2020 United States Senate election in Wyoming

Last updated

2020 United States Senate election in Wyoming
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←  2014 November 3, 2020 2026  →
Turnout62.6% Increase2.svg
  Cynthia Lummis U.S. Senator (cropped).jpg Merav Ben-David (cropped).png
Nominee Cynthia Lummis Merav Ben-David
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote198,10072,766
Percentage72.85%26.76%
2020 United States Senate election in Wyoming results map by county.svg
WY Senate 2020.svg
Lummis:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Ben-David:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No data
U.S. senator before election

Mike Enzi
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Cynthia Lummis
Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Wyoming was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Wyoming, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Cynthia Lummis defeated Democrat Merav Ben-David by more than 46 percentage points, becoming the first female U.S. Senator from Wyoming [1] and succeeding fellow Republican Mike Enzi, who did not run for reelection. This was the first open Senate seat since 1996, when Enzi was first elected. [2] The Democratic and Republican party primary elections were held on August 18, 2020. [3] This was the first time since 1996 that Democrats won any county for this seat. Enzi died aged 77 on July 26, 2021, from injuries in a bicycle accident, less than seven months after his retirement from the Senate. [4] [5]

Contents

Cynthia Lummis won the election with 72.85% of the popular vote, winning 2.91% more than President Donald Trump had won in the concurrent presidential election in the state.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Cynthia Lummis

U.S. senators

U. S. Representatives

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Mark
Armstrong		Jillian
Ballow		Liz
Cheney		Foster
Friess		Cynthia
Lummis		Undecided
January 16, 2020Cheney announces she will not run
The Tarrance Group (R) [28] [A] June 22–24, 2019502 (LV)± 4.5%––56%–34%–

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Lummis 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Short 50-60% Wyoming U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2020.svg
Results by county:
  Lummis
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Short
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results [30]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Cynthia Lummis 63,511 59.67%
Republican Robert Short13,47312.66%
Republican Bryan Miller10,94610.28%
Republican Donna Rice5,8815.53%
Republican R. Mark Armstrong3,9043.67%
Republican Joshua Wheeler3,7633.53%
Republican John Holtz1,8201.71%
Republican Devon Cade1,0270.96%
Republican Michael Kemler9850.93%
Republican Star Roselli6270.59%
Republican Write-ins5010.47%
Total votes106,438 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Merav Ben-David

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

  • Retake the Senate 2020 [35]
  • We the People [35]
  • Women to Win [35]
Nathan Wendt

