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All 53 California seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 61.86% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in California |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 6, 2018, with the primary elections being held on June 5, 2018. Voters elected the 53 U.S. representatives from the state of California, one from each of the state's 53 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
Democrats won in seven congressional districts previously represented by Republicans, all of which voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016. This reduced the California House Republican delegation by half and left the Republican Party with the fewest seats in California since just before the 1946 election cycle.
Republican incumbents Jeff Denham, David Valadao, Steve Knight, Mimi Walters, and Dana Rohrabacher (who had been elected to fifteen terms) were all defeated. Democrats also picked up two open seats previously held by retiring GOP incumbents: thirteen-term incumbent Ed Royce and nine-term incumbent Darrell Issa. The seven Democratic House pickups in California were the most made by the party in the 2018 election cycle.
United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2018 Primary election — June 5, 2018 | ||||||
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Party | Votes | Percentage | Candidates | Advancing to general | Seats contesting | |
Democratic | 4,189,103 | 63.55% | 117 [a] | 55 | 52 | |
Republican | 2,250,074 | 34.13% | 95 [b] | 46 | 45 | |
No party preference | 95,908 | 1.45% | 24 [c] | 2 | 2 | |
Green | 38,737 | 0.59% | 10 | 3 | 3 | |
Libertarian | 11,493 | 0.17% | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
American Independent | 6,747 | 0.10% | 5 | 0 | 0 | |
Peace and Freedom | 233 | <0.01% | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Totals | 6,592,295 | 100% | 258 | 106 | — |
United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2018 General election — November 6, 2018 [6] | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats before | Seats after | +/– | |
Democratic | 8,010,445 | 65.74% | 39 | 46 | 7 | |
Republican | 3,973,396 | 32.61% | 14 | 7 | 7 | |
Green | 103,459 | 0.85% | 0 | 0 | ||
No party preference | 97,202 | 0.80% | 0 | 0 | ||
Valid votes | 12,184,522 | 95.85% | — | — | — | |
Invalid votes | 528,020 | 4.15% | — | — | — | |
Totals | 12,712,542 | 100.00% | 53 | 53 | — | |
Voter turnout | 64.54% (registered voters) 50.45% (eligible voters) |
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in California by district: [7]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 131,548 | 45.11% | 160,046 | 54.89% | 0 | 0.00% | 291,594 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 243,081 | 77.01% | 72,576 | 22.99% | 0 | 0.00% | 315,657 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 3 | 134,875 | 58.07% | 97,376 | 41.93% | 0 | 0.00% | 232,251 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 4 | 156,253 | 45.87% | 184,401 | 54.13% | 0 | 0.00% | 340,654 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 205,860 | 78.87% | 0 | 0.00% | 55,158 | 21.13% | 261,018 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 201,939 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 201,939 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 7 | 155,016 | 55.04% | 126,601 | 44.96% | 0 | 0.00% | 281,617 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 8 | 0 | 0.00% | 170,785 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 170,785 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 9 | 113,414 | 56.49% | 87,349 | 43.51% | 0 | 0.00% | 200,763 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 10 | 115,945 | 52.25% | 105,955 | 47.75% | 0 | 0.00% | 221,900 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 11 | 204,369 | 74.13% | 71,312 | 25.87% | 0 | 0.00% | 275,681 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 12 | 275,292 | 86.82% | 41,780 | 13.18% | 0 | 0.00% | 317,072 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 13 | 260,580 | 88.38% | 0 | 0.00% | 34,257 | 11.62% | 294,837 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 14 | 211,384 | 79.22% | 55,439 | 20.78% | 0 | 0.00% | 266,823 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 15 | 177,989 | 72.97% | 65,940 | 27.03% | 0 | 0.00% | 243,929 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 16 | 82,266 | 57.55% | 60,693 | 42.45% | 0 | 0.00% | 142,959 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 17 | 159,105 | 75.35% | 52,057 | 24.65% | 0 | 0.00% | 211,162 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 18 | 225,142 | 74.49% | 77,096 | 25.51% | 0 | 0.00% | 302,238 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 19 | 162,496 | 73.75% | 57,823 | 26.25% | 0 | 0.00% | 220,319 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 20 | 183,677 | 81.37% | 0 | 0.00% | 42,044 | 18.63% | 225,721 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 21 | 57,239 | 50.38% | 56,377 | 49.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 113,616 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 22 | 105,136 | 47.28% | 117,243 | 52.72% | 0 | 0.00% | 222,379 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 23 | 74,661 | 36.28% | 131,113 | 63.72% | 0 | 0.00% | 205,774 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 24 | 166,550 | 58.56% | 117,881 | 41.44% | 0 | 0.00% | 284,431 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 25 | 133,209 | 54.37% | 111,813 | 45.63% | 0 | 0.00% | 245,022 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 26 | 158,216 | 61.94% | 97,210 | 38.06% | 0 | 0.00% | 255,426 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 27 | 202,636 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 202,636 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 28 | 196,662 | 78.37% | 54,272 | 21.63% | 0 | 0.00% | 250,934 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 29 | 124,697 | 80.61% | 29,995 | 19.39% | 0 | 0.00% | 154,692 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 30 | 191,573 | 73.40% | 69,420 | 26.60% | 0 | 0.00% | 260,993 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 31 | 110,143 | 58.74% | 77,352 | 41.26% | 0 | 0.00% | 187,495 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 32 | 121,759 | 68.78% | 55,272 | 31.22% | 0 | 0.00% | 177,031 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 33 | 219,091 | 70.03% | 93,769 | 29.97% | 0 | 0.00% | 312,860 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 34 | 110,195 | 72.54% | 0 | 0.00% | 41,711 | 27.46% | 151,906 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 35 | 103,420 | 69.40% | 45,604 | 30.60% | 0 | 0.00% | 149,024 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 36 | 122,169 | 59.02% | 84,839 | 40.98% | 0 | 0.00% | 207,008 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 37 | 210,555 | 89.08% | 25,823 | 10.92% | 0 | 0.00% | 236,378 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 38 | 139,188 | 68.85% | 62,968 | 31.15% | 0 | 0.00% | 202,156 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 39 | 126,002 | 51.56% | 118,391 | 48.44% | 0 | 0.00% | 244,393 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 40 | 93,938 | 77.35% | 0 | 0.00% | 27,511 | 22.65% | 121,449 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 41 | 108,227 | 65.10% | 58,021 | 34.90% | 0 | 0.00% | 166,248 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 42 | 100,892 | 43.50% | 131,040 | 56.50% | 0 | 0.00% | 231,932 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 43 | 152,272 | 77.67% | 43,780 | 22.33% | 0 | 0.00% | 196,052 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 44 | 143,322 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 143,322 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 45 | 158,906 | 52.05% | 146,383 | 47.95% | 0 | 0.00% | 305,289 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 46 | 102,278 | 69.15% | 45,638 | 30.85% | 0 | 0.00% | 147,916 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 47 | 143,354 | 64.86% | 77,682 | 35.14% | 0 | 0.00% | 221,036 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 48 | 157,837 | 53.55% | 136,899 | 46.45% | 0 | 0.00% | 294,736 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 49 | 166,453 | 56.42% | 128,577 | 43.58% | 0 | 0.00% | 295,030 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
District 50 | 125,448 | 48.28% | 134,362 | 51.72% | 0 | 0.00% | 259,810 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 51 | 109,527 | 71.20% | 44,301 | 28.80% | 0 | 0.00% | 153,828 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 52 | 188,992 | 63.85% | 107,015 | 36.15% | 0 | 0.00% | 296,007 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 53 | 185,667 | 69.07% | 83,127 | 30.93% | 0 | 0.00% | 268,794 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
Total | 8,010,445 | 65.74% | 3,973,396 | 32.61% | 200,681 | 1.65% | 12,184,522 | 100.0% |
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The 1st district is based in inland Northern California and includes Chico and Redding. Incumbent Republican Doug LaMalfa, who had represented the 1st district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Doug LaMalfa (incumbent) | 98,354 | 51.7 | |
Democratic | Audrey Denney | 34,121 | 17.9 | |
Democratic | Jessica Holcombe | 22,306 | 11.7 | |
Democratic | Marty Waters | 16,032 | 8.4 | |
Republican | Gregory Cheadle | 11,660 | 6.1 | |
Democratic | David Peterson | 5,707 | 3.0 | |
Green | Lewis Elbinger | 2,191 | 1.2 | |
Total votes | 190,371 | 100.0 |
After advancing to the general election, Democratic candidate Audrey Denney was forced to pause her campaign for emergency tumor-removal surgery in August, [12] but returned in time to debate LaMalfa in September. [13]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [17] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Denney lost, having received 45.1% of the vote, but would win the Democratic party nomination for the 2020 election. [22]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Doug LaMalfa (incumbent) | 160,046 | 54.9 | |
Democratic | Audrey Denney | 131,548 | 45.1 | |
Majority | 28,498 | 9.8 | ||
Total votes | 291,594 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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The 2nd district is based in California's North Coast and includes Marin County and Eureka. Democrat Jared Huffman, who had represented the 2nd district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+22.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jared Huffman (incumbent) | 144,005 | 72.5 | |
Republican | Dale K. Mensing | 41,607 | 20.9 | |
Democratic | Andy Caffrey | 13,072 | 6.6 | |
Total votes | 198,684 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jared Huffman (incumbent) | 243,081 | 77.0 | |
Republican | Dale K. Mensing | 72,576 | 23.0 | |
Total votes | 315,657 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 3rd district is based in north central California and includes Davis, Fairfield, and Yuba City. Democrat John Garamendi, who had represented the 3rd district since 2013 and had previously represented the 10th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 74,552 | 53.6 | |
Republican | Charlie Schaupp | 58,598 | 42.1 | |
Democratic | Kevin Puett | 5,971 | 4.3 | |
Total votes | 139,121 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Garamendi (incumbent) | 134,875 | 58.1 | |
Republican | Charlie Schaupp | 97,376 | 41.9 | |
Total votes | 232,251 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 4th district is based in east central California and includes Lake Tahoe, Roseville, and Yosemite National Park. Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock, who had represented the 4th district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+10.
