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Elections in Louisiana |
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Government |
The 2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. [1] Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College. [2]
Trump won Louisiana on the day of the election 58.5% to 39.9%, a margin of 18.6%, down from 19.4% in 2016. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, his strength in Louisiana came from White born-again/Evangelical Christians as well as conservative Roman Catholics who have a high population in Louisiana, who supported Trump with 91% and 80% of their vote. On the issue of abortion, 57% of voters believed abortion should be illegal in most or all cases. As is the case in most southern states, there was a stark racial divide in voting for this election: Whites supported Trump by 77%–22% while African-Americans supported Biden by 88%–10%. [3]
The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 13, they were moved to June 20 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic. [4] Then on April 14, they were further pushed back to July 11. [5]
Incumbent President Donald Trump was essentially uncontested in the Republican primary. [6] The state has 46 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention. [7]
Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates [9] |
---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 212,555 | 79.52 | 54 |
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) | 19,859 | 7.43 | |
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 6,426 | 2.40 | |
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 6,173 | 2.31 | |
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 4,617 | 1.73 | |
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | 4,312 | 1.61 | |
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 2,431 | 0.91 | |
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 2,363 | 0.88 | |
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) | 1,962 | 0.73 | |
John Delaney (withdrawn) | 1,877 | 0.70 | |
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 902 | 0.34 | |
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 877 | 0.33 | |
Other candidates | 2,932 | 1.10 | |
Total | 267,286 | 100% | 54 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [10] | Safe R | September 10, 2020 |
Inside Elections [11] | Safe R | September 4, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] | Safe R | July 14, 2020 |
Politico [13] | Safe R | September 8, 2020 |
RCP [14] | Likely R | August 3, 2020 |
Niskanen [15] | Safe R | July 26, 2020 |
CNN [16] | Safe R | August 3, 2020 |
The Economist [17] | Safe R | September 23, 2020 |
CBS News [18] | Likely R | August 16, 2020 |
270towin [19] | Safe R | August 2, 2020 |
ABC News [20] | Safe R | July 31, 2020 |
NPR [21] | Likely R | August 3, 2020 |
NBC News [22] | Likely R | August 6, 2020 |
538 [23] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 1] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win | October 14–27 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 36.0% | 56.5% | 7.5% | Trump +20.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 37.1% | 57.6% | 5.3% | Trump +20.6 |
Average | 36.6% | 57.1% | 6.4% | Trump +20.5 |
Polls
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 1,556 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 62% [lower-alpha 3] | 36% | – | – | – | – |
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 | 378 (LV) | ± 6.7% | 57% | 39% | 4% | – | – | – |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 2,633 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | – | – | – | – |
University of New Orleans | Oct 22, 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 59% | 36% | – | – | 4% | 1% |
