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Turnout | 59.06% 11.83% [1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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Hogan: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Jealous: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Maryland |
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Government |
The 2018 Maryland gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018. The date included the election of the governor, lieutenant governor, and all members of the Maryland General Assembly. Incumbent governor Larry Hogan and Lieutenant Governor Boyd Rutherford, both Republicans, were re-elected to a second term against Democrat Ben Jealous, the former NAACP CEO, and his running mate Susan Turnbull. This was one of eight Republican-held governorships up for election in a state carried by Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election.
Hogan became the second Republican governor of Maryland to win re-election, and the first since Theodore McKeldin in 1954. [2] He also became the first Republican to win over 55% of the vote in a statewide election in Maryland since U.S. Senator Charles Mathias in 1980. This was the first and only Maryland gubernatorial election in which both major party candidates received over one million votes. As of 2024, this is the last time that a Republican won a statewide election in Maryland.
At the presidential level, Maryland is a staunchly Democratic state due to the large number of Democratic voters in the Washington metropolitan area and Baltimore City. Maryland has not seen a Republican presidential candidate win its votes since 1988, and the state has not been within 15% since 2004; Hillary Clinton won the state by 26 points over Donald Trump (60% to 34%) in 2016, Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney by 26 points in 2012 (62% to 36%), and Obama defeated John McCain by 25 points in 2008 (62% to 37%).
Hogan was elected governor in 2014, defeating then-lieutenant governor Anthony Brown by a margin of 51% to 47%; the result was considered one of the biggest election upsets that year. [3] Prior to Hogan's victory, Bob Ehrlich, elected in 2002, had been the only Republican elected as Governor of Maryland since Spiro Agnew. However, Ehrlich was defeated for reelection in 2006 by Martin O'Malley and defeated again in 2010, when he faced O'Malley in a rematch.
In April 2018, Hogan had a 68% approval rating, the second-highest approval of any governor in the country, only behind Governor Charlie Baker of Massachusetts, who had a 71% approval rating. [4] Despite the state's Democratic leaning, Hogan had a high approval rating among all partisan groups (65% approval from Democrats, 64% of Independents, and 81% of Republicans). [5]
State legislators
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Newspapers
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Larry Hogan (incumbent) | 210,935 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 210,935 | 100.00% |
Statewide officials
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Individuals
Newspapers and magazines
U.S. representatives
U.S. presidents
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State legislators
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State Delegates
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Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rushern Baker | Valerie Ervin | Ben Jealous | Kevin Kamenetz | Richard Madaleno | Jim Shea | Krish Vignarajah | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research [111] | June 4–10, 2018 | 505 | ± 4.5% | 25% | 7% | 23% | – | 9% | 6% | 5% | 2% [a] | 22% |
OpinionWorks [112] | May 29 – June 6, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 16% | 5% | 16% | – | 4% | 4% | 4% | 7% [b] | 44% |
University of Maryland [113] | May 29 – June 3, 2018 | 532 | ± 6.0% | 16% | 8% | 21% | – | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% [c] | 39% |
Mason-Dixon [114] | February 20–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 26% | – | 14% | 15% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% [d] | 32% |
Goucher College [115] | February 12–18, 2018 | 409 | ± 4.8% | 19% | – | 10% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% [116] | 47% |
Gonzales Research [117] | December 27, 2017 – January 5, 2018 | 501 | ± 4.5% | 24% | – | 14% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 8% [e] | 33% |
Mason-Dixon [118] | September 27–30, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 28% | – | 10% | 11% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 1% [f] | 46% |
Goucher College [119] | September 14–18, 2017 | 324 | ± 5.4% | 13% | – | 6% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 22% [g] | 44% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ben Jealous | 231,895 | 39.6% | |
