1948 United States presidential election in Florida

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1948 United States presidential election in Florida
Flag of Florida (1900-1985).svg
  1944 November 2, 1948 1952  
  Harry S Truman, bw half-length photo portrait, facing front, 1945 (cropped).jpg Thomas Dewey (3x4 crop).jpg Strom Thurmond 1948 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Harry Truman Thomas E. Dewey Strom Thurmond
Party Democratic Republican States' Rights Democratic
Home state Missouri New York South Carolina
Running mate Alben Barkley Earl Warren Fielding Wright
Electoral vote800
Popular vote281,988194,28089,755
Percentage48.82%33.63%15.54%

Florida Presidential Election Results 1948.svg
County Results

President before election

Harry Truman
Democratic

Elected President

Harry Truman
Democratic

The 1948 United States presidential election in Florida was held on November 2, 1948. Voters chose eight electors, or representatives to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Contents

Harry S. Truman won by 87,708 votes or 15.19 percentage points over his Republican opponent Thomas E. Dewey. In culturally Deep Southern North Florida, including the rural and socially conservative Panhandle, Truman was able to rely on having a strong economic program – which Strom Thurmond entirely lacked – to hold off Thurmond's racial appeal. [1] In more cosmopolitan and liberal Central and South Florida – which had seen extensive settlement by Northerners since the war – his economic policies were a winner against Henry A. Wallace, who received only two percent of the state's vote but did an order of magnitude better in some Tampa precincts. [2]

Dewey nonetheless made dramatic gains upon previous Republican efforts in Florida. By carrying eleven counties, all of which were located in Central and South Florida, mostly in the southwest and on the east coast, he was only the fifth Republican to carry any Florida county at the presidential level since the poll tax' original implementation following the 1888 election. [3] [a] The Dewey counties had in earlier Democratic primaries typically backed "conservative" candidates favoring limited or no economic regulation, [1] due to their lack of dependence on the traditionally "Southern" crops of cotton and tobacco, and would become the most consistently conservative and Republican counties in future presidential elections. Strom Thurmond, who had had to run as a third-party candidate under the "States' Rights" banner, nonetheless won over fifteen percent of the vote. Thurmond carried three counties but ran second in thirty-one others.

As of the 2024 presidential election , this is the last time that Florida was won by a Democratic presidential candidate by double digits. Republicans have won Florida by double digits in six subsequent elections. This election is also the last time that Highlands County has ever voted for a Democratic presidential candidate. [4] Osceola County, which Truman won by two votes, would not vote Democratic again until 1996. [3] Seminole County would not vote Democratic again until 2020. Thurmond won 16% of white voters. [5] Florida's ballot access laws required parties to have 5% of voters registered in them before the primary in May. The Progressives were unable to meet this requirement, but the Florida legislature changed the laws to allow the Dixiecrats to appear. This also allowed the Progressives to appear as well. [6]

Results

United States presidential election in Florida, 1948 [7]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Democratic Harry S. Truman (incumbent)281,98848.82%8
Republican Thomas E. Dewey 194,28033.63%0
States' Rights Strom Thurmond 89,75515.54%0
Progressive Henry A. Wallace 11,6202.01%0
Total577,643100.00%8
Voter turnout (Voting age)33.5% [8]

