2026 United States Senate election in Maine

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2026 United States Senate election in Maine
Flag of Maine.svg
  2020 November 3, 2026 (2026-11-03)2032 
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

Susan Collins
Republican



The 2026 United States Senate election in Maine will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Maine. Incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins has stated that she intends to run for re-election for a sixth term, though she has not formally launched a campaign. [1]

Contents

This will be the only Republican-held Senate seat up for election in 2026 in a state that Kamala Harris won in the 2024 presidential election. Collins is the only incumbent Republican senator in any of the 19 states that Donald Trump did not win in any of his three elections. [2]

This election will coincide with U.S. House elections for Maine's two congressional districts, a gubernatorial election, and various other state, county and local elections. The primary is scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Both the primary and general elections will be conducted with ranked-choice voting. [3]

Background

The northernmost state in New England, Maine is one of the most rural states in the nation, and is considered to be a moderately blue state, having voted for every Democratic presidential nominee since 1992, and voting for Kamala Harris by about seven percentage points in 2024. Democrats also control the governorship, the state legislature, and both seats in Maine's U.S. House congressional delegation. [4] Furthermore, after Jared Golden defeated Bruce Poliquin in Maine's 2nd congressional district in 2018, Collins has been the only Republican representing any state in New England at the federal level, in either chamber of Congress. [5]

Collins was first elected in 1996, and was re-elected in four subsequent elections, significantly outperforming other Republicans in the state. In 2020, despite almost all polls and analysts predicting that she would lose her re-election bid, Collins unexpectedly defeated Democratic nominee Sara Gideon by about eight percentage points. Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden carried Maine by about nine percentage points on the same ballot. [6]

As the only Republican-held Senate seat up for election in a state that Kamala Harris won in the 2024 presidential election, and Collins' record of over-performance, despite the state's Democratic lean, Maine is considered a key Senate battleground in 2026. This Senate seat has been held by Republicans since 1979, when Collins' predecessor, Republican William Cohen, defeated incumbent Democrat William Hathaway. Cohen's victory over Hathaway is the last time an incumbent U.S. Senator has been defeated for re-election in Maine.

With the decline of ticket splitting, and being in a mid-term year with a Republican president, Collins is widely viewed as the most vulnerable incumbent Republican senator. [7] [8] Following the retirement of Joe Manchin, and the defeats of Democratic senators Jon Tester and Sherrod Brown in 2024, Collins remains the last senator to represent a non-swing state of the opposite party (i. e., a reliably red or blue state).

Republican primary

Collins was first elected in 1996, and has served five consecutive terms. [9] While she has the firm backing of national Republicans, [10] three conservative Republicans are challenging Collins in the primary. [11]

Candidates

Declared

  • Carmen Calabrese, restaurant owner [1]
  • Bill Clarke, entrepreneur and Constitution Party nominee for U.S. Senate in 1996 and governor in 1998 [12]
  • Dan Smeriglio, former police officer [13]

Publicly expressed interest

Endorsements

Susan Collins (not declared)
U.S. Senators
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Susan Collins (R)$7,933,772$2,526,858$6,702,107
Source: Federal Election Commission [16]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Carmen
Calabrese
Susan
Collins
Dan
Smeriglio
OtherUndecided
University of New Hampshire [17] October 16–21, 2025417 (LV)± 4.8%1%66%1%4% [c] 27%

Democratic primary

In April 2025, Jordan Wood became the first Democrat to announce his Senate candidacy. Wood previously worked as chief of staff to U.S. Representative Katie Porter, and helped lead the End Citizens United political action committee. [18] [19] On August 19, 2025, Sullivan Harbor Master Graham Platner announced his candidacy, [20] receiving the support of organized labor and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders. [21] Progressive, and younger, Democratic senators, like Elizabeth Warren, Chris Murphy, Sheldon Whitehouse, and Andy Kim, have also expressed support for Platner's candidacy, while stopping short of endorsing in the primary, as of October 2025. [22] [23] Term-limited Governor Janet Mills was seen as a potential candidate to challenge Collins for months, with many national Democrats (including Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, and the DSCC) encouraging her to run, [24] [25] [26] [27] though others, like Sanders, have publicly discouraged her from running. [28] Leaked campaign documents in early October indicated that Mills was set to enter the race shortly, [29] and Mills officially announced her campaign on October 14. [30] [31] Mills would be the oldest freshman senator in history, at 79 years old at the start of the term should she be elected, causing some to express concern about her age. [32] [31] Mills has said she plans to serve one term should she be elected. [33] Several other Democrats have also announced campaigns. After Mills' announcement, Democratic candidates Dan Kleban and Daira Smith-Rodriguez withdrew their candidacies and endorsed Mills. [34] [35]

