2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election

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2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election
Flag of North Carolina.svg
  2008 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2016  
Turnout67.30%
  Pat-McCrory June-2015(crop).jpg Walter Dalton (cropped).jpg
Nominee Pat McCrory Walter H. Dalton
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote2,440,7071,931,580
Percentage54.62%43.23%

2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election by congressional district.svg
2012 NC Gov.svg
McCrory:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Dalton:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%

Governor before election

Bev Perdue
Democratic

Elected Governor

Pat McCrory
Republican

The 2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 United States presidential election, U.S. House election, statewide judicial election, Council of State election and various local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic governor Bev Perdue was eligible to run for re-election, but announced on January 26, 2012 that she would not seek a second term. Incumbent lieutenant governor Walter H. Dalton won the Democratic nomination, while former mayor of Charlotte and 2008 gubernatorial nominee Pat McCrory won the Republican nomination. McCrory won the election with almost 55 percent of the vote to Dalton's 43 percent, the largest margin of victory for a Republican in a race for governor in history, surpassing the previous record set in 1868.

Libertarian nominee Barbara Howe took 2% of the vote. When McCrory was inaugurated as the 74th governor of North Carolina on January 5, 2013, [1] he became the state's first Republican governor since 1993 and the Republicans held complete control of state government for the first time since 1871. As of 2025, this is the last time a Republican was elected Governor of North Carolina, and the only time since 1988. It was also the last time the state concurrently voted for a gubernatorial and presidential candidate of the same party, and the last time a Republican candidate won Mecklenburg County in a statewide election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bruce
Blackmon
Walter H.
Dalton
Gary
Dunn
Bob
Etheridge
Bill
Faison
Gardenia
Henley
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [22] May 5–6, 2012500± 3.1%2%34%4%29%4%4%24%
Survey USA [23] April 26–30, 2012560± 4.2%2%32%5%23%5%3%30%
Public Policy Polling [24] April 27–29, 2012500± 4.4%3%36%2%26%5%3%25%
Civitas/Survey USA [25] April 20–23, 2012448± 4.7%3%32%3%27%4%2%27%
Public Policy Polling [26] April 20–22, 2012500± 4.4%4%26%4%25%5%2%35%
Public Policy Polling [27] March 23–25, 2012505± 4.4%5%15%4%26%3%2%45%
Public Policy Polling [28] February 29 – March 1, 2012499± 4.4%5%19%2%26%2%4%41%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dan
Blue
Walter H.
Dalton
Bob
Etheridge
Bill
Faison
Mike
McIntyre
Brad
Miller
Richard
Moore
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [29] February 3–5, 2012400± 4.9%13%10%21%2%6%8%7%33%
11%20%24%4%41%
22%25%6%7%40%
20%24%4%11%41%
21%24%5%8%41%
24%30%6%39%

Debates

A series of televised debates between candidates Dalton, Etheridge and Faison, held April 16–18, was considered potentially pivotal, since "the governor’s race has so far attracted little attention, created little buzz and produced few political commercials" and "polls suggest there is still a large swath of Democratic voters who have yet to decide" for whom to vote. [30] The first debate, conducted by WRAL-TV and broadcast statewide, featured few differences between the candidates, but Faison was seen as the aggressor. [31] The second debate (conducted by UNC-TV) was more contentious, with Dalton criticizing Etheridge's support of a free trade agreement while he was in Congress, and Etheridge attacking Dalton over his attendance record on boards and commissions and his alleged failure to speak out against the actions of the majority-Republican legislature. [32] In the final debate of the series, this one conducted by WNCN-TV and the North Carolina League of Women Voters, candidates were considered to be more "muted" in their criticisms of each other. All three spoke out strongly against a voter ID bill proposed by Republicans in the state legislature. Dalton emphasized modernizing the state's economy, Etheridge continued his themes of leadership and education, and Faison most sharply attacked Republicans and called for action on the state's unemployment problem. [33]

