2018 United States Senate election in Florida

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2018 United States Senate election in Florida
Flag of Florida.svg
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Turnout52.0% Decrease2.svg [1]
  Official Portrait of Senator Rick Scott (cropped).jpg NASA Administrator Bill Nelson Official Portrait (NHQ202105170001).jpg
Nominee Rick Scott Bill Nelson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote4,099,5054,089,472
Percentage50.05%49.93%
2018 United States Senate election in Florida results map by county.svg
2018 United States Senate election in Florida results by congressional district.svg
FL Senate 2018 Precinct Results.svg
Scott:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Nelson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:      50%     No data
U.S. senator before election

Bill Nelson
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Rick Scott
Republican

The 2018 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 6, 2018, alongside a gubernatorial election, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic senator Bill Nelson ran for re-election to a fourth term, but was narrowly defeated by Republican governor Rick Scott. The election was the closest Senate race in the state's history. [2]

Contents

This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state won by Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election. The results of the race were in dispute for 12 days following the election. The results showed that Nelson was narrowly trailing Scott, but the margin remained below 0.5%, triggering an automatic recount under Florida law. A controversial recount ensued, with both campaigns claiming irregularities. Following the recount, Florida elections officials confirmed Scott's victory on November 18, 2018. Scott received 50.05% of the vote, while Nelson received 49.93%; the margin of victory was 10,033 votes out of 8.19 million votes cast, or 0.12%. Both in terms of raw vote margin and by percentage of difference, this was the closest Senate election in the 2018 cycle. Scott's victory marked the first time since the Reconstruction era in 1875 that Republicans have held both Senate seats in Florida, making it the last former Confederate State to do so. [3]

Background

Incumbent Democratic Senator Bill Nelson sought re-election in the 2018 U.S. Senate election in Florida. The election was expected to be a key race in determining which party would control the U.S. Senate in 2019. [4]

As of the second quarter of 2018, Nelson had a 44%–34% approval rating among his constituents. [5] Despite having won re-election in 2012 by a 13% margin, Nelson was considered potentially vulnerable; he had been the only statewide elected Democrat in Florida since 2011, and his previous opponents, Connie Mack IV and Katherine Harris, were seen as much weaker challengers than Scott. Additionally, he was one of 10 incumbent Democratic senators running in states that had been carried by Donald Trump in 2016. Nelson was described as a "low-key centrist" that might not be able to energize progressive voters. [6]

After being encouraged by President Trump to enter the Senate race, [7] Republican governor of Florida Rick Scott announced his candidacy on April 9, 2018. [8] As of the first quarter of 2018, Scott held a 54%–35% approval rating [9] among his constituents, with a majority of Florida voters believing the state was moving in the right direction under Scott's administration. Republican President Donald Trump also held a positive approval rating of 49%–47% in Florida as of August 2018. [10] Trump had won the state in 2016 by 1.2% over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Scott had put more than $86 million of his own money into his successful 2010 and 2014 gubernatorial bids. [11]

Republican primary

The Republican primary was considered merely a formality, as Governor Scott's lone challenger was a perennial candidate who was running for Senate seats in eight other Republican primaries across the country. No other notable Republicans entered the race before or after Scott announced his candidacy. [12]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in the primary

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Rocky
De La Fuente		Rick
Scott		Undecided
Gravis Marketing [40] August 21–25, 2018579± 4.1%12%73%15%
Gravis Marketing [41] August 21–22, 2018321± 5.5%12%73%15%
Gravis Marketing [42] July 13–14, 2018905± 3.3%16%74%10%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Ron
DeSantis		Augustus Sol
Invictus		David
Jolly		Carlos
López-Cantera		Tom
Rooney		Rick
Scott		Marcia R.
Thorne		OtherUndecided
Saint Leo University [43] November 19–24, 2017166––1%––8%54%1%4%33%
Saint Leo University [44] November 27–30, 2016138–3%–6%3%3%41%–11%33%

Results

County results .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Scott 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% 2018 U.S. Senate election in Florida, Republican Primary.svg
County results
  Scott
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Republican primary results [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rick Scott 1,456,187 88.61%
Republican Rocky De La Fuente 187,20911.39%
Total votes1,643,396 100.00%

Democratic primary

As both of Senator Nelson's primary opponents failed to qualify for the ballot, no Democratic primary was held. [12]

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Failed to qualify

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Withdrew

Declined

American Independent Party

Candidates

Withdrew

Independents and write-ins

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

General election

According to The Cook Political Report, the race was one of the 10 most competitive U.S. Senate races in the nation. [65] It was also described as the most expensive U.S. Senate race in the country. [66] [67]

Scott's involvement in a large Medicare fraud case stirred controversy during the general election campaign. [68] [69] Scott responded with ads accusing Nelson of having cut Medicare benefits and stolen from Medicare; fact-checkers found that both of Scott's assertions were "mostly false." [70] [68] During the campaign, Scott characterize[s] Nelson as a "socialist"; PolitiFact described the assertion as "pants-on-fire" false. [71]

Gun control was a key issue in this race. The election came less than nine months after the Stoneman Douglas High School shooting in Parkland, the deadliest school shooting in American history. Nelson also mentioned the Orlando nightclub shooting that occurred in June 2016 and killed 49 people, asserting that "nothing was done" by Scott's administration. In the wake of Stoneman Douglas, Scott raised the age to purchase a gun from 18 to 21, set a three-day waiting period to purchase assault-style weapons, and banned bump stocks—moves that Nelson described as "doing the bare...minimum". The National Rifle Association of America opposed Scott's legislation. [72]

Environmental issues also took on a prominent role in the race. Scott and his administration had been heavily criticized for weakening regulations designed to protect the environment, even going as far as to instruct the FDEP not to use the words "climate change" or "global warming" in official reports. [73] Because of this, Scott was blamed for the state's worsening algae blooms, even being dubbed "Red Tide Rick" on social media. Scott blamed the toxic blooms on Nelson and on Congress' general inefficiency. [74]

During the campaign, Scott sought to avoid mentioning President Trump and at times criticized or distanced himself from actions of the Trump administration. Prior to the campaign, he had used his friendship with Trump to boost his profile, had been an early and vocal supporter of Trump in 2016, [75] [76] and reportedly spoke to President Trump every one or two weeks. [75] Trump endorsed Scott in his Senate bid. [76]

Both Nelson's and Scott's responses to Hurricanes Irma and Michael (which made landfall in September 2017 and October 2018, respectively) were closely watched during the campaign season. [77]

Scott made Nelson's age an issue in the campaign. [78]

A 2024 study found that the confusing ballot design in Broward County, which flouted federal guidelines on ballot design, led approximately 25,000 voters to undervote in the 2018 Senate election. As the race was determined by less than 10,000 votes, some have speculated that the ballot design flaws contributed to the election outcome. However, the study concluded that this was unlikely to be the case. [79]

Debates

Endorsements

Rick Scott (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Governors

Statewide and territorial officials

State and territorial legislators

Sheriffs

Mayors

Municipal officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Bill Nelson (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Governors

Statewide and territorial officials

State legislators

Mayors

Other government officials

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Declined to endorse

Newspapers

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [190] TossupOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections [191] Tilt DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [192] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
NYT [193] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [194] TossupNovember 5, 2018
CNN [195] TossupNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [196] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Daily Kos [197] TossupNovember 5, 2018
Politico [198] TossupNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [199] Lean DNovember 5, 2018

