Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

Last updated

Contents

This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

Background

The Republican National Committee determined that candidates must qualify for the first primary debate by polling above 1% in three national polls since July 2023 – or in two national polls and one poll from two different early primary states (of which the polls must meet committee standards) – as well as attract donations from at least 40,000 individuals, with at least 200 from each of 20 states or territories. [1]

Each subsequent debate raised the polling threshold for qualification. For the second debate, candidates needed to poll above 3% in August or September in two national polls; otherwise, one national poll plus two state polls in two separate early primary states also qualify. The donor threshold was also raised for the second debate to 50,000 individuals. [2] For the third and fourth debates, the threshold was raised to above 4% in one national poll and one early primary state poll, as well as 70,000 unique donors. [3]

Individuals who have been included in statewide Republican primary polls but have either ruled out their candidacy or not expressed interest in running include Greg Abbott, Tucker Carlson, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Josh Hawley, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, Mitt Romney, Marco Rubio, Rick Scott, Chris Sununu, Donald Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, and Glenn Youngkin.

Primary and caucus calendar

2024 Republican Party primaries and caucuses
Date [4] DelegatesPrimaries/caucuses
January 1540 Iowa caucus
January 2322 New Hampshire primary
February 6- Nevada primary [a]
February 83526
9		 Nevada caucus
Virgin Islands caucus
February 2450 South Carolina primary
February 2755 Michigan primary
March 28632
54		 Idaho caucus
Missouri caucus
March 319 District of Columbia primary
March 429 North Dakota caucus
March 5
(Super Tuesday)		87449
28
9
40
169
37
20
40
39
75
43
58
162
40
17
48		 Alabama primary
Alaska primary
American Samoa caucus
Arkansas primary
California primary
Colorado primary
Maine primary
Massachusetts primary
Minnesota primary
North Carolina primary
Oklahoma primary
Tennessee primary
Texas primary
Utah primary
Vermont primary
Virginia primary
March 99 Guam caucus
March 10329
23		 Northern Marianas caucus
Puerto Rico primary
March 1216059
19
39
43		 Georgia primary
Hawaii caucus
Mississippi primary
Washington primary
March 1934943
125
64
39
78		 Arizona primary
Florida primary
Illinois primary
Kansas primary
Ohio primary
March 2346 Louisiana primary
April 219528
16
91
19
41		 Connecticut primary
Delaware primary
New York primary
Rhode Island primary
Wisconsin primary
April 18–2029 Wyoming caucus
April 2367 Pennsylvania primary
May 758 Indiana primary
May 1410437
36
31		 Maryland primary
Nebraska primary
West Virginia primary
May 217746
31		 Kentucky caucus
Oregon primary
June 413131
49
22
29		 Montana primary
New Jersey primary
New Mexico primary
South Dakota primary

Aggregate polling summary

270toWin

States
polled		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [b] 		Margin
Iowa [5] January 11 – 15, 2024January 15, 202415.7%18.5%52.5%13.3% [c] Trump +34.0
Massachusetts [6] February 7–8, 2024February 15, 2024–29.3%63.0%7.7%Trump +33.7
New Hampshire [7] January 22–23, 2024January 23, 20247.3%35.7%56.5%0.5%Trump +20.8
South Carolina [8] February 16–20, 2024February 21, 2024–34.6%61.6%3.8%Trump +27.0
Wisconsin [9] February 7, 2024February 15, 2024–22.5%71.5%6.0%Trump +49.0

FiveThirtyEight

States
polled		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [d] 		Margin
Arizona [10] through February 4, 2024February 15, 202421.0%76.9%2.1%Trump +55.9
California [11] through February 4, 2024February 10, 202418.9%76.7%4.4%Trump +57.8
Florida [12] through February 4, 2024February 10, 202414.1%84.2%1.7%Trump +70.1
Georgia [13] through February 4, 2024February 10, 202418.1%79.0%2.9%Trump +60.9
Iowa [14] through January 14, 2024January 15, 202418.7%52.7%28.6% [e] Trump +34.0
Massachusetts [15] through March 3, 2024March 4, 202429.3%66.6%4.1%Trump +37.3
Michigan [16] through February 24, 2024February 25, 202421.8%78.7%–Trump +56.9
New Hampshire [17] through January 22, 2024January 23, 202436.3%53.9%9.8%Trump +17.6
North Carolina [18] through February 4, 2024February 15, 202422.1%74.7%4.2%Trump +52.6
Ohio [19] through February 4, 2024February 10, 202416.9%81.9%1.2%Trump +56.4
Pennsylvania [20] through February 4, 2024February 10, 202417.8%78.5%3.7%Trump +51.3
South Carolina [21] through February 23, 2024February 23, 202434.0%61.6%4.4%Trump +27.6
Tennessee [22] through March 3, 2024March 5, 202415.3%84.4%0.3%Trump +69.1
Texas [23] through March 3, 2024March 4, 202414.9%79.4%5.7%Trump +64.5
Virginia [24] through March 3, 2024March 4, 202417.4%66.2%16.4%Trump +48.8
Wisconsin [25] through February 4, 2024February 15, 202421.1%70.9%8.0%Trump +49.8

RealClearPolitics

States
polled		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [f] 		Margin
Iowa [26] January 5 – 14, 2024January 15, 202415.7%18.8%52.5%13.0% [g] Trump +33.7
Nevada [27] September 29, 2023 – January 8, 2024January 19, 202410.5%–69.0%20.5% [h] Trump +58.5
New Hampshire [28] January 16–22, 2024January 23, 20248.0%36.5%55.8%–Trump +19.3
South Carolina [29] January 23, 2024 – February 10, 2024February 15, 2024–30.5%64.0%5.5%Trump +33.5


Iowa caucus

The 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses were held on January 15, 2024.

Local regression graph of all polls conducted since November 2022. Opinion polling for the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses.svg
Local regression graph of all polls conducted since November 2022.

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [i] 		Margin
270toWin [30] January 11–15, 2024January 15, 202415.7%18.5%0.8%6.8%52.5%5.7% [j] Trump +34.0
FiveThirtyEight [31] Through January 14, 2024January 15, 202415.8%18.7%0.7%6.4%52.7%5.7%Trump +34.0
RealClearPolling [32] January 5–14, 2024January 15, 202415.7%18.8%0.8%6.8%52.5%5.4%Trump +33.7
Average15.7%18.7%0.7%6.7%52.6%5.6%Trump +33.9
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Doug
Burgum		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Larry
Elder		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Trafalgar Group [33] Jan 12–14, 20241,092 (LV)± 2.9%––19.3%–18.5%0.7%–6.5%–52.1%–2.9%
Selzer & Co. [34] [A] Jan 7–12, 2024705 (LV)± 3.7%––16%–20%1%–8%–48%3% [l] 5%
Insider Advantage [35] January 11, 2024850 (LV)± 4.3%––17%–17%0%–7%–51%–8%
Suffolk University [36] Jan 6–10, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%––13%–20%0%–6%–54%––
Civiqs [37] Jan 5–10, 2024433 (LV)± 6.4%–4%14%–14%0%–8%–55%2%3%
InsiderAdvantage [38] Dec 18–19, 2023850 (LV)± 4.36%–4%15%–17%0%–8%–50%–6%
Fox Business [39] Dec 14–18, 2023804 (LV)± 3.5%–3%18%–16%0%–7%–52%1%2%
Emerson College [40] Dec 15–17, 2023420 (LV)± 4.7%–4%15%–17%0%–8%–50%–6%
Iowa State University/Civiqs [41] Dec 8–13, 2023438 (LV)± 6.0%–4%17%–15%1%–7%–54%0% [m] 2%
Selzer & Co. [42] [A] Dec 2–7, 2023502 (LV)± 4.4%–4%19%–16%1%–5%–51%2% [n] 3%
Trafalgar Group [43] Dec 1–4, 20231,091 (LV)± 2.9%2%4%22%–19%1%–5%–45%–1%
Morning Consult [44] Nov 1–30, 2023324 (LV)–1%2%18%–11%0%–13%5%50%––
Iowa State University/Civiqs [45] Nov 10–15, 2023432 (LV)± 4.3%1%3%18%–12%0%–6%2%54%0%4%
Arc Insights [46] [B] Nov 9–14, 2023800 (LV)± 3.5%1%4%17%–17%<1%–5%–44%2% [o] 9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [47] [C] Nov 9–12, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%1%5%19%-16%0%-4%5%43%0%7%
2%5%20%-18%0%-5%-44%0%7%
Trafalgar Group (R) [48] Nov 3–5, 20231,084 (LV)± 2.9%4%5%18%–15%0%–5%9%44%0% [p] 1%
Morning Consult [44] Oct 1–31, 2023324 (LV)–1%2%15%–7%0%3%9%6%57%––
Public Opinion Strategies [49] [D] Oct 24–26, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%1%2%20%–12%1%1%4%5%46%––
Selzer & Co. [50] [A] Oct 22–26, 2023404 (LV)± 4.9%3%4%16%–16%1%2% [q] 4%7%43%2% [r] 3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [47] [C] Oct 17–19, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%2%3%21%0%14%0%2%4%5%42%2% [s] 6%
Iowa State University/Civiqs [51] Oct 6–10, 2023425 (LV)± 6.1%0%2%17%0%11%0%1%5%4%55%2% [t] 1%
Morning Consult [52] Sep 1–30, 2023316 (LV)–1%5%13%–6%–7%9%7%53%––
CBS News/YouGov [53] Sep 15–24, 2023458 (LV)± 6.1%0%1%21%0%8%1%6%5%6%51%0% [u] –
Public Opinion Strategies [54] [E] Sep 19–21, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%1%2%21%–9%0%2%5%6%45%–9%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [55] [F] Sep 17–19, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%1%5%15%–13%<1%2%5%5%45%<1% [v] 7%
Trafalgar Group (R) [56] Sep 14–18, 20231,079 (LV)± 2.9%4%2%16%0%8%0%4%7%7%49%1% [w] 2%
Fox Business [57] Sep 14–18, 2023813 (LV)± 3%2%3%15%<0.5%11%<0.5%3%7%7%46%3% [x] 2%
Emerson College [58] Sep 7–9, 2023357 (V)± 5.1%3%–14%–7%–3%7%8%49%6%–
Civiqs [59] Sep 2–7, 2023434 (LV)± 5.8%2%3%14%–10%0%1%9%6%51%1% [y] –
Public Opinion Strategies [60] Sep 5–6, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%1%3%22%–6%1%2%6%5%45%––
Morning Consult [52] Aug 1–31, 2023341 (LV)–1%4%15%–6%0%6%8%7%52%0% [z] 1%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [61] Aug 25–28, 2023500 (LV)–2%3%18%<1%10%1%2%7%7%44%<2% [aa] 5%
Public Opinion Strategies [62] August 24, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%1%1%21%–11%1%2%7%7%41%––
Public Opinion Strategies [62] Aug 19–21, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%3%3%14%–3%<1%2%10%3%42%––
HarrisX [63] [G] Aug 17–21, 20231,120 (LV)– [ab] 2%3%11%0%4%0%3%9%8%45%3% [ac] 12%
– [ad] 2%4%21%1%6%1%8%18%15%–4% [ae] 19%
Echelon Insights [64] [H] Aug 15–17, 2023800 (LV)± 4.2%2%4%17%–2%<1%3%8%3%33%3% [af] 14%
Selzer & Co. [65] [A] Aug 13–17, 2023406 (LV)± 4.9%2%5%19%–6%–6%4%9%42%1% [ag] 5%
The Trafalgar Group (R) [66] Aug 14–16, 20231,126 (LV)± 2.9%3%4%16%1%5%1%4%6%13%42%3% [ah] 3%
New York Times/Siena College [67] Jul 28 – August 1, 2023432 (LV)± 5.9%1%<1%20%<1%4%<1%3%5%9%44%<2% [ai] 12%
––39%––––––55%–4%
Manhattan Institute [68] Jul 2023625 (LV)–3%4%17%0%5%1%4%6%10%42%1% [aj] 7%
Morning Consult [52] July 1–31, 2023350 (LV)–1%2%19%–4%0%4%8%5%55%–2%
National Research [69] [I] Jul 23–24, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%3%4%15%–3%0%2%5%9%42%–13%
Fox Business [70] Jul 15–19, 2023806 (LV)± 3.5%3%3%16%<1%5%1%4%6%11%46%1% [ak] 4%
co/efficient [71] [J] Jul 15–17, 20232,238 (LV)± 2.6%–3%16%–3%–3%5%10%46%–10%
National Research [72] [I] Jul 5–6, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%–3%21%–2%1%3%3%7%44%–14%
Morning Consult [52] June 1–30, 2023317 (LV)–0%1%18%–2%1%7%3%3%64%0% [al] 1%
McLaughlin & Associates [73] [J] Jun 10–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%––19%–––6%–9%51%–15%
––33%––––––60%–7%
National Research [74] [I] Jun 5–7, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%–2%24%–4%0%4%1%5%39%–21%
Victory Insights [75] Jun 3–6, 2023450 (LV)± 4.9%–3%21%–5%–5%2%6%44%3% [am] 12%
––32%––––––49%–19%
WPA Intelligence [76] [K] May 30 – June 1, 2023655 (RV)–––29%–6%<1%4%4%7%39%–11%
––43%––––––45%–12%
Morning Consult [52] May 1–31, 2023300 (LV)–––17%–5%0%8%5%1%60%4% [an] 0%
McLaughlin & Associates [77] May 23–25, 2023400 (LV)–0%1%24%1%4%1%5%2%7%50%3% [ao] 4%
––36%––––––54%–11%
Emerson College [78] May 19–22, 2023600 (LV)± 3.9%0%–20%–5%1%5%2%3%62%2% [ap] –
National Research [79] [I] May 9–11, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%––26%–6%1%4%3%1%44%–11%
––33%––––––45%–22%
McLaughlin & Associates [80] [J] Apr 27–30, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%–1%20%1%5%0%7%2%1%54%5% [aq] 5%
––22%––––––57%––
Morning Consult [52] Apr 1–30, 2023294 (LV)–––20%–4%0%7%4%0%60%3% [ar] 2%
Victory Insights [81] Apr 10–13, 2023400 (LV)± 4.8%––24%–14%4%–3%–54%1% [as] –
––59%–24%5%–8%––4% [at] –
––41%––––––59%––
Cygnal [82] Apr 3–4, 2023600 (LV)± 3.9%––30%–5%1%2%2%1%37%3% [au] 19%
J.L. Partners [83] Mar 25 – April 4, 2023628 (LV)± 3.9%––26%–5%–3%1%–41%10% [av] 14%
––39%––––––47%–15%
Morning Consult [52] Mar 1–31, 2023329 (LV)–––27%–5%–7%–0%57%2% [aw] 2%
Morning Consult [52] Feb 1–28, 2023281 (LV)–––25%–6%–9%0%0%52%8% [ax] 0%
Morning Consult [52] Jan 1–31, 2023367 (LV)–––27%–5%–9%–1%51%5% [ay] 2%
Morning Consult [52] Dec 1–31, 2022227 (LV)–––35%–2%–11%–1%44%8% [az] 0%
WPA Intelligence [84] [L] Nov 11–13, 2022508 (LV)± 4.4%––48%––––––37%–16%
WPA Intelligence [84] [L] Aug 7–10, 2022508 (LV)± 4.4%––37%––––––52%–12%
Neighborhood Research and Media [85] [M] Jun 22 – July 1, 2022546 (LV)± 4.2%––17%–2%–2%––38%4% [ba] –
Victory Insights [86] Mar 5–8, 2021630 (RV)–––4%–6%–8%––61%13% [bb] –
––20%–10%–19%–––33% [bc] –

