2012 United States Senate election in Washington

Last updated

2012 United States Senate election in Washington
Flag of Washington.svg
←  2006 November 6, 2012 2018  →
Turnout64.1% (voting eligible) [1]
  Maria Cantwell, official portrait, 110th Congress 2 (cropped).jpg Michael Baumgartner crop (cropped).jpg
Nominee Maria Cantwell Michael Baumgartner
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,855,4931,213,924
Percentage60.36%39.49%
2012 United States Senate election in Washington results map by county.svg
2012 United States Senate election in Washington by Congressional District.svg
WA Senate 2012.svg
Cantwell:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Baumgartner:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:      50%     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Maria Cantwell
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Maria Cantwell
Democratic

The 2012 United States Senate election in Washington took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Maria Cantwell won re-election to a third term by a significant margin, outperforming President Barack Obama's margin in the concurrent presidential election by 6%.

Contents

Background

Maria Cantwell won re-election to serve a second term with 56.81% of the vote against Mike McGavick in the 2006 Washingtonian U.S. senatorial election.

Top-two primary election

Candidates

Democratic

Republican

Declined

Others

  • Will Baker (Reform Party) [6]

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Cantwell 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Baumgartner 40-50% 50-60% 2012WASENprimary.svg
Results by county:
  Cantwell
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Baumgartner
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Blanket primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Maria Cantwell (incumbent) 626,360 55.42
Republican Michael Baumgartner 344,72930.50
Republican Art Coday59,2555.24
Democratic Timothy Wilson26,8502.38
Republican Chuck Jackson21,8701.94
Republican Glenn R. Stockwell21,7311.92
Republican Mike the Mover 16,4591.46
Reform Will Baker12,8651.14
Total votes1,130,119 100.00

General election

Candidates

Debates

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Maria Cantwell (D)$8,032,254$6,355,260$2,176,258$2,171,350
Michael Baumgartner (R)$689,690$422,428$181,841$45,689
Source: Federal Election Commission [18] [19]

Top contributors

[20]

Maria CantwellContributionMichael BaumgartnerContribution
Microsoft Corp $83,982Anderson Hay & Grain$5,000
EMILY's List $77,900Columbia Management Systems, By Lar$5,000
Morgan & Morgan $40,000Ignition Partners$5,000
League of Conservation Voters $39,900Kvc Development Co$5,000
University of Washington $35,900Acorn Campus Ventures$4,000
K&L Gates $35,048Legacy LLC$3,523
Boeing Co. $30,625Inland Empire Paper$3,750
Intellectual Ventures LLC $27,250Savers Inc$3,523
McBee Strategic Consulting$26,650Red Lion Hotels$3,500
Second Avenue Partners $24,500National Cotton Council$3,300

Top industries

[21]

Maria CantwellContributionMichael BaumgartnerContribution
Lawyers/law firms $696,936Retired$45,756
Retired$621,231 Financial institutions $10,000
Lobbyists $539,418Financial institutions$310,487
Financial institutions$310,487 Agribusiness $9,550
Computers/Internet$206,970 Health professionals $6,150
Real estate $179,169Misc. finance$4,250
Health professionals$169,937 Mining $4,25
Business services$167,629 Timber/forest products $3,750
Casinos/gambling $165,850General contractors$3,000
Entertainment industry$136,457Real estate$2,950

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [22] Solid DNovember 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [23] Safe DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report [24] Safe DNovember 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics [25] Likely DNovember 5, 2012

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Michael
Baumgartner (R)		Other/Undecided
[lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics [26] October 14 – November 3, 2012November 3, 201256.7%36.3%7.0%Cantwell +20.4%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Michael
Baumgartner (R)		OtherUndecided
Survey USA [27] November 21–23, 2011549±4.3%51%39%—10%
Survey USA [28] January 12–16, 2012617±4.0%50%41%—8%
Public Policy Polling [29] February 16–19, 20121,264±2.76%51%36%—13%
Public Policy Polling [30] June 14–17, 20121,073±3.0%51%35%—14%
Survey USA [31] July 16–17, 2012630±4.0%51%40%—9%
Survey USA [32] September 7–9, 2012524±4.4%54%38%—8%
Rasmussen Reports [33] September 26, 2012500±4.5%57%37%1%5%
SurveyUSA [34] September 28–30, 2012540±4.3%53%40%—6%
The Washington Poll [35] October 1–16, 2012782±3.5%58%35%—7%
Rasmussen Reports [33] October 14, 2012500±4.5%52%37%1%9%
KCTS 9/Washington Poll [36] October 18–31, 2012632±3.9%61%33%—6%
Public Policy Polling [37] November 1–3, 2012932±3.2%57%39%—4%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Bill
Bryant (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [29] February 16–19, 20121,264±2.76%50%36%—14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Cathy M.
Rodgers (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [38] July 27 – August 1, 20101,204±2.8%49%37%—13%
Public Policy Polling [39] May 12–15, 20111,098±3.0%50%31%—19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Dave
Reichert (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [38] July 27 – August 1, 20101,204±2.8%47%41%—12%
Public Policy Polling [39] May 12–15, 20111,098±3.0%49%35%—16%
Survey USA [27] November 21–23, 2011549±4.3%48%41%—10%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Clint
Didier (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [39] May 12–15, 20111,098±3.0%51%35%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Susan
Hutchison (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [39] May 12–15, 20111,098±3.0%49%35%—16%
Survey USA [27] November 21–23, 2011549±4.3%49%38%—13%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Maria
Cantwell (D)		Dino
Rossi (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [39] May 12–15, 20111,098±3.0%53%40%—8%
Public Policy Polling [29] February 16–19, 20121,264±2.76%53%41%—7%