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party)Total receiptsTotal disbursementsCash on hand
Rick Scott (R)$68,801,011$66,496,248$2,304,762
Bill Nelson (D) Incumbent$28,294,713$25,482,421$3,806,614
Source: Federal Election Commission [200]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Bill
Nelson (D)		Rick
Scott (R)		OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) [201] November 4–5, 20181,484± 2.5%47%49%–4%
HarrisX [202] November 3–5, 2018600± 4.0%48%48%––
St. Pete Polls [203] November 3–4, 20183,088± 1.8%50%46%–4%
HarrisX [204] November 2–4, 2018600± 4.0%45%49%––
Quinnipiac University [205] October 29 – November 4, 20181,142± 3.5%51%44%0%5%
Emerson College [206] November 1–3, 2018784± 3.7%50%45%3%3%
HarrisX [207] November 1–3, 2018600± 4.0%45%47%––
Research Co. [208] November 1–3, 2018450± 4.6%47%46%–7%
Change Research (D-Reason to Believe PAC) [209] November 1–2, 20181,236–50%48%––
St. Pete Polls [210] November 1–2, 20182,733± 1.9%48%49%–3%
HarrisX [211] October 31 – November 2, 2018600± 4.0%46%48%––
Marist College [212] October 30 – November 2, 2018595 LV± 5.0%50%46%<1%4%
917 RV± 4.1%50%45%<1%5%
Gravis Marketing [213] October 29 – November 2, 2018753± 3.6%50%47%–4%
HarrisX [214] October 30 – November 1, 2018600± 4.0%45%50%––
St. Pete Polls [215] October 30–31, 20182,470± 2.0%49%47%–3%
Targoz Market Research [216] October 28–31, 2018558–45%49%–6%
HarrisX [217] October 29–31, 2018600± 4.0%45%48%––
MWR Research/Consumer Energy Alliance [218] [a] October 25–31, 20201,005–41%43%–17% [b]
The Trafalgar Group (R) [219] October 29–30, 20182,543± 1.9%49%47%–4%
Vox Populi Polling [220] October 27–30, 2018696± 3.7%50%50%––
HarrisX [221] October 24–30, 20181,400± 2.6%43%44%––
Cygnal (R) [222] October 27–29, 2018495± 4.4%50%48%–2%
CNN/SSRS [223] October 24–29, 2018781 LV± 4.3%49%47%0%2%
887 RV± 4.0%46%46%0%5%
Suffolk University [224] October 25–28, 2018500± 4.4%45%43%–10%
NYT Upshot/Siena College [225] October 23–27, 2018737± 4.0%48%44%–8%
University of North Florida [226] October 23–26, 20181,051± 3.0%47%46%<1%7%
YouGov [227] October 23–26, 2018991± 4.0%46%46%1%6%
Ipsos [228] October 17–25, 20181,069± 3.4%49%44%3%4%
Gravis Marketing [229] October 22–23, 2018773± 3.5%49%45%–6%
Strategic Research Associates [230] October 16–23, 2018800± 3.5%46%45%–9%
Saint Leo University [231] October 16–22, 2018698± 3.5%47%38%6%9%
St. Pete Polls [232] October 20–21, 20181,575± 2.5%48%49%–3%
Florida Atlantic University [233] October 18–21, 2018704± 3.6%41%42%4%13%
SurveyUSA [234] October 18–21, 2018665± 5.0%49%41%4%6%
Quinnipiac University [235] October 17–21, 20181,161± 3.5%52%46%0%2%
Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D) [236] October 17–20, 2018600± 4.0%45%47%–9%
CNN/SSRS [237] October 16–20, 2018759 LV± 4.2%50%45%0%3%
872 RV± 3.9%49%45%0%4%
OnMessage Inc. (R-Scott) [238] October 14–18, 20182,200± 2.1%46%51%–3%
St. Pete Polls [239] October 15–16, 20181,974± 2.2%47%49%–4%
Florida Southern College [240] October 1–5, 2018476± 4.5%44%46%6%4%
Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS [241] September 19 – October 2, 2018522± 6.0%48%45%1%6%
St. Pete Polls [242] September 29–30, 20182,313± 2.0%47%47%–6%
Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) [243] September 28–30, 2018779± 3.5%48%44%–9%
Strategic Research Associates [244] September 17–30, 2018800± 3.5%45%44%–11%
Mason-Dixon [245] September 24–27, 2018815± 3.5%47%46%–7%
Quinnipiac University [246] September 20–24, 2018888± 4.0%53%46%0%1%
Cherry Communications [247] September 19–24, 2018622± 4.4%48%46%––
Marist College [248] September 16–20, 2018600 LV± 4.7%48%45%1%6%
829 RV± 4.0%48%43%1%7%
University of North Florida [249] September 17–19, 2018603–45%45%1%9%
Florida Atlantic University [250] September 13–16, 2018850± 3.3%41%42%5%11%
Ipsos [251] September 5–12, 20181,000± 4.0%45%46%4%6%
Rasmussen Reports [252] September 10–11, 2018800± 3.5%45%44%5%6%
SurveyUSA [253] September 7–9, 2018634± 5.3%44%46%4%7%
Quinnipiac University [254] August 30 – September 3, 2018785± 4.3%49%49%0%2%
Gravis Marketing [255] August 29–30, 20181,225± 2.8%47%47%–6%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) [256] August 29–30, 2018743± 4.0%46%45%–8%
St. Pete Polls [257] August 29–30, 20181,755± 2.3%47%47%–5%
Florida Atlantic University [258] August 16–20, 2018800± 3.4%39%45%–17%
Saint Leo University [259] August 10–16, 2018500± 4.5%36%40%8%15%
Mason-Dixon [260] July 24–25, 2018625± 4.0%44%47%–9%
Florida Atlantic University [261] July 20–21, 2018800± 3.4%40%44%–17%
Gravis Marketing [42] July 13–14, 20181,840± 2.3%47%43%–10%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [262] June 11 – July 2, 20181,080± 5.0%46%49%–5%
YouGov [263] June 19–22, 2018839 LV–41%46%6%6%
996 RV± 3.5%40%42%6%9%
Marist College [264] June 17–21, 2018947± 3.9%49%45%1%5%
Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) [265] June 18–19, 20181,308± 3.2%48%46%–7%
Gravis Marketing [266] May 31 – June 15, 20181,251± 2.8%50%40%–10%
Cherry Communications [267] May 25 – June 4, 2018605± 4.0%45%48%–5%
Saint Leo University [268] May 25–31, 2018506± 4.5%34%40%8%18%
Morning Consult [269] May 29–30, 20181,199± 3.0%39%40%––
Florida Atlantic University [270] May 4–7, 2018728 LV–45%45%––
1,000 RV± 3.0%40%44%–16%
Public Policy Polling (D-Levine) [271] April 10–11, 2018661± 3.9%50%44%–6%
Gravis Marketing [272] February 26 – March 19, 20182,212± 2.1%44%40%–16%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-NR PAC) [273] March 10–13, 2018800± 3.4%46%47%–6%
Clearview Research [274] March 1–7, 2018750± 3.6%41%43%–16%
SurveyMonkey/Axios [275] February 12 – March 5, 20181,806± 5.0%53%43%–4%
Quinnipiac University [276] February 23–26, 20181,156± 3.6%46%42%2%9%
Florida Atlantic University [277] February 23–25, 2018800± 3.6%40%38%–22%
Saint Leo University [278] February 18–24, 2018500± 4.5%35%42%9%15%
Gravis Marketing [279] February 1–18, 20181,978± 2.2%44%40%–16%
Florida Atlantic University [280] February 1–4, 2018750± 3.7%34%44%–22%
University of North Florida [281] January 29 – February 4, 2018429± 4.7%48%42%2%7%
Mason-Dixon [282] January 30 – February 1, 2018625± 4.0%45%44%–11%
Dixie Strategies [283] January 9–10, 2018785± 3.5%38%35%–27%
Gravis Marketing [284] December 19–24, 20175,778± 1.3%44%39%–17%
Saint Leo University [43] November 19–24, 2017500± 4.5%32%42%8%18%
Mason-Dixon [285] October 17–19, 2017625± 4.0%44%44%–12%
University of North Florida [286] October 11–17, 2017706± 3.4%37%36%7%20%
Cherry Communications [287] September 17–24, 2017615± 4.0%45%47%–8%
Saint Leo University [288] September 10–16, 2017500± 4.5%33%35%11%21%
Florida Atlantic University [289] August 24–26, 2017800± 4.0%42%40%–18%
Gravis Marketing [290] April 4–10, 20171,243± 2.8%56%28%–16%
Gravis Marketing [291] March 28–29, 20171,453± 2.6%52%37%–12%
Cherry Communications [292] March 6–14, 2017600± 4.0%48%42%–10%
Saint Leo University [293] March 3–11, 2017507± 4.5%39%34%10%17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-FHA) [294] March 1–5, 2017600± 4.0%46%44%–10%
Mason-Dixon [295] February 24–28, 2017625± 4.0%46%41%–13%
University of North Florida [296] February 13–26, 2017957± 3.1%44%38%3%12%
Gravis Marketing [297] November 22–25, 20163,250± 2.4%51%38%–11%
Public Policy Polling [298] September 4–6, 2016744± 3.6%45%41%–14%
Public Policy Polling [299] September 11–13, 2015814± 3.4%46%42%–12%
Public Policy Polling [300] March 19–22, 2015923± 3.2%47%43%–10%
Hypothetical polling