New Hampshire primary

The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024.

Local regression graph of all polls conducted since November 2022. Opinion polling for the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary.svg
Local regression graph of all polls conducted since November 2022.

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [bd] 		Margin
270 to Win [87] January 22–23, 2024January 23, 202435.7%56.5%7.8% [be] Trump +20.8
FiveThirtyEight [88] Through January 22, 2024January 23, 202436.3%53.9%9.8%Trump +17.6
RealClearPolling [89] January 16–22, 2024January 23, 202436.5%55.8%7.7%Trump +19.3
Average36.2%55.4%8.4%Trump +19.2
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Doug
Burgum		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [90] Jan 21–22, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%–––38%––––60%1%1%
Insider Advantage [91] January 21, 2024850 (LV)±4.32%–––35%––––62%–3%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [92] Jan 20–21, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%–––38%––––57%2%2%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [93] Jan 19–20, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%––6%36%––––55%0.6%2.4%
American Research Group [94] Jan 18–20, 2024600 (LV)±4.0%––6%44%––––46%––
Emerson College/WHDH [95] Jan 18–20, 2024673 (RV)±3.7%––8%35%50%7%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [96] Jan 17–18, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%––6%35%––––52%–4%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [97] Jan 16–17, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%––6%36%––––50%1%4%
Saint Anselm College [98] January 16, 20241,398 (LV)± 2.6%––6%38%––––52%–4%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS [99] Jan 15–16, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%––5%34%––––50%–11%
American Research Group [100] Jan 12–15, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%––4%40%1%–4%–40%2%9%
Saint Anselm College [101] Jan 8–9, 20241,194 (LV)± 2.8%–9%6%31%––6%–45%–3%
University of New Hampshire Survey/CNN [102] Jan 4–8, 2024919 (LV)± 3.2%–12%5%32%0%–8%–39%0%5%
American Research Group [103] December 27, 2023 – January 4, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%–10%5%33%1%–4%–37%1%9%
American Research Group [104] Dec 14–20, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%–13%6%29%1%–5%–33%1%12%
Saint Anselm College [105] Dec 18–19, 20231,072 (LV)± 3.0%–12%6%30%0%–5%–44%–3%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [106] Dec 7–18, 2023450 (LV)± 5.4%–6%10%22%1%–4%–52%0% [bf] 5%
CBS News/YouGov [107] Dec 8–15, 2023855 (LV)± 4.1%–10%11%29%1%–5%–44%––
Trafalgar Group [108] Dec 9–11, 20231,098 (LV)± 2.9%–14%11%18%0%–10%–45%–1%
Americans for Prosperity [109] Nov 19–21, 2023800 (LV)–––9%25%––––40%26%–
University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN [110] Nov 10–14, 2023994 (LV)± 3.1%2%14%9%20%0%–8%–42%3%2%
Washington Post/Monmouth University [111] Nov 9–14, 2023606 (LV)± 4.5%2%11%7%18%1%–8%3%46%0%4%
Emerson College/WHDH [112] Nov 10–13, 2023465 (RV)± 3.3%1.5%8.8%7.2%17.6%0.3%–4.6%2.2%48.5%–9.3%
USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University [113] Sep 28 – October 2, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%1%6%10%19%–1%4%4%49%––
CBS News/YouGov [114] Sep 15–24, 2023502 (LV)± 5.4%2%8%13%11%1%2%8%5%50%0% [bg] –
Saint Anselm College [115] Sep 19–20, 2023931 (LV)± 3.2%1%10%11%15%1%1%6%3%45%0% [bh] 6%
Insider Advantage [116] September 20, 2023850 (LV)± 3.36%4%10%8%14%1%1%5%5%42%1% [bi] 9%
University of New Hampshire [117] Sep 14–18, 20231,006 (LV)± 3.4%1%11%10%12%0%2%13%6%39%1% [bj] 6%
NMB Research [118] Aug 25–31, 2023800 (LV)–1%8%10%10%1%4%8%5%47%<3% [bk] 4%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [119] Aug 25–28, 2023500 (LV)–2%5%11%9%<1%1%9%5%48%<3% [bl] 9%
Echelon Insights [120] [N] Aug 15–17, 2023800 (LV)± 4.0%2%14%9%3%1%3%11%7%34%3% [bm] 12%
Emerson College [121] Aug 9–11, 2023498 (RV)± 4.9%4%9%8%4%–1%3%6%49%3% [bn] 13%
co/efficient [122] Aug 5–7, 2023862 (LV)± 3.3%4%9%9%7%1%3%5%5%43%3% [bo] 13%
Manhattan Institute [123] July 2023603 (LV)–3%11%13%7%1%4%8%7%34%3% [bp] 8%
National Research [124] [O] Jul 25–26, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%5%8%11%3%1%2%6%8%41%–15%
University of New Hampshire [125] Jul 13–17, 2023898 (LV)± 3.3%6%6%23%5%0%1%5%8%37%1% [bq] 8%
National Research [126] [O] Jul 10–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%3%7%15%5%1%1%4%6%39%–17%
American Pulse [127] Jul 5–11, 2023895± 3.2%3%10%11%3%–5%5%7%48%–8% [br]
Saint Anselm College [128] Jun 21–23, 2023494 (LV)± 4.4%2%6%19%5%2%2%2%4%47%0% [bs] 10%
New Hampshire Journal/co-efficient [129] Jun 14–16, 2023904 (LV)± 3.3%–9%13%3%–5%3%3%47%5%10%
––23%–––––49%–28%
National Research [130] [O] Jun 12–14, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%–7%12%5%2%3%3%7%44%18% [bt] –
National Research [131] [O] May 15–17, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%––18%3%1%1%6%1%39%32% [bu] –
University of New Hampshire [132] Apr 13–17, 2023818 (LV)± 3.4%–1%22%3%0%3%3%2%42%20% [bv] 4%
J.L Partners [133] Apr 2–11, 2023623 (LV)± 3.9%–2%18%4%–2%1%1%51%19% [bw] 6%
––33%–––––53%–13%
Saint Anselm College [134] Mar 28–30, 20231,320 (RV)± 4.0%–1%29%4%–1%3%1%42%19% [bx] –
Emerson College [135] Mar 3–5, 2023384 (RV)± 5.0%––17%6%–4%–1%58%14% [by] –
co/efficient [136] Jan 25–26, 2023506 (LV)± 4.35%––––––––43%42%15%
––26%4%–3%––37%13% [bz] 18%
University of New Hampshire [137] Jan 19–23, 2023349 (LV)± 5.2%––42%8%–1%–0%30%16% [ca] 3%
Neighborhood Research and Media [138] Dec 5–13, 2022434 (LV)± 4.7%––33%––3%––32%13%19%
WPA Intelligence [139] [L] Nov 11–13, 2022401 (LV)± 4.9%––52%–––––37%–11%
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Saint Anselm College [140] Aug 9–11, 2022820 (RV)± 3.4%––29%3%–3%–1%50%4% [cb] 8%
WPA Intelligence [139] [L] Aug 7–10, 2022401 (LV)± 4.9%––45%–––––45%–10%
Neighborhood Research and Media [141] [P] Jul 5–8, 2022475 (RV)± 4.5%––22%1%–1%––41%3% [cc] 32%
University of New Hampshire [142] Jun 16–20, 2022318 (LV)± 5.5%––39%6%–9%–0%37%6% [cd] 3%
University of New Hampshire [143] Oct 14–18, 2021441 (LV)± 4.7%––18%6%–4%––43%14% [ce] 10%
University of New Hampshire [144] Jul 15–19, 2021770 (LV)± 3.5%––19%6%–5%––43%13% [cf] 10%
Saint Anselm College [145] [Q] May 7–10, 2021635 (RV)± 3.9%––20%7%–4%–0%52%7% [cg] 10%
Victory Insights [146] Mar 5–11, 2021400 (RV)–––5%3%–6%––52%14% [ch] –
––21%7%–18%–––29% [ci] –
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Praecones Analytica [147] Nov 30 – December 2, 2020624 (RV)± 4.0%–––7%–6%–2%57%19% [cj] 10%
–––12%–25%–3%–46% [ck] 14%

Nevada primary and caucus

The 2024 Nevada Republican presidential primary and caucus was held on February 6 and February 8, 2024, respectively.

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [cl] 		Margin
RealClearPolling [148] September 29, 2023 – January 8, 2024January 21, 202469.0%31.0% [cm] Trump +58.5
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
McLaughlin & Associates [149] [R] Dec 11–13, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%5%15%–––2%–75%0% [cn] 3%
SSRS/CNN [150] Sep 29 – October 6, 2023650 (LV)± 5.3%2%13%6%–3%4%2%65%4% [co] 2%
National Research [151] [S] Jun 26–28, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%3%22%3%0%2%2%2%52%–14% [cp]
National Research [152] [S] May 30 – June 1, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%–21%3%0%1%2%2%53%0% [cq] 17%
Vote TXT [153] May 15–19, 2023112 (RV)± 4.8%–21%5%–2%3%–51%7%11%
Susquehanna Polling & Research [154] Oct 24–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.3%–34%1%–7%––41%7% [cr] 10%

