2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election

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2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election
Flag of Connecticut.svg
←  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  →
Turnout57.6% (Decrease2.svg 3.8%)
  Governor Ned Lamont of Connecticut, official portrait (cropped).jpg Bob Stefanowski Headshot (cropped).png
Nominee Ned Lamont Bob Stefanowski
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families
Griebel-Frank for CT Party
Running mate Susan Bysiewicz Laura Devlin
Popular vote710,186546,209
Percentage55.97%43.05%
2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg
Lamont:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Stefanowski:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Governor before election

Ned Lamont
Democratic

Elected Governor

Ned Lamont
Democratic

The 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Connecticut. Incumbent Democratic governor Ned Lamont ran for re-election to a second term in office. [1] The race simultaneously took place with the election to the state's Class III Senate seat. This election featured a rematch of the previous 2018 gubernatorial election, pitting Lamont against Republican Bob Stefanowski, whom he previously defeated by 3.2% of the vote. [2] This time Lamont won re-election by a wider margin, becoming the first Democrat to win a gubernatorial election by more than 5 points in the state since 1986.

Contents

This was the first time that Tolland County voted Democratic in a gubernatorial election since 1994, Darien since 1912, Wilton since 1884, and New Canaan since 1882.

Democratic convention

Governor

Candidates

Nominee

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee

Republican convention

Governor

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated at convention
  • Susan Patricelli Regan [5] [6]
Declined

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee

Third-party candidates and independent candidates

Libertarian Party

Green Party

Independent Party of Connecticut

In 2022, the Independent Party nominated its own candidate for governor for the first time ever. In every previous gubernatorial election since its creation, the party had always cross-endorsed the Republican nominee. [11]

Working Families Party

The Working Families Party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an additional ballot line. [13] Official designee

Griebel-Frank for CT Party

The Griebel-Frank for CT Party, which secured 54,741 votes in the 2018 election and is now affiliated with the Forward Party, gained a ballot line for 2022. In September 2022, the party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an unprecedented three ballot lines for the election. [14] Official designee

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [15] Solid DOctober 28, 2022
Inside Elections [16] Solid DMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [17] Likely DJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [18] Lean DAugust 12, 2022
RCP [19] Lean DJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [20] Likely DMay 12, 2022
538 [21] Solid DSeptember 20, 2022
Elections Daily [22] Safe DNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Ned Lamont (D)

State officials

Local officials

Political parties

Labor unions

Bob Stefanowski (R)

State officials

Organizations

  • Connecticut Chapter of the Fraternal Order of Police [33]

Political parties

Newspapers

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of January 10, 2023
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ned Lamont (D)$25,518,245$26,087,401$355,916
Bob Stefenowski (R)$12,902,700$14,498,162$17,840
Source: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission [35]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Ned
Lamont (D)		Bob
Stefanowski (R)		Other
[lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics [36] September 7–21, 2022September 28, 202253.7%39.3%7.0%Lamont +14.4
FiveThirtyEight [37] May 11 – November 8, 2022November 8, 202252.9%38.5%8.6%Lamont +14.4
270ToWin [38] October 16–25, 2022November 8, 202251.5%39.0%9.5%Lamont +12.5
Average52.7%38.9%8.4%Lamont +13.8

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ned
Lamont (D)		Bob
Stefanowski (R)		OtherUndecided
Long Island University [39] October 24–26, 20221,004 (A)± 3.0%55%24%8% [lower-alpha 3] 13%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [40] [upper-alpha 1] October 23–24, 2022500 (LV)± 4.5%49%43%4% [lower-alpha 4] 4%
50%46%–4%
Quinnipiac University [41] October 19–23, 20221,879 (LV)± 2.3%56%41%2% [lower-alpha 5] 1%
Emerson College [42] October 19–21, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%52%41%2% [lower-alpha 6] 5%
53%43%4% [lower-alpha 7] –
SurveyUSA [43] October 15–18, 2022718 (LV)–52%34%4% [lower-alpha 8] 10%
Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R) [44] [upper-alpha 2] October 10–13, 20221,200 (LV)± 2.8%46%40%5% [lower-alpha 9] 10%
50%43%–7%
Western New England University [45] September 15–21, 2022766 (RV)± 3.2%51%38%2% [lower-alpha 10] 8%
626 (LV)± 4.8%55%40%2% [lower-alpha 11] 3%
Quinnipiac University [41] September 15–19, 20221,911 (LV)± 2.2%57%40%1% [lower-alpha 12] 2%
Emerson College [46] September 7–9, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%38%4%9%
Quinnipiac University [47] May 19–23, 20221,660 (RV)± 2.4%51%43%<1% [lower-alpha 13] 6%
Emerson College [48] May 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%51%38%–12%
Sacred Heart University [49] March 24 – April 11, 20221,000 (A)± 3.0%48%30%0%22%
Public Policy Polling (D) [50] [upper-alpha 3] October 21–22, 2021729 (LV)± 3.6%52%36%–12%
Hypothetical polling