U.S. senators

U.S. Ambassadors

Local officials

Yana Ludwig

Organizations

Results

Results by county: Ben-David 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Wyoming U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2020.svg
Results by county:
  Ben-David
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results [30]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Merav Ben-David 9,584 40.28%
Democratic Yana Ludwig4,93120.73%
Democratic Nathan Wendt4,21217.70%
Democratic Kenneth Casner2,1398.99%
Democratic Rex Wilde1,8887.93%
Democratic James DeBrine8653.64%
Democratic Write-ins1730.73%
Total votes23,792 100.00%
By county
Merav
Ben-David		Yana
Ludwig		Nathan
Wendt		Kenneth
Casner		Rex
Wilde		James
DeBrine		Total
County [39] Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes
Albany 1,86756.07%80924.29%3149.43%1875.62%842.52%692.07%3,330
Big Horn 8438.71%4922.58%4219.35%188.29%177.83%73.23%217
Campbell 14431.51%11424.95%10522.98%378.10%357.66%224.81%457
Carbon 19932.36%11017.89%8613.98%13822.44%436.99%396.34%615
Converse 7832.37%5321.99%3815.77%3614.94%197.88%177.05%241
Crook 4339.45%2220.18%1917.43%1110.09%76.42%76.42%109
Fremont 83142.81%42421.84%29615.25%1557.99%1457.47%904.64%1,941
Goshen 14836.63%10926.98%6616.34%379.16%276.68%174.21%404
Hot Springs 8152.26%2717.42%138.39%117.10%1710.97%63.87%155
Johnson 9951.03%3216.49%3618.56%157.73%73.61%52.58%194
Laramie 1,80836.02%94218.76%80015.94%71214.18%55611.08%2024.02%5,020
Lincoln 14637.73%7519.38%8321.45%276.98%4712.14%92.33%387
Natrona 93338.68%52721.85%43618.08%27811.53%1425.89%963.98%2,412
Niobrara 1948.72%923.08%410.26%25.13%410.26%12.56%39
Park 31343.53%15821.97%11716.27%476.54%618.48%233.20%719
Platte 14236.79%5413.99%7218.65%4311.14%4110.62%348.81%386
Sheridan 54545.45%24420.35%21317.76%847.01%665.50%473.92%1,199
Sublette 10459.09%2514.20%2715.34%84.55%116.25%10.57%176
Sweetwater 63830.40%39218.68%43920.91%1627.72%37117.68%974.62%2,099
Teton 1,06339.52%55720.71%88933.05%672.49%792.94%351.30%2,690
Uinta 19837.57%12924.48%7113.47%397.40%6913.09%213.98%527
Washakie 6533.68%4221.76%3618.65%199.84%2010.36%115.70%193
Weston 3735.92%2524.27%1110.68%76.80%1413.59%98.74%103
Total9,58540.59%4,92820.87%4,21317.84%2,1409.06%1,8827.97%8653.66%23,613

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [40] Safe ROctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections [41] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [42] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [43] Safe ROctober 30, 2020
Politico [44] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP [45] Safe ROctober 23, 2020
DDHQ [46] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538 [47] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Economist [48] Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Endorsements

Cynthia Lummis (R)

U.S. presidents

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

Organizations

Individuals

Merav Ben-David (D)

U.S. vice presidents

U.S. senators

  • Ed Markey, U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013–present), Member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Massachusetts's 5th congressional district (2013), Massachusetts's 7th congressional district (1976–2013) [53]
  • Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013–present) [53]

Local officials

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [a] 		Margin
of error		Cynthia
Lummis (R)		Merav
Ben-David (D)		Undecided
University of Wyoming [59] October 8–28, 2020614 (LV)± 4%56%26%–

Results

Lummis outperformed fellow Republican Donald Trump in the concurrent presidential election by 2.9%, or 4,541 votes. She also won Albany County by 1%, or 182 raw votes, while Trump lost it by 2.7%, or 513 votes. She performed significantly better in the Democratic stronghold of Teton County, receiving 37.3% of the total vote, compared to Trump's 29.6%.

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2020 [60]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Cynthia Lummis 198,100 72.85% +0.66%
Democratic Merav Ben-David 72,76626.76%+9.31%
Write-in 1,0710.39%+0.11%
Total votes271,937 100.00%
Republican hold

By county

By county
County Cynthia Lummis
Republican 		Merav Ben-David
Democratic 		Write-in MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%
Albany 9,22050.309,03849.31700.381820.9918,328
Big Horn 4,88786.4275613.37120.214,13173.055,655
Campbell 16,96089.191,93810.191170.6215,02279.0019,015
Carbon 5,09177.701,44121.99200.313,65055.716,552
Converse 5,71584.011,02815.11600.884,68768.906,803
Crook 3,65390.353729.20180.453,28181.154,043
Fremont 12,31469.435,38530.36360.206,92939.0717,735
Goshen 4,91079.931,20619.63270.443,70460.306,143
Hot Springs 2,00179.0352720.8140.161,47458.222,532
Johnson 3,92181.1590518.7360.123,01662.424,832
Laramie 29,35765.6415,15333.882120.4714,20431.7644,722
Lincoln 8,84685.631,46014.13240.237,38671.5010,330
Natrona 25,06172.759,21026.741780.5215,85146.0134,449
Niobrara 1,13387.6915612.0730.2397775.621,292
Park 13,18980.543,11719.03700.4310,07261.5116,376
Platte 3,96281.3689818.44100.203,06462.924,870
Sheridan 12,28776.173,77823.42670.418,50952.7516,132
Sublette 4,00482.5283517.21130.273,16965.314,852
Sweetwater 12,35175.893,87723.82460.288,47452.0716,274
Teton 5,37037.209,03062.56340.23-3,660-25.3614,434
Uinta 7,55082.321,59717.41250.275,95364.909,172
Washakie 3,27783.0065916.69120.302,61866.313,948
Weston 3,04188.2040011.6070.202,64176.603,448
Totals198,10072.8572,76626.761,0710.39125,33446.09271,937