South Carolina primary

The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on February 24, 2024. Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [cs] 		Margin
270toWin [155] February 16–20, 2024February 21, 202434.6%61.6%3.8%Trump +27.0
FiveThirtyEight [156] through February 23, 2024February 24, 202434.0%61.6%4.4%Trump +27.6
RealClearPolling [157] February 14, 2024 – February 23, 2024February 23, 202437.5%60.8%1.7%Trump +23.3
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Doug
Burgum		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Trafalgar Group [158] Feb 21–23, 20241093 (LV)± 2.9%–––37.5%––––58.9%–3.6% [ct]
Suffolk University/USA Today [159] Feb 15–18, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%–––35%––––63%–2% [cu]
Emerson College/The Hill [160] Feb 15–17, 20241197 (LV)± 2.8%–––35.4%––––57.9%–6.7%
Insider Advantage [161] Feb 14–15, 2024800 (LV)± 3.9%–––38%––––60%1%1%
Trafalgar Group [162] Feb 13–15, 20241,089 (LV)± 2.9%–––33.6%––––63.3%–3%
The Citadel [163] Feb 5–11, 2024505 (LV)± 5.7%–––31%––––64%3%2%
Winthrop University [164] Feb 2–10, 2024749 (LV)± 3.6%–––28.7%––––64.9%3.3%2%
Washington Post/Monmouth University [165] Jan 26–30, 2024815 (LV)± 3.9%–––32%––––58%2%8%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [166] Jan 28–29, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%–––31%––––66%–4%
The Tyson Group/The American Promise [167] Jan 24–26, 2024543 (LV)± 4.4%–––31%––––58%–11%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [166] Jan 17–18, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%–––28%––––68%–4%
Emerson College [168] Jan 2–3, 2024584 (LV)± 4.0%–4.8%6.6%25.1%0.2%–3.1%–54.4%–1.9%
Trafalgar Group [169] Dec 6–8, 20231,087 (LV)± 2.9%–5.8%14.4%22.8%0.3%–6.1%–48.7%–1.9%
Morning Consult [170] Nov 1–30, 2023856 (LV)–0%2%13%19%––3%7%57%––
Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research [171] Nov 4–12, 2023780 (RV)± 3.51%0.3%1.6%12.5%18.7%0.4%–3.4%10.6%47.6%2.1% [cv] 2.7%
Morning Consult [170] Oct 1–31, 2023927 (LV)–0%1%11%15%0%3%6%7%58%––
CNN/SSRS [172] Oct 18–25, 2023738 (LV)± 4.8%0%2%11%22%0% [cw] 2%1%6%53%0% [cx] 1%
Morning Consult [170] Sep 1–30, 2023854 (LV)––1%10%13%0%3%6%7%59%0% [cy] 1%
Fox Business [173] Sep 14–18, 2023809 (LV)± 3.5%<0.5%4%10%18%1%4%5%9%46%1% [cz] 3%
Washington Post/Monmouth University [174] Sep 6–11, 2023506 (LV)± 4.6%0%5%9%18%2%3%3%10%46%1% [da] 4%
Morning Consult [170] Aug 1–31, 2023910 (LV)––1%14%11%0%4%8%7%55%0% [cy] –
Trafalgar Group (R) [175] Aug 17–19, 20231,054 (LV)± 2.9%0%2%14%8%0%2%6%14%48%0% [db] 1%
Morning Consult [170] July 1–31, 2023907 (LV)–0%1%15%12%1%3%6%7%54%0% [dc] 1%
Fox Business [176] Jul 15–19, 2023809 (LV)± 3.5%<0.5%2%13%14%1%4%3%10%48%– [dd] 4%
Morning Consult [170] June 1–30, 2023907 (LV)–0%1%20%12%0%4%3%10%48%1% [de] 1%
National Public Affairs [177] Jun 20–21, 2023809 (LV)–1%5%18%12%2%2%2%10%41%–6%
Morning Consult [170] May 1–31, 2023875 (LV)–––19%13%0%4%3%7%52%1% [df] 1%
National Research [178] [T] May 24–25, 2023500 (LV)± 4.38%––18%10%1%1%1%12%43%1% [dg] 13%
National Public Affairs [179] May 15–17, 2023590 (LV)± 4.0%––23%15%3%2%2%10%38%–8%
Morning Consult [170] Apr 1–30, 2023810 (LV)–––17%17%0%5%1%4%52%3% [dh] 1%
National Public Affairs [180] Apr 11–14, 2023588 (LV)± 4.2%––21%19%1%2%1%7%43%1% [di] 6%
Winthrop University [181] Mar 25 – April 1, 2023485 (RV)± 4.6%––20%18%0%5%–7%41%5% [dj] 4%
Morning Consult [170] Mar 1–31, 2023806 (LV)–––22%15%–5%0%4%49%3% [dk] 2%
Morning Consult [170] Feb 1–28, 2023689 (LV)–––24%18%–5%–7%43%4% [dl] –
Neighbourhood Research and Media [182] [M] Feb 7–14, 2023300 (LV)± 5.9%––22%16%–2%–2%35%–23%
Morning Consult [170] Jan 1–31, 2023974 (LV)–––31%14%–2%–5%45%2% [dm] 1%
Trafalgar Group [183] Jan 24–26, 20231,078 (LV)± 2.9%–––33%–6%––52%9% [dn] –
–––21%–3%–23%48%5% [do] –
––29%22%–4%––43%2% [dp] –
––28%12%–2%–14%43%1% [dq] –
Moore Information [184] Jan 18–24, 2023450 (LV)± 5.0%––31%12%–4%–5%41%–7%
–––29%––––62%–9%
––42%–––––49%–15%
Spry Strategies [185] Jan 17–19, 2023386 (LV)–––52%–––––33%–15%
Morning Consult [170] Dec 1–31, 2022530 (LV)–––28%13%–4%–5%44%6% [dr] –
Winthrop University [186] Oct 22 – November 5, 20221,298 (A)± 2.8%–––37%––––45%–19%
Echelon Insights [187] Aug 31 – September 7, 2022294 (LV)± 5.1%––33%–––––58%–9%
Trafalgar Group [188] Mar 25–29, 20211,014 (LV)± 3.0%––––––––64%11% [ds] 25% [dt]

Michigan primary and caucus

The 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary and caucus were held on February 27 and March 2, 2024, respectively.

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [du] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight [189] through February 24, 2024February 27, 202421.8%78.7%-Trump +56.9
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Doug
Burgum		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Will
Hurd		Asa
Hutchinson		Perry
Johnson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Emerson College/The Hill [190] Feb 20–24, 2024486 (LV)±3%–––20.3%––––––69.2%–10.5%
Michigan Information and Research Service (MIRS) [191] Jan 4–10, 2024600 (LV)±4%3%8%9%19%––––2%–53%–6%
CNN/SSRS [192] Nov 30 – December 7, 2023618 (LV)± 3.4%1%6%15%13%–1%––4%–58%1%3%
Morning Consult [193] Nov 1–30, 20231,348 (LV)–0%3%13%10%–0%––8%1%65%––
Morning Consult [193] Oct 1–31, 20231,342 (LV)–1%3%10%6%0%0%–7%9%1%63%––
Public Policy Polling (D) [194] Oct 9–10, 2023430 (LV)± 4.7%2%3%13%6%–0%–2%3%0%63%–8%
Morning Consult [193] Sep 1–30, 20231,238 (LV)–0%4%12%6%0%0%–7%10%1%58%–2%
Susquehanna University [195] Sep 7–12, 2023219 (LV)–0%0%18%3%–0%–5%5%0%65%––
Morning Consult [193] Aug 1–31, 20231,299 (LV)–0%4%15%3%0%1%–8%8%2%59%0% [dv] –
Emerson College [196] Aug 1–2, 2023498 (RV)± 4.3%1%2%13%3%0%1%0%7%4%2%61%1%6%
Morning Consult [193] July 1–31, 20231,350 (LV)––3%18%3%0%1%–10%7%2%55%–1%
Mitchell Research [197] [U] Jul 11–13, 2023639 (LV)± 4.0%––13%1%––0%3%–2%69%–11%
Morning Consult [193] June 1–30, 20231,242 (LV)–1%2%25%3%0%2%–9%3%3%52%1% [dw] –
Morning Consult [193] May 1–31, 20231,354 (LV)–––25%2%–1%–9%5%1%53%5% [dx] 1%
Morning Consult [193] Apr 1–30, 20231,356 (LV)–––26%3%–0%–10%2%1%53%5% [dy] –
Morning Consult [193] Mar 1–31, 20231,378 (LV)–––30%3%–––10%0%1%51%5% [dz] –
Morning Consult [193] Feb 1–28, 20231,232 (LV)–––32%4%–––10%0%1%46%6% [ea] 1%
Echelon Insights [198] Feb 13–16, 2023400 (V)± 6.0%––47%–––––––42%11%–
Morning Consult [193] Jan 1–31, 20231,709 (LV)–––33%1%–––10%–0%48%5% [eb] 3%
Morning Consult [193] Dec 1–31, 2022909 (LV)–––32%1%–––10%–0%50%7% [ec] –
Glengariff Group [199] Jul 13–15, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%––42%–––––––45%13%–

Missouri caucus

The 2024 Missouri Republican presidential caucuses were held on March 2, 2024.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Mike
Pence		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Remington Research [200] Feb 8–9, 2023820 (LV)–35%8%–38%––
45%––38%––
Remington Research [201] Nov 15–16, 2022940 (LV)± 3.0%47%––38%–15%
38%––36%7% [ed] 19%
Remington Research [202] Jul 27–28, 2022818 (LV)± 3.4%18%––42%23% [ee] 17%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Remington Research [203] Dec 2–3, 2020840 (RV)± 3.4%––32%–42% [ef] 26%

Alabama primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Cygnal/Alabama Daily News [204] Jan 29–30, 2024515 (LV)± 4.31%–16%76%–8%
Public Opinion Strategies [205] [V] Jan 15–17, 2023500 (LV)± 4.38%50%–31%–19%
53%–35%–12%
Cygnal/Alabama Daily News [206] Oct 27–29, 2022616 (LV)± 3.94%36%1%50%5%8%

Arkansas primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis		Donald
Trump		Undecided
Echelon Insights [207] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022184 (LV)± 7.7%29%58%13%

California primary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [eg] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight [208] through February 4, 2024February 10, 202419.0%73.1%7.9%Trump +54.1
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Larry
Elder		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Morning Consult [209] Nov 1–30, 20232,347 (LV)–2%10%–8%0%–7%–71%1% [eh] –
Public Policy Institute of California [210] Nov 9–16, 2023276 (LV)–5%12%–13%0%–2%2%56%1% [ei] 9%
Emerson College [211] Nov 11–14, 2023331 (LV)–4%11%-5%2%–3%-63%1% [ej] 11%
UC Berkeley IGS [212] Oct 24–30, 20231,234 (LV)± 4.0%2%12%1%9%––3%1%57%5%11%
Public Policy Institute of California [213] Oct 3–19, 2023316 (LV)–4%12%0%9%0%6%5%3%53%5% [ek] 1%
Data Viewpoint [214] October 1, 2023533 (RV)± 4.3%5.5%17.5%–15.2%<1%3.0%3.6%2.9%49.8%1.7% [el] –
California's Choice [215] Aug 27–29, 2023750 (LV)–4.8%21.6%–15.6%0.5%4.4%9.6%0.8%43.4%2.6%–
UC Berkeley IGS [216] Aug 24–29, 20231,175 (LV)± 4.0%3%16%1%7%–3%4%2%55%–9%
Public Policy Institute of California [217] Jun 7–29, 2023267 (LV)–3%24%–3%–6%1%5%50%7% [em] 1%
Emerson College [218] Jun 4–7, 2023329 (LV)± 2.9%2%19%–6%–10%2%4%53%7% [en] –
Public Policy Institute of California [219] May 17–24, 2023295 (LV)± 7%1%21%–3%–10%1%2%50%11% [eo] 2%
UC Berkeley IGS [220] May 17–22, 20231,835 (RV)± 3.5%1%26%0%3%0%4%2%1%44%6% [ep] 13%
UC Berkeley IGS [221] Feb 14–20, 20231,755 (RV)± 3.5%–37%–7%–3%–1%29%8% [eq] 10%
–50%––––––33%6% [er] 11%
UC Berkeley IGS [222] Aug 9–15, 20229,254 (RV)± 3.0%0%27%–3%–7%–0%38%10% [es] 14%
0%53%–4%–9%–1%–15% [et] 17%

Maine caucus

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Liz
Cheney		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Mike
Pence		Mike
Pompeo		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Chris
Sununu		Donald
Trump
Digital Research Inc. [223] Mar 22 – April 22, 2023192 (LV)–10%27%3%5%1%1%1%59%
Hypothetical polling

Maine's 2nd congressional district

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Nikki
Haley		Mike
Pence		OtherUndecided
January 3, 2023Redrawing of congressional districts after the 2020 redistricting cycle
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
SurveyUSA [224] Jun 30 – July 6, 2020604 (LV)± 4.1%12%30%36% [eu] 21%

Massachusetts primary

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [ev] 		Margin
270ToWin [225] February 7–8, 2024February 15, 202429.3%63.0%7.7%Trump +33.7
FiveThirtyEight [226] through February 6, 2024March 5, 202429.3%66.6%4.1%Trump +37.3
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [ew] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Mike
Pence		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
YouGov [227] [W] Oct 13–20, 2023107 (V)± 5.1%15%12%3%6%54%10% [ex] –
UMass-Amherst [228] Mar 28 – Apr 5, 2023154 (RV)–18%4%10%1%59%8% [ey] –
32%–––68%––
Opinion Diagnostics [229] Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2023475 (LV)± 4.5%21%9%3%–45%3%19%
32%–––46%–22%
UMass-Amherst [230] Jun 15–21, 2022237 (RV)–24%6%6%1%51%11% [ez] –

North Carolina primary

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [fa] 		Margin
270ToWin [231] February 5–7, 2024February 15, 202421.5%74.5%4.0%Trump +53.0
FiveThirtyEight [232] through February 4, 2024February 15, 202422.1%74.7%4.2%Trump +52.6
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Capen Analytics [233] Feb 21, 202412,580 (LV)± 5.0%––36%––––64%––
Public Policy Polling (D) [234] Jan 5–6, 2024619 (LV)± 3.9%3%9%12%0%–4%–66%0% [fb] 5%
ECU Center for Survey Research [235] Nov 29 – Dec 1, 2023445 (LV)± 5.4%2%10%13%1%–3%–63%–8%
Morning Consult [236] Nov 1–30, 20231,342 (LV)–4%14%9%1%–5%1%67%0% [fc] –
Meredith College [237] Nov 1–5, 2023335 (LV)± 3.5%6%14%9%0%-8%3%51%2% [fd] 6%
Morning Consult [236] Oct 1–31, 20231,337 (LV)–3%14%8%0%4%6%2%61%0% [fe] 2%
Morning Consult [236] Sep 1–30, 20231,366 (LV)–3%15%8%0%5%7%2%58%0% [ff] 2%
Meredith College [237] Sep 16–19, 2023350 (RV)± 3.5%3%13%6%0%5%8%3%51%6% [fg] 7%
Morning Consult [236] Aug 1–31, 20231,491 (LV)–3%15%6%1%5%10%2%57%0% [fh] 1%
Morning Consult [236] July 1–31, 20231,535 (LV)–3%15%5%0%6%9%3%58%0% [fi] 1%
Morning Consult [236] June 1–30, 20231,454 (LV)–2%20%5%1%7%4%3%56%1% [fj] 1%
Opinion Diagnostics [238] Jun 5–7, 2023408 (LV)± 4.8%2%22%7%1%6%1%4%44%2% [fk] 11%
–34%–––––50%–15%
Morning Consult [236] May 1–31, 20231,453 (LV)––20%6%1%6%3%2%59%3% [fl] 1%
Morning Consult [236] Apr 1–30, 20231,299 (LV)––23%6%0%5%1%1%58%4% [fm] 2%
SurveyUSA [239] [X] Apr 25–29, 2023707 (LV)± 4.4%–22%5%1%8%2%1%55%0% [fn] 5%
Morning Consult [236] Mar 1–31, 20231,31 (LV)––27%9%–8%0%1%51%2% [fo] 2%
Morning Consult [236] Feb 1–28, 20231,185 (LV)––31%7%–6%–1%51%3% [fp] 1%
Morning Consult [236] Jan 1–31, 20231,703 (LV)––30%4%–7%–1%52%5% [fq] 1%
Differentiators Data [240] Jan 9–12, 2023213 (LV)± 4.5%–47%4%–2%––35%3% [fr] –
Morning Consult [236] Dec 1–31, 2022905 (LV)––31%4%–7%–1%50%5% [fs] 2%
Differentiators Data [241] Dec 8–11, 2022500 (LV)± 4.5%–56%–––––35%––
John Bolton Super PAC [242] Jul 22–24, 2022149 (LV)–1%27%––6%––37%12% [ft] 16%
Atlantic Polling Strategies [243] [Y] Apr 25–28, 2022534 (LV)± 4.9%–23%5%–4%–4%52%2% [fu] 10%
Spry Strategies [244] Apr 6–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%–19%8%–6%–1%45%9% [fv] 12%
–32%8%–9%–2%–18% [fw] 31%
Cygnal (R) [245] Apr 1–3, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%–26%8%–6%––45%2% [fx] 13%
Cygnal (R) [246] Jan 7–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%–19%8%–5%–2%47%3% [fy] 16%
Jan 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
BUSR/UNLV Lee Business School [247] Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2020221 (RV)± 7.0%––6%––––76%13% [fz] 6%
––9%–48%–––25% [ga] 18%

