2020 Maine Democratic presidential primary

Last updated

2020 Maine Democratic presidential primary
Flag of Maine.svg
  2016 March 3, 2020 2024  
  CO
MA  

32 delegates (24 pledged, 8 unpledged)
to the Democratic National Convention
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
  Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg Bernie Sanders March 2020 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Joe Biden Bernie Sanders
Home state Delaware Vermont
Delegate count119
Popular vote68,72966,826
Percentage33.37%32.45%

  Elizabeth Warren by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg Michael Bloomberg by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Candidate Elizabeth Warren Michael Bloomberg
Home state Massachusetts New York
Delegate count40
Popular vote32,05524,294
Percentage15.57%11.80%

2020 Maine Democratic Presidential Primary election by county.svg
County results

The 2020 Maine Democratic presidential primary took place on March 3, 2020, as one of 15 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Maine primary, the first in the state since 2000, was a closed primary, meaning that only registered Democrats could vote in this primary, but unenrolled voters were permitted to enroll in a party at the polls with same day registration. The state awarded 32 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, 24 of which were pledged delegates allocated based on the results of the primary. The primary election coincided with a people's veto referendum to reject changes to Maine's vaccination laws.

Contents

In a result described as a "stunning upset", the Bangor Daily News and the Associated Press called the primary for former vice president Joe Biden, [1] [2] which heavily contrasted Bernie Sanders' win in the 2016 caucus, when he had won with over 60% of the vote against Hillary Clinton. [3] [4] Biden won the primary with 33.4% of the vote, heavily exceeding his polling numbers by at least 10 points, while senator Sanders finished second with a more or less expected or slightly underperformed result of 32.4%. With a margin of less than 2,000 votes and especially just around 300 votes in the 1st congressional district, Biden managed to narrowly gain one more delegate than Sanders in both districts, resulting in his win with 11 delegates over Sanders' 9 delegates. Senator Elizabeth Warren also managed to cross the threshold with 15.6% in the state around her home region but only received 4 delegates.

Procedure

Maine was one of 14 states and one territory holding primaries on March 3, 2020, also known as "Super Tuesday", [5] as governor Janet Mills had signed a bill which returned the state's nominating contest from a caucus to a primary (last used between 1996 and 2000), matching a national trend for primaries. Although a bill expanding the use of ranked choice voting to presidential primary and general elections was passed by the legislature, governor Mills delayed implementation until after the 2020 primary. [6]

Voting was expected to take place throughout the state from 6:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m. in much of the state, with some precincts opening as late as 10:00 a.m. In the closed primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 24 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, 7 and 9 were allocated to each of the state's 2 congressional districts and another 3 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 5 at-large delegates. [7] The Super Tuesday primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on the first shared date or on a March date in general. [8]

Following municipal caucuses on March 8, 2020, to select delegates for the state convention, the state convention would subsequently be held on May 30, 2020, to vote on all pledged delegates for the Democratic National Convention. The delegation also included 8 unpledged PLEO delegates: 4 members of the Democratic National Committee, 2 members of Congress, of which both were representatives, the governor Janet Mills, and former Senate Majority Leader George J. Mitchell. [7]

Pledged national
convention
delegates
TypeDel.
CD1 9
CD2 7
PLEO3
At-large5
Total pledged delegates24

Candidates

The following candidates were on the ballot in Maine: [9]

Running

Withdrawn

Write-in votes are not allowed in Maine and were counted as blank ballots. [10]

Polling

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate updatedDates polled Bernie
Sanders
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Elizabeth
Warren
Tulsi
Gabbard
Undecided [c]
270 to Win [11] Mar 3, 2020Feb 10–Mar 2, 202028.7%19.7%20.0%13.3%1.3%17.0%
RealClear Politics [12] Mar 3, 2020Feb 28–Mar 2, 202038.5%24.5%14.0%18.0% [d] 5.0%
FiveThirtyEight [13] Mar 3, 2020until Mar 2, 2020 [e] 31.1%21.7%17.2%14.2%0.7%19.6%
Average32.8%22.0%17.1%15.2%1.0%11.9%
Maine primary results (March 3, 2020)32.4%33.4%11.8%15.6%0.9%5.9%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Maine Democratic Primary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
OtherUndecided
Mar 2, 2020Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Swayable [14] Mar 1–2, 2020209 (LV)± 9.0%22%28%10%27%11%3% [f]
Change Research [15] Mar 1–2, 2020507 (LV)24%10%43%16%7% [g]
Data for Progress [16] Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020385 (LV)± 4.9%25%18%1%34%20%2% [h]
Mar 1, 2020Buttigieg withdraws from the race
SocialSphere/Colby College [17] Feb 10–13, 2020350 (LV)12%14%16%25%9%2%10% [i] 12%
Feb 11, 2020Yang withdraws from the race
Dec 3, 2019Harris withdraws from the race
Maine People's Resource Center [18] Oct 14–21, 2019728 (LV)± 3.63%26.8%9.1%5.0%15.4%22.1%1.7%11.4% [j] 4.4%
Public Policy Polling [19] Oct 11–13, 2019366 (LV)± 5.1%19%9%4%12%31%3%20% [k] [l]
Gravis Marketing [20] Jun 24, 2019243± 6.3%25%8%2%15%17%5%15% [m] 11%

Results

Results by county
Biden--30-40%
Biden--40-50%
Sanders--30-40% Maine Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020 (margins).svg
Results by county
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Sanders—30–40%

