2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming

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Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida California Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz Projected electoral vote 3 0 Popular vote 192,633 69,527 Percentage 71.60% 25.84%

County results Precinct results Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Harris   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80% Tie/No Data

President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

The 2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Wyoming voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wyoming has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. ^[1]

A sparsely populated Mountain West state, Wyoming is considered to be a deeply red state, and Donald Trump was expected to easily win the state. Wyoming was Trump's second-strongest state in 2016 and strongest state in 2020 (trading places with West Virginia), voting for Trump by more than a 40% margin in both elections. Alongside neighboring Idaho and Utah, Wyoming has voted Republican in each presidential race starting in 1968 and all but one starting in 1952.

Trump's performance in the state garnering 71.60% of the vote is the highest a presidential candidate has ever received in Wyoming, surpassing Ronald Reagan's 70.51% of the vote in the 1984 presidential election. Wyoming was nationally the most Republican-voting state in 2024, with Trump winning there by a margin of over 45%. This also marks the first time since 2012 that any candidate won over 70% of the vote in any state.

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Wyoming Republican primary was held from April 18 to 20, 2024, ^[2] as part of the Republican Party primaries. 23 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were selected at county conventions, between February and March, while six delegates were selected at the state convention. ^[3] However, all 29 delegates were allocated to candidates at the state convention. As the only candidate in the presidential preference poll taken at the state convention, former president and presumptive nominee Donald Trump easily won all 29 delegates. ^[4]

Endorsements included those from John Barasso (senator; 2007–present), ^[5] Cynthia Lummis, (senator 2021–present), ^[5] Harriet Hageman, WY-AL (US representative, 2023–present), ^[6] and Timothy Mellon, chairman and majority owner of Pan Am Systems ^[7]

Wyoming Republican caucus, April 18–20, 2024 ^[8]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump			29		29
Total:			29		29

Democratic caucuses

Main article: 2024 Wyoming Democratic presidential caucuses

The Wyoming Democratic caucuses was held on April 13, 2024, alongside the Alaska primary.

Wyoming Democratic caucus, April 13, 2024 ^[9]

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	380	96.0%	13		13
Uncommitted	13	3.3%
David Olscamp	2	0.5%
Marianne Williamson	1	0.3%
Jason Palmer	0	0.0%
Armando Perez-Serrato	0	0.0%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn)	0	0.0%
Stephen Lyons (withdrawn)	0	0.0%
Total:	396	100.0%	13	4	17

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report [10]	Solid R	December 19, 2023
Inside Elections [11]	Solid R	April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12]	Safe R	June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill [13]	Safe R	December 14, 2023
CNalysis [14]	Solid R	December 30, 2023
CNN [15]	Solid R	January 14, 2024
The Economist [16]	Safe R	June 12, 2024
538 [17]	Solid R	June 11, 2024
RCP [18]	Solid R	June 26, 2024
NBC News [19]	Safe R	October 6, 2024

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R) [20]	October 26–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	69%	27%	4% [b]
University of Wyoming [21]	September 24 – October 27, 2024	662 (LV)	± 3.6%	63%	28%	9% [c]

Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [22] [A]	April 13–21, 2024	249 (LV)	–	67%	26%	7%
Emerson College [23]	October 1–4, 2023	478 (RV)	±4.5%	68%	15%	18%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [22] [A]	April 13–21, 2024	249 (LV)	–	53%	36%	11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [a]	Margin of error	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Joe Biden Democratic	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [22] [A]	April 13–21, 2024	249 (LV)	–	67%	20%	13%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming ^[24]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	192,633	71.60%	+1.64%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	69,527	25.84%	−0.71%
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	4,193	1.56%	−0.49%
	Write-in		2,695	1.00%	+0.37%
Total votes			269,048	100.00%
	Republican win