Endorsements

Maria Cantwell (D)

State legislators

Results

United States Senate election in Washington, 2012 [41]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Maria Cantwell (incumbent) 1,855,493 60.36% +3.55%
Republican Michael Baumgartner 1,213,92439.49%−0.42%
Write-in 4,6440.15%+0.08%
Total votes3,074,061 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Cantwell won 8 of 10 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans. [42]

DistrictCantwellBaumgartnerRepresentative
1st 57%43% Suzan DelBene
2nd 63%37% Rick Larsen
3rd 53%47% Jaime Herrera Beutler
4th 45%55% Doc Hastings
5th 48%52% Cathy McMorris Rodgers
6th 61%39% Derek Kilmer
7th 82%18% Jim McDermott
8th 55%45% Dave Reichert
9th 72%28% Adam Smith
10th 61%39% Denny Heck

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Maria Cantwell</span> American politician and businesswoman (born 1958)

Maria Ellen Cantwell is an American politician and former businesswoman serving as the junior United States senator from Washington since 2001. A member of the Democratic Party, she served in the Washington House of Representatives from 1987 to 1993, and in the United States House of Representatives from Washington's 1st congressional district from 1993 to 1995.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2006 United States Senate elections</span>

The 2006 United States Senate elections were held on November 7, 2006, with all 33 Class 1 Senate seats being contested. The term of office for those elected in 2006 ran from January 3, 2007, to January 3, 2013. Before the election cycle, the Republican Party controlled 55 of the 100 Senate seats.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2006 United States Senate election in Washington</span>

The 2006 United States Senate election in Washington was held November 7, 2006. Incumbent Democrat Maria Cantwell won reelection to a second term.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2000 United States Senate election in Washington</span>

The 2000 United States Senate election in Washington was held on November 7, 2000. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Slade Gorton was seeking reelection to a third consecutive term, and a fourth overall, but he was unseated for a second time by a very narrow margin by former Congresswoman Maria Cantwell. The race was the most expensive contest in the state's history at the time.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2008 United States Senate election in North Carolina</span>

The 2008 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on Tuesday, November 4, 2008. The Senate election coincided with the presidential, U.S. House elections, gubernatorial, Council of State, and statewide judicial elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Elizabeth Dole ran for re-election to a second term, but was defeated by Kay Hagan.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2010 United States Senate election in North Carolina</span>

The 2010 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 2, 2010. The filing deadline for the primaries was February 26; the primaries were held on May 4, with a Democratic primary runoff held on June 22. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Richard Burr won re-election to a second term. Burr is the first incumbent to win re-election for this seat since Sam Ervin's last re-election in 1968.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2010 United States Senate election in Washington</span>

The 2010 United States Senate election in Washington was held on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democrat Senator Patty Murray won re-election to a fourth term by a margin of 52.1% – 47.4% over Republican Dino Rossi, who had run for governor in 2004 and 2008. This was the last U.S. Senate election in Washington where the margin of victory was single digits.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in Nevada</span>

See also: 2012 United States Senate elections

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in Missouri</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in Missouri was held on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in Florida</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the House and Senate, as well as various state and local elections. The primary election was held August 14, 2012. Incumbent Senator Bill Nelson won reelection to a third term, defeating Republican U.S. Representative Connie Mack IV by 13%, winning 55% to 42%. Nelson defeated Mack by over 1 million votes.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in Montana</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in Ohio</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in Ohio took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican Josh Mandel, the Ohio State Treasurer. Brown was unopposed in the Democratic primary while Mandel won the Republican primary with 63% of the vote.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in Virginia</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in Virginia took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Jim Webb retired instead of running for reelection to a second term, and former Democratic governor of Virginia Tim Kaine won the open seat over Republican former senator and governor George Allen. Kaine was unopposed for the Democratic nomination, and the Republicans nominated Allen through a primary on June 12, 2012. Allen had previously held this seat for one term before narrowly losing reelection to Webb in 2006.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in Minnesota</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar faced Republican State Representative Kurt Bills. Klobuchar was reelected in a landslide, defeating Bills by almost one million votes and carrying all but two of the state's 87 counties by double digits. This election marked the first time since 1996 that an incumbent Democratic senator was re-elected and the first time since 1976 that an incumbent Democratic senator was re-elected to this seat.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in New York</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in New Jersey took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Michael Baumgartner</span> 28th Treasurer of Spokane County

