2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina

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2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina
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  Richard Burr official portrait (cropped 2).jpg Deborah K Ross.jpg
Nominee Richard Burr Deborah Ross
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote2,395,3762,128,165
Percentage51.06%45.37%
2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina results map by county.svg
2016 US Senate Election in North Carolina by congressional district.svg
NC 2016 Senate.svg
Burr:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Ross:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%
U.S. senator before election

Richard Burr
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Richard Burr
Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held March 15. [1]

Contents

Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr won re-election to a third term in office against Democratic former state representative Deborah Ross and Libertarian Sean Haugh.

Republican primary

There had been speculation that Burr might retire, [2] but he said in September 2014 that he was "planning" on running [3] and reaffirmed this in January 2015. [4] If Burr had retired, the seat was expected to draw significant interest, with potential Republican candidates including U.S. representatives George Holding, Mark Meadows, and Robert Pittenger, Labor Commissioner Cherie Berry, Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest, Agriculture Commissioner Steve Troxler, State Senator Phil Berger, and former Ambassador to Denmark James P. Cain. [2] [3]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr		Greg
Brannon		Paul
Wright		Larry
Holmquist		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [13] March 11–13, 2016749±3.6%48%20%4%3%24%
High Point University [14] March 9–10, 2016734±2.5%56%20%5%3%17%
SurveyUSA [15] March 4–7, 2016688±3.8%45%17%7%4%27%
SurveyUSA [16] February 14–16, 2016437±2.8%45%14%6%6%30%
Public Policy Polling [17] February 14–16, 2016597±4.0%56%13%4%3%24%
High Point University [18] January 30 – February 4, 2016477±4.5%46%10%5%2%37%
Public Policy Polling [19] January 18–19, 2016433±3.2%55%10%6%5%24%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr		Mark
Meadows		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [20] July 2–6, 2015288± 5.8%62%9%28%

Results

Republican primary results [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Richard Burr (incumbent) 622,074 61.41%
Republican Greg Brannon 255,03025.17%
Republican Paul Wright85,9448.48%
Republican Larry Holmquist50,0104.94%
Total votes1,013,058 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Kevin
Griffin		Ernest
Reeves		Chris
Rey		Deborah
Ross		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [17] March 11–13, 2016746±3.6%4%8%8%40%41%
High Point University [14] March 9–10, 2016669±2.5%9%5%7%52%27%
SurveyUSA [15] March 4–7, 2016687±3.8%7%6%9%34%44%
SurveyUSA [16] February 14–16, 2016449±2.8%7%3%5%30%55%
Public Policy Polling [17] February 14–16, 2016575±4.1%10%2%10%22%55%
High Point University [18] January 30 – February 4, 2016478±4.5%6%4%5%19%66%
Public Policy Polling [19] January 18–19, 2016461±3.2%14%3%10%19%55%
Public Policy Polling [51] December 5–7, 2015555±2.8%15%-5%41%39%
Public Policy Polling [52] October 23–25, 2015421±4.8%16%-6%33%45%

Results

Democratic primary results [53]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Deborah Ross 614,414 62.32%
Democratic Chris Rey162,86916.52%
Democratic Kevin Griffin115,61811.73%
Democratic Ernest Reeves93,0059.43%
Total votes985,906 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Candidates

Debates

DatesLocationBurrRossLink
October 13, 2016 Chapel Hill, North Carolina ParticipantParticipant [55]