Results by county

County [9] Harry S. Truman
Democratic
Thomas E. Dewey
Republican
Strom Thurmond
Dixiecrat
Henry A. Wallace
Progressive
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%#%
Alachua 3,74536.78%2,40323.60%3,93738.67%970.95%-192-1.89%10,182
Baker 84972.19%1129.52%21318.11%20.17%63654.08%1,176
Bay 5,16870.68%92812.69%1,19316.32%230.31%3,97554.36%7,312
Bradford 1,22856.07%35716.30%59327.08%120.55%63528.99%2,190
Brevard 2,34842.20%2,31541.61%85715.40%440.79%330.59%5,564
Broward 7,09636.35%9,93350.88%2,30011.78%1920.98%-2,837-14.53%19,521
Calhoun 1,40478.26%1287.13%25814.38%40.22%1,14663.88%1,794
Charlotte 52041.01%55944.09%17213.56%171.34%-39-3.08%1,268
Citrus 94056.90%46127.91%24414.77%70.42%47928.99%1,652
Clay 1,54456.31%72226.33%45716.67%190.69%82229.98%2,742
Collier 36241.14%24728.07%25128.52%202.27%11112.62%880
Columbia 1,79753.93%55316.60%97829.35%40.12%81924.58%3,332
DeSoto 1,15755.57%56927.33%35016.81%60.29%58828.24%2,082
Dixie 86267.82%1118.73%29523.21%30.24%56744.61%1,271
Duval 28,56747.85%15,37925.76%14,42824.17%1,3212.21%13,18822.09%59,695
Escambia 13,98263.11%3,26714.75%4,79021.62%1170.53%9,19241.49%22,156
Flagler 15323.61%15423.77%33050.93%111.70%-176-27.16%648
Franklin 63559.79%13012.24%29427.68%30.28%34132.11%1,062
Gadsden 1,42750.93%37613.42%99235.40%70.25%43515.53%2,802
Gilchrist 88483.32%464.34%13112.35%00.00%75370.97%1,061
Glades 27449.37%15027.03%12722.88%40.72%12422.34%555
Gulf 1,21977.20%1469.25%20913.24%50.32%1,01063.96%1,579
Hamilton 1,07166.44%20212.53%33720.91%20.12%73445.53%1,612
Hardee 1,87165.49%68924.12%2819.84%160.56%1,18241.37%2,857
Hendry 69953.89%34026.21%24118.58%171.31%35927.68%1,297
Hernando 82549.34%44126.38%37222.25%342.03%38422.96%1,672
Highlands 2,25752.98%1,47134.53%49811.69%340.80%78618.45%4,260
Hillsborough 18,85445.67%13,52932.77%5,09412.34%3,8099.23%5,32512.90%41,286
Holmes 1,79956.29%49215.39%90228.22%30.09%89728.07%3,196
Indian River 1,05543.10%1,13446.32%24610.05%130.53%-79-3.22%2,448
Jackson 3,16955.11%64811.27%1,91733.34%160.28%1,25221.77%5,750
Jefferson 70052.91%15311.56%46735.30%30.23%23317.61%1,323
Lafayette 97585.15%524.54%11710.22%10.09%85874.93%1,145
Lake 3,47441.96%3,57943.23%1,18014.25%460.56%-105-1.27%8,279
Lee 1,88332.48%2,27639.26%1,60027.60%380.66%-393-6.78%5,797
Leon 3,60758.55%1,14918.65%1,35021.91%550.89%2,25736.64%6,161
Levy 1,12855.76%22511.12%66232.72%80.40%46623.04%2,023
Liberty 73786.81%303.53%819.54%10.12%65677.27%849
Madison 1,18951.70%2079.00%89839.04%60.26%29112.66%2,300
Manatee 2,76636.35%3,37144.30%1,43118.80%420.55%-605-7.95%7,610
Marion 4,65057.01%1,82922.43%1,64020.11%370.45%2,82134.58%8,156
Martin 81538.55%94844.84%32315.28%281.32%-133-6.29%2,114
Miami-Dade 59,68153.52%41,30137.04%7,1366.40%3,3943.04%18,38016.48%111,512
Monroe 3,75983.48%54812.17%1222.71%741.64%3,21171.31%4,503
Nassau 1,51855.10%54019.60%68124.72%160.58%83730.38%2,755
Okaloosa 2,51962.86%48612.13%99224.76%100.25%1,52738.10%4,007
Okeechobee 78474.81%17917.08%848.02%10.10%60557.73%1,048
Orange 10,06339.23%11,97146.67%3,37413.15%2440.95%-1,908-7.44%25,652
Osceola 1,57744.65%1,57544.59%35710.11%230.65%20.06%3,532
Palm Beach 9,40839.01%10,99645.60%3,22613.38%4852.01%-1,588-6.59%24,115
Pasco 2,37548.66%1,83937.68%62812.87%390.80%53610.98%4,881
Pinellas 15,72435.32%24,90055.92%3,4007.64%5001.12%-9,176-20.60%44,524
Polk 12,03452.57%7,69233.60%2,99213.07%1740.76%4,34218.97%22,892
Putnam 1,94740.27%1,43529.68%1,43129.60%220.46%51210.59%4,835
St. Johns 1,99431.63%1,84029.18%2,43838.67%330.52%-444-7.04%6,305
St. Lucie 1,70438.38%1,68938.04%1,02723.13%200.45%150.34%4,440
Santa Rosa 2,31665.72%54915.58%63918.13%200.57%1,67747.59%3,524
Sarasota 2,30232.31%3,55949.95%1,21317.02%510.72%-1,257-17.64%7,125
Seminole 2,26145.16%1,66533.25%1,06021.17%210.42%59611.91%5,007
Sumter 1,41165.57%25111.66%48622.58%40.19%92542.99%2,152
Suwannee 3,03371.62%3989.40%78618.56%180.43%2,24753.06%4,235
Taylor 1,35467.73%21610.81%42221.11%70.35%93246.62%1,999
Union 59467.96%556.29%22525.74%00.00%36942.22%874
Volusia 9,20246.76%7,76439.46%2,41112.25%3011.53%1,4387.30%19,678
Wakulla 99772.30%725.22%30522.12%50.36%69250.18%1,379
Walton 2,36662.28%65217.16%76120.03%200.53%1,60542.25%3,799
Washington 1,38062.42%29713.43%52323.65%110.50%85738.77%2,211
Totals281,98848.82%194,28033.63%89,75515.54%11,6202.01%87,70815.19%577,643

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Dixiecrat

Analysis

With the exception of the 1928 election, when fierce anti-Catholicism and Prohibitionism caused Herbert Hoover to defeat the wet Catholic Al Smith, [10] Florida since the end of the Reconstruction era had been a classic Southern one-party state dominated by the Democratic Party. Disfranchisement of African-Americans and many poor whites had virtually eliminated the Republican Party – only nine Republicans had ever been elected to the state legislature since 1890 – and Democratic primaries were the sole competitive elections.

