2016 Montana Democratic presidential primary

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2016 Montana Democratic presidential primary
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Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count1110
Popular vote65,156 [1] 55,805
Percentage51.56%44.16%
2016 Montana Democratic Presidential Primary election by county.svg
Election results by county.

The 2016 Montana Democratic presidential primary was held on June 7 in the U.S. state of Montana as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Contents

The Democratic Party's primaries in California, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Montana primary. Additionally, the Democratic Party held North Dakota caucuses the same day.

Opinion polling

Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Official Primary results [2] June 7, 2016Bernie Sanders
51.6%		Hillary Clinton
44.2%		No Preference
4.3%
Gravis Marketing [3]

Margin of error: 3%
Sample size: 1,035

February 24–25, 2015Hillary Clinton
42.2%		Elizabeth Warren
34.3%		Joe Biden
5.9%		Jim Webb 2.9%, Mark Warner 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Unsure 11.8%
Public Policy Polling [4]

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 381

November 15–17, 2013Hillary Clinton
47%		Brian Schweitzer
26%		Elizabeth Warren
8%		Joe Biden 6%, Andrew Cuomo 3%, Cory Booker 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 7%
Public Policy Polling [5]

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 316

June 21–23, 2013Hillary Clinton
52%		Brian Schweitzer
17%		Joe Biden
9%		Cory Booker 3%, Elizabeth Warren 3%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 13%
Public Policy Polling [6]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 371

February 15–17, 2013Hillary Clinton
58%		Brian Schweitzer
22%		Joe Biden
9%		Elizabeth Warren 5%, Andrew Cuomo 3%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Deval Patrick 1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 5%
Brian Schweitzer
35%		Joe Biden
28%		Elizabeth Warren
13%		Mark Warner 5%, Andrew Cuomo 4%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Deval Patrick 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 13%
Brian Schweitzer
46%		Elizabeth Warren
18%		Andrew Cuomo
12%		Mark Warner 3%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Deval Patrick 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 18%

Results

Montana Democratic primary, June 7, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Bernie Sanders 65,15651.56%11112
Hillary Clinton 55,80544.16%10515
No preference5,4154.28%000
Uncommitted—000
Total126,376100%21627
Source: [7] [8]

Analysis

Heading into the final batch of primaries on June 7, Montana was generally seen as a state Bernie Sanders would win, being largely whiter and more rural and less densely populated than the country at-large. Sanders has also generally performed well in the Pacific Northwest. Having put Barack Obama over the top mathematically in its Democratic Primary in 2008, Montana again voted against Hillary Clinton in 2016.

While Clinton won in the cities of Great Falls and Billings (where she had dispatched her husband earlier that month), Sanders won in Helena and Missoula and swept most of the rural counties of the state. However, that same day Clinton won large victories in California, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota and was able to claim the Democratic nomination.

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References

  1. ↑ "Montana Secretary of State - Official Primary Results" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on October 10, 2016. Retrieved August 13, 2016.
  2. ↑ Official Primary Results
  3. ↑ "Gravis Insights Political Telephone Survey Montana". Gravismarketing.com. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
  4. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  5. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  6. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  7. ↑ The Green Papers
  8. ↑ Montana Secretary of State - Official Primary Results
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