | 51% | 4% [lower-alpha 370] | 2% |
Public Policy Polling [383] | Mar 9–10, 2023 | 616 (LV) | – | – | 31% | 5% | – | 5% | – | – | 49% | – | 10% |
– | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | – | 13% | ||||
Morning Consult [44] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,769 (LV) | – | – | 32% | 4% | – | 8% | 0% | 1% | 46% | 8% [lower-alpha 371] | 1% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research [384] | Feb 19–26, 2023 | 320 (RV) | ± 3.2% | – | 37% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 1% | 32% | 27% [lower-alpha 372] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 2,470 (LV) | – | – | 35% | 2% | – | 10% | – | 1% | 43% | 9% [lower-alpha 373] | – |
Morning Consult [44] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 1,381 (LV) | – | – | 34% | 2% | – | 10% | – | 1% | 44% | 8% [lower-alpha 374] | 1% |
Communication Concepts [385] | Nov 19–21, 2022 | 639 (RV) | ± 3.9% | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 40% | 4% | 12% |
Echelon Insights [386] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 353 (LV) | – | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | 12% | – |
John Bolton Super PAC [387] | Jul 22–24, 2022 | 129 (LV) | – | 2% | 29% | – | – | 7% | – | – | 40% | 10% [lower-alpha 375] | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Mike Pence | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bellwether Research & Consulting [388] | Dec 11–17, 2022 | 457 (LV) | – | 28% | 3% | 13% | 39% | 1% [lower-alpha 376] | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Larry Hogan | Mike Pence | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OpinionWorks [389] | April 7–10, 2024 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 74% | - | 7% |
Gonzales Research [390] | May 30 – Jun 6, 2023 | 221 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 37% | - | - | - | - | 42% | - | 21% |
co/efficient [391] | Feb 19–20, 2023 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.58% | 27% | 6% | 18% | 1% | 1% | 33% | 2% [lower-alpha 377] | 12% |
– | – | 32% | – | – | 59% | – | 10% | ||||
39% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | 26% | ||||
OpinionWorks [392] | May 27 – Jun 2, 2022 | 428 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 12% | 5% | 25% | 6% | – | 48% | – | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ECU Center for Survey Research [393] | May 22–23, 2023 | 957 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 54% | – | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [394] | May 10–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 2% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 70% | 3% [lower-alpha 378] | – |
Emerson College [395] | Apr 10–11, 2023 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | 23% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 1% | 62% | 6% [lower-alpha 379] | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 11] | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [396] | Oct 23–25, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 64% | 2% [lower-alpha 380] | 6% |
J.L. Partners [397] | Aug 12–17, 2023 | 418 (LV) | ? | 3% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 52% | 3% [lower-alpha 381] | 12% |
– | 29% | – | – | – | – | 56% | – | 15% | ||||
Public Policy Polling (D) [398] | Jun 19–20, 2023 | 510 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 4% | 23% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 46% | – | 12% |
– | 37% | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 14% | ||||
Echelon Insights [399] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 142 (LV) | ± 6.6% | – | 28% | – | – | – | – | 56% | – | 16% |
Partisan clients
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
Former president Donald Trump, the 2024 Republican nominee for President of the United States, considered several prominent Republicans and other individuals before selecting Senator JD Vance of Ohio as his running mate on July 15, 2024, the first day of the 2024 Republican National Convention. Vance formally won the vice presidential nomination. The Trump–Vance ticket will face the Harris–Walz ticket in the 2024 presidential election.
The 2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary was held on March 19, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 43 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest was held alongside primaries in Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio.
The 2024 Ohio Republican presidential primary was held on March 19, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 79 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest was held alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Kansas.
The 2024 Texas Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 161 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states. Trump ultimately won all 161 delegates, while winning every county in the state except for Kent County.
The 2024 California Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 169 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
The 2024 New York Republican presidential primary was held on April 2, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 91 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held alongside the primaries in Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.
The 2024 Pennsylvania Republican presidential primary was held on April 23, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 67 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated.
The 2024 Virginia Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 48 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a proportional basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states. Appearing on the ballot are Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Ryan Binkley, Ron DeSantis, Chris Christie, and Vivek Ramaswamy.
The 2024 Georgia Republican presidential primary election was held on March 12, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 59 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest was held alongside primaries in Hawaii, Mississippi, and Washington.
The 2024 Wisconsin Republican presidential primary was held on April 2, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 41 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.
The 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary and caucuses were held on February 27 and on March 2, 2024, respectively, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 55 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional and winner-take-most basis. The primary took place concurrently with its Democratic counterpart, and saw Trump defeat Haley in a 42-point landslide.
The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on February 24, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a selection basis.
The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election.
The 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses were held on January 15, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 40 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a proportional basis. As in past primary cycles, the Iowa caucuses were the first-in-the-nation Republican presidential nominating contest.
The 2024 North Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 74 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
The 2024 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. Forty-three delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
The 2024 Tennessee Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 58 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
The 2024 Utah Republican presidential caucuses were held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 40 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-most basis. The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states. Donald Trump won most of the counties along with all 40 delegates, but Nikki Haley won Salt Lake and Davis counties.
The 2024 New Jersey Republican presidential primary was held on June 4, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. Nine delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest was among the last in the Republican primary cycle, held alongside primaries in Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.