The 4th district was added as a Republican-held seat that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee was targeting on November 9, 2017. [25]
In February, the California Democratic Party endorsed [28] Jessica Morse. Calderon was able to successfully collect 322 CDP-credentialed delegate signatures needed to block the endorsement, in which Morse only received 44 delegate votes. However, CDP staff refused to accept the forms after it was alleged they closed doors early to prevent the submission. A petition was later filed with the Compliance Review Commission [29] by Calderon. The CRC voted to accept and count the signatures, ultimately disqualifying enough signatures to proceed with Morse's endorsement.
California allows candidates to include their professional description under their names on the ballot, however Regina Bateson later challenged Morse's ballot designation title of "National Security Fellow" at the Sacramento Superior Court after months of controversy that Morse, who had not worked in three years, was "fluffing" her credentials. [30] California's secretary of state, Alex Padilla, had struck down Morse's 3 ballot designations before Judge Gevercer ruled [31] that she presented "no credible evidence" to use the ballot designation of "National Security Fellow". Instead, he held that this title would mislead the average person about her recent activities. In the official Certified Candidate List, Morse's ballot designation was left blank.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 109,679 | 51.8 | |
Democratic | Jessica Morse | 42,942 | 20.3 | |
Democratic | Regina Bateson | 26,303 | 12.4 | |
Republican | Mitchell White | 14,433 | 6.8 | |
Democratic | Roza Calderon | 13,621 | 6.4 | |
Democratic | Robert Lawton | 4,593 | 2.2 | |
Total votes | 211,571 | 100.0 |
State officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tom McClintock (R) | Jessica Morse (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Morse) [42] | October 15–16, 2018 | 840 | ± 3.4% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Likely R | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom McClintock (incumbent) | 184,401 | 54.1 | |
Democratic | Jessica Morse | 156,253 | 45.9 | |
Majority | 28,148 | 8.2 | ||
Total votes | 340,654 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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The 5th district is based in the North Bay and includes Napa, Santa Rosa, and Vallejo. Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, who had represented the 5th district since 2013 and previously represented the 1st district from 1999 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 76.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+21.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 121,428 | 79.3 | |
No party preference | Anthony Mills | 13,538 | 8.8 | |
No party preference | Nils Palsson | 12,652 | 8.3 | |
Green | Jason Kishineff | 5,458 | 3.6 | |
Total votes | 153,076 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 205,860 | 78.9 | |
No party preference | Anthony Mills | 55,158 | 21.1 | |
Total votes | 261,018 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 6th district is based in north central California and includes Sacramento. Democrat Doris Matsui, who had represented the 6th district since 2013 and previously represented the 5th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 75.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+21.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 99,789 | 87.9 | |
Democratic | Jrmar Jefferson | 13,786 | 12.1 | |
Democratic | Ralph Nwobi (write-in) | 9 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 113,584 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 162,411 | 80.4 | |
Democratic | Jrmar Jefferson | 39,528 | 19.6 | |
Total votes | 201,939 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 7th district is based in north central California and includes southern and eastern Sacramento County. Democrat Ami Bera, who had represented the 7th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+3.
California's 7th district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018. [45]
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ami Bera (incumbent) | 84,776 | 51.7 | |
Republican | Andrew Grant | 51,221 | 31.2 | |
Republican | Yona Barash | 22,845 | 13.9 | |
Green | Robert Christian "Chris" Richardson | 3,183 | 1.9 | |
No party preference | Reginald Claytor | 2,095 | 1.3 | |
Total votes | 164,120 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Organizations
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ami Bera (D) | Andrew Grant (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Grant) [51] | June 12–14, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Lean D | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ami Bera (incumbent) | 155,016 | 55.0 | |
Republican | Andrew Grant | 126,601 | 45.0 | |
Majority | 28,415 | 10.0 | ||
Total votes | 281,617 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 8th district is based in the eastern High Desert and includes Victorville and Yucaipa. Incumbent Republican Paul Cook, who had represented the 8th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62.3% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Cook (incumbent) | 44,482 | 40.8 | |
Republican | Tim Donnelly | 24,933 | 22.8 | |
Democratic | Marjorie "Marge" Doyle | 23,675 | 21.7 | |
Democratic | Rita Ramirez | 10,990 | 10.1 | |
Democratic | Ronald J. O'Donnell | 5,049 | 4.6 | |
Republican | Joseph Napolitano (write-in) | 0 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 109,129 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Cook (incumbent) | 102,415 | 60.0 | |
Republican | Tim Donnelly | 68,370 | 40.0 | |
Total votes | 170,785 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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The 9th district is based in the Central Valley and includes the San Joaquin Delta and Stockton. Incumbent Democrat Jerry McNerney, who had represented the 9th district since 2013 and previously represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+8.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry McNerney (incumbent) | 55,923 | 53.2 | |
Republican | Marla Livengood | 43,242 | 41.1 | |
American Independent | Mike Tsarnas | 6,038 | 5.7 | |
Total votes | 105,203 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jerry McNerney (incumbent) | 113,414 | 56.5 | |
Republican | Marla Livengood | 87,349 | 43.5 | |
Total votes | 200,763 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Harder: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district was based in the Central Valley and included Modesto (and the remainder of Stanislaus County), Manteca, and Tracy (with other portions of southern San Joaquin County). Republican Jeff Denham, who had represented the 10th district since 2013 and previously represented the 19th district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of EVEN.