Endorsements

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [85] TossupNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [86] Lean RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [87] TossupNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos [88] TossupNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics [89] TossupNovember 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Deborah
Ross (D)		Sean
Haugh (L)		OtherUndecided
SurveyMonkey [90] November 1–7, 20163,126±4.6%43%47%6%–4%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [91] November 4–6, 2016800±3.5%46%45%––9%
Quinnipiac University [92] November 3–6, 2016870±3.3%47%47%–1%4%
SurveyMonkey [93] October 31 – November 6, 20162,865±4.6%44%47%6%–3%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing [94] November 1–4, 20161,250±2.8%47%48%––5%
SurveyMonkey [95] October 28 – November 3, 20162,292±4.6%44%47%6%–3%
SurveyMonkey [96] October 27 – November 2, 20161,886±4.6%44%47%6%–3%
Public Policy Polling [97] October 31 – November 1, 20161,169±2.9%48%45%––7%
Quinnipiac University [98] October 27 – November 1, 2016602±4.0%45%49%–1%5%
SurveyMonkey [99] October 26 – November 1, 20161,617±4.6%43%47%6%–4%
SurveyUSA [100] October 28–31, 2016659±3.9%49%43%2%–6%
SurveyMonkey [101] October 25–31, 20161,574±4.6%43%47%7%–3%
CBS News/YouGov [102] October 26–28, 2016992±4.1%44%44%–1%10%
Emerson College [103] October 26–27, 2016650±3.8%48%44%–3%6%
Elon University Poll [104] October 23–27, 2016710±3.7%44%40%3%–11%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing [105] October 25–26, 20161,273±2.8%45%48%––7%
NBC/WSJ/Marist [106] October 25–26, 2016780 LV±3.5%48%48%–2%3%
1,018 RV±3.1%48%46%–2%4%
Quinnipiac University [107] October 20–26, 2016702±3.7%48%47%––5%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [108] October 20–23, 2016792±3.5%46%47%––7%
Monmouth University [109] October 20–23, 2016402±4.9%49%43%2%–5%
Public Policy Polling [110] October 21–22, 2016875±3.3%42%41%6%–11%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid [111] October 17–18, 2016924±3.0%46%44%––10%
SurveyUSA [112] October 14–18, 2016651±3.9%45%43%6%–6%
Civitas Institute (R) [113] October 14–17, 2016600±4.0%44%37%4%–11%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey [114] October 8–16, 20161,191±0.5%42%48%–7%3%
CNN/ORC [115] October 10–15, 2016788 LV±3.5%48%47%––2%
929 RV±3.0%46%49%–1%2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist [116] October 10–12, 2016743 LV±3.6%46%46%–2%6%
1,025 RV±3.1%45%46%–2%7%
Emerson College [117] October 10–12, 2016600±3.9%45%43%–3%8%
Suffolk University [118] October 10–12, 2016500±4.4%40%36%6%–16%
NCSU Pack Poll [119] October 3–6, 2016895±3.0%39%49%12%–0%
High Point University [120] October 1–6, 2016479±4.5%47%42%6%–4%
SurveyUSA [121] September 29 – October 3, 2016656±3.9%46%44%3%–7%
Bloomberg/Selzer [122] September 29 – October 3, 2016805±3.5%44%46%––11%
Quinnipiac University [123] September 27 – October 2, 2016507±4.4%46%46%––7%
Elon University Poll [124] September 27–30, 2016660±3.8%43%44%4%–8%
Public Policy Polling [125] September 27–28, 2016861±3.3%41%39%6%–14%
46%42%––12%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing [126] September 23, 2016694±3.7%39%48%––13%
Meredith College [127] September 18–22, 2016487±4.4%35%38%1%7%19%
High Point University [128] September 17–22, 2016404±4.9%45%43%4%–6%
FOX News [129] September 18–20, 2016734 LV±3.5%43%37%6%–12%
800 RV42%36%7%–13%
Public Policy Polling [130] September 18–20, 20161,024±3.1%41%41%4%–15%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College [131] September 16–19, 2016782±3.6%42%46%––11%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps [132] September 10–19, 2016400±4.0%46%30%–3%21%
Elon University Poll [133] September 12–16, 2016644±3.9%43%44%4%–9%
Civitas Institute (R) [134] September 11–12, 2016600±4.0%44%39%2%–15%
Suffolk University [135] September 5–7, 2016500±4.4%41%37%4%–16%
Quinnipiac University [136] August 29 – September 7, 2016751±3.6%49%43%––8%
CBS News/YouGov [137] August 30 – September 2, 20161,088±4.0%40%41%–2%17%
Emerson College [138] August 27–29, 2016800±3.4%45%41%–5%14%
Public Policy Polling [139] August 26–27, 20161,177±3.0%46%43%––12%
Monmouth University [140] August 20–23, 2016401±4.9%45%43%4%–8%
CNN/ORC [141] August 18–23, 2016803±3.5%50%45%––5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist [142] August 4–10, 2016921±3.2%44%46%–1%9%
Public Policy Polling [143] August 5–7, 2016830±3.4%41%37%5%–17%
NBC/WSJ/Marist [144] July 5–11, 2016907±3.3%48%41%–1%10%
Public Policy Polling [145] June 20–21, 2016947±3.2%40%37%5%–18%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps [146] June 11–20, 2016300±5.7%36%38%––26%
Public Policy Polling [147] May 20–22, 2016928±3.2%39%36%8%–18%
Civitas Institute (R) [148] April 23–25, 2016600±4.0%39%38%7%–16%
Public Policy Polling [149] April 22–24, 2016960±3.2%40%36%7%–17%
Elon University Poll [150] April 10–15, 2016621±3.9%37%33%––30%
Public Policy Polling [151] March 18–20, 2016843±3.4%40%35%7%–18%
High Point University [14] March 9–10, 20161,576±2.5%48%41%––11%
SurveyUSA [16] February 14–16, 20161,250±2.8%45%37%––18%
Public Policy Polling [17] February 14–16, 20161,291±2.7%43%37%––20%
Public Policy Polling [19] January 18–19, 2016948±3.2%43%33%––23%
Public Policy Polling [51] December 5–7, 20151,214±2.8%46%35%––19%
Public Policy Polling [52] October 23–25, 2015893±3.3%43%39%––18%
Public Policy Polling [152] September 24–27, 20151,268±2.8%45%34%––21%
Public Policy Polling [153] August 12–16, 2015957±3.2%43%36%––21%
Hypothetical polling

