2020 Vermont Democratic presidential primary

Last updated

2020 Vermont Democratic presidential primary
Flag of Vermont.svg
  2016 March 3, 2020 2024  
  UT
VA  

24 delegates (16 pledged, 8 unpledged)
to the Democratic National Convention
The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote
  Bernie Sanders March 2020 (cropped).jpg Joe Biden February 2020 crop.jpg
Candidate Bernie Sanders Joe Biden
Home state Vermont Delaware
Delegate count115
Popular vote79,92134,669
Percentage50.57%21.94%

  Elizabeth Warren by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg Michael Bloomberg by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg
Candidate Elizabeth Warren Michael Bloomberg
Home state Massachusetts New York
Delegate count00
Popular vote19,78514,828
Percentage12.52%9.38%

Vermont Democratic presidential primary election results by county, 2020.svg
Vermont Democratic presidential primary election results by municipality, 2020.svg
  Bernie Sanders
  Joe Biden
Pledged national
convention
delegates
TypeDel.
CD at-large 11
PLEO2
At-large3
Total pledged delegates16

The 2020 Vermont Democratic presidential primary took place on March 3, 2020, as one of 15 contests scheduled on Super Tuesday in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, following the South Carolina primary the weekend before. The Vermont primary was an open primary, with the state awarding 24 delegates towards the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 16 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.

Contents

While Senator Bernie Sanders won the primary in his home state by a landslide, gaining over 50% of the vote and 11 delegates, [1] he underperformed compared to the 2016 primary, when he had won over 85% of the vote, allowing former Vice President Joe Biden to garner 5 delegates with a 22% second-place finish and add to the narrative of his surge following the South Carolina primary. Senator Elizabeth Warren and former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg placed third and fourth respectively without any delegates.

Procedure

Vermont was one of 14 states and one territory holding primaries on Super Tuesday. [2] The Super Tuesday primary as part of Stage I on the primary timetable received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on the first shared date or on a March date in general. [3]

Early voting began on January 18, 2020, and took six days a week between then and election day. [4] Regular voting took place throughout the state from 5:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. in much of the state, with some precincts closing as late as 10:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent in order to be considered viable. The 16 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, 11 were formally allocated as district delegates on the basis of the statewide result (by definition coterminous with the state's sole congressional district) and another 2 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 3 at-large delegates, both also according to the statewide result. [5]

After town caucuses on April 21, 2020, designated delegates for the state convention, the state convention was held on May 30, 2020, to nominate national convention district delegates, who in turn elected the 3 at-large and 2 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention at the national convention delegate meeting on June 13, 2020. The delegation also included 8 unpledged PLEO delegates: 4 members of the Democratic National Committee, 3 members from Congress (both senators, including formally Independent Bernie Sanders, and representative Peter Welch), and former DNC chair Howard Dean. [5]

Candidates

The following people have filed and qualified to be on the ballot in Vermont. [6]

Running

Withdrawn

The name of early presidential candidate Michael Bennet, who had already dropped out of the race, was written in by three voters.

Polling

Polling Aggregation
Source of poll aggregationDate
updated
Dates
polled
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Tulsi
Gabbard
Other/
Undecided [lower-alpha 4]
270 to Win [7] March 3, 2020February 4–March 2, 202052.0%14.0%10.7%10.3%1.0%12.0%
RealClear Politics [8] March 3, 2020Insufficient recent polling to supply an average.
FiveThirtyEight [9] March 3, 2020until March 2, 2020 [lower-alpha 5] 53.0%14.2%10.4%8.9%0.9%12.6%
Average52.5%14.1%10.55%9.6%0.95%12.3%
Vermont primary results (March 3, 2020)50.6%12.5%21.9%9.4%0.8%4.8%
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Vermont Democratic Primary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 6]
Margin
of error
Joe
Biden
Michael
Bloomberg
Pete
Buttigieg
Amy
Klobuchar
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
OtherUn-
decided
Mar 2, 2020Klobuchar withdraws from the race
Swayable [10] Mar 1–2, 2020147 (LV)± 11.0%11%16%5%2%48%17%2% [lower-alpha 7]
Data for Progress [11] Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020236 (LV)± 6.9%16%8%1%57%16%2% [lower-alpha 8]
Mar 1, 2020Buttigieg withdraws from the race
Vermont Public Radio [12] Feb 4–10, 2020332 (LV)± 4.0%5%7%9%4%51%13%2% [lower-alpha 9] 7%

