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Turnout | 72.18%2.32 [1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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County results Bullock: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Hill: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Montana |
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The 2012 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the governor of Montana. Incumbent Democratic governor Brian Schweitzer was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term.
Montana Attorney General Steve Bullock won the Democratic primary with 87% of the vote and former U.S. representative Rick Hill won the Republican primary with 34% of the vote. In the general election, Bullock won by 7,571 votes, taking 48.9% of the vote to Hill's 47.3%. [2] With a margin of 1.6%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2012 gubernatorial election cycle, behind only the election in Puerto Rico. Due to the close margin, media outlets did not call the race for Bullock until the next day. [3] This was the last time anyone other than Greg Gianforte was the Republican nominee.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Bullock | Larry Jent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [11] | November 28–30, 2011 | 573 | ± 4.1% | 70% | 6% | — | 24% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Steve Bullock | 76,738 | 86.6 | |
Democratic | Heather Margolis | 11,823 | 13.4 | |
Total votes | 88,561 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Essmann | Bob Fanning | Rick Hill | Neil Livingstone | Jim Lynch | Ken Miller | Jim O'Hara | Corey Stapleton | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [32] | April 26–29, 2012 | 403 | ± 4.88% | — | 1% | 33% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 4% | 7% | 35% |
Public Policy Polling [33] | November 28–30, 2011 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 5% | 1% | 37% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 35% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rick Hill | 46,802 | 34.4 | |
Republican | Corey Stapleton | 24,661 | 18.1 | |
Republican | Ken Miller | 24,496 | 18.0 | |
Republican | Jim O'Hara | 16,653 | 12.2 | |
Republican | Neil Livingstone | 12,038 | 8.8 | |
Republican | Jim Lynch | 8,323 | 6.1 | |
Republican | Bob Fanning | 3,087 | 2.3 | |
Total votes | 136,060 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [35] | Tossup | November 1, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [36] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg Political Report [37] | Tossup | November 2, 2012 |
Real Clear Politics [38] | Tossup | November 5, 2012 |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Steve Bullock (D) | Rick Hill (R) | Other/Undecided [a] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics [39] | September 27 – November 3, 2012 | November 3, 2012 | 44.0% | 45.7% | 10.3% | Hill +1.7% |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Bullock (D) | Rick Hill (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [40] | November 2–3, 2012 | 836 | ± 3.4% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 2% |
Mason-Dixon [41] | October 29–31, 2012 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | 2% | 3% |
Public Policy Polling [42] | October 8–10, 2012 | 737 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 43% | 8% | 7% |
Montana State University [43] | September 27–30, 2012 | 477 | ± 4.6% | 38% | 40% | 2% | 20% |
Mason-Dixon [44] | September 17–19, 2012 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 43% | 2% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling [45] | September 10–11, 2012 | 656 | ± 3.2% | 44% | 39% | 8% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling [32] | April 26–29, 2012 | 934 | ± 3.2% | 39% | 39% | — | 21% |
Public Policy Polling [11] | November 28–30, 2011 | 1,625 | ± 2.4% | 38% | 39% | — | 23% |
Public Policy Polling [46] | June 16–19, 2011 | 819 | ± 3.4% | 37% | 39% | — | 23% |
Public Policy Polling [47] | November 10–13, 2010 | 1,176 | ± 2.9% | 31% | 41% | — | 28% |
With Bohlinger
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Bohlinger (D) | Jeff Essmann (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [46] | June 16–19, 2011 | 819 | ± 3.4% | 40% | 33% | — | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Bohlinger (D) | Rick Hill (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [46] | June 16–19, 2011 | 819 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 40% | — | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Bohlinger (D) | Ken Miller (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [46] | June 16–19, 2011 | 819 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 33% | — | 28% |
With Bullock
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Bullock (D) | Jeff Essmann (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [11] | November 28–30, 2011 | 1,625 | ± 2.4% | 42% | 30% | — | 28% |
Public Policy Polling [46] | June 16–19, 2011 | 819 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 33% | — | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Bullock (D) | Neil Livingstone (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [11] | November 28–30, 2011 | 1,625 | ± 2.4% | 41% | 29% | — | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Bullock (D) | Ken Miller (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [32] | April 26–29, 2012 | 934 | ± 3.2% | 41% | 35% | — | 24% |
Public Policy Polling [11] | November 28–30, 2011 | 1,625 | ± 2.4% | 40% | 31% | — | 29% |
