2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary

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2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary
Flag of Maryland.svg
  2012 April 26, 2016 (2016-04-26) 2020  
  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count6035
Popular vote573,242 [1] 309,990
Percentage62.53%33.81%

2016 Maryland Democratic Presidential Primary election by county.svg
Election results by county.

The 2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary was held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Maryland as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Contents

The Democratic Party's primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Maryland primary.

Opinion polling

Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Official Primary results [2] April 26, 2016Hillary Clinton
62.5%
Bernie Sanders
33.8%
Others / Uncommitted
3.7%
ARG [3]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 400

April 21–24, 2016Hillary Clinton
50%
Bernie Sanders
44%
Others / Undecided
6%
Monmouth [4]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300

April 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Others / Undecided
11%
Public Policy Polling [5]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 492

April 15–17, 2016Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
33%
Others / Undecided
9%
NBC 4/Marist [6]

Margin of error: ± 3.5%
Sample size: 775

April 5–9, 2016Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
36%
Others / Undecided
6%
University of Maryland/Washington Post [7]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 539

March 30 - April 4, 2016Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
5%
Baltimore Sun [8]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

March 4–8, 2016Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Others / Undecided
11%
Gonzales/Arscott Research [9]

Margin of error: ± 5.0
Sample size: 411

February 29-March 4, 2016Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
26%
Others / Undecided
17%
Goucher [10]

Margin of error: ± 3.5
Sample size: 794

February 13–18, 2016Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Others / Undecided
14%
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore [11]

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 402

January 11–16, 2016Hillary Clinton
40%
Bernie Sanders
27%
Others / Undecided
33%
Polls in 2015
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore [12]

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 419

November 13–17, 2015Hillary Clinton
56%
Bernie Sanders
23%
Martin O'Malley
7%
Other/Unsure 14%
Washington Post [13]

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 490

October 8–11, 2015Hillary Clinton
43%
Joe Biden
26%
Bernie Sanders
20%
Martin O'Malley 4%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 3%, No Opinion 2%
Goucher [14]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300

September 26 – October 1, 2015Hillary Clinton
43%
Joe Biden
23%
Bernie Sanders
17%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 2%, Undecided 11%
Polls in 2014
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Washington Post [15]

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 538

February 13–16, 2014Hillary Clinton
72%
Joe Biden
9%
Martin O'Malley
6%
Elizabeth Warren 3%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, None 1%, Undecided 7%
Baltimore Sun [16]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500

February 8–12, 2014Hillary Clinton
59%
Joe Biden
14%
Martin O'Malley
6%
Andrew Cuomo 4%, Undecided/Other 17%
Polls in 2013
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Washington Post [17]

Margin of error:
Sample size:

February 21–24, 2013Hillary Clinton
56%
Joe Biden
18%
Martin O'Malley
8%
Andrew Cuomo 4%, None/other/any of them 4%, No opinion 9%

Results

Maryland Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton 573,24262.53%601777
Bernie Sanders 309,99033.81%35136
Rocky De La Fuente 3,5820.39%
Uncommitted29,9493.27%066
Total916,763100%9524119
Source: [18] [19] [20] [21]

Results by county

Hillary Clinton won every county (and the independent city of Baltimore) with the exceptions of Allegany, Carroll, Cecil, and Garrett counties, which went for Bernie Sanders. [22]