Results

Popular vote share by county
Sanders--40-50%
Sanders--50-60% Vermont Democratic presidential primary election results by county (vote share), 2020.svg
Popular vote share by county
  Sanders—40–50%
  Sanders—50–60%
2020 Vermont Democratic presidential primary [13]
CandidateVotes %Delegates [14]
Bernie Sanders 79,92150.5711
Joe Biden 34,66921.945
Elizabeth Warren 19,78512.52
Michael Bloomberg 14,8289.38
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) [lower-alpha 2] 3,7092.35
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) [lower-alpha 2] 1,9911.26
Tulsi Gabbard 1,3030.82
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) [lower-alpha 3] 5910.37
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) [lower-alpha 2] 2020.13
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) [lower-alpha 3] 1370.09
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn)1350.09
Donald Trump (write-in Republican)830.05
Julian Castro (withdrawn)520.03
Hillary Clinton (write-in)50.00
Michael Bennet (write-in)30.00
Other candidates / Write-in [lower-alpha 10] 2380.15
Overvotes / Blank votes [lower-alpha 11] 3800.24
Total158,032100%16

Results by county

2020 Vermont Democratic primary

(results per county) [15]

CountyBernie SandersJoe BidenElizabeth WarrenMichael BloombergPete ButtigiegAmy KlobucharTulsi GabbardAndrew YangTom SteyerDeval PatrickMarianne WilliamsonMark StewartJulian CastroWrite-insOvervotesBlank votesTotal votes cast
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
Addison 5,06948.612,25621.631,58115.169749.342272.181171.12670.64340.33150.1470.0760.06110.1150.05170.1670.07350.3410,428
Bennington 3,56845.102,30829.1781310.2882710.451582.00690.87620.78270.34100.13200.2590.1140.0550.06170.2130.04120.157,912
Caledonia 2,74950.881,18221.8865612.145019.271212.24561.04591.09330.6150.09100.1960.1140.0710.0250.0970.1380.155,403
Chittenden 26,46551.989,95919.566,97213.694,6479.131,2542.467771.533750.741730.34430.08220.04370.07270.05140.03560.1190.02830.1650,913
Essex 40843.7827529.51555.9011712.55222.36151.61101.0770.7520.21000020.210070.7510.11111.18932
Franklin 3,96250.141,91924.285276.671,02112.921942.46811.03570.72470.5970.0980.10140.1870.0940.05250.3230.04260.337,902
Grand Isle 93646.7347523.711788.8928414.18542.70311.55170.8590.4520.100010.0520.100030.1520.1090.452,003
Lamoille 3,14653.571,27121.644958.4368011.581141.94651.11370.63260.4450.0940.0720.030020.0390.1510.02160.275,873
Orange 3,28352.101,34221.3088514.054517.161342.13851.35600.95200.3280.1360.1040.0620.0320.0350.0830.05110.176,301
Orleans 1,98551.5389923.343418.8543911.40671.74370.96350.91140.3650.1340.1070.1850.1310.0310.0320.05100.263,852
Rutland 5,58546.493,27527.269798.151,46312.183102.581331.111221.02460.38180.15160.13150.12150.1250.04160.1350.04110.0912,014
Washington 8,66851.763,26019.472,47914.801,3478.044672.791781.061340.80660.39170.1090.05230.14160.1090.05190.1160.04490.2916,747
Windham 6,85755.212,31618.651,84414.857486.022371.911711.381150.93360.29310.25170.1460.0590.0720.02130.1040.03130.1012,419
Windsor 7,24047.223,93225.641,98012.911,3298.673502.281761.151531.00530.35340.22140.0950.0360.0420.01260.1740.03290.1915,333
Total79,92150.5734,66921.9419,78512.5214,8289.383,7092.351,9911.261,3030.825910.372020.131370.091350.091100.07520.032190.14570.043230.20158,032

See also

Notes

  1. Filed as Mark Stewart in the Vermont primary
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Candidate withdrew during absentee voting, shortly before the primary.
  3. 1 2 3 4 Candidate withdrew following the New Hampshire primary, when absentee voting had already begun.
  4. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
  5. FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
  6. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  7. Gabbard with 0%; Steyer with no voters; "Other" with 2%
  8. Gabbard with 2%
  9. Yang with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
  10. Including "Blank" (written in) with 8 votes; Ron Paul, Michelle Obama, John Edwards and two others with 2 votes; and 110 other write-ins with 1 vote
  11. 57 overvotes and 323 blank votes

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