Ned Lamont vs. Themis Klarides

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ned
Lamont (D)		Themis
Klarides (R)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [50] [upper-alpha 3] October 21–22, 2021729 (LV)± 3.6%52%32%16%

Ned Lamont vs. generic opponent

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Ned
Lamont (D)		Generic
Opponent		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [50] [upper-alpha 3] October 21–22, 2021729 (LV)± 3.6%50%41%9%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		OtherUndecided
Fabrizo Lee (R) [51] [upper-alpha 2] October 10–13, 20221,200 (LV)–46%42%1% [lower-alpha 14] 11%

Results

2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election [52] [53]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Ned Lamont691,14654.47%+6.37%
Working Families Ned Lamont16,1751.27%+0.00%
Griebel-Frank for CT Party Ned Lamont2,8650.23%−3.66%
Total Ned Lamont (incumbent) 710,186 55.97% +6.60%
Republican Bob Stefanowski 546,20943.05%−3.16%
Independent Party Robert Hotaling12,4000.98%−0.82%
Green Michelle Louise Bicking (write-in)980.00%N/A
Total votes1,268,893 100.0%
Turnout 1,292,84757.57%
Registered electors 2,245,844
Democratic hold

By county

Lamont won six out of all eight counties, while Stefenowski only won two. [54]

CountyNed Lamont
Democratic		Bob Stefenowski
Republican		Other parties
Independent		Total votes cast
# %# %# %
Fairfield 185,90058.8%128,43440.6%2,0560.6%316,390
Hartford 185,12459.6%121,94839.3%3,3131.1%310,385
Litchfield 36,59144.8%44,28254.2%8581.0%81,731
Middlesex 41,05254.9%32,94044.0%8301.1%74,822
New Haven 157,02354.9%126,12444.1%2,7231.0%285,870
New London 55,17454.9%43,90243.7%1,3531.3%100,429
Tolland 31,34852.4%27,74846.4%7531.3%59,849
Windham 18,26446.3%20,68852.5%4741.2%39,426
Totals710,47655.97%546,06643.05%12,3600.98%1,268,902

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Lamont won all 5 congressional districts. [55]

DistrictNed Lamont
Democratic		Bob Stefenowski
Republican		Other parties
Independent		Total votes castRepresentative
# %# %# %
1st 103,28160.83%64,55538.02%1,9601.15%169,796 John B. Larson
2nd 104,03053.02%89,65045.69%2,5171.29%196,197 Joe Courtney
3rd 108,54856.42%82,10142.66%1,7720.92%192,421 Rosa DeLauro
4th 96,18060.29%62,38939.10%9790.61%159,548 Jim Himes
5th 78,65550.17%76,55448.84%1,5500.99%156,759 Jahana Hayes
Totals710,18655.97%546,20943.05%12,4980.98%1,268,893

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ "Not planning to vote" with 5%; "Another candidate" with 3%
  4. ↑ Hotaling (I) with 4%
  5. ↑ "Refused" with 2%
  6. ↑ Hotaling (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  7. ↑ Hotaling (I) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
  8. ↑ Hotaling (I) with 4%
  9. ↑ Hotaling with 5%
  10. ↑ "Refused" with 2%
  11. ↑ "Refused" with 2%
  12. ↑ "Refused" with 1%
  13. ↑ "Someone else" (volunteered response) with <1%
  14. ↑ "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll conducted for Stefanowski's campaign.
  2. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by The Connecticut Examiner.
  3. 1 2 3 This poll was sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform CT