Democratic | Rushern Baker | 171,696 | 29.3% | |
Democratic | Jim Shea | 48,647 | 8.3% | |
Democratic | Krish O'Mara Vignarajah | 48,041 | 8.2% | |
Democratic | Richard Madaleno | 34,184 | 5.8% | |
Democratic | Kevin Kamenetz/Valerie Ervin | 18,851 | 3.2% | |
Democratic | Alec Ross | 13,780 | 2.4% | |
Democratic | Ralph Jaffe | 9,405 | 1.6% | |
Democratic | James Jones | 9,188 | 1.6% | |
Total votes | 585,687 | 100.0% |
Following the Maryland Green Party's nominating procedure, the delegates of the Coordinating Council, which is the party's State Central Committee, made the decision to nominate the gubernatorial ticket as no other candidate had filed by the party's March 30, 2018, deadline. More than one ticket seeking the nomination would have required the party to conduct a primary, an obligation not mandated by the State Board of Elections for non-principal parties. [122]
Green State Central Committee Designation [122] April 20 – April 25 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Delegates in favor | Delegates against | Delegates not voting |
Ian Schlakman / Annie Chambers | 15 | 0 | 5 |
Candidate | Votes in favor | Votes against | Not voting |
---|---|---|---|
Shawn Quinn / Christina Smith | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Larry Hogan and Ben Jealous met for their one and only scheduled debate on September 24. The debate was livestreamed in the evening by the Maryland Public Television. [124]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [125] | Likely R | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post [126] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight [127] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report [128] | Likely R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [129] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics [130] | Likely R | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos [131] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News [132] [a] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Politico [133] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Governing [134] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Hogan (R) | Ben Jealous (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Maryland [135] | October 4–7, 2018 | 648 LV | ± 4.5% | 58% | 38% | 0% | 3% |
814 RV | ± 4.0% | 56% | 36% | 0% | 2% | ||
Gonzales Research [136] | October 1–6, 2018 | 806 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 36% | 2% [a] | 9% |
Mason-Dixon [137] | September 24–26, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 52% | 37% | 2% [a] | 9% |
Goucher College [138] | September 11–16, 2018 | 472 | ± 4.5% | 54% | 32% | 2% [a] | 9% |
Gonzales Research [139] | August 1–8, 2018 | 831 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 36% | 1% [b] | 11% |
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Jealous) [140] | July 10–14, 2018 | 601 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 40% | – | 11% |
Gonzales Research [111] | June 4–10, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 34% | – | 14% |
University of Maryland [113] | May 29 – June 3, 2018 | 968 | ± 4.5% | 51% | 39% | – | 10% |
Goucher College [141] | April 14–19, 2018 | 617 | ± 3.9% | 44% | 31% | – | 22% |
Mason-Dixon [142] | February 20–22, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 33% | – | 17% |
Gonzales Research [143] | December 27, 2017 – January 5, 2018 | 823 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 36% | – | 15% |
Mason-Dixon [118] | September 27–30, 2017 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 33% | – | 18% |
with Rushern Baker
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Hogan (R) | Rushern Baker (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research [111] | June 4–10, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 37% | 15% |
University of Maryland [113] | May 29 – June 3, 2018 | 968 | ± 4.5% | 51% | 39% | 9% |
Goucher College [141] | April 14–19, 2018 | 617 | ± 3.9% | 44% | 31% | 22% |
Burton Research & Strategies (R) [144] | March 4–11, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 54% | 29% | 15% |
Mason-Dixon [142] | February 20–22, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Gonzales Research [143] | December 27, 2017 – January 5, 2018 | 823 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 37% | 16% |
Mason-Dixon [118] | September 27–30, 2017 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 39% | 15% |
with Richard Madaleno
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Hogan (R) | Richard Madaleno (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research [111] | June 4–10, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
