2024 United States Senate elections

Last updated

2024 United States Senate elections
Flag of the United States (Pantone).svg
  2022 November 5, 2024 2026  

34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate
51 [lower-alpha 1] seats needed for a majority
  Chuck Schumer official photo (3x4a).jpg Mitch McConnell portrait 2016 (3x4a).jpg
Leader Chuck Schumer Mitch McConnell
(retiring as leader)
Party Democratic Republican
Leader sinceJanuary 3, 2017January 3, 2007
Leader's seat New York Kentucky
Current seats48 [lower-alpha 2] 49
Seats neededSteady2.svgIncrease2.svg 2 (or 1 + VP ) [lower-alpha 3]
Seats up2011

 
Party Independent
Current seats3 [lower-alpha 2]
Seats up3

2024 United States Senate elections retirements map.svg
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent running     Democratic incumbent retiring
     Republican incumbent running     Republican incumbent retiring
     Independent incumbent     Independent incumbent retiring
     No election
Rectangular inset (Nebraska): both seats up for election

Incumbent Majority Leader

Chuck Schumer
Democratic



The 2024 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. Thirty-three of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested in regular elections. [2] Senators are divided into three classes whose six-year terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. [3] Class 1 senators will face election in 2024. [4]

Contents

As of April 2024, twenty-four senators (15 Democrats, 9 Republicans, and two independents) are seeking re-election in 2024.[ citation needed ] Two Senate Republicans (Mike Braun of Indiana and Mitt Romney of Utah), four Senate Democrats (Ben Cardin of Maryland, Tom Carper of Delaware, Debbie Stabenow of Michigan and Joe Manchin of West Virginia), and one Senate Independent (Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona) are not seeking re-election. [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] Democratic Sen. Laphonza Butler of California, who was appointed to her current seat in 2023, is not seeking election in 2024. [12]

Two special Senate elections will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections. One of those two special elections will be held in California to fill the vacancy created by the death of longtime Senator Dianne Feinstein for the final two months of her unexpired term, and one will be held in Nebraska following Ben Sasse's 2023 resignation. [13] [10] [14]

Elections analysts consider the map for these Senate elections to be highly unfavorable to Democrats. Democrats will be defending 23 of the 33 Class 1 seats. [15] Three seats being defended by Democrats are in states won by Republican Donald Trump in both 2016 and 2020, while there are no seats in this class held by Republicans in states won by Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. Additionally, Kyrsten Sinema's first term is ending in Arizona, a state that Biden won by less than half a point in 2020; before the end of the 117th Congress, Sinema left the Democratic Party and became an independent. She later announced her retirement in March 2024. [16] In the two previous Senate election cycles that coincided with presidential elections (2016 and 2020), only one senator (Susan Collins in 2020) was elected in a state that was won by the presidential nominee of the opposite party. [17]

Partisan composition

All 33 Class 1 Senate seats and one Class 2 seat are up for election in 2024; Class 1 currently consists of 20 Democrats, 3 independents who caucus with the Senate Democrats, and 10 Republicans. If another vacancy occurs in other Class 2 or Class 3 Senate seats, that state might require a special election to take place during the 118th Congress, possibly concurrently with the other 2024 Senate elections.[ citation needed ]

Change in composition

Each block represents one of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate. "D#" is a Democratic/active senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican/active senator. They are arranged so that the parties are separated, and a majority is clear by crossing the middle.

Before the elections

Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election.

D1D2D3D4D5D6D7D8D9D10
D20D19D18D17D16D15D14D13D12D11
D21D22D23D24D25D26D27D28D29
Calif.
Retiring
D30
Conn.
Running
D40
N.M.
Running
D39
N.J.
Undeclared
D38
Nev.
Running
D37
Mont.
Running
D36
Minn.
Running
D35
Mich.
Retiring
D34
Mass.
Running
D33
Md.
Retiring
D32
Hawaii
Running
D31
Del.
Retiring
D41
N.Y.
Running
D42
Ohio
Running
D43
Pa.
Running
D44
R.I.
Running
D45
Va.
Running
D46
Wash.
Running
D47
W.Va.
Retiring
D48
Wis.
Running
I1
Ariz.
Retiring
I2
Maine
Running
Majority (with Independents) ↑
R41
Miss.
Running
R42
Mo.
Running
R43
Neb. (reg)
Running
R44
Neb. (sp)
Running
R45
N.D.
Running
R46
Tenn.
Running
R47
Texas
Running
R48
Utah
Retiring
R49
Wyo.
Running
I3
Vt.
Undeclared
R40
Ind.
Retiring
R39
Fla.
Running
R38R37R36R35R34R33R32R31
R21R22R23R24R25R26R27R28R29R30
R20R19R18R17R16R15R14R13R12R11
R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9R10