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References

  1. 1 2 3 "'I love the job.' Lamont officially announces reelection bid for Connecticut governor". News 12 - The Bronx. November 9, 2021.
  2. ↑ "Public Reporting". ctemspublic.pcctg.net. Retrieved October 4, 2022.
  3. ↑ "Bob Stefanowski to Announce Run for Governor". NBCConnecticut.com. January 19, 2022.
  4. ↑ Bergman, Julia (January 19, 2022). "'Lack of affordability' in CT focus for Stefanowski in second run for governor". Connecticut Post.
  5. ↑ "SUSANFORCT2022". SUSANFORCT2022.
  6. ↑ "This Week in CT: Lawmakers conclude legislative session during pandemic turnaround". wtnh.com. June 13, 2021.
  7. ↑ "Themis Klarides announces her run for United States Senate". WFSB . Retrieved January 30, 2022.
  8. ↑ Rennie, Kevin (December 18, 2020). "Kevin Rennie: If Republicans want to think about beating Ned Lamont in 2022, they need to start with some fresh ideas". Hartford Courant . Archived from the original on December 19, 2020. Retrieved March 28, 2021.
  9. ↑ Flood, Bill (March 14, 2021). "New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart says she will not run for governor". Fox61 . Archived from the original on March 16, 2021. Retrieved March 28, 2021.
  10. 1 2 Stuart, Christine (May 19, 2022). "Green Party Nominates Gubernatorial Candidate". CT News Junkie.
  11. ↑ "Working Families Party Regains Third Line on Connecticut Ballot | Ballot Access News". January 10, 2023.
  12. ↑ Dixon, Ken (August 22, 2022). "Independent's panel rebuffs Stefanowski, sets up caucus fight". CT Insider.
  13. ↑ "Connecticut Working Families Party endorses Ned Lamont and Susan Bysiewicz for re-election". Working Families Party . August 15, 2022.
  14. ↑ Pazniokas, Mark (September 8, 2022). "Minor party endorses Lamont after a pledge for election reform". Connecticut Public.
  15. ↑ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  16. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  17. ↑ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  18. ↑ "Connecticut Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  19. ↑ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  20. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  21. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  22. ↑ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  23. ↑ Ramirez II, Hector (May 14, 2021). "'Governor Lamont has done a great job': CT Republican Mark Boughton endorsing Lamont for re-election". WTNH. Retrieved May 19, 2022.
  24. 1 2 Muce, Sophia (November 4, 2022). "Democrats Gather at Eastern on Friday to Rally Students to the Polls". CT Examiner.
  25. 1 2 "Parties Seek to Turn Out the Vote with Weekend Rallies". November 5, 2022.
  26. ↑ "Minor party endorses Lamont after a pledge for election reform". MSN . August 18, 2022.
  27. ↑ "Working Families Party endorses Lamont and Bysiewicz". August 18, 2022.
  28. ↑ "Labor Endorses Slate of Pro-Worker Candidates". June 24, 2022. Retrieved July 4, 2022.
  29. ↑ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES" . Retrieved October 29, 2022.
  30. ↑ Moritz, John (June 13, 2022). "Amid protest plans, conservative Nebraska governor cancels plans to stump for Stefanowski". CT Insider. Retrieved June 13, 2022.
  31. ↑ Christopher Keating, Hartford Courant (June 22, 2022). "New Hampshire Gov. Sununu, in CT to help Bob Stefanowski raise money, calls impending diesel tax hike 'the dumbest thing anyone could do'". News.yahoo.com. Retrieved June 27, 2022.
  32. ↑ "How Bob Stefanowski is changing his campaign message". October 3, 2022.
  33. ↑ Lemanski, Michael (May 21, 2022). "GOP Hopefuls Stefanowski, Devlin Get Police Group's Endorsement". Patch.
  34. ↑ We endorse Mr. Stefanowski for governor Republican American. October 29, 2022. Retrieved December 19, 2022
  35. ↑ "Document/Filing Search". Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission.
  36. ↑ Real Clear Politics
  37. ↑ FiveThirtyEight
  38. ↑ 270ToWin
  39. ↑ Long Island University
  40. ↑ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
  41. 1 2 Quinnipiac University
  42. ↑ Emerson College
  43. ↑ SurveyUSA
  44. ↑ Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)
  45. ↑ Western New England University
  46. ↑ Emerson College
  47. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  48. ↑ Emerson College
  49. ↑ Sacred Heart University
  50. 1 2 3 Public Policy Polling (D)
  51. ↑ Fabrizo Lee (R)
  52. ↑ "2022 General Election - Governor". Connecticut Secretary of State.
  53. ↑ "State of Connecticut Elections Database » 2022 Nov 8 :: General Election :: Voting Statistics :: State of Connecticut".
  54. ↑ "Connecticut Governor election results". Politico.
  55. ↑ "General Election - Governor - State of Connecticut". CT.gov.

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