By county

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold

  Republican   Hold   Gain from Democratic

County	Donald Trump Republican		Kamala Harris Democratic		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Albany	8,930	49.95%	8,371	46.83%	576	3.22%	559	3.12%	17,877
Big Horn	4,867	84.86%	742	12.94%	126	2.20%	4,125	71.92%	5,735
Campbell	16,006	87.26%	2,004	10.93%	332	1.81%	14,002	76.33%	18,342
Carbon	4,952	77.53%	1,274	19.95%	161	2.52%	3,678	57.58%	6,387
Converse	5,756	85.41%	845	12.54%	138	2.05%	4,911	72.87%	6,739
Crook	3,805	87.59%	443	10.20%	96	2.21%	3,362	77.39%	4,344
Fremont	11,552	66.94%	5,179	30.01%	525	3.05%	6,373	36.93%	17,256
Goshen	4,893	79.25%	1,156	18.72%	125	2.03%	3,737	60.53%	6,174
Hot Springs	2,082	79.47%	488	18.63%	50	1.90%	1,594	60.84%	2,620
Johnson	3,936	80.36%	847	17.29%	115	2.35%	3,089	63.07%	4,898
Laramie	28,063	64.72%	14,153	32.64%	1,146	2.64%	13,910	32.08%	43,362
Lincoln	8,957	82.63%	1,623	14.97%	260	2.40%	7,334	67.66%	10,840
Natrona	24,671	72.73%	8,337	24.58%	913	2.69%	16,334	48.15%	33,921
Niobrara	1,108	89.79%	112	9.08%	14	1.13%	996	80.71%	1,234
Park	13,084	78.15%	3,259	19.46%	400	2.39%	9,825	58.69%	16,743
Platte	3,874	81.30%	780	16.37%	111	2.33%	3,094	64.93%	4,765
Sheridan	12,041	73.31%	3,920	23.87%	464	2.82%	8,121	49.44%	16,425
Sublette	3,905	79.31%	920	18.68%	99	2.01%	2,985	60.63%	4,924
Sweetwater	12,541	75.10%	3,731	22.34%	426	2.56%	8,810	52.76%	16,698
Teton	4,134	31.12%	8,748	65.84%	404	3.04%	-4,614	-34.72%	13,286
Uinta	7,282	80.12%	1,561	17.17%	246	2.71%	5,721	62.95%	9,089
Washakie	3,125	80.60%	656	16.92%	96	2.48%	2,469	63.68%	3,877
Weston	3,069	87.39%	378	10.76%	65	1.85%	2,691	76.63%	3,512
Total	192,633	71.60%	69,527	25.84%	6,888	2.56%	123,106	45.76%	269,048

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Albany (largest municipality: Laramie)

See also

• United States presidential elections in Wyoming
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

1. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
2. Oliver (L) with 2%
3. "Other candidate" with 5%

Partisan clients

1. Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

References

1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
2. "Wyoming Republican Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers . January 19, 2023. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
3. "Wyoming starts selecting presidential delegates Saturday. But there's not a statewide election". Associated Press . February 24, 2024. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
4. "Trump picks up more national delegates as the only choice for Wyoming Republicans". AP News. April 20, 2024. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
5. Bycoffe, Aaron; Mejía, Elena; Radcliffe, Mary; Burton, Cooper; Groskopf, Christopher; Newman, Alex; Mangan, Andrew; Sweedler, Maya (April 24, 2023). "Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved April 25, 2023.
6. Shimizu Harris, Maya (November 18, 2022). "Support for Trump presidential bid tepid among Wyoming's Washington delegation". Casper Star Tribune. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
7. Schwartz, Brian (December 11, 2022). "Meet the megadonors backing the Trump super PAC as some top donors opt out of supporting 2024 candidacy". CNBC . Retrieved March 16, 2023.
8. "Wyoming GOP presidential election results". Politico. Retrieved April 26, 2024.
9. "Wyoming Presidential Caucus". The AP. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
10. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
11. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
12. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
13. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
14. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
15. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024.
16. "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024.
17. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
18. "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
19. "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
20. "Wyoming Poll: Trump, Barrasso Dominate". The Cheyenne Post. November 1, 2024. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
21. "Wyoming Election Year Survey, 2024". University of Wyoming. November 1, 2024.
22. "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
23. Mumford, Camille (October 17, 2023). "Wyoming 2024 Poll: President Biden with 13% Approval among Wyoming Residents". Emerson Polling.
24. Wyoming Secretary of State. "2024 General Election Statewide Candidates Summary" (PDF). Retrieved November 14, 2024.