2016 Illinois Democratic presidential primary

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2016 Illinois Democratic presidential primary
Flag of Illinois.svg
  2012 March 15, 2016 (2016-03-15) 2020  
  FL
MO  
  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count7977
Popular vote1,039,555999,494
Percentage50.56%48.61%

2016 Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary election by county.svg
Results by county
Clinton:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%
Sanders:     40-50%     50-60%     60-70%

The 2016 Illinois Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Contents

On the same day, the Democratic Party held primaries in Florida, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio, while the Republican Party held primaries in the same five states, including their own Illinois primary, plus the Northern Mariana Islands.

Clinton's win came thanks to African American neighborhoods of Chicago. [1] Precinct-level results showed a close race with Latino voters: with Sanders performing in Mexican American neighborhoods and Clinton in Puerto Rican neighborhoods. [1]

Sanders dominated the suburban [1] and rural vote.

Opinion polling

Poll sourceDate1st2ndOther
Primary results [2] March 15, 2016Hillary Clinton
50.6%
Bernie Sanders
48.6%
Others
0.8%
McKeon & Associates [3]

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 428

March 12, 2016Hillary Clinton
31%
Bernie Sanders
30%
Others / Undecided 39%
Public Policy Polling [4]

Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample size: 627

March 11–12, 2016Hillary Clinton
48%
Bernie Sanders
45%
Others / Undecided 7%
CBS News/YouGov [5]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 756

March 9–11, 2016Bernie Sanders
48%
Hillary Clinton
46%
Others / Undecided 6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist [6]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 529

March 4–10, 2016Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
45%
Others / Undecided 4%
We Ask America [7]

Margin of error: ± 3.11%
Sample size: 994

March 7–8, 2016Hillary Clinton
62%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Others / Undecided 13%
Chicago Tribune [8]

Margin of error: ±4.1%
Sample size: 600

March 2–6, 2016Hillary Clinton
67%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Others / Undecided 8%
We Ask America [9]

Margin of error: ± 3.0
Sample size: 1,116

February 24, 2016Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Others / Undecided 15%
The Simon Poll/SIU [10]

Margin of error: ± 5.6
Sample size: 306

February 15–20, 2016Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Others / Undecided 17%
The Illinois Observer [11]

Margin of error: ± 4.23
Sample size: 560

February 11, 2016Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
25%
Others / Undecided 18%
Public Policy Polling [12]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 409

July 20–21, 2015Hillary Clinton
60%
Bernie Sanders
23%
Others / Undecided 17%

Results

2016 Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary Results
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
Democratic Hillary Rodham Clinton 1,039,05550.56%79
Democratic Bernard Sanders 999,49448.61%77
Democratic Willie Wilson 6,5650.32%0
Democratic Martin Joseph O'Malley 6,1970.30%0
Democratic Lawrence Cohen 2,4070.12%0
Democratic Rocky De La Fuente 1,8020.09%0
Democratic Others270.00%0
Totals2,056,047100.00%156
Voter turnout %