Oklahoma primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Morning Consult [248] Nov 1–30, 2023637(LV)–3%12%6%0%–7%1%69%0% [gb] 2%
Morning Consult [248] Oct 1–31, 2023625(LV)–5%7%4%0%7%6%1%68%0% [gc] 2%
Morning Consult [248] Sep 1–30, 2023566(LV)–4%8%3%0%11%7%1%63%0% [gd] 2%
Morning Consult [248] Aug 1–31, 2023602(LV)–3%11%3%0%6%10%2%63%1% [ge] 1%
Morning Consult [248] July 1–31, 2023629(LV)–2%13%2%1%7%10%2%63%0% [gf] –
Morning Consult [248] June 1–30, 2023559(LV)–3%14%3%0%7%4%2%66%1% [gg] –
Morning Consult [248] May 1–31, 2023627(LV)––16%2%1%7%5%1%64%3% [gh] 1%
Morning Consult [248] Apr 1–30, 2023560(LV)––14%2%–8%2%2%67%4% [gi] 1%
C.H.S. & Associates [249] Mar 27–31, 2023300 (RV)± 4.3%–29%6%–6%––38%9% [gj] 11%
Morning Consult [248] Mar 1–31, 2023615(LV)––20%3%–10%1%1%58%7% [gk] –
Morning Consult [248] Feb 1–28, 2023473(LV)––24%3%–8%1%0%58%7% [gl] –
Morning Consult [248] Jan 1–31, 2023697(LV)––27%1%–9%–0%57%5% [gm] 1%
Morning Consult [248] Dec 1–31, 2022414 (LV)––29%2%–8%––55%7% [gn] –
Echelon Insights [250] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022265 (LV)––30%–––––60%–10%
Amber Integrated [251] Aug 11–15, 2022684 (LV)–2%22%2%–6%–1%50%11% [go] 7%
–2%49%5%–10%–1%–27% [gp] 9%

Tennessee primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Doug
Burgum		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Targoz Market Research [252] [Z] Dec 14–28, 2023522 (LV)± 2.66%–1%12%7%0%–2%–72%1%6%
Morning Consult [253] Nov 1–30, 20231,078 (LV)–0%2%17%8%1%–4%1%66%–1%
Morning Consult [253] Oct 1–31, 20231,061 (LV)–0%1%14%6%0%6%5%2%63%–3%
Morning Consult [253] Sep 1–30, 20231,032 (LV)–0%2%15%5%0%5%6%2%63%0% [gq] 2%
Morning Consult [253] Aug 1–31, 20231,109 (LV)–1%2%13%2%1%8%10%3%59%0% [gr] 1%
Morning Consult [253] July 1–31, 20231,079 (LV)–0%2%17%2%0%10%9%2%57%0% [gr] 1%
Morning Consult [253] June 1–30, 20231,072 (LV)–0%1%21%3%0%9%3%3%59%1% [gs] –
The Beacon Center [254] Jun 14–22, 2023502 (LV)–––12%––8%1%1%61%–9%
Morning Consult [253] May 1–31, 20231,147 (LV)–––18%3%0%7%2%1%64%3% [gt] 2%
Morning Consult [253] Apr 1–30, 2023986 (LV)–––22%3%0%8%1%1%61%5% [gu] –
Vanderbilt University [255] Apr 19–23, 20231,003 (RV)± 3.6%––25%4%2%5%–3%59%––
––38%–––––57%––
Morning Consult [253] Mar 1–31, 20231,027 (LV)–––25%3%–8%–1%59%5% [gv] –
Morning Consult [253] Feb 1–28, 2023980 (LV)–––29%3%–8%–0%55%5% [gw] –
Morning Consult [253] Jan 1–31, 20231,265 (LV)–––35%1%–10%–1%47%6% [gx] 1%
Morning Consult [253] Dec 1–31, 2022698 (LV)–––34%0%–10%–1%51%3% [gy] 1%
Vanderbilt University [256] Nov 8–28, 2022474 (RV)± 3.4%––54%–––––41%–5%

Texas primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Doug
Burgum		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
YouGov [257] [AA] Dec 1–10, 2023552 (RV)± 4.17%1%2%12%9%––4%–65%2% [gz] 6%
Morning Consult [258] Nov 1–30, 20233,064 (LV)–1%2%12%7%1%–7%1%69%––
CWS Research [259] [AB] Nov 20–22, 2023458 (LV)± 4.579%0%3%11%11%––2%–61%–11%
––22%–––––63%–14%
–––20%––––70%–10%
Morning Consult [258] Oct 1–31, 20233,187 (LV)–0%2%11%6%0%5%7%2%66%0% [ha] 1%
YouGov [260] [AA] Oct 5–17, 2023568 (RV)± 4.11%0%1%13%7%1%3%3%1%62%3% [hb] 5%
CWS Research [261] [AB] October 5–9, 2023418 (LV)± 4.793%0%1%9%11%N/A2%5%1%58%–13%
––24%–––––59%–17%
Morning Consult [258] Sep 1–30, 20233,099 (LV)–1%1%13%4%1%5%9%2%62%0% [hc] 2%
CWS Research [262] [AB] Sep 1–4, 2023406 (LV)± 4.864%0%2%10%5%1%5%3%1%61%2% [hd] 10%
––24%–––––62%–14%
Morning Consult [258] Aug 1–31, 20233,070 (LV)–0%2%12%3%0%7%11%3%61%1% [he] –
CWS Research [263] [AB] Jul 30–31, 2023606 (LV)± 3.981%0%4%13%3%1%4%4%5%48%3% [hf] 15%
––29%–––––53%–19%
Morning Consult [258] July 1–31, 20233,156 (LV)–0%1%15%3%0%8%9%4%59%0% [hg] 1%
CWS Research [264] [AB] Jun 28–30, 2023764 (LV)± 3.546%0%3%19%4%1%5%2%3%51%3% [hh] 10%
––32%–––––53%–15%
Morning Consult [258] June 1–30, 20232,929 (LV)–0%1%18%3%1%7%4%3%59%2% [hi] 2%
Morning Consult [258] May 1–31, 20232,829 (LV)–––19%4%0%5%3%2%58%7% [hj] 2%
CWS Research [265] [AB] May 26–30, 20231,024 (LV)± 3.07%––23%3%2%4%2%3%47%4% [hk] 13%
––33%–––––51%–16%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [266] May 8–17, 20231,000 (RV)± 2.9%––36%–––––57%2% [hl] 5%
CWS Research [267] Apr 29 – May 1, 2023699 (LV)± 3.7%––16%5%0%3%3%1%54%4% [hm] 15%
Morning Consult [258] Apr 1–30, 20232,736 (LV)–––20%3%0%6%2%1%57%9% [hn] 2%
CWS Research [268] [AB] Mar 30 – Apr 2, 20231,067 (LV)± 3.0%––20%4%–5%2%1%52%5% [ho] 12%
Morning Consult [258] Mar 1–31, 20232,629 (LV)–––24%4%–7%0%1%53%11% [hp] –
CWS Research [269] [AB] Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2023879 (LV)± 3.3%––27%5%–4%2%1%43%5% [hq] 13%
Morning Consult [258] Feb 1–28, 20232,376 (LV)–––27%3%–6%0%1%51%12% [hr] –
Morning Consult [258] Jan 1–31, 20233,187 (LV)–––28%2%–9%–0%48%13% [hs] –
Morning Consult [258] Dec 1–31, 20221,871 (LV)–––30%2%–8%–0%45%15% [ht] –
CWS Research [270] [AB] Dec 19–21, 20221,051 (LV)± 3.0%––36%4%–4%–1%37%7% [hu] 11%
CWS Research [271] [AB] Nov 27–28, 2022860 (LV)± 3.3%––34%4%–5%–1%37%5% [hv] 13%
CWS Research [272] [AC] Nov 12–13, 20221,099 (LV)± 3.0%––43%4%–5%–1%32%1% [hw] 14%
CWS Research [273] [AB] Oct 19–23, 2022823 (RV)–––29%3%–4%––46%7% [hx] 11%
Echelon Insights [274] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022378 (LV)± 4.4%––37%–––––53%–10%
CWS Research [275] [AB] Aug 9–11, 20221,581 (RV)± 2.5%––21%5%–6%––51%7% [hy] 10%
CWS Research [276] [AB] Jul 9–10, 20221,918 (RV)± 2.2%––26%5%–6%––45%20% [hz] 9%
CWS Research [277] [AB] Jun 7–8, 2022665 (RV)± 3.8%––26%4%–5%––49%8% [ia] 8%
CWS Research [278] [AB] May 4–10, 2022992 (LV)± 3.1%––28%7%––––44%13% [ib] 8%
CWS Research [279] [AB] Mar 29 – Apr 1, 2022678 (LV)± 3.8%––20%10%––––46%16% [ic] 8%
Polls without Donald Trump
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Greg
Abbott		Ted
Cruz		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Mike
Pence		Mike
Pompeo		OtherUndecided
CWS Research [272] [AC] Nov 12–13, 20221,099 (LV)± 3.0%––66%5%8%3%2% [id] 16%
CWS Research [273] [AB] Oct 19–23, 2022823 (RV)–8%8%64%5%4%––11%
CWS Research [275] [AB] Aug 9–11, 20221,581 (RV)± 2.5%8%10%58%7%8%––9%
CWS Research [276] [AB] Jul 9–10, 20221,918 (RV)± 2.2%4%5%56%5%8%–1% [ie] 10%
CWS Research [277] [AB] Jun 7–8, 2022665 (RV)± 3.8%7%11%57%3%8%–3% [if] 11%
CWS Research [278] [AB] May 4–10, 2022992 (LV)± 3.1%10%14%56%9%––3% [ig] 8%
CWS Research [279] [AB] Mar 29 – Apr 1, 2022678 (LV)± 3.8%10%19%48%13%––3% [ig] 7%
CWS Research [280] Feb 5–7, 2022715 (LV)–13%–46%–––18%23%

Utah caucus

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Dan Jones & Associates [281] Oct 12–23, 2023509 (RV)–3%14%13%5%4%1%30%–20%
Dan Jones & Associates [282] Sep 24–29, 2023802 (RV)± 4.32%4%15%11%5%5%1%33%6%22%
Dan Jones & Associates [283] Aug 7–14, 2023476 (RV)± 4.49%4%19%4%9%5%2%27%18% [ih] 13%
Noble Perspective Insights [284] Jul 7–18, 2023301 (RV)± 5.65%2%18%3%10%6%3%48%10% [ii] –
Dan Jones & Associates [285] Jun 26 – Jul 4, 2023495 (RV)± 4.4%4%24%3%6%2%2%29%13% [ij] 16%
Dan Jones & Associates [286] May 22 – Jun 1, 2023421 (RV)± 4.8%–26%5%5%4%3%27%16% [ik] 16%
Dan Jones & Associates [287] April 25–28, 2023800 (RV)± 3.5%–19%8%6%––21%24% [il] 22%
WPA Intelligence [288] [AD] April 18–20, 2023504 (RV)± 4.0%–46%––––35%–19%
OH Predictive Insights [289] March 14–23, 2023302 (RV)± 5.6%–23%5%10%–0%41%5% [im] –
Dan Jones & Associates [290] March 14–22, 2023801 (RV)± 3.5%–31%5%4%––23%12% [in] –
OH Predictive Insights [291] Dec 27, 2022 – Jan 4, 2023302 (RV)± 5.6%1%29%3%11%––42%12% [io] 2%
Dan Jones & Associates [292] Nov 18–23, 2022802 (RV)± 3.5%–24%4%6%––15%30% [ip] 21%
OH Predictive Insights [293] Nov 5–15, 2021333 (RV)± 5.4%1%7%4%9%––43%25% [iq] 10%
1%18%5%13%–––32% [ir] 20%