After the elections

D1D2D3D4D5D6D7D8D9D10
D20D19D18D17D16D15D14D13D12D11
D21D22D23D24D25D26D27D28 Ariz.
TBD
Calif.
TBD
Minn.
TBD
Mich.
TBD
Mass.
TBD
Md.
TBD
Maine
TBD
Ind.
TBD
Hawaii
TBD
Fla.
TBD
Del.
TBD
Conn.
TBD
Mont.
TBD
Miss.
TBD
Mo.
TBD
N.D.
TBD
Neb. (reg)
TBD
Neb. (sp)
TBD
Nev.
TBD
N.J.
TBD
N.M.
TBD
N.Y.
TBD
Majority TBD →
W.Va.
TBD
Wash.
TBD
Va.
TBD
Vt.
TBD
Utah
TBD
Texas
TBD
Tenn.
TBD
R.I.
TBD
Pa.
TBD
Ohio
TBD
Wis.
TBD
Wyo.
TBD
R38R37R36R35R34R33R32R31
R21R22R23R24R25R26R27R28R29R30
R20R19R18R17R16R15R14R13R12R11
R1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9R10
Key
D# Democratic
R# Republican
I# Independent, caucusing with Democrats

Predictions

Pie Chart showing expected seat outcomes based on the large table below.
List
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Tossup Pie Chart Predictions 2024 US Senate.png
Pie Chart showing expected seat outcomes based on the large table below.
List
  •   Democratic Party
  •   Republican Party
  •   Tossup
Map showing average polling date from the large table below. The list below shows the expected advantage.
Democratic Party Safe
Democratic Party Likely
Democratic Party Lean
Democratic Party Tilt
Independent Safe
Tossup
Republican Party Safe
Republican Party Likely
Republican Party Lean Predictions 2024 US Senate Map.png
Map showing average polling date from the large table below. The list below shows the expected advantage.
  •   Democratic Party Safe
  •   Democratic Party Likely
  •   Democratic Party Lean
  •   Democratic Party Tilt
  •   Independent Safe
  •   Tossup
  •   Republican Party Safe
  •   Republican Party Likely
  •   Republican Party Lean

Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Most election predictors used:

ConstituencyIncumbentRatings
State PVI [18] SenatorLast
election [lower-alpha 4]
Cook
April 3,
2024
[19]
IE
February 9,
2024
[20]
Sabato
February 9,
2024
[21]
ED
May 4,
2023
[22]
CNalysis
December 21,
2023
[23]
The Hill
March 10,
2024
[23]
Arizona R+2 Kyrsten Sinema
(retiring)
50.0% D [lower-alpha 5] Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
California [lower-alpha 6] D+13 Laphonza Butler
(retiring)
Appointed
(2023) [lower-alpha 7]
Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Connecticut D+7 Chris Murphy 59.5% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Delaware D+7 Tom Carper
(retiring)
60.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Florida R+3 Rick Scott 50.1% R Likely R Solid R Likely R Likely R Very Likely R Likely R
Hawaii D+14 Mazie Hirono 71.2% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Indiana R+11 Mike Braun
(retiring)
50.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Maine D+2 Angus King 54.3% I Safe ISafe ILikely ISafe ISolid ILikely I
Maryland D+14 Ben Cardin
(retiring)
64.9% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Massachusetts D+15 Elizabeth Warren 60.3% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Michigan R+1 Debbie Stabenow
(retiring)
52.3% D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup
Minnesota D+1 Amy Klobuchar 60.3% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Likely D
Mississippi R+11 Roger Wicker 58.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Missouri R+10 Josh Hawley 51.4% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Montana R+11 Jon Tester 50.3% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Nebraska
(regular)
R+13 Deb Fischer 57.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Nebraska
(special)
R+13 Pete Ricketts Appointed
(2023) [lower-alpha 8]
Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Nevada R+1 Jacky Rosen 50.4% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Lean D Tilt D Tossup
New Jersey D+6 Bob Menendez 54.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D
New Mexico D+3 Martin Heinrich 54.1% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Likely D
New York D+10 Kirsten Gillibrand 67.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D
North Dakota R+20 Kevin Cramer 55.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Ohio R+6 Sherrod Brown 53.4% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup
Pennsylvania R+2 Bob Casey Jr. 55.7% D Lean D Tilt D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D
Rhode Island D+8 Sheldon Whitehouse 61.4% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Tennessee R+14 Marsha Blackburn 54.7% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Texas R+5 Ted Cruz 50.9% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R
Utah R+13 Mitt Romney
(retiring)
62.6% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Vermont D+16 Bernie Sanders 67.4% I Safe ISafe ISafe ISafe ISolid ISafe I
Virginia D+3 Tim Kaine 57.0% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Likely D Solid D Likely D
Washington D+8 Maria Cantwell 58.3% D Solid D Solid D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D
West Virginia R+22 Joe Manchin
(retiring)
49.6% D Solid R (flip)Solid R (flip)Safe R (flip)Safe R (flip)Solid R (flip)Likely R (flip)
Wisconsin R+2 Tammy Baldwin 55.4% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D
Wyoming R+25 John Barrasso 67.0% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Overall [lower-alpha 9] D/I - 46
R - 50
4 tossups
D/I - 47
R - 50
3 tossups
D/I - 47
R - 50
3 tossups
D/I - 47
R - 50
3 tossups
D/I - 47
R - 50
3 tossups
D/I - 45
R - 50
5 tossups

Retirements

As of April 2024, eight senators have announced plans to retire. Dianne Feinstein of California announced her intent to retire at the end of her term, but she died in office on September 29, 2023. Laphonza Butler, who was appointed by California governor Gavin Newsom to continue Feinstein's term, announced on October 19 that she will not run for a full term and to finish the final two months of Feinstein's term.