California's 10th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [52]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Denham (R) | Michael Eggman (D) | Josh Harder (D) | Virginia Madueño (D) | Sue Zwahlen (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benenson Strategy Group (D-Harder) [60] | May 2–6, 2018 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 42% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 5% [61] | 4% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jeff Denham (incumbent) | 45,719 | 37.5 | |
Democratic | Josh Harder | 20,742 | 17.0 | |
Republican | Ted D. Howze | 17,723 | 14.6 | |
Democratic | Michael Eggman | 12,446 | 10.2 | |
Democratic | Virginia Madueño | 11,178 | 9.2 | |
Democratic | Sue Zwahlen | 9,945 | 8.2 | |
Democratic | Michael J. "Mike" Barkley | 2,904 | 2.4 | |
Democratic | Dotty Nygard (withdrawn) | 1,100 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 121,757 | 100.0 |
Organizations
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Labor unions
Organizations
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Jeff Denham | Josh Harder | |||||
1 | September 22, 2018 | Turlock Journal Univision 19 | Kristina Hacker | [67] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jeff Denham (R) | Josh Harder (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College [68] | October 21–25, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
UC Berkeley [69] | September 16–23, 2018 | 726 | ± 5.0% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) [70] | June 27 – July 1, 2018 | 501 | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
ALG Research (D-Eggman) [71] | March 13–15, 2018 | 400 | – | 48% | 37% | 15% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Although Denham led the reported vote count for several days, Harder ultimately won the general election by almost 10,000 votes with Denham conceding defeat on November 14. [72] [73]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Josh Harder | 115,945 | 52.3 | |
Republican | Jeff Denham (incumbent) | 105,955 | 47.7 | |
Majority | 9,990 | 4.6 | ||
Total votes | 221,900 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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The 11th district is based in the East Bay and includes Concord and Richmond. Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier, who had represented the 11th district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 72.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+21.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark DeSaulnier (incumbent) | 107,115 | 68.3 | |
Republican | John Fitzgerald | 36,279 | 23.1 | |
Democratic | Dennis Lytton | 8,695 | 5.5 | |
No party preference | Chris Wood | 4,789 | 3.1 | |
Total votes | 156,878 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark DeSaulnier (incumbent) | 204,369 | 74.1 | |
Republican | John Fitzgerald | 71,312 | 25.9 | |
Total votes | 275,681 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 12th district is based in the Bay Area and includes most of San Francisco. House Democratic Leader and former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who had represented the 12th district since 2013 and previously represented the 8th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 5th district from 1987 until 1993, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 80.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+37.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 141,365 | 68.5 | |
Republican | Lisa Remmer | 18,771 | 9.1 | |
Democratic | Shahid Buttar | 17,597 | 8.5 | |
Democratic | Stephen Jaffe | 12,114 | 5.9 | |
Democratic | Ryan A. Khojasteh | 9,498 | 4.6 | |
Green | Barry Hermanson | 4,217 | 2.0 | |
No party preference | Michael Goldstein | 2,820 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 206,382 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 275,292 | 86.8 | |
Republican | Lisa Remmer | 41,780 | 13.2 | |
Total votes | 317,072 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 13th district is based in the East Bay and includes Berkeley and Oakland. Incumbent Democrat Barbara Lee, who had represented the 13th district since 2013 and previously represented the 9th district from 1998 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 92.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+40.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 159,751 | 99.3 | |
Green | Laura Wells (write-in) | 832 | 0.5 | |
Republican | Jeanne Marie Solnordal (write-in) | 178 | 0.1 | |
Libertarian | James M. Eyer (write-in) | 39 | 0.0 | |
No party preference | Lanenna Joiner (write-in) | 26 | 0.0 | |
American Independent | Vincent May (write-in) | 3 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 160,829 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 260,580 | 88.4 | |
Green | Laura Wells | 34,257 | 11.6 | |
Total votes | 294,837 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 14th district is based in the Bay Area and includes most of San Mateo County. Incumbent Democrat Jackie Speier, who had represented the 14th district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 2008 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 80.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+27.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jackie Speier (incumbent) | 123,900 | 79.4 | |
Republican | Cristina Osmeña | 32,054 | 20.6 | |
Total votes | 155,954 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jackie Speier (incumbent) | 211,384 | 79.2 | |
Republican | Cristina Osmeña | 55,439 | 20.8 | |
Total votes | 266,823 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 15th district is based in the East Bay and includes Hayward and Livermore. Incumbent Democrat Eric Swalwell, who had represented the 15th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 73.8% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+20.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Eric Swalwell (incumbent) | 90,971 | 70.5 | |
Republican | Rudy Peters | 33,771 | 26.2 | |
No party preference | Brendan St. John | 4,322 | 3.3 | |
Total votes | 129,064 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Eric Swalwell (incumbent) | 177,989 | 73.0 | |
Republican | Rudy Peters | 65,940 | 27.0 | |
Total votes | 243,929 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 16th district is based in the Central Valley and includes Fresno, Madera, and Merced. Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa, who had represented the 16th district since 2013 and previously represented the 20th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+9.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 39,527 | 53.0 | |
Republican | Elizabeth Heng | 35,080 | 47.0 | |
Total votes | 74,607 | 100.0 |
As a minority, millennial female running against an established male politician, Heng received a number of comparisons to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. [93] Heng gained notoriety during the campaign for aggressive attack ads, including one where she depicted a silver-haired man who resembled Costa walking on a sidewalk in red high heels, which prompted questions of sexism. [94] More controversially her campaign ran an ad featuring images of the Cambodian genocide, part of her family heritage. This ad was banned on Facebook and Twitter, leading to conservative claims of social media bias and unjustified censorship. [95] [96] Both social media sites ended up reversing course and allowed the commercials. [94]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jim Costa (D) | Elizabeth Heng (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [98] | September 14–19, 2018 | 515 | ± 5.2% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 82,266 | 57.5 | |
Republican | Elizabeth Heng | 60,693 | 42.5 | |
Majority | 21,573 | 15.0 | ||
Total votes | 142,959 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 17th district is based in the Bay Area and includes Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Santa Clara, Fremont, and Milpitas. Incumbent Democrat Ro Khanna, who had represented the 17th district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 61.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+25.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ro Khanna (incumbent) | 72,676 | 62.0 | |
Republican | Ron Cohen | 26,865 | 22.9 | |
Democratic | Khanh Tran | 8,455 | 7.2 | |
Democratic | Stephen Forbes | 6,259 | 5.3 | |
Libertarian | Kennita Watson | 2,997 | 2.6 | |
Total votes | 117,252 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ro Khanna (incumbent) | 159,105 | 75.3 | |
Republican | Ron Cohen | 52,057 | 24.7 | |
Total votes | 211,162 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 18th district is based in the Bay Area and includes Palo Alto, Redwood City, and Saratoga. Incumbent Democrat Anna Eshoo, who had represented the 18th district since 2013 and previously represented the 14th district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 71.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 133,993 | 73.4 | |
Republican | Christine Russell | 42,692 | 23.4 | |
No party preference | John Karl Fredrich | 5,803 | 3.2 | |
Total votes | 182,488 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 225,142 | 74.5 | |
Republican | Christine Russell | 77,096 | 25.5 | |
Total votes | 302,238 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 19th district is based in the South Bay and includes most of San Jose. Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren, who had represented the 19th district since 2013 and previously represented the 16th district from 1995 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 73.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+24.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 97,096 | 99.0 | |
Republican | Justin James Aguilera (write-in) | 792 | 0.8 | |
Republican | Karl Ryan (write-in) | 160 | 0.2 | |
American Independent | Robert Ornelas (write-in) | 7 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 98,055 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 162,496 | 73.8 | |
Republican | Justin James Aguilera | 57,823 | 26.2 | |
Total votes | 220,319 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 20th district is based in the Central Coast and includes Monterey and Santa Cruz. Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta, who had represented the 20th district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 70.8% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jimmy Panetta (incumbent) | 102,828 | 80.7 | |
No party preference | Ronald Paul Kabat | 19,657 | 15.4 | |
Democratic | Douglas Deitch | 4,956 | 3.9 | |
Republican | Casey K. Clark (write-in) | 20 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 127,461 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jimmy Panetta (incumbent) | 183,677 | 81.4 | |
No party preference | Ronald Paul Kabat | 42,044 | 18.6 | |
Total votes | 225,721 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Cox: Cox—50–60% Valadao: Valadao—50–60% Valadao—60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 21st district is based in the Central Valley and includes Hanford and parts of Bakersfield. Incumbent Republican David Valadao, who had represented the 21st district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 56.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.
California's 21st district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [52]
Cox was running in the 10th district race before switching to run in the 21st district in March 2017. [101] Democrat Emilio Huerta, who ran for the seat in 2016 and was planning to run again, dropped out shortly before Cox entered the race. [102]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Valadao (incumbent) | 34,290 | 62.8 | |
Democratic | TJ Cox | 20,293 | 37.2 | |
Total votes | 54,583 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | David Valadao (R) | TJ Cox (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [106] | September 20–24, 2018 | 555 | ± 5.4% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
David Valadao | TJ Cox | |||||
1 | , 2018 | KSEE-TV KGET-TV | Evan Onstot Jim Scott | [107] | P | P |
On election night, Valadao held an 8-point lead, the Associated Press and other news networks called the race for Valadao, and Cox conceded. However, mail-in and absentee ballots, which constituted about sixty percent of all ballots cast in the race, started arriving in the days and weeks following election day and swung heavily toward Cox. On November 26, Cox took the lead, retaining it until all ballots had been counted; Valadao conceded the race on December 6.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | TJ Cox | 57,239 | 50.4 | |
Republican | David Valadao (incumbent) | 56,377 | 49.6 | |
Majority | 862 | 0.8 | ||
Total votes | 113,616 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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The 22nd district is based in the Central Valley and includes Clovis, Tulare, and Visalia. Incumbent Republican Devin Nunes, who had represented the 22nd district since 2013 and previously represented the 21st district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67.6% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.