Under the influence of Senator Claude Pepper, Florida had abolished the poll tax in 1937, leading to steady increases in voter turnout during the following several elections; [11] however, there was no marked increase in African-American voting and Democratic hegemony remained unchallenged: FDR did not lose a single county in the state during his four elections. [3]

However, on February 2, 1948, incumbent President Harry S. Truman, fearing that the anti-democratic practices and racial discrimination of the South would severely denigrate the United States' reputation in the Cold War, [12] launched the first civil rights bill since the end of Reconstruction, along with Executive Order 9981 to desegregate the military. Mississippi governor Fielding Wright had already sounded a call for revolt, which he took to the Southern Governors Conference at Wakulla Springs [13] to say that calls for civil rights legislation by national Democrats would not be tolerated in the South.

After Truman was renominated at the 1948 Democratic National Convention, Southern Democrats walked out and convened at Birmingham, Alabama on July 17, nominating South Carolina Governor James Strom Thurmond for president and Mississippi Governor Fielding L. Wright for vice president. [14] Due to its smaller proportion of African Americans in its population than in other Southern states, Florida experienced less dissent from the national Democratic Party in response to these actions. [15] Florida Senator Claude Pepper argued that, unless Dwight D. Eisenhower was nominated instead, Truman was the only viable nominee, while Frank D. Upchurch, a long-time adversary of Pepper, recommended that the renomination of Truman be fought. [16] Eventually, those opposed to Truman won the primary fight, taking eleven and a half votes out of twenty and control of the state's delegation. When Florida's Democrats designated their presidential electors, four were pledged against Truman and four to vote for him, [15] although only names of electors were listed. [17] However, after the "States' Rights" convention in July, Miami Herald publisher Reuben Clein filed a civil suit to disqualify the four original electors who planned to vote for Thurmond. [16] [18] Pepper reversed his earlier pledge not to support Truman, and a special session of the state legislature provided separate lists for all candidates, [16] including the progressive former Vice President Henry A. Wallace. Pepper campaigned on Dewey's alleged support of big business over the "little man", [19] and Truman made a whistle-stop tour of the state in mid-October. [20]

See also

Notes

  1. William Howard Taft carried Calhoun County in 1908; Warren G. Harding in 1920 and Calvin Coolidge in 1924 each carried three counties in South Florida, and Herbert Hoover in 1928 carried the state and 41 of 67 counties.

References

  1. 1 2 Doherty, Herbert J. (junior); 'Liberal and Conservative Politics in Florida'; The Journal of Politics, vol. 14, no. 3 (August 1952), pp. 403-417
  2. Menendez; The Geography of Presidential Elections in the United States, p. 75
  3. 1 2 3 Menendez, Albert J.; The Geography of Presidential Elections in the United States, 1868-2004, p. 164-165 ISBN   0786422173
  4. Sullivan, Robert David; ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016
  5. Black & Black 1992, p. 147.
  6. Schmidt 1960, p. 149.
  7. "1948 Presidential General Election Results – Florida".
  8. Gans, Curtis and Mulling, Matthew; Voter Turnout in the United States, 1788-2009, p. 481 ISBN   9781604265958
  9. Our Campaigns; FL US President Race, November 02, 1948
  10. Doherty, Herbert J. (junior); 'Florida and the Presidential Election of 1928'; The Florida Historical Quarterly , vol. 26, no. 2 (October 1947), pp. 174-186
  11. Poll Taxes: Hearings Before the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary, Subcommittee on S. 1280, Seventy-Seventh Congress, Second Session, Parts 1-2, p. 289
  12. Frederickson, Kari A.; The Dixiecrat Revolt and the End of the Solid South, p. 76 ISBN   0807849103
  13. Key, Valdimer Orlando; Southern Politics in State and Nation, p. 330 Alfred A. Knopf (1949)
  14. Key; Southern Politics, p. 335
  15. 1 2 Key; Southern Politics, pp. 337-338
  16. 1 2 3 Pleasant, Julian M (1998). "Claude Pepper, Strom Thurmond, and the 1948 Presidential Election in Florida". The Florida Historical Quarterly. 76 (4): 439–473. JSTOR   30149933 . Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  17. 'Floridians to Find It Hard to Vote Dixiecrat Ticket'; The Evening Independent , July 17, 1948, p. 1
  18. Gainesville Sun, September 5, 1948; Tallahassee Daily Democrat, September 8, 1948
  19. 'Pepper Charges Dewey Favours Big Business'; St. Petersburg Times, September 3, 1948, p. 1
  20. Goldzwig, Steven R.; Truman's Whistle-stop Campaign, p. 89 ISBN   1603440062

Works cited