2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana

Last updated

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana
Flag of Louisiana.svg
  2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020  

All 6 Louisiana seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election51
Seats won51
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote835,686553,162
Percentage57.21%37.87%
SwingDecrease2.svg 9.23%Increase2.svg 6.61%

2018 U.S. House elections in Louisiana.svg
2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana by parish.svg

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Louisiana, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Contents

Like most Louisiana elections, these were conducted using a jungle primary that occurred on November 6, where all candidates ran on the same ballot in the primary, regardless of party. Any candidate who earned an absolute majority of the vote in the primary would be automatically declared the winner of the election. However, if in any given congressional district no candidate gained an absolute majority of the votes, a runoff election between the top two candidates within said congressional district would have been held on December 8. [1] Nevertheless, the incumbent representatives in all six districts each earned over 50% of the vote in the jungle primaries, so no runoffs occurred.

Overview

Popular vote
Republican
57.21%
Democratic
37.87%
Other
4.96%
House seats
Republican
83.33%
Democratic
16.67%

By district

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Louisiana by district: [2]

District Republican Democratic OthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 192,55571.49%71,52126.56%5,2491.95%269,325100.0%Republican hold
District 2 00.00%190,18280.59%45,80019.41%235,982100.0%Democratic hold
District 3 168,26368.41%74,71330.38%2,9671.21%245,943100.0%Republican hold
District 4 139,32664.24%72,93433.63%4,6122.13%216,872100.0%Republican hold
District 5 149,01866.54%67,11829.97%7,8103.49%223,946100.0%Republican hold
District 6 186,55369.47%76,71628.57%5,2561.96%268,525100.0%Republican hold
Total835,71557.22%553,18437.87%71,6944.91%1,460,593100.0%

District 1

The 1st district is located in the Greater New Orleans area, covering much of the southeastern area of Louisiana along the Mississippi River Delta, taking in Dulac, Hammond, and Slidell. This is a heavily Republican district, and had a PVI of R+24. Incumbent Steve Scalise had represented this district since 2008 and was reelected in 2016 with 75%.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [4] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [6] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [7] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [8] Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [9] Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [10] Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Results

Louisiana's 1st congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Scalise (incumbent) 192,526 71.5
Democratic Tammy Savoie44,26216.4
Democratic Lee Ann Dugas18,5526.9
Democratic Jim Francis8,6853.2
Libertarian Howard Kearney2,8061.0
Independent Frederick "Ferd" Jones2,4420.9
Total votes269,325 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

The 2nd district stretches from New Orleans westward towards Baton Rouge and the surrounding areas. This is a heavily Democratic district, and had a PVI of D+25. Incumbent Democrat Cedric Richmond had represented this district since 2011 and won reelection in 2016 with 70%.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [4] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
RCP [6] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [7] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
538 [8] Safe DNovember 7, 2018
CNN [9] Safe DOctober 31, 2018
Politico [10] Safe DNovember 4, 2018

Results

Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Cedric Richmond (incumbent) 190,182 80.6
Independent Jesse Schmidt20,4658.7
Independent Belden "Noonie Man" Batiste17,2607.3
Independent Shawndra Rodriguez8,0753.4
Total votes235,982 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

2018 Louisiana's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Louisiana.svg
  2016
2020  
  Clay Higgins official portrait (cropped).jpeg 3x4.svg
Candidate Clay Higgins Mimi Methvin
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote136,87643,729
Percentage55.7%17.8%

  3x4.svg Rob Anderson at No Dem Left Behind Town Hall (cropped).png
CandidateJosh GuilloryRob Anderson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote31,38713,477
Percentage12.8%5.5%

2018 LA-3 Election Results.svg
Parish results
Higgins:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Clay Higgins
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Clay Higgins
Republican

The 3rd district is located within the Acadiana region and includes Lafayette, Lake Charles, and New Iberia. Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins was initially elected in 2016 with 56% of the vote. This is a reliably Republican district, and had a PVI of R+20.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [4] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [6] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [7] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [8] Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [9] Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [10] Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Results

Louisiana's 3rd congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Clay Higgins (incumbent) 136,876 55.7
Democratic Mimi Methvin 43,72917.8
Republican Josh Guillory31,38712.8
Democratic Rob Anderson13,4775.5
Democratic Larry Rader9,6923.9
Democratic Verone Thomas7,8153.2
Libertarian Aaron Andrus2,9671.2
Total votes245,943 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

The 4th district is located in Northwest Louisiana, taking in the Ark-La-Tex region, including Minden and Shreveport. This is a heavily Republican district, and had a PVI of R+13. Incumbent Republican Mike Johnson was initially elected in 2016 with 65% of the vote.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [4] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [6] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [7] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [8] Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [9] Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [10] Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Results

Louisiana's 4th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Johnson (incumbent) 139,326 64.2
Democratic Ryan Trundle72,93433.6
Independent Mark David Halverson4,6122.1
Total votes216,872 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

The 5th district is located in the northern Louisiana region, including the Monroe metro area. The district continues to stretch down into Central Louisiana taking in Alexandria and then expanding eastward into the Florida Parishes. This is a moderate to solid Republican district, and had a PVI of R+15. Incumbent Republican Ralph Abraham was initially elected in 2014, and was reelected in 2016 with 81% of the vote.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [4] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [6] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [7] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [8] Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [9] Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [10] Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Results

Louisiana's 5th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ralph Abraham (incumbent) 149,018 66.5
Democratic Jessee Carlton Fleenor67,11830.0
Independent Billy Burkette4,7992.1
Libertarian Kyle Randol3,0111.3
Total votes223,946 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

The 6th district is located within the Baton Rouge metropolitan area, including Central City, Denham Springs, and parts of the state capital, Baton Rouge. The district also stretches down into Acadiana taking in Thibodaux and parts of Houma. This is a strong Republican district, and had a PVI of R+19. Republican Garret Graves had represented this district since 2015 and was reelected in 2016 with 63% of the vote.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Inside Elections [4] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RCP [6] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [7] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
538 [8] Safe RNovember 7, 2018
CNN [9] Safe ROctober 31, 2018
Politico [10] Safe RNovember 4, 2018

Results

Louisiana's 6th congressional district, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Garret Graves (incumbent) 186,553 69.5
Democratic Justin DeWitt55,08920.5
Democratic Andie Saizan21,6278.1
Independent Devin Graham5,2562.0
Total votes268,525 100.0
Republican hold

References

  1. "Get Election Information - Louisiana Secretary of State" . Retrieved October 30, 2018.
  2. Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved April 27, 2019.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos . Retrieved November 5, 2018.[ permanent dead link ]
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight . Archived from the original on September 9, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "CNN's 2018 Race Ratings". CNN. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 30, 2023.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election". Politico. Archived from the original on November 4, 2018. Retrieved September 7, 2018.

Official campaign websites of first district candidates

Official campaign websites of second district candidates

Official campaign websites of third district candidates

Official campaign websites of fourth district candidates

Official campaign websites of fifth district candidates

Official campaign websites of sixth district candidates