Virginia primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [ew] 		Margin
of error		Doug
Burgum		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Larry
Elder		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		Glenn
Youngkin		OtherUndecided
Roanoke College [294] Feb 11–19, 2024392 (LV)± 4.6%––––43%––––51%–––
Morning Consult [295] Jan 23 – February 4, 2024436 (LV)–––––19%––––78%–––
Morning Consult [295] Nov 1–30, 2023942(LV)–0%5%14%–9%––7%1%63%––1%
Roanoke College [296] Nov 12–20, 2023686 (A)± 4.3%0%2%14%–10%––3%1%51%10%–9%
Morning Consult [295] Oct 1–31, 2023942 (LV)–0%3%10%–8%0%5%8%3%63%–0% [is] –
Morning Consult [295] Sep 1–30, 2023896 (LV)–0%3%14%–6%0%4%9%1%61%–0% [it] 2%
Morning Consult [295] Aug 1–31, 2023947 (LV)–0%4%15%–3%1%5%10%2%59%–0% [iu] 1%
Roanoke College [297] Aug 6–15, 2023702 (A)± 4.2%–3%13%1%2%1%7%5%6%47%9%6% [iv] 2%
Morning Consult [295] July 1–31, 20231,044(LV)–0%4%20%–4%0%7%7%3%55%–0% [iw] –
Morning Consult [295] June 1–30, 2023919 (LV)–0%2%19%–5%0%7%3%3%60%–0% [ix] 1%
Morning Consult [295] May 1–31, 2023969 (LV)–––21%–3%0%6%3%2%59%3%3% [iy] –
Roanoke College [298] May 14–23, 2023678 (A)± 4.4%––28%1%7%1%7%–1%48%–3% [iz] 4%
Morning Consult [295] Apr 1–30, 2023870 (LV)–––20%–3%0%6%2%1%59%6%3% [ja] 1%
Morning Consult [295] Mar 1–31, 2023921 (LV)–––26%–3%–6%1%0%50%9%3% [jb] 2%
Morning Consult [295] Feb 1–28, 2023721 (LV)–––31%–4%–6%1%1%47%9%1% [jc] –
Differentiators [299] Feb 21–24, 2023500 (LV)± 4.5%––37%–6%–3%2%–34%6%7% [jd] 5%
––54%––––––37%––9%
––65%–––––––27%–8%
–––––––––52%42%–6%
Roanoke College [300] Feb 12–21, 2023680 (A)± 4.2%––28%–5%–3%––39%6%6% [je] 13%
Morning Consult [295] Jan 1–31, 20231,000 (LV)–––32%–2%–10%–1%43%8%2% [jf] 2%
Morning Consult [295] Dec 1–31, 2022559 (LV)–––30%–2%–11%–1%45%7%5% [jg] –
Roanoke College [301] Nov 13–22, 2022652 (A)± 4.5%–––––––––52%39%–7%
Roanoke College [302] Aug 7–16, 2022640 (A)± 4.5%–––––––––62%28%–9%

Georgia primary

States
polled		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [jh] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight [303] through February 4, 2024March 5, 202416.3%81.1%2.6%Trump +64.8
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Doug
Burgum		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
CNN/SSRS [304] Nov 30 – Dec 7, 2023522 (LV)± 3.3%–4%17%17%1%–3%–55%2% [ji] 2%
–37%––––––61%–2%
––31%–––––69%––
Morning Consult [305] Nov 1–30, 20231,477 (LV)–0%2%14%10%0%–6%1%66%–1%
Morning Consult [305] Oct 1–31, 20231,525 (LV)–0%2%15%6%0%3%8%2%63%0% [jj] 1%
Zogby Analytics [306] Oct 9–12, 2023273 (LV)± 3.9%–3%10%9%–5%7%5%55%–6%
Morning Consult [305] Sep 1–30, 20231,452 (LV)––1%15%6%1%4%10%3%61%0% [jk] –
20/20 Insights [307] Sep 25–28, 2023245 (LV)± 6.3%0%4%16%7%0%4%3%2%58%–6%
Morning Consult [305] Aug 1–31, 20231,599 (LV)–0%1%14%4%0%5%10%3%62%0% [jl] 1%
University of Georgia [308] Aug 16–23, 2023807 (LV)± 3.4%0%2%15%3%0%4%3%3%57%1% [jm] 14%
Morning Consult [305] July 1–31, 20231,633 (LV)–0%1%19%3%0%6%9%3%57%1% [jn] 1%
Morning Consult [305] June 1–30, 20231,599 (LV)–0%2%22%3%1%6%3%3%58%0% [jo] 2%
Morning Consult [305] May 1–31, 20231,470 (LV)–––21%3%0%6%3%2%61%1% [jp] 3%
Landmark Communications [309] May 14, 2023800 (LV)± 3.5%–2%32%6%–2%2%2%40%7% [jq] 6%
Morning Consult [305] Apr 1–30, 20231,403 (LV)–––22%4%0%7%3%2%58%4% [jr] 2%
University of Georgia [310] Apr 2–12, 2023983 (LV)± 3.1%––30%4%–2%–1%51%3% [js] 7%
––41%–––––51%–-
Morning Consult [305] Mar 1–31, 20231,426 (LV)–––29%4%–8%1%1%53%3% [jt] 1%
Morning Consult [305] Feb 1–28, 20231,280 (LV)–––32%5%–7%0%2%50%4% [ju] -
Morning Consult [305] Jan 1–31, 20231,714 (LV)–––33%3%–8%–1%50%6% [jv] -
Morning Consult [305] Dec 1–31, 2022972 (LV)–––35%3%–8%–1%47%3% [jw] 3%
WPA Intelligence [311] [L] Nov 11–13, 2022843 (LV)± 3.4%––55%–––––35%–10%
Nov 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Echelon Insights [312] Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2022219 (LV)± 5.4%––52%–––––36%–12%
Echelon Insights [313] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022337 (LV)± 4.4%––37%–––––54%–9%
Phillips Academy [314] Aug 3–7, 2022371 (RV)± 5.1%––29%––9%––54%–8%
John Bolton Super PAC [315] Jul 22–24, 2022163 (LV)––5%36%––6%––29%16% [jx] 19%
Spry Strategies [316] Apr 6–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%––20%6%–5%–1%43%11% [jy] 15%
–39%6%–7%–2%–15% [jz] 31%
Trafalgar Group (R) [317] Mar 7–9, 2021– (LV) [ka] –––––––––70%18% [kb] 12%
Jan 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
University of Nevada/BUSR [318] Dec 30, 2020 – Jan 3, 2021209 (LV)± 7.0%–1%–3%––––73%12% [kc] –
-1%–8%–36%–––31% [kd] 24%

Mississippi primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Mississippi Today/Siena College [319] Aug 20–28, 2023650 (LV)± 4.0%6%22%3%2%2%2%2%61%2%–
Mississippi Today/Siena College [320] Jan 8–12, 2023487 (RV)± 5.9%–39%–––––46%3% [ke] 11%
Echelon Insights [321] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022211 (LV)± 7.8%–31%–––––58%11%–

Arizona primary

States
polled		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [kf] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight [322] through February 4, 2024March 5, 202419.9%77.3%2.8%Trump +57.4
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive Insights [323] October 25–31, 2023348 (RV)± 5.25%2%16%8%0%3%9%1%53%7% [kg] –
–32%–––––68%––
Emerson College [324] August 2–4, 2023663 (LV)± 3.7%6%11%3%0%3%4%3%58%11% [kh] 1%
Noble Predictive Insights [325] July 13–17, 2023346 (RV)± 5.3%2%19%4%0%5%9%2%50%7% [ki] –
–38%–––––62%––
J.L. Partners [326] Apr 10–12, 2023550 (LV)± 4.2%–24%3%0%4%2%1%47%8% [kj] 11%
–35%–––––52%–13%
Noble Predictive Insights [325] Apr 4–11, 2023371 (RV)± 5.1%–21%4%–7%–0%49%20% [kk] –
–41%–––––59%––
Rasmussen Reports [327] Mar 13–14, 2023–––24%–––––52%–24%
OH Predictive Insights [328] Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2023350 (RV)± 5.2%1%26%5%–8%––42%11% [kl] 7%
Blueprint Polling [329] Jan 5–8, 2023303 (V)––34%–––––43%–23%
Echelon Insights [330] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022337 (LV)± 4.5%–36%–––––53%–11%
OH Predictive Insights [331] Nov 1–8, 2021252 (RV)± 6.2%1%16%6%–9%––48%9% [km] 9%
0%29%8%–21%–––25% [kn] 16%

Florida primary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [ko] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight [332] through February 4, 2024February 10, 202414.1%84.2%1.7%Trump +70.1
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OthersUndecided
Victory Insights [333] Dec 8–9, 20231,220 (LV)± 2.9%5.3%18.8%7.6%––1.3%–59.5%2.7%4.8%
–25.8%–––––56.8%–17.4%
Florida Atlantic University
Political Communication & Public Opinion Research Lab/
Mainstreet Research [334] 		Oct 27 – November 11, 2023400 (RV)–1%20%9%––0%–61%2% [kp] 6%
–30%–––––63%–7%
University of North Florida [335] Oct 23 – November 4, 2023788 (LV)± 3.77%2%21%6%<1%1%1%<1%60%<2% [kq] 8%
–29%–––––59%–12%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [336] Oct 1–2, 2023500 (LV)–2%22%7%–1%1%1%57%0%7%
Victory Insights [337] Aug 21–23, 2023590 (LV)± 4.3%4%23%2%2%1%3%1%59%1%7%
–30%–––––57%–13%
Florida Atlantic University [338] Jun 27 – July 1, 2023315 (RV)–2%30%1%2%2%4%3%50%–7%
–37%–––––54%–8%
Breakthrough Research/Sachs Media [339] Jun 9–11, 2023––2%41%2%0%3%2%0%41%0% [kr] 8%
Victory Insights [340] May 25–27, 2023700 (LV)± 3.9%–38%3%–3%0%3%38%4% [ks] 12%
–40%–––––39%–21%
National Research [341] [AE] May 8–9, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%–34%2%0%2%2%1%42%1% [kt] 16%
Florida Atlantic University [342] Apr 13–14, 20231,081 (RV)± 3.0%–31%–––––59%––
Victory Insights [343] Apr 6–8, 20231,000 (LV)± 3.1%–35%3%1%–4%–43%–14%
–32%–––––47%–22%
Emerson College [344] Mar 13–15, 20231,153 (RV)± 2.8%–44%2%–4%–1%47%3% [ku] –
University of North Florida [345] Feb 25 – March 7, 2023550 (RV)± 2.6%–59%–––––28%–13%
–52%4%–2%–0%27%4% [kv] 11%
Victory Insights [346] Nov 16–17, 2022700 (LV)± 3.7%–47%–––––37%–10%
WPA Intelligence [347] [AF] Nov 11–13, 20221,044 (LV)––56%–––––30%–14%
November 8, 2022 2022 midterm elections
Victory Insights [348] Oct 30 – November 1, 2022229 (LV)± 4.8%–50%–––––50%––
Suffolk University [349] Sep 15–18, 2022174 (LV)––48%–––––40%–12%
Echelon Insights [350] Aug 31 – September 7, 2022363 (LV)± 4.3%–45%–––––47%–8%
University of North Florida [351] Aug 8–12, 2022671 (RV)± 3.4%–47%–––––45%–8%
WPA Intelligence [347] [AF] Aug 7–10, 20221,000 (LV)––49%–––––42%–9%
Victory Insights [352] Jul 13–14, 2022600 (RV)± 4.1%–61%–––––39%–0%
Blueprint Polling (D) [353] Jul 7–10, 2022656 (V)± 3.8%–51%–––––39%–10%
Bendixen/Amandi International [354] March 2022–––32%–––––55%–13%
University of North Florida [355] Feb 7–20, 2022259 (RV)––44%–––––41%–15%
Suffolk University [356] Jan 26–29, 2022176 (LV)––40%–––––47%–13%
Victory Insights [357] Sep 16–18, 2021200 (LV)––30%–––––58%–12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) [358] Aug 4–10, 2021280 (RV)–1%34%3%––––43%10% [kw] 8%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [359] Feb 15–17, 2021304 (LV)––64%––––––22% [kx] 14%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [360] July 16–18, 2019280 (LV)––37%––––––44% [ky] 19%

Illinois primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Cor Strategies [361] Aug 24–27, 2023––6%10%6%5%5%2%53%2% [kz] 9%
6%26%10%10%16%9%–8% [la] 16%
Public Policy Polling [362] Jun 6–7, 2022677 (LV)–2%23%3%6%–2%51%5% [lb] 8%

Kansas caucus

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Mike
Pence		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Remington Research [363] Feb 15–16, 20231,010 (LV)41%––33%–26%
17%9%9%30%9% [lc] 19%
Echelon Insights [364] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022192 (LV)37%––52%–11%

