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All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in New Mexico |
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of New Mexico, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
From the election until Deb Haaland's resignation to become Secretary of the Interior, New Mexico had a house delegation composed entirely of women of color, the second US state (after Hawaii) to do so. [1] New Mexico is also the first state to have a majority of its house representatives be Native Americans. [a]
Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico by district: [3]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 186,953 | 58.19% | 134,337 | 41.81% | 0 | 0.00% | 321,290 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 2 | 122,546 | 45.40% | 142,283 | 52.71% | 117 | 0.04% | 264,946 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
District 3 | 186,282 | 58.68% | 131,166 | 41.32% | 0 | 0.00% | 317,448 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 495,781 | 54.86% | 407,786 | 45.12% | 117 | 0.01% | 903,684 | 100.0% |
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County results Holmes: 50–60% 60–70% Haaland: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Haaland: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Holmes: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is centered around Albuquerque, taking in most of Bernalillo County, Torrance County, and parts of Sandoval County, Santa Fe County and Valencia County. The incumbent was Democrat Deb Haaland, who was elected with 59.1% of the vote in 2018. [4]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Deb Haaland (incumbent) | 83,032 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 83,032 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Michelle Garcia Holmes | 23,783 | 48.1 | |
Republican | Jared Vanderdussen | 19,847 | 40.2 | |
Republican | Brett Kokinadis | 5,798 | 11.7 | |
Total votes | 49,428 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Deb Haaland | Michelle Garica Holmes | |||||
1 | Oct. 11, 2020 | KOAT-TV The Albuquerque Journal | Doug Fernandez Shelby Cashman Kent Walz | [10] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [11] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections [12] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [14] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [15] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [16] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [17] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Deb Haaland (D) | Michelle Garcia Holmes (R) | Undecided |
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Research & Polling Inc. [22] | October 23–29, 2020 | 430 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 58% | 37% | 6% |
Research & Polling Inc. [23] | August 26 – September 2, 2020 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 31% | 11% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Deb Haaland (incumbent) | 186,953 | 58.2 | |
Republican | Michelle Garcia Holmes | 134,337 | 41.8 | |
Total votes | 321,290 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Herrell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% ≥90% Torres Small: 50–60% 60–70% 70-80% 80-90% ≥90% Tie 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district covers southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces, Roswell, and the southern part of Albuquerque. The incumbent was Democrat Xochitl Torres Small, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2018. [4]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Xochitl Torres Small (incumbent) | 48,095 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 48,095 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Claire Chase | Gavin Clarkson | Yvette Herrell | Chris Mathys | Undecided |
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The Tarrance Group (R) [31] [A] | December 2–3, 2019 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 13% | – | 43% | 12% | – |
The Strategy Group Company (R) [32] [A] | January 23–27, 2019 | 537 (LV) | – | 4% | 7% | 50% | 2% | 37% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Yvette Herrell | 26,968 | 44.7 | |
Republican | Claire Chase | 19,017 | 31.5 | |
Republican | Chris Mathys | 14,378 | 23.8 | |
Total votes | 60,363 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Xochitl Torres Small | Yvette Herrell | |||||
2 | Sep. 27, 2020 | KOAT-TV The Albuquerque Journal | Doug Fernandez Shelly Ribando Kent Walz | [33] | P | P |
2 | Oct. 9, 2020 | KOB (TV) | Tessa Mentus Chris Ramirez | [34] | P | P |
3 | Oct. 11, 2020 | KNME-TV | Gene Grant | [35] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [11] | Tossup | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections [12] | Tossup | October 16, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Politico [14] | Tossup | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [15] | Tossup | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [16] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [17] | Lean D | June 7, 2020 |
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Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Xochitl Torres Small (D) | Yvette Herrell (R) | Undecided |