with Pam Bondi

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Bill
Nelson (D)		Pam
Bondi (R)		Undecided
Gravis Marketing [297] November 22–25, 20163,250± 2.4%50%35%15%

Initial results and recount

The results of the race were in dispute for 12 days following the election. Because Scott's lead over Nelson was less than 0.5% of the vote, an automatic recount was triggered under Florida law. [301] [302] A controversial recount ensued, with both campaigns claiming irregularities. [303]

Nelson and Scott traded accusations of voter suppression and voter fraud. [304] Two lawsuits were filed by the Scott campaign after the election against the Supervisor of Elections in both Palm Beach and Broward Counties while the Nelson campaign filed one against the secretary of state in Florida. On November 9, the Scott campaign won both of their lawsuits. [305] [306] Notably, election officials in Broward County had to receive police protection after accusations of voter fraud were made by a few members of Congress. [307]

Additionally, a number of mail-in ballots were found in a mail distribution center in the city of Opa-locka three days after the election. The Miami-Dade Elections Department considered the votes uncountable because they had not arrived at the department by the time the polls closed. [308]

The deadline for all ballots to be machine-counted was 3:00 pm EST on Thursday, November 15, 2018. The revised totals triggered a statewide hand-recount of rejected ballots. At least three counties (Broward, Hillsborough, and Palm Beach County) missed the deadline. [309] [310] During machine counting, 846 votes from Hillsborough County were lost, presumably due to a power outage. [311] [309] Machines purchased from Sequoia Voting Systems broke down, creating delays in the count of Palm Beach County votes. [312]

Results

Florida elections officials announced on November 18, 2018, that Scott had prevailed. Scott received 50.05% of the vote, while Nelson received 49.93%; the margin of victory was 10,033 votes out of 8.19 million votes cast. Nelson then conceded the race to Scott. [313]

United States Senate election in Florida, 2018 [314]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Rick Scott 4,099,505 50.05% +7.82%
Democratic Bill Nelson (incumbent)4,089,47249.93%−5.30%
Write-in 1,0280.01%N/A
Total votes8,190,005 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

Final results from Florida Division of Elections. [314]

CountyRick Scott (Republican)Bill Nelson (Democratic)Other (Write-in)Total
Votes%Votes%Votes%
Alachua40,59935.27% 74,49364.71%200.02%115,112
Baker 8,57981.51%1,94518.48%10.01%10,525
Bay 46,68173.62%16,72326.37%70.01%63,411
Bradford 7,57672.46%2,87927.53%10.01%10,456
Brevard 160,30556.95%121,11243.03%560.02%281,473
Broward211,39730.92% 472,23969.08%00.00%683,636
Calhoun 3,58677.64%1,03322.36%00.00%4,619
Charlotte 52,91661.20%33,52538.78%160.02%86,457
Citrus 48,00867.92%22,66032.06%150.02%70,683
Clay 65,63970.30%27,71829.69%110.01%93,368
Collier 101,26665.06%54,39034.94%60.00%155,662
Columbia 17,23469.65%7,50530.33%60.02%24,745
Desoto 5,50362.31%3,32837.69%00.00%8,831
Dixie 4,44277.06%1,32222.94%00.00%5,764
Duval185,90449.14% 192,38150.85%450.01%378,330
Escambia 75,94758.94%52,89141.05%170.01%128,855
Flagler 31,46759.49%21,41940.49%110.02%52,897
Franklin 3,40462.86%2,01137.14%00.00%5,415
Gadsden6,05130.26% 13,94569.74%10.01%19,997
Gilchrist 5,70377.74%1,63322.26%00.00%7,336
Glades 2,66669.74%1,15630.24%10.03%3,823
Gulf 4,32173.22%1,58026.78%00.00%5,901
Hamilton 2,85663.09%1,67136.91%00.00%4,527
Hardee 4,45569.93%1,91630.07%00.00%6,371
Hendry 5,30459.96%3,54240.04%00.00%8,846
Hernando 49,50161.64%30,79838.35%140.02%80,313
Highlands 26,28266.22%13,39833.76%60.02%39,686
Hillsborough239,64145.96% 281,66154.02%720.01%521,374
Holmes 5,91987.37%85612.63%00.00%6,775
Indian River 44,79860.53%29,19539.45%110.01%74,004
Jackson 10,79167.55%5,18232.44%10.01%15,974
Jefferson 3,69950.48%3,62649.49%20.03%7,327
Lafayette 2,19577.89%62322.11%00.00%2,818
Lake 93,53760.36%61,40239.63%150.01%154,954
Lee 174,31660.27%114,85739.71%410.01%289,214
Leon48,76734.86% 91,09765.12%340.02%139,898
Levy 11,65868.66%5,31931.33%30.02%16,980
Liberty 2,07676.66%63223.34%00.00%2,708
Madison 4,18454.99%3,42545.01%00.00%7,609
Manatee 94,39057.80%68,87742.18%280.02%163,295
Marion 95,59261.81%59,02538.16%440.03%154,661
Martin 46,73360.35%30,69139.63%120.02%77,436
Miami-Dade316,02039.43% 485,49660.57%310.00%801,547
Monroe18,03549.97% 18,05150.02%40.01%36,090
Nassau 31,79573.09%11,70326.90%30.01%43,501
Okaloosa 60,92472.66%22,90227.31%190.02%83,845
Okeechobee 7,72768.84%3,49631.15%10.01%11,224
Orange180,76338.04% 294,30861.94%700.01%475,141
Osceola47,89841.64% 67,12358.35%80.01%115,029
Palm Beach244,85041.58% 344,00858.42%360.01%588,894
Pasco 121,21257.53%89,44742.45%510.02%210,710
Pinellas205,93547.37% 228,71252.60%1270.03%434,774
Polk 138,75156.74%105,74843.24%450.02%244,544
Putnam 18,68966.66%9,34433.33%50.02%28,038
Santa Rosa 56,37474.74%19,04725.25%100.01%75,431
Sarasota 113,58553.94%96,97346.05%350.02%210,593
Seminole97,45748.98% 101,50451.01%310.02%198,992
St. Johns 85,03165.07%45,63834.92%120.01%130,681
St. Lucie59,61248.22% 63,97851.75%340.03%123,624
Sumter 52,86870.92%21,67829.08%30.00%74,549
Suwannee 11,84274.53%4,04425.45%20.01%15,888
Taylor 5,63871.36%2,26328.64%00.00%7,901
Union 3,65075.30%1,19724.70%00.00%4,847
Volusia 125,76255.02%102,81944.98%00.00%228,581
Wakulla 9,32265.69%4,86834.31%00.00%14,190
Walton 22,77675.26%7,48524.73%40.01%30,265
Washington 7,10178.38%1,95921.62%00.00%9,060
Total 4,099,50550.05%4,089,47249.93%1,0280.01%8,190,005

