2026 United States Senate election in Texas

Last updated

2026 United States Senate election in Texas
Flag of Texas.svg
  2020 November 3, 20262032 
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

John Cornyn
Republican



The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Incumbent four-term Republican Senator John Cornyn, who was re-elected in 2020 is eligible to run for re-election to a fifth term in office.

Contents

Republicans have won every U.S. Senate election in Texas since 1988. Due to Donald Trump's strong performance in Texas in 2024, Cornyn is generally seen as a strong favorite to win re-election.

Republican primary

Due to various votes and positions taken by Cornyn on topics such as gun control [1] and immigration, [2] he is considered vulnerable to a primary challenge.

Candidates

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
John
Cornyn
Ronny
Jackson
Ken
Paxton
Chip
Roy
Undecided
Victory Insights (R) January 4–6, 2025600 (LV)± 4.0%34%42%25%
CWS Research (R) [9] [A] October 19–23, 2023823 (RV)± 3.42%35%14%18%33%
CWS Research (R) [10] [A] July 9–10, 20221,918 (RV)± 2.2%31%51%18%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [11] Solid RJanuary 17, 2025

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 Poll conducted for the Defend Texas Liberty PAC

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References

  1. Livingston, Abby (June 27, 2022). "'This was fundamentally important': John Cornyn says gun deal shows U.S. Senate can still function". The Texas Tribune . Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  2. Svitek, Patrick (February 2, 2021). "With John Cornyn's support, new Texas coalition forms to push for congressional fix for 'Dreamers'". The Texas Tribune . Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  3. Jeffers, Gromer Jr. (May 24, 2024). "U.S. Sen. John Cornyn commits to seeking reelection in 2026". The Dallas Morning News . Retrieved May 24, 2024.
  4. Lewis, Jason; Fikes, Barry (October 16, 2024). "A Night with Rennie Mann: From Community Stories to U.S. Senate Candidacy". Coyote Nation (Podcast). Retrieved December 5, 2024 via Podbean.
  5. Singer, Jeff; Nir, David (December 10, 2024). "Morning Digest: California's next race for governor is huge—and getting huger". The Downballot. Retrieved December 10, 2024.
  6. 1 2 3 Jeffers, Gromer (November 29, 2024). "John Cornyn and Ken Paxton have been trading jabs as a potential primary showdown looms". The Dallas Morning News . Retrieved November 29, 2024.
  7. Goldsberry, Jenny (December 22, 2024). "Paxton fans flames in tease of primary run against Cornyn". Washington Examiner . Retrieved January 6, 2025.
  8. 1 2 Solender, Andrew (November 27, 2024). "Scoop: A huge wave of House members is eyeing runs for other offices in 2026". Axios . Retrieved November 27, 2024.
  9. CWS Research (R)
  10. CWS Research (R)
  11. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.