2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
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All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election21
Seats won21
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote422,189343,269
Percentage55.11%44.81%
SwingIncrease2.svg3.53%Decrease2.svg3.61%
2012 U.S. House elections in New Mexico.svg

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the three U.S. Representatives from the state, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election.

Contents

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2012 [1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats beforeSeats after+/–
Democratic 422,18955.11%22-
Republican 343,26944.81%11-
Independent (Write-in) 1730.02%-
Green Party (Write-in) 4590.06%-
Totals766,090100%33-

District 1

The redrawn 1st district serves the central area of New Mexico, including almost three-fourths of Albuquerque. Incumbent Democrat Martin Heinrich, first elected in 2008, did not seek reelection, but instead ran for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Jeff Bingaman. [2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Michelle Lujan Grisham 19,111 40.1
Democratic Eric Griego16,70235.0
Democratic Martin Chávez11,89524.9
Total votes47,708 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
Disqualified
Declined
  • Jon Barela, businessman and nominee for this seat in 2010 [15]

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Janice Arnold-Jones 26,198 100.0
Total votes26,198 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Michelle Lujan Grisham (D)
Organizations
Janice Arnold-Jones (R)
Organizations

Polling

Poll
source		Date(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Michelle
Lujan Grisham (D)		Janice
Arnold-Jones (R)		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc October 23–25, 2012401± 4.9%51%36%13%
Research & Polling Inc October 9–11, 2012402± 4.9%51%37%12%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham) October 8–9, 2012407± 5.0%55%40%5%
Research & Polling Inc September 3–6, 2012409± 4.8%46%34%20%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham) July 10–15, 2012502± 4.0%50%42%8%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [19] Safe DNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg [20] Safe DNovember 2, 2012
Roll Call [21] Safe DNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [22] Safe DNovember 5, 2012
NY Times [23] Lean DNovember 4, 2012
RCP [24] Safe DNovember 4, 2012
The Hill [25] Likely DNovember 4, 2012

Results

New Mexico's 1st congressional district, 2012 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Michelle Lujan Grisham 162,924 59.1
Republican Janice Arnold-Jones 112,47240.8
Green Jeanne Pahls (write-in)4590.2
Total votes275,855 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

Incumbent Republican Steve Pearce was elected in 2010, having previously served from 2003 until 2009. Pearce sought reelection in 2012. [26]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Pearce (incumbent) 29,911 100.0
Total votes29,911 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
Disqualified
  • Frank McKinnon, businessman and candidate for this seat in 2008 [30] [28]
Declined

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Evelyn Madrid Erhard 24,175 100.0
Total votes24,175 100.0

General election

Polling

Poll
source		Date(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Steve
Pearce (R)		Evelyn
Madrid Erhard (D)		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc October 23–25, 2012113± 9.2%56%38%6%
Research & Polling Inc October 9–11, 2012116± 9.1%55%31%15%
Research & Polling Inc September 3–6, 2012119± 9.0%56%30%14%

Results

New Mexico's 2nd congressional district, 2012 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Pearce (incumbent) 133,180 59.0
Democratic Evelyn Madrid Erhard92,16240.9
Independent Jack A. McGrann (write-In)1730.1
Total votes225,515 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján was first elected in 2008. In April 2011 Luján declined to enter the U.S. Senate race and instead chose to seek reelection to the House of Representatives. [34]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Primary results

Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ben R. Luján (incumbent) 53,908 100.0
Total votes53,908 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jefferson L. Byrd 13,055 53.5
Republican Frederick L. Newton11,34046.5
Total votes24,395 100.0

General election

Polling

Poll
source		Date(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Ben Ray
Luján (D)		Jefferson
Byrd (R)		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc October 23–25, 2012148± 8.0%53%35%12%
Research & Polling Inc October 9–11, 2012140± 8.3%58%34%8%
Research & Polling Inc September 3–6, 2012139± 8.3%57%31%12%

Results

New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, 2012 [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ben Ray Luján (incumbent) 167,103 63.1
Republican Jefferson Byrd 97,61636.9
Total votes264,719 100.0
Democratic hold

