2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election

←  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  →
Turnout	57.62% [1] ( 7.61%)
Nominee Ned Lamont Bob Stefanowski Party Democratic Republican Alliance Working Families Griebel-Frank for CT Party Running mate Susan Bysiewicz Laura Devlin Popular vote 710,186 546,209 Percentage 55.97% 43.05%
County results Municipality results Congressional district results Lamont:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90% Stefanowski:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Governor before election Ned Lamont Democratic Elected Governor Ned Lamont Democratic

The 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Connecticut. Incumbent Democratic governor Ned Lamont ran for re-election to a second term in office. ^[2] The race simultaneously took place with the election to the state's Class III Senate seat. This election featured a rematch of the previous 2018 gubernatorial election, pitting Lamont against Republican Bob Stefanowski, whom he previously defeated by 3.2% of the vote. ^[3] This time Lamont won re-election by a wider margin, becoming the first Democrat to win a gubernatorial election by more than 5 points in the state since 1986.

This was the first time that Tolland County voted Democratic in a gubernatorial election since 1994, Darien since 1912, Wilton since 1884, and New Canaan since 1882.

Democratic convention

Governor

Candidates

Nominee

• Ned Lamont, incumbent governor ^[2]

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee

• Susan Bysiewicz, incumbent lieutenant governor ^[2]

Republican convention

Governor

Candidates

Nominee

• Bob Stefanowski, financial executive and nominee for governor in 2018 ^{[4] [5]}

Eliminated at convention

• Susan Patricelli Regan ^{[6] [7]}

Declined

• Themis Klarides, former Minority Leader of the Connecticut House of Representatives (running for U.S. Senate) ^[8]
• Jayme Stevenson, Darien First Selectman and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2018 ^[9] (running for U.S. House)
• Erin Stewart, Mayor of New Britain and candidate for governor and lieutenant governor in 2018 ^[10]

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee

• Laura Devlin, state representative ^{[ citation needed ]}

Third-party candidates and independent candidates

Libertarian Party

• Aaron Lewis, founder of The Scribe's Institute
  • Running mate: Kevin Skulczyck

Green Party

• Michelle Louise Bicking, clinical social worker ^[11]
  • Running mate: Cassandra Martineau, social justice activist ^[11]

Independent Party of Connecticut

In 2022, the Independent Party nominated its own candidate for governor for the first time ever. In every previous gubernatorial election since its creation, the party had always cross-endorsed the Republican nominee. ^[12]

• Rob Hotaling, technology and business leader ^[13]
  • Running mate: Dr. Stewart “Chip” Beckett, veterinarian, former chairman Capitol Region Council of Governments, Chairman Glastonbury Town Council

Working Families Party

The Working Families Party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an additional ballot line. ^[14] Official designee

• Ned Lamont, incumbent governor
  • Running mate: Susan Bysiewicz, incumbent lieutenant governor

Griebel-Frank for CT Party

The Griebel-Frank for CT Party, which secured 54,741 votes in the 2018 election and is now affiliated with the Forward Party, gained a ballot line for 2022. In September 2022, the party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an unprecedented three ballot lines for the election. ^[15] Official designee

• Ned Lamont, incumbent governor
  • Running mate: Susan Bysiewicz, incumbent lieutenant governor

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [16]	Solid D	October 28, 2022
Inside Elections [17]	Solid D	March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [18]	Likely D	January 26, 2022
Politico [19]	Lean D	August 12, 2022
RCP [20]	Lean D	January 10, 2022
Fox News [21]	Likely D	May 12, 2022
538 [22]	Solid D	September 20, 2022
Elections Daily [23]	Safe D	November 7, 2022

Endorsements

Ned Lamont (D)

State officials

• Mark Boughton, Commissioner of the Connecticut Department of Revenue Services (2021–present) and former mayor of Danbury (2002–2020) (Republican) ^[24]
• Mae Flexer, state senator for the 29th district (2015–present) ^[25]
• Susan Johnson, state senator for the 49th district (2009–present) ^[25]