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Research & Polling Inc. [22] | October 23–29, 2020 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 48% | 5% |
Strategies 360 (D) [52] [B] | October 16–20, 2020 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | – |
The Tarrance Group (R) [53] [C] | September 26–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Research & Polling Inc. [23] | August 26 – September 2, 2020 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 45% | 9% |
The Tarrance Group (R) [54] [C] | July 7–9, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [55] [D] | December 18–19, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 48% | – |
The Strategy Group Company (R) [32] [A] | January 23–27, 2019 | 1,070 (LV) | – | 38% | 51% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican |
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Strategies 360/Xochitl Torres Small [56] [B] | October 16–20, 2020 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 50% |
The Tarrance Group (R) [53] [C] | September 26–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 49% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Yvette Herrell | 142,283 | 53.7 | |
Democratic | Xochitl Torres Small (incumbent) | 122,546 | 46.3 | |
Independent | Steve Jones (write-in) | 117 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 264,946 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
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County results Martinez Johnson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Leger Fernandez: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Leger Fernandez: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Martinez Johnson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district encompasses all of northern New Mexico, including the city of Santa Fe, and includes most of the Navajo Nation and Puebloans within New Mexico. The incumbent was Democrat Ben Ray Luján, who was re-elected with 63.4% of the vote in 2018, [4] and announced on April 1, 2019, that he would seek the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in 2020. [57] Luján won the primary, and ultimately the general election.
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Teresa Fernandez | Valerie Plame | Joseph Sanchez | Marco Serna | Other | Undecided |
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Clarity Campaign Labs [89] [E] | May 20–21, 2020 | 661 (LV) | ± 3.76% | 33% | 24% | 7% | 9% | 9% [c] | – |
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research [90] [d] | February 11–16, 2020 | 500 (LV) | – | 11% | 21% | – | 7% | – | – |
Candidates for the Democratic nomination needed to either receive the votes of 20% of the delegates at the pre-primary convention on March 7, or collect and submit signatures to the secretary of state to have made it to the June 2 primary. [91]
Candidate | Delegates | |
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Vote | % | |
John Blair | 19 | 4.5% |
Teresa Leger Fernandez | 178 | 41.9% |
Laura Montoya | 87 | 20.5% |
Valerie Plame | 22 | 5.2% |
Joseph Sanchez | 52 | 12.2% |
Marco Serna | 57 | 13.4% |
Kyle Tisdel | 10 | 2.4% |
Total | 425 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Teresa Leger Fernandez | 44,480 | 42.8 | |
Democratic | Valerie Plame | 25,775 | 24.8 | |
Democratic | Joseph L. Sanchez | 12,292 | 11.8 | |
Democratic | Marco Serna | 8,292 | 8.0 | |
Democratic | Laura M. Montoya | 6,380 | 6.1 | |
Democratic | John Blair | 4,533 | 4.4 | |
Democratic | Kyle Tisdel | 2,176 | 2.1 | |
Total votes | 103,928 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Alexis Johnson | 16,512 | 36.7 | |
Republican | Harry Montoya | 15,919 | 35.4 | |
Republican | Karen Bedonie | 12,477 | 27.8 | |
Republican | Angela Gale Morales (Write-in) | 30 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 44,938 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Teresa Leger Fernandez | Alexis Johnson | |||||
1 | Oct. 7, 2020 | KOAT-TV The Albuquerque Journal | Doug Fernandez Shelly Ribando Kent Walz | [98] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [11] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections [12] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico [14] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos [15] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP [16] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen [17] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [b] | Margin of error | Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) | Alexis Johnson (R) | Undecided |
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Research & Polling Inc. [22] | October 23–29, 2020 | 347 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 58% | 35% | 6% |
Research & Polling Inc. [23] | August 26 – September 2, 2020 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Teresa Leger Fernandez | 186,282 | 58.7 | |
Republican | Alexis Johnson | 131,166 | 41.3 | |
Total votes | 317,448 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
Partisan clients
New Mexico is divided into three congressional districts, each represented by a member of the United States House of Representatives.
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates