2020 United States Senate election in Delaware

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2020 United States Senate election in Delaware
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  Chris Coons, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Chris Coons Lauren Witzke
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote291,804186,054
Percentage59.44%37.90%
Delaware state election results.svg
DE Senate 2020.svg
Coons:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Witzke:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No data
U.S. senator before election

Chris Coons
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Chris Coons
Democratic

The 2020 United States Senate election in Delaware was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Delaware, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic senator Chris Coons ran for reelection to a second full term and won against Republican challenger Lauren Witzke with 59.4% of the vote. He outperformed Democratic presidential nominee and former Delaware Senator Joe Biden (whose seat Coons was elected to in a 2010 special election) by 0.7 percentage points, compared to the concurrent presidential election. [1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Jessica Scarane, technology executive [5] [6]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Chris Coons
U.S. vice presidents
State executives
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Jessica Scarane
State legislators
Organizations
Political Parties

Polling

Hypothetical head-to-head polling
with Lisa Blunt Rochester and Chris Coons
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Lisa
Blunt Rochester		Chris
Coons		Undecided
Data for Progress November 15–25, 2019528 (LV)± 6.1%31%35%34%
with Chris Coons and more liberal female Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Coons		More liberal
female Democrat		Undecided
Data for Progress November 15–25, 2019528 (LV)± 6.1%24% [lower-alpha 2] 45%31%
32% [lower-alpha 3] 36%32%
32% [lower-alpha 4] 36%33%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Coons--70-80% Coons--60-70% Delaware U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2020.svg
Results by county:
  Coons—70–80%
  Coons—60–70%
Democratic primary results [46]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chris Coons (incumbent) 87,332 72.85%
Democratic Jessica Scarane32,54727.15%
Total votes119,879 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

James DeMartino
Organizations
  • Delaware Colonial Region Republicans [52]
Political Parties
Lauren Witzke
U.S. representatives
Individuals

Results

Results by county: Witzke--60-70% Witzke--50-60% Delaware U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2020.svg
Results by county:
  Witzke—60–70%
  Witzke—50–60%
Republican primary results [46]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Lauren Witzke 30,702 56.89%
Republican James DeMartino23,26643.11%
Total votes53,968 100.00%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

  • Nadine Frost, Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 [57]

Independent Party of Delaware

Nominee

  • Mark Turley, small business owner [58]

General election

Prior to the election, Christopher Coons' re-election was considered to be a near certainty regardless of the Republican challenger. The choice of Lauren Witzke, a controversial extremist and believer of QANON, as the nominee only cemented this prediction. Networks declared Coons the winner as soon as voting ended based on Exit Polling alone. Coons also outperformed Biden (who also once held this Senate seat) in terms of percentage but underperformed in terms of raw vote, likely due to the lack of third-party Senate candidates.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [59] Solid DOctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections [60] Safe DOctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [61] Safe DNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [62] Safe DOctober 30, 2020
Politico [63] Safe DNovember 2, 2020
RCP [64] Safe DOctober 23, 2020
DDHQ [65] Safe DNovember 3, 2020
538 [66] Safe DNovember 2, 2020
Economist [67] Safe DNovember 2, 2020

Endorsements

Chris Coons (D)
U.S. vice presidents
State Executives
State legislators
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Lauren Witzke (R)
Members of U.S. Congress
  • Paul Gosar, Member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Arizona (2011-present) [54]
Individuals
  • Nick Fuentes, far-right political commentator, podcaster and white nationalist [71]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Coons (D)		Lauren
Witzke (R)		Other/
Undecided
University of Delaware September 21–27, 2020847 (LV)–57%27%17% [lower-alpha 5]

Results

United States Senate election in Delaware, 2020 [72]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Chris Coons (incumbent) 291,804 59.44% +3.61%
Republican Lauren Witzke 186,05437.90%-4.33%
Independent Mark Turley7,8331.59%N/A
Libertarian Nadine Frost5,2441.07%N/A
Total votes490,935 100.0%
Democratic hold
By county
County Chris Coons
Democratic 		Lauren Witzke
Republican 		Mark Turley
IPoD 		Nadine Frost
Libertarian 		MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%
Kent 43,89351.6538,57145.391,5531.839581.135,3226.2684,975
New Castle 191,77468.6280,08128.654,2771.533,3301.19111,69339.97279,462
Sussex 56,13744.3867,40253.282,0031.589560.76-11,265-8.90126,498
Totals291,80459.44186,05437.907,8331.605,2441.07105,75021.54490,935
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic [73]

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ After being presented with a liberal set of arguments regarding Chris Coons
  3. ↑ After being presented with a conservative set of arguments regarding Chris Coons
  4. ↑ Voting intention without being presented with any arguments regarding Chris Coons
  5. ↑ "None/other/undecided" with 11%; Turley (DI) with 4%; Frost (L) with 2%

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References

  1. ↑ Rakich, Nathaniel (December 2, 2020). "There Wasn't That Much Split-Ticket Voting In 2020". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved December 2, 2020.
  2. ↑ Schor, Elana; Everett, Burgess (May 8, 2018). "Meet the GOP's favorite Democrat". Politico.
  3. ↑ "Chris Coons, U.S. Senator for Delaware". Chris Coons.
  4. ↑ "COONS, CHRISTOPHER A. – Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
  5. ↑ Dayen, David (November 17, 2019). "Centrist Senator Chris Coons Faces Primary Challenge in Delaware". The American Prospect.
  6. ↑ "Jessica Scarane | Democrat for U.S. Senate". Jessica Scarane | Democrat for U.S. Senate.
  7. ↑ Rob Petree (November 8, 2018). "Scott Walker thanks Sussex County, announces 2020 run against Coons". Archived from the original on October 5, 2019. Retrieved November 8, 2018.
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  31. 1 2 Society, Humane. "2020 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  32. 1 2 "Human Rights Campaign Announces Pro-Equality Leaders for U.S. Senate". HRC. August 14, 2020.
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  45. ↑ "Our 2020 Endorsements - Working Families". workingfamilies.org/.
  46. 1 2 "2020 State Primary Election Report". Delaware.gov. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
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  48. ↑ "Republican nominee for US Senate in Delaware has repeatedly promoted QAnon conspiracy theory, once called self 'flat earther'". Chicago Tribune . September 17, 2020.
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  52. ↑ "Delaware Colonial Region Republicans". www.facebook.com.
  53. ↑ Gamard, Sarah. "Delaware Republican Party makes endorsements amid contention between members, candidates". The News Journal.
  54. 1 2 "Rep. Paul Gosar (R-AZ) Endorses White Nationalist Senate Candidate with Nazi-Sympathizing Campaign Manager". Learn who's fueling antisemitism. May 11, 2020.
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  56. ↑ Sommer, Will (September 16, 2020). "New QAnon-Allied GOP Senate Candidate Also Pushed Anti-Semitism, Flat Earthism, and 9/11 Conspiracies". The Daily Beast. Retrieved March 21, 2021.
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