Michael James Baumgartner is an American politician and diplomat serving as the 28th Spokane County Treasurer. A member of the Republican Party, he previously served as a member of the Washington State Senate, representing the 6th district from 2011 to 2019 and was his party's nominee in the 2012 election for the United States Senate, unsuccessfully challenging Democratic incumbent Maria Cantwell.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington</span>

The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014 to elect the ten U.S. representatives from the state of Washington, one from each of the state's 10 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, other elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The state certified the results on December 4. The nonpartisan blanket primary election was held on August 5, with the top two candidates for each position advancing to the general election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate election in Washington</span>

The 2018 United States Senate election in Washington took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Washington. Incumbent Democrat Maria Cantwell won election to a fourth term over television news journalist Susan Hutchison, a Republican.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Washington</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Washington will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Washington. Incumbent four-term Democratic Senator Maria Cantwell was first elected in 2000, narrowly defeating Republican incumbent Slade Gorton. In her most recent re-election campaign, Cantwell won with 58.3% of the vote in 2018. Primary elections took place on August 6, 2024.

References

  1. ↑ Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 6, 2013.
  2. ↑ Blumenthal, Les (November 21, 2010). "Washington state's Cantwell not looking ahead to 2012 -- yet". McClatchy Newspapers . Archived from the original on November 19, 2012. Retrieved December 9, 2010.
  3. ↑ "timwilsonforsenate.org - timwilsonforsenate Resources and Information". Archived from the original on January 13, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2019.
  4. ↑ "Makupfront: Up Front With Robert Mak". Archived from the original on April 25, 2012. Retrieved October 2, 2011.
  5. ↑ Camden, Jim (January 30, 2012). "U.S. Senate race: Cantwell has $4 million in bank". The Spokesman-Review . Retrieved February 24, 2012.
  6. 1 2 3 4 "2012 Candidates Appearing in the Primary". Secretary of State of Washington . Retrieved August 1, 2012.
  7. ↑ "Candidate Statement". Secretary of State of Washington. Retrieved August 1, 2012.
  8. ↑ "Corporation Registration Detail". Secretary of State of Washington. Retrieved August 1, 2012.
  9. ↑ Myrick, Bryan (March 12, 2012). "Port Commission President Bill Bryant Will Not Challenge Cantwell for U.S. Senate". NW Daily Marker.
  10. ↑ "Endorsements - Art Coday for US Senate, Washington 2012". Archived from the original on March 23, 2012. Retrieved March 25, 2012.
  11. ↑ Faulk, Mike (February 24, 2012). "Doc Hastings rules out reform". Yakima Herald-Republic . Tri-City Herald. Archived from the original on April 18, 2012. Retrieved February 24, 2012.
  12. ↑ Mathieu, Stevie (January 16, 2012). "Congresswoman talks town halls, confirms re-election bid". The Columbian . Retrieved February 24, 2012.
  13. ↑ "John Koster officially files to unseat Rep. Rick Larsen | Politics | Everett News". Archived from the original on April 2, 2012. Retrieved August 6, 2011.
  14. ↑ Camden, Jim; Brunt, Jonathan (March 17, 2011). "McMorris Rodgers starting 2012 campaign". The Spokesman-Review . Retrieved February 24, 2012.
  15. ↑ Brunner, Jim (February 2, 2012). "Reichert won't challenge Cantwell for U.S. Senate seat". The Seattle Times.
  16. ↑ Mak, Robert (October 26, 2011). "GOP Senate hopeful drops out of race". KING 5 News . Archived from the original on February 11, 2012. Retrieved December 14, 2011.
  17. ↑ "U.S. Senator". Archived from the original on August 10, 2012. Retrieved August 8, 2012.
  18. ↑ Maria Cantwell Campaign Finances
  19. ↑ Michael Baumgartner Campaign Finances
  20. ↑ [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=WAS1 OpenSecrets
  21. ↑ Donors by Industry (opensecrets.org)
  22. ↑ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  23. ↑ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  24. ↑ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  25. ↑ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  26. ↑ Real Clear Politics
  27. 1 2 3 Survey USA
  28. ↑ Survey USA
  29. 1 2 3 Public Policy Polling
  30. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  31. ↑ Survey USA
  32. ↑ Survey USA
  33. 1 2 Rasmussen Reports
  34. ↑ SurveyUSA
  35. ↑ The Washington Poll
  36. ↑ KCTS 9/Washington Poll
  37. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  38. 1 2 Public Policy Polling
  39. 1 2 3 4 5 Public Policy Polling
  40. ↑ "Extra Jolt: Longtime Republican Leader Endorses Cantwell over Baumgartner".
  41. ↑ "U.S. Senator".
  42. ↑ Results. sos.wa.gov (Report). Archived from the original on May 20, 2024.

Official campaign websites (archived)

This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.