Trafalgar Group | Oct 4–6, 2020 | 1,048 (LV) | ± 2.95% | 54% | 36% | 3% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 4] | 6% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 2,475 (LV) | – | 60% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [upper-alpha 1] | Sep 2–5, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 48% | 42% | 2% | – | No voters [lower-alpha 5] | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 2,587 (LV) | – | 59% | 38% | – | – | – | 2% |
Trafalgar Group | Aug 13–17, 2020 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 2.99% | 54% | 38% | 3% | – | 1% [lower-alpha 4] | 4% |
ALG Research/Perkins for LA Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 2] | Aug 6–12, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 43% | – | – | – | 7% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 2,998 (LV) | – | 60% | 39% | – | – | – | 2% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 1,134 (LV) | – | 60% | 37% | – | – | – | 3% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 1,255,776 | 58.46% | +0.46% | |
Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 856,034 | 39.85% | +1.45% | |
Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 21,645 | 1.01% | -0.89% | |
The Birthday Party | Kanye West Michelle Tidball | 4,897 | 0.23% | N/A | |
American Solidarity | Brian Carroll Amar Patel | 2,497 | 0.12% | N/A | |
Becoming One Nation | Jade Simmons Claudeliah Rose | 1,626 | 0.08% | N/A | |
C.U.P. | President Boddie Eric Stoneham | 1,125 | 0.05% | N/A | |
Socialism and Liberation | Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman | 987 | 0.05% | N/A | |
Constitution | Don Blankenship William Mohr | 860 | 0.04% | N/A | |
Freedom and Prosperity | Brock Pierce Karla Ballard | 749 | 0.03% | N/A | |
Life, Liberty, Constitution | Tom Hoefling Andy Prior | 668 | 0.03% | N/A | |
Unity | Bill Hammons Eric Bodenstab | 662 | 0.03% | N/A | |
Socialist Workers | Alyson Kennedy Malcolm Jarrett | 536 | 0.02% | N/A | |
Total votes | 2,148,062 | 100.00% |
Parish | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Acadia | 22,596 | 79.49% | 5,443 | 19.15% | 386 | 1.36% | 17,153 | 60.34% | 28,425 |
Allen | 7,574 | 77.21% | 2,108 | 21.49% | 128 | 1.30% | 5,466 | 55.72% | 9,810 |
Ascension | 40,687 | 65.28% | 20,399 | 32.73% | 1,239 | 1.99% | 20,288 | 32.55% | 62,325 |
Assumption | 7,271 | 64.72% | 3,833 | 34.12% | 131 | 1.16% | 3,438 | 30.60% | 11,235 |
Avoyelles | 12,028 | 69.56% | 4,979 | 28.79% | 285 | 1.65% | 7,049 | 40.77% | 17,292 |
Beauregard | 13,575 | 82.99% | 2,542 | 15.54% | 240 | 1.47% | 11,033 | 67.45% | 16,357 |
Bienville | 3,891 | 55.19% | 3,067 | 43.50% | 92 | 1.31% | 824 | 11.69% | 7,050 |
Bossier | 38,074 | 69.66% | 15,662 | 28.66% | 919 | 1.68% | 22,412 | 41.00% | 54,655 |
Caddo | 48,021 | 45.77% | 55,110 | 52.53% | 1,781 | 1.70% | -7,089 | -6.76% | 104,912 |
Calcasieu | 55,066 | 66.62% | 25,982 | 31.43% | 1,615 | 1.95% | 29,084 | 35.19% | 82,663 |
Caldwell | 3,976 | 83.49% | 745 | 15.64% | 41 | 0.87% | 3,231 | 67.85% | 4,762 |
Cameron | 3,671 | 90.89% | 324 | 8.02% | 44 | 1.09% | 3,347 | 82.87% | 4,039 |
Catahoula | 3,541 | 72.89% | 1,269 | 26.12% | 48 | 0.99% | 2,272 | 46.77% | 4,858 |
Claiborne | 3,770 | 57.29% | 2,731 | 41.50% | 79 | 1.21% | 1,039 | 15.79% | 6,580 |
Concordia | 5,550 | 62.87% | 3,177 | 35.99% | 101 | 1.14% | 2,373 | 26.88% | 8,828 |
DeSoto | 9,112 | 61.83% | 5,457 | 37.03% | 167 | 1.14% | 3,655 | 24.80% | 14,736 |
East Baton Rouge | 88,420 | 42.47% | 115,577 | 55.52% | 4,185 | 2.01% | -27,157 | -13.05% | 208,182 |
East Carroll | 1,080 | 35.57% | 1,900 | 62.58% | 56 | 1.85% | -820 | -27.01% | 3,036 |
East Feliciana | 6,064 | 57.70% | 4,280 | 40.73% | 165 | 1.57% | 1,784 | 16.97% | 10,509 |
Evangeline | 11,053 | 71.72% | 4,158 | 26.98% | 201 | 1.30% | 6,895 | 44.74% | 15,412 |
Franklin | 6,970 | 71.71% | 2,658 | 27.35% | 92 | 0.94% | 4,312 | 44.36% | 9,720 |
Grant | 8,117 | 86.42% | 1,157 | 12.32% | 118 | 1.26% | 6,960 | 74.10% | 9,392 |
Iberia | 21,251 | 64.96% | 11,027 | 33.71% | 435 | 1.33% | 10,224 | 31.25% | 32,713 |
Iberville | 7,893 | 47.21% | 8,514 | 50.92% | 312 | 1.87% | -621 | -3.71% | 16,719 |