Results

Primary results by county:
Dalton
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Dalton--81-90%
Dalton--71-80%
Dalton--61-70%
Dalton--51-60%
Dalton--41-50%
Dalton--31-40%
Etheridge
Etheridge--61-70%
Etheridge--51-60%
Etheridge--41-50%
Etheridge--31-40%
Faison
Faison--41-50% 2012 North Carolina gubernatorial Democratic primary county map.svg
Primary results by county:
Dalton
  •   Dalton—81–90%
  •   Dalton—71–80%
  •   Dalton—61–70%
  •   Dalton—51–60%
  •   Dalton—41–50%
  •   Dalton—31–40%
Etheridge
  •   Etheridge—61–70%
  •   Etheridge—51–60%
  •   Etheridge—41–50%
  •   Etheridge—31–40%
Faison
  •   Faison—41–50%
Democratic primary results [34]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Walter H. Dalton 425,618 45.8
Democratic Bob Etheridge353,20938.0
Democratic Bill Faison51,7595.6
Democratic Gardenia Henley48,4025.2
Democratic Gary M. Dunn27,1632.9
Democratic Bruce Blackmon22,1582.4
Total votes928,309 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jim
Harney
Scott
Jones
Jim
Mahan
Pat
McCrory
Charles
Moss
Paul
Wright
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [22] May 5–6, 2012496± 4.4%2%3%2%70%1%2%20%
Survey USA [23] April 26–30, 2012451± 4.5%3%3%2%65%3%2%21%
Public Policy Polling [46] April 27–29, 2012486± 4.4%4%2%2%66%0%2%24%
Public Policy Polling [47] April 20–22, 2012521± 4.3%3%1%2%67%1%2%23%
Public Policy Polling [48] March 22–25, 2012561± 4.1%2%1%3%64%2%0%28%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
McCrory
Someone more
conservative
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [49] September 1–4, 2011400± 4.9%40%46%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Phil
Berger
Cherie
Berry
Tom
Fetzer
Virginia
Foxx
Pat
McCrory
Patrick
McHenry
Sue
Myrick
Fred
Smith
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [50] November 19–21, 2010400± 4.9%2%3%12%11%37%3%6%4%22%

Results

Republican primary results [34]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Pat McCrory 744,226 83.4
Republican Paul Wright46,9865.3
Republican Scott Jones30,8843.5
Republican Jim Mahan29,7943.3
Republican Jim Harney26,2422.9
Republican Charles Kenneth Moss13,6961.5
Total votes891,828 100.0

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [52] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball [53] Likely R (flip)November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report [54] Likely R (flip)November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics [55] Likely R (flip)November 5, 2012

