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County results Daines: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Curtis: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Montana |
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The 2014 United States Senate election in Montana took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate from Montana, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Democratic Senator Max Baucus, who had announced he would retire and not seek a seventh term, resigned in February 2014 in order to accept an appointment as United States Ambassador to China under President Barack Obama. Democrat John Walsh, the Lieutenant Governor of Montana, who was already running for Baucus' seat when Baucus was named to the ambassadorship, was appointed to replace Baucus by Governor Steve Bullock. [1]
Walsh won the Democratic primary on June 3 and ran for a first full term in office, but withdrew from the race on August 7, 2014, due to allegations that he had plagiarized a term paper while attending the Army War College. [2] Democrats selected Amanda Curtis, a state representative from Butte, to replace Walsh as the party's nominee at a convention in Helena on August 16. [3] Steve Daines, the incumbent U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district, easily won the Republican nomination.
Daines defeated Curtis 57.9% to 40.0%, while Libertarian Roger Roots won 2.2%. Daines and Arkansas' Tom Cotton became just the 18th and 19th U.S. House freshmen to win U.S. Senate races over the last 100 years, and just the third and fourth over the last 40 years. [4] Daines became the first Republican to win this Senate seat since 1907, as well as the first to ever be popularly elected to the seat.
Elected officials
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Walsh | Dirk Adams | John Bohlinger | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [33] | November 15–17, 2013 | 381 | ± 5% | 39% | 3% | 31% | — | 27% |
Harper Polling [34] | January 20–22, 2014 | 519 | ± 4.3% | 23% | 2% | 23% | — | 52% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Max Baucus | Brian Schweitzer | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [35] | June 16–19, 2011 | 333 | ± 5.4% | 34% | 51% | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling [36] | November 28–30, 2011 | 573 | ± 4.1% | 35% | 51% | — | 14% |
Public Policy Polling [37] | April 26–29, 2012 | 332 | ± 5.4% | 37% | 48% | — | 15% |
Public Policy Polling [37] | September 10–11, 2012 | 201 | ± 5.4% | 36% | 40% | — | 24% |
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 371 | ± 5.1% | 35% | 54% | — | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Denise Juneau | Brian Schweitzer | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harper Polling [39] | April 27–28, 2013 | 165 | ± 7.63% | 14% | 78% | — | 8% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Walsh (incumbent) | 48,665 | 64.04% | |
Democratic | John Bohlinger | 17,187 | 22.62% | |
Democratic | Dirk Adams | 10,139 | 13.34% | |
Total votes | 75,991 | 100.00% |
Because Walsh withdrew, a nominating convention was held to pick a new nominee prior to August 20. [41] The state party called a convention for August 16, and voting delegates were members of the State Central Committee, specifically: "one chair and one vice chair from each existing county central committee; one state committeeman and one state committeewoman from each county central committee; all voting members of the State Party Executive Board; the president of each chartered organization of the Montana Democratic Party; Montana State House leadership, and Montana State Senate leaders, and all Democrats currently holding statewide or federal office." [42]
Momentary buzz was created by a movement to draft actor Jeff Bridges for the nomination, with over 1,000 people signing a petition on Change.org and a Twitter account, DudeSenator, being created online. Bridges, who lives part-time and owns property in the Paradise Valley south of Livingston, Montana, declined the offer on the Howard Stern show, noting the disapproval of his wife. Other news outlets noted that he also was not registered to vote in Montana. [43] [44]
Elected officials
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Amanda Curtis | 82 | 64.0% | |
Democratic | Dirk Adams | 46 | 36.0% | |
Total votes | 128 | 100.0% |
Elected officials
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Daines | Champ Edmunds | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [33] | November 15–17, 2013 | 469 | ± 4.5% | 66% | 7% | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Daines | Champ Edmunds | Marc Racicot | Corey Stapleton | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harper Polling [39] | April 27–28, 2013 | 472 | ± 4.51% | 26% | 3% | 42% | 6% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 340 | ± 5.3% | 28% | 5% | 47% | 5% | 14% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Daines | 110,565 | 83.37% | |
Republican | Susan Cundiff | 11,909 | 8.98% | |
Republican | Champ Edmunds | 10,151 | 7.65% | |
Total votes | 132,625 | 100.00% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [95] | Solid R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [96] | Safe R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report [97] | Safe R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics [98] | Safe R (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Daines (R) | Amanda Curtis (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports [99] | August 18–19, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 55% | 35% | 2% | 8% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [100] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 684 | ± 5% | 53% | 35% | 1% | 11% |
Gravis Marketing [101] | September 29–30, 2014 | 535 | ± 4% | 54% | 41% | — | 5% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [102] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 549 | ± 5% | 55% | 34% | 0% | 10% |
The MSU-Billings Poll [103] | October 6–11, 2014 | 410 | ± 5% | 47% | 31% | 2% [104] | 21% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [102] | October 16–23, 2014 | 497 | ± 6% | 56% | 38% | 0% | 6% |
Gravis Marketing [105] | October 23–24, 2014 | 604 | ± 4% | 53% | 39% | — | 8% |
With Adams
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dirk Adams (D) | Steve Daines (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harper Polling [34] | January 20–22, 2014 | 519 | ± 4.3% | 20% | 44% | — | 36% |
with Baucus