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes

Partisan clients

  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by "a group of Republican activists and donors" [29]

Voter samples and additional candidates

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

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References

  1. ↑ "List of United States Senators from Wyoming". Ballotpedia.
  2. ↑ "Enzi announces plan to retire at the end of his term - News Releases - U.S. Senator Mike Enzi". Archived from the original on November 24, 2020. Retrieved November 30, 2020.
  3. ↑ "Wyoming 2020 Election Calendar". Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 27, 2020.
  4. ↑ "Former senator Mike Enzi dies after being injured in bike accident". The Washington Post . July 27, 2021. Archived from the original on July 27, 2021. Retrieved July 27, 2021.
  5. ↑ "Ex-US Sen. Mike Enzi of Wyoming dies after bicycle accident". Associated Press . July 27, 2021. Archived from the original on July 27, 2021. Retrieved August 1, 2021.
  6. ↑ Cepeda, Dan (July 11, 2019). "Former Congresswoman Cynthia Lummis announces run for Enzi's seat". Oil City News. Retrieved July 11, 2019.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 "Wyoming 2020 Senate Candidate List" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. May 29, 2020. Retrieved June 1, 2020.
  8. ↑ "Geologist to seek Wyoming US Senate seat". Times Union. August 23, 2019. Retrieved August 23, 2019.
  9. ↑ "Devon Cade, Republican". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. July 23, 2020. Retrieved August 15, 2020.
  10. ↑ Funk, Joel (June 7, 2020). "Laramie Republican seeks U.S. Senate seat; Democrats adjust campaigns, policies amid pandemic". Laramie Boomerang. Retrieved August 15, 2020.
  11. ↑ Hirst, Greg (August 10, 2020). "CASPER'S DONNA RICE RUNNING TO BRING MORE STATESMAN-SHIP, FEWER SPECIAL INTERESTS TO U.S. SENATE". Oil City News. Retrieved August 15, 2020.
  12. ↑ Reynolds, Nick (July 22, 2020). "Wyoming Republican US Senate candidates debate for first time". Casper Star Tribune. Retrieved August 15, 2020.
  13. ↑ Hughes, Morgan (February 17, 2020). "Converse County commissioner, businessman Robert Short announces run for US Senate". Casper Star Tribune. Retrieved August 15, 2020.
  14. ↑ LaChance, Brendan (October 17, 2019). "CASPER VETERAN WANTS TO SERVE WYOMING IN THE U.S. SENATE". Oil City News. Retrieved August 15, 2020.
  15. ↑ "Wyoming Senate Race 2020". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  16. ↑ "WYOMING". Politics1. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
  17. ↑ "Rolland Holthus". Ballotpedia. Retrieved May 30, 2020.
  18. ↑ "Rep. Liz Cheney says she won't seek open Senate seat, will seek reelection in House". Washington Post. Retrieved January 16, 2020.
  19. ↑ nick.reynolds@trib.com, Nick Reynolds 307-266-0634. "After 22 years in office, Sen. Mike Enzi says he will retire in 2020". Casper Star-Tribune Online. Retrieved May 4, 2019.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 "Endorsements". Lummis for US Senate 2020.
  21. ↑ Reynolds, Nick (March 2, 2020). "Foster Friess says he will not run for Enzi's U.S. Senate seat". Casper Star-Tribune .
  22. ↑ Reynolds, Nick (June 28, 2019). "Former White House aide exploring bid for Enzi's seat". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved May 4, 2019.
  23. ↑ Gruver, Mead (December 19, 2019). "Ex Wyoming governor says no to Senate run, Cheney is a maybe". Star Tribune. Retrieved December 20, 2019.
  24. ↑ "Ivanka's political future comes into sharper focus". Politico . January 15, 2021. Retrieved January 16, 2021.
  25. 1 2 "Cruz endorses Lummis in Wyoming's U.S. Senate race". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. January 24, 2020. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
