2024 Republican Party vice presidential candidate selection

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2024 Republican vice presidential nomination
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This article lists potential candidates for the Republican nomination for Vice President of the United States in the 2024 presidential election. Former president Donald Trump, the 2024 Republican presumptive nominee for President of the United States, will choose his running mate at some point before the start of the 2024 Republican National Convention on July 15.

Contents

Background

Multiple reporters, political analysts and commentators have noted that former president Donald Trump selecting former vice president Mike Pence to be his running mate once again would be highly unlikely following rifts between the two over the future of the Republican Party and Pence's attempts to distance himself from Trump. [1] [2] [3] In June 2022, the House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack found that Trump said Pence "deserved" calls to be hanged on the day of the attack. [4] Pence has stated that he has no interest in seeking the vice presidential nomination again. [5]

Trump's anticipated status as the presumptive nominee was solidified upon his victories in the Super Tuesday primaries, which saw Nikki Haley, his last remaining opposition, drop out the following day. Haley refused to endorse Trump, leaving her out of consideration in the view of multiple news and media outlets. [6] Trump became the presumptive nominee on March 12. [7]

Under the 12th amendment, because Trump currently resides in Florida, if Trump's running mate also resided in Florida, Florida's electors could not vote for both Trump and his running mate in the electoral college. In 2000, when Governor of Texas George W. Bush picked Dick Cheney, who also lived in Texas, Cheney changed his voter registration to Wyoming to prevent this issue from arising with Texas' critical electoral votes. [8]

Reported shortlist

Trump's criteria for his running mate is primarily loyalty, according to multiple sources. [9] [10] [11] [12]

In early 2024, Trump was reportedly encouraged to consider a woman or black man as his running mate. [13] [14]

Trump initially acknowledged a total of six names on his vice presidential shortlist at a Fox News townhall with Laura Ingraham in February 2024. [15] Of those six, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis declined to be considered that same month, [16] while primary opponent Vivek Ramaswamy was ruled out as a potential pick by Trump the following month. [17] South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem was ruled out as a potential pick by Trump in April 2024, as a result of the state's hardline stance on abortion. [18] [19] The remaining three are listed here:

That March, Trump estimated that there were a total of 15 people on his shortlist in an interview with Newsmax. Three additional names were reported to have been revealed: [20]

In late March, four others were added to the list: [21]

Media speculation about possible running mates

Several individuals have received speculation about possible selection as vice presidential nominee in 2024 including Governor Glenn Youngkin of Virginia, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, Governor Kim Reynolds of Iowa, Senator Joni Ernst of Iowa, Senator Rick Scott of Florida, and Lieutenant Governor Jeanette Nuñez of Florida. [22] [23]

Reportedly in 2022, Trump had "repeatedly" discussed the possibility of choosing United States Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene as his running mate. [24] Greene also claimed that she had been in talks with Trump to become his running mate. [25] On March 6, 2023, multiple sources close to Trump, as reported by Axios, narrowed the list down to four major contenders. These were Haley; Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders of Arkansas, former White House press secretary for Trump, who has received media attention for her executive orders; Governor Kristi Noem of South Dakota; and Kari Lake, candidate for Arizona governor in 2022 who lost narrowly to Katie Hobbs. On July 3, 2023, Politico reported that sources close to Sanders said that she is not interested in being chosen as the vice presidential nominee as "she intends to serve as governor for eight years." [26] According to Axios, Trump's major factor in the race is loyalty, something he sees strongly in Lake given her reiterations of the claims of a stolen 2020 election. [27] On August 24, 2023, Trump in a media interview, mentioned Henry McMaster, Vivek Ramaswamy and Kristi Noem as his potential vice president picks. [28]

Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida, stated on July 15 that he would be open to selecting Reynolds as his running mate, if he won the Republican nomination. [29] However, on July 17, Reynolds stated that she was not interested in being DeSantis' running mate. [30]

On September 20, 2023, Tim Scott mentioned Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu, Trey Gowdy and John Ratcliffe as potential vice president picks when asked by an audience member at a campaign stop in New Hampshire. [31]

Federal executive branch officials

Members of Congress

Governors

Others

Declined to be considered

Before the primaries

During the primaries

Ruled out by Trump

Opinion polling

Vice presidential polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Liz Cheney
Chris Christie
Tom Cotton
Ted Cruz
Ron DeSantis
Nikki Haley
Josh Hawley
Larry Hogan
Kristi Noem
Mike Pence
Mike Pompeo
Mitt Romney
Marco Rubio
Rick Scott
Tim Scott
Donald Trump Jr.
Others
Undecided
Morning Consult/Politico March 18–21, 20222,005 (RV)8%3%1%6%14%8%1%2%1%14%2%10%3%1%2%8%17% [lower-alpha 2]
Hypothetical polling
With Trump as the nominee
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of
error
Tudor Dixon
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Nikki Haley
Kari Lake
Kristi Noem
Mike Pence
Kim Reynolds
Tim Scott
Elise Stefanik
Others
NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ May 25–26, 20231,000 (RV)± 3%2%6%12%5%3%15%1%13%5%38% [lower-alpha 3]

In March 2023, the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) held a poll on vice president, Kari Lake topped the poll with 20%, Ron DeSantis on 14% and Nikki Haley on 10%. [60] Turning Point Action held a straw poll in July 2023 where Lake finished first with 30%, Byron Donalds in second with 24%, and Vivek Ramaswamy in third with 22%. [61]

The vice presidential straw poll held at CPAC in February 2024 saw Ramaswamy and Kristi Noem tied for first place with 15% each, with Tulsi Gabbard at second with 9%, followed by Elise Stefanik and Tim Scott with 8%. Donalds and Lake received 7% and 6% respectively, while DeSantis, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, and Ben Carson each earned 5% of the vote. Other candidates listed who did not reach 5% were Haley, Tucker Carlson, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and J. D. Vance. [62]

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "Someone else" with 17%
  3. ↑ "Someone else" with 38%

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References

  1. ↑ "Mike Pence Steps Away From Trump, Urges Focus on Future". Bloomberg.com. July 26, 2022. Retrieved August 20, 2022.
  2. ↑ "Mike Pence squares up to Donald Trump as former running mates eye 2024 bids". Financial Times. July 27, 2022. Archived from the original on August 2, 2022. Retrieved August 20, 2022.
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  4. ↑ Breuninger, Kevin (June 28, 2022). "Trump chief of staff said the president thought Pence 'deserves' chants of 'hang Mike Pence' on Jan. 6, ex-aide testifies". CNBC. Archived from the original on August 20, 2022. Retrieved August 20, 2022.
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