2022 United States Senate election in Maryland

Main article: 2022 United States Senate elections

2022 United States Senate election in Maryland

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Nominee Chris Van Hollen Chris Chaffee Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 1,316,897 682,293 Percentage 65.77% 34.07%

County results Congressional district results Precinct results Van Hollen:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Chaffee:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Tie:     40–50%     50%     No votes

U.S. senator before election Chris Van Hollen Democratic Elected U.S. senator Chris Van Hollen Democratic

The 2022 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Maryland. The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on July 19, 2022. ^[1]

Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Van Hollen was first elected in 2016 with 60.9% of the vote, winning the seat of retiring incumbent Barbara Mikulski. He ran for a second term against Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee. ^[2]

Shortly after polls closed on November 8, 2022, the Associated Press called the race for Van Hollen. ^[3] He overperformed his 2016 numbers and flipped four counties that he lost in his first election: Anne Arundel (home to the state capital Annapolis), Frederick, Kent, and Talbot.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chris Van Hollen, incumbent U.S. senator ^{[2] [4]}

Eliminated in primary

• Michelle Laurence Smith, federal employee and business owner ^[5]

Endorsements

Chris Van Hollen

Labor unions

• American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 3 ^[6]
• American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 67 ^[7]
• American Federation of Teachers Maryland ^[8]
• Maryland State and District of Columbia AFL–CIO ^[9]
• National Education Association ^[10]
• Service Employees International Union Local 500 ^[11]
• UNITE HERE Local 25 ^[12]
• United Food and Commercial Workers Local 400 ^[13]

Organizations

• Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC ^[14]
• Brady PAC ^[15]
• Chesapeake Climate Action Network ^[16]
• Council for a Livable World ^[17]
• End Citizens United ^[18]
• Feminist Majority PAC ^[19]
• Giffords ^[20]
• Human Rights Campaign ^[21]
• Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund ^[22]
• Jewish Democratic Council of America ^[23]
• JStreetPAC ^[24]
• Let America Vote ^[18]
• Maryland Realtors Political Action Committee ^[25]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America ^[26]
• National Organization for Women PAC ^[27]
• Natural Resources Defense Council ^[28]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund ^[29]
• Population Connection Action Fund ^[30]
• Progressive Turnout Project ^[31]
• Sierra Club ^[32]

Results

Results by county:

  Van Hollen

•   60–70%
•   70-80%
•   80-90%

Democratic primary results ^[33]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Chris Van Hollen (incumbent)	535,014	80.81%
	Democratic	Michelle Laurence Smith	127,089	19.19%
Total votes			662,103	100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chris Chaffee, homebuilding contractor and perennial candidate ^{[a] [34] [35]}

Eliminated in primary

• George Davis, engineer ^[34]
• Nnabu Eze, IT contractor and perennial candidate ^{[b] [36] [34]}
• Lorie Friend, nurse ^{[34] [35]}
• Reba Hawkins, business owner and candidate for Maryland's 3rd congressional district in 2020 ^[34]
• Jon McGreevey, a.k.a. Ryan Dark White, adult bookstore employee and believer in the QAnon conspiracy theory ^{[37] [38] [39]}
• Joseph Perez, IT project manager ^{[34] [35]}
• Todd Puglisi, grocery store clerk ^[34]
• James Tarantin, entrepreneur ^[40]
• John Thormann, contractual consultant ^[34]

Declined

• Andy Harris, U.S. Representative for Maryland's 1st congressional district (2011–present) ( ran for re-election ) ^[41]
• Larry Hogan, Governor of Maryland (2015–2023) ^[42]

Endorsements

Chris Chaffee

Organizations

• Maryland Right to Life (co-endorsement with Eze, Hawkins, and Perez) ^[43]

Nnabu Eze

Organizations

• Maryland Right to Life (co-endorsement with Chaffee, Hawkins, and Perez) ^[43]