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Max Baucus (D) | Steve Daines (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 44% | 49% | — | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Max Baucus (D) | Champ Edmunds (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 47% | 37% | — | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Max Baucus (D) | Tim Fox (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 46% | 43% | — | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Max Baucus (D) | Marc Racicot (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 42% | 47% | — | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Max Baucus (D) | Corey Stapleton (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 45% | 38% | — | 16% |
With Bohlinger
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Bohlinger (D) | Steve Daines (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [33] | November 15–17, 2013 | 952 | ± 3.2% | 36% | 51% | — | 13% |
Harper Polling [34] | January 20–22, 2014 | 519 | ± 4.3% | 32% | 43% | — | 25% |
Harper Polling [106] | April 7–8, 2014 | 604 | ± 4.3% | 33% | 44% | — | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Bohlinger (D) | Champ Edmunds (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [33] | November 15–17, 2013 | 952 | ± 3.2% | 37% | 39% | — | 24% |
With Juneau
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Denise Juneau (D) | Steve Daines (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 48% | — | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Denise Juneau (D) | Champ Edmunds (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 34% | — | 25% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Denise Juneau (D) | Marc Racicot (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 37% | 52% | — | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Denise Juneau (D) | Corey Stapleton (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 42% | 38% | — | 21% |
With Keenan
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nancy Keenan (D) | Steve Daines (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 39% | 49% | — | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nancy Keenan (D) | Champ Edmunds (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 41% | 36% | — | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nancy Keenan (D) | Tim Fox (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 40% | 45% | — | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nancy Keenan (D) | Marc Racicot (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 38% | 50% | — | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Nancy Keenan (D) | Corey Stapleton (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 40% | 40% | — | 20% |
With Lindeen
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Monica Lindeen (D) | Steve Daines (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 37% | 49% | — | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Monica Lindeen (D) | Champ Edmunds (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 34% | — | 26% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Monica Lindeen (D) | Marc Racicot (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 35% | 52% | — | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Monica Lindeen (D) | Corey Stapleton (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 37% | — | 24% |
With Schweitzer
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brian Schweitzer (D) | Steve Daines (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 48% | 45% | — | 7% |
Harper Polling [39] | April 27–28, 2013 | 771 | ± 3.53% | 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 48% | 45% | — | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brian Schweitzer (D) | Champ Edmunds (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 52% | 37% | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 52% | 37% | — | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brian Schweitzer (D) | Tim Fox (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 49% | 43% | — | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brian Schweitzer (D) | Marc Racicot (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 45% | 46% | — | 9% |
Harper Polling [39] | April 27–28, 2013 | 771 | ± 3.53% | 47% | 43% | — | 10% |
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 46% | 47% | — | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Brian Schweitzer (D) | Corey Stapleton (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [38] | February 15–17, 2013 | 1,011 | ± 3.1% | 49% | 39% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling [93] | June 21–23, 2013 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 52% | 38% | — | 10% |
With Walsh
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Walsh (D) | Steve Daines (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [33] | November 15–17, 2013 | 952 | ± 3.2% | 35% | 52% | — | 13% |
Harper Polling [34] | January 20–22, 2014 | 519 | ± 4.3% | 29% | 43% | — | 28% |
Rasmussen Reports [99] | March 17–18, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 37% | 51% | 4% | 9% |
Magellan Strategies [107] | April 1–2, 2014 | 2,490 | ± 1.96% | 36% | 49% | 9% [108] | 6% |
Harper Polling [106] | April 7–8, 2014 | 604 | ± 4.3% | 35% | 42% | — | 23% |
Hickman Analytics [109] | April 24–30, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 37% | 49% | — | 14% |
Vox Populi Polling [110] | May 21–22, 2014 | 806 | ± 3.5% | 33% | 56% | — | 11% |
Magellan Strategies [111] | June 4–5, 2014 | 761 | ± 3.57% | 39% | 55% | — | 6% |
Rasmussen Reports [99] | June 9–10, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 35% | 53% | 3% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling [112] | July 17–18, 2014 | 574 | ± 4.1% | 39% | 46% | — | 15% |
Gravis Marketing [113] | July 20–22, 2014 | 741 | ± 4% | 41% | 45% | 6% [104] | 7% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [114] | July 5–24, 2014 | 838 | ± 3.6% | 39% | 55% | 2% | 4% |
Gravis Marketing [115] | July 24, 2014 | 781 | ± 3.5% | 38% | 45% | 9% [104] | 8% |
Vox Populi Polling [116] | August 3–4, 2014 | 798 | ± 3.5% | 34% | 47% | — | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Walsh (D) | Champ Edmunds (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [33] | November 15–17, 2013 | 952 | ± 3.2% | 36% | 38% | — | 26% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Daines | 213,709 | 57.79% | +30.71% | |
Democratic | Amanda Curtis | 148,184 | 40.07% | −32.85% | |
Libertarian | Roger Roots | 7,933 | 2.14% | N/A | |
Total votes | 369,826 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
Maxwell Sieben Baucus is an American politician who served as a United States senator from Montana from 1978 to 2014. A member of the Democratic Party, he was a U.S. senator for over 35 years, making him the longest-serving U.S. senator in Montana history. President Barack Obama appointed Baucus to replace Gary Locke as the 11th U.S. Ambassador to the People's Republic of China, a position he held from 2014 until 2017.