StateSenatorRef
Arizona Kyrsten Sinema [11]
California Laphonza Butler [12]
Delaware Tom Carper [7]
Indiana Mike Braun [5]
Maryland Ben Cardin [6]
Michigan Debbie Stabenow [10]
Utah Mitt Romney [8]
West Virginia Joe Manchin [9]

Race summary

Special elections during the preceding Congress

In each special election, the winner's term begins immediately after their election is certified by their state's government.

Elections are sorted by date then state.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
IncumbentStatusCandidates
SenatorPartyElectoral history
California
(Class 1)
Laphonza Butler Democratic2023 (appointed)Interim appointee retired [12]
Nebraska
(Class 2)
Pete Ricketts Republican2023 (appointed)Interim appointee running

Elections leading to the next Congress

In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2025.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
IncumbentCandidates
SenatorPartyElectoral historyLast raceResult
Arizona Kyrsten Sinema Independent 2018 [lower-alpha 5] 50.0% DIncumbent retired [11]
  • Michael Norton (Green) [26]
  • Elizabeth Jean Reye (Republican) [26]
California Laphonza Butler Democratic2023 (appointed)54.2% D [lower-alpha 7] Interim appointee retired [12]
Connecticut Chris Murphy Democratic 2012
2018
59.5% DIncumbent running
Delaware Tom Carper Democratic 2000
2006
2012
2018
60.0% DIncumbent retired [7]
Florida Rick Scott Republican 2018 50.1% RIncumbent running
Hawaii Mazie Hirono Democratic 2012
2018
71.2% DIncumbent running
Indiana Mike Braun Republican 2018 50.7% RIncumbent retired to
run for governor [5]
Maine Angus King Independent 2012
2018
54.3% IIncumbent running
  • David Costello (Democratic) [44]
  • Angus King (Independent) [45]
  • Demitroula Kouzounas (Republican) [46]
Maryland Ben Cardin Democratic 2006
2012
2018
64.9% DIncumbent retired [6]
  • Angela Alsobrooks (Democratic) [47]
  • Moe Barakat (Republican) [47]
  • Chris Chaffee (Republican) [47]
  • Michael Cobb (Democratic) [47]
  • Marcellus Crews (Democratic) [47]
  • Robin Ficker (Republican) [47]
  • Lorie Friend (Republican) [47]
  • Brian Frydenborg (Democratic) [47]
  • Scottie Griffin (Democratic) [47]
  • Larry Hogan (Republican) [47]
  • Robert Houton (Democratic) [47]
  • John Myrick (Republican) [47]
  • Emmanuel Osuchukwu (Independent) [47]
  • Joseph Perez (Democratic) [47]
  • Mike Scott (Libertarian) [47]
  • Steven Seuferer (Democratic) [47]
  • Laban Seyoum (Republican) [47]
  • David Trone (Democratic) [47]
  • Nancy Wallace (Independent) [47]
  • Andrew Jaye Wildman (Democratic) [47]
Massachusetts Elizabeth Warren Democratic 2012
2018
60.3% DIncumbent running
Michigan Debbie Stabenow Democratic 2000
2006
2012
2018
52.3% DIncumbent retired [10]
Minnesota Amy Klobuchar DFL 2006
2012
2018
60.3% DFLIncumbent running
Mississippi Roger Wicker Republican2007 (appointed)
2008 (special)
2012
2018
58.5% RIncumbent renominated
Missouri Josh Hawley Republican 2018 51.4% RIncumbent running
Montana Jon Tester Democratic 2006
2012
2018
50.3% DIncumbent running
  • Robert Barb (Green) [71]
  • Sid Daoud (Libertarian) [71]
  • Michael Downey (Green) [71]
  • Michael Hummert (Democratic) [71]
  • Brad Johnson (Republican) [71]
  • Tim Sheehy (Republican) [71]
  • Jon Tester (Democratic) [71]
  • Charles Walking Child (Republican) [71]
Nebraska Deb Fischer Republican 2012
2018
57.7% RIncumbent running
Nevada Jacky Rosen Democratic 2018 50.4% DIncumbent running
  • Sam Brown (Republican) [73]
  • Bill Conrad (Republican) [73]
  • Christopher Cunningham (Libertarian) [73]
  • Joseph Destin (Independent) [73]
  • Tony Grady Jr. (Republican) [73]
  • Jeffrey Ross Gunter (Republican) [73]
  • Edward Hamilton (Republican) [73]
  • Janine Hansen (Independent American) [73]
  • Ronda Kennedy (Republican) [73]
  • Barry Lindemann (Republican) [73]
  • Garn Mabey (Republican) [73]