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Scott won 14 of 27 congressional districts. [315]

DistrictNelsonScottRepresentative
1st 32%68% Matt Gaetz
2nd 35%65% Neal Dunn
3rd 45%55% Ted Yoho
4th 38%62% John Rutherford
5th 65%35% Al Lawson
6th 43%57% Ron DeSantis
Michael Waltz
7th 55%45% Stephanie Murphy
8th 42%58% Bill Posey
9th 54%46% Darren Soto
10th 63%37% Val Demings
11th 35%65% Daniel Webster
12th 44%56% Gus Bilirakis
13th 55%45% Charlie Crist
14th 59%41% Kathy Castor
15th 46%54% Dennis Ross
Ross Spano
16th 46%54% Vern Buchanan
17th 38%62% Tom Rooney
Greg Steube
18th 48%52% Brian Mast
19th 38%62% Francis Rooney
20th 82%18% Alcee Hastings
21st 61%39% Lois Frankel
22nd 60%40% Ted Deutch
23rd 64%36% Debbie Wasserman Schultz
24th 83%17% Frederica Wilson
25th 42%58% Mario Díaz-Balart
26th 54%46% Carlos Curbelo
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
27th 56%44% Ileana Ros-Lehtinen
Donna Shalala

Analysis

Edison Research exit poll

Demographic subgroupNelsonScottNo
Answer		 % of
Voters
Gender
Men4258N/A45
Women5743N/A55
Age
18–24 years old6238N/A5
25–29 years old7327N/A5
30–39 years old6238N/A10
40–49 years old4951N/A12
50–64 years old5050N/A31
65 and older4357N/A37
Race
White 4060N/A66
Black 9010N/A13
Latino 5446N/A15
Asian N/AN/AN/A2
Other6733N/A4
Race by gender
White men3268N/A31
White women4753N/A35
Black men8812N/A6
Black women919N/A8
Latino men4951N/A6
Latina women5842N/A9
Others6634N/A5
Education
High school or less4753N/A20
Some college education5149N/A25
Associate degree 4753N/A15
Bachelor's degree 4852N/A24
Advanced degree5842N/A16
Education and race
White college graduates4753N/A28
White no college degree3565N/A38
Non-white college graduates6436N/A12
Non-white no college degree7426N/A22
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees5842N/A13
White women without college degrees4060N/A22
White men with college degrees3763N/A14
White men without college degrees2773N/A17
Non-whites7030N/A34
Income
Under $30,0006238N/A19
$30,000–49,9995347N/A22
$50,000–99,9995149N/A34
$100,000–199,9994852N/A19
Over $200,000N/AN/AN/A7
Party ID
Democrats 928N/A33
Republicans 991N/A37
Independents 5545N/A30
Party by gender
Democratic men9010N/A12
Democratic women937N/A21
Republican men793N/A19
Republican women1189N/A18
Independent men5050N/A14
Independent women6040N/A16
Ideology
Liberals 8911N/A22
Moderates 6238N/A39
Conservatives 1585N/A39
Marital status
Married4357N/A64
Unmarried5941N/A36
Gender by marital status
Married men3664N/A32
Married women5050N/A31
Unmarried men4852N/A14
Unmarried women6238N/A22
First-time midterm election voter
Yes5842N/A16
No4753N/A84
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 7525N/A41
Immigration 1783N/A29
Economy 2872N/A16
Gun policy 7624N/A11
Area type
Urban5644N/A42
Suburban4753N/A50
Rural3763N/A8
Source: CNN [316]

Notes

  1. ↑ The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
  2. ↑ Includes "Refused"

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  80. ↑ Wilson, Drew (August 23, 2018). "Jeb Bush, George W. Bush to help boost Rick Scott's U.S. Senate bid". Florida Politics.
  81. ↑ Pence, Mike [@mike_pence] (September 6, 2018). "Great to be in Florida today supporting my good friend @ScottForFlorida. Rick Scott is one of our nation's best governors, he's a Navy vet, businessman, & father. He will make a great U.S. Senator for the people of FL!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  82. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Leary, Alex (April 17, 2018). "Possible Paul Ryan successor Kevin McCarthy to appear at DC fundraiser with Rick Scott". Tampa Bay Times . Retrieved April 17, 2018.
  83. ↑ Rubio, Marco [@marcorubio] (April 9, 2018). "One of most important roles of senate is confirming federal judges & scotus. The road to growing the senate #GOP majority runs through #Florida Please join me in contributing to, voting for & supporting @ScottforFlorida #Sayfie" (Tweet). Retrieved April 10, 2018– via Twitter.
  84. ↑ Graham, Lindsey [@LindseyGrahamSC] (October 18, 2018). "If you are a Floridian concerned about national security and the welfare of our veterans, Rick Scott is the clear choice for Senate. #Florida #2018Midterms" (Tweet). Retrieved October 19, 2018– via Twitter.
  85. ↑ Scott, Rick [@ScottforFlorida] (October 25, 2018). ".@votetimscott is part of the team getting out the vote for Governor Scott while he is working to help people in the Panhandle! If you haven't voted yet, look up your polling place, gather your friends and family, and cast your ballot today. http://VoteRickScott.com" (Tweet). Retrieved October 27, 2018– via Twitter.
  86. ↑ Gaetz, Matt [@mattgaetz] (April 9, 2018). "So proud to have fellow swamp-drainer @FLGovScott running to #FightWashington and bring Florida solutions to this crazy town! #letsgettowork #sayfie" (Tweet). Retrieved April 10, 2018– via Twitter.
  87. ↑ Dunn, Neal [@DunnCampaign] (August 28, 2018). "Today is Primary Election Day! Make sure you get out and vote. We need solid conservatives who believe in smaller government on the ballot in November – like Governor Rick Scott. Every vote counts!" (Tweet). Retrieved October 10, 2018– via Twitter.
  88. ↑ DeSantis, Ron [@RonDeSantisFL] (April 9, 2018). "Rick Scott's record of accomplishment as Governor stands in sharp contrast to the lack of leadership displayed by @SenBillNelson. @FLGovScott will hold Nelson accountable, win the race and serve Florida well in the U.S. Senate! #sayfie" (Tweet). Retrieved April 12, 2018– via Twitter.
  89. ↑ Scott, Rick [@ScottforFlorida] (October 16, 2018). "Always great to spend an evening with our friends from the Caxamblas Republican club and @FrancisRooney in Marco Island talking about Rick's Make Washington Work message. – Ann" (Tweet). Retrieved October 20, 2018– via Twitter.
  90. ↑ Diaz-Balart, Mario [@MarioDBCamp] (September 15, 2018). "A privilege to be with 2 of Florida's best governors today @FLGovScott and @JebBush. I look forward to working w Rick Scott in Congress!" (Tweet). Retrieved October 10, 2018– via Twitter.
  91. ↑ Scott, Rick [@ScottforFlorida] (October 27, 2018). "I'm proud to announce the endorsement of former Puerto Rico congressman and San Juan Mayor Carlos Romero Barcelo! He's the 60th Puerto Rican office holder to endorse our campaign! I will fight in the Senate to Make Washington Work for all Americans" (Tweet). Retrieved October 27, 2018– via Twitter.
  92. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 "Nearly 60 Puerto Rican Officials Endorse Gov. Scott's Campaign For U.S. Senate". Rick Scott for Senate. October 1, 2018. Archived from the original on October 5, 2018. Retrieved October 7, 2018.
  93. ↑ Bush, Jeb [@JebBush] (April 9, 2018). "Rick Scott has provided strong, conservative leadership for our state throughout his time as governor. Rick's exactly the type of leader we need in Washington right now, and I know he will represent Florida well in the U.S. Senate. @ScottforFlorida" (Tweet). Retrieved April 10, 2018– via Twitter.
  94. ↑ Angel, Greg [@NewsGuyGreg] (April 9, 2018). "Lieutenant Governor of #PuertoRico talking in support for Gov Rick Scott for Senate. @MyNews13" (Tweet). Retrieved April 12, 2018– via Twitter.
  95. ↑ Scott, Rick [@ScottforFlorida] (November 2, 2018). "Thank you for coming to Tampa @PamBondi and @LindseyGrahamSC!" (Tweet). Retrieved November 3, 2018– via Twitter.
  96. ↑ Patronis, Jimmy (April 10, 2018). "I'm proud to support Governor Rick Scott in his mission to continue serving the people of Florida. LIKE and SHARE if you do, too!". Facebook . Retrieved June 23, 2018.
  97. ↑ Putnam, Adam [@adamputnam] (April 9, 2018). "Rick Scott is just the kind of leader we need to represent Florida in the hot, wet mess that is Washington. I'm proud to support his run for U.S. Senate" (Tweet). Retrieved April 10, 2018– via Twitter.
  98. 1 2 JAX Alliance [@JAXAlliance] (April 26, 2018). "The @USChamber, @FLChamber and @GoodGovtPAC — the Federal Political Committee of @JAXChamber — endorse @ScottforFlorida for U.S. Senate. "I've never seen someone work so hard to bring jobs to Florida." — @DanielDavisFl" (Tweet). Retrieved October 23, 2018– via Twitter.
  99. ↑ Corcoran, Richard [@richardcorcoran] (April 9, 2018). "Gov @ScottforFlorida has spent the last 8yrs putting the priorities of every Floridian first. Tax cuts, massive job growth, and an improved Ed system will be his legacy as gov. Now we need his proven conservative leadership in D.C. I couldn't be more excited 4 this announcement" (Tweet). Retrieved April 10, 2018– via Twitter.
  100. ↑ Caldwell, Matt [@mattcaldwell_fl] (April 9, 2018). "I proudly endorse @FLGovScott in his bid to fight for Florida in the U.S. Senate. With Gov. Scott's leadership as a principled conservative, Florida has roared with jobs, shed needless taxes, and staked its claim as the best state for Americans to pursue their dreams" (Tweet). Retrieved April 13, 2018– via Twitter.
  101. 1 2 "Gov. Rick Scott Secures Endorsement Of 55 Florida Sheriffs". Rick Scott for Senate. June 11, 2018. Archived from the original on October 20, 2018. Retrieved October 20, 2018.
  102. ↑ Giuliani, Rudy [@RudyGiuliani] (November 4, 2018). "Great rally for @RonDeSantisFL in Daytona. On to Boca Raton Repub. Headquarters. A great state like Fl. needs a leader who can build on Gov. Scott's success. More jobs, lower taxes, safer communities and support for our police. Vote for DeSantis for Gov. and Scott for Senate" (Tweet). Retrieved November 7, 2018– via Twitter.
  103. ↑ Erickson, Erick (May 9, 2018). "Rick Scott for Senate". TheMaven. Retrieved May 10, 2018.
  104. ↑ Bongino, Dan [@dbongino] (November 4, 2018). "Please, please, please, save Florida and keep the good economic times going. VOTE. Please get out and vote Scott & DeSantis. Don't let liberals destroy this wonderful state" (Tweet). Retrieved November 7, 2018– via Twitter.
  105. ↑ Diamond and Silk [@DiamondandSilk] (August 28, 2018). "Congratulations to Gov. Rick Scott @ScottforFlorida for winning the GOP Nomination for Senate #MAGA #RedWave #Winning #ChooChoo" (Tweet). Retrieved October 24, 2018– via Twitter.
  106. ↑ Kashuv, Kyle [@KyleKashuv] (October 4, 2018). "It's time Florida relieves @SenBillNelson of his Senate seat and gives @ScottforFlorida the reins. Enough of the corruption. Enough of the political hackery" (Tweet). Retrieved October 25, 2018– via Twitter.
  107. ↑ Scott, Rick [@ScottforFlorida] (October 24, 2018). "The Golden Bear Jack Nicklaus helped get out the vote for Governor Scott in Palm Beach Gardens today! It's great to see so many Floridians helping us Make Washington Work!" (Tweet). Retrieved October 27, 2018– via Twitter.
  108. ↑ Petty, Ryan [@rpetty] (April 10, 2018). "I am thrilled to endorse my friend, Rick Scott for US Senate. @ScottforFlorida demonstrated true leadership in making our kids & teachers safer here in Florida. We need this same leadership in DC. Please join with me in supporting him for US Senate. #rickscottforsenate" (Tweet). Retrieved April 12, 2018– via Twitter.
  109. ↑ Pollack, Andrew [@AndrewPollackFL] (April 10, 2018). "I am proud to endorse my friend Governor Rick Scott for US Senate. @ScottforFlorida has helped me tremendously in my pursuit to make schools in America safe & secure. He signed the PS Bill 7026 that I advocated for after my daughter was killed at #MSD. He's a great man" (Tweet). Retrieved April 12, 2018– via Twitter.
  110. ↑ Pollack, Hunter [@PollackHunter] (August 1, 2018). "I have been working very closely with the Governor to establish the @Scott_Students initiative and it's already becoming a huge success! So glad to be apart of it. Please follow! #ScottForSenate" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  111. ↑ Powers, Scott (July 26, 2018). "Builders backing Rick Scott". Florida Politics.
  112. ↑ Slobodien, Rachael (August 16, 2018). "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Florida Governor Rick Scott for U.S. Senate". Club for Growth .
  113. ↑ Dixon, Matt (April 24, 2018). "U.S. Chamber places 6-figure ad hitting Nelson on economy". Politico . Retrieved April 24, 2018.
  114. ↑ Prieur, Danielle (July 17, 2018). "GOV. RICK SCOTT GETS ANOTHER ENDORSEMENT: THIS TIME FROM SMALL BUSINESS OWNERS". WMFE-FM.
  115. ↑ Republican Jewish Coalition (September 2, 2018). "The RJC PAC proudly endorsed Governor Rick Scott (FL), who just came off a strong primary win for Senate. Governor Scott has been a longtime friend of the RJC. Will you be a friend to Governor Scott?". Facebook .
  116. ↑ "Endorsements For New York November 6 General Elections". The Jewish Press . October 31, 2018. Retrieved November 1, 2018.
  117. ↑ Weaver, Al (October 1, 2018). "Obama backs Bill Nelson, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in latest wave of congressional endorsements". The Washington Examiner . Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  118. ↑ Lemongello, Steven (October 19, 2018). "Vice President Joe Biden to rally for Bill Nelson in Orlando". Orlando Sentinel . Archived from the original on October 19, 2018. Retrieved October 20, 2018.
  119. ↑ Nelson, Bill [@NelsonForSenate] (October 31, 2018). "Honored to have the support of my longtime friend and former @NASA administrator, Charlie Bolden. Had a great time discussing the future of space, how important our commercial space industry is to Florida's economy, and answering smart questions from some bright kids" (Tweet). Retrieved November 1, 2018– via Twitter.
  120. ↑ Shapiro, Dan [@DanielBShapiro] (October 3, 2018). "So excited to be in Florida today &tomorrow to campaign for my good friend (& former boss) US Sen. Bill Nelson! He's a leader, a great fighter for Florida, a strong supporter of the US-Israel relationship, and an outstanding person. Let's keep him in the Senate!@NelsonForSenate" (Tweet). Retrieved October 5, 2018– via Twitter.
  121. ↑ Little, Jim (October 24, 2018). "Alabama Sen. Doug Jones campaigns for Sen. Bill Nelson in Pensacola". Pensacola News Journal . Retrieved October 25, 2018.
  122. ↑ Hollyfield, Amy (October 9, 2017). "California's Kamala Harris to fundraise in Florida for Bill Nelson". Tampa Bay Times . Retrieved December 4, 2017.
  123. ↑ Conley, Lisa (September 12, 2018). "Former Gov. Bob Graham weighs in on Florida races for governor, Senate". Naples Daily News . Retrieved October 4, 2018.
  124. ↑ "Democrats fret Nelson is choking in Florida Senate race". POLITICO.
  125. ↑ Durbin, Dick [@DickDurbin] (October 26, 2018). "Florida, we can't afford to lose Bill Nelson's voice in the Senate. Now is the time to get out the vote for @NelsonForSenate" (Tweet). Retrieved October 29, 2018– via Twitter.
  126. 1 2 Seitz-Wald, Alex (April 22, 2018). "Favor bank: Potential presidential candidates are collecting IOUs for 2020". NBC News . Retrieved April 24, 2018.
  127. ↑ Merkley, Jeff [@JeffMerkley] (April 10, 2018). "Whenever the GOP has tried to gut Medicare, slash Social Security, or open our coasts to oil drilling, @NelsonForSenate has always stood in their way. Now we need to stand with him" (Tweet). Retrieved October 21, 2018– via Twitter.
  128. ↑ Graham, Gwen [@GwenGraham] (April 9, 2018). "I am proud to have worked with Senator Nelson to fight oil drilling off our beaches, to defend the Affordable Care Act and to create good jobs in Florida. I look forward to the names Graham and Nelson again appearing together on the ballot —and, together, defeating @FLGovScott" (Tweet). Retrieved October 10, 2018– via Twitter.
  129. ↑ Murphy, Stephanie [@SMurphyCongress] (June 27, 2018). "The Supreme Court is a reminder of what's at stake every election: women's rights, civil rights, collective bargaining rights, LGBTQ rights, gun safety reform, immigration reform, redistricting reform & much more. Support @NelsonForSenate & VOTE EVERY TIME #FlaPol #MidtermsMatter" (Tweet). Retrieved October 21, 2018– via Twitter.
  130. 1 2 3 4 5 Ogles, Jacob (September 9, 2018). "Bill Nelson endorsed by Jose Alvarez, Mayita Meléndez". Florida Politics. Retrieved October 4, 2018.
  131. ↑ Castor, Kathy [@KathyCastorFL] (August 8, 2018). "It is vitally important to send Bill Nelson back to the U.S. Senate ... for our students, our schools and Florida's future! Florida's teachers endorsed him today! @FloridaEA @HillsboroughCTA @NelsonForSenate" (Tweet). Retrieved October 10, 2018– via Twitter.
  132. ↑ "Jimmy Buffett decries an 'insane two years,' urges Floridians to vote for Andrew Gillum and Bill Nelson". Tampa Bay Times . November 3, 2018. Retrieved November 7, 2018.
  133. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Nelson, Bill [@NelsonForSenate] (November 4, 2018). "Joined @rosariodawson, @zoesaldana, @EvaLongoria, @HereIsGina, @AmericaFerrera, @ReElectNydia, and my friend @DarrenSoto in Kissimmee rallying to get out the vote! Many areas across Florida can still vote early today, find out when and where you can vote: http://nelsonforsenate.com/vote" (Tweet). Retrieved November 4, 2018– via Twitter.
  134. ↑ Lemongello, Steven (June 4, 2018). "Former Puerto Rico Gov. Pedro Rosselló endorses Bill Nelson". Orlando Sentinel . Archived from the original on June 15, 2018. Retrieved June 14, 2018.
  135. 1 2 "Barack Obama Endorses Andrew Gillum for Governor; Puerto Rico Governor Endorses Bill Nelson for Senate". WTVJ. October 1, 2018. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  136. ↑ @NelsonForSenate (September 21, 2018). ".@JoseJavierJJR and @kenrussellmiami joined Nan Ellen and Grace Nelson on the campaign trail in Miami today! They visited senior centers to talk about what's at stake in this election, which not only sparked some lively conversation, but also some singing and dancing" (Tweet). Retrieved October 5, 2018– via Twitter.
  137. ↑ Smith, Carlos G. [@CarlosGSmith] (August 3, 2018). "Time to rid Florida of the red slime known as @FLGovScott by voting to re-elect @NelsonForSenate November 6th" (Tweet). Retrieved October 21, 2018– via Twitter.
  138. ↑ Jones, Shevrin [@ShevrinJones] (July 1, 2018). "Last night I had the awesome privilege of introducing @NelsonForSenate at #LeadBlue2018 – Senator Nelson has stood strong for us in DC and I look forward to us sending him back, and retiring @FLGovScott from politics. #BlueWave" (Tweet). Retrieved October 21, 2018– via Twitter.