Debates

Dalton and McCrory met for their first televised debate at the studios of UNC-TV on October 3, 2012. Two debates were sponsored by the North Carolina Association of Broadcasters Educational Foundation, with the third and final debate sponsored by WRAL-TV and the Rocky Mount Chamber of Commerce. Howe was not invited to participate in any of the scheduled debates. The Associated Press characterized Dalton as going "on the offensive" against McCrory in the first debate. [56] The final encounter between the two candidates, held Oct. 24 on the campus of North Carolina Wesleyan College, featured "more subdued disagreements over taxes, education, health care and mental health." [57]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Walter H.
Dalton (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Barbara
Howe (L)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [58] November 3–4, 2012926± 3.2%43%50%4%3%
Public Policy Polling [59] October 29–31, 2012730± 3.6%39%50%4%7%
WRAL News/SurveyUSA [60] October 26–29, 2012682± 3.8%36%53%11%
Elon University [61] October 21–26, 20121,238± 2.8%38%52%2%8%
Rasmussen Reports [62] October 25, 2012500± 4.5%35%54%1%10%
Public Policy Polling [63] October 23–25, 2012880± 3.3%37%50%5%8%
Rasmussen Reports [62] October 17, 2012500± 4.5%42%53%4%
Public Policy Polling [64] October 12–14, 20121,084± 3%37%47%5%11%
Rasmussen Reports [65] October 9, 2012500± 4.5%38%52%10%
Gravis Marketing [66] October 6–8, 20121,325± 2.9%33%50%17%
Rasmussen Reports [67] October 2, 2012500± 4.5%38%54%1%7%
Survey USA [68] September 29 – October 1, 2012573± 4.2%39%51%3%7%
Public Policy Polling [69] September 27–30, 2012981± 3.1%37%47%5%10%
WSJ/NBC News/Marist [70] September 23–25, 20121,035± 3.4%39%52%8%
Civitas [71] September 18–19, 2012600± 4%38%49%3%10%
Rasmussen Reports [62] September 13, 2012500± 3.4%38%51%1%10%
Survey USA/Civitas [72] September 4–6, 2012500± 3.4%39%55%4%29%
Public Policy Polling [73] August 31 – September 2, 20121,012± 3.4%39%45%5%10%
Elon Univ./Charlotte Observer [74] August 25–30, 20121,089± 3.4%37%52%11%
Public Policy Polling [75] August 2–5, 2012813± 3.4%38%45%7%11%
Rasmussen Reports [62] July 27, 2012500± 4.5%41%46%3%10%
Civitas [76] July 16–18, 2012600± 4%37%47%6%4%
Public Policy Polling [77] July 5–8, 2012775± 3.5%36%43%9%12%
Survey USA [78] June 29 – July 1, 2012558± 4.2%44%46%7%3%
Rasmussen Reports [62] June 25, 2012500± 4.5%35%49%4%12%
NBC News/Marist [79] June 24–25, 20121,019± 3.1%41%43%17%
Public Policy Polling [80] June 7–10, 2012810± 3.4%40%47%13%
Survey USA [81] May 18–21, 2012524± 4.4%39%44%7%10%
Civitas [82] May 19–20, 2012600± 4%38%48%12%
Rasmussen Reports [62] May 14, 2012500± 4.5%41%50%1%8%
Public Policy Polling [83] May 10–13, 2012666± 3.8%40%46%13%
Rasmussen Reports [62] April 10, 2012500± 4.5%36%45%5%14%
Public Policy Polling [84] March 8–11, 2012804± 3.5%35%46%19%
Civitas [85] February 27–28, 2012600± 4%29%49%22%
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%35%50%15%
Public Policy Polling [87] September 30 – October 3, 2011760± 3.6%32%46%23%
Public Policy Polling [88] March 17–20, 2011584± 4.1%27%47%26%
Hypothetical polling

Democratic primary polling with Perdue

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Faison
Bev
Perdue
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [89] December 1–4, 2011392± 5.0%23%55%23%
Public Policy Polling [87] September 30 – October 3, 2011353± 3.6%18%62%20%

Republican primary with Ellmers, Troxler

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Renee
Ellmers
Pat
McCrory
Steve
Troxler
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [49] September 1–4, 2011400± 4.9%10%61%29%
51%15%34%
10%52%19%19%

General election polling
With Blue

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dan
Blue (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%31%49%19%
Public Policy Polling [88] March 17–20, 2011584± 4.1%28%48%16%

With Blackmon

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bruce
Blackmon (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [84] March 8–11, 2012804± 3.5%33%48%18%

With Bowles

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Erskine
Bowles (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%42%44%14%
Public Policy Polling [87] September 30 – October 3, 2011760± 3.6%42%42%16%

With Cooper

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Roy
Cooper (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [87] September 30 – October 3, 2011760± 3.6%39%42%19%
Public Policy Polling [88] March 17–20, 2011584± 4.1%35%43%22%

With Foxx

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Anthony
Foxx (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%32%50%18%

With Etheridge

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Etheridge (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [84] March 8–11, 2012804± 3.5%36%46%18%
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%35%50%16%

With Faison

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Faison (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%31%50%19%
Public Policy Polling [90] January 5–8, 2012780± 3.5%27%47%26%
Public Policy Polling [89] December 1–4, 2011865± 3.3%26%47%26%
Public Policy Polling [87] September 30 – October 3, 2011760± 3.6%30%45%25%

With Henley

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Gardenia
Henley (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [84] March 8–11, 2012804± 3.5%29%49%22%

With Hagan

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kay
Hagan (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%41%48%11%

With Joines

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Allan
Joines (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%30%50%21%

