2018 United States Senate election in Vermont

Last updated

2018 United States Senate election in Vermont
Flag of Vermont.svg
  2012 November 6, 2018 2024  
Turnout55.57%
  Bernie Sanders in March 2020 (cropped).jpg Lawrence Zupan (cropped).jpg
Nominee Bernie Sanders Lawrence Zupan
Party Independent Republican
Popular vote183,64974,815
Percentage67.44%27.47%

2018 United States Senate election in Vermont results map by county.svg
2018 United States Senate election in Vermont results map by municipality.svg
Sanders:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
     70–80%     80–90%
Zupan:     40–50%     50–60%
Tie:     40–50%

U.S. Senator before election

Bernie Sanders
Independent

Elected U.S. Senator

Bernie Sanders
Independent

The 2018 United States Senate election in Vermont was held November 6, 2018, alongside a gubernatorial election, U.S. House election, and other state and local elections. Incumbent independent Senator Bernie Sanders was re-elected to a third term. [1] The primaries were held on August 14. [2]

Contents

Background

Two-term independent Senator Bernie Sanders was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2012. Sanders, a candidate for president in the 2016 primary election and one of only three independent members of Congress, is a self-described democratic socialist. [3] [4]

Sanders has caucused with the Democratic Party since taking office in 2007, and he is the Chairman of the Budget Committee. He was 77 years old in 2018. Sanders ran for the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination. After failing to win the nomination, he announced that he would run for re-election for his Senate seat in 2018. [5]

Independents

Candidates

Endorsements

Bernie Sanders

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Folasade Adeluola, activist [14]

Not on ballot

  • Jon Svitavsky, homelessness activist [14]

Withdrawn

Results

Results by county
Map legend
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Sanders-->=90%
Sanders--80-90% 2018 VT US Senate Democratic primary.svg
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Sanders—≥90%
  •   Sanders—80–90%
Democratic primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bernie Sanders (incumbent) 63,683 94.02%
Democratic Folasade Adeluola3,7665.56%
Write-in 2810.41%
Total votes67,730 100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Lawrence Zupan, real estate broker [17]

Withdrew nomination

  • H. Brooke Paige, former CEO of Remmington News Service

Eliminated in primary

Did not file

Results

Results by county
Map legend
Paige--50-60%
Paige--40-50%
Paige--30-40%
Zupan--30-40%
Zupan--40-50%
Zupan--50-60%
Zupan--60-70% 2018 VT US Senate Republican primary.svg
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Paige—50–60%
  •   Paige—40–50%
  •   Paige—30–40%
  •   Zupan—30–40%
  •   Zupan—40–50%
  •   Zupan—50–60%
  •   Zupan—60–70%
Republican primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican H. Brooke Paige 9,805 37.47%
Republican Lawrence Zupan9,38335.86%
Republican Jasdeep Pannu4,52717.30%
Republican Rocky De La Fuente 1,0574.04%
Write-in 1,3945.33%
Total votes26,166 100.00%

Post-primary

H. Brooke Paige, who also won the Republican nominations for U.S. House, state Attorney General, state Secretary of State, state Treasurer, and state Auditor, withdrew from all but the secretary of state race on August 24, in order to allow the Vermont Republican Party to name replacement candidates. [21] The Vermont Republican Party picked Lawrence Zupan, who came in 2nd place in the primary, to be the Republican nominee. [22]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
CNN [23] Solid IJuly 12, 2018
Fox News [24] Likely* IJuly 9, 2018
RealClearPolitics [25] Safe IJune 6, 2018
The Cook Political Report [26] Solid IOctober 11, 2017
Inside Elections [27] Solid ISeptember 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball [28] Safe ISeptember 27, 2017

*Highest rating given

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bernie
Sanders (I)
Lawrence
Zupan (R)
OtherUndecided
Gravis Marketing October 30 – November 1, 2018885± 3.3%66%30%4%
Braun Research October 5–14, 2018495± 4.4%60%19%7% [29] 16%
Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party) Archived October 2, 2018, at the Wayback Machine September 23–26, 2018406± 4.9%75%20%

Results

Sanders won re-election with 67.4% of the vote against eight other candidates. [30]

United States Senate election in Vermont, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Independent Bernie Sanders (incumbent) 183,649 67.44% −3.56%
Republican Lawrence Zupan74,81527.47%+2.57%
Independent Brad J. Peacock3,6651.35%N/A
Independent Russell Beste2,7631.02%N/A
Independent Edward S. Gilbert, Jr.2,2440.82%N/A
Independent Folasade Adeluola1,9790.73%N/A
Liberty Union Reid Kane1,1710.43%−0.43%
Independent Jon Svitavsky1,1300.42%N/A
Independent Bruce Busa9140.34%N/A
Write-in 2940.11%N/A
Total votes272,330 100.00% N/A
Independent hold

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Bernie Sanders</span> American politician and activist (born 1941)

Bernard Sanders is an American politician and activist who is the senior United States senator from Vermont. Sanders is the longest-serving independent in U.S. congressional history but has a close relationship with the Democratic Party, having caucused with House and Senate Democrats for most of his congressional career and sought the party's presidential nomination in 2016 and 2020, coming second in both campaigns. He is often seen as a leader of the U.S. progressive movement.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2006 United States Senate election in Vermont</span>

The 2006 United States Senate election in Vermont was held November 7, 2006. Incumbent independent Senator Jim Jeffords decided to retire rather than seek reelection to a fourth term, and Bernie Sanders was elected to succeed him.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Peter Welch</span> American lawyer & politician (born 1947)

Peter Francis Welch is an American lawyer and politician serving since 2023 as the junior United States senator from Vermont. A member of the Democratic Party, he was U.S. representative for Vermont's at-large congressional district from 2007 to 2023. He has been a major figure in Vermont politics for over four decades, and is only the second Democrat to be elected a senator from the state.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2000 United States Senate election in Vermont</span>

The 2000 United States Senate election in Vermont took place on November 7, 2000. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Jim Jeffords won re-election to a third term in office. In May 2001, Jeffords left the Republican Party and announced that he would become an independent who would caucus with the Democratic Party. His party exit broke the 50–50 lock in the Senate and effectively gave the Democrats the majority. Thus, that switch marked the first time since 1855 that Vermont had no Republicans in its entire congressional delegation.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2012 United States Senate election in Vermont</span>

The 2012 United States Senate election in Vermont was held on November 6, 2012. Incumbent independent Senator Bernie Sanders won reelection to a second term in a landslide, defeating Republican nominee John MacGovern with 71% of the vote. Sanders, a self-described democratic socialist, was first elected with 65% of the vote in 2006, and was the first non-Republican to win this seat since 1850.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">1992 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont</span>

The 1992 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on Tuesday, November 3, 1992 to elect the U.S. representative from the state's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and an election to the U.S. Senate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in Vermont</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in Vermont was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Vermont voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Independent Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders received unsolicited write-in votes.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States Senate election in Delaware</span>

The 2018 United States Senate election in Delaware took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Delaware, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Kentucky, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Mitch McConnell, who had been Senate Majority Leader since 2015 and senator from Kentucky since 1985, won reelection to a seventh term in office. He faced off against former U.S. Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath and Libertarian Brad Barron.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Vermont gubernatorial election</span>

The 2018 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Vermont, concurrently with the election of Vermont's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott, who was first elected in 2016, was re-elected to a second term in office. Hallquist's 40.3% was also the worst performance for a Democratic Party candidate since 2008.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Vermont</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in Vermont was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont. It was held concurrently with U.S. Senate elections in other states, along with elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections across the country. The incumbent senator, Democrat Patrick Leahy, announced on November 15, 2021, that he would not seek re-election to a ninth term, leaving the seat open for the first time since 1974.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont</span>

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from the state of Vermont from Vermont's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primary elections were held on August 14. Peter Welch, a Democrat won reelection to a seventh term, defeating Republican Anya Tynio.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Vermont elections</span> Elections in Vermont

A general election was held in the U.S. state of Vermont on November 6, 2018. All of Vermont's executive officers were up for election as well as Vermont's Class I Senate seat and at-large seat in the United States House of Representatives. Primary elections were held on August 14, 2018.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 Vermont gubernatorial election</span>

The 2020 Vermont gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of Vermont. As Vermont does not impose term limits upon its governors, incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott was eligible to run for reelection to a third two-year term in office. On November 18, 2019, he confirmed that he was running for reelection, but did not yet publicly announce his campaign. On May 28, 2020, he officially announced his candidacy but stated that he would not campaign, maintain a campaign staff, or fundraise because of the state of emergency due to the COVID-19 pandemic in Vermont. The primary was held on August 11. Scott won re-election to a third term in a landslide, defeating Progressive and Democratic nominee, Lieutenant Governor David Zuckerman.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Vermont</span> Election in Vermont

The 2020 United States presidential election in Vermont was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Vermont voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Vermont has three electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 Vermont elections</span>

A general election was held in the U.S. state of Vermont on November 3, 2020. All of Vermont's executive officers will be up for election as well as Vermont's at-large seat in the United States House of Representatives. Primary elections were held on August 11, 2020.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. representative from Vermont's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, as well as various other state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Vermont</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont. Primary elections will take place on August 13, 2024. Incumbent three-term Senator Bernie Sanders, who is an independent but caucuses with the Democratic Party, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018. Sanders has not announced whether he will seek re-election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Vermont lieutenant gubernatorial election</span> Election for Lieutenant Governor of Vermont

The 2022 Vermont lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the lieutenant governor of the state of Vermont. The election coincided with various other federal and state elections, including for Governor of Vermont. Primary elections were held on August 9. Vermont is one of 21 states that elects its lieutenant governor separately from its governor.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Vermont Senate election</span> Election

The 2022 Vermont Senate election took place on November 8, 2022, as part of the biennial United States elections. The election coincided with elections for other offices including the U.S. Senate, U.S. House, Governor, and State House. Vermont voters elected all 30 state senators from 16 districts, with each district electing between one and three senators. State senators serve two-year terms in the Vermont Senate. Primary elections were held on August 9, 2022. This election will be the first to use new districts adopted by the Vermont General Assembly to allocate for population changes across the state after the 2020 census.

References

  1. Dobbs, Taylor. "Bernie Sanders to Seek Reelection to U.S. Senate". Seven Days. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  2. Ember, Sydney (August 16, 2018). "Vermont Primary Election Results". The New York Times . Retrieved October 24, 2018.
  3. Lisa Lerer (July 16, 2009). "Where's the outrage over AIG bonuses?". The Politico . Retrieved April 19, 2010.
  4. Michael Powell (November 6, 2006). "Exceedingly Social But Doesn't Like Parties". The Washington Post . Retrieved November 26, 2012.
  5. 1 2 Thomsen, Jacqueline (October 22, 2017). "Sanders to run as an independent in 2018". The Hill . Retrieved November 12, 2017.
  6. Madigan, Cherise (January 7, 2018). "Newcomer Brad Peacock launches bid for Senate". The Bennington Banner. Retrieved May 21, 2018.
  7. Hagen, Lisa (January 20, 2017). "Major progressive group unveils first 2018 Senate endorsements". The Hill . Retrieved January 29, 2017.
  8. Kampeas, Ron (October 19, 2018). "Jewish candidates in the 2018 congressional elections: The Senate". Heritage Florida Jewish News. Miami. Retrieved October 24, 2018.
  9. Stewart, Brian (August 1, 2017). "MoveOn Endorses Six Senators' Re-Election Bids, Backing 'Health Care Heroes' for Helping Lead Effort to Stop Trumpcare From Becoming Law, Embracing Progressive Policies in Trump Era". MoveOn.org . Retrieved September 10, 2017.
  10. Nihart, Alison (July 17, 2018). "RAD's First Crop of Endorsed Candidates for 2018". Rights and Democracy. Archived from the original on July 19, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2018.
  11. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
  12. "Bernie Sanders". Our Revolution. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  13. "Sanders to run as a Democrat — but not accept nomination". Politico . Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  14. 1 2 Hirschfield, Peter (July 6, 2017). "Little-Known Challengers Seek To Unseat Bernie Sanders In 2018". Vermont Public Radio. Retrieved July 7, 2017.
  15. Sainato, Michael (July 7, 2017). "Bitter Clinton Supporters Try to Unseat Bernie Sanders in Senate Race". Observer. Retrieved May 3, 2018.
  16. 1 2 Final Canvass
  17. Zupan, Lawrence (July 30, 2018). "Letter: Zupan makes case for GOP senate nomination". Manchester Journal .
  18. Epp, Henry (August 3, 2018). "Campaign 2018: Rocky De La Fuente Running In Multiple US Senate Primaries, Including Vt". Vermont Public Radio. Retrieved August 7, 2018.
  19. McCullum, April (March 23, 2018). "Sen. Bernie Sanders' seat attracts 4 newcomer candidates". Burlington Free Press. Burlington, Vermont. Retrieved May 3, 2018.
  20. 1 2 Gregg, John P. (April 27, 2017). "Primary Source: Looking at the Sanders Juggernaut". Valley News . Retrieved April 27, 2017.
  21. Meyn, Colin (August 24, 2018). "Republicans on the clock after Paige withdraws from five statewide races". VTDigger.
  22. Young, Taylor (August 30, 2018). "Vt. GOP picks candidates for 5 open slots". WCAX-TV. Gray Digital Media. Retrieved August 30, 2018.
  23. "Key Races: Senate" . Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  24. "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News . Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  25. "Battle for the Senate 2018" . Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  26. "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report . Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  27. "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  28. "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  29. Russell Beste (I), Bruce Busa (I), Reid Kane (LU), and Brad Peacock (I) with 1%; Folasade Adeluola and Jon Svitavsky with 0%; none/write in/other with 3%
  30. Vermont Secretary of State (November 2018). "Vermont electoral results, 2018" (PDF). State of Vermont. Archived from the original (PDF) on January 8, 2019. Retrieved November 24, 2018.
Official campaign websites