  • Jim Marchant (Republican) [73]
  • Gary Marinch (Republican) [73]
  • Chris Mazlo (Independent) [73]
  • Stephanie Phillips (Republican) [73]
  • Vincent Rego (Republican) [73]
  • Allen Rheinhart (Independent) [73]
  • Jacky Rosen (Democratic) [73]
  • Mike Schaefer (Democratic) [73]
  • Edmund Uehling (Independent) [73]
  • Troy Zakari Walker (Democratic) [73]
  • Shawn White (Republican) [73]
New Jersey Bob Menendez Democratic2006 (appointed)
2006
2012
2018
54.0% DIncumbent's intent unknown
  • Curtis Bashaw (Republican) [74]
  • Patricia Campos-Medina (Democratic) [74]
  • Nicholas Carducci (Independent) [75]
  • Christine Serrano Glassner (Republican) [74]
  • Lawrence Hamm (Democratic) [74]
  • Albert Harshaw (Republican) [74]
  • Ken Kaplan (Libertarian) [76]
  • Christina Khalil (Green) [77]
  • Andy Kim (Democratic) [74]
  • Joanne Kuniansky (Socialist Workers) [78]
  • Justin Murphy (Republican) [74]
  • Peter Vallorossi (Republican) [74]
New Mexico Martin Heinrich Democratic 2012
2018
54.1% DIncumbent running
New York Kirsten Gillibrand Democratic2009 (appointed)
2010 (special)
2012
2018
67.0% DIncumbent running
North Dakota Kevin Cramer Republican 2018 55.1% RIncumbent running
Ohio Sherrod Brown Democratic 2006
2012
2018
53.4% DIncumbent renominated
Pennsylvania Bob Casey Jr. Democratic 2006
2012
2018
55.7% DIncumbent running
Rhode Island Sheldon Whitehouse Democratic 2006
2012
2018
61.4% DIncumbent running
Tennessee Marsha Blackburn Republican 2018 54.7% RIncumbent running
Texas Ted Cruz Republican 2012
2018
50.9% RIncumbent renominated
Utah Mitt Romney Republican 2018 62.6% RIncumbent retired [8]
  • Carlton Bowen (Independent American) [90]
  • John Curtis (Republican) [90]
  • Jeremy Friedbaum (Republican) [90]
  • Caroline Gleich (Democratic) [90]
  • Laird Hamblin (Democratic) [90]
  • Brent Hatch (Republican) [90]
  • Brian Jenkins (Republican) [90]
  • Robert Newcomb (Independent American) [90]
  • Carolyn Phippen (Republican) [90]
  • Josh Randall (Republican) [90]
  • Trent Staggs (Republican) [90]
  • Chandler Tanner (Republican) [90]
  • Jason Walton (Republican) [90]
  • Clark White (Republican) [90]
  • Archie Williams (Democratic) [90]
  • Brad Wilson (Republican) [90]
Vermont Bernie Sanders Independent 2006
2012
2018
67.4% IIncumbent's intent unknown
Virginia Tim Kaine Democratic 2012
2018
57.0% DIncumbent running
  • Hung Cao (Republican) [94]
  • Jonathan Emord (Republican) [94]
  • Eddie Garcia (Republican) [94]
  • Gwen Hickman (Republican) [94]
  • Tim Kaine (Democratic) [28]
  • Kimberly Lowe (Republican) [94]
  • Scott Parkinson (Republican) [94]
  • Chuck Smith (Republican) [94]
  • Ron Vitiello (Republican) [94]
Washington Maria Cantwell Democratic 2000
2006
2012
2018
58.3% DIncumbent running
West Virginia Joe Manchin Democratic 2010 (special)
2012
2018
49.6% DIncumbent retired [9]
Wisconsin Tammy Baldwin Democratic 2012
2018
55.4% DIncumbent running
Wyoming John Barrasso Republican2007 (appointed)
2008 (special)
2012
2018
67.0% RIncumbent running

Arizona

One-term independent Kyrsten Sinema was narrowly elected in 2018 as a Democrat with 50.0% of the vote. She left the Democratic Party in December 2022. [106] Sinema announced on March 5, 2024, that she would not run for reelection. [107]

Prior to her retirement announcement, Sinema was considered vulnerable to challengers from the Democratic Party due to her opposition to some of President Joe Biden's agenda, [108] and U.S. representative Ruben Gallego launched an early bid for the Democratic nomination. [109] [110]

Among Republicans, Pinal County sheriff Mark Lamb and 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake have announced their candidacies. [111] [112] Solar panel manufacturer Jim Lamon [113] is considering running for the Republican nomination. Former governor Doug Ducey said he is unlikely to run. [114]