With Burr

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Kevin
Griffin (D)		Undecided
SurveyUSA [16] February 14–16, 20161,250±2.8%45%35%20%
Public Policy Polling [17] February 14–16, 20161,291±2.7%43%36%21%
Public Policy Polling [19] January 18–19, 2016948±3.2%42%35%24%
Public Policy Polling [51] December 5–7, 20151,214± 2.8%46%35%19%
Public Policy Polling [52] October 23–25, 2015893± 3.3%44%35%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Chris
Rey (D)		Undecided
SurveyUSA [16] February 14–16, 20161,250±2.8%46%34%20%
Public Policy Polling [17] February 14–16, 20161,291±2.7%43%36%21%
Public Policy Polling [19] January 18–19, 2016948±3.2%44%32%24%
Public Policy Polling [51] December 5–7, 20151,214± 2.8%47%33%21%
Public Policy Polling [52] October 23–25, 2015893± 3.3%45%34%21%
Public Policy Polling [152] September 24–27, 20151,268± 2.8%46%34%20%
Public Policy Polling [153] August 12–16, 2015957± 3.2%44%37%20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Dan
Blue (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [20] July 2–6, 2015529± 4.1%45%35%19%
Public Policy Polling [154] May 28–31, 2015561± 4.1%48%34%18%
Public Policy Polling [155] April 2–5, 2015751± 3.6%47%36%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Roy
Cooper (D)		Undecided
Meeting Street Research [156] January 21–22, 2015500± 4.38%44%41%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Janet
Cowell (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [155] April 2–5, 2015751± 3.6%46%35%19%
Public Policy Polling [157] February 24–26, 2015849± 3.4%44%38%18%
Public Policy Polling [158] January 29–31, 2015845± 3.4%45%38%18%
Public Policy Polling [159] December 4–7, 2014823± 3.4%44%38%17%
Public Policy Polling [160] August 14–17, 2014856± 3.4%44%37%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Anthony
Foxx (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [157] February 24–26, 2015849± 3.4%45%36%20%
Public Policy Polling [158] January 29–31, 2015845± 3.4%47%36%17%
Public Policy Polling [159] December 4–7, 2014823± 3.4%44%38%18%
Public Policy Polling [160] August 14–17, 2014856± 3.4%45%35%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Kay
Hagan (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [154] May 28–31, 2015561± 4.1%49%40%—11%
Elon University Poll [161] April 20–24, 2015677± 3.77%44%43%4%8%
Public Policy Polling [155] April 2–5, 2015751± 3.6%50%38%—12%
Public Policy Polling [157] February 24–26, 2015849± 3.4%50%43%—7%
Meeting Street Research [162] January 21–22, 2015500± 4.38%49%45%—6%
Public Policy Polling [158] January 29–31, 2015845± 3.4%48%42%—10%
Public Policy Polling [159] December 4–7, 2014823± 3.4%46%43%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Duane
Hall (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [152] September 24–27, 20151,268± 2.8%45%35%19%
Public Policy Polling [153] Aug 12–16, 2015957± 3.2%44%36%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Jeff
Jackson (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [154] May 28–31, 2015561± 4.1%48%30%22%
Public Policy Polling [155] April 2–5, 2015751± 3.6%46%30%24%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Allen
Joines (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [157] February 24–26, 2015849± 3.4%45%33%23%
Public Policy Polling [160] August 14–17, 2014856± 3.4%45%32%23%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Grier
Martin (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [20] July 2–6, 2015529± 4.1%47%33%20%
Public Policy Polling [154] May 28–31, 2015561± 4.1%46%31%23%
Public Policy Polling [155] April 2–5, 2015751± 3.6%46%32%23%
Public Policy Polling [160] August 14–17, 2014856± 3.4%45%33%22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Mike
McIntyre (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [20] July 2–6, 2015529± 4.1%44%35%21%
Public Policy Polling [154] May 28–31, 2015561± 4.1%43%34%22%
Public Policy Polling [158] January 29–31, 2015845± 3.4%44%37%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Brad
Miller (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [20] July 2–6, 2015529± 4.1%46%36%18%
Public Policy Polling [155] April 2–5, 2015751± 3.6%45%34%20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Tom
Ross (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [158] January 29–31, 2015845± 3.4%44%35%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Heath
Shuler (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [152] September 24–27, 20151,268± 2.8%42%37%20%
Public Policy Polling [153] Aug 12–16, 2015957± 3.2%42%35%22%
Public Policy Polling [20] July 2–6, 2015529± 4.1%44%36%20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Richard
Burr (R)		Beth
Wood (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [20] July 2–6, 2015529± 4.1%45%34%21%

With Berger

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Phil
Berger (R)		Janet
Cowell (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [159] December 4–7, 2014823± 3.4%41%38%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Phil
Berger (R)		Anthony
Foxx (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [159] December 4–7, 2014823± 3.4%40%37%24%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Phil
Berger (R)		Kay
Hagan (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [159] December 4–7, 2014823± 3.4%45%43%13%

Results

2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina [163]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Richard Burr (incumbent) 2,395,376 51.06% −3.75%
Democratic Deborah Ross 2,128,16545.37%+2.32%
Libertarian Sean Haugh 167,5923.57%+1.48%
Total votes4,691,133 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

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The 2016 United States Senate election in Iowa was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States Senate election in Missouri</span>

The 2016 United States Senate election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Missouri. It was held concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 2.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States Senate election in New York</span>

The 2016 United States Senate election in New York was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 28. As of 2023, this is the last time any U.S. Senate candidate in New York won a general election by more than 35 percentage points.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate election in Nevada</span>

The 2018 United States Senate election in Nevada took place November 6, 2018, to elect one of two U.S. senators from Nevada. Incumbent Republican senator Dean Heller lost re-election to a second full term, being defeated by Democratic nominee Jacky Rosen.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 United States presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. North Carolina was one of just five states holding presidential, gubernatorial, and senatorial elections concurrently in 2020. On March 3, 2020, Republican incumbent Thom Tillis and Democratic former state senator Cal Cunningham won their respective primaries.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 13 U.S. representatives from the state of North Carolina, one from each of the state's 13 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina. Primary elections were scheduled for March 8, 2022, but were delayed by the North Carolina Supreme Court and rescheduled for May 17.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election</span>

The 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various other state and local elections. Democratic state attorney general Josh Stein and Republican lieutenant governor Mark Robinson are seeking their first term in office. The winner will succeed incumbent Democratic governor Roy Cooper, who is term limited. This is the only Democratic-held governorship up for election in 2024 in a state Donald Trump won in 2020. Primary elections took place on March 5, 2024.

References

  1. ↑ WRAL: North Carolina primaries officially on March 15 with signing Archived October 2, 2015, at the Wayback Machine
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 Cahn, Emily (December 11, 2013). "Opportunities Now and Later in North Carolina". Roll Call. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  3. 1 2 3 4 "Rumors Aside, Burr Says He'll Run Again". National Journal. September 15, 2014. Archived from the original on September 19, 2014. Retrieved September 22, 2014.
  4. ↑ "Sen. Burr confirms he will run in 2016". WNCN. January 6, 2015. Archived from the original on January 8, 2015. Retrieved January 8, 2015.
  5. ↑ Brannon, Greg (December 21, 2015). "WATCH as I officially file as a Republican candidate for the United States Senate!". Facebook. Retrieved December 21, 2015.
  6. ↑ Campbell, Colin (December 21, 2015). "Republican Greg Brannon challenges Richard Burr in second Senate bid". The News & Observer . Retrieved December 21, 2015.
  7. ↑ Johnson, Paul B. (September 23, 2015). "Triad Republican to challenge Burr in Senate primary". High Point Enterprise . Retrieved October 13, 2015.[ permanent dead link ]
  8. ↑ Krueger, Sarah (September 24, 2015). "Larry Holmquist enters Senate race, challenging Richard Burr". WGHP . Retrieved October 13, 2015.
  9. ↑ "Former judge Wright running for Burr's Senate seat". Asheville Citizen-Times . September 11, 2015. Retrieved September 12, 2015.
  10. ↑ Clifton, Brant (June 27, 2015). "#NCSEN: Draft Mark Meadows for, um, SENATE ????". The Daily Haymaker. Retrieved June 28, 2015.
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