In 2017, Nunes received criticism for his handling of the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 United States elections. [108]
California's 22nd district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [52]
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Devin Nunes (incumbent) | 70,112 | 57.6 | |
Democratic | Andrew Janz | 38,596 | 31.7 | |
Democratic | Bobby Bliatout | 6,002 | 4.9 | |
Democratic | Ricardo "Rico" Franco | 4,365 | 3.6 | |
No party preference | Brian Carroll | 1,591 | 1.3 | |
Libertarian | Bill Merryman | 1,137 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 121,803 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Devin Nunes (R) | Andrew Janz (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) [114] | October 19–21, 2018 | 840 | – | 51% | 46% | 3% |
SurveyUSA [115] | September 20–25, 2018 | 582 | ± 5.7% | 55% | 41% | 4% |
UC Berkeley [116] | September 16–23, 2018 | 912 | ± 4.0% | 53% | 45% | 2% |
Strategies 360 (D-Janz) [117] | September 10–13, 2018 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
Tulchin Research (D-Janz) [118] | July 22–25, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Strategies 360 (D-Janz) [117] | July 12–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 41% | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [119] | June 22–24, 2018 | 632 | ± 3.9% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Likely R | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Devin Nunes (incumbent) | 117,243 | 52.8 | |
Democratic | Andrew Janz | 105,136 | 47.2 | |
Majority | 12,107 | 5.6 | ||
Total votes | 222,379 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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The 23rd district is based in the southern Central Valley and includes parts of Bakersfield. Republican House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy, who had represented the 23rd district since 2013 and previously represented the 22nd district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 69.2% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+14.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin McCarthy (incumbent) | 81,633 | 68.8 | |
Democratic | Tatiana Matta | 14,935 | 12.6 | |
Democratic | Wendy Reed | 11,974 | 10.1 | |
Democratic | Mary Helen Barro | 6,363 | 5.4 | |
No party preference | James Davis | 2,076 | 1.7 | |
Democratic | Kurtis Wilson | 1,691 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 118,672 | 100.0 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Kevin McCarthy | Tatiana Matta | |||||
1 | Oct. 18, 2018 | KGET-TV | Tami Mlcoch Jim Scott | [124] | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin McCarthy (incumbent) | 131,113 | 63.7 | |
Democratic | Tatiana Matta | 74,661 | 36.3 | |
Total votes | 205,774 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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The 24th district is based in the Central Coast and includes San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties. Incumbent Democrat Salud Carbajal, who had represented the 24th district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 53.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.
California's 24th district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018. [45]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Salud Carbajal (incumbent) | 94,558 | 53.6 | |
Republican | Justin Fareed | 64,177 | 36.4 | |
Republican | Michael Erin Woody | 17,715 | 10.0 | |
Total votes | 176,450 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Salud Carbajal (D) | Justin Fareed (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Olive Tree Strategies (R-Fareed) [131] | July 12–15, 2018 | 404 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Safe D | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Salud Carbajal (incumbent) | 166,550 | 58.6 | |
Republican | Justin Fareed | 117,881 | 41.4 | |
Majority | 48,669 | 17.2 | ||
Total votes | 284,431 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Hill Hill—50–60% Knight Knight—50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 25th district is based in northern Los Angeles County and includes Palmdale and Santa Clarita as well as Simi Valley in Ventura County. Incumbent Republican Steve Knight, who had represented the 25th district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of EVEN.
California's 25th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [52]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bryan Caforio (D) | Steve Knight (R) | Katie Hill (D) | Jess Phoenix (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALG Research (D-Caforio) [148] | February 11–15, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 19% | 43% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Caforio) [149] | May 16–17, 2017 | 596 | ± 4.0% | 30% | 46% | 9% | 4% | – | 10% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Knight (incumbent) | 61,411 | 51.8 | |
Democratic | Katie Hill | 24,507 | 20.7 | |
Democratic | Bryan Caforio | 21,821 | 18.4 | |
Democratic | Jess Phoenix | 7,549 | 6.4 | |
Democratic | Mary Pallant | 3,157 | 2.7 | |
Total votes | 118,445 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Knight (R) | Katie Hill (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College [158] | October 25–28, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
UC Berkeley [159] | September 16–23, 2018 | 650 | ± 5.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [160] | September 17–19, 2018 | 500 | ± 5.0% | 47% | 45% | 7% |
IMGE Insights (R) [161] | July 9–12, 2018 | 400 | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Global Strategy Group [162] | June 11–21, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [163] | February 14–15, 2018 | 283 | ± 5.8% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
FM3 Research [164] | January 24–28, 2018 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 40% | 53% | 7% |
Strategies 360 (D-Hill) [165] | June 22–25, 2017 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
with Caforio
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Knight (R) | Bryan Caforio (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research [166] | January 24–28, 2018 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Strategies 360 (D-Hill) [165] | June 22–25, 2017 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
PPP(D-Caforio) [167] | May 16–17, 2017 | 596 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
with generic Republican and generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research [166] | January 24–28, 2018 | 650 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
with Knight and generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Steve Knight (R) | Generic Democrat (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP/Patriot Majority USA [168] | February 12–13, 2018 | 703 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
PPP/Patriot Majority USA [169] | November 8–9, 2017 | 576 | ± 4.1% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Katie Hill | 133,209 | 54.4 | |
Republican | Steve Knight (incumbent) | 111,813 | 45.6 | |
Majority | 21,396 | 8.8 | ||
Total votes | 245,022 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
General election results by county | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Blue represents counties won by Hill. Red represents counties won by Knight.
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The 26th district is based in the southern Central Coast and includes Oxnard and Thousand Oaks. Incumbent Democrat Julia Brownley, who had represented the 26th district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Julia Brownley (incumbent) | 72,764 | 54.1 | |
Republican | Antonio Sabàto Jr. | 30,107 | 22.4 | |
Republican | Jeffrey Burum | 26,656 | 19.8 | |
Democratic | John Nelson | 4,959 | 3.7 | |
Total votes | 134,486 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Julia Brownley (incumbent) | 158,216 | 61.9 | |
Republican | Antonio Sabàto Jr. | 97,210 | 38.1 | |
Total votes | 255,426 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 27th district is based in the San Gabriel Foothills and includes Alhambra, Glendora and Pasadena. Democrat Judy Chu, who had represented the 27th district since 2013 and previously represented the 32nd district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 67.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+16.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Judy Chu (incumbent) | 86,932 | 83.5 | |
Democratic | Bryan Witt | 17,186 | 16.5 | |
Total votes | 104,118 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Judy Chu (incumbent) | 160,504 | 79.2 | |
Democratic | Bryan Witt | 42,132 | 20.8 | |
Total votes | 202,636 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 28th district is based in the northern Los Angeles suburbs and includes Burbank, Glendale, La Cañada Flintridge as well as parts of central Los Angeles. Incumbent Democrat Adam Schiff, who had represented the 28th district since 2013 and previously represented the 29th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 27th district from 2001 to 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 78.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Adam Schiff (incumbent) | 94,249 | 73.5 | |
Republican | Johnny Nalbandian | 26,566 | 20.7 | |
Democratic | Sal Genovese | 7,406 | 5.8 | |
Total votes | 128,221 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Adam Schiff (incumbent) | 196,662 | 78.4 | |
Republican | Johnny Nalbandian | 54,272 | 21.6 | |
Total votes | 250,934 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 29th district is based in the northeastern San Fernando Valley. Incumbent Democrat Tony Cárdenas, who had represented the 29th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 74.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+29.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tony Cárdenas (incumbent) | 43,579 | 66.7 | |
Republican | Benito Benny Bernal | 11,353 | 17.4 | |
Democratic | Joseph "Joe" Shammas | 5,278 | 8.1 | |
Green | Angelica Maria Dueñas | 4,164 | 6.4 | |