2020 Maine Democratic presidential primary [9]
CandidateVotes %Delegates [21]
Joe Biden 68,72933.3711
Bernie Sanders 66,82632.459
Elizabeth Warren 32,05515.574
Michael Bloomberg 24,29411.80
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) [a] 4,3642.12
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) [a] 2,8261.37
Tulsi Gabbard 1,8150.88
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) [b] 6960.34
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) [a] 3130.15
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) [b] 2180.11
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)2010.10
Cory Booker (withdrawn)1830.09
Blank ballots3,4171.66
Total205,937100%24

Results by county

2020 Maine Democratic primary

(results per county) [9]

CountyJoe BidenBernie SandersElizabeth WarrenMichael BloombergPete ButtigiegAmy KlobucharTulsi GabbardAndrew YangTom SteyerDeval PatrickMarianne WilliamsonCory BookerBlank ballotsTotal votes cast
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Androscoggin 4,07634.203,63930.541,43112.011,76214.792462.061391.171601.34470.39220.18350.29200.17140.123262.7411,917
Aroostook 2,55846.151,25622.663616.5185115.35881.59500.90340.61280.51140.25110.20110.20160.292654.785,543
Cumberland 20,55531.1822,18733.6612,70119.276,76610.261,5212.319571.454130.631490.23630.10370.06320.05430.075000.7665,924
Franklin 1,22633.931,32936.7841411.4639010.79491.36401.11401.11180.50110.30160.4470.1950.14681.883,613
Hancock 2,98831.283,32834.841,75618.391,00510.521711.791251.31320.34310.32190.2020.02100.1080.08760.809,551
Kennebec 5,65135.594,77530.072,22213.992,06212.993141.982081.311851.17650.41290.18170.11200.13130.083182.0015,879
Knox 2,58632.442,61132.751,48618.6489211.191061.331021.28650.82220.2810.0190.1140.0550.06831.047,972
Lincoln 2,13834.212,02032.3397915.6775312.051171.87861.38470.75170.2750.08210.3420.0340.06600.966,249
Oxford 2,28235.522,19934.2373911.5073611.46991.54661.03931.45300.4780.1230.05100.1660.091542.406,425
Penobscot 5,39233.245,52634.072,13813.182,04512.612651.632161.331250.77890.55270.17230.14220.14200.123322.0516,220
Piscataquis 52036.3142529.6814710.2723416.34221.54171.1980.5670.4920.1420.1440.2830.21412.861,432
Sagadahoc 2,27432.152,05429.041,24517.6083011.741281.81941.33690.98140.20100.1430.0430.0410.013474.917,072
Somerset 1,55336.461,22528.763608.4569916.41862.02451.06531.24380.89120.2850.12120.2860.141663.904,260
Waldo 1,90229.642,46938.481,03816.1866410.351011.57691.08440.69180.2880.1240.0690.1470.11831.296,416
Washington 1,13136.4189228.7238912.5241013.20611.96481.55300.97100.3240.1350.1640.1380.261143.673,106
York 11,78135.4210,45431.434,28612.884,15412.499042.725231.574141.241090.33770.23250.08310.09240.074831.4533,265
UOCAVA 11610.6143739.9836333.21413.75867.87413.7530.2740.3710.0900000010.091,093
Total68,72933.3766,82632.4532,05515.5724,29411.804,3642.122,8261.371,8150.886960.343130.152180.112010.101830.093,4171.66205,937

See also

Notes

Additional candidates

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, shortly before the date of the election.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Candidate withdrew following the New Hampshire primary, when absentee voting had already begun.
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  4. Gabbard not averaged
  5. FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  6. Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer with 0%; Gabbard with no voters; "Other" with 1%
  7. Not yet released
  8. Klobuchar and Gabbard with 1%
  9. Klobuchar with 4%; Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Patrick and "Someone else" with no voters
  10. "Other" with 6.5%; Booker with 2.7% and O'Rourke with 2.2%
  11. Booker with 2%; Castro and O'Rourke with 1%; "someone else/undecided" with 16%
  12. The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
  13. Ryan with 4%; Booker and Williamson with 3%; Bennet with 2%; Gillibrand, O'Rourke, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Hickenlooper Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%

References

  1. Jessica Piper (March 4, 2020). "Joe Biden wins Maine's Democratic presidential primary". Bangor Daily News . Retrieved March 4, 2020.
  2. Patrick Whittle (March 4, 2020). "Biden squeezes by Sanders in Maine, extends sweep of wins". Associated Press . Retrieved March 4, 2020.
  3. "Maine Primary Results 2016". The New York Times. September 29, 2016. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved July 8, 2020.
  4. Burns, Katelyn (March 4, 2020). "Joe Biden wins Maine primary, defeating Bernie Sanders". Vox. Retrieved July 8, 2020.
  5. Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  6. Thistle, Scott (September 6, 2019). "Gov. Mills allows ranked-choice voting in Maine's presidential elections". Press Herald. Retrieved September 6, 2019.
  7. 1 2 "Maine Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. June 20, 2019. Retrieved June 22, 2019.
  8. "Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses". The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
  9. 1 2 3 "March 3, 2020 Presidential Primary Election: Tabulation of Votes". State of Maine Department of the Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
  10. Miller, Kevin (March 7, 2020). "With Trump their only choice, more Maine Republicans than usual left ballots blank". centralmaine.com. Retrieved April 23, 2020.
  11. 270 to Win
  12. RealClear Politics
  13. FiveThirtyEight
  14. Swayable Archived 2020-03-03 at the Wayback Machine
  15. Change Research
  16. Data for Progress
  17. SocialSphere/Colby College
  18. Maine People's Resource Center
  19. Public Policy Polling
  20. Gravis Marketing
  21. "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Maine Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved November 24, 2022.