  139. ↑ Levine, Philip (March 30, 2017). "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  140. ↑ Dyer, Buddy (June 16, 2017). "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  141. ↑ Gillum, Andrew [@AndrewGillum] (August 31, 2018). "It's an honor to stand with you, @NelsonForSenate. Let's #BringItHome for Florida!" (Tweet). Retrieved October 5, 2018– via Twitter.
  142. ↑ Leibowitz, Jonathan (February 13, 2017). "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  143. ↑ Peralta, Paola (October 31, 2018). "Jimmy Buffett hosting free Florida concert in support of Bill Nelson and Andrew Gillum". Orlando Weekly . Archived from the original on November 7, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  144. ↑ Greene, Jeff [@JeffGreeneFL] (June 30, 2018). "Glad to catch up with my friend @NelsonForSenate — a leader, public servant, and all that stands between us and Rick Scott! We're with you, Senator!" (Tweet). Retrieved November 3, 2018– via Twitter.
  145. ↑ Nicol, Ryan (September 14, 2018). "Fred Guttenberg endorses Bill Nelson for Senate". Florida Politics. Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  146. ↑ Kelly, Mark [@ShuttleCDRKelly] (October 24, 2018). "I was in Orlando yesterday with @JoeBiden getting out the vote for @NelsonforSenate and @SMurphyCongress. The stakes are simply too high to stay home this election. It's crunch time. Let's bring it home. Get out and vote, Florida. #VoteSaveLives" (Tweet). Retrieved October 27, 2018– via Twitter.
  147. ↑ Midler, Bette [@BetteMidler] (October 20, 2018). "FLORIDA!! @NelsonForSenate!! #BILLNELSON WON'T SLASH YOUR MEDICARE AND SOCIAL SECURITY, AS #RICKSCOTT IS SURE TO DO! Rick also earned $46 MILLION during his term in office...Where'd he get it? He's not sayin'!! Not worthy to serve!! VOTE BILL NELSON FOR SENATE, HE'S FOR YOU!" (Tweet). Retrieved October 23, 2018– via Twitter.
  148. ↑ Porco, Carolyn [@carolynporco] (October 16, 2018). "This morning I contributed to Bill Nelson's campaign. We need to keep scientists in government!" (Tweet). Retrieved October 27, 2018– via Twitter.
  149. ↑ Schumer, Amy [@amyschumer] (October 22, 2018). "News" (Tweet). Retrieved October 23, 2018– via Twitter.
  150. ↑ Siskind, Amy [@Amy_Siskind] (October 8, 2018). "END Mitch McConnell's reign of terror. Donate/volunteer for these close senate races: Jacky Rosen, NV Phil Bredesen, TN Claire McCaskill, MO Bill Nelson, FL Joe Donnelly, IN Heidi Heitkamp, ND Beto O'Rourke, TX Kyrsten Sinema, AZ Tammy Baldwin, WI" (Tweet). Retrieved October 20, 2018– via Twitter.
  151. ↑ Streisand, Barbra (March 21, 2017). "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . Retrieved April 16, 2018.[ permanent dead link ]
  152. ↑ Sussman, Donald S. (January 24, 2017). "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  153. ↑ Union, Gabrielle [@itsgabrielleu] (October 18, 2018). "As a Florida resident I felt incredibly confident casting my vote for @AndrewGillum & Sen Bill Nelson Let's bring this home!!! Vote by mail or early voting will run from Oct 22nd-Nov 4th in Broward, Palm Beach and Miami-Dade counties. Nov 6th general election. We vote, we win 🤗" (Tweet). Retrieved October 20, 2018– via Twitter.
  154. ↑ "Florida Retirees: Nelson Best Choice for Seniors". July 27, 2018. Archived from the original on October 29, 2018. Retrieved October 29, 2018.
  155. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . June 30, 2017. Retrieved March 27, 2018.
  156. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . June 12, 2017. Retrieved March 27, 2018.
  157. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . June 20, 2017. Retrieved March 27, 2018.
  158. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . May 31, 2017. Retrieved March 27, 2018.
  159. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . May 26, 2017. Retrieved March 27, 2018.
  160. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . May 31, 2017. Retrieved March 25, 2018.
  161. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . May 8, 2017. Retrieved March 25, 2018.
  162. ↑ @CSGV (June 15, 2018). "#Florida deserves a senator that will fight for them — not because it is politically expedient, but because it is the right thing to do. In the Senate, @NelsonForSenate will stand up to the gun lobby & work to pass laws that will make America safer. https://www.csgv.org/florida-serious-stopping-gun-violence-bill-nelson-choice/ …" (Tweet). Retrieved October 6, 2018– via Twitter.
  163. ↑ "End Citizens United Endorses Senator Bill Nelson for Re-election". End Citizens United . July 6, 2017.
  164. ↑ @NelsonForSenate (June 9, 2018). "Great to be in Orlando today with the @FLAFLCIO! These workers help make Florida run and I'm honored to receive their endorsement" (Tweet). Retrieved October 6, 2018– via Twitter.
  165. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . June 30, 2017. Retrieved March 25, 2018.
  166. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . June 26, 2017. Retrieved March 25, 2018.
  167. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . June 23, 2017. Retrieved March 25, 2018.
  168. ↑ Lopez-Wagner, Betsy (January 3, 2018). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Bill Nelson". League of Conservation Voters .
  169. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . June 30, 2017. Retrieved March 25, 2018.
  170. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . May 26, 2017. Retrieved March 25, 2018.
  171. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . June 23, 2017. Retrieved March 25, 2018.
  172. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . March 27, 2017. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
  173. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . May 2, 2017. Retrieved March 25, 2018.
  174. ↑ Richtman, Max (April 6, 2018). "Letter of Endorsement for Bill Nelson". National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare . Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  175. ↑ "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". National Organization for Women . August 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  176. ↑ Dison, Denis (January 31, 2018). "NRDC Action Fund endorses Sens. Tammy Baldwin and Bill Nelson". Natural Resources Defense Council . Retrieved March 13, 2018.
  177. ↑ "Florida 2018 Race". Planned Parenthood . Archived from the original on August 25, 2018. Retrieved August 25, 2018.
  178. ↑ Padró Ocasio, Bianca (September 21, 2018). "SEIU Florida to announce Bill Nelson endorsement in Orlando". Orlando Sentinel . Retrieved October 3, 2018.
  179. ↑ "ENDORSEMENTS". Sierra Club .
  180. ↑ "SCHEDULE A (FEC Form 3) ITEMIZED RECEIPTS". Federal Election Commission . June 26, 2017. Retrieved March 25, 2018.
  181. ↑ "U.S. Senator Bill Nelson". VoteVets.org . Archived from the original on August 25, 2018. Retrieved August 25, 2018.
  182. ↑ "La Gaceta Endorses". La Gaceta . Retrieved October 6, 2018.
  183. ↑ "Re-elect Bill Nelson to the Senate. He puts Florida's interests first". Miami Herald . September 30, 2018. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
  184. ↑ "Editorial: Florida's Election 2018: Our endorsements for governor, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and the amendments". Orlando Sentinel . October 19, 2018. Retrieved October 20, 2018.
  185. ↑ "Editorial: Bill Nelson works hard for Florida; keep him in U.S. Senate". The Palm Beach Post . October 19, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