Shortly after Mills entered the race, Platner came under fire for resurfaced controversial Reddit posts, resulting in his campaign's political director, former state representative Genevieve McDonald, quitting the campaign and calling Platner "unelectable". However, Democratic National Committee Chair Ken Martin stated that the comments were not disqualifying, [36] and Platner apologized in a five-minute video posted to social media. On October 21, Platner released a video of himself dancing and singing shirtless at his brother's wedding, revealing he had a chest tattoo that resembled the Totenkopf used by Nazi Germany's Schutzstaffel . Platner stated he got the tattoo while inebriated with other Marines while stationed in Croatia, mistaking the symbol for a skull and crossbones. He had the tattoo covered, [37] and professed his shame and disgust for getting a tattoo that resembled the fascist insignia. [38] Platner also called himself an anti-fascist "supersoldier" in an old Reddit comment. [39]

On November 12, Wood withdrew from the race to instead run for the U.S. House of Representatives seat in Maine's 2nd congressional district after incumbent Democrat Jared Golden announced he would not seek re-election. [40]

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Janet Mills
U.S. senators
Individuals
  • Dan Kleban, brewery owner and former candidate for this seat [34]
  • Daira Smith-Rodriguez, former civilian contracting officer for the U.S. Air Force and former candidate for this seat [35]
Organizations
Graham Platner
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Dan Kleban (withdrawn)
State legislators
Individuals
Jordan Wood (withdrawn)
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Declined to endorse
U.S. senators

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
David
Costello
Janet
Mills
Graham
Platner
Jordan
Wood
OtherUndecided
Maine People's Resource Center [81] October 26–29, 2025783 (LV)± 3.5%39%41%5%14%
47% [e] 53%
SoCal Strategies [82] October 21–25, 2025500 (LV)± 4.4%1%41%36%2%20%
NRSC (R) [83] October 22–23, 2025647 (LV)± 3.5%25%46%3%26%
University of New Hampshire [17] October 16–21, 2025510 (LV)± 4.3%1%24%58%1%1% [f] 14%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
David Costello (D)$19,873$5,121$14,752
Tucker Favreau (D)$6,128$1,246$4,882
Dan Kleban (D) [g] $336,745$115,719$221,026
Graham Platner (D)$3,248,760$1,007,837$2,240,923
Daira Smith-Rodriguez (D) [g] $188,832$33,305$155,527
Jordan Wood (D) [g] $3,098,912$2,178,443$920,470
Source: Federal Election Commission [16]

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Phillip Rench (I)$55,313$31,072$24,241
Source: Federal Election Commission [16]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Inside Elections [85] Tilt RAugust 12, 2025
The Cook Political Report [86] TossupOctober 14, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball [87] TossupOctober 14, 2025
Race To The WH [88] TossupSeptember 4, 2025

Polling

Susan Collins vs. Janet Mills

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Susan
Collins (R)
Janet
Mills (D)
OtherUndecided
Maine People's Resource Center [81] October 26–29, 2025783 (LV)± 3.5%46%42%14%
Zenith Research (D) [89] [A] October 7–10, 2025501 (LV)± 4.4%37%42%10% [h] 12%

Susan Collins vs. Graham Platner

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Susan
Collins (R)
Graham
Platner (D)
OtherUndecided
Maine People's Resource Center [81] October 26–29, 2025783 (LV)± 3.5%41%45%14%
Zenith Research (D) [89] [A] October 7–10, 2025501 (LV)± 4.4%38%38%10% [h] 15%
Hypothetical polling
Susan Collins vs. Dan Kleban
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [b]
Margin
of error
Susan
Collins (R)
Dan
Kleban (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [90] [B] September 8–9, 2025642 (RV)35%44%21%

Notes

  1. Held office as a Democrat until becoming an independent in 2024
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Write in someone else" with 4%
  4. Resigned as campaign political director and withdrew endorsement after controversy around old Reddit comments.
  5. With undecided and Wood votes reallocated based on second-choice preference
  6. "Write in someone else" with 1%; Evans, Favreau, and LaFlamme with 0%
  7. 1 2 3 Withdrawn candidate
  8. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 1%

Partisan client

  1. 1 2 Poll sponsored by More Perfect Union, a progressive non-profit news media organization
  2. Poll sponsored by Kleban's campaign

References

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  2. Kondik, Kyle (December 5, 2024). "The End of the Line for Red State Senate Democrats". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 9, 2025. Collins is now the lone outlier among all 100 senators as someone who continues to hold a Senate seat in a state that hasn't supported her party's presidential nominee in decades. Such outliers were important parts of past recent Democratic Senate majorities, but they will now be all gone.
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  35. 1 2 3 @DairaForME (October 23, 2025). "Today, I am formally suspending my campaign. I want to thank my team, our volunteers, and everyone who supported our fight. I look forward to continuing to fight alongside Maine activists as we work to protect our communities in these trying times" (Tweet) via Twitter.
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  56. Vakil, Caroline (October 14, 2025). "EMILY's List backs Gov. Janet Mills in Maine Senate race". The Hill . Retrieved October 14, 2025.
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  59. Kamisar, Ben; Bowman, Bridget; Murphy, Joe (October 16, 2025). "More Democrats are facing well-funded primary challengers as the party reckons with its future". NBC News. Retrieved October 17, 2025. Platner also received a PAC donation from Sen. Martin Heinrich, D-N.M.
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Official campaign websites