California

California election
Flag of California.svg
  2018
2030 
  Adam Schiff official portrait (cropped).jpg Steve Garvey 2016 (28421077585) (3x4).jpg
Candidate Adam Schiff Steve Garvey
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Laphonza Butler [lower-alpha 10]
Democratic



Five-term Democrat Dianne Feinstein was reelected in 2018 with 54.2% of the vote against another Democrat. On February 14, 2023, Feinstein announced that she would not seek reelection to a sixth term. [115] However, she died on September 29, 2023, leaving the seat vacant. Democrat Laphonza Butler, president of EMILY's List, was appointed by California Governor Gavin Newsom to succeed Feinstein on October 2, 2023. [116] Butler is not running for election to a full term, or for the final two months of the current term. [12]

There were three major Democratic candidates for the seat — U.S. representatives Barbara Lee, Katie Porter, and Adam Schiff — along with former professional baseball player Steve Garvey running as a Republican. [117] [118] [119] [120] [121] Schiff was viewed as representing the establishment wing of the Democratic Party, while Porter and Lee represent the progressive wing. [122]

Adam Schiff and Steve Garvey won the non-partisan primary election which took place on March 5, 2024, during Super Tuesday, setting up a general election campaign between the two. [122]

Due to California's election rules, similar to the previous election for the other seat, there will be two ballot items for the same seat: a general election, to elect a Class 1 senator to a full term beginning with the 119th United States Congress, to be sworn in on January 3, 2025; and a special election to fill that seat for the final weeks of the 118th Congress.

Connecticut

Two-term Democrat Chris Murphy was reelected in 2018 with 59.5% of the vote. He has announced he is running for a third term. [123] Gerry Smith, First Selectman of Beacon Falls, Connecticut announced his campaign in early February 2024. [30] Lobbyist Robert F. Hyde is also a Republican candidate. [124]

Delaware

Four-term Democrat Tom Carper was reelected in 2018 with 60.0% of the vote. He announced on May 22, 2023, that he will be retiring, and will not run for a fifth term. [125]

Delaware's at-large U.S. representative Lisa Blunt Rochester is running for the Democratic nomination to succeed Carper, who endorsed her when he announced his retirement. [126] [31]

Term-limited governor John Carney is also considered a possible Democratic candidate. [125] [127] Carney announced that he is considering a campaign for mayor of Wilmington. [128]

Among Republicans, businessman Eric Hansen has announced his candidacy. [129]

Florida

Former governor and incumbent one-term Republican Rick Scott was narrowly elected in 2018 with 50.06% of the vote. He is running for reelection to a second term. [39] Brevard County assistant district attorney Keith Gross is expected to announce a primary challenge against Scott. [130] [131]

Former U.S. Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell is running for the Democratic nomination to challenge Scott. [37] Former U.S. representative Stephanie Murphy, [132] state senator Shevrin Jones, [133] suspended Hillsborough County state's attorney Andrew H. Warren, [134] Brevard County School Board trustee Jennifer Jenkins, [135] and former professional basketball players Grant Hill and Dwyane Wade [136] are also considered potential Democratic candidates.

Hawaii

Two-term Democrat Mazie Hirono was reelected in 2018 with 71.2% of the vote. Hirono is running for a third term. [28]

Indiana

One-term Republican Mike Braun was elected in 2018 with 50.8% of the vote. Braun is retiring to prepare to run for governor of Indiana. [5] U.S. representative Jim Banks is running unopposed after his only competition, businessman John Rust, was disqualified. [137]

Former state Representative Marc Carmichael and psychologist Valerie McCray are both running for the Democratic nomination. [138]

Maine

Two-term Independent incumbent Angus King was reelected in 2018 with 54.3% of the vote in a three-candidate election. He intends to run for a third term despite previously hinting that he may retire. [139]

Democratic consultant David Costello has announced he is challenging King. [44]

Former Maine Republican Party chair Demitroula Kouzounas is running. [46]

Maryland

Three-term Democrat Ben Cardin was reelected in 2018 with 64.9% of the vote. On May 1, 2023, Cardin announced he is not running for reelection. [140]

Prince George's County executive Angela Alsobrooks, [141] tech executive Marcellus Crews, [142] and U.S. Representative David Trone [143] are running for the Democratic nomination.

Former state delegate Robin Ficker [144] and former governor Larry Hogan [145] are running as Republicans. Hogan had previously declined to run, [145] but unexpectedly filed to run hours before the candidate filing deadline. [47]

Massachusetts

Two-term Democrat Elizabeth Warren was reelected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. On March 27, 2023, Warren announced that she is running for reelection. [146]

Software company owner Robert Antonellis is running as a Republican. [147] Former lieutenant governor Karyn Polito is seen as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination. [148]

Michigan

Four-term Democrat Debbie Stabenow was reelected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote. She announced on January 5, 2023, that she will retire, and will not run for a fifth term. [10] Representative Elissa Slotkin, [149] and state representative Leslie Love [150] have announced their candidacies for the Democratic nomination. Businessman and 2006 Republican candidate for this seat Nasser Beydoun has also declared his candidacy as a Democrat. [151] Actor Hill Harper announced his campaign for the Democratic nomination in July 2023. [152]