Lorie Friend

State legislators

• Wendell R. Beitzel, state delegate for District 1A (2007–present) ^[44]
• George C. Edwards, state senator for the 1st District (2007–present) ^[44]
• Mike McKay, state delegate for District 1C (2015–present) ^[44]

Reba Hawkins

Organizations

• Maryland Right to Life (co-endorsement with Chaffee, Eze, and Perez) ^[43]

Joseph Perez

Organizations

• Maryland Right to Life (co-endorsement with Chaffee, Hawkins, and Eze) ^[43]

James Tarantin

State legislators

• Trent Kittleman, state delegate for district 9A (2015–present) ^[45]

Results

Results by county:

  Chaffee

•   10–20%
•   20–30%
•   30–40%
•   40–50%

  Friend

•   10–20%
•   20–30%
•   30–40%

  Thormann

•   10–20%

  Tarantin

•   20–30%

Republican primary results ^[33]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Chris Chaffee	50,514	20.78%
	Republican	Lorie Friend	35,714	14.69%
	Republican	John Thormann	33,290	13.69%
	Republican	Joseph Perez	26,359	10.84%
	Republican	George Davis	21,095	8.68%
	Republican	James Tarantin	20,514	8.44%
	Republican	Reba Hawkins	18,057	7.43%
	Republican	Jon McGreevey	14,128	5.81%
	Republican	Todd Puglisi	13,550	5.57%
	Republican	Nnabu Eze	9,917	4.08%
Total votes			243,138	100.0%

Other candidates

Write-in

Declared

• Scottie Griffin (Democratic) ^[34]
• Andrew Wildman (unaffiliated) ^[34]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [46]	Solid D	March 4, 2022
Inside Elections [47]	Solid D	July 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [48]	Safe D	June 15, 2022
Politico [49]	Solid D	April 1, 2022
RCP [50]	Safe D	January 10, 2022
Fox News [51]	Solid D	May 12, 2022
DDHQ [52]	Solid D	July 20, 2022
538 [53]	Solid D	June 30, 2022
The Economist [54]	Safe D	September 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Chris Van Hollen (D)

Executive branch officials

• Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–present), 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), and former U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009) ^[55]

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 26 ^[56]
• United Auto Workers ^[57]

Organizations

• Everytown for Gun Safety ^[58]
• League of Conservation Voters ^[59]

Newspapers

• Baltimore Afro-American ^[60]
• The Washington Post ^[61]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Chris Van Hollen (D)	Chris Chaffee (R)	Other	Undecided
Goucher College [62]	September 8–12, 2022	748 (LV)	± 3.6%	56%	33%	2% [d]	8%

Hypothetical polling

Chris Van Hollen vs. Larry Hogan

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Chris Van Hollen (D)	Larry Hogan (R)	Other	Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R) [63] [A]	November 29 – December 1, 2021	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	37%	49%	–	14%
Change Research (D) [64]	September 29 – October 1, 2020	650 (V)	± 4.6%	50%	34%	–	16%
University of Maryland/Washington Post [65]	October 9–14, 2019	819 (RV)	± 4.5%	42%	50%	3% [e]	5%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Maryland ^[66]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Chris Van Hollen (incumbent)	1,316,897	65.77%	+4.88%
	Republican	Chris Chaffee	682,293	34.07%	−1.60%
	Write-in		3,146	0.16%	+0.02%
Total votes			2,002,336	100.0%
	Democratic hold