No party preference | Juan Rey | 944 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 65,318 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tony Cárdenas (incumbent) | 124,697 | 80.6 | |
Republican | Benito Benny Bernal | 29,995 | 19.4 | |
Total votes | 154,692 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 30th district is based in the western San Fernando Valley and includes Sherman Oaks. Democrat Brad Sherman, who had represented the 30th district since 2013 and previously represented the 27th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 24th district from 1997 to 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 72.6% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+18.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brad Sherman (incumbent) | 80,038 | 62.3 | |
Republican | Mark Reed | 35,046 | 27.3 | |
Democratic | Raji Rab | 6,753 | 5.3 | |
Democratic | Jon Pelzer | 6,642 | 5.2 | |
Total votes | 128,479 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brad Sherman (incumbent) | 191,573 | 73.4 | |
Republican | Mark Reed | 69,420 | 26.6 | |
Total votes | 260,993 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 31st district is based in the Inland Empire and includes San Bernardino, Redlands and Rancho Cucamonga. Incumbent Democrat Pete Aguilar, who had represented the 31st district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+8.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Pete Aguilar (incumbent) | 41,337 | 45.9 | |
Republican | Sean Flynn | 40,622 | 45.1 | |
Democratic | Kaisar Ahmed | 8,108 | 9.0 | |
Total votes | 90,067 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Pete Aguilar (incumbent) | 110,143 | 58.7 | |
Republican | Sean Flynn | 77,352 | 41.3 | |
Majority | 32,791 | 17.4 | ||
Total votes | 187,495 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 32nd district is based in the San Gabriel Valley and includes El Monte and West Covina. Democrat Grace Napolitano, who had represented the 32nd district since 2013 and previously represented the 38th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 34th district from 1999 to 2003, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+17.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Grace Napolitano (incumbent) | 56,674 | 99.9 | |
Republican | Joshua M. Scott (write-in) | 42 | 0.1 | |
Democratic | Ricardo De La Fuente (write-in) | 1 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 56,717 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Grace Napolitano (incumbent) | 121,759 | 68.8 | |
Republican | Joshua M. Scott | 55,272 | 31.2 | |
Total votes | 177,031 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 33rd district is based in coastal Los Angeles County and includes Beverly Hills and Santa Monica. Democrat Ted Lieu, who had represented the 33rd district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+16.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ted Lieu (incumbent) | 100,581 | 61.7 | |
Republican | Kenneth Wright | 48,985 | 30.1 | |
Democratic | Emory Rodgers | 13,435 | 8.2 | |
Total votes | 163,001 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ted Lieu (incumbent) | 219,091 | 70.0 | |
Republican | Kenneth Wright | 93,769 | 30.0 | |
Total votes | 312,860 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 34th district is based in central Los Angeles and includes Boyle Heights, Chinatown and Downtown Los Angeles. Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez, who had represented the 34th district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 59.2% of the vote in 2017. [173] The district had a PVI of D+35.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jimmy Gomez (incumbent) | 54,661 | 78.7 | |
Green | Kenneth Mejia | 8,987 | 12.9 | |
Libertarian | Angela McArdle | 5,804 | 8.4 | |
Total votes | 69,452 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jimmy Gomez (incumbent) | 110,195 | 72.5 | |
Green | Kenneth Mejia | 41,711 | 27.5 | |
Total votes | 151,906 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 35th district is based in the Inland Empire and includes Fontana, Ontario, and Pomona. Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres, who had represented the 35th district since 2015, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 72.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+19.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Norma Torres (incumbent) | 32,474 | 51.2 | |
Republican | Christian Valiente | 21,572 | 34.0 | |
Democratic | Joe Baca | 9,417 | 14.7 | |
Total votes | 63,463 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Norma Torres (incumbent) | 103,420 | 69.4 | |
Republican | Christian Valiente | 45,604 | 30.6 | |
Total votes | 149,024 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 36th district is based in eastern Riverside County and includes Palm Springs. Democrat Raul Ruiz, who had represented the 36th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+2.
California's 36th district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018. [45]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raul Ruiz (incumbent) | 65,554 | 55.0 | |
Republican | Kimberlin Brown Pelzer | 27,648 | 23.2 | |
Republican | Dan Ball | 9,312 | 7.8 | |
Republican | Douglas Hassett | 6,001 | 5.0 | |
Republican | Stephan J. Wolkowicz | 5,576 | 4.7 | |
Republican | Robert Bentley | 5,030 | 4.2 | |
Total votes | 110,741 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raul Ruiz (incumbent) | 122,169 | 59.0 | |
Republican | Kimberlin Brown Pelzer | 84,839 | 41.0 | |
Majority | 37,330 | 18.0 | ||
Total votes | 207,008 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 37th district is based in South Los Angeles and includes Crenshaw, Exposition Park and Culver City. Incumbent Democrat Karen Bass, who had represented the 37th district since 2013 and previously represented the 33rd district from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 81.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+37.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Karen Bass (incumbent) | 99,118 | 89.2 | |
Republican | Ron J. Bassilian | 12,020 | 10.8 | |
Total votes | 111,138 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Karen Bass (incumbent) | 210,555 | 89.1 | |
Republican | Ron J. Bassilian | 25,823 | 10.9 | |
Total votes | 236,378 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 38th district is based in the eastern Los Angeles suburbs and includes Norwalk and Whittier. Incumbent Democrat Linda Sánchez, who had represented the 38th district since 2013 and previously represented the 39th district from 2003 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 70.5% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+17.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Linda Sánchez (incumbent) | 54,691 | 62.7 | |
Republican | Ryan Downing | 32,584 | 37.3 | |
Total votes | 87,275 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Linda Sánchez (incumbent) | 139,188 | 68.9 | |
Republican | Ryan Downing | 62,968 | 31.1 | |
Total votes | 202,156 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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County results Cisneros: 50–60% Kim: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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The 39th district straddles the Los Angeles–Orange–San Bernardino tri-county border and includes Chino Hills, Diamond Bar, and Fullerton. Incumbent Republican Ed Royce, who had represented the 39th district since 2013 and had represented the 40th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 39th district from 1993 to 2003, retired. [179] He was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of Even.
See main article for details.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Gil Cisneros (D) | Steve Cox (NPP) | Bob Huff (R) | Sam Jammal (D) | Young Kim (R) | Shawn Nelson (R) | Andy Thorburn (D) | Mai-Khanh Tran (D) | Steve Vargas (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tulchin Research (D-Cisneros) [188] | May 16–20, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 20% | – | 14% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 1% [189] | 15% |
Mellman Group (D-Thorburn) [190] | March 30 – April 7, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 11% | – | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 6% | – | – | 35% |
Tulchin Research (D–Cisneros) [191] | March 18–25, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 19% | – | 12% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 3% [192] | 20% |
Change Research (D) [193] | March 4–8, 2018 | 680 | — | 16% | – | 19% | – | 22% | 9% | 16% | 6% | – | 11% [a] | – |
10% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 15% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 33% [b] | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Young Kim | 30,019 | 21.2 | |
Democratic | Gil Cisneros | 27,469 | 19.4 | |
Republican | Phil Liberatore | 20,257 | 14.3 | |
Democratic | Andy Thorburn | 12,990 | 9.2 | |
Republican | Shawn Nelson | 9,750 | 6.9 | |
Republican | Bob Huff | 8,699 | 6.2 | |
Democratic | Sam Jammal | 7,613 | 5.4 | |
Democratic | Mai-Khanh Tran | 7,430 | 5.3 | |
Democratic | Herbert H. Lee | 5,988 | 4.2 | |
Republican | Steven C. Vargas | 4,144 | 2.9 | |
Democratic | Suzi Park Leggett | 2,058 | 1.5 | |
Republican | John J. Cullum | 1,747 | 1.2 | |
No party preference | Karen Lee Schatzle | 903 | 0.6 | |
No party preference | Steve Cox | 856 | 0.6 | |
Republican | Andrew Sarega | 823 | 0.6 | |
American Independent | Sophia J. Alexander | 523 | 0.4 | |
American Independent | Ted Alemayhu | 176 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 141,445 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Young Kim (R) | Gil Cisneros (D) | Undecided |
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NYT Upshot/Siena College [199] | October 18–23, 2018 | 496 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Tulchin Research (D-Cisneros) [200] | September 28 – October 2, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 48% | 4% |
UC Berkeley [201] | September 16–23, 2018 | 552 | ± 6.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
