2014 United States Senate election in Texas

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2014 United States Senate election in Texas
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Turnout33.1%
  John Cornyn official senate portrait.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee John Cornyn David Alameel
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote2,861,5311,597,387
Percentage61.56%34.36%
2014 United States Senate election in Texas results map by county.svg
2014 United States Senate election in Texas by congressional district.svg
TX-2014 SEN WIKI.svg
Cornyn:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Alameel:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data
U.S. senator before election

John Cornyn
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Cornyn
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate. Incumbent Republican senator and Senate Minority Whip John Cornyn ran for re-election to a third term. Primary elections were held on March 4, 2014. Since no Democratic candidate received over 50% in the first round of the primary, a runoff election was required on May 27, 2014. David Alameel, who came in first in the primary, won the runoff and became his party's nominee. In the general election, Cornyn defeated Alameel in a landslide.

Contents

Republican primary

In February 2014, Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell was featured in a controversial television advertisement by Dwayne Stovall. Stovall belittled McConnell, Cornyn's superior in the Senate leadership, as an ineffective "Beltway turtle" who is out-of-touch with the party rank-and-file. [1] Until the controversial advertisement, the media had largely ignored Stovall's candidacy.

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Erick Wyatt, U.S. Army veteran [9]

Declined

Endorsements

John Cornyn

Individuals

Organizations

Steve Stockman

Individuals

Organizations

Linda Vega

Individuals

  • Erick Wyatt, former candidate for the U.S. Senate [26]
Declined to endorse

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Curt
Cleaver		Ken
Cope		John
Cornyn		Chris
Mapp		Reid
Reasor		Steve
Stockman		Dwayne
Stovall		Linda
Vega		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [28] November 1–4, 2013388± 4.4%——41%——18%———44%
Wilson Perkins Allen [29] December 13, 2013762± 3.6%——50%——6%——5%39%
Gravis Marketing [30] February 10–12, 2014729± 3.6%——43%——28%———29%
UoT/Texas Tribune [31] February 7–17, 2014461± 4.56%1%4%62%3%3%16%4%7%——
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Cornyn		Someone more
conservative		Undecided
Gravis Marketing [32] October 26, 2013563± 3%33%46%21%
Public Policy Polling [28] November 1–4, 2013388± 4.4%33%49%18%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Cornyn		Dwayne
Stovall		Erick
Wyatt		Undecided
UoT/Texas Tribune [33] October 18–27, 2013519± 5.02%39%7%6%48%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Cornyn		David
Barton		Rafael
Cruz		Louie
Gohmert		Ron
Paul		Rick
Perry		Steve
Stockman		Undecided
UoT/Texas Tribune [33] October 18–27, 2013519± 5.02%25%—41%—18%—3%13%
35%————46%—20%
34%———44%——22%
40%——31%———29%
39%—33%————28%
Public Policy Polling [28] November 1–4, 2013388± 4.4%51%18%—————31%

Results

Republican primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Cornyn (incumbent) 781,259 59.43%
Republican Steve Stockman251,57719.13%
Republican Dwayne Stovall140,79410.71%
Republican Linda Vega50,0573.80%
Republican Ken Cope34,4092.61%
Republican Chris Mapp23,5351.79%
Republican Reid Reasor20,6001.56%
Republican Curt Cleaver12,3250.94%
Total votes1,314,556 100.00%

Because Cornyn surpassed a majority in the primary, he faced no runoff election. [34] Cornyn's winning percent and margin of victory were the lowest by any Texas Republican U.S. Senator in a primary election in state history. [35]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

David Alameel

Individuals

Organizations

  • Bexar County African-American Political Alliance [42]
  • Bexar County Northside Coalition of Women [42]
  • Bexar County Mexican American Democrats [42]
  • Bexar County Second Chance Democrats [42]
  • Bexar County Tejano Democrats [42]
  • Bexar County Young Tejano Democrats [42]
  • Hispanic Women for Better Justice [42]
  • Houston GLBT Political Caucus [42]
  • Mexican American Democrats of Texas, San Antonio Chapter [42]
  • Texas Young Democrats Women's Caucus [42]