Former U.S. representatives Mike Rogers, Justin Amash, Peter Meijer, and hedge fund manager Sandy Pensler [153] are running for the Republican nomination. [154] [56] [155] [156]

Representatives Bill Huizenga and Lisa McClain, state senator Ruth Johnson, and 2022 gubernatorial candidate Kevin Rinke [157] are also considered possible Republican candidates. [158]

Representative John James, the Republican nominee for this seat in 2018 and for Michigan's other Senate seat in 2020, declined to run. [159]

Minnesota

Three-term Democrat Amy Klobuchar was reelected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. She is running for a fourth term. [28]

Among Republicans, former NBA basketball player Royce White and, banker and retired U.S. Navy commander, Joe Fraser, have declared their candidacies. [160] [161]

Third party candidates consist of guardianship advocate and Republican candidate for governor in 2022, Independence-Alliance Party candidate, Joyce Lacy. [162]

Mississippi

Mississippi election
Flag of Mississippi.svg
  2018
2030 
  Roger F. Wicker crop.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Roger Wicker Ty Pinkins
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Roger Wicker
Republican



Two-term Republican Roger Wicker was reelected in 2018 with 58.5% of the vote. Wicker is running for a third full term. He faced a primary challenge from state representative Dan Eubanks and won by a comfortable margin. [163] Wicker will be face Democratic lawyer Ty Pinkins in the general election. [164]

Missouri

One-term Republican Josh Hawley was elected in 2018 with 51.4% of the vote. He is running for reelection. [165]

Marine Veteran Lucas Kunce, who ran unsuccessfully for the Democratic nomination in 2022, has announced he is running again. State senator Karla May [166] and December Harmon, a member of the Columbia Police Review Board, [167] have also announced their campaigns for the Democratic nomination.

Montana

Three-term Democrat Jon Tester was narrowly reelected in 2018 with 50.3% of the vote. On February 22, 2023, he announced he is running for a fourth term. Tester is one of two Democratic senators running for reelection who represent states won by Republican Donald Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. [168]

Businessman and former Navy Seal Tim Sheehy is running for the Republican nomination. [169] U.S. representative Matt Rosendale, also a Republican, announced his candidacy on February 9, 2024, [170] but withdrew his candidacy on February 16, 2024. [171]

Nebraska

There will be two elections in Nebraska, due to the resignation of Ben Sasse.

Nebraska (regular)

Two-term Republican Deb Fischer was reelected in 2018 with 57.7% of the vote. On May 14, 2021, Fischer announced she is seeking reelection, despite previously declaring an intention to retire. [172]

Dan Osborn, a union leader and mechanic, is running as an independent. Since no Democrats have filed, the state party is considering supporting him. [173]

Nebraska (special)

Two-term Republican Ben Sasse resigned his seat on January 8, 2023, to become president of the University of Florida. [174] [13] Former governor and 2006 Senate nominee Pete Ricketts was appointed by Governor Jim Pillen and a special election for the seat will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections. Ricketts and Air Force veteran John Glen Weaver have declared their candidacies for the Republican nomination. [175]

Nevada

One-term Democrat Jacky Rosen was elected in 2018 with 50.4% of the vote. Rosen is running for a second term. [28]

Among Republicans, former state assemblyman Jim Marchant, who ran for secretary of state in 2022, has announced his candidacy. [176] On July 9, 2023, veteran and 2022 Senate candidate Sam Brown announced that he would be a candidate. [177] Other potential Republican challengers include state Senate minority leader Heidi Gansert, former ambassador to Iceland Jeffrey Ross Gunter, [178] reality television personality Rick Harrison, and venture capitalist Guy Nohra. [179] [180] [181] [182] [157] Former state attorney general Adam Laxalt, who narrowly lost to Senator Catherine Cortez Masto in 2022, has said that he is unlikely to challenge Rosen. [183]

New Jersey

Democrat Bob Menendez was reelected in 2018 with 54.0% of the vote. On July 13, 2021, The New Jersey Globe reported that Menendez planned to run for a fourth full term. [184] [185] On September 22, 2023, Menendez was indicted on federal bribery charges. [186] On March 14, 2024, a week after his planned retirement, Menendez reversed his decision considering to run for re-election as an Independent candidate. [187] Numerous national and New Jersey Democrats, including Governor Phil Murphy, called on Menendez to resign the same day, [188] including Congressman Andy Kim, who is running for the Democratic nomination. [189]

Financier and current First Lady of New Jersey, Tammy Murphy, had also declared her candidacy for the nomination until she ended her campaign in March 2024. [190]

Mendham Mayor Christine Serrano Glassner [191] and former Andover Township School Board Trustee Daniel Cruz have declared their candidacies for the Republican nomination. [75]

New Mexico

Two-term Democrat Martin Heinrich was reelected in 2018 with 54.1% of the vote in a three-candidate race. He is running for a third term. [192] Hedge fund executive Nella Domenici, whose father served in the U.S. Senate, announced her candidacy for the Republican nomination on January 17, 2024. [193]