Public Policy Polling [46] | June 16–19, 2011 | 819 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 34% | — | 28% |
With Jent
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Jent (D) | Rick Hill (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [11] | November 28–30, 2011 | 1,625 | ± 2.4% | 26% | 39% | — | 35% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Jent (D) | Neil Livingstone (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [11] | November 28–30, 2011 | 1,625 | ± 2.4% | 26% | 30% | — | 44% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Jent (D) | Ken Miller (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [11] | November 28–30, 2011 | 1,625 | ± 2.4% | 25% | 33% | — | 42% |
With Wanzenried
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dave Wanzenried (D) | Jeff Essmann (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [46] | June 16–19, 2011 | 819 | ± 3.4% | 31% | 33% | — | 36% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dave Wanzenried (D) | Rick Hill (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [46] | June 16–19, 2011 | 819 | ± 3.4% | 30% | 40% | — | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dave Wanzenried (D) | Ken Miller (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [46] | June 16–19, 2011 | 819 | ± 3.4% | 30% | 35% | — | 35% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Steve Bullock | 236,450 | 48.90% | −16.57% | |
Republican | Rick Hill | 228,879 | 47.34% | +14.82% | |
Libertarian | Ron Vandevender | 18,160 | 3.76% | +1.75% | |
Total votes | 483,489 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Richard Allan Hill is an American politician and businessman who served as a member of the United States House of Representatives from Montana. He was the Republican nominee for Governor of Montana in 2012.
The 2008 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2008, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Montana. Incumbent governor Brian Schweitzer, a Democrat who was elected to his first four-year term in 2004, was elected to a second term with 65.5% of the vote. Incumbent lieutenant governor John Bohlinger, a Republican who was once again Schweitzer's running mate, was reelected to a second term. The Republican nominee was Roy Brown, a member of the Montana Senate. Brown's running mate was businessman Steve Daines, a future U.S. Representative and a future U.S. Senator.
The 2004 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2004, for the post of Governor of Montana. The incumbent governor, Judy Martz, a Republican, did not seek reelection. Democrat Brian Schweitzer defeated Montana Secretary of State and Republican nominee Bob Brown with 50.4% of the vote against 46%. Schweitzer formed a ticket with a Republican running mate, choosing state legislator John Bohlinger for the lieutenant governorship.
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Stephen Clark Bullock is an American politician and lawyer who served as the 24th governor of Montana from 2013 to 2021. He is a member of the Democratic Party.
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The 2012 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2012 congressional election in Montana was held on November 6, 2012, to determine who would represent the state of Montana in the United States House of Representatives. At the time, Montana had one seat in the House. Incumbent Denny Rehberg did not run for reelection, choosing instead to run unsuccessfully for the seat in the U.S. Senate. A primary election was held on June 5, 2012. Republican businessman Steve Daines won the open seat.
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John Edward Walsh is an American real estate agent, former politician and former military officer who served as a United States Senator from Montana from 2014 to 2015. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously served as a colonel in the Army National Guard, the adjutant general of the Montana National Guard with a state commission as a brigadier general from 2008 to 2012 and the 34th Lieutenant Governor of Montana from 2013 to 2014 under Governor Steve Bullock.
The 2014 congressional election in Montana was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. Between 1993 and 2023, Montana had one at-large seat in the House.
Neil C. Livingstone is an American business executive, author, political candidate, television commentator and security and terrorism expert. He was the founder, chairman, and CEO of GlobalOptions Inc., an international risk management company that he took public in 2005.
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Montana. It was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries for both the Democratic and Republican nominations took place on June 2, 2020. Incumbent senator Steve Daines won the Republican primary, while Montana Gov. Steve Bullock won the Democratic primary.
The 2020 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the next governor of Montana, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the U.S. Senate and the House of Representatives and various state and local elections. It resulted in voters selecting Greg Gianforte over Mike Cooney. Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Bullock was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term in office, and he ran unsuccessfully for Montana's Class II Senate seat.
The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
Official campaign websites (Archived)