Media

Michael Fjetland

Media

Kesha Rogers

Organizations

  • Doctors Against Murderous Obamacare [45]
Maxey Scherr

Individuals

Organizations

  • Amalgamated Transit Union Local 694 [46]
  • American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) Local 59 [46]
  • Austin Environmental Democrats [46]
  • Austin North by Northwest (NxNW) Democrats [46]
  • Austin Progressive Coalition [46]
  • Austin Stonewall Democrats [46]
  • Austin Young Democrats [46]
  • Bay Area New Democrats (BAND) [46]
  • Capital Area Asian American Democrats [46]
  • Central Austin Democrats [46]
  • Democracy for Houston [46]
  • El Paso Black Democrats [46]
  • El Paso Central Labor Union [46]
  • El Paso West Side Democrats [46]
  • Galveston Democratic Coalition [46]
  • International Association of Fire Fighters Local 51 [46]
  • NE Travis County Democrats [46]
  • San Antonio Stonewall Democrats [46]
  • South East Texas Stonewall Democrats [46]
  • State Tejano Democrats [46]
  • Texas Womans Coalition [46]
  • University Democrats (UDems) [46]
  • University of Houston Democrats [46]

Media

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		David
Alameel		Michael
Fjetland		Harry
Kim		Kesha
Rogers		Maxey
Scherr		OtherUndecided
UoT/Texas Tribune [31] February 7–17, 2014263± 6.04%27%9%14%35%15%——

Results

Democratic primary results [49]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic David Alameel 239,914 47.04%
Democratic Kesha Rogers 110,146 21.59%
Democratic Maxey Scherr90,35917.71%
Democratic HyeTae "Harry" Kim45,2078.86%
Democratic Michael Fjetland24,3834.80%
Total votes510,009 100.00%

Because no candidate received over 50% of the vote in the primary, the two with the most votes – David Alameel and Kesha Rogers – advanced to a runoff on May 27. [50]

Democratic primary runoff results [51]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic David Alameel 145,039 72.16%
Democratic Kesha Rogers55,95327.84%
Total votes200,992 100.00%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Declared

Results

Rebecca Paddock won the nomination.

Green nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Emily Marie Sanchez [53]

Results

Sanchez won the nomination.

General election

Debates

2014 United States Senate election in Texas debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
John Cornyn David Alameel
1Oct. 24, 2014 KUVN-DT Wendy Cruz [54] PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [55] Solid RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [56] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [57] Safe RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [58] Safe RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Cornyn (R)		David
Alameel (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling [59] April 10–13, 2014559± 4.1%49%32%—20%
UoT/Texas Tribune [60] May 30 – June 8, 20141,200± 2.83%36%25%13% [61] 26%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [62] July 5–24, 20144,353± 3.7%52%35%3%10%
Rasmussen Reports [63] August 4–5, 20144,353± 3.0%47%29%6%19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [64] August 18 – September 2, 20144,189± 2%55%39%3%8%
Texas Lyceum [65] September 11–25, 2014666± 3.8%48%30%8% [66] 14%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [67] September 20 – October 1, 20144,177± 2%55%35%1%9%
Rasmussen Reports [63] October 1–2, 2014840± 3.5%50%29%6%15%
UoT/Texas Tribune [68] October 10–19, 2014866± 3.6%57%31%12% [69] —
CBS News/NYT/YouGov [67] October 16–23, 20143,987± 3%57%35%1%8%
Hypothetical polling

With Castro

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Cornyn (R)		Julian
Castro (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [70] January 24–27, 2012500± 4.4%48%41%11%
Public Policy Polling [71] June 28 – July 1, 2013500± 4.4%50%37%13%
Public Policy Polling [28] November 1–4, 2013500± 4.4%49%35%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Louie
Gohmert (R)		Julian
Castro (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [28] November 1–4, 2013500± 4.4%44%35%21%

With Davis

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Cornyn (R)		Wendy
Davis (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [70] January 24–27, 2012500± 4.4%48%37%14%
Public Policy Polling [71] June 28 – July 1, 2013500± 4.4%48%40%12%

With Parker

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Cornyn (R)		Annise
Parker (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [70] January 24–27, 2012500± 4.4%47%36%16%
Public Policy Polling [71] June 28 – July 1, 2013500± 4.4%49%36%15%