  186. ↑ "Florida and the nation need Bill Nelson in the U.S. Senate | Editorial". Sun-Sentinel . September 21, 2018. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
  187. ↑ "Times recommends: Bill Nelson for U.S. Senate". Tampa Bay Times . October 4, 2018. Retrieved October 5, 2018.
  188. ↑ "Editorial: Scott or Nelson for Senate? Navigating a close call". October 27, 2018. Retrieved November 7, 2018.
  189. ↑ Dunwoody, Dave (October 24, 2018). "Nelson, Jones Stump in Pensacola". WUWF . Retrieved October 25, 2018.
  190. ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  191. ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
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  193. ↑ "2018 Election Calendar and Results". The New York Times. January 23, 2018. Retrieved January 24, 2018.
  194. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News . Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  195. ↑ "Key Races: Senate" . Retrieved July 27, 2018.
  196. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved July 15, 2018.
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  198. ↑ "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election". POLITICO. Retrieved September 8, 2018.
  199. ↑ "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight . September 11, 2018. Archived from the original on November 5, 2018. Retrieved October 24, 2018.
  200. ↑ "Campaign finance data" . Retrieved July 27, 2018.
  201. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  202. ↑ HarrisX
  203. ↑ St. Pete Polls
  204. ↑ HarrisX
  205. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  206. ↑ Emerson College
  207. ↑ HarrisX
  208. ↑ Research Co.
  209. ↑ Change Research (D-Reason to Believe PAC)
  210. ↑ St. Pete Polls
  211. ↑ HarrisX
  212. ↑ Marist College
  213. ↑ Gravis Marketing
  214. ↑ HarrisX
  215. ↑ St. Pete Polls
  216. ↑ Targoz Market Research
  217. ↑ HarrisX
  218. ↑ MWR Research/Consumer Energy Alliance
  219. ↑ The Trafalgar Group (R)
  220. ↑ Vox Populi Polling
  221. ↑ HarrisX Archived November 5, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  222. ↑ Cygnal (R)
  223. ↑ CNN/SSRS
  224. ↑ Suffolk University Archived October 30, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  225. ↑ NYT Upshot/Siena College
  226. ↑ University of North Florida Archived October 30, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  227. ↑ YouGov
  228. ↑ Ipsos
  229. ↑ Gravis Marketing
  230. ↑ Strategic Research Associates Archived October 25, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  231. ↑ Saint Leo University
  232. ↑ St. Pete Polls
  233. ↑ Florida Atlantic University
  234. ↑ SurveyUSA
  235. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  236. ↑ Schroth, Eldon and Associates (D)
  237. ↑ CNN/SSRS
  238. ↑ OnMessage Inc. (R-Scott)
  239. ↑ St. Pete Polls
  240. ↑ Florida Southern College
  241. ↑ Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS
  242. ↑ St. Pete Polls
  243. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)
  244. ↑ Strategic Research Associates Archived November 22, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  245. ↑ Mason-Dixon
  246. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  247. ↑ Cherry Communications
  248. ↑ Marist College
  249. ↑ University of North Florida Archived September 24, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  250. ↑ Florida Atlantic University
  251. ↑ Ipsos
  252. ↑ Rasmussen Reports
  253. ↑ SurveyUSA
  254. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  255. ↑ Gravis Marketing
  256. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)
  257. ↑ St. Pete Polls
  258. ↑ Florida Atlantic University
  259. ↑ Saint Leo University
  260. ↑ Mason-Dixon
  261. ↑ Florida Atlantic University
  262. ↑ SurveyMonkey/Axios
  263. ↑ YouGov
  264. ↑ Marist College
  265. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.)
  266. ↑ Gravis Marketing Archived June 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  267. ↑ Cherry Communications
  268. ↑ Saint Leo University
  269. ↑ Morning Consult
  270. ↑ Florida Atlantic University
  271. ↑ Public Policy Polling (D-Levine)
  272. ↑ Gravis Marketing
  273. ↑ McLaughlin & Associates (R-NR PAC) Archived April 13, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  274. ↑ Clearview Research
  275. ↑ SurveyMonkey/Axios
  276. ↑ Quinnipiac University
  277. ↑ Florida Atlantic University
  278. ↑ Saint Leo University
  279. ↑ Gravis Marketing Archived November 30, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  280. ↑ Florida Atlantic University
  281. ↑ University of North Florida Archived April 27, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  282. ↑ Mason-Dixon
  283. ↑ Dixie Strategies
  284. ↑ Gravis Marketing Archived December 28, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  285. ↑ Mason-Dixon
  286. ↑ University of North Florida Archived March 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  287. ↑ Cherry Communications
  288. ↑ Saint Leo University
  289. ↑ Florida Atlantic University
  290. ↑ Gravis Marketing Archived April 14, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  291. ↑ Gravis Marketing Archived April 4, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
  292. ↑ Cherry Communications
  293. ↑ Saint Leo University
  294. ↑ Public Opinion Strategies (R-FHA)
  295. ↑ Mason-Dixon
  296. ↑ University of North Florida
  297. 1 2 Gravis Marketing
  298. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  299. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  300. ↑ Public Policy Polling
  301. ↑ "Nelson, Scott race headed to recount". POLITICO. Retrieved November 8, 2018.
  302. ↑ "Chapter 102 Section 141 – 2018 Florida Statutes – The Florida Senate". www.flsenate.gov. Retrieved November 8, 2018.
  303. ↑ "After long recount, Gov. Rick Scott wins Florida Senate race". ABC News. November 18, 2018.
  304. ↑ Skoneki, Mark. "Florida recount: The dueling statements of Rick Scott, Bill Nelson". Archived from the original on November 10, 2018. Retrieved November 10, 2018.
  305. ↑ Greenwood, Max (November 9, 2018). "Palm Beach judge orders elections official to turn over ballots in legal win for Scott".
  306. ↑ Dan Merica; Ryan Nobles (November 9, 2018). "Bill Nelson's campaign sues Florida secretary of state as vote count fight continues". CNN.
  307. ↑ Herald, Miami. "Broward County officials need police protection to tally Florida election results".
  308. ↑ Wise, Justin (November 9, 2018). "Dozens of mail-in ballots sitting in Miami distribution center: report".
  309. 1 2 Nam, Rafael (November 15, 2018). "Florida Senate race heads to a hand recount".
  310. ↑ Fineout, Gary; Farrington, Brendan (November 16, 2018). "Bitter battle for Florida Senate seat goes to hand recount". AP NEWS.
  311. ↑ Donovan, Evan (November 16, 2018). "Hillsborough resubmits initial election results, machine recount comes up ≈800 votes short".
  312. ↑ Caputo, Marc; Dixon, Matt. "'We broke down:' Why Palm Beach County won't meet recount deadline". Politico PRO.
  313. ↑ "Scott wins Florida U.S. Senate seat after manual recount". Reuters. Retrieved November 18, 2018.
  314. 1 2 "Florida Department of State – 2018 General Election Results for U.S. Senate". Elections.MyFlorida.com. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
  315. ↑ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
  316. ↑ "Florida Senate Election exit poll". CNN . Retrieved March 30, 2018.

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