Monmouth University [202] | September 13–16, 2018 | 300 LV | ± 5.7% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
402 RV | ± 4.9% | 46% | 42% | 12% | ||
Tulchin Research (D-Cisneros) [200] | August 1–6, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 53% | 5% |
DCCC (D) [203] | June 10, 2018 | – | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Remington (R) [204] | January 10–11, 2018 | 761 | ± 3.5% | 41% | 38% | 21% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gil Cisneros | 126,002 | 51.6 | |
Republican | Young Kim | 118,391 | 48.4 | |
Majority | 7,611 | 3.2 | ||
Total votes | 244,393 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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The 40th district is based in central Los Angeles County and includes Downey and East Los Angeles. Incumbent Democrat Lucille Roybal-Allard, who had represented the 40th district since 2013 and previously represented the 34th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 33rd district from 1993 to 2003, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 71.4% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+33.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lucille Roybal-Allard (incumbent) | 35,636 | 80.3 | |
Green | Rodolfo Cortes Barragan | 8,741 | 19.7 | |
Total votes | 44,377 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lucille Roybal-Allard (incumbent) | 93,938 | 77.3 | |
Green | Rodolfo Cortes Barragan | 27,511 | 22.7 | |
Total votes | 121,449 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 41st district is based in the Inland Empire and includes Moreno Valley, Perris, and Riverside. Democrat Mark Takano, who had represented the 41st district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+12.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark Takano (incumbent) | 45,585 | 58.5 | |
Republican | Aja Smith | 32,360 | 41.5 | |
Total votes | 77,945 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark Takano (incumbent) | 108,227 | 65.1 | |
Republican | Aja Smith | 58,021 | 34.9 | |
Total votes | 166,248 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 42nd district is based in the Inland Empire and includes Corona and Murrieta. Incumbent Republican Ken Calvert, who had represented the 42nd district since 2013 and previously represented the 44th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 43rd district from 1993 to 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ken Calvert (incumbent) | 70,289 | 60.8 | |
Democratic | Julia C. Peacock | 30,237 | 26.1 | |
Democratic | Norman Quintero | 9,540 | 8.2 | |
No party preference | Matt Woody | 5,587 | 4.8 | |
Total votes | 115,653 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ken Calvert (incumbent) | 131,040 | 56.5 | |
Democratic | Julia C. Peacock | 100,892 | 43.5 | |
Majority | 30,148 | 13.0 | ||
Total votes | 231,932 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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The 43rd district is based in South Los Angeles and includes Hawthorne and Inglewood. Incumbent Democrat Maxine Waters, who had represented the 43rd district since 2013 and previously represented the 35th district from 1993 to 2013 and the 29th district from 1991 to 1993, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 76.1% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+29.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maxine Waters (incumbent) | 63,908 | 72.3 | |
Republican | Omar Navarro | 12,522 | 14.2 | |
Republican | Frank T. DeMartini | 6,156 | 7.0 | |
Republican | Edwin P. Duterte | 3,673 | 4.2 | |
Green | Miguel Angel Zuniga | 2,074 | 2.3 | |
Total votes | 86,533 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maxine Waters (incumbent) | 152,272 | 77.7 | |
Republican | Omar Navarro | 43,780 | 22.3 | |
Total votes | 196,052 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 44th district is based in south Los Angeles County and includes Carson, Compton, and San Pedro. Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán, who had represented the 44th district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 52.2% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+35.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Nanette Barragán (incumbent) | 39,453 | 65.5 | |
Democratic | Aja Brown (withdrawn) [211] | 10,257 | 17.0 | |
Republican | Jazmina Saavedra | 6,153 | 10.2 | |
Republican | Stacey Dash (withdrawn) | 4,361 | 7.2 | |
Total votes | 60,224 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Nanette Barragán (incumbent) | 97,944 | 68.3 | |
Democratic | Aja Brown | 45,378 | 31.7 | |
Total votes | 143,322 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Porter—50–60% Walters—50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 45th district is based in inland Orange County and includes the cities of East Anaheim, Irvine and Mission Viejo. Incumbent Republican Mimi Walters, who had represented the 45th district since 2015, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 58.6% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.
California's 45th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [52] On February 25, Dave Min received the endorsement of the California Democratic Party at the party convention in San Diego. [214]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kia Hamadanchy (D) | Brian Forde (D) | Dave Min (D) | Katie Porter (D) | Mimi Walters (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D-Porter) [230] | February 20–21, 2018 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 16% | 42% | 21% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mimi Walters (incumbent) | 86,764 | 51.7 | |
Democratic | Katie Porter | 34,078 | 20.3 | |
Democratic | Dave Min | 29,979 | 17.8 | |
Democratic | Brian Forde | 10,107 | 6.0 | |
No party preference | John Graham | 3,817 | 2.3 | |
Democratic | Kia Hamadanchy | 3,212 | 1.9 | |
Total votes | 167,957 | 100.0 |
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mimi Walters (R) | Katie Porter (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College [232] | October 26 – November 1, 2018 | 499 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Walters) [233] | October 14–17, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [234] | September 21–25, 2018 | 518 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 48% | 8% |
GBA Strategies (D) [235] | September 20–23, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
UC Berkeley [236] | September 16–23, 2018 | 519 | ± 6.0% | 45% | 52% | 3% |
Global Strategy Group (D-Porter) [237] | September 14–18, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Tulchin Research (D) [238] | August 10–14, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
Global Strategy Group (D-Porter) [239] | July 26–31, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Porter) [240] | May 10–12, 2018 | 599 | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D-Porter) [230] | February 20–21, 2018 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mimi Walters (R) | Dave Min (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP/Bold Progressives [241] | February 20–21, 2018 | 648 | ± 3.9% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mimi Walters (R) | Democratic opponent (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP/Patriot Majority USA [242] | December 12–13, 2017 | — | — | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Katie Porter | 158,906 | 52.1 | |
Republican | Mimi Walters (incumbent) | 146,383 | 47.9 | |
Majority | 12,523 | 4.2 | ||
Total votes | 305,289 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
General election results by county supervisorial district | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Blue represents county supervisorial districts won by Porter. Red represents county supervisorial districts won by Walters. Gray represents county supervisorial districts with no data. [243]
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Correa—70–80% Correa—60–70% Correa—50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 46th district is based in central Orange County and includes Anaheim and Santa Ana. Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa, who had represented the 46th district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 70.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+15.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Lou Correa (incumbent) | 43,700 | 62.2 | |
Republican | Russell Rene Lambert | 22,770 | 32.4 | |
No party preference | Ed Rushman | 2,313 | 3.3 | |
No party preference | Will Johnson | 1,425 | 2.0 | |
Total votes | 70,208 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Lou Correa (incumbent) | 102,278 | 69.1 | |
Republican | Russell Rene Lambert | 45,638 | 30.9 | |
Total votes | 147,916 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 47th district encompasses Long Beach, Catalina Island, and parts of western Orange County, including Garden Grove and Westminster. Incumbent Democrat Alan Lowenthal, who had represented the 47th district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63.7% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+13.
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alan Lowenthal (incumbent) | 70,539 | 60.6 | |
Republican | John Briscoe | 25,122 | 21.6 | |
Republican | David Michael Clifford | 20,687 | 17.8 | |
Total votes | 116,348 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alan Lowenthal (incumbent) | 143,354 | 64.9 | |
Republican | John Briscoe | 77,682 | 35.1 | |
Total votes | 221,036 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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Rouda—50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 48th district is based in coastal Orange County and includes Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach and Newport Beach. Incumbent Republican Dana Rohrabacher, who had represented the 48th district since 2013 and previously represented the 46th district from 2003 to 2013, the 45th district from 1993 to 2003, and the 42nd district from 1989 to 1993, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+4.