With White

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Cornyn (R)		Bill
White (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [70] January 24–27, 2012500± 4.4%45%42%13%
Public Policy Polling [71] June 28 – July 1, 2013500± 4.4%47%40%13%
Public Policy Polling [28] November 1–4, 2013500± 4.4%44%39%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Louie
Gohmert (R)		Bill
White (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling [28] November 1–4, 2013500± 4.4%40%39%21%

Results

2014 United States Senate election in Texas [72]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican John Cornyn (incumbent) 2,861,531 61.56% +6.74%
Democratic David Alameel1,597,38734.36%−8.48%
Libertarian Rebecca Paddock133,7512.88%+0.54%
Green Emily Sanchez54,7011.18%N/A
Independent Mohammed Tahiro (write-in)9980.02%N/A
Total votes4,648,358 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

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References

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  26. ↑ "Erick Wyatt Withdraws from US Senate Race". Facebook. November 25, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
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  28. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Public Policy Polling
  29. ↑ Wilson Perkins Allen
  30. ↑ Gravis Marketing
  31. 1 2 UoT/Texas Tribune
  32. ↑ Gravis Marketing
  33. 1 2 UoT/Texas Tribune
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  40. ↑ Catherine Thompson (August 5, 2013). "Texas governor race 2014: Wendy Davis: I will run for reelection or governor". Politico. Retrieved August 6, 2013.
  41. ↑ "Bill White says Texas lagging in skilled jobs". Houston Chronicle. February 28, 2013. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
  42. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 "Endorsements". David Alameel for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on February 21, 2014. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  43. ↑ Swartsell, Nick (January 13, 2014). "Wendy Davis endorses David Alameel for U.S. Senate". The Dallas Morning News . Archived from the original on January 16, 2014. Retrieved January 20, 2014.
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  45. ↑ Overton, Ian (February 13, 2014). "Kesha Rogers Receives Endorsement from Doctors Against Murderous Obamacare". Kesha Rogers for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on February 21, 2014. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  46. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 "Endorsements". Maxey Scherr for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on February 21, 2014. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  47. 1 2 3 4 Kuffner, Charles (December 6, 2013). "Maxey Scherr kicks off her campaign". Off the Kuff. Retrieved December 8, 2013.
  48. ↑ "Burnt Orange Report Endorses Maxey Scherr for US Senate". Burnt Orange Report. February 19, 2014. Archived from the original on February 27, 2014. Retrieved February 19, 2014.
  49. ↑ "2014 Democratic Party Primary Election". Archived from the original on January 9, 2014.
  50. ↑ Weissert, Will (March 5, 2014). "Alameel, Rogers Advance to Texas Senate Runoff". abcnews.go.com. ABC News. Archived from the original on March 17, 2014. Retrieved March 6, 2014.
  51. ↑ "Texas - Summary Vote Results". Associated Press. May 28, 2014. Retrieved May 29, 2014.
  52. 1 2 3 "2014 Federal Candidates". Libertarian Party of Texas. Archived from the original on December 15, 2013. Retrieved December 9, 2013.
  53. ↑ "Texas Greens Occupy Ballot In 2014". Green Party. December 10, 2013. Archived from the original on February 1, 2014. Retrieved January 29, 2014.
  54. ↑ C-SPAN
  55. ↑ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  56. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  57. ↑ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  58. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  59. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  60. ↑ UoT/Texas Tribune
  61. ↑ Rebecca Paddock (L) 5%, Emily Marie Sanchez (G) 3%, Other 5%
  62. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  63. 1 2 Rasmussen Reports
  64. ↑ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  65. ↑ Texas Lyceum [ permanent dead link ]
  66. ↑ Rebecca Paddock (L) 4%, Emily Marie Sanchez (G) 4%
  67. 1 2 CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  68. ↑ UoT/Texas Tribune
  69. ↑ Rebecca Paddock (L) 7%, Emily Marie Sanchez (G) 5%
  70. 1 2 3 4 Public Policy Polling
  71. 1 2 3 4 Public Policy Polling
  72. ↑ Race Summary Report. 2014 General Election Office of the Secretary of State. Retrieved January 14, 2023

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