2024 United States presidential election in Vermont

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in Vermont

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Nominee Joe Biden (presumptive) Donald Trump (presumptive) Party Democratic Republican Home state Delaware Florida Running mate Kamala Harris (presumptive) TBA

Incumbent President Joe Biden Democratic

The 2024 United States presidential election in Vermont is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Vermont voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Vermont has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. ^[1]

As a state in northern New England, Vermont was historically a moderate Republican stronghold, having backed the GOP in all but one presidential election between the party's formation and George H.W. Bush's narrow victory in 1988: Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide. However, an influx of more liberal voters combined with the national GOP's continued shift to the political right have turned Vermont into a Democratic stronghold at the presidential level since the early 1990s, as the state has been won by the Democratic candidate in every presidential election since 1992, all of these victories being by double digits apart from Al Gore's 9.9% win in 2000. Today a strongly blue state and one of the most progressive states in the U.S., Vermont is favored to remain comfortably in the Democratic column in 2024. ^[2]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. ^[3]

Primary elections

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Vermont Republican presidential primary

The Vermont Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Nikki Haley won the primary, becoming the first woman to win a state primary in a Republican presidential primary. ^[4]

Vermont Republican primary, March 5, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Nikki Haley	36,241	49.32%	9		9
Donald Trump	33,162	45.13%	8		8
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	1,020	1.39%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)	949	1.29%
Write-in votes	586	0.80%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)	546	0.74%
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)	278	0.38%
Overvotes	51	0.07%
Blank ballots	654	0.89%
Total:	73,487	100.00%	17		17
Source: [5]

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Vermont Democratic presidential primary

The Vermont Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Joe Biden won the primary.

Vermont Democratic primary, March 5, 2024

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	56,924	82.98%	16
Marianne Williamson	2,873	4.19%
Dean Phillips	1,942	2.83%
Other write-ins	1,260	1.84%
Mark Greenstein	779	1.14%
Rashida Tlaib (write-in)	763	1.11%
Cenk Uygur	700	1.02%
"Blank" (write-in)	556	0.81%
Jason Palmer	404	0.59%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (write-in) (Independent)	322	0.47%
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (Independent)	288	0.42%
Nikki Haley (write-in) (Republican)	187	0.27%
Overvotes	73	0.10%
Blank ballots	1,525	2.22%
Total:	68,599	100%	16	8	24
Source: [6] [7]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report [8]	Solid D	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections [9]	Solid D	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10]	Solid D	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [11]	Solid D	December 14, 2023
CNalysis [12]	Solid D	December 30, 2023
CNN [13]	Solid D	January 14, 2024

See also

• United States presidential elections in Vermont
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

References

1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
2. "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved April 1, 2024.
3. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
4. Vakil, Caroline (March 6, 2024). "Haley defeats Trump in Vermont GOP primary". The Hill. Retrieved March 6, 2024.
5. "OFFICIAL REPORT OF THE CANVASSING COMMITTEE UNITED STATES AND VERMONT STATEWIDE OFFICES" (PDF). Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
6. "OFFICIAL REPORT OF THE CANVASSING COMMITTEE UNITED STATES AND VERMONT STATEWIDE OFFICES" (PDF). Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
7. "Vermont Election Night Results". Vermont Secretary of State . Retrieved March 15, 2024.
8. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
9. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
10. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
11. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
12. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
13. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.