Jackson | 5,394 | 70.68% | 2,143 | 28.08% | 95 | 1.24% | 3,251 | 42.60% | 7,632 |
Jefferson | 105,949 | 54.69% | 84,477 | 43.60% | 3,307 | 1.71% | 21,472 | 11.09% | 193,733 |
Jefferson Davis | 11,423 | 76.97% | 3,208 | 21.62% | 210 | 1.41% | 8,215 | 55.35% | 14,841 |
Lafayette | 72,519 | 63.32% | 39,685 | 34.65% | 2,317 | 2.03% | 32,834 | 28.67% | 114,521 |
Lafourche | 36,024 | 79.37% | 8,672 | 19.11% | 692 | 1.52% | 27,352 | 60.26% | 45,388 |
LaSalle | 6,378 | 90.12% | 638 | 9.02% | 61 | 0.86% | 5,740 | 81.10% | 7,077 |
Lincoln | 11,311 | 58.68% | 7,559 | 39.22% | 405 | 2.10% | 3,752 | 19.46% | 19,275 |
Livingston | 54,877 | 84.13% | 9,249 | 14.18% | 1,104 | 1.69% | 45,628 | 69.95% | 65,230 |
Madison | 1,930 | 41.33% | 2,654 | 56.83% | 86 | 1.84% | -724 | -15.50% | 4,670 |
Morehouse | 6,510 | 56.25% | 4,946 | 42.73% | 118 | 1.02% | 1,564 | 13.52% | 11,574 |
Natchitoches | 9,358 | 56.53% | 6,896 | 41.66% | 300 | 1.81% | 2,462 | 14.87% | 16,554 |
Orleans | 26,664 | 15.00% | 147,854 | 83.15% | 3,301 | 1.85% | -121,190 | -68.15% | 177,819 |
Ouachita | 42,255 | 61.09% | 25,913 | 37.46% | 998 | 1.45% | 16,342 | 23.63% | 69,166 |
Plaquemines | 7,412 | 67.30% | 3,414 | 31.00% | 188 | 1.70% | 3,998 | 36.30% | 11,014 |
Pointe Coupee | 7,503 | 60.65% | 4,683 | 37.85% | 185 | 1.50% | 2,820 | 22.80% | 12,371 |
Rapides | 38,347 | 65.14% | 19,475 | 33.08% | 1,043 | 1.78% | 18,872 | 32.06% | 58,865 |
Red River | 2,413 | 58.40% | 1,644 | 39.79% | 75 | 1.81% | 769 | 18.61% | 4,132 |
Richland | 6,607 | 66.47% | 3,225 | 32.44% | 108 | 1.09% | 3,382 | 34.03% | 9,940 |
Sabine | 8,776 | 82.82% | 1,731 | 16.34% | 89 | 0.84% | 7,045 | 66.48% | 10,596 |
St. Bernard | 11,179 | 63.34% | 6,151 | 34.85% | 320 | 1.81% | 5,028 | 28.49% | 17,650 |
St. Charles | 18,233 | 63.94% | 9,800 | 34.37% | 484 | 1.69% | 7,433 | 29.57% | 28,517 |
St. Helena | 2,714 | 44.07% | 3,346 | 54.34% | 98 | 1.59% | -632 | -10.27% | 6,158 |
St. James | 5,954 | 47.29% | 6,510 | 51.71% | 126 | 1.00% | -556 | -4.42% | 12,590 |
St. John the Baptist | 7,538 | 35.17% | 13,582 | 63.37% | 312 | 1.46% | -6,044 | -28.20% | 21,432 |
St. Landry | 23,171 | 56.30% | 17,372 | 42.21% | 611 | 1.49% | 5,799 | 14.09% | 41,154 |
St. Martin | 18,203 | 67.32% | 8,439 | 31.21% | 396 | 1.47% | 9,764 | 36.11% | 27,038 |
St. Mary | 14,811 | 63.88% | 8,055 | 34.74% | 320 | 1.38% | 6,766 | 29.14% | 23,186 |
St. Tammany | 99,666 | 71.13% | 37,746 | 26.94% | 2,698 | 1.93% | 61,920 | 44.19% | 140,110 |
Tangipahoa | 37,806 | 65.57% | 18,887 | 32.76% | 968 | 1.67% | 18,919 | 32.81% | 57,661 |
Tensas | 1,197 | 46.87% | 1,329 | 52.04% | 28 | 1.09% | -132 | -5.17% | 2,554 |
Terrebonne | 34,339 | 74.26% | 11,198 | 24.22% | 703 | 1.52% | 23,141 | 50.04% | 46,240 |
Union | 8,407 | 75.06% | 2,654 | 23.69% | 140 | 1.25% | 5,753 | 51.37% | 11,201 |
Vermilion | 21,930 | 80.26% | 5,009 | 18.33% | 385 | 1.41% | 16,921 | 61.93% | 27,324 |
Vernon | 14,107 | 81.69% | 2,898 | 16.78% | 263 | 1.53% | 11,209 | 64.91% | 17,268 |
Washington | 13,307 | 68.20% | 5,970 | 30.59% | 236 | 1.21% | 7,337 | 37.61% | 19,513 |
Webster | 11,830 | 64.94% | 6,172 | 33.88% | 214 | 1.18% | 5,658 | 31.06% | 18,216 |
West Baton Rouge | 7,684 | 54.51% | 6,200 | 43.98% | 213 | 1.51% | 1,484 | 10.53% | 14,097 |
West Carroll | 4,317 | 85.45% | 710 | 14.05% | 25 | 0.50% | 3,607 | 71.40% | 5,052 |
West Feliciana | 3,863 | 61.63% | 2,298 | 36.66% | 107 | 1.71% | 1,565 | 24.97% | 6,268 |
Winn | 4,619 | 74.20% | 1,543 | 24.79% | 63 | 1.01% | 3,076 | 49.41% | 6,225 |
Totals | 1,255,776 | 58.46% | 856,034 | 39.85% | 36,252 | 1.69% | 399,742 | 18.61% | 2,148,062 |
Trump won 5 of the 6 congressional districts in Louisiana.
District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 68% | 30.1% | Steve Scalise |
2nd | 23% | 75.3% | Cedric Richmond |
3rd | 68.1% | 30.2% | Clay Higgins |
4th | 61.5% | 37% | Mike Johnson |
5th | 64.5% | 34.1% | Ralph Abraham |
6th | 63.8% | 34.4% | Garret Graves |
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Louisiana