Brian David Schweitzer is an American farmer and politician who served as the 23rd Governor of Montana from 2005 to 2013. Schweitzer served for a time as chair of the Western Governors Association as well as the Democratic Governors Association. He also served as President of the Council of State Governments.
John Bohlinger, Jr. is an American businessman and politician who served as the 33rd Lieutenant Governor of Montana from 2005 to 2013. He ran for the office as a Republican on a bipartisan ticket headed by Democratic gubernatorial candidate Brian Schweitzer. Schweitzer and Bohlinger were elected to the governorship and lieutenant governorship in 2004; both were reelected in 2008. Due to term limits, they were unable to run in the 2012 election. Bohlinger switched to the Democratic Party in 2013.
The 2008 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Senator Max Baucus won re-election to a sixth term in a landslide, winning more than 70% of the vote and carrying every county in the state, despite Republican John McCain's narrow victory in the state in the concurrent presidential election. Baucus later resigned his seat on February 6, 2014, after the Senate confirmed him to be U.S. Ambassador to China, having already announced his intention to retire at the end of term on April 23, 2013. As of 2024, this is the last time Democrats won the Class 2 Senate seat in Montana.
The 2008 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2008 to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Montana. Incumbent governor Brian Schweitzer, a Democrat who was elected to his first four-year term in 2004, was elected to a second term with 65.5% of the vote. Incumbent lieutenant governor John Bohlinger, a Republican who was once again Schweitzer's running mate, was reelected to a second term. The Republican nominee was Roy Brown, a member of the Montana Senate. Brown's running mate was businessman Steve Daines, a future U.S. Representative and a future U.S. Senator.
The 2004 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2004 for the post of Governor of Montana. Democrat Brian Schweitzer defeated Montana Secretary of State and Republican nominee Bob Brown with 50.4% of the vote against 46%. Schweitzer formed a ticket with a Republican running mate, choosing state legislator John Bohlinger for the lieutenant governorship.
Steven David Daines is an American politician and former corporate executive serving as the junior United States senator from Montana since 2015. A member of the Republican Party, he represented Montana's at-large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2013 to 2015.
Stephen Clark Bullock is an American politician and lawyer who served as the 24th governor of Montana from 2013 to 2021. He is a member of the Democratic Party.
Corey Stapleton is an American politician and musician who served as the Secretary of State of Montana from 2017 to 2021. A Republican, he served as a member of the Montana State Senate from 2001 to 2009.
The 2012 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 6, 2012, alongside a presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2012 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Montana. Incumbent Democratic Governor Brian Schweitzer was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term.
The 2012 congressional election in Montana was held on November 6, 2012, to determine who would represent the state of Montana in the United States House of Representatives. At the time, Montana had one seat in the House. Incumbent Denny Rehberg did not run for reelection, choosing instead to run for the seat in the U.S. Senate. A primary election was held on June 5, 2012. Republican businessman Steve Daines won the open seat.
John Edward Walsh is an American real estate agent, former politician and former military officer who served as a United States Senator from Montana from 2014 to 2015. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously served as a colonel in the Army National Guard, the adjutant general of the Montana National Guard with a state commission as a brigadier general from 2008 to 2012 and the 34th Lieutenant Governor of Montana from 2013 to 2014 under Governor Steve Bullock.
Amanda Gayle Curtis is an American politician who serves as the president of the Montana Federation of Public Employees (MFPE), Montana's largest labor union.
Angela McLean is an American politician and educator who served as the 35th Lieutenant Governor of Montana from February 10, 2014, to January 3, 2016. Governor Steve Bullock, a Democrat, selected McLean in 2014 to replace newly appointed U.S. Senator John Walsh after appointing Walsh to the vacancy created by Senator Max Baucus's resignation.
The 2014 congressional election in Montana was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. Between 1993 and 2023, Montana had one at-large seat in the House.
The 2016 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Montana, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2020 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Montana. It was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries for both the Democratic and Republican nominations took place on June 2, 2020. Incumbent senator Steve Daines won the Republican primary, while Montana Gov. Steve Bullock won the Democratic primary.
The 2020 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the next governor of Montana, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the U.S. Senate and the House of Representatives and various state and local elections. It resulted in voters selecting Greg Gianforte over Mike Cooney. Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Bullock was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term in office, and he ran unsuccessfully for Montana's Class II Senate seat.
In Montana, an at-large congressional district special election was held on May 25, 2017, to determine the member of the United States House of Representatives for Montana's at-large congressional district. The election was necessitated by incumbent Republican Representative Ryan Zinke's appointment as United States Secretary of the Interior. Zinke resigned on March 1, 2017, upon his confirmation.
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