Ohio primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [365] Dec 12–14, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%6%11%15%––3%–61%–4%
Morning Consult [366] Nov 1–30, 20231,881 (LV)–3%11%8%0%–6%1%69%0% [ld] 2%
Emerson College/Nexstar, WJW (Cleveland) [367] Nov 10–13, 2023468 (LV)±  4.5%2%8%10%1%–6%1%62%1% [le] 10%
Morning Consult [366] Oct 1–31, 20231,893(LV)–2%13%7%0%5%8%2%62%0% [lf] 1%
Ohio Northern University [368] Oct 16–19, 2023269 (LV)± 2.15%1%10%5%0% [cw] 4%9%–64%1% [lg] 6%
Morning Consult [366] Sep 1–30, 20231,621(LV)–3%14%5%0%5%11%2%60%0% [lf] –
Morning Consult [366] Aug 1–31, 20231,803(LV)–3%12%3%0%7%10%3%61%1% [lh] –
Morning Consult [366] July 1–31, 20231,835(LV)–3%16%2%0%8%9%3%58%0% [li] 1%
Ohio Northern University [369] Jul 17–26, 2023675 (RV)± 3.7%2%9%3%1%6%12%5%64%1%3%
Suffolk University [370] Jul 9–12, 2023190 (RV)–4%23%2%2%4%2%5%48%3% [lj] 8%
Morning Consult [366] June 1–30, 20231,711(LV)–2%19%3%1%7%5%3%59%1% [lk] 1%
East Carolina University [371] Jun 21–24, 2023405 (RV)± 4.0%4%15%2%1%5%3%–59%2%10%
Morning Consult [366] May 1–31, 20231,792(LV)––20%3%0%7%5%2%60%3% [ll] –
Morning Consult [366] Apr 1–30, 20231,754(LV)––21%2%0%8%2%2%61%4% [lm] –
Morning Consult [366] Mar 1–31, 20231,827(LV)––27%4%–7%0%1%56%3% [ln] 2%
Morning Consult [366] Feb 1–28, 20231,573(LV)––30%4%–9%0%1%50%4% [lo] 2%
Morning Consult [366] Jan 1–31, 20232,095(LV)––31%2%–9%–1%50%5% [lp] 2%
Morning Consult [366] Dec 1–31, 20221,188 (LV)––33%2%–8%–1%48%5% [lq] 3%
Echelon Insights [372] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022377 (LV)± 4.3%–30%–––––58%12%–
John Bolton Super PAC [373] Jul 22–24, 2022136 (LV)–2%30%––9%––28%16% [lr] 13%

Louisiana primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [ew] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Emerson College [374] Aug 13–14, 2023(LV)–1%10%2%1%1%75%0% [ls] –
Echelon Insights [375] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022242 (LV)± 6.5%–29%–––65%–6%

New York primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OthersUndecided
Morning Consult [376] Nov 1–30, 20231,876 (LV)–4%13%8%0%–5%2%66%1% [lt] 1%
Morning Consult [376] Oct 1–31, 20232,014 (LV)–4%12%6%0%4%7%3%64%0% [lu] –
Morning Consult [376] Sep 1–30, 20231,924 (LV)–3%14%5%1%5%8%2%62%1% [lv] –
Siena College [377] Sep 10–13, 2023804 (RV)± 4.3%–––––––64%27%8%
Morning Consult [376] Aug 1–31, 20232,006 (LV)–4%14%4%0%7%10%2%57%0% [lw] 2%
Siena College [377] Aug 13–16, 2023803 (RV)± 4.4%–––––––63%32%5%
Morning Consult [376] July 1–31, 20231,886 (LV)–4%18%2%0%6%8%2%58%1% [lx] 1%
Morning Consult [376] June 1–30, 20231,856(LV)–3%17%3%1%6%4%4%60%1% [ly] 1%
Siena College [378] Jun 20–25, 2023817 (RV)± 3.9%–––––––61%34%5%
Morning Consult [376] May 1–31, 20231,932(LV)––17%3%1%6%4%4%63%3% [lz] –
Siena College [379] May 7–11, 2023810 (RV)± 4.1%–––––––60%32%8%
Morning Consult [376] Apr 1–30, 20231,792(LV)––20%3%0%6%1%3%59%7% [ma] 1%
Morning Consult [376] Mar 1–31, 20231,831(LV)––28%4%–6%0%4%51%6% [mb] 1%
Siena College [380] Mar 19–22, 2023802 (RV)± 4.6%–27%–––––52%18%–
Morning Consult [376] Feb 1–28, 20231,410(LV)––28%4%–8%0%2%51%6% [mc] 1%
Echelon Insights [381] Feb 21–23, 2023600 (LV)± 4.2%–45%–––––44%–13%
Morning Consult [376] Jan 1–31, 20231,871(LV)––34%3%–9%–1%46%9% [md] –
Morning Consult [376] Dec 1–31, 20221,074 (LV)––33%3%–7%–3%44%9% [me] 1%

Rhode Island primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis		Donald
Trump		Other
Echelon Insights [382] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022102 (LV)± 6.1%38%54%8%

Wisconsin primary

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Nikki
Haley		Donald
Trump		Other/
Undecided [mf] 		Margin
270ToWin [383] February 7, 2024February 15, 202422.5%71.5%6.0%Trump +49.0
FiveThirtyEight [384] through February 4, 2024February 15, 202421.1%70.9%8.0%Trump +49.8
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Doug
Burgum		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [385] Dec 11–12, 2023503 (LV)± 4.4%–5%16%15%––4%–54%–6%
Morning Consult [386] Nov 1–30, 2023720 (LV)–1%2%17%13%1%–6%2%56%–2%
Marquette University Law School [387] October 26 – November 2, 2023402 (RV)± 6.8%1%1%18%11%0%6%3%1%38%0% [mg] 24%
Morning Consult [386] Oct 1–31, 2023713 (LV)–0%3%15%12%1%4%9%3%52%–1%
Morning Consult [386] Sep 1–30, 2023665 (LV)––2%16%9%1%7%11%2%50%0% [mh] 2%
Morning Consult [386] Aug 1–31, 2023681 (LV)––3%16%6%2%8%11%5%50%0% [mi] –
Morning Consult [386] July 1–31, 2023707 (LV)–0%2%25%5%1%8%8%4%46%1% [mj] –
Morning Consult [386] June 1–30, 2023666 (LV)––2%24%3%0%7%6%7%51%1% [mk] –
Marquette Law School [388] June 8–13, 2023419 (RV)± 6.5%0%1%30%3%0%6%3%5%31%0% [ml] 21%
Public Policy Polling [389] June 5–6, 2023507 (LV)± 4.4%––25%5%–8%2%5%41%–14%
––39%–––––43%–18%
Morning Consult [386] May 1–31, 2023728 (LV)–––24%4%0%8%5%3%52%4% [mm] –
Morning Consult [386] Apr 1–30, 2023771 (LV)–––31%4%0%9%2%2%45%5% [mn] 2%
Morning Consult [386] Mar 1–31, 2023722 (LV)–––35%6%–9%1%2%43%4% [mo] –
Morning Consult [386] Feb 1–28, 2023626 (LV)–––34%4%–9%0%1%44%7% [mp] 1%
Morning Consult [386] Jan 1–31, 2023897 (LV)–––32%2%–11%–2%42%10% [mq] 1%
Morning Consult [386] Dec 1–31, 2022558 (LV)–––36%4%–9%–1%40%8% [mr] 2%

Pennsylvania primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac University [390] Jan 4–8, 2024651 (RV)± 3.8%6%10%14%––4%–61%2% [ms] 3%
Morning Consult [391] Nov 1–30, 20232,056 (LV)–4%14%9%0%–6%1%63%0% [mt] 3%
Morning Consult [391] Oct 1–31, 20232,009 (LV)–4%15%7%0%6%7%1%59%0% [mu] 1%
Franklin & Marshall College [392] Oct 11–22, 2023359 (RV)± 6.4%4%14%9%0%2%5%3%55%2% [mv] 7%
Quinnipiac University [393] Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2023711 (RV)± 3.7%4%14%8%0%4%2%1%61%3% [mw] 3%
Morning Consult [391] Sep 1–30, 20231,910 (LV)–3%14%6%0%8%8%1%58%0% [mx] 2%
Morning Consult [391] Aug 1–31, 20231,979 (LV)–4%15%3%0%8%8%2%58%0% [my] 2%
Franklin & Marshall College [394] Aug 9–20, 2023297 (RV)± 7.0%3%21%5%1%6%9%6%39%5% [mz] 8%
Morning Consult [391] July 1–31, 20232,139 (LV)–4%20%3%0%7%7%3%55%1% [na] –
Morning Consult [391] June 1–30, 20232,136 (LV)–3%23%3%1%9%3%3%54%1% [nb] –
Quinnipiac University [395] Jun 22–26, 2023614 (RV)± 4.0%5%25%4%–5%1%4%49%–6%
Morning Consult [391] May 1–31, 20232,062 (LV)––22%4%0%7%3%2%58%4% [nc] –
Morning Consult [391] Apr 1–30, 20232,058 (LV)––25%3%0%9%2%2%53%6% [nd] –
Franklin & Marshall College [396] Mar 27 – Apr 7, 2023227 (RV)± 4.9%–34%4%–6%–0%40%6% [ne] 11%
Morning Consult [391] Mar 1–31, 20232,103 (LV)––30%4%–8%0%1%51%4% [nf] 2%
Public Policy Polling [397] Mar 9–10, 2023616 (LV)––31%5%–5%––49%–10%
–40%–––––48%–13%
Morning Consult [391] Feb 1–28, 20231,769 (LV)––32%4%–8%0%1%46%8% [ng] 1%
Susquehanna Polling & Research [398] Feb 19–26, 2023320 (RV)± 3.2%–37%4%–2%–1%32%27% [nh] –
Morning Consult [391] Jan 1–31, 20232,470 (LV)––35%2%–10%–1%43%9% [ni] –
Morning Consult [391] Dec 1–31, 20221,381 (LV)––34%2%–10%–1%44%8% [nj] 1%
Communication Concepts [399] Nov 19–21, 2022639 (RV)± 3.9%–45%–––––40%4%12%
Echelon Insights [400] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022353 (LV)––40%–––––48%12%–
John Bolton Super PAC [401] Jul 22–24, 2022129 (LV)–2%29%––7%––40%10% [nk] –

Indiana primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Mike
Pence		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Bellwether Research & Consulting [402] Dec 11–17, 2022457 (LV)–28%3%13%39%1% [nl] 15%

Maryland primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Larry
Hogan		Mike
Pence		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
OpinionWorks [403] April 7–10, 2024451 (LV)± 4.6%–18%–––74%-7%
Gonzales Research [404] May 30 – Jun 6, 2023221 (LV)± 3.5%37%----42%-21%
co/efficient [405] Feb 19–20, 20231,007 (LV)± 3.58%27%6%18%1%1%33%2% [nm] 12%
––32%––59%–10%
39%––––35%–26%
OpinionWorks [406] May 27 – Jun 2, 2022428 (LV)± 4.7%12%5%25%6%–48%––

West Virginia primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
ECU Center for Survey Research [407] May 22–23, 2023957 (RV)± 3.7%9%3%2%5%2%4%54%–20%

Kentucky caucus

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Asa
Hutchinson		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Emerson College [408] May 10–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.3%2%14%3%0%4%3%1%70%3% [nn] –
Emerson College [409] Apr 10–11, 2023900 (LV)± 3.0%–23%4%1%4%–1%62%6% [no] –

Montana primary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [k] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Christie		Ron
DeSantis		Nikki
Haley		Mike
Pence		Vivek
Ramaswamy		Tim
Scott		Donald
Trump		OtherUndecided
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates [410] Oct 23–25, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%2%12%7%3%3%1%64%2% [np] 6%
J.L. Partners [411] Aug 12–17, 2023418 (LV) ?3%15%3%2%6%3%52%3% [nq] 12%
–29%––––56%–15%
Public Policy Polling (D) [412] Jun 19–20, 2023510 (LV)± 4.3%4%23%5%5%3%2%46%–12%
–37%––––49%–14%
Echelon Insights [413] Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022142 (LV)± 6.6%–28%––––56%–16%