Results by county

CountyClintonVotesSandersVotes
Adams 50.78%1,78447.08%1,654
Alexander 59.97%77033.80%434
Bond 44.94%71953.44%855
Boone 41.11%1,95858.30%2,777
Brown 49.23%16048.00%156
Bureau 44.44%1,52354.27%1,860
Calhoun 44.92%44750.65%504
Carroll 48.75%62550.08%642
Cass 46.93%50450.19%539
Champaign 33.24%10,72166.48%21,440
Christian 46.86%1,40151.14%1,529
Clark 44.75%56252.87664
Clay 44.89%37852.14%439
Clinton 41.14%90857.54%1,270
Coles 39.96%1,71458.92%2,527
Cook 53.66%633,30045.49%536,805
Crawford 49.96%60947.99%585
Cumberland 39.57%36456.30%518
Dekalb 33.10%4,14666.50%8,330
De Witt 45.32%56153.31%660
Douglas 42.27%48456.16%643
DuPage 47.32%59,79852.35%66,163
Edgar 47.40%44649.73%468
Edwards 48.15%14349.83%148
Effingham 40.35%86858.02%1,248
Fayette 47.90%61650.00%643
Ford 39.08%28859.43%438
Franklin 42.13%2,17953.79%2,782
Fulton 45.15%2,15353.26%2,540
Gallatin 40.35%53150.38%663
Greene 46.90%50749.49%535
Grundy 39.44%2,05359.67%3,106
Hamilton 42.83%41849.69%485
Hancock 56.39%63141.82%468
Hardin 40.40%16255.36%222
Henderson 52.07%33945.47%296
Henry 50.65%2,15948.44%2,065
Iroquois 37.47%54460.67%881
Jackson 37.40%2,84262.03%4,713
Jasper 40.54%32853.65%434
Jefferson 47.15%1,67849.93%1,777
Jersey 43.59%85754.48%1,071
Jo Daviess 51.44%1,32047.78%1,226
Johnson 45.13%36152.50%420
Kane 43.41%23,50556.21%30,234
Kankakee 45.67%4,90253.67%5,761
Kendall 41.54%5,61158.04%7,841
Knox 47.27%2,95751.50%3,222
Lake 52.68%50,27146.97%44,823
LaSalle 43.47%5,27955.55%6,746
Lawrence 46.85%41748.43%431
Lee 39.46%1,29559.75%1,961
Livingston 43.47%83255.07%1,054
Logan 42.79%73956.40%974
McDonough 41.43%1,05457.82%1,471
McHenry 38.82%13,22160.78%20,702
McLean 37.11%7,72662.48%13,008
Macon 53.86%5,95845.15%4,995
Macoupin 43.10%2,78354.78%3,537
Madison 44.04%15,57255.04%19,463
Marion 47.65%1,63049.93%1,708
Marshall 49.01%56950.47%586
Mason 49.10%68048.88%677
Massac 51.38%54946.81%492
Menard 44.37%39854.74%491
Mercer 51.27%49646.61%860
Monroe 44.21%1,43854.66%1,778
Montgomery 48.28%1,25049.32%1,277
Morgan 41.54%93657.17%1,288
Moultrie 44.27%46753.65%566
Ogle 40.17%2,64259.20%2,642
Peoria 52.14%11,47347.31%10,409
Perry 46.82%85550.99%931
Piatt 43.01%78855.51%1,017
Pike 50.92%49746.21%451
Pope 37.20%10960.07%176
Pulaski 61.70%38534.78%217
Putnam 46.71%45551.75%504
Randolph 44.59%1,31452.77%1,555
Richland 43.75%44853.81%551
Rock Island 51.62%10,24047.11%9,345
St. Clair 59.95%24,21839.21%15,838
Saline 45.95%1,05450.48%1,158
Sangamon 46.91%9,29552.57%10,416
Schuyler 54.36%36843.43%294
Scott 46.58%15050.00%161
Shelby 44.09%78352.98%941
Stark 47.13%19751.44%215
Stephenson 49.00%1,98949.99%2,029
Tazewell 44.71%5,90554.46%7,192
Union 43.23%92154.23%1,153
Vermilion 51.23%3,04847.13%2,803
Wabash 49.72%35648.18%345
Warren 49.02%72650.03%741
Washington 39.67%40957.71%595
Wayne 41.27%31954.20%419
White 48.96%56546.01%531
Whiteside 47.95%2,90051.41%3,109
Will 47.06%42,79952.42%47,674
Williamson 42.23%2,98555.30%3,909
Winnebago 47.11%15,09752.37%16,784
Woodford 43.80%1,27955.48%1,620
Total50.56%1,039,55548.61%999,494

Source: [13]

Analysis

Hillary Clinton won her birth state of Illinois by a 2-point margin, by winning with African American voters (70-30), women (55-45), and older voters (63-36), especially senior citizens (70-29). This margin was narrower than might have been expected, with Bernie Sanders winning with voters under the age of 45 (70%-30%) who made up 39% of the electorate and white voters (57-42) who made up 58% of the electorate. He also won men, 53–45. According to exit polls, the Hispanic/Latino vote was split, with Sanders narrowly winning 50–49.

As became a trend in the Democratic primary race, Hillary Clinton won Democrats (57-42), but Sanders won self-identified Independents (69-30).

Clinton performed well in Chicago where the electorate is more diverse (she won 54–46) and in the Cook Suburbs (she won 53–46). Sanders performed well in the Collar Counties (he won 52–47) in the north (he won 53–46) and in the central/south part of the state which is whiter and more rural (he won 54–45). [14]

See also

References

  1. 1 2 3 Hansen, Mary (April 4, 2016). "Clinton's Illinois win comes despite Sanders' suburban support". Daily Herald. Retrieved August 24, 2021.
  2. Primary results
  3. "ANALYSIS: 2016 Illinois Democratic Primary" (PDF).
  4. "Midwestern States a Toss Up Tuesday" (PDF).
  5. "Poll: Trump and Kasich neck-and-neck in Ohio; Trump leads in Florida".
  6. "Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio".
  7. "Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary March 8".
  8. "Clinton holds commanding lead over Sanders in Illinois" . Retrieved March 8, 2016.
  9. "Illinois Democratic Presidential Primary".
  10. "Simon Poll: Clinton, Trump Lead in Illinois" (PDF).
  11. "Poll: Clinton Lead in Illinois Over Sanders Slips".
  12. "Kirk Unpopular, Trails Duckworth" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved July 29, 2015.
  13. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
  14. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved September 25, 2016.