California's 48th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [52]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Scott Baugh (R) | Hans Keirstead (D) | Dana Rohrabacher (R) | Harley Rouda (D) | Omar Siddiqui (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALG Research (D-Keirstead) [254] | May 6–8, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 15% | 14% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 10% [c] | 12% |
Tulchin Research (D-Rouda) [255] | May 1–5, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 13% | 13% | 30% | 13% | 4% | 10% [d] | 18% |
Change Research (D-314 Action) [256] | May 2–3, 2018 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 17% | 19% | 27% | 11% | – | – | – |
Change Research (D) [257] | March 4–6, 2018 | 688 | – | – | 18% | 35% | 14% | 14% | 13% [e] | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dana Rohrabacher (incumbent) | 52,737 | 30.3 | |
Democratic | Harley Rouda | 30,099 | 17.3 | |
Democratic | Hans Keirstead | 29,974 | 17.2 | |
Republican | Scott Baugh | 27,514 | 15.8 | |
Democratic | Omar Siddiqui | 8,658 | 5.0 | |
Republican | John Gabbard | 5,664 | 3.3 | |
Democratic | Rachel Payne (withdrawn) | 3,598 | 2.1 | |
Republican | Paul Martin | 2,893 | 1.7 | |
Republican | Shastina Sandman | 2,762 | 1.6 | |
Democratic | Michael Kotick (withdrawn) | 2,606 | 1.5 | |
Democratic | Laura Oatman (withdrawn) | 2,412 | 1.4 | |
Democratic | Deanie Schaarsmith | 1,433 | 0.8 | |
Democratic | Tony Zarkades | 1,281 | 0.7 | |
Libertarian | Brandon Reiser | 964 | 0.6 | |
Republican | Stelian Onufrei (withdrawn) | 739 | 0.4 | |
No party preference | Kevin Kensinger | 690 | 0.4 | |
Total votes | 174,024 | 100.0 |
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Dana Rohrabacher | Harley Rouda | |||||
1 | Oct. 15, 2018 | KOCE-TV | Rick Reiff | [265] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dana Rohrabacher (R) | Harley Rouda (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College [266] | October 29 – November 4, 2018 | 491 | ± 4.7% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
Thomas Partner Strategies [267] | October 30–31, 2018 | 440 | ± 4.7% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
Monmouth University [268] | October 17–21, 2018 | 372 | ± 5.1% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
Thomas Partner Strategies [267] | October 18–19, 2018 | 440 | ± 4.7% | 49% | 41% | 9% |
UC Berkeley [269] | September 16–23, 2018 | 623 | ± 5.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [270] | September 4–6, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Monmouth University [271] | July 11–15, 2018 | 361 LV | ± 5.2% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
402 RV | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | 12% | ||
Tulchin Research (D-Rouda) [272] | September 30 – October 5, 2017 | 401 | ± 4.89% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Tilt D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Tossup | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Tossup | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Harley Rouda | 157,837 | 53.6 | |
Republican | Dana Rohrabacher (incumbent) | 136,899 | 46.4 | |
Majority | 20,938 | 7.2 | ||
Total votes | 294,736 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
General election results by county supervisorial district | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Rouda won all 3 county supervisorial districts. Blue represents county supervisorial districts won by Rouda.
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Levin—50–60% Harkey—50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 49th district is based in northern San Diego County and parts of southern Orange County. It includes the cities of Carlsbad, Oceanside, San Juan Capistrano and San Clemente. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa, who had represented the 49th district since 2003 and the 48th district from 2001 to 2003, retired and did not run in 2018. [273] He was re-elected with 50.3% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+1.
California's 49th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. Given the close margin in 2016, this election was considered to be highly competitive. [274]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Doug Applegate (D) | Rocky Chávez (R) | Kristin Gaspar (R) | Diane Harkey (R) | Sara Jacobs (D) | Paul Kerr (D) | Mike Levin (D) | Brian Maryott (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KGTV/SurveyUSA [288] | May 29–31, 2018 | 612 | ± 4.7% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 24% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 4% [f] | 13% |
Tulchin Research (D) [289] | May 22–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 17% | 6% | – | 13% |
Benenson Strategy Group (D-Jacobs) [290] | April 28 – May 2, 2018 | 901 | ± 3.3% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 4% | 10% | 6% | – | – |
FM3 Research (D) [291] | April 26–29, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 4% | 3% [g] | 16% [292] |
KGTV/SurveyUSA [293] | April 6–10, 2018 | 535 | ± 5.3% | 12% | 16% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 8% [h] | 21% |
Change Research (D) [294] | March 4–7, 2018 | 815 | ± 5.3% | 15% | 23% | 5% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 1% | – | – |
23% | 15% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 17% [i] | – | ||||
FM3 Research (D) [295] | February 12–15, 2018 | 750 [j] | ± 3.6% | 21% | 15% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 13% | – | 7% [k] | 19% [l] |
FM3 Research (D) [296] | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 [m] | ± 3.6% | 16% | 19% | 9% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 12% | – | 5% [n] | 16% [o] |
KGTV/SurveyUSA [297] | February 10–13, 2018 | 510 | ± 5.4% | 18% | 17% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 5% [p] | 27% |
Without Paul Kerr
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Doug Applegate (D) | Rocky Chávez (R) | Kristin Gaspar (R) | Diane Harkey (R) | Sara Jacobs (D) | Mike Levin (D) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) [298] | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | 20% | 18% | 9% | 17% | 8% | 17% |
21% | 19% | 10% | 18% | — | 20% | ||||
26% | 18% | 10% | 17% | 12% | — | ||||
— | 21% | 11% | 18% | 11% | 22% |
Without Kristin Gaspar and Paul Kerr
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Doug Applegate (D) | Rocky Chávez (R) | Diane Harkey (R) | Sara Jacobs (D) | Mike Levin (D) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) [298] | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 7% | 17% |
21% | 23% | 22% | — | 20% | ||||
26% | 22% | 21% | 12% | — | ||||
— | 25% | 21% | 12% | 22% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Diane Harkey | 46,468 | 25.5 | |
Democratic | Mike Levin | 31,850 | 17.5 | |
Democratic | Sara Jacobs | 28,778 | 15.8 | |
Democratic | Doug Applegate | 23,850 | 13.1 | |
Republican | Kristin Gaspar | 15,467 | 8.5 | |
Republican | Rocky Chávez | 13,739 | 7.5 | |
Democratic | Paul G. Kerr | 8,099 | 4.4 | |
Republican | Brian Maryott | 5,496 | 3.0 | |
Republican | Mike Schmitt | 2,379 | 1.3 | |
Republican | Josh Schoonover | 1,362 | 0.7 | |
Republican | Craig A. Nordal | 1,156 | 0.6 | |
Republican | David Medway | 1,066 | 0.6 | |
No party preference | Robert Pendleton | 905 | 0.5 | |
Green | Danielle St. John | 690 | 0.4 | |
Libertarian | Joshua L. Hancock | 552 | 0.3 | |
Peace and Freedom | Jordan J. Mills | 233 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 182,090 | 100.0 |
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Diane Harkey | Mike Levin | |||||
1 | October 2, 2018 | KNSD-TV | [309] | P | P | |
2 | October 26, 2018 | KUSI-TV | Lauren Phinney | [309] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Diane Harkey (R) | Mike Levin (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [310] | October 29 – November 1, 2018 | 500 | ± 5.4% | 44% | 51% | 5% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [311] | October 19–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.7% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College [312] | September 18–23, 2018 | 507 | ± 4.7% | 41% | 51% | 8% |
UC Berkeley [313] | September 16–23, 2018 | 551 | ± 6.0% | 41% | 55% | 4% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Harkey) [314] | September 17–20, 2018 | 400 | – | 43% | 45% | – |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Harkey) [315] | July 15–17, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 43% | 9% |
Feldman Group (D-Levin) [316] | June 24–27, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.6% | 46% | 49% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mike Levin (D) | Republican candidate (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) [298] | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | 41% | 37% | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Doug Applegate (D) | Republican candidate (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) [298] | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | 41% | 38% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Paul Kerr (D) | Republican candidate (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) [298] | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sara Jacobs (D) | Republican candidate (R) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) [298] | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | 41% | 38% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Republican candidate | Democratic candidate | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FM3 Research (D) [298] | February 12–15, 2018 | 400 LV | ± 4.9% | 41% | 48% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Republican candidate | Democratic candidate | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP/Patriot Majority USA [169] | February 12–13, 2018 | 659 | ± 3.8% | 41% | 50% | 9% |
With Darrell Issa
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Darrell Issa (R) | Democratic candidate | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP/Patriot Majority USA [317] | October 5–8, 2017 | 824 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 51% | 8% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mike Levin | 166,453 | 56.4 | |
Republican | Diane Harkey | 128,577 | 43.6 | |
Majority | 37,876 | 12.8 | ||
Total votes | 295,030 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
General election results by county | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Blue represents counties won by Levin. Red represents counties won by Harkey.
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The 50th district is based in inland San Diego County and includes Escondido and Santee. Incumbent Republican Duncan D. Hunter, who had represented the 50th district since 2013 and previously represented the 52nd district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63.5% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.