See also

Notes

  1. ↑ The state-organized primary will be boycotted by the Nevada Republican Party and its results ignored in favor of the party-organized caucus two days later.
  2. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ↑ Vivek Ramaswamy 6.8%
    Chris Christie 3.0%
    Ryan Binkley 1.5%
    Asa Hutchinson 0.8%
  4. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ↑ Ron DeSantis 15.8%
    Vivek Ramaswamy 6.4%
    Asa Hutchinson 0.7%
  6. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  7. ↑ Vivek Ramaswamy 6.8%
    Asa Hutchinson 0.8%
  8. ↑ Vivek Ramaswamy 5.0%
    Chris Christie 3.0%
  9. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  10. ↑ Chris Christie 3.0%
    Ryan Binkley 1.5%
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  12. ↑ Ryan Binkley with 1%; "None of these" with 2%
  13. ↑ Ryan Binkley and David Stuckenberg with 0%
  14. ↑ Ryan Binkley with 0%; "None of these" with 2%
  15. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  16. ↑ Ryan Binkley with 0%
  17. ↑ The other percentages in this result were increased by redistributing Pence's supporters to their second-choice candidates in the poll
  18. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Ryan Binkley with 0%
  19. ↑ Perry Johnson with 1%
  20. ↑ Ryan Binkley with 2%; Will Hurd and Perry Johnson with 0%
  21. ↑ Will Hurd with 0%
  22. ↑ Perry Johnson & Will Hurd with <1%
  23. ↑ Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley with and Will Hurd with 0%
  24. ↑ Ryan Binkley, Perry Johnson and "Other" with 1%; Asa Hutchinson and "None of the above" with <0.5%
  25. ↑ Ryan Binkley with 1% and Will Hurd with 0%
  26. ↑ Francis Suarez with 0%
  27. ↑ Perry Johnson and Will Hurd with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  28. ↑ Standard VI response
  29. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Ryan Binkley with 1%; Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Corey Stapleton and Francis Suarez with 0%
  30. ↑ If Trump did not run in the caucuses
  31. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; Ryan Binkley with 1%; Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Corey Stapleton and Francis Suarez with 0%
  32. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Will Hurd with 1%; Ryan Binkley and Francis Suarez with <1%
  33. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%
  34. ↑ Ryan Binkley and Perry Johnson with 1%; Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  35. ↑ "Someone else" with <1%; Will Hurd with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  36. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  37. ↑ Franciz Suarez at 1%; Will Hurd at less than 1%
  38. ↑ Francis Saurez with 0%
  39. ↑ Someone else with 3%
  40. ↑ Greg Abbott with 2%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%
  41. ↑ Mitt Romney with 3%; Rick Perry, Chris Sununu, Perry Johnson, Francis Suarez with 0%
  42. ↑ Someone else with 2%
  43. ↑ Mitt Romney with 4%, Liz Cheney with 1%, Chris Sununu, John Bolton and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  44. ↑ Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo with 0%
  45. ↑ Perry Johnson with 1%
  46. ↑ Perry Johnson with 4%
  47. ↑ Kristi Noem with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  48. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 3%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 6%
  49. ↑ Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  50. ↑ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 3%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  51. ↑ Ted Cruz with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%, Liz Cheney with 0%
  52. ↑ Kristi Noem with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney and Mike Pompeo with 1%, Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  53. ↑ Kim Reynolds, Kristi Noem, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio with 1%
  54. ↑ Mitt Romney with 5%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%
  55. ↑ Ted Cruz with 16%; Mitt Romney with 5%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 6%
  56. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  57. ↑ Ron DeSantis 7.3%
  58. ↑ "Another candidate" with 0%
  59. ↑ Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
  60. ↑ Larry Elder, Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
  61. ↑ Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
  62. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & "Other" with 0%
  63. ↑ Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Refused 1%
  64. ↑ Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Perry Johnson with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  65. ↑ Will Hurd with 3%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  66. ↑ Perry Johnson with 2%; Will Hurd with 1%
  67. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  68. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Francis Suarez with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
  69. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  70. ↑ Calculated by subtracting the candidates' percentages from 100; the source does not give a number
  71. ↑ Suarez with 0%
  72. ↑ Undecided, Other & Refused
  73. ↑ Chris Sununu with 17%; "Undecided, Other & Refused" with 15%
  74. ↑ Chris Sununu with 12%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; John Bolton and Marco Rubio with 0%; "Other" with 1%
  75. ↑ Chris Sununu with 10%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  76. ↑ Chris Sununu with 14%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristy Noem with 0%; Other with 2%.
  77. ↑ Chris Sununu with 7%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Kristi Noem with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
  78. ↑ Chris Sununu with 13%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  79. ↑ Liz Cheney, Chris Sununu and Larry Hogan with 4%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  80. ↑ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
  81. ↑ Chris Sununu, Rand Paul and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  82. ↑ Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%; "Other" with 3%
  83. ↑ Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
  84. ↑ Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
  85. ↑ Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem and Marco Rubio with 2%; Mitt Romney with 1%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 0%
  86. ↑ Mitt Romney with 13%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  87. ↑ Mitt Romney with 15%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mike Pompeo with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%
  88. ↑ Mitt Romney with 7%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Donald Trump Jr. with 3%; Tom Cotton and Marco Rubio with 2%; Tucker Carlson with 1%
  89. ↑ Donald Trump Jr. with 14%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mitt Romney with 8%; Tom Cotton with 6%; Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio with 4%
  90. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  91. ↑ Ron DeSantis 10.5%
    Vivek Ramaswamy 5.0%
    Chris Christie 3.0%
  92. ↑ Ryan Binkley with 0%
  93. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum & Larry Elder with 1%; Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
  94. ↑ Other, undecided, and refused
  95. ↑ Chris Sununu with 0%
  96. ↑ Ted Cruz with 5%; Mike Pompeo and Marco Rubio with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
  97. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  98. ↑ Listed as undecided and other
  99. ↑ Listed as undecided/other
  100. ↑ Someone Else with 1.5%; Refused with 0.6%
  101. 1 2 No voters
  102. ↑ Perry Johnson & Someone Else with 0%; Larry Elder with no voters
  103. 1 2 Will Hurd with 0%
  104. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & Perry Johnson with less than 0.5%
  105. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
  106. ↑ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Pery Johnson, Francis Suarez and Ryan Binkley with 0%
  107. ↑ Francis Suarez with 0%
  108. ↑ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Francis Suarez, "Other" and "None of the above" with <0.5%
  109. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  110. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  111. ↑ Chris Sununu with 1%
  112. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  113. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  114. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 2%, Chris Sununu with 1% Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 2%
  115. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  116. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz with 1%
  117. ↑ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  118. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 9%
  119. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 5%
  120. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 2%
  121. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  122. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  123. ↑ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
  124. ↑ "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%
  125. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  126. ↑ Francis Suarez with 0%
  127. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
  128. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Glenn Youngkin, Greg Abbott, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  129. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
  130. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  131. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  132. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo and Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem, Greg Abbott, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  133. ↑ Ted Cruz with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  134. ↑ Josh Hawley with 7%
  135. ↑ Josh Hawley with 6%; "Someone else" with 17%
  136. ↑ Josh Hawley with 29%; Ivanka Trump with 13%
  137. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  138. ↑ Burgum at 1%
  139. ↑ Kristi Noem at 1%; Perry Johnson at 0% and Glenn Youngkin at 0%
  140. ↑ Doug Burgum with 1%
  141. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Kristi Noem & "Would not vote" with 0%
  142. ↑ Doug Burgum with 1.7%; Glenn Youngkin with <1%
  143. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 2%
  144. ↑ Doug Burgum and Chris Sununu with 1%
  145. ↑ Liz Cheney with 7%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Chris Sununu with 1%
  146. ↑ Liz Cheney with 4%; Kristi Noem, Chris Sununu with 1%; Perry Johnson and John Bolton with 0%
  147. ↑ Liz Cheney with 4%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Chris Sununu and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  148. ↑ Neither with 6%
  149. ↑ Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio and Larry Hogan with 1%; Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  150. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Tom Cotton and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  151. ↑ Ted Cruz with 12%; Donald Trump Jr. with 11%; Ivanka Trump with 7%; Marco Rubio with 6%
  152. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  153. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  154. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%; Doug Burgum with 3%; Vivek Ramaswamy with 2%; Chris Christie with 1%
  155. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; "Someone else" with 5%
  156. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 3%; "Someone else" with 8%
  157. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  158. ↑ Ryan Binkley with 0%
  159. ↑ Doug Burgum with 0%
  160. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Corey Stapleton with 0%
  161. ↑ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  162. ↑ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  163. ↑ Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson & "Someone else" with 1%; Corey Stapleton with 0%
  164. ↑ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  165. ↑ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  166. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, Kristi Noem, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  167. ↑ "Someone Else" with 2%
  168. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  169. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  170. ↑ Chris Sununu with 0%
  171. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  172. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  173. ↑ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  174. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 2%
  175. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  176. ↑ Marco Rubio with 5%; Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  177. ↑ Ted Cruz with 2%
  178. ↑ Ted Cruz with 6%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%
  179. ↑ Ted Cruz with 11%; Mike Pompeo with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%
  180. ↑ Ted Cruz with 2%
  181. ↑ Ted Cruz with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%
  182. ↑ Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; "Someone else" with 5%
  183. ↑ Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 9%; Marco Rubio with 3%; "Someone else" with 4%
  184. ↑ Doug Burgum with 0%
  185. ↑ Will Hurd with 0%
  186. ↑ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  187. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%; Doug Burgum with 0%
  188. ↑ Doug Burgum and Francis Suarez with 0%
  189. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
  190. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
  191. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  192. ↑ Ted Cruz with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; "Someone else" with 3%
  193. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Glenn Youngkin with 2%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  194. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  195. ↑ Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 0%
  196. ↑ Greg Abbott with 3%; Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 0%
  197. ↑ Mitt Romney with 4%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Marco Rubio, Mike Pompeo with 1%; "Other" with 3%
  198. ↑ Ted Cruz with 7%; Donald Trump Jr. with 6%; Mitt Romney and Marco Rubio with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; "Someone else" with 4%
  199. ↑ Will Hurd with 0%
  200. 1 2 Francis Suarez and Will Hurd with 0%
  201. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  202. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  203. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  204. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  205. ↑ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  206. ↑ Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  207. ↑ Ted Cruz with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  208. ↑ "Anyone/Any of them" & "No one/None of them" with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
  209. ↑ Will Hurd with 0%
  210. ↑ Will Hurd, "Someone else" & "Anyone" with 1%; "No one" with 0%
  211. ↑ Will Hurd with 0%
  212. ↑ Will Hurd with 2%
  213. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%
  214. ↑ Will Hurd with 3%
  215. ↑ Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  216. ↑ Will Hurd with 3%
  217. ↑ Greg Abbott with 2%; Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem, Will Hurd, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  218. ↑ Greg Abbott with 6%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  219. ↑ Ted Cruz with 4%
  220. ↑ "Would not vote" with 2%
  221. ↑ Ted Cruz with 4%
  222. ↑ Greg Abbott with 7%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  223. ↑ Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%
  224. ↑ Greg Abbott with 7%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  225. ↑ Ted Cruz with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  226. ↑ Greg Abbott with 7%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  227. ↑ Greg Abbott with 7%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem & Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  228. ↑ Greg Abbott with 7%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem & Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  229. ↑ Ted Cruz with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%
  230. ↑ Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%
  231. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  232. ↑ Greg Abbott with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%
  233. ↑ Greg Abbott with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%
  234. ↑ Ted Cruz with 12%; Greg Abbott with 8%; Glen Youngkin with 0%
  235. ↑ Ted Cruz with 4%; Greg Abbott and Marco Rubio with 2%
  236. ↑ Ted Cruz with 6%; Greg Abbott with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%
  237. ↑ Ted Cruz with 8%; Greg Abbott with 6%; Kristi Noem with 2%
  238. ↑ Tim Scott with 2%
  239. ↑ Glen Youngkin with 1%
  240. ↑ Marco Rubio with 3%
  241. 1 2 Kristi Noem with 3%
  242. ↑ "Another candidate" with 11%; Liz Cheney with 5%; Asa Hutchinson with 2%
  243. ↑ "None of these candidates" with 7%; "Someone else not listed" with 3%; Larry Elder and Francis Suarez with 0%
  244. ↑ Liz Cheney with 4%; "Another candidate" with 9%
  245. ↑ Liz Cheney with 7%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Asa Hutchinson with 1%; and "Another candidate" with 5%
  246. ↑ Liz Cheney with 11%; Ted Cruz with 4%; and "Another candidate" with 9%
  247. ↑ Marco Rubio with 3%; Larry Hogan and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu and Asa Hutchinson with 0%
  248. ↑ Liz Cheney with 9%; Ted Cruz with 3%
  249. ↑ Liz Cheney with 6%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Glenn Youngkin at 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo and Kanye West at 0%
  250. ↑ Liz Cheney with 16%; Ted Cruz with 6%; Other with 8%
  251. ↑ Mitt Romney with 20%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Liz Cheney and Marco Rubio with 1%
  252. ↑ Mitt Romney with 21%; Ted Cruz with 8%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%
  253. ↑ Will Hurd with 0%
  254. ↑ Will Hurd with 0%
  255. ↑ Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  256. ↑ "Someone else" with 6%
  257. ↑ Francis Suarez with 0%
  258. ↑ Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem, and Greg Abbott with 0%
  259. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
  260. ↑ Chris Sununu with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  261. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem, Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  262. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  263. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  264. ↑ Larry Hogan with 5%; Mike Pompeo with 2%
  265. ↑ Donald Trump Jr. with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%
  266. ↑ Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  267. ↑ Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 0%
  268. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  269. ↑ "Other" with 1%
  270. ↑ Will Hurd with 0%
  271. ↑ Will Hurd with 0%
  272. ↑ Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  273. ↑ Francis Suarez with 1%; Will Hurd and Larry Elder with 0%
  274. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  275. ↑ Liz Cheney and Greg Abbott with 0%
  276. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Glenn Youngkin, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  277. ↑ Brian Kemp with 7%
  278. ↑ Liz Cheney and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  279. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  280. ↑ Mike Pompeo, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
  281. ↑ Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Kristi Noem with 0%
  282. ↑ Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 2%; and Mike Pompeo and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  283. ↑ Ted Cruz, Liz Cheney, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem, Greg Abbott, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  284. ↑ Liz Cheney with 8%; Ted Cruz with 5%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  285. ↑ Ted Cruz with 6%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%
  286. ↑ Ted Cruz with 9%; Mike Pompeo with 4%; Kristi Noem with 2%
  287. ↑ Likely Republican primary voter subsample of 1,093 likely general election voters
  288. ↑ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 14%; would not vote with 4%
  289. ↑ Ted Cruz with 5%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Mitt Romney with 2%; "Other" with 2%
  290. ↑ Ted Cruz with 15%; Mitt Romney with 6%; Marco Rubio with 3%; "Other" with 7%
  291. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  292. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  293. ↑ "Someone else not listed" & "None of these candidates" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson & Francis Suarez with 0%
  294. ↑ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez and Perry Johnson with 0%; "Someone else" with 9%
  295. ↑ Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Francis Suarez, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, and "Someone Else not Listed" with 0%; "None of these Candidates" with 7%
  296. ↑ Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  297. ↑ Liz Cheney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu, and Larry Hogan with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%; "None of these Candidates" with 9%
  298. ↑ Liz Cheney with 5%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  299. ↑ Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%
  300. ↑ Ted Cruz with 10%; Donald Trump Jr. with 8%; Mitt Romney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%
  301. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  302. ↑ Other with 2%; Doug Burgum with <1%
  303. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; Doug Burgum with <1%
  304. ↑ Elder with 0%
  305. ↑ Someone else with 4%
  306. ↑ Chris Sununu with 1%
  307. ↑ Someone else with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  308. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu with 0%
  309. ↑ Mitt Romney with 5%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%
  310. ↑ Marco Rubio with 12%; Rick Scott with 10%
  311. ↑ Marco Rubio with 26%; Rick Scott with 18%
  312. ↑ Doug Burgum and Asa Hutchinson with 1%; "Another candidate" with 0%
  313. ↑ Doug Burgum with 3%; Asa Hutchinson with 1%; "Another candidate" with 4%
  314. ↑ Ted Cruz with 4%; Marco Rubio with 1%; Josh Hawley with 0%
  315. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 9%
  316. ↑ Doug Burgum with 0%
  317. ↑ Doug Burgum with 1%
  318. 1 2 Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  319. ↑ Some Other Candidate at 1%
  320. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%; Doug Burgum and Francis Saurez with 0%
  321. ↑ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
  322. ↑ Larry Elder, Will Hurd and Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum and Francis Suarez with 0%
  323. ↑ Greg Abbott, Doug Burgum, Liz Cheney, Will Hurd, Kristi Noem, and Francis Saurez with 0%
  324. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
  325. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
  326. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  327. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  328. ↑ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  329. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  330. ↑ Ted Cruz with 7%; Liz Cheney with 6%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
  331. ↑ Doug Burgum and Nikki Haley with 0%
  332. ↑ Doug Burgum with 1%
  333. ↑ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  334. ↑ Doug Burgum with 1%; Will Hurd with 0%
  335. ↑ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  336. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%; Doug Burgum and Francis Suarez with 0%
  337. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  338. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  339. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%
  340. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  341. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  342. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
  343. ↑ Ted Cruz with 5%; Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  344. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  345. ↑ Larry Elder with 0%
  346. ↑ Will Hurd with 0%
  347. ↑ Will Hurd with 0%
  348. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
  349. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
  350. ↑ Larry Elder with <0.5%
  351. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  352. ↑ Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  353. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  354. ↑ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz, Mike Pompeo, and Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  355. ↑ Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  356. ↑ Ted Cruz with 4%; Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Greg Abbott with 0%
  357. ↑ "Someone else" & "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  358. ↑ Doug Burgum with 0%
  359. ↑ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  360. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum, Will Hurd & Francis Suarez with 0%
  361. ↑ Doug Burgum, "Wouldn't vote" & "Refused" with 1%; Larry Elder, Will Hurd with 0%
  362. ↑ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
  363. ↑ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, and Francis Suarez with 0%
  364. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; Francis Suarez with 1%; Doug Burgum & Will Hurd with 0%
  365. ↑ Francis Suarez with 1%; Doug Burgum, and Will Hurd with 0%
  366. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Doug Burgum, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  367. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  368. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
  369. ↑ Chris Sununu with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Someone else" with 4%
  370. ↑ Liz Cheney with 4%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  371. ↑ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  372. ↑ Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Marco Rubio with 0%; "Someone else" with 24%
  373. ↑ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  374. ↑ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  375. ↑ Liz Cheney with 6%; Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Someone else" with 12%
  376. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  377. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 2%
  378. ↑ Chris Sununu with 0%; "Someone else" with 3%
  379. ↑ Kristi Noem with 1%; "Someone else" with 5%
  380. ↑ "Doug Burgum & Asa Hutchinson with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
  381. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Larry Elder, Asa Hutchinson & Francis Suarez with 0%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register, NBC News & Mediacom Iowa
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by Fields of Freedom
  3. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Make America Great Again Inc. (Super Pac)
  4. ↑ Poll sponsored by And To The Republic, a non-profit with ties to DeSantis
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by Citizens Awareness Project
  6. ↑ Poll sponsored by Make America Great Again Inc. super PAC, which supports Trump
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce
  8. ↑ Poll commissioned by Republican Main Street Partnership
  9. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
  10. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Trump campaign
  11. ↑ Poll sponsored by Never Back Down PAC, which supports DeSantis.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll sponsored by Club for Growth
  13. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC
  14. ↑ Poll commissioned by Republican Main Street Partnership
  15. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC, which supports Trump.
  16. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Courageous Conservatives PAC
  17. ↑ Poll sponsored by the John Bolton Super PAC
  18. ↑ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  19. 1 2 Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC
  20. ↑ Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
  21. ↑ Poll commissioned by MIRS
  22. ↑ Poll sponsored by Alabama Families for Great Schools
  23. ↑ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB
  24. ↑ Poll conducted for the John Locke Foundation
  25. ↑ Poll conducted for the North Carolina Chamber of Commerce
  26. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
  27. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Texas Political Project at the University of Texas
  28. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Poll sponsored by Defend Texas Liberty PAC
  29. 1 2 Poll sponsored by the Republican Party of Texas
  30. ↑ Poll sponsored by Never Back Down PAC, which supports DeSantis
  31. ↑ Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
  32. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action

