2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi

Last updated

2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi
Flag of Mississippi.svg
←  2018 November 5, 2024 2030  →
  Roger F. Wicker crop.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Roger Wicker Ty Pinkins
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote763,420451,981
Percentage62.81%37.19%
2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi results map by county.svg
2023 Mississippi LT gubernatorial election by CD.svg
Wicker:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Pinkins:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Roger Wicker
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

Roger Wicker
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Senator Roger Wicker took office on December 31, 2007, as an interim appointee after fellow Republican Trent Lott resigned 13 days prior. Wicker retained his Senate seat in the subsequent 2008 special election, won full terms in 2012 and 2018, and sought a third full term. Primary elections took place on March 12, 2024.

Contents

No Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election in Mississippi since John C. Stennis in 1982. Wicker easily won re-election to a third full term. [1] Wicker improved on his performance and flipped Issaquena, Jasper, and Marshall Counties from 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ghannon Burton (R)$212,429 [a] $207,927$4,501
Dan Eubanks (R)$52,717 [b] $52,717$0
Roger Wicker (R)$8,139,009$6,397,660$3,593,927
Source: Federal Election Commission [10]

Results

Results by county Map legend .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Wicker--40-50% Wicker--50-60% Wicker--60-70% Wicker--70-80% Wicker--80-90% Wicker-->=90% Burton--50-60% Burton--60-70% 2024 United States Senate Republican primary election in Mississippi results map by county.svg
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Wicker—40-50%
  •   Wicker—50–60%
  •   Wicker—60–70%
  •   Wicker—70–80%
  •   Wicker—80–90%
  •   Wicker—≥90%
  •   Burton—50–60%
  •   Burton—60–70%
Republican primary results [11]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Roger Wicker (incumbent) 152,086 61.40%
Republican Ghannon Burton61,38724.78%
Republican Dan Eubanks 34,23813.82%
Total votes247,711 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ty Pinkins (D)$324,980$189,792$135,188
Source: Federal Election Commission [10]

Results

Democratic primary results [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ty Pinkins 82,264 100.0%
Total votes82,264 100.0%

Independents

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [19] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [20] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Safe RNovember 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [22] Safe RJune 8, 2024
Elections Daily [23] Safe RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [24] Solid RNovember 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics [25] Solid RAugust 5, 2024
Split Ticket [26] Safe ROctober 23, 2024
538 [27] Solid ROctober 23, 2024

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [c] 		Margin
of error		Roger
Wicker (R)		Ty
Pinkins (D)		OtherUndecided
Change Research (D) [28] [A] September 29 – October 3, 2024565 (LV)± 4.5%48%35%7% [d] 10%

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Roger Wicker (R)$8,610,740$6,794,208$3,669,111
Ty Pinkins (D)$499,484$447,377$52,107
Source: Federal Election Commission [29]

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi [30]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Roger Wicker (incumbent) 763,420 62.81% +4.32%
Democratic Ty Pinkins451,98137.19%−2.28%
Total votes1,215,401 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Wicker won 3 of 4 congressional districts. [31]

DistrictWickerPinkinsRepresentative
1st 69%31% Trent Kelly
2nd Bennie Thompson
3rd Michael Guest
4th 72%28% Mike Ezell

Notes

  1. ↑ $27,560 of this total was self-funded by Burton
  2. ↑ $15,000 of this total was self-funded by Eubanks
  3. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ↑ "Would not vote" with 7%

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by Pinkins's campaign

References

  1. ↑ "2024 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
  2. ↑ Vance, Taylor (January 4, 2023). "Army veteran Ty Pinkins announces campaign against US Sen. Roger Wicker". Daily Journal. Retrieved January 3, 2023. Phillip Waller, the communications director for Wicker, said in a statement that Wicker will also run for re-election next year.
  3. ↑ Wolf, Stephen (November 14, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 11/14". Daily Kos . Retrieved November 14, 2023. Wicker recently drew a primary challenge from retired Marine Col. Ghannon Burton, but there's little indication yet whether the 16-year incumbent is actually in danger of losing renomination in this solidly red state.
  4. ↑ Corder, Frank (June 19, 2023). "Senate 2024: Eubanks files to challenge Wicker". Magnolia Tribune. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
  5. 1 2 Corder, Frank (February 29, 2024). "Trump Endorses Wicker for Re-Election". Magnolia Tribune. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  6. 1 2 "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  7. 1 2 "National Right to Life Endorses U.S. Senator Roger Wicker for Re-Election in Mississippi - National Right to Life". February 20, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  8. 1 2 "U.S. Chamber Endorses Sen. Roger Wicker for U.S. Senate in Mississippi". www.uschamber.com. February 23, 2024. Retrieved February 26, 2024.
  9. 1 2 "2024 Candidates". With Honor Fund. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
  10. 1 2 "2024 Election United States Senate - Mississippi". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  11. ↑ "Mississippi Primary Election Results". Secretary of State of Mississippi . March 12, 2024. Retrieved April 6, 2024.
  12. ↑ DiNatale, Sara (January 3, 2023). "Ty Pinkins, Army veteran and Delta advocate, announces U.S. Senate run". Mississippi Today . Retrieved January 3, 2023.
  13. ↑ Vance, Taylor (January 8, 2024). "Brandon Presley, courted by national Democrats to run for U.S. Senate, will not run against Sen. Roger Wicker". Mississippi Today . Retrieved January 8, 2024.
  14. 1 2 "2023 Endorsements | Freethought Equality Fund". freethoughtequality.org. Archived from the original on August 23, 2023. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
  15. 1 2 "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
  16. 1 2 "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  17. ↑ "2024 Democratic Primary". Mississippi Secretary of State.
  18. ↑ "TAGGART, JON M MR. - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
  19. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  20. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  21. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  22. ↑ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  23. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  24. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  25. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  26. ↑ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  27. ↑ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on November 1, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  28. ↑ Change Research (D)
  29. ↑ "2024 Election United States Senate - Indiana". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  30. ↑ "Certification of Votes for United States Senate" (PDF). MS SOS. Retrieved December 28, 2024.
  31. ↑ https://www.sos.ms.gov/elections/electionresults/2024%20Official%20Statewide%20Results.pdf

Official campaign websites

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