University of Maryland [113] | May 29 – June 3, 2018 | 465–497 | ± 6.0–6.5% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Goucher College [141] | April 14–19, 2018 | 617 | ± 3.9% | 45% | 27% | 26% |
Mason-Dixon [118] | September 27–30, 2017 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 30% | 21% |
with Alec Ross
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Hogan (R) | Alec Ross (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Maryland [113] | May 29 – June 3, 2018 | 465–497 | ± 6.0–6.5% | 55% | 31% | 13% |
Goucher College [141] | April 14–19, 2018 | 617 | ± 3.9% | 46% | 26% | 26% |
with Jim Shea
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Hogan (R) | Jim Shea (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Maryland [113] | May 29 – June 3, 2018 | 465–497 | ± 6.0–6.5% | 53% | 35% | 13% |
Goucher College [141] | April 14–19, 2018 | 617 | ± 3.9% | 47% | 27% | 25% |
with Krish Vignarajah
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Hogan (R) | Krish Vignarajah (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Maryland [113] | May 29 – June 3, 2018 | 465–497 | ± 6.0–6.5% | 54% | 35% | 11% |
Goucher College [141] | April 14–19, 2018 | 617 | ± 3.9% | 45% | 25% | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Hogan (R) | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Goucher College [145] | February 12–17, 2018 | 658 | ± 3.8% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% |
GBA Strategies (D) [146] | November 14–18, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 35% | – | – |
OpinionWorks [147] | October 25 – November 7, 2017 | 850 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 28% | 4% | 24% |
Washington Post/University of Maryland [148] | March 19–22, 2017 | 914 | ± 4.0% | 39% | 36% | 3% | 22% |
Washington Post/University of Maryland [149] | March 16–19, 2017 | 914 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 37% | 2% | 20% |
with Valerie Ervin
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Hogan (R) | Valerie Ervin (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Maryland [113] | May 29 – June 3, 2018 | 465–497 | ± 6.0–6.5% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
with Kevin Kamenetz
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Hogan (R) | Kevin Kamenetz (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Goucher College [141] | April 14–19, 2018 | 617 | ± 3.9% | 45% | 28% | 23% |
Burton Research & Strategies (R) [144] | March 4–11, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 57% | 26% | 15% |
Mason-Dixon [142] | February 20–22, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 34% | 17% |
Gonzales Research [143] | December 27, 2017 – January 5, 2018 | 823 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 34% | 18% |
Mason-Dixon [118] | September 27–30, 2017 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 48% | 35% | 17% |
with John Delaney
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Hogan (R) | John Delaney (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [150] | April 15–17, 2016 | 879 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 29% | 24% |
with Tom Perez
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Larry Hogan (R) | Tom Perez (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling [150] | April 15–17, 2016 | 879 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 24% | 28% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Larry Hogan (incumbent) | 1,275,644 | 55.35% | +4.32% | |
Democratic | Ben Jealous | 1,002,639 | 43.51% | −3.74% | |
Libertarian | Shawn Quinn | 13,241 | 0.57% | −0.89% | |
Green | Ian Schlakman | 11,175 | 0.48% | N/A | |
Write-in | 1,813 | 0.08% | -0.18% | ||
Total votes | 2,304,512 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Hogan carried 6 of 8 congressional districts, including 5 held by Democrats. This included the district of then-House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer, whom Hogan was defeated by in 1992.
District | Larry Hogan | Ben Jealous | Elected Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 79.20% | 19.69% | Andy Harris |
2nd | 55.94% | 42.90% | Dutch Ruppersberger |
3rd | 55.80% | 43.03% | John Sarbanes |
4th | 40.29% | 58.74% | Anthony Brown |
5th | 51.91% | 47.04% | Steny Hoyer |
6th | 59.41% | 39.31% | David Trone |
7th | 43.87% | 54.83% | Elijah Cummings |
8th | 53.16% | 45.76% | Jamie Raskin |
Richard Stuart Madaleno Jr., commonly known as Rich Madaleno, is an American politician from Maryland. A Democrat, he was a member of the Maryland State Senate, representing the state's 18th district in Montgomery County, which includes Wheaton and Kensington, as well as parts of Silver Spring, Bethesda and Chevy Chase. Madaleno served as chair of the Montgomery County Senate Delegation from 2008 to 2011. He previously served four years in the House of Delegates.