References

  1. ↑ "RNC Announces Criteria and Date for First Debate in Milwaukee". Republican National Committee. June 2, 2023. Archived from the original on July 23, 2023. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
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  47. 1 2 Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
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  64. ↑ Echelon Insights
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  66. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
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  68. ↑ Manhattan Institute
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  82. ↑ Cygnal
  83. ↑ J.L. Partners
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  89. ↑ RealClearPolling
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  97. ↑ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
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  101. ↑ Saint Anselm College
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  104. ↑ American Research Group
  105. ↑ Saint Anselm College
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  107. ↑ CBS News/YouGov
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  109. ↑ Americans for Prosperity
  110. ↑ University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN
  111. ↑ Washington Post/Monmouth University
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  113. ↑ USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University
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  116. ↑ Insider Advantage
  117. ↑ University of New Hampshire
  118. ↑ NMB Research
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  120. ↑ Echelon Insights
  121. ↑ Emerson College
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  123. ↑ Manhattan Institute
  124. ↑ National Research
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  126. ↑ National Research
  127. ↑ American Pulse
  128. ↑ Saint Anselm College
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  131. ↑ National Research
  132. ↑ University of New Hampshire
  133. ↑ J.L Partners
  134. ↑ Saint Anselm College
  135. ↑ Emerson College
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  139. 1 2 WPA Intelligence
  140. ↑ Saint Anselm College
  141. ↑ Neighborhood Research and Media
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  143. ↑ University of New Hampshire
  144. ↑ University of New Hampshire
  145. ↑ Saint Anselm College
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  148. ↑ RealClearPolling
  149. ↑ McLaughlin & Associates
  150. ↑ SSRS/CNN
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  152. ↑ National Research
  153. ↑ Vote TXT
  154. ↑ Susquehanna Polling & Research
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  156. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  157. ↑ RealClearPolling
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  161. ↑ Insider Advantage
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  163. ↑ The Citadel
  164. ↑ Winthrop University
  165. ↑ Washington Post/Monmouth University
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  167. ↑ The Tyson Group/The American Promise
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  169. ↑ Trafalgar Group
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  173. ↑ Fox Business
  174. ↑ Washington Post/Monmouth University
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  176. ↑ Fox Business
  177. ↑ National Public Affairs
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  180. ↑ National Public Affairs
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  182. ↑ Neighbourhood Research and Media
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  184. ↑ Moore Information
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  188. ↑ Trafalgar Group
  189. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
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  191. ↑ Michigan Information and Research Service (MIRS)
  192. ↑ CNN/SSRS
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  194. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  195. ↑ Susquehanna University
  196. ↑ Emerson College
  197. ↑ Mitchell Research
  198. ↑ Echelon Insights
  199. ↑ Glengariff Group
  200. ↑ Remington Research
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  202. ↑ Remington Research
  203. ↑ Remington Research
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  205. ↑ Public Opinion Strategies
  206. ↑ Cygnal/Alabama Daily News
  207. ↑ Echelon Insights
  208. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  209. ↑ Morning Consult
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  212. ↑ UC Berkeley IGS
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  214. ↑ Data Viewpoint
  215. ↑ California's Choice
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  218. ↑ Emerson College
  219. ↑ Public Policy Institute of California
  220. ↑ UC Berkeley IGS
  221. ↑ UC Berkeley IGS
  222. ↑ UC Berkeley IGS
  223. ↑ Digital Research Inc.
  224. ↑ SurveyUSA
  225. ↑ 270ToWin
  226. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  227. ↑ YouGov
  228. ↑ UMass-Amherst
  229. ↑ Opinion Diagnostics
  230. ↑ UMass-Amherst
  231. ↑ 270ToWin
  232. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  233. ↑ Capen Analytics
  234. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  235. ↑ ECU Center for Survey Research
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  237. 1 2 Meredith College
  238. ↑ Opinion Diagnostics
  239. ↑ SurveyUSA
  240. ↑ Differentiators Data
  241. ↑ Differentiators Data
  242. ↑ John Bolton Super PAC
  243. ↑ Atlantic Polling Strategies
  244. ↑ Spry Strategies
  245. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  246. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  247. ↑ BUSR/UNLV Lee Business School
  248. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Morning Consult
  249. ↑ C.H.S. & Associates
  250. ↑ Echelon Insights
  251. ↑ Amber Integrated
  252. ↑ Targoz Market Research
  253. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Morning Consult
  254. ↑ The Beacon Center
  255. ↑ Vanderbilt University
  256. ↑ Vanderbilt University
  257. ↑ YouGov
  258. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Morning Consult
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  261. ↑ CWS Research
  262. ↑ CWS Research
  263. ↑ CWS Research
  264. ↑ CWS Research
  265. ↑ CWS Research
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  268. ↑ CWS Research
  269. ↑ CWS Research
  270. ↑ CWS Research
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  273. 1 2 CWS Research
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  275. 1 2 CWS Research
  276. 1 2 CWS Research
  277. 1 2 CWS Research
  278. 1 2 CWS Research
  279. 1 2 CWS Research
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  283. ↑ Dan Jones & Associates
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  286. ↑ Dan Jones & Associates
  287. ↑ Dan Jones & Associates
  288. ↑ WPA Intelligence
  289. ↑ OH Predictive Insights
  290. ↑ Dan Jones & Associates
  291. ↑ OH Predictive Insights
  292. ↑ Dan Jones & Associates
  293. ↑ OH Predictive Insights
  294. ↑ Roanoke College
  295. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Morning Consult
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  297. ↑ Roanoke College
  298. ↑ Roanoke College
  299. ↑ Differentiators
  300. ↑ Roanoke College
  301. ↑ Roanoke College
  302. ↑ Roanoke College
  303. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  304. ↑ CNN/SSRS
  305. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Morning Consult
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  307. ↑ 20/20 Insights
  308. ↑ University of Georgia
  309. ↑ Landmark Communications
  310. ↑ University of Georgia
  311. ↑ WPA Intelligence
  312. ↑ Echelon Insights
  313. ↑ Echelon Insights
  314. ↑ Phillips Academy
  315. ↑ John Bolton Super PAC
  316. ↑ Spry Strategies
  317. ↑ Trafalgar Group (R)
  318. ↑ University of Nevada/BUSR
  319. ↑ Mississippi Today/Siena College
  320. ↑ Mississippi Today/Siena College
  321. ↑ Echelon Insights
  322. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  323. ↑ Noble Predictive Insights
  324. ↑ Emerson College
  325. 1 2 Noble Predictive Insights
  326. ↑ J.L. Partners
  327. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  328. ↑ OH Predictive Insights
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  332. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  333. ↑ Victory Insights
  334. ↑ Florida Atlantic University
    Political Communication & Public Opinion Research Lab/
    Mainstreet Research
  335. ↑ University of North Florida
  336. ↑ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
  337. ↑ Victory Insights
  338. ↑ Florida Atlantic University
  339. ↑ Breakthrough Research/Sachs Media
  340. ↑ Victory Insights
  341. ↑ National Research
  342. ↑ Florida Atlantic University
  343. ↑ Victory Insights
  344. ↑ Emerson College
  345. ↑ University of North Florida
  346. ↑ Victory Insights
  347. 1 2 WPA Intelligence
  348. ↑ Victory Insights
  349. ↑ Suffolk University
  350. ↑ Echelon Insights
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  352. ↑ Victory Insights
  353. ↑ Blueprint Polling (D)
  354. ↑ Bendixen/Amandi International
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  357. ↑ Victory Insights
  358. ↑ Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
  359. ↑ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
  360. ↑ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
  361. ↑ Cor Strategies
  362. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  363. ↑ Remington Research
  364. ↑ Echelon Insights
  365. ↑ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
  366. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Morning Consult
  367. ↑ Emerson College/Nexstar, WJW (Cleveland)
  368. ↑ Ohio Northern University
  369. ↑ Ohio Northern University
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  371. ↑ East Carolina University
  372. ↑ Echelon Insights
  373. ↑ John Bolton Super PAC
  374. ↑ Emerson College
  375. ↑ Echelon Insights
  376. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Morning Consult
  377. 1 2 Siena College
  378. ↑ Siena College
  379. ↑ Siena College
  380. ↑ Siena College
  381. ↑ Echelon Insights
  382. ↑ Echelon Insights
  383. ↑ 270ToWin
  384. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  385. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  386. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Morning Consult
  387. ↑ Marquette University Law School
  388. ↑ Marquette Law School
  389. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  390. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  391. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Morning Consult
  392. ↑ Franklin & Marshall College
  393. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  394. ↑ Franklin & Marshall College
  395. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  396. ↑ Franklin & Marshall College
  397. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  398. ↑ Susquehanna Polling & Research
  399. ↑ Communication Concepts
  400. ↑ Echelon Insights
  401. ↑ John Bolton Super PAC
  402. ↑ Bellwether Research & Consulting
  403. ↑ OpinionWorks
  404. ↑ Gonzales Research
  405. ↑ co/efficient
  406. ↑ OpinionWorks
  407. ↑ ECU Center for Survey Research
  408. ↑ Emerson College
  409. ↑ Emerson College
  410. ↑ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
  411. ↑ J.L. Partners
  412. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D)
  413. ↑ Echelon Insights
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