County [23] Clinton %Sanders %OthersTotalsTurnoutMargin
Allegany 2,47641.29%2,72745.48%7935,99640.48%-4.19%
Anne Arundel 37,72656.19%26,20539.03%3,21067,14143.57%17.16%
Baltimore (City) 87,76265.26%42,28531.44%4,434134,48145.59%33.82%
Baltimore (County) 77,05257.24%50,64137.62%6,919134,61244.18%19.62%
Calvert 5,44057.10%3,49036.63%5979,52740.53%20.47%
Caroline 1,16750.94%95941.86%1652,29133.47%9.08%
Carroll 7,01746.00%7,29947.85%93815,25446.81%-1.85%
Cecil 3,53445.27%3,56245.63%7107,80634.84%-0.36%
Charles 15,68567.84%6,62328.64%81323,12137.58%39.19%
Dorchester 2,14961.68%1,08031.00%2553,48434.17%30.68%
Frederick 14,73551.09%12,84444.53%1,26228,84149.09%6.56%
Garrett 82141.17%93947.09%2341,99444.21%-5.92%
Harford 13,91351.21%11,48942.29%1,76527,16742.84%8.92%
Howard 32,13959.44%20,31637.57%1,61954,07454.35%21.86%
Kent 1,53254.85%1,08038.67%1812,79345.93%16.18%
Montgomery 122,88166.25%59,15731.89%3,445185,48350.28%34.36%
Prince George's 120,97873.60%40,81524.83%2,580164,37337.63%48.77%
Queen Anne's 2,45853.49%1,85140.28%2864,59543.17%13.21%
Somerset 4,89252.44%3,72539.93%7119,32836.63%12.51%
St. Mary's 1,20759.60%66832.99%1502,02532.61%26.62%
Talbot 2,71060.74%1,55034.74%2024,46245.05%26.00%
Washington 6,21149.25%5,18941.15%1,21012,61039.10%8.10%
Wicomico 5,54358.14%3,41035.77%5819,53437.09%22.37%
Worcester 3,21455.69%2,08636.15%4715,77140.08%19.55%
Total573,24262.53%309,99033.81%33,531916,76343.90%28.72%

Note: Maryland is a closed primary state. Turnout is based on registered democrats before the primary on April 26, 2016. Others vote totals consist of votes for Rocky De La Fuente and Uncommitted

Analysis

With its coalition of African Americans and college-educated, affluent white progressive/liberal professionals, Maryland was a state Hillary Clinton was expected to win in the so-called "Acela Primaries" on April 26. She swept the state on election day, winning the primary by 29 points, a clear difference from 2008 when she lost Maryland to Barack Obama. According to exit polls, 43 percent of voters in the Maryland Democratic Primary were white and they opted for Clinton by a margin of 52-42 compared to the 46 percent of African American voters who backed Clinton by a margin of 75–22. Clinton swept all socioeconomic/income classes and educational attainment categories in Maryland as well. She won the votes of people over the age of 45, 75–20, but lost the youth vote to Sanders 52–46. She won both men (55–40) and women (68–29).

In terms of party identification, of the 80 percent of self-identified Democrats who voted in the primary, 69 percent backed Clinton while 30 percent supported Bernie Sanders; Independents, who made up 17 percent of the voters, backed Sanders by a 51–39 margin. Clinton also won all ideological groups.

Clinton performed well in the urban and suburban parts of the state in and around Baltimore (which she won 63–34), and the Washington, D.C. suburbs (which she won 71–27), and she also won in the more rural parts of the state like the Eastern Shore (which she won 57–37) and Western Maryland (which she won 53–47), which includes parts of Appalachia. [24]

See also

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References

  1. Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results
  2. Official Primary results
  3. "Maryland poll April 21-24, 2016". American Research Group. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
  4. "MARYLAND: CLINTON LEADS SANDERS BY 25" (PDF). Retrieved April 22, 2016.
  5. "Maryland Likely To Continue Momentum for Trump, Clinton" (PDF). Retrieved April 19, 2016.
  6. "NBC4/Marist Poll April 2016 Maryland Questionnaire" (PDF). Retrieved April 13, 2016.
  7. "Washington Post-University of Maryland poll, March 30-April 3, 2016" . Retrieved April 7, 2016.
  8. "Hillary Clinton has 33-point lead in Maryland Democratic primary, new poll shows".
  9. "Maryland Poll" (PDF).
  10. "Goucher poll February 13–18, 2016" (PDF).
  11. Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore
  12. Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore
  13. Washington Post
  14. "Goucher poll September 26 – October 1, 2015" (PDF).
  15. "(Among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic) Thinking ahead to 2016, between (Martin O'Malley), (Hillary Clinton), (Joe Biden), (Andrew Cuomo) and (Elizabeth Warren) whom would you like to be the next Democratic presidential nominee?". Washington Post. February 22, 2014. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
  16. Baltimore Sun
  17. Washington Post
  18. The Green Papers
  19. Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results
  20. MDP Announces DNC Delegates, Alternates and State DNC Members
  21. MDP Announces District-Level Delegate Winners
  22. "Maryland Election Results 2016". The New York Times. August 2017.
  23. "Maryland Certified Election Results". CNN . May 9, 2017. Retrieved April 5, 2017.
  24. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved September 25, 2016.