Local officials

• Luke Bronin, Mayor of Hartford, Connecticut (2018–present) ^[26]

Political parties

• Democratic Party of Connecticut
• Griebel-Frank for CT Party (affiliated with the Forward Party) ^[27]
• Working Families Party ^[28]

Labor unions

• Connecticut AFL–CIO ^[29]
• National Education Association ^[30]

Bob Stefanowski (R)

State officials

• Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey (2010–2018) ^[26]
• Pete Ricketts, Governor of Nebraska (2015–2023) ^[31]
• Chris Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire (2017–present) ^[32]
• Glenn Youngkin, Governor of Virginia (2022–present) ^[33]

Organizations

• Connecticut Chapter of the Fraternal Order of Police ^[34]

Political parties

• Connecticut Republican Party

Newspapers

• Republican-American ^[35]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of January 10, 2023
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Ned Lamont (D)	$25,518,245	$26,087,401	$355,916
Bob Stefanowski (R)	$12,902,700	$14,498,162	$17,840
Source: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission [36]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Ned Lamont (D)	Bob Stefanowski (R)	Other [a]	Margin
Real Clear Politics [37]	September 7–21, 2022	September 28, 2022	53.7%	39.3%	7.0%	Lamont +14.4
FiveThirtyEight [38]	May 11 – November 8, 2022	November 8, 2022	52.9%	38.5%	8.6%	Lamont +14.4
270ToWin [39]	October 16–25, 2022	November 8, 2022	51.5%	39.0%	9.5%	Lamont +12.5
Average			52.7%	38.9%	8.4%	Lamont +13.8

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Ned Lamont (D)	Bob Stefanowski (R)	Other	Undecided
Long Island University [40]	October 24–26, 2022	1,004 (A)	± 3.0%	55%	24%	8% [c]	13%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [41] [A]	October 23–24, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.5%	49%	43%	4% [d]	4%
				50%	46%	–	4%
Quinnipiac University [42]	October 19–23, 2022	1,879 (LV)	± 2.3%	56%	41%	2% [e]	1%
Emerson College [43]	October 19–21, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	41%	2% [f]	5%
				53%	43%	4% [g]	–
SurveyUSA [44]	October 15–18, 2022	718 (LV)	–	52%	34%	4% [h]	10%
Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R) [45] [B]	October 10–13, 2022	1,200 (LV)	± 2.8%	46%	40%	5% [i]	10%
				50%	43%	–	7%
Western New England University [46]	September 15–21, 2022	766 (RV)	± 3.2%	51%	38%	2% [j]	8%
		626 (LV)	± 4.8%	55%	40%	2% [k]	3%
Quinnipiac University [42]	September 15–19, 2022	1,911 (LV)	± 2.2%	57%	40%	1% [l]	2%
Emerson College [47]	September 7–9, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	38%	4%	9%
Quinnipiac University [48]	May 19–23, 2022	1,660 (RV)	± 2.4%	51%	43%	<1% [m]	6%
Emerson College [49]	May 10–11, 2022	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	38%	–	12%
Sacred Heart University [50]	March 24 – April 11, 2022	1,000 (A)	± 3.0%	48%	30%	0%	22%
Public Policy Polling (D) [51] [C]	October 21–22, 2021	729 (LV)	± 3.6%	52%	36%	–	12%

Hypothetical polling

Ned Lamont vs. Themis Klarides

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Ned Lamont (D)	Themis Klarides (R)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [51] [C]	October 21–22, 2021	729 (LV)	± 3.6%	52%	32%	16%

Ned Lamont vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Ned Lamont (D)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [51] [C]	October 21–22, 2021	729 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	41%	9%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [b]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
Fabrizo Lee (R) [52] [B]	October 10–13, 2022	1,200 (LV)	–	46%	42%	1% [n]	11%