California's 50th district was included on the list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. [52]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Josh Butner (D) | Ammar Campa-Najjar (D) | Duncan Hunter (R) | Patrick Malloy (D) | Bill Wells (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KGTV/SurveyUSA [322] | May 15–20, 2018 | 567 | ± 5.1% | 5% | 10% | 43% | 7% | 6% | 3% [q] | 25% |
Tulchin Research (D-Campa-Najjar) [323] | – | 500 | ± 4.4% | 6% | 14% | 39% | 6% | 8% | – | 25% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Duncan D. Hunter (incumbent) | 69,563 | 47.4 | |
Democratic | Ammar Campa-Najjar | 25,799 | 17.6 | |
Republican | Bill Wells | 18,951 | 12.9 | |
Democratic | Josh Butner | 18,944 | 12.9 | |
Democratic | Patrick Malloy | 8,607 | 5.9 | |
Republican | S. "Shamus" Sayed | 3,079 | 2.1 | |
No party preference | Richard Kahle | 1,714 | 1.2 | |
Total votes | 145,657 | 100.0 |
On August 22, 2018, Hunter and his wife were both indicted on federal charges for alleged misuse of campaign funds. [324]
Hunter repeatedly attacked his Campa-Najjar over his half-Palestinian heritage claiming that Campa-Najjar, who converted to Christianity from Islam in high school, [325] was an "Islamist" trying to "infiltrate Congress", describing him as a "security threat" with terrorist ties. [326] The Washington Post fact-checkers wrote that an October 1, 2018, television ad by Hunter's campaign used "naked anti-Muslim bias" and sought to scare Californians from voting for Campa-Najjar, despite the fact that Campa-Najjar "isn't even Muslim. All the claims in the ad are false, misleading or devoid of evidence." [327] Hunter also claimed that Campa-Najjar was being supported by CAIR and the Muslim Brotherhood; PolitiFact gave this claim its "Pants on Fire" rating. [328] CNN, The Guardian , Buzzfeed News, and The Daily Beast described Hunter's campaign as "anti-Muslim", Vox described it as "race-baiting", and The Atlantic called it "one of the most brazenly anti-Muslim smear campaigns in recent history." [326] [329] [330] [331] [332] [333] After Hunter's attacks on Campa-Najjar were widely condemned, Hunter doubled down on the attacks in a direct mail letter written and signed by three defense industry lobbyists, characterizing Campa-Najjar as a national security risk. [334] Campa-Najjar described Hunter's attacks as "pathological." [335]
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Duncan Hunter (R) | Ammar Campa-Najjar (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [340] | October 25–29, 2018 | 547 | ± 4.8% | 48% | 45% | 8% |
Tulchin Research (D-Campa-Najjar) [341] | September 29 – October 1, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Monmouth University [342] | September 22–26, 2018 | 348 LV | ± 5.3% | 53% | 38% | 8% |
401 RV | ± 4.9% | 49% | 41% | 10% | ||
UC Berkeley [343] | September 16–23, 2018 | 527 | ± 6.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
Tulchin Research (D-Campa-Najjar) [344] | August 27–30, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
SurveyUSA [345] | August 22–26, 2018 | 539 | ± 5.1% | 47% | 39% | 13% |
Tulchin Research (D-Campa-Najjar) [346] | July 17–23, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.89% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [14] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections [15] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [16] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP [17] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos [18] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
538 [19] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN [20] | Likely R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico [21] | Lean R | November 4, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Duncan D. Hunter (incumbent) | 134,362 | 51.7 | |
Democratic | Ammar Campa-Najjar | 125,448 | 48.3 | |
Majority | 8,914 | 3.4 | ||
Total votes | 259,810 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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The 51st district runs along the border with Mexico and includes Imperial County and San Diego. Democrat Juan Vargas, who had represented the 51st district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 72.2% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+22.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Juan Vargas (incumbent) | 50,132 | 64.0 | |
Republican | Juan M. Hidalgo Jr. | 11,972 | 15.3 | |
Republican | John Renison | 10,972 | 14.0 | |
No party preference | Juan (Charlie) Carlos Mercado | 2,452 | 3.1 | |
No party preference | Kevin Mitchell | 1,473 | 1.9 | |
Republican | Louis A. Fuentes | 1,310 | 1.7 | |
Total votes | 78,318 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Juan Vargas (incumbent) | 109,527 | 71.2 | |
Republican | Juan M. Hidalgo Jr. | 44,301 | 28.8 | |
Total votes | 153,828 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 52nd district is based in coastal San Diego and includes La Jolla and Poway. Democrat Scott Peters, who had represented the 52nd district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.
California's 52nd district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018. [45]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Scott Peters (incumbent) | 98,744 | 59.0 | |
Republican | Omar Qudrat | 25,530 | 15.3 | |
Republican | James Veltmeyer | 19,040 | 11.4 | |
Republican | Daniel Casara | 7,680 | 4.6 | |
Republican | Michael Allman | 6,561 | 3.9 | |
Republican | John Horst | 5,654 | 3.4 | |
Republican | Jeffery Cullen | 4,027 | 2.4 | |
Total votes | 167,236 | 100.0 |
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Scott Peters (incumbent) | 188,992 | 63.8 | |
Republican | Omar Qudrat | 107,015 | 36.2 | |
Total votes | 296,007 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 53rd district is based in Central San Diego and includes La Mesa and Lemon Grove. Democrat Susan Davis, who had represented the 53rd district since 2003 and previously represented the 49th district from 2001 to 2003, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 67.0% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+14.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Susan Davis (incumbent) | 93,051 | 64.1 | |
Republican | Morgan Murtaugh | 20,827 | 14.3 | |
Republican | Matt Mendoza | 19,710 | 13.6 | |
Republican | Shawn Gino Kane | 5,319 | 3.7 | |
No party preference | Bryan Kim | 3,460 | 2.4 | |
Republican | Brett A. Goda | 2,899 | 2.0 | |
Total votes | 145,265 | 100.0 |
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Susan Davis (incumbent) | 185,667 | 69.1 | |
Republican | Morgan Murtaugh | 83,127 | 30.9 | |
Total votes | 268,794 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the seven U.S. representatives from the state of Alabama, one from each of the state's seven congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, as well as elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on June 5, with all choosing a nominee except the Republican primary in the 2nd district, which went to a July 17 runoff. The 2018 general election saw no change in Alabama's representation, remaining at a 6–1 GOP advantage, even though Democrats won over 40% of the statewide vote.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2018 Arizona gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The 2018 general elections saw the Democratic party gain the 2nd congressional district, thus flipping the state from a 5–4 Republican advantage to a 5–4 Democratic advantage, the first time since the 2012 election in which Democrats held more House seats in Arizona than the Republicans.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Colorado were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the seven U.S. representatives from the state of Colorado, one from each of the state's seven congressional districts. The Republican and Democratic Party primaries in Colorado were held on June 26, 2018. The elections coincided with the gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The party primaries were held on August 28, 2018.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Illinois were held on November 6, 2018, to elect U.S. representatives, one from each of the state's eighteen congressional districts.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The filing deadline for candidates filing for the August 7 primary was April 24, 2018. Unless otherwise indicated, the Cook Political Report rated the congressional races as safe for the party of the incumbent.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina were held on November 6, 2018, electing the thirteen U.S. representatives from the State of North Carolina, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, as well as elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Tennessee, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including the gubernatorial election.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018. Voters elected the 36 U.S. representatives from the state of Texas, one from each of the state's 36 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including the gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on March 6 and the run-offs were held on May 22.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 10 U.S. representatives from the state of Washington, one from each of the state's 10 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. All nine incumbents seeking re-election were re-elected, however the Democratic Party won the open-seat in the 8th District previously held by a Republican, improving from a 6–4 margin to a 7–3 margin.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Wisconsin, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The Wisconsin Partisan Primary was held on August 14, 2018, with the governor, U.S. Senator, U.S. Representative, odd-numbered Wisconsin State Senate seats, and all Wisconsin Assembly seats on the ballot.
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 53 U.S. representatives from the state of California, one from each of the state's 53 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the 52 seats in California. This marked the first time in the state's history where it lost a seat.
The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the 52 U.S. representatives from the State of California, one from all 52 of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
The most notable rejection occurred earlier this year when Elizabeth Heng, a Republican congressional candidate in California, tried to place a video ad that provided her basic biography and platform...Facebook refused to place the ad, saying it violated the company's advertising policies, which ban ads that contain "shocking" content or depict "violence or threats of violence." Twitter also banned the ad, saying it had "inappropriate" content.
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