Peter Van Rensselaer Franchot is an American politician who was the 33rd comptroller of Maryland. A member of the Democratic Party, Franchot served for 20 years in the Maryland House of Delegates representing Takoma Park and Silver Spring. He was elected comptroller in 2006, and was subsequently re-elected three times. Franchot unsuccessfully ran for governor of Maryland in 2022, placing third in the Democratic primary behind Tom Perez and Wes Moore.
James Brochin is an American politician who was a member of the Maryland Senate representing the 42nd district in Baltimore County from 2003 to 2019. He unsuccessfully ran for Baltimore County Executive in 2018, placing second behind former state delegate Johnny Olszewski in the Democratic primary by a margin of 17 votes.
Benjamin Todd Jealous is an American civil rights leader, environmentalist and executive director of the Sierra Club. He served as the president and chief executive officer of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP) from 2008 to 2013. When he was selected to head the NAACP at age 35, he became the organization's youngest-ever national leader.
Kevin B. Kamenetz was an American politician who was the 12th County Executive of Baltimore County, Maryland, serving between 2010 and May 10, 2018, when he died suddenly while in office. He was a member of the Democratic Party. He previously served as a four-term County Councilman representing the Second District of Baltimore County. On September 18, 2017, Kamenetz declared his candidacy for the Democratic nomination for the 2018 Maryland Gubernatorial Election.
Rushern Leslie Baker III is an American lawyer and politician who served as the 7th county executive of Prince George's County, Maryland from 2010 to 2018. He previously served as a member of the Maryland House of Delegates from 1994 to 2003, representing District 22B in northern Prince George's County. A member of the Democratic Party, Baker unsuccessfully ran for governor of Maryland in 2018 and 2022.
The 2014 Maryland gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Maryland. Incumbent Democratic governor Martin O'Malley was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third consecutive term.
The Maryland Attorney General election of 2014 was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Attorney General of Maryland. Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Doug Gansler was eligible to seek a third term in office, but instead ran unsuccessfully for the Democratic nomination for Governor of Maryland.
The 2016 United States Senate election in Maryland took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maryland, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 1994 Maryland gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 1994. Incumbent Democratic governor William Donald Schaefer was ineligible for re-election. Prince George's County Executive Parris Glendening emerged victorious from the Democratic primary after defeating several candidates. Maryland House minority leader Ellen Sauerbrey, who would also be the 1998 Republican nominee for governor, won her party's nomination.
The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Maryland, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on April 26.
The 2018 United States Senate election in Maryland took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maryland. It was held concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Cardin was re-elected to a third and ultimately final term by a landslide margin of almost 35 points, the largest margin in any election for this seat since Maryland began holding direct elections for Senate in 1913.
Robert Julian Ivey is an American politician serving as a member of the Maryland House of Delegates from District 47A in Prince George's County.
The 2024 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Maryland. Democratic Prince George's County executive Angela Alsobrooks defeated Republican former Governor Larry Hogan in the contest to succeed Democratic incumbent Ben Cardin, who is not seeking a fourth term. Alsobrooks will be the first African American and second woman to represent Maryland in the Senate.
The 2022 Maryland gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Maryland. Incumbent Governor Larry Hogan was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term. This was the first gubernatorial election where both parties' nominees for lieutenant governor were women.
A special election was held on April 28, 2020, after a February 4, 2020 primary, to fill the remainder of the term in the United States House of Representatives for Maryland's 7th congressional district in the 116th U.S. Congress. Elijah Cummings, the incumbent representative, died in office on October 17, 2019.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Maryland, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on July 19.
The Maryland Attorney General election of 2022 was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the Attorney General of Maryland. Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Brian Frosh was eligible to seek a third term in office, but announced that he would retire at the end of his term in early 2023.
The Maryland county executive elections of 2022 were held on November 8, 2022. Democratic and Republican primaries were held on July 19, 2022.
Elizabeth M. Embry is an American politician who is a member of the Maryland House of Delegates for District 43A in Baltimore. In 2018, she was a candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Maryland, running on the ticket of Prince George's County executive Rushern Baker. In 2016, she was a candidate for mayor of Baltimore.
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