2016 Minnesota Democratic presidential caucuses

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2016 Minnesota Democratic presidential caucuses
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Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count4631
Popular vote126,22978,381
Percentage61.69%38.31%
Minnesota Democratic presidential caucus election results, 2016.svg
Minnesota results by county
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton
  Tie

The 2016 Minnesota Democratic presidential caucuses took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Minnesota as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Contents

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in ten other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in eleven states including their own Minnesota caucuses.

Opinion polling

Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Caucus results [1] March 1, 2016Bernie Sanders
61.6%		Hillary Clinton
38.4%
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon [2]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 800

January 18–20, 2016Hillary Clinton
59%		Bernie Sanders
25%		Martin O'Malley
1%		Undecided 15%
Public Policy Polling [3]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 426

July 30 – August 2, 2015Hillary Clinton
50%		Bernie Sanders
32%		Martin O'Malley
4%		Lincoln Chafee 3%, Jim Webb 2%, Not sure 10%
Suffolk University [4]

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 100

April 24–28, 2014Hillary Clinton
63%		Elizabeth Warren
15%		Joe Biden
4%		Cory Booker 3%, Deval Patrick 2%, Mark Warner 2%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Undecided 10%
Public Policy Polling [5]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 373

January 18–20, 2013Hillary Clinton
59%		Joe Biden
14%		Amy Klobuchar
11%		Elizabeth Warren 4%, Andrew Cuomo 3%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Deval Patrick 0%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%
Amy Klobuchar
43%		Andrew Cuomo
14%		Elizabeth Warren
10%		Martin O'Malley 1%, Deval Patrick 1%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 30%

Results

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 69

Minnesota Democratic caucuses, March 1, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Bernie Sanders 126,22961.69%46147
Hillary Clinton 78,38138.31%311344
Uncommitted—022
Total204,610100%771693
Source: [6]

Analysis

Bernie Sanders scored an imperative, much-needed victory in the Minnesota caucus, a state he had targeted to keep his path to the nomination alive. With its populist, mostly white electorate, Minnesota was a state seen as favorable to Sanders based on his performance in previous caucus contests, which was only aided by high voter turnout, almost topping the record of 211,000 votes in the 2008 Minnesota Democratic Presidential Primary. Sanders ran up big margins in Minneapolis and the Minneapolis suburbs, and in the working-class, mostly white Iron Range of northern Minnesota which contains the city of Duluth, where he won north of 60% of the vote. Sanders won 76 out of 87 counties and all eight congressional districts in the state.

Sanders had campaigned hard for the state, appearing with Rep. Keith Ellison, the Congressional Progressive Caucus co-chair who endorsed Sanders in October 2015. [7]

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References

  1. ↑ Caucus results
  2. ↑ "Minnesota Poll Results: Presidential race". Star Tribune. January 23, 2016.
  3. ↑ "Walker, Clinton Lead in Minnesota; General Closer than 2008 and 2012" (PDF). Retrieved August 4, 2015.
  4. ↑ "Suffolk Marginals" (PDF). suffolk.edu. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
  5. ↑ "PPP MN" (PDF). publicpolicypolling.com. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
  6. ↑ The Green Papers
  7. ↑ Reporter, Samantha Lachman Staff; Post, The Huffington (March 1, 2016). "Bernie Sanders Wins Crucial Victory In Minnesota Caucus". The Huffington Post. Retrieved September 25, 2016.
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