New York

Two-term Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand was reelected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote. She is running for a third full term. [194]

North Dakota

One-term Republican Kevin Cramer was elected in 2018 with 55.1% of the vote. Cramer, as of now, is running for re-election. [195]

Democrat Katrina Christiansen, an engineering professor from the University of Jamestown and candidate for the Senate in 2022 filed paperwork and announced her candidacy in early October. [196] [197] Democrat Kristin Hedger, a businesswoman and nominee for North Dakota secretary of state in 2006 has filed paperwork to run for Cramer's seat, but has yet to make an official announcement. [198]

Ohio

Ohio election
Flag of Ohio.svg
  2018
2030 
  Sherrod Brown 117th Congress (2) (cropped).jpg Bernie Moreno by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Nominee Sherrod Brown Bernie Moreno
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Sherrod Brown
Democratic



Three-term Democrat Sherrod Brown was reelected in 2018 with 53.4% of the vote. Brown is running for a fourth term. He is also one of two Democratic senators running for reelection who represent states won by Republican Donald Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. [199]

The Republican nominee is businessman Bernie Moreno, who defeated state senator Matt Dolan and secretary of state Frank LaRose in the primary election. [200]

Pennsylvania

Three-term Democrat Bob Casey Jr., was reelected in 2018 with 55.7% of the vote. Casey is running for a fourth term. [201] He is being challenged by engineer Blaine Forkner. [202]

2022 Senate candidate David McCormick is running for the Republican nomination. [203] [204] [205] [206] [207] [208] On September 30, 2023, the Pennsylvania Republican Party endorsed McCormick. [209] Conestoga Township treasurer Brandi Tomasetti is also running for the nomination. [210]

Rhode Island

Three-term Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse was reelected in 2018 with 61.4% of the vote. He is running for a fourth term. Republicans who have announced their candidacies include state Representative Patricia Morgan [211] and IT professional Raymond McKay. [85]

Tennessee

One-term Republican Marsha Blackburn was elected in 2018 with 54.7% of the vote. Blackburn has filed paperwork to run for reelection. Democratic state Representative Gloria Johnson, who avoided expulsion by one vote in April 2023, announced her candidacy in September. [212]

Texas

Texas election
Flag of Texas.svg
  2018
2030 
  Ted Cruz official 116th portrait (cropped).jpg Colin Allred, official portrait, 117th Congress (3x4).jpg
Nominee Ted Cruz Colin Allred
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Ted Cruz
Republican



Two-term Republican Ted Cruz was reelected in 2018 with 50.9% of the vote. Cruz is running for a third term. [213]

The Democratic nominee is U.S. representative Colin Allred, who defeated state senator Roland Gutierrez and state representative Carl Sherman in the primary election. [214] [215]

Utah

One-term Republican Mitt Romney was elected in 2018 with 62.6% of the vote. On September 13, 2023, Romney announced he would not seek reelection in 2024. [216]

Announced Republican candidates include Riverton Mayor Trent Staggs, [217] state House Speaker Brad Wilson, [218] and U.S. Representative John Curtis. [219]

Vermont

Three-term independent Bernie Sanders was reelected in 2018 with 67.4% of the vote. He is being challenged by artist Cris Ericson, an independent perennial candidate. [91]

Virginia

Two-term Democrat Tim Kaine was reelected in 2018 with 57.0% of the vote. On January 20, 2023, he confirmed he is running for reelection to a third term. [220] Governor Glenn Youngkin, who will be term-limited in 2025, is considered a possible Republican candidate. [221]

On July 18, 2023, Navy veteran Hung Cao announced he would run as a Republican. Cao unsuccessfully ran for the U.S. House of Representatives against Democrat Jennifer Wexton in 2022. [222]

Washington

Four-term Democrat Maria Cantwell was reelected in 2018 with 58.3% of the vote.

Emergency room physician Raul Garcia announced that he would run as a Republican. [223]

West Virginia

Democrat Joe Manchin was reelected in 2018 with 49.6% of the vote. There were reports he planned to run for a third full term, [224] but on October 5, 2022, Manchin said, "What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now" and that he was watching the 2022 elections before deciding. [28] On March 5, 2023, Manchin said he would make his decision in December 2023, although he had filed paperwork to run. [225] On November 9, 2023, Manchin announced he would not seek reelection. [9] Since Manchin announced his retirement, all major outlets have since rated this seat as expected to flip to GOP control, which would put this seat in Republican hands for the first time in 68 years.

Community organizer and U.S. Marine Corps veteran Zachary Shrewsbury and former coal executive Don Blankenship are running for the Democratic nomination. [226] [227]

Governor Jim Justice [228] and Representative Alex Mooney [229] are running in the Republican primary.