With McIntyre

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
McIntyre (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%30%50%20%

With Meeker

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charles
Meeker (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%29%49%22%

With Miller

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brad
Miller (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%35%49%16%

With Moore

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Moore (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%36%47%17%

With Perdue

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bev
Perdue (D)
Renee
Ellmers (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [91] September 1–4, 2011520± 4.3%45%35%20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bev
Perdue (D)
Tom
Fetzer (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [92] November 19–21, 2010517± 4.3%40%42%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bev
Perdue (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [90] January 5–8, 2012780± 3.5%41%52%7%
Public Policy Polling [89] December 1–4, 2011865± 3.3%40%50%10%
Public Policy Polling [93] October 27–31, 2011615± 4.0%39%48%13%
Public Policy Polling [87] September 30 – October 3, 2011760± 3.6%42%47%10%
Public Policy Polling [91] September 1–4, 2011520± 4.3%41%45%14%
Public Policy Polling [94] August 4–7, 2011780± 3.5%39%47%14%
Civitas Institute [95] July 12–13, 2011600± 4.0%35%55%8%
Public Policy Polling [96] July 7–10, 2011651± 3.8%39%47%14%
Public Policy Polling [97] June 8–11, 2011563± 4.1%39%45%16%
Public Policy Polling [98] May 12–15, 2011835± 3.4%39%46%15%
Public Policy Polling [99] April 14–17, 2011507± 4.4%38%49%13%
Survey USA [100] April 14–15, 2011500± 4.5%39%51%5%4%
Public Policy Polling [88] March 17–20, 2011584± 4.1%36%50%14%
Public Policy Polling [101] February 16–21, 2011650± 3.8%37%49%15%
Public Policy Polling [102] January 20–23, 2011575± 4.1%40%47%14%
Civitas Institute [103] December 15–16, 2010600± 4.0%36%51%12%
Public Policy Polling [92] November 19–21, 2010517± 4.3%37%49%14%
Civitas Institute [104] June 15–18, 2010600± 4.0%37%46%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bev
Perdue (D)
Steve
Troxler (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [91] September 1–4, 2011520± 4.3%42%37%22%

With Shuler

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Heath
Shuler (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [86] January 27–29, 2012554± 4.2%31%48%21%

Results

Pat McCrory celebrating his election victory Pat McCrory election night.jpg
Pat McCrory celebrating his election victory
2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election [105]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Pat McCrory 2,440,707 54.62% +7.74%
Democratic Walter H. Dalton 1,931,58043.23%−7.04%
Libertarian Barbara Howe 94,6522.12%−0.73%
Write-in 1,3560.03%N/A
Total votes4,468,295 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

McCrory won ten of the state's 13 congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat. [106]

DistrictMcCroryDaltonRepresentative
1st 29.35%69.26% G. K. Butterfield
2nd 60.13%37.63% Renee Ellmers
3rd 59.34%38.22% Walter B. Jones Jr.
4th 31.29%65.74% David Price
5th 63.66%34.12% Virginia Foxx
6th 61.21%36.51% Howard Coble
7th 61.37%36.63% Mike McIntyre
8th 62.7%35.59% Larry Kissell
Richard Hudson
9th 67.81%30.47% Sue Myrick
Robert Pittenger
10th 61.68%36.3% Patrick McHenry
11th 63.14%34.18% Heath Shuler
Mark Meadows
12th 26.85%71.37% Mel Watt
13th 59.34%38.49% Brad Miller
George Holding

See also

References

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  2. News & Observer: 90-year-old physician files in Democratic primary
  3. Dalton makes it official: He will seek governor's office | newsobserver.com projects
  4. "State Board of Elections: candidate filing list". Archived from the original on March 11, 2013.
  5. "A Closer Look: Dunn making second run for Governor". wect.com.
  6. "Former Rep. Bob Etheridge to run for governor". WTVD-TV . February 2, 2012. Archived from the original on July 18, 2013. Retrieved September 1, 2019.
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  14. News & Observer: Charlotte mayor Anthony Foxx won't run for governor
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