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 "Statewide Results" (PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 4, 2013.
  2. ↑ Blake, Aaron (April 2, 2011). "Heinrich to run for Senate in New Mexico". The Washington Post . Retrieved April 20, 2011.
  3. ↑ "Lujan Grisham wins hotly contested CD-1 primary". KOAT-TV . June 6, 2012. Archived from the original on October 22, 2013. Retrieved June 5, 2013.
  4. 1 2 Trygstad, Kyle (June 29, 2011). "Ex-Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez Running in 1st District". Roll Call . Retrieved June 29, 2011.
  5. ↑ Miller, Sean J. (May 2, 2011). "Field grows in race for Heinrich's NM House seat". The Hill . Retrieved May 4, 2011.
  6. ↑ Reichbach, Matthew (April 13, 2011). "Balderas won't seek Heinrich's seat". The New Mexico Independent . Retrieved April 20, 2011.
  7. 1 2 Haussamen, Heath (April 19, 2011). "Keller won't run for Congress". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved April 20, 2011.
  8. ↑ Haussamen, Heath (June 29, 2011). "Chávez is running for Congress; Denish isn't". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved June 30, 2011.
  9. ↑ "No Moe in US House race". Capitol Report New Mexico. June 8, 2011. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
  10. ↑ Flores, Danielle (July 16, 2011). "Second Republican enters Congressional race". KOB . Retrieved July 18, 2011.
  11. 1 2 Reichbach, Matthew (March 20, 2012). "Dan Lewis drops out of congressional race". New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on March 22, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  12. ↑ Haussamen, Heath (April 4, 2011). "Lewis formally enters congressional race". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved April 20, 2011.
  13. ↑ Trygstad, Kyle (November 3, 2011). "Sierra Club Backs Eric Griego in New Mexico Primary". Roll Call . Retrieved November 7, 2011.
  14. ↑ Reichbach, Matthew (April 16, 2012). "CD1: District court judge takes Smith off GOP primary ballot". New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on April 19, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  15. ↑ Haussamen, Heath (January 21, 2012). "Barela won't run for CD1 seat". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved January 25, 2012.
  16. ↑ "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC. Archived from the original on October 26, 2012. Retrieved March 5, 2023.
  17. ↑ "Help Our Candidates Win!". emilyslist.org. Archived from the original on November 14, 2012. Retrieved January 31, 2023.
  18. ↑ "Maggie's List is pleased to endorse these conservative women candidates". maggieslist.org. Maggie's List. Archived from the original on August 26, 2012. Retrieved March 4, 2023.
  19. ↑ "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com. November 5, 2012. Retrieved November 6, 2012.
  20. ↑ "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. November 2, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
  21. ↑ , as of November 4,2012[update]
  22. ↑ Crystal Ball, as of November 5,2012
  23. ↑ House Race Ratings, The New York Times, as of November 4,2012
  24. ↑ , as of November 4,2012[update]
  25. ↑ "House Ratings". The Hill. November 3, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
  26. ↑ "Pearce re-election committee has balance of $682K". Las Cruces Sun-News . April 17, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.[ permanent dead link ]
  27. ↑ "Mesilla Democrat Seeks 2nd Congressional District Seat". Las Cruces Sun-News . Albuquerque Journal. December 1, 2011. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
  28. 1 2 Reichbach, Matthew (March 10, 2012). "Heinrich, Griego win pre-primaries, Balderas with a strong showing". New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on March 17, 2012. Retrieved May 13, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  29. ↑ "Sunland Park mayor won't run for Congress". Alamogordo Daily News . Associated Press. October 7, 2011. Retrieved October 11, 2011.
  30. ↑ "Democratic longshot takes on Steve Pearce". Capitol Report New Mexico. November 5, 2011. Archived from the original on March 9, 2016. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
  31. ↑ Haussamen, Heath (June 29, 2011). "Congressional run isn't likely, Cote says". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved July 18, 2011.
  32. ↑ Haussamen, Heath (May 5, 2011). "Sunland Park mayor running for Congress; Cote might too". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved May 7, 2011.
  33. ↑ "Harry Teague: I won't run again". KRQE. Associated Press. January 7, 2011. Retrieved May 13, 2012.
  34. ↑ Catanese, David (April 25, 2011). "Ben Ray Lujan won't run for Senate". Politico . Retrieved April 25, 2011.
  35. ↑ Terrell, Steve (November 18, 2011). "Artist, hotel worker takes on Luján in Democratic primary". The Santa Fe New Mexican . Retrieved December 3, 2011.
  36. ↑ Haussamen, Heath (January 20, 2012). "Montoya to challenge Luján in CD3 Dem primary". NMPolitics.net. Retrieved January 25, 2012.
  37. ↑ Simonich, Milan (May 11, 2012). "Congressional candidate urges 2,000-mile barricade along US southern border". Carlsbad Current-Argus . Retrieved May 13, 2012.
  38. ↑ Terrell, Steve (October 31, 2011). "Security-tech entrepreneur seeks to challenge Rep. Luján". The Santa Fe New Mexican . Retrieved November 2, 2011.
  39. ↑ AP results
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