2006 United States Senate election in Texas

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2006 United States Senate election in Texas
Flag of Texas.svg
  2000 November 7, 2006 2012  
  Kay Bailey Hutchison, official photo 2.jpg BAR speech flags (cropped).jpg
Nominee Kay Bailey Hutchison Barbara Ann Radnofsky
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote2,661,7891,555,202
Percentage61.69%36.04%

2006 United States Senate election in Texas results map by county.svg
County results
Hutchison:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Radnofsky:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Kay Bailey Hutchison
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Kay Bailey Hutchison
Republican

The 2006 United States Senate election in Texas was held November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison won re-election to a third full term.

Contents

As of 2024, this was the last time a Republican won Texas's Class 1 Senate seat with over 60% of the vote, as well as the last time a Republican candidate for this seat won Dallas or Bexar counties.

General election

Major candidates

Democratic

  • Barbara Ann Radnofsky, attorney
  • Gene Kelly, retired attorney & 2000 Democratic Senate Nominee
  • Darrel Reece Hunter

Republican

Campaign

The Democratic nominee had never run for public office and was expected to face an uphill battle in the general election, especially in a state that has not elected a Democrat statewide since 1994 and against a historically popular Hutchison. Since neither Radnofsky nor her main opponent, Gene Kelly, had received a majority of votes in the Democratic primary, a runoff was held April 11, 2006, which Radnofsky won. Radnofsky's campaign platform is available on her website. [1] Scott Lanier Jameson won the Libertarian Party nomination at the party's state convention on June 10, 2006, defeating Timothy Wade and Ray Salinas. Arthur W. Loux, a Roman Forest City Councilman and a member of the Minutemen, was running as an independent.

Hutchison co-sponsored legislation supporting the creation of a constitutional amendment that would limit terms for senators but had been quoted saying that she would only leave after two terms if such a law applied to all senators. [2] After deciding not to challenge Governor Rick Perry this year, as had been widely speculated, Hutchison was running for a third term. [3]

She had no opposition in the 2006 Republican primary and had approval ratings in the 60 percent range going into the election, [4] although they had been slipping rapidly.

Debate

2006 United States Senate election in Texas debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic Libertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Kay Bailey
Hutchison
Barbara Ann
Radnofsky
Scott Jameson
1Oct. 19, 2006 KLRN
Texas League of Women Voters
Yolette Garcia C-SPAN [5] PPP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [6] Solid RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report [8] Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics [9] Safe RNovember 6, 2006

Polling

SourceDateHutchison (R)Radnofsky (D)
Polimetrix [10] November 5, 200665%29%
Zogby [11] October 25, 200661%27%
Rasmussen [12] October 23, 200660%34%
Rasmussen [13] August 31, 200658%32%
Rasmussen [14] August 3, 200661%31%
Rasmussen [15] July 13, 200658%31%
Rasmussen [16] May 18, 200653%34%
Rasmussen [17] January 8, 200664%25%

Results

United States Senate election in Texas, 2006 [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison (incumbent) 2,661,789 61.69 −4.65
Democratic Barbara Ann Radnofsky 1,555,20236.04+3.69
Libertarian Scott Jameson97,6722.26+1.10
Majority1,106,58725.7
Turnout 4,314,663
Republican hold Swing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

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References

  1. "Radnofsky Mediation Services". Radnofsky.com. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
  2. Hamilton, Reeve (November 17, 2009). "Working Overtime". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  3. Ramsey, Ross (November 22, 2010). "Kay Será, Será". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  4. "SurveyUSA News Poll #9993". www.surveyusa.com. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  5. C-SPAN
  6. "2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 5, 2008. Retrieved September 30, 2021.
  7. "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2006. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  8. "2006 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  9. "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  10. Polimetrix
  11. Zogby
  12. Rasmussen
  13. Rasmussen
  14. Rasmussen
  15. Rasmussen
  16. Rasmussen
  17. Rasmussen
  18. "2006 General Election". Texas Secretary of State. November 7, 2006.

Official campaign websites (Archived)