  26. 1 2 Everett, Burgess; Zanona, Melanie (September 22, 2019). "Bad blood: Rand Paul moves to thwart a Liz Cheney Senate run". Politico. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
  27. 1 2 "Cynthia Lummis (WY-SEN)". Club for Growth. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
  28. ↑ The Tarrance Group (R)
  29. ↑ Lake, Eli (June 30, 2019). "Republican Hawks Need Liz Cheney in the Senate". Bloomberg. Retrieved July 1, 2019.
  30. 1 2 "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Electionmary.xlsx" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  31. ↑ Exchange, Tom Coulter Wyoming Tribune Eagle Via Wyoming News (January 20, 2020). "UW professor announces run as Democrat for U.S. Senate seat". Laramie Boomerang. Retrieved January 20, 2020.
  32. 1 2 TOI Staff; Agencies (August 19, 2020). "Israel-born ecology professor wins Wyoming Democratic Senate primary". The Times of Israel . Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  33. ↑ Reynolds, Nick (June 12, 2019). "Laramie Democrat becomes first candidate to announce run to succeed Sen. Mike Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 13, 2019.
  34. ↑ Reynolds, Nick (September 4, 2019). "Wyo Dems resolve to not support out-of-state candidates in in-state elections". Casper Star Tribune. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
  35. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Merav Ben-David for U.S. Senate". www.bendavid2020.com. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  36. 1 2 "Endorsements | Nathan Wendt for Wyoming Senate Race | United States". Wendt for Wyoming. Archived from the original on September 3, 2020.
  37. ↑ "Muldoon, Newcomb endorse Teton County's Democratic U.S. Senate candidate". Jackson Hole News & Guide. June 4, 2020. Retrieved June 8, 2020.
  38. 1 2 "Endorsements". Yana Ludwig for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on April 6, 2020. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
  39. ↑ "Statewide Candidates Unofficial Summary" (PDF). sos.wyo.gov. Retrieved August 22, 2020.
  40. ↑ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  41. ↑ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  42. ↑ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  43. ↑ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  44. ↑ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  45. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
  46. ↑ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  47. ↑ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  48. ↑ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  49. ↑ "President Trump endorses Cynthia Lummis for US Senate". AP News. August 14, 2020. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
  50. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Endorsements". Cynthia Lummis.
  51. ↑ "NRA-PVF - Grades - Wyoming". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 3, 2020.
  52. ↑ "Historic lineup, stark contrasts: Wyo's congressional races". October 28, 2020.
  53. 1 2 "Ben-David picks up endorsements from green groups, national politicians". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. October 16, 2020.
  54. ↑ "Israel-born ecology professor wins Wyoming Democratic Senate primary". www.timesofisrael.com.
  55. ↑ "2020 Endorsements".
  56. ↑ "Candidate Endorsements • Friends of the Earth Action". Friends of the Earth Action. August 25, 2017.
  57. ↑ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  58. ↑ "Wyoming Democratic Party". m.facebook.com.
  59. ↑ University of Wyoming
  60. ↑ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 11, 2020.

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