2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut

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2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut
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Turnout76.94% Increase2.svg
  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Portrait of President-elect Donald Trump (cropped).jpg
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state New York New York
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence
Electoral vote70
Popular vote897,572673,215
Percentage54.57%40.93%
Connecticut Presidential Election Results 2016 v2.svg
Connecticut Presidential Election Results 2016 by Municipality.svg
2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut results by congressional district.svg
CT President 2016.svg
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county. United States presidential election in Connecticut, 2016.svg
Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Connecticut voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College. [1]

Contents

Clinton won the state by 13.64%, a smaller margin of victory than outgoing President Barack Obama's 17.33% in 2012. [2] Clinton carried six of the state's eight counties; however, Trump was the first Republican presidential candidate to win Windham County since George H. W. Bush in 1988. This is the first election since 1940 in which Connecticut did not vote the same as Michigan, something that would be seen again in 2024.

Trump's strongest county in the state was rural Litchfield County, while Clinton's biggest win was in adjacent, more urban Hartford County. [3] Areas that swung in Clinton's favor were mainly concentrated in suburban Fairfield County, in towns like Greenwich, Darien, New Canaan, and Westport. [4] [3] This area is home to many New York City commuters. Other Democratic swings happened in suburbs outside Hartford, such as Avon, Granby, East Granby, and Glastonbury, as well as outside New Haven, in towns like Guilford, Madison, and Woodbridge. [4] [3] This was the first time since 1888 that Darien and the first time since 1912 that Easton voted Democratic, largely due to opposition to the populist Trump among historically Republican affluent and educated voters. By contrast, areas that swung hard for Trump were mainly located in Windham County and northern New London County, in towns like Killingly, Sterling, Plainfield, and Voluntown. [5] This mirrored a national trend of Trump gaining White working-class support.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Three candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot: [6]

Opinion polling

Results

e  •  d   2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Connecticut
– Summary of results –
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton 170,04551.80%281543
Bernie Sanders 152,37946.42%27027
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente 9600.29%000
Uncommitted4,8711.48%011
Total328,255100%551671
Source: [7] [8]

Republican primary

2016 CT GOP presidential primary.svg
2016 CT GOP presidential primary by town.svg
Republican primary results by county(left) and municipality(right).
  Donald Trump
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  John Kasich
  •   40–50%

Four candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot: [6]

Opinion polling

Results

Connecticut Republican primary, April 26, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 123,52357.86%28028
John Kasich 60,52228.35%000
Ted Cruz 24,98711.70%000
Uncommitted2,7281.28%000
Ben Carson (withdrawn)1,7330.81%000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:213,493100.00%28028
Source: The Green Papers

General election

Polling

Clinton won every pre-election poll conducted. An average of the final 3 polls showed Clinton leading 49% to 38%, and the final poll showed Clinton leading Trump 50% to 35%. [9]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times [10] Safe DNovember 6, 2016
CNN [11] Safe DNovember 4, 2016
Cook Political Report [12] Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com [13] Safe DNovember 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [14] Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [15] Safe DNovember 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics [16] Lean DNovember 8, 2016
Fox News [17] Safe DNovember 7, 2016

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Connecticut
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Hillary Clinton 897,572 54.57%
Republican Donald Trump 673,21540.93%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 48,6762.96%
Green Jill Stein 22,8411.39%
Independent Evan McMullin (write-in)2,1080.13%
Write-in 3610.02%
Constitution Darrell Castle (write-in)1470.01%
Total votes1,644,920 100.00%

By county

CountyHillary Clinton
Democratic		Donald Trump
Republican		Gary Johnson
Libertarian		Jill Stein
Green		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %# %# %
Fairfield 243,85257.89%160,07738.00%11,6912.78%4,8661.16%7230.18%83,77519.89%421,209
Hartford 240,40359.09%148,17336.42%11,9972.95%5,6801.40%6110.15%92,23022.67%406,864
Litchfield 39,77540.82%53,05154.44%3,0043.08%1,4411.48%1710.17%-13,276-13.62%97,442
Middlesex 45,35751.18%38,86743.86%2,7603.11%1,4971.69%1430.16%6,4907.32%88,624
New Haven 205,60954.25%159,04841.96%9,1192.41%4,7571.26%4730.13%46,56112.29%379,006
New London 62,27850.42%54,05843.76%4,7443.84%2,2201.80%2280.19%8,2206.66%123,528
Tolland 38,50649.73%34,19444.16%3,1814.11%1,3701.77%1730.23%4,3125.57%77,424
Windham 21,79242.88%25,74750.66%2,1804.29%1,0101.99%940.18%-3,955-7.78%50,823
Total897,57254.57%673,21540.93%48,6762.96%22,8411.39%2,6160.16%224,35713.64%1,644,920
Connecticut County Swing 2016.svg
Connecticut County Trend 2016.svg
Connecticut County Flips 2016.svg

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Clinton won all five congressional districts. [19]

DistrictClintonTrumpRepresentative
1st 59%36% John B. Larson
2nd 49%46% Joe Courtney
3rd 56%40% Rosa DeLauro
4th 60%37% Jim Himes
5th 50%46% Elizabeth Esty

Turnout

According to Connecticut's Secretary of State Elections Night Reporting website, voter turnout was 76.94% with 1,675,934 voters checked reported out of 2,178,169 Registered Voters Reported. [20]

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . September 19, 2019. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  2. ↑ "Connecticut Election Results 2016 – The New York Times" . Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  3. 1 2 3 "Statement of Vote. General election" (PDF). Retrieved March 11, 2023.
  4. 1 2 "Statement of Vote. General election. November 6, 2012" (PDF). Retrieved March 11, 2023.
  5. ↑ Statement of Vote
  6. 1 2 "Secretary Merrill Selects Presidential Primary Ballot Order" (PDF). Secretary of the State of Connecticut. March 22, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 6, 2016. Retrieved May 21, 2016.
  7. ↑ The Green Papers
  8. ↑ Connecticut Secretary of State - Official Primary Results
  9. ↑ "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Connecticut: Trump vs. Clinton".
  10. ↑ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times . November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  11. ↑ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN . Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  12. ↑ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report . November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 1, 2019. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  13. ↑ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com . November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  14. ↑ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  15. ↑ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics . Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  16. ↑ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  17. ↑ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  18. ↑ Bump, Philip. "The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election". Washington Post. ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved September 1, 2020.
  19. ↑ "Statement of Vote" (PDF). Secretary of the State of Connecticut . Archived (PDF) from the original on March 9, 2025. Retrieved May 19, 2025.
  20. ↑ Connecticut Secretary of State Elections Last edited 2020-07-9 Retrieved 2020-07-09 Archived 2020-11-08 at the Wayback Machine
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