2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election

2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut

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Turnout	76.94%
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Home state New York New York Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence Electoral vote 7 0 Popular vote 897,572 673,215 Percentage 54.57% 40.93%
County results Municipality results Congressional district results Precinct results Clinton   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%
President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Connecticut voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College. ^[1]

Clinton won the state by 13.64%, a smaller margin of victory than outgoing President Barack Obama's 17.33% in 2012. ^[2] Clinton carried six of the state's eight counties; however, Trump was the first Republican presidential candidate who won Windham County since George H. W. Bush in 1988.

Trump's strongest county in the state was rural Litchfield County, while Clinton's biggest win was in adjacent, more urban Hartford County. ^[3] Areas that swung in Clinton's favor were mainly concentrated in suburban Fairfield County, in towns like Greenwich, Darien, New Canaan, and Westport. ^{[4] [3]} This area is home to many New York City commuters. Other Democratic swings happened in suburbs outside Hartford, such as Avon, Granby, East Granby, and Glastonbury, as well as outside New Haven, in towns like Guilford, Madison, and Woodbridge. ^{[4] [3]} This was the first time since 1888 that Darien and the first time since 1912 that Easton voted Democratic, largely due to opposition to the populist Trump among historically Republican affluent and educated voters. By contrast, areas that swung hard for Trump were mainly located in Windham County and northern New London County, in towns like Killingly, Sterling, Plainfield, and Voluntown. ^[5] This mirrored a national trend of Trump gaining White working-class support.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2016 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary

Three candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot: ^[6]

• Bernie Sanders
• Hillary Clinton
• Rocky De La Fuente

Opinion polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries § Connecticut

Results

See also: Results of the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries

e  •  d   2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Connecticut
– Summary of results –

Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	170,045	51.80%	28	15	43
Bernie Sanders	152,379	46.42%	27	0	27
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente	960	0.29%	0	0	0
Uncommitted	4,871	1.48%	0	1	1
Total	328,255	100%	55	16	71
Source: [7] [8]

Republican primary

Republican primary results by county(left) and municipality(right).

  Donald Trump

•   40–50%
•   50–60%
•   60–70%
•   70–80%

  John Kasich

•   40–50%

Four candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot: ^[6]

• Ben Carson (withdrawn)
• Ted Cruz
• John Kasich
• Donald Trump

Opinion polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries § Connecticut

Results

See also: Results of the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

Connecticut Republican primary, April 26, 2016

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	123,523	57.86%	28	0	28
John Kasich	60,522	28.35%	0	0	0
Ted Cruz	24,987	11.70%	0	0	0
Uncommitted	2,728	1.28%	0	0	0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)	1,733	0.81%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	213,493	100.00%	28	0	28
Source: The Green Papers

General election

Polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Connecticut

Clinton won every pre-election poll conducted. An average of the final 3 polls showed Clinton leading 49% to 38%, and the final poll showed Clinton leading Trump 50% to 35%. ^[9]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times [10]	Safe D	November 6, 2016
CNN [11]	Safe D	November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report [12]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com [13]	Safe D	November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [14]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics [16]	Lean D	November 8, 2016
Fox News [17]	Safe D	November 7, 2016

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	897,572	54.57%
	Republican	Donald Trump	673,215	40.93%
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	48,676	2.96%
	Green	Jill Stein	22,841	1.39%
	Independent	Evan McMullin (write-in)	2,108	0.13%
	Write-in		361	0.02%
	Constitution	Darrell Castle (write-in)	147	0.01%
Total votes			1,644,920	100.00%

By county

County	Hillary Clinton Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Gary Johnson Libertarian		Jill Stein Green		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Fairfield	243,852	57.89%	160,077	38.00%	11,691	2.78%	4,866	1.16%	723	0.18%	83,775	19.89%	421,209
Hartford	240,403	59.09%	148,173	36.42%	11,997	2.95%	5,680	1.40%	611	0.15%	92,230	22.67%	406,864
Litchfield	39,775	40.82%	53,051	54.44%	3,004	3.08%	1,441	1.48%	171	0.17%	-13,276	-13.62%	97,442
Middlesex	45,357	51.18%	38,867	43.86%	2,760	3.11%	1,497	1.69%	143	0.16%	6,490	7.32%	88,624
New Haven	205,609	54.25%	159,048	41.96%	9,119	2.41%	4,757	1.26%	473	0.13%	46,561	12.29%	379,006
New London	62,278	50.42%	54,058	43.76%	4,744	3.84%	2,220	1.80%	228	0.19%	8,220	6.66%	123,528
Tolland	38,506	49.73%	34,194	44.16%	3,181	4.11%	1,370	1.77%	173	0.23%	4,312	5.57%	77,424
Windham	21,792	42.88%	25,747	50.66%	2,180	4.29%	1,010	1.99%	94	0.18%	-3,955	-7.78%	50,823
Total	897,572	54.57%	673,215	40.93%	48,676	2.96%	22,841	1.39%	2,616	0.16%	224,357	13.64%	1,644,920

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +12.5-15%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +>15%

Trend relative to the state by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +12.5-15%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%
•   Republican — +>15%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold

  Republican   Hold   Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Windham (largest town: Windham) ^[18]

By congressional district

Clinton won all 5 congressional districts. ^[19]

District	Clinton	Trump	Representative
1st	59.4%	36.32%	John B. Larson
2nd	48.66%	45.77%	Joe Courtney
3rd	55.88%	40.38%	Rosa DeLauro
4th	59.57%	36.56%	Jim Himes
5th	49.93%	45.83%	Elizabeth Esty

Turnout

According to Connecticut's Secretary of State Elections Night Reporting website, voter turnout was 76.94% with 1,675,934 voters checked reported out of 2,178,169 Registered Voters Reported. ^[20]

See also

• United States presidential elections in Connecticut
• First presidency of Donald Trump
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

References

1. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . September 19, 2019. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
2. "Connecticut Election Results 2016 – The New York Times" . Retrieved November 10, 2016.
3. "Statement of Vote. General election" (PDF). Retrieved March 11, 2023.
4. "Statement of Vote. General election. November 6, 2012" (PDF). Retrieved March 11, 2023.
5. Statement of Vote
6. "Secretary Merrill Selects Presidential Primary Ballot Order" (PDF). Secretary of the State of Connecticut. March 22, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 6, 2016. Retrieved May 21, 2016.
7. The Green Papers
8. Connecticut Secretary of State - Official Primary Results
9. "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Connecticut: Trump vs. Clinton".
10. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times . November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
11. Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN . Retrieved March 3, 2019.
12. "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report . November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 1, 2019. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
13. "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com . November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
14. "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
15. Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics . Retrieved March 3, 2019.
16. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
17. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
18. Bump, Philip. "The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election". Washington Post. ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved September 1, 2020.
19. "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
20. Connecticut Secretary of State Elections Last edited 2020-07-9 Retrieved 2020-07-09 Archived 2020-11-08 at the Wayback Machine

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived 2016-11-08 at the Wayback Machine
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions