2018 United States Senate election in Vermont

Last updated

2018 United States Senate election in Vermont
Flag of Vermont.svg
←  2012 November 6, 2018 2024  →
Turnout55.57%
  Bernie Sanders in March 2020 (cropped).jpg Lawrence Zupan (cropped).jpg
Nominee Bernie Sanders Lawrence Zupan
Party Independent Republican
Popular vote183,64974,815
Percentage67.44%27.47%
2018 United States Senate election in Vermont results map by county.svg
2018 United States Senate election in Vermont results map by municipality.svg
Sanders:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
     70–80%     80–90%
Zupan:     40–50%     50–60%
Tie:     40–50%
U.S. Senator before election

Bernie Sanders
Independent

Elected U.S. Senator

Bernie Sanders
Independent

The 2018 United States Senate election in Vermont was held November 6, 2018, alongside a gubernatorial election, U.S. House election, and other state and local elections. Incumbent independent Senator Bernie Sanders won re-election to a third term, defeating Republican nominee Lawrence Zupan. [1] The primaries were held on August 14. [2] This was one of two independent-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election.

Contents

Background

Two-term independent Senator Bernie Sanders was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2012. Sanders, a candidate for president in the 2016 primary election and one of only three independent members of Congress, is a self-described democratic socialist. [3] [4]

Sanders had caucused with the Democratic Party since taking office in 2007, and was the chairman of the Budget Committee. He was 77 years old in 2018. Sanders ran for the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination. After failing to win the nomination, he announced that he would run for re-election for his Senate seat in 2018. [5]

Independents

Candidates

Endorsements

Bernie Sanders
Organizations

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Folasade Adeluola, activist [14]

Not on ballot

  • Jon Svitavsky, homelessness activist [14]

Withdrawn

Results

Results by county Map legend .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Sanders-->=90% Sanders--80-90% 2018 VT US Senate Democratic primary.svg
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Sanders—≥90%
  •   Sanders—80–90%
Democratic primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bernie Sanders (incumbent) 63,683 94.02%
Democratic Folasade Adeluola3,7665.56%
Write-in 2810.41%
Total votes67,730 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Lawrence Zupan, real estate broker [17]

Withdrew nomination

Eliminated in primary

Did not file

Results

Results by county Map legend Paige--50-60% Paige--40-50% Paige--30-40% Zupan--30-40% Zupan--40-50% Zupan--50-60% Zupan--60-70% 2018 VT US Senate Republican primary.svg
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Paige—50–60%
  •   Paige—40–50%
  •   Paige—30–40%
  •   Zupan—30–40%
  •   Zupan—40–50%
  •   Zupan—50–60%
  •   Zupan—60–70%
Republican primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican H. Brooke Paige 9,805 37.47%
Republican Lawrence Zupan9,38335.86%
Republican Jasdeep Pannu4,52717.30%
Republican Rocky De La Fuente 1,0574.04%
Write-in 1,3945.33%
Total votes26,166 100.00%

Post-primary

H. Brooke Paige, who also won the Republican nominations for U.S. House, state Attorney General, state Secretary of State, state Treasurer, and state Auditor, withdrew from all but the secretary of state race on August 24, in order to allow the Vermont Republican Party to name replacement candidates. [21] The Vermont Republican Party picked Lawrence Zupan, who came in second place in the primary, to be the Republican nominee. [22]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
CNN [23] Solid IJuly 12, 2018
Fox News [24] Likely* IJuly 9, 2018
RealClearPolitics [25] Safe IJune 6, 2018
The Cook Political Report [26] Solid IOctober 11, 2017
Inside Elections [27] Solid ISeptember 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe ISeptember 27, 2017

*Highest rating given

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Bernie
Sanders (I)		Lawrence
Zupan (R)		OtherUndecided
Gravis Marketing [29] October 30 – November 1, 2018885± 3.3%66%30%–4%
Braun Research [30] October 5–14, 2018495± 4.4%60%19%7% [31] 16%
Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party) [32] September 23–26, 2018406± 4.9%75%20%––

Results

Sanders won re-election with 67.4% of the vote against eight other candidates. [33]

United States Senate election in Vermont, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Independent Bernie Sanders (incumbent) 183,649 67.44% −3.56%
Republican Lawrence Zupan74,81527.47%+2.57%
Independent Brad J. Peacock3,6651.35%N/A
Independent Russell Beste2,7631.02%N/A
Independent Edward S. Gilbert, Jr.2,2440.82%N/A
Independent Folasade Adeluola1,9790.73%N/A
Liberty Union Reid Kane1,1710.43%−0.43%
Independent Jon Svitavsky1,1300.42%N/A
Independent Bruce Busa9140.34%N/A
Write-in 2940.11%N/A
Total votes272,330 100.00% N/A
Independent hold

See also

References

  1. ↑ Dobbs, Taylor. "Bernie Sanders to Seek Reelection to U.S. Senate". Seven Days. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  2. ↑ Ember, Sydney (August 16, 2018). "Vermont Primary Election Results". The New York Times . Retrieved October 24, 2018.
  3. ↑ Lisa Lerer (July 16, 2009). "Where's the outrage over AIG bonuses?". Politico . Retrieved April 19, 2010.
  4. ↑ Michael Powell (November 6, 2006). "Exceedingly Social But Doesn't Like Parties". The Washington Post . Retrieved November 26, 2012.
  5. 1 2 Thomsen, Jacqueline (October 22, 2017). "Sanders to run as an independent in 2018". The Hill . Retrieved November 12, 2017.
  6. ↑ Madigan, Cherise (January 7, 2018). "Newcomer Brad Peacock launches bid for Senate". The Bennington Banner. Retrieved May 21, 2018.
  7. ↑ Hagen, Lisa (January 20, 2017). "Major progressive group unveils first 2018 Senate endorsements". The Hill . Retrieved January 29, 2017.
  8. ↑ Kampeas, Ron (October 19, 2018). "Jewish candidates in the 2018 congressional elections: The Senate". Heritage Florida Jewish News. Miami. Retrieved October 24, 2018.
  9. ↑ Stewart, Brian (August 1, 2017). "MoveOn Endorses Six Senators' Re-Election Bids, Backing 'Health Care Heroes' for Helping Lead Effort to Stop Trumpcare From Becoming Law, Embracing Progressive Policies in Trump Era". MoveOn.org . Retrieved September 10, 2017.
  10. ↑ "Bernie Sanders". Our Revolution. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  11. ↑ Nihart, Alison (July 17, 2018). "RAD's First Crop of Endorsed Candidates for 2018". Rights and Democracy. Archived from the original on July 19, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2018.
  12. ↑ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
  13. ↑ "Sanders to run as a Democrat — but not accept nomination". Politico . Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  14. 1 2 Hirschfield, Peter (July 6, 2017). "Little-Known Challengers Seek To Unseat Bernie Sanders In 2018". Vermont Public Radio. Retrieved July 7, 2017.
  15. ↑ Sainato, Michael (July 7, 2017). "Bitter Clinton Supporters Try to Unseat Bernie Sanders in Senate Race". Observer. Retrieved May 3, 2018.
  16. 1 2 Final Canvass
  17. ↑ Zupan, Lawrence (July 30, 2018). "Letter: Zupan makes case for GOP senate nomination". Manchester Journal .
  18. ↑ Epp, Henry (August 3, 2018). "Campaign 2018: Rocky De La Fuente Running In Multiple US Senate Primaries, Including Vt". Vermont Public Radio. Retrieved August 7, 2018.
  19. ↑ McCullum, April (March 23, 2018). "Sen. Bernie Sanders' seat attracts 4 newcomer candidates". Burlington Free Press. Burlington, Vermont. Retrieved May 3, 2018.
  20. 1 2 Gregg, John P. (April 27, 2017). "Primary Source: Looking at the Sanders Juggernaut". Valley News . Retrieved April 27, 2017.
  21. ↑ Meyn, Colin (August 24, 2018). "Republicans on the clock after Paige withdraws from five statewide races". VTDigger.
  22. ↑ Young, Taylor (August 30, 2018). "Vt. GOP picks candidates for 5 open slots". WCAX-TV. Gray Digital Media. Retrieved August 30, 2018.
  23. ↑ "Key Races: Senate" . Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  24. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News . Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  25. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018" . Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  26. ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report . Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  27. ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  28. ↑ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  29. ↑ Gravis Marketing
  30. ↑ Braun Research
  31. ↑ Russell Beste (I), Bruce Busa (I), Reid Kane (LU), and Brad Peacock (I) with 1%; Folasade Adeluola and Jon Svitavsky with 0%; none/write in/other with 3%
  32. ↑ Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party) Archived October 2, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  33. ↑ Vermont Secretary of State (November 2018). "Vermont electoral results, 2018" (PDF). State of Vermont. Archived from the original (PDF) on January 8, 2019. Retrieved November 24, 2018.

Official campaign websites

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