Results

2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election ^{[53] [54]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Ned Lamont	691,146	54.47%	+6.37%
	Working Families	Ned Lamont	16,175	1.27%	+0.00%
	Griebel-Frank for CT Party	Ned Lamont	2,865	0.23%	−3.66%
	Total	Ned Lamont (incumbent)	710,186	55.97%	+6.60%
	Republican	Bob Stefanowski	546,209	43.05%	−3.16%
	Independent Party	Robert Hotaling	12,400	0.98%	−0.82%
	Green	Michelle Louise Bicking (write-in)	98	0.00%	N/A
Total votes			1,268,893	100.0%
Turnout			1,292,847	57.57%
Registered electors			2,245,844
	Democratic hold

By county

Lamont won six out of all eight counties, while Stefanowski only won two. ^[55]

County	Ned Lamont Democratic		Bob Stefanowski Republican		Other parties Independent		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%
Fairfield	185,900	58.8%	128,434	40.6%	2,056	0.6%	316,390
Hartford	185,124	59.6%	121,948	39.3%	3,313	1.1%	310,385
Litchfield	36,591	44.8%	44,282	54.2%	858	1.0%	81,731
Middlesex	41,052	54.9%	32,940	44.0%	830	1.1%	74,822
New Haven	157,023	54.9%	126,124	44.1%	2,723	1.0%	285,870
New London	55,174	54.9%	43,902	43.7%	1,353	1.3%	100,429
Tolland	31,348	52.4%	27,748	46.4%	753	1.3%	59,849
Windham	18,264	46.3%	20,688	52.5%	474	1.2%	39,426
Totals	710,476	55.97%	546,066	43.05%	12,360	0.98%	1,268,902

Margin swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +2.5−5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +10−12.5%
•   Democratic — +12.5−15%

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Middlesex (largest town: Middletown)
• Tolland (largest town: Vernon)

By congressional district

Lamont won all five congressional districts. ^[56]

District	Ned Lamont Democratic		Bob Stefanowski Republican		Other parties Independent		Total votes cast	Representative
	#	%	#	%	#	%
1st	103,281	60.83%	64,555	38.02%	1,960	1.15%	169,796	John B. Larson
2nd	104,030	53.02%	89,650	45.69%	2,517	1.29%	196,197	Joe Courtney
3rd	108,548	56.42%	82,101	42.66%	1,772	0.92%	192,421	Rosa DeLauro
4th	96,180	60.29%	62,389	39.10%	979	0.61%	159,548	Jim Himes
5th	78,655	50.17%	76,554	48.84%	1,550	0.99%	156,759	Jahana Hayes
Totals	710,186	55.97%	546,209	43.05%	12,498	0.98%	1,268,893

See also

• 2022 United States gubernatorial elections

Notes

1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
2. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
3. "Not planning to vote" with 5%; "Another candidate" with 3%
4. Hotaling (I) with 4%
5. "Refused" with 2%
6. Hotaling (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
7. Hotaling (I) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
8. Hotaling (I) with 4%
9. Hotaling with 5%
10. "Refused" with 2%
11. "Refused" with 2%
12. "Refused" with 1%
13. "Someone else" (volunteered response) with <1%
14. "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

1. Poll conducted for Stefanowski's campaign.
2. This poll was sponsored by The Connecticut Examiner.
3. This poll was sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform CT

