2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming

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2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming
Flag of Wyoming.svg
  2020 November 5, 20242028 
Turnout59.7% Decrease2.svg 2.9 pp [1]
  TrumpPortrait (3x4a).jpg Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote30
Popular vote192,63369,527
Percentage71.60%25.84%

Wyoming Presidential Election Results 2024.svg
2024 United States Presidential Election in Wyoming by Precinct.svg

President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wyoming voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wyoming has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. [2]

Contents

A sparsely populated Mountain West state, Wyoming is considered to be a deeply red state, and Donald Trump was expected to easily win the state. Wyoming has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964. This is also the case in Idaho, Utah, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, and Oklahoma. Wyoming had furthermore been Trump's second-strongest state in 2016 and strongest state in 2020 (trading places with West Virginia), voting for Trump by more than a 40% margin in both elections.

On election day, Wyoming was once again Trump's strongest state. Trump's 71.60% vote share in the state was the highest a presidential nominee has ever received in Wyoming, surpassing Ronald Reagan's 70.51% of the vote in the 1984 presidential election; and was the first time that any nominee won over 70% of the vote in any state since 2012 (when Barack Obama did so in Hawaii and Mitt Romney, in Utah).

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Wyoming Republican primary was held from April 18 to 20, 2024, [3] as part of the Republican Party primaries. 23 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were selected at county conventions, between February and March, while six delegates were selected at the state convention. [4] However, all 29 delegates were allocated to candidates at the state convention. As the only candidate in the presidential preference poll taken at the state convention, former president and presumptive nominee Donald Trump easily won all 29 delegates. [5]

Endorsements included those from John Barasso (senator; 2007–present), [6] Cynthia Lummis, (senator 2021–present), [6] Harriet Hageman, WY-AL (US representative, 2023–present), [7] and Timothy Mellon, chairman and majority owner of Pan Am Systems [8]

Wyoming Republican caucus, April 18–20, 2024 [9]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 2929
Total:2929

Democratic caucuses

The Wyoming Democratic caucuses was held on April 13, 2024, alongside the Alaska primary.

Wyoming Democratic caucus, April 13, 2024 [10]
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
PledgedUnpledgedTotal
Joe Biden (incumbent)38096.0%1313
Uncommitted 133.3%
David Olscamp20.5%
Marianne Williamson 10.3%
Jason Palmer 00.0%
Armando Perez-Serrato00.0%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)00.0%
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn)00.0%
Total:396100.0%13417

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [11] Solid RDecember 19, 2023
Inside Elections [12] Solid RApril 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Safe RJune 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [14] Safe RDecember 14, 2023
CNalysis [15] Solid RDecember 30, 2023
CNN [16] Solid RJanuary 14, 2024
The Economist [17] Safe RJune 12, 2024
538 [18] Solid RJune 11, 2024
RCP [19] Solid RJune 26, 2024
NBC News [20] Safe ROctober 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Kamala
Harris
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal (R) [21] October 26–28, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%69%27%4% [b]
University of Wyoming [22] September 24 – October 27, 2024662 (LV)± 3.6%63%28%9% [c]
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [23] [A] April 13–21, 2024249 (LV)67%26%7%
Emerson College [24] October 1–4, 2023478 (RV)±4.5%68%15%18%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [23] [A] April 13–21, 2024249 (LV)53%36%11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Robert
Kennedy Jr.
Independent
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [23] [A] April 13–21, 2024249 (LV)67%20%13%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican 192,633 71.60% +1.64%
Democratic 69,52725.84%−0.71%
Libertarian 4,1931.56%−0.49%
Write-in 2,6951.00%+0.37%
Total votes269,048 100.00% N/A
Republican win