Manchin had received cross-party endorsements from fellow senators Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski, [230] both of whom Manchin had endorsed during their respective reelection campaigns. [231] [232]

Wisconsin

Two-term Democrat Tammy Baldwin was reelected in 2018 with 55.4% of the vote. She is running for reelection. [99] Hedge fund manager Eric Hovde, candidate for the Senate in 2012, announced a second attempt at the Republican nomination. Former Milwaukee County sheriff David Clarke [233] is seen as a potential Republican challenger to Hovde's bid if he decides to run. [234] [235]

Wyoming

Republican John Barrasso was reelected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote.

See also

Notes

  1. Majority control in an evenly divided Senate is determined by the Vice President of the United States, who has the power to break tied votes in their constitutional capacity as President of the Senate. Accordingly, Senate control requires 51 seats without control of the vice presidency or 50 seats with control of the vice presidency.
  2. 1 2 All three independent senators (Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Angus King of Maine, and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona) caucus with Senate Democrats. [1]
  3. The U.S. vice president, who will be determined in 2024, breaks ties in a 50–50 Senate. Republicans need 50 seats if they win the vice presidency or 51 if they do not.
  4. The last elections for this group of senators were in 2018, except for those elected in a special election or who were appointed after the resignation or death of a sitting senator, as noted.
  5. 1 2 Sinema was elected as a Democrat and switched to being an independent in December 2022.
  6. In both the regular election and the special election.
  7. 1 2 Democrat Dianne Feinstein won with 54.2% of the vote in 2018 against a fellow Democrat, but died in office on September 29, 2023.
  8. Republican Ben Sasse won with 62.7% of the vote in 2020, but resigned January 8, 2023, to become president of the University of Florida.
  9. Democratic total includes 3 Independents who caucus with the Democrats.
  10. In October 2023, Butler was appointed by Governor Gavin Newsom to fill the vacancy caused by the death of Senator Dianne Feinstein.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Kyrsten Sinema</span> American politician (born 1976)

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States Senate elections</span>

The 2016 United States Senate elections were held on November 8, 2016. The presidential election, House elections, 14 gubernatorial elections, and many state and local elections were held concurrently.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Iowa elections</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate election in West Virginia</span> U.S. Senate election in West Virginia

The 2018 United States Senate election in West Virginia took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate elections</span>

The 2022 United States Senate elections were held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with other midterm elections at the federal, state and local levels. Regularly scheduled elections were held for 34 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate, the winners of which will serve six-year terms beginning with the 118th United States Congress. Two special elections were held to complete unexpired terms. While pundits considered the Republican Party a slight favorite to gain control of the Senate, Senate Democrats outperformed expectations and expanded the majority they had held since 2021, gaining one seat for a functioning 51–49 majority.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States elections</span> U.S. political contexts

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Wisconsin. Primary elections will take place on August 13, 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Texas</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Texas will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Two-term incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz is seeking a third term in office. Primary elections took place on March 5, 2024 during Super Tuesday.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Pennsylvania. Primary elections will take place on April 23, 2024. Incumbent three-term Democratic Senator Bob Casey Jr. announced his intention to run for a fourth term on April 10, 2023.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Montana</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Montana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Montana. Incumbent Senator Jon Tester is seeking a fourth term in office. This race is one of three Democratic-held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2024 in states Donald Trump won in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, alongside Ohio and West Virginia. Tester's re-election is considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024. Primary elections will take place on June 4, 2024. The last time Republicans won this seat was in 2000.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia</span> U.S. Senate election in West Virginia

The 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia. Primary elections will take place on May 14, 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2026 United States Senate elections</span>

The 2026 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve six-year terms in the United States Congress from January 3, 2027, to January 3, 2033. Senators are divided into three groups, or classes, whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. Class 2 senators were last elected in 2020, and will be up for election again in 2032.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Texas Senate election</span>

The 2022 Texas Senate election were held on November 8, 2022. Elections were held to elect senators from all 31 senate districts across the state of Texas. Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, also held on this date. The winners of this election served in the 88th Texas Legislature, with seats apportioned among the 2020 United States census. Republicans had held a majority in the Texas Senate since January 14, 1997, as a result of the 1996 elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States gubernatorial elections</span>

United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, in 11 states and two territories. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2020, except in New Hampshire and Vermont where governors only serve two-year terms and elected their governors in 2022. In addition to state gubernatorial elections, the territories of American Samoa and Puerto Rico will also hold elections for their governors.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 California State Senate election</span>

The 2024 California State Senate election will be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, with the primary election being held on March 5, 2024. Voters in the 20 odd-numbered districts of the California State Senate will elect their representatives. The elections will coincide with the elections for other offices, including the state Assembly.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States House of Representatives elections</span> House elections for the 119th U.S. Congress

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections will be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states, as well as six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories. Special elections may also be held on various dates throughout 2024. Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the U.S. presidential election and elections to the Senate, will also be held on this date. The winners of this election will serve in the 119th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2020 United States census.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Illinois Senate election</span>

The 2024 elections for the Illinois Senate will occur on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. The general primary election for established political parties will occur March 19, 2024.

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