By county

By county

County Chris Van Hollen Democratic Chris Chaffee Republican Write-in Margin Total votes # % # % # % # % Allegany 7,244 33.56 14,326 66.36 17 0.08 -7,082 -32.81 21,587 Anne Arundel 123,696 57.39 91,471 42.44 377 0.17 32,225 14.95 215,544 Baltimore 175,417 64.23 97,307 35.63 402 0.15 78,110 28.60 273,126 Baltimore City 129,257 90.15 13,849 9.66 280 0.19 115,408 80.49 143,386 Calvert 17,007 45.44 20,382 54.46 37 0.10 -3,375 -9.02 37,426 Caroline 3,586 33.65 7,054 66.20 16 0.15 -3,468 -32.55 10,656 Carroll 27,775 38.78 43,761 61.10 90 0.13 -15,986 -22.32 71,626 Cecil 12,132 36.86 20,725 62.97 56 0.17 -8,593 -26.11 32,913 Charles 38,270 70.12 16,207 29.70 97 0.18 22,063 40.43 54,574 Dorchester 4,947 43.12 6,511 56.75 15 0.13 -1,564 -13.63 11,473 Frederick 58,708 55.26 47,406 44.62 119 0.11 11,302 10.64 106,233 Garrett 2,608 23.16 8,647 76.78 7 0.06 -6,039 -53.62 11,262 Harford 45,273 43.90 57,713 55.96 150 0.14 -12,440 -12.06 103,136 Howard 92,205 70.90 37,617 28.92 230 0.18 54,588 41.97 130,052 Kent 4,461 52.95 3,950 46.88 14 0.17 511 6.07 8,425 Montgomery 276,482 80.59 65,956 19.23 634 0.18 210,526 61.36 343,072 Prince George's 218,726 91.04 21,127 8.79 398 0.17 197,599 82.25 240,251 Queen Anne's 8,710 38.19 14,064 61.67 31 0.14 -5,354 -23.48 22,805 Somerset 2,656 39.02 4,146 60.91 5 0.07 -1,490 -21.89 6,807 St. Mary's 15,656 41.67 21,869 58.21 43 0.11 -6,213 -16.54 37,568 Talbot 9,028 51.33 8,548 48.60 13 0.07 480 2.73 17,589 Washington 19,420 40.00 29,072 59.87 64 0.13 -9,652 -19.88 48,556 Wicomico 14,296 46.98 16,104 52.92 32 0.10 -1,808 -5.94 30,432 Worcester 9,337 39.17 14,481 60.75 19 0.08 -5,144 -21.58 23,837 Totals 1,316,897 65.77 682,293 34.07 3,146 0.16 634,604 31.69 2,002,336 Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Anne Arundel (largest municipality: Glen Burnie) Frederick (largest municipality: Frederick) Kent (largest municipality: Chestertown) Talbot (largest municipality: Easton)

By congressional district

Van Hollen won 7 of 8 congressional districts. ^[67]

District	Van Hollen	Chaffee	Representative
1st	42.7%	57.2%	Andy Harris
2nd	60.8%	39.1%	Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd	62.3%	37.5%	John Sarbanes
4th	91%	8.9%	Anthony Brown (117th Congress)
			Glenn Ivey (118th Congress)
5th	67.1%	32.8%	Steny Hoyer
6th	54.4%	45.5%	David Trone
7th	83.4%	16.4%	Kweisi Mfume
8th	81.9%	17.9%	Jamie Raskin

Notes

1. Candidate for Maryland's 5th congressional district in 2010 and nominee in 2014; candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018
2. Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for Maryland's 4th congressional district in 2020; Green nominee for Maryland's 3rd congressional district in 2016
3. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
4. "Some other candidate" (volunteered response) with 2%
5. "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 1%; "Other" with 0%

Partisan clients

1. This poll was paid for by the Senate Leadership Fund

See also

• Elections in Maryland
• 2022 United States elections
• 2022 Maryland gubernatorial election
• 2022 Maryland Attorney General election
• 2022 Maryland Senate elections
• 2022 Maryland Comptroller election
• 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland
• 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
• 2022 Maryland House of Delegates election

References

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67. Statewide Data Breakdown by State Congressional Districts. elections.maryland.gov (Report). Archived from the original on August 9, 2024.

External links

Official campaign websites

• Chris Chaffee (R) for Senate
• Chris Van Hollen (D) for Senate