By county

Wyoming County Swings in 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.svg
Wyoming County Flips in 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.svg
CountyDonald Trump
Republican
Kamala Harris
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
# %# %# %# %
Albany 8,93049.95%8,37146.83%5763.22%5593.12%17,877
Big Horn 4,86784.86%74212.94%1262.20%4,12571.92%5,735
Campbell 16,00687.26%2,00410.93%3321.81%14,00276.33%18,342
Carbon 4,95277.53%1,27419.95%1612.52%3,67857.58%6,387
Converse 5,75685.41%84512.54%1382.05%4,91172.87%6,739
Crook 3,80587.59%44310.20%962.21%3,36277.39%4,344
Fremont 11,55266.94%5,17930.01%5253.05%6,37336.93%17,256
Goshen 4,89379.25%1,15618.72%1252.03%3,73760.53%6,174
Hot Springs 2,08279.47%48818.63%501.90%1,59460.84%2,620
Johnson 3,93680.36%84717.29%1152.35%3,08963.07%4,898
Laramie 28,06364.72%14,15332.64%1,1462.64%13,91032.08%43,362
Lincoln 8,95782.63%1,62314.97%2602.40%7,33467.66%10,840
Natrona 24,67172.73%8,33724.58%9132.69%16,33448.15%33,921
Niobrara 1,10889.79%1129.08%141.13%99680.71%1,234
Park 13,08478.15%3,25919.46%4002.39%9,82558.69%16,743
Platte 3,87481.30%78016.37%1112.33%3,09464.93%4,765
Sheridan 12,04173.31%3,92023.87%4642.82%8,12149.44%16,425
Sublette 3,90579.31%92018.68%992.01%2,98560.63%4,924
Sweetwater 12,54175.10%3,73122.34%4262.56%8,81052.76%16,698
Teton 4,13431.12%8,74865.84%4043.04%-4,614-34.72%13,286
Uinta 7,28280.12%1,56117.17%2462.71%5,72162.95%9,089
Washakie 3,12580.60%65616.92%962.48%2,46963.68%3,877
Weston 3,06987.39%37810.76%651.85%2,69176.63%3,512
Totals192,63371.60%69,52725.84%6,8882.56%123,10645.76%269,048

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district is called the at-large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictTrumpHarrisRepresentative
At-large 71.6%25.84% Harriet Hageman

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Oliver (L) with 2%
  3. "Other candidate" with 5%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

References

  1. "Wyoming Voter Registration and Voter Turnout Statistics" (PDF). sos.wyo.gov/. Retrieved February 6, 2025.
  2. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  3. "Wyoming Republican Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers . January 19, 2023. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  4. "Wyoming starts selecting presidential delegates Saturday. But there's not a statewide election". Associated Press . February 24, 2024. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
  5. "Trump picks up more national delegates as the only choice for Wyoming Republicans". AP News. April 20, 2024. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
  6. 1 2 Bycoffe, Aaron; Mejía, Elena; Radcliffe, Mary; Burton, Cooper; Groskopf, Christopher; Newman, Alex; Mangan, Andrew; Sweedler, Maya (April 24, 2023). "Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved April 25, 2023.
  7. Shimizu Harris, Maya (November 18, 2022). "Support for Trump presidential bid tepid among Wyoming's Washington delegation". Casper Star Tribune. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  8. Schwartz, Brian (December 11, 2022). "Meet the megadonors backing the Trump super PAC as some top donors opt out of supporting 2024 candidacy". CNBC . Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  9. "Wyoming GOP presidential election results". Politico. Retrieved April 26, 2024.
  10. "Wyoming Presidential Caucus". The AP. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
  11. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  12. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  13. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  14. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  15. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  16. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  17. "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  18. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
  19. "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  20. "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
  21. "Wyoming Poll: Trump, Barrasso Dominate". The Cheyenne Post. November 1, 2024. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
  22. "Wyoming Election Year Survey, 2024". University of Wyoming. November 1, 2024.
  23. 1 2 3 "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  24. Mumford, Camille (October 17, 2023). "Wyoming 2024 Poll: President Biden with 13% Approval among Wyoming Residents". Emerson Polling.
  25. Wyoming Secretary of State. "2024 General Election Statewide Candidates Summary" (PDF). Retrieved November 14, 2024.