References

1. "November 2022 State Election". Connecticut Secretary of the State.
2. "'I love the job.' Lamont officially announces reelection bid for Connecticut governor". News 12 - The Bronx. November 9, 2021.
3. "Public Reporting". ctemspublic.pcctg.net. Retrieved October 4, 2022.
4. "Bob Stefanowski to Announce Run for Governor". NBCConnecticut.com. January 19, 2022.
5. Bergman, Julia (January 19, 2022). "'Lack of affordability' in CT focus for Stefanowski in second run for governor". Connecticut Post.
6. "SUSANFORCT2022". SUSANFORCT2022.
7. "This Week in CT: Lawmakers conclude legislative session during pandemic turnaround". wtnh.com. June 13, 2021.
8. "Themis Klarides announces her run for United States Senate". WFSB . Retrieved January 30, 2022.
9. Rennie, Kevin (December 18, 2020). "Kevin Rennie: If Republicans want to think about beating Ned Lamont in 2022, they need to start with some fresh ideas". Hartford Courant . Archived from the original on December 19, 2020. Retrieved March 28, 2021.
10. Flood, Bill (March 14, 2021). "New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart says she will not run for governor". Fox61 . Archived from the original on March 16, 2021. Retrieved March 28, 2021.
11. Stuart, Christine (May 19, 2022). "Green Party Nominates Gubernatorial Candidate". CT News Junkie.
12. "Working Families Party Regains Third Line on Connecticut Ballot | Ballot Access News". January 10, 2023.
13. Dixon, Ken (August 22, 2022). "Independent's panel rebuffs Stefanowski, sets up caucus fight". CT Insider.
14. "Connecticut Working Families Party endorses Ned Lamont and Susan Bysiewicz for re-election". Working Families Party . August 15, 2022.
15. Pazniokas, Mark (September 8, 2022). "Minor party endorses Lamont after a pledge for election reform". Connecticut Public.
16. "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
17. "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved February 19, 2021.
18. "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
19. "Connecticut Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
20. "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
21. "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
22. "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived from the original on June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
23. Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
24. Ramirez II, Hector (May 14, 2021). "'Governor Lamont has done a great job': CT Republican Mark Boughton endorsing Lamont for re-election". WTNH. Retrieved May 19, 2022.
25. Muce, Sophia (November 4, 2022). "Democrats Gather at Eastern on Friday to Rally Students to the Polls". CT Examiner.
26. "Parties Seek to Turn Out the Vote with Weekend Rallies". November 5, 2022.
27. "Minor party endorses Lamont after a pledge for election reform". MSN . August 18, 2022.
28. "Working Families Party endorses Lamont and Bysiewicz". August 18, 2022.
29. "Labor Endorses Slate of Pro-Worker Candidates". June 24, 2022. Retrieved July 4, 2022.
30. "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES" . Retrieved October 29, 2022.
31. Moritz, John (June 13, 2022). "Amid protest plans, conservative Nebraska governor cancels plans to stump for Stefanowski". CT Insider. Retrieved June 13, 2022.
32. Christopher Keating, Hartford Courant (June 22, 2022). "New Hampshire Gov. Sununu, in CT to help Bob Stefanowski raise money, calls impending diesel tax hike 'the dumbest thing anyone could do'". News.yahoo.com. Retrieved June 27, 2022.
33. "How Bob Stefanowski is changing his campaign message". October 3, 2022.
34. Lemanski, Michael (May 21, 2022). "GOP Hopefuls Stefanowski, Devlin Get Police Group's Endorsement". Patch.
35. We endorse Mr. Stefanowski for governor Republican American. October 29, 2022. Retrieved December 19, 2022
36. "Document/Filing Search". Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission.
37. Real Clear Politics
38. FiveThirtyEight
39. 270ToWin
40. Long Island University
41. McLaughlin & Associates (R)
42. Quinnipiac University
43. Emerson College
44. SurveyUSA
45. Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)
46. Western New England University
47. Emerson College
48. Quinnipiac University
49. Emerson College
50. Sacred Heart University
51. Public Policy Polling (D)
52. Fabrizo Lee (R)
53. "2022 General Election - Governor". Connecticut Secretary of State.
54. "State of Connecticut Elections Database » 2022 Nov 8 :: General Election :: Voting Statistics :: State of Connecticut".
55. "Connecticut Governor election results". Politico.
56. "State of Connecticut Elections Database » 2022 Nov 8 :: General Election :: Governor :: State of Connecticut". State of Connecticut Elections Database.

External links

Official campaign websites

• Ned Lamont (D) for Governor
• Aaron Lewis (L) for Governor
• Bob Stefanowski